21/04/2016

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:00:14. > :00:21.# I would like to leave this city # This old town don't smell too

:00:22. > :00:29.pretty # And I can feel the warning signs

:00:30. > :00:36.running around my mind # So what do you say?

:00:37. > :00:41.# You can't give me the dreams that are mine anyway

:00:42. > :00:51.# Half a world away # Half a world away

:00:52. > :00:56.# I've been lost, I've been found but I don't feel down.

:00:57. > :01:01.# A week in which Boy George flung off

:01:02. > :01:06.the sober suits a Chancellor is required to wear,

:01:07. > :01:08.and donned the flowing robes of a soothsayer to tell us not only

:01:09. > :01:12.what the nation's gross domestic product would be in the year 2030,

:01:13. > :01:17.but that it would be precisely 6.2% smaller if we left

:01:18. > :01:21.the European Union. Put aside the ungenerous thought

:01:22. > :01:27.that Boy George has never yet made a forecast he's managed to hit,

:01:28. > :01:29.or the uncomfortable fact that in last month's Budget,

:01:30. > :01:32.with the financial year only a couple of weeks to run,

:01:33. > :01:36.his prediction for how much he'd have to borrow was still out

:01:37. > :01:40.by ?2 billion. That's just the carping of lesser

:01:41. > :01:44.mortals faced with Mystic George, who only has to stare

:01:45. > :01:47.into his crystal balls to tell us the size of our economy

:01:48. > :01:51.in 14 years' time, If only he had the balls

:01:52. > :01:57.to know what the size of the economy will be this

:01:58. > :01:59.year, or next. I'd even settle for the winner

:02:00. > :02:01.of tomorrow's 3.30 Handicap Speaking of those with an uncanny

:02:02. > :02:11.knack for being the future once - and when you look at their pasts,

:02:12. > :02:14.you can hardly blame them for preferring futurology to looking

:02:15. > :02:18.back - I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two fortune cookies

:02:19. > :02:22.we'd love to crack open. Think of them as the

:02:23. > :02:25.Nostradamus and Cassandra I speak, of course, of #newtlabour

:02:26. > :02:33.Ken Livingstone, I presume, and #sadmanonatrain Michael

:02:34. > :02:51."Chooey McChooChoo Face" Portillo. Your moment of the week? President

:02:52. > :02:57.Obama met the King of Saudi Arabia, and there is a bit of a new

:02:58. > :03:00.relationship going on. The United States is being very careful with

:03:01. > :03:05.Saudi Arabia and has trodden on eggshells with them. Obviously, the

:03:06. > :03:09.relationship is now strained because the United States has done a deal

:03:10. > :03:12.with Iran, there is talk of publishing what has been suppressed

:03:13. > :03:17.evidence about the Saudi Arabian connection with 9/11. I welcome

:03:18. > :03:21.this. Saudi Arabia is the unspoken subject in all the discussions about

:03:22. > :03:25.the causes of terrorism around Europe. No one ever says what about

:03:26. > :03:31.the amount of money financing the spread of Wahhabi is through Europe?

:03:32. > :03:34.What about the mosques being established by the Saudis, all of

:03:35. > :03:42.them address is. So let's put something on the table and discuss

:03:43. > :03:49.this. Well, you can see he has very little time for the Saudis, which is

:03:50. > :03:53.revealing. Harold Macmillan wrote in 1955 that he was worried that oil

:03:54. > :04:00.money coming to Saudi was funding a spread of intolerant Islam around

:04:01. > :04:08.the world. Your moment of the week? The depressing result in New York. I

:04:09. > :04:13.am a Bernie Sanders fan. Why does that not surprise me? My worry is

:04:14. > :04:18.that Hillary Clinton is so seen as part of the establishment, there to

:04:19. > :04:22.do what the Rich tell her, that I think Trump might actually beat her.

:04:23. > :04:27.She is ahead in the polls but Trump is a cynical hugger and he will move

:04:28. > :04:33.to try and get all the old Bernie Sanders voters. He still has to get

:04:34. > :04:38.the Republican nomination himself. Ted Cruz is even madder than he is.

:04:39. > :04:46.Ted Cruz is like the American Tal Afar and, you know. Is he into

:04:47. > :04:51.beheading? Something like half the members of Congress do not believe

:04:52. > :04:57.in evolution. It is just a moment of the week, not an essay of the week.

:04:58. > :05:01.Do I go on too long? No one has ever said that. Does he go on too long?

:05:02. > :05:04.Is the Pope Catholic? I think he is. Now, Barack Obama recently said that

:05:05. > :05:07.failing to prepare for the aftermath of toppling Colonel Gaddafi

:05:08. > :05:09.was the worst mistake of his presidency and in making his

:05:10. > :05:12.confession he managed to sling a few barbs at Call-Me-Dave,

:05:13. > :05:14.accusing the PM of being distracted after the warplanes of Britain

:05:15. > :05:17.and its allies attacked Libya Since then the country has

:05:18. > :05:20.experienced chaos and civil war rather

:05:21. > :05:22.than liberation and democracy. America, Britain, France,

:05:23. > :05:26.Germany and Italy meet next week and there's speculation

:05:27. > :05:28.that they may agree military support for a newly-established Libyan

:05:29. > :05:33.Government of National Accord. Here's author and journalist Rory

:05:34. > :05:50.O'Keeffe with his take of the week. Images of Gaddafi meeting world

:05:51. > :06:02.leaders in a Bedouin tent in my former home city of Sirte have

:06:03. > :06:08.become notorious, if not iconic, so we have come to our own little

:06:09. > :06:11.This Week tent to talk It's fair to say, the north African

:06:12. > :06:17.country has not been a gold standard of foreign intervention

:06:18. > :06:20.for the West. Barack Obama was right

:06:21. > :06:33.to call his failure to stick around after launching his F1-11s

:06:34. > :06:36.the biggest mistake David Cameron, who made

:06:37. > :06:39.the same mistake, could make Because once you choose to engage

:06:40. > :06:45.in other states' politics, you can't just clear off as soon

:06:46. > :06:48.as your bombers have The UK is proposing to do what it

:06:49. > :06:56.should have done five years ago, offering money and support

:06:57. > :07:01.to a Libyan government. But it spent the last five years

:07:02. > :07:04.preventing democratically elected administrations

:07:05. > :07:07.from using their own money Even now, a major reason the UK

:07:08. > :07:16.is supporting this new government, one of three operating within

:07:17. > :07:20.the state, seems rather cynical. It's likely to invite

:07:21. > :07:25.new air strikes on Libya. The driver for our renewed interest

:07:26. > :07:29.in Libya is IS, a horrific enemy, but only a bit part

:07:30. > :07:35.player in its Civil War. Western governments feared

:07:36. > :07:39.that IS members are running from Syria and Iraq to Libya,

:07:40. > :07:41.but there's little Putting troops on the ground

:07:42. > :07:46.for training purposes is appealing, but we must remember that,

:07:47. > :07:48.among the forces fighting IS in Libya, are members

:07:49. > :07:51.of Al-Qaeda and, whatever scare mongers might say,

:07:52. > :07:54.it's not IS maniacs risking their lives on the Mediterranean

:07:55. > :08:01.and leaking dinghies. The lesson to be learnt from Libya's

:08:02. > :08:05.grim recent past seems to be that the money is available for air

:08:06. > :08:09.strikes, but not to enable secure states which would make those air

:08:10. > :08:17.strikes unnecessary. From the This Week Bedouin tent

:08:18. > :08:20.to the sagging guy ropes of meaningful discussion on This

:08:21. > :08:33.Week, Rory O'Keeffe joins me now. Welcome to the programme. The

:08:34. > :08:38.president says that not planning for the day after Colonel Gaddafi's fall

:08:39. > :08:42.was his biggest mistake. Is it too late to put that right? There is an

:08:43. > :08:47.extent to which we could argue that the five years of chaos that have

:08:48. > :08:52.Vince Soodin mean there was a massive wasted opportunity, but I

:08:53. > :08:57.believe we have a responsibility and the ability to help assist Libya to

:08:58. > :09:04.write some of the rungs. There is this new UN backed government of

:09:05. > :09:08.National accord. The Prime Minister had to arrive by boat because his

:09:09. > :09:14.rivals closed the airport around Tripoli. Is that worth supporting?

:09:15. > :09:19.Absolutely, it is just about a government but there is certainly no

:09:20. > :09:23.national accord. There are three governments, none of which have the

:09:24. > :09:27.legitimacy or mandate of having been elected in a popular vote. The

:09:28. > :09:31.government of national accord unfortunately appears to have been

:09:32. > :09:35.foisted on Libya by the international community in the hope

:09:36. > :09:39.that it will invite air strikes on centres of population in Libya. That

:09:40. > :09:45.does not seem a form you for success. It would seem, if you have

:09:46. > :09:49.a country which has three governments, all of them well armed,

:09:50. > :09:54.knocking lumps out of each other, this is not a place to get involved

:09:55. > :09:59.in. Unless you want to get all your people killed, I think you are

:10:00. > :10:03.right. There is not the situation either to put in peacekeepers, or

:10:04. > :10:09.people who are going to be trainers. Let's go back to the beginning of

:10:10. > :10:13.that film. I think in general the removal of dictators has been a

:10:14. > :10:18.disaster in western foreign policy. Because what it has allowed is

:10:19. > :10:26.chaos, huge amounts of killing and safe havens for IS and Al-Qaeda. And

:10:27. > :10:29.it probably is too late. However, because we have made mistakes in the

:10:30. > :10:35.past does not mean all interventions in future would be a mistake. But

:10:36. > :10:40.what about Libya? I don't think there are conditions at the moment

:10:41. > :10:43.for an intervention, but if there were the hope of stability I would

:10:44. > :10:46.be in favour of supporting a government that could be a barrier

:10:47. > :10:52.to the free operation of terrorist groups that are a threat to us.

:10:53. > :10:57.Having created the problem, do we let them stew in their own juice?

:10:58. > :11:01.You could do a bit more bombing. That will not have any great effect.

:11:02. > :11:06.If you want to impose some sort of structure you are talking about

:11:07. > :11:11.hundreds of thousands of troops. We do not have the capacity. If it was

:11:12. > :11:15.just the West, no one trusts the West in the Middle East any more. I

:11:16. > :11:20.remember my first speech when I was 11 years old in the school debating

:11:21. > :11:24.society was denouncing Britain's invasion of Egypt in 1956. I can't

:11:25. > :11:27.think of any invention -- intervention we have done in the

:11:28. > :11:31.Middle East that has not been a disaster. This meeting taking place

:11:32. > :11:35.between the allies which includes Germany, who will not be involved,

:11:36. > :11:40.but it will involve Britain, America, France and Germany. There

:11:41. > :11:46.is talk of a stabilisation force, which would go into Tripoli, secure

:11:47. > :11:50.the airport and then start to train people there. What difference will

:11:51. > :11:54.that make? It is very difficult to see what difference that would make.

:11:55. > :11:59.I think we have taken the wrong attitude and we are imposing order

:12:00. > :12:06.on a situation where order cannot be imposed at this moment. We need to

:12:07. > :12:10.be working very hard to bring particularly the two sets of illegal

:12:11. > :12:15.militias which claimed to support two of Libya's three governments to

:12:16. > :12:19.some form of peace. We have been trying to do that and they would

:12:20. > :12:24.rather knock lumps out of each other. We have not tried to bring an

:12:25. > :12:31.end to the Libyan civil war. How do you? We need to engage properly with

:12:32. > :12:35.both governments and also with operation dignity which claims to

:12:36. > :12:39.support the house of representatives. These are two

:12:40. > :12:43.coalitions but one is run by a who thinks he should be the next

:12:44. > :12:50.Gaddafi. Why would he deal with us? That is true. What we need to talk

:12:51. > :12:55.about seriously is how peace can work in Libya and what role, if any,

:12:56. > :13:00.that general takes. You seem to downplay the importance of Islamic

:13:01. > :13:06.State, but there are about 5000 fighters there, and I don't agree

:13:07. > :13:10.with you. I think much of the intelligence is strong that many of

:13:11. > :13:16.them have come from Syria and Iraq as that has been degraded by

:13:17. > :13:22.bombing. 5000, they occupy right on the central coast line. 180 miles of

:13:23. > :13:26.that coastline, and they have been taking out a series of oil

:13:27. > :13:30.installations. They have failed to take them out. They launched a

:13:31. > :13:34.series of attacks on those installations, which have been

:13:35. > :13:40.defended by the petroleum facilities guard. I have seen nothing but add

:13:41. > :13:47.reports on these guys. Any attack is bad news. When Gaddafi was boss, oil

:13:48. > :13:55.output was 1.6 million barrels per day and it is now under 400,000.

:13:56. > :14:00.Libya is in a state of civil war. When you talk about me downplaying

:14:01. > :14:02.IS, I believe they are a horrific organisation and should be taken

:14:03. > :14:06.seriously but they are the smallest of the forces fighting in Libya at

:14:07. > :14:11.the moment and they are reliant on the continuation of the Libyan civil

:14:12. > :14:16.war in order to operate in Libya. If we are going to get involved in

:14:17. > :14:21.this, whether we like it or not, and there has been talk of 1000 British

:14:22. > :14:25.troops going there as trainers, is that they matter, putting aside with

:14:26. > :14:30.EU are in favour or not, is that matter for the government orders

:14:31. > :14:34.Parliament have to have say? I think it has been a mistake for the

:14:35. > :14:37.government to put itself in a position where it has to go to the

:14:38. > :14:40.House of Commons in order to go to war. That will be a minority point

:14:41. > :14:44.of view but I don't think governments should go back to

:14:45. > :14:49.Parliament. So I will say that the government should be allowed to do

:14:50. > :14:53.this. However, if it is claiming that this is a situation that cannot

:14:54. > :14:57.become dangerous and for that reason it does not need to go to

:14:58. > :15:03.Parliament, the reasoning is faulty. If you are sending in 1000 people,

:15:04. > :15:06.you need 1000 people to defend them. You need a lot more than that.

:15:07. > :15:10.Should government have the freedom to do this, or should they have to

:15:11. > :15:23.go to Parliament? Literally, London will be more of a

:15:24. > :15:29.target for a terrorist attack. There needs to be an open and honest

:15:30. > :15:35.debate about this in Parliament. Someone has to oversee them. They

:15:36. > :15:41.may well get it wrong. Don't they also have to have some leeway. All

:15:42. > :15:44.our foreign policy is dictated about whether whir frightened of people

:15:45. > :15:49.putting bombs in London, a hopeless place in which to decide on foreign

:15:50. > :15:52.policy. When Blair was planning to invade Iraq, he was warned by our

:15:53. > :15:57.Security Services, this will make a target for terrorism. That needs to

:15:58. > :16:02.be debated in Parliament. And he may have decided that was a secondary

:16:03. > :16:05.fact and they wanted more morn things than that. If you had been a

:16:06. > :16:11.woman living in Iraq under Saddam Hussein, you could walk around the

:16:12. > :16:19.street in a mini skirt, do that today you would be stoned to death.

:16:20. > :16:21.You are switching the argument, the be-all-and-end-all shouldn't be

:16:22. > :16:24.about whether or not we are afraid of terrorism.

:16:25. > :16:29.The point Ken made about life under Saddam Hussein, you can agree or

:16:30. > :16:33.disagree with that, but isn't the blunt truth that most Libyans are

:16:34. > :16:37.pining for the return of Colonel Gaddafi, probably? Funnily enough,

:16:38. > :16:41.one of the few things most Libyans today agree on is their continued

:16:42. > :16:50.opposition to Gaddafi. Really, how do we know that? All militia members

:16:51. > :16:57.and people on the street and I'm in regular contact with people in

:16:58. > :17:01.Libya. But the economy is now going to be the fastest tanking economy in

:17:02. > :17:05.the world, people are suffering from malnutrition there. Oil, which was

:17:06. > :17:09.the only source of Government revenue, is at record lows.

:17:10. > :17:14.Absolutely. If you were an ordinary Libyan, I mean Colonel Gaddafi was

:17:15. > :17:19.an evil dictator, but you basically had a job and you got fed? And there

:17:20. > :17:23.were supporters of Gaddafi, that's why there was a Civil War in 2011,

:17:24. > :17:28.there were people who fought in support of Gaddafi. The issue is

:17:29. > :17:32.however we are entering the third year of Libya's second Civil War.

:17:33. > :17:37.The country is tanking, no doubt, and the major mistake, and there

:17:38. > :17:42.must be a discussion at some point, but the major mistake we made was

:17:43. > :17:43.turning our backs on Libya when Gaddafi was killed. We'll leave it

:17:44. > :17:45.there. Now it's late, John Whittingdale

:17:46. > :17:48.in a lap dancing club late. And of course he was only

:17:49. > :17:52.on a fact-finding mission, honest. So make sure you declare

:17:53. > :17:54.an interest, because waiting in the wings, classical singer,

:17:55. > :17:57.Katherine Jenkins is here to sing the national anthem with Ken

:17:58. > :18:03.Livingstone. And if you like the sound

:18:04. > :18:06.of that, let us know on The Twitter, the Fleecebook,

:18:07. > :18:10.the InstaGranny SnapDrivel, And never forgetting

:18:11. > :18:14.Gordon Brown's World Now, everyone knows the royal

:18:15. > :18:22.family are above politics. But when hopes for a new royal yacht

:18:23. > :18:25.were sunk back in the 90s, And according to his biographer,

:18:26. > :18:34.Gyles Brandreth, he named "And then Portillo got involved,"

:18:35. > :18:42.said Prince Phillip "and made a complete Blue Nun of it.

:18:43. > :18:47.Absolutely idiotic!" Here on This Week we clearly owe

:18:48. > :18:50.the royal family a favour, and so to celebrate the Queen's

:18:51. > :18:54.90th birthday, we've commissioned our own royal

:18:55. > :18:57.pottery Here's his commemorative round-up

:18:58. > :19:07.of the political week. I suppose anyone doing a job for 90

:19:08. > :19:12.years deserves some recognition. So, inspired by Queenie's milestone,

:19:13. > :19:24.This Week commissioned me, a staunch republican

:19:25. > :19:29.and spectacularly bad drawer to create a commemorative

:19:30. > :19:32.collection of China. George Osborne started the week

:19:33. > :19:39.painting a vivid picture of, for once, a wrecked British economy,

:19:40. > :19:43.if we vote to leave Europe. Her Maj might even have to flog

:19:44. > :19:48.a castle if the Treasury is right The most likely bill for our public

:19:49. > :19:55.services if we left the EU That's an increase of 8p

:19:56. > :20:05.on the basic rate of income tax. Higher taxes and a smaller economy

:20:06. > :20:16.is not a price worth paying. Up popped that prince of EU leavers,

:20:17. > :20:19.Michael Gove, the Justice Secretary, to hit back at his chum

:20:20. > :20:23.George's gloomy predictions and outline his own Brexit plan,

:20:24. > :20:26.promising greater freedom, If we vote to stay the EU's bosses

:20:27. > :20:33.and bureaucrats will take that as carte blanche to continue taking

:20:34. > :20:36.more power and money They will say that we

:20:37. > :20:40.voted for more Europe. Any protest on our part will be met

:20:41. > :20:43.with a complacent shrug and a reminder that we were given

:20:44. > :20:46.our own very special negotiation, The former London Mayor Ken

:20:47. > :21:03.Livingstone threatened to become an emigre and move abroad

:21:04. > :21:07.if Britain quits Europe. The current mayor of London,

:21:08. > :21:10.Boris Johnson, offered to pack The Queen's 90th is on US President

:21:11. > :21:23.Barack Obama's legacy tour. Yet, before he sits down

:21:24. > :21:26.with her in Windsor, it was clear the political goal

:21:27. > :21:30.of the leader of an American republic which fought a war

:21:31. > :21:33.of independence to shake up the British monarchy,

:21:34. > :21:37.is to keep Britain in Europe. This decision is a decision

:21:38. > :21:41.for the British people We are sovereign in making this

:21:42. > :21:46.decision. Personally, I believe we should

:21:47. > :21:49.listen to advice from friends and other countries,

:21:50. > :21:52.and I struggle to find the leader of any friendly country

:21:53. > :21:55.who thinks we should leave. After the briefest of happy returns

:21:56. > :22:14.from republican Jeremy Corbyn, at Prime Minister's Questions,

:22:15. > :22:18.the Labour leader exploited Tory splits over plans to force

:22:19. > :22:22.every school in England Why on earth is the Prime Minister

:22:23. > :22:28.proposing to spend ?1.3 billion on a top-down reorganisation that

:22:29. > :22:32.wasn't in his manifesto, teachers don't want it,

:22:33. > :22:36.parents don't want it, governors don't want it,

:22:37. > :22:40.headteachers don't want it? Even his own MPs and councillors

:22:41. > :22:43.don't want it. We are spending ?7 billion on more

:22:44. > :22:49.school places to make up for the woeful lack of action under

:22:50. > :22:52.the last Labour government. With another doctors' strike looming

:22:53. > :22:56.in England, the Health Secretary was pressed to clear up confusion

:22:57. > :22:59.over whether he is imposing or introducing new contracts,

:23:00. > :23:02.whatever the difference means. Despite giving us all the impression

:23:03. > :23:06.back in February that he was going to railroad through a new contract,

:23:07. > :23:14.it now seems the Health Secretary Yes, we are imposing

:23:15. > :23:21.a new contract and we are doing it with the greatest of regret,

:23:22. > :23:24.because the BMA refused Had they negotiated on Saturday pay,

:23:25. > :23:30.as they said they would, Instead we have a strike,

:23:31. > :23:39.the first ever withdrawal Let me know if your royal street

:23:40. > :23:45.party is interrupted by canvassers because the political parties

:23:46. > :23:50.are putting out their bunting ahead of elections next month in England,

:23:51. > :23:52.Wales, Scotland and Northern And despite the SNP manifesto

:23:53. > :23:57.launched this week not promising a referendum on independence,

:23:58. > :24:02.First Minister Nicola Sturgeon made clear that is what

:24:03. > :24:05.still drives her party. Setting the date for a referendum

:24:06. > :24:09.before a majority of the Scottish people have been persuaded that

:24:10. > :24:13.independence and therefore another referendum is the best

:24:14. > :24:16.future for our country So this summer we will start

:24:17. > :24:24.new work to persuade a majority in Scotland of that

:24:25. > :24:33.case for independence. Cameron, Corbyn and the rest packed

:24:34. > :24:42.the Commons today to ladle praise on the Queen at the end of a week

:24:43. > :24:46.in which sovereignty I wonder what a prime minister,

:24:47. > :24:55.party leader or president would do Deference isn't my style,

:24:56. > :25:01.but I suppose the old girl uses a lot of crockery for all those

:25:02. > :25:04.celebratory dinners I wonder if she could do with a few

:25:05. > :25:12.pieces from the royal Kevin Maguire, ruining his chances

:25:13. > :25:22.of ever being awarded a knighthood, Leader of the Greens,

:25:23. > :25:33.Natalie Bennett, and her on-screen husband and leader

:25:34. > :25:45.of the Ukips, Nigel Farage. Welcome. Mr Obama has just landed in

:25:46. > :25:52.London. He's got an article in the Telegraph coming up in the morning

:25:53. > :25:54.towards the end it's strong, it's in America's interests, Britain's

:25:55. > :26:00.interests, in the EU's interests that we stay in the EU. Is he right

:26:01. > :26:05.to intervene? I don't think he is, no, but I'm not sure he really

:26:06. > :26:13.understands it. I was in Washington last year. Some thought that EU was

:26:14. > :26:18.a friendly trade club. That was a generous interpretation. It's in his

:26:19. > :26:22.interests and the interests of giant American corporate businesses that

:26:23. > :26:27.Britain states we stay in the EU, move on to the Transatlantic

:26:28. > :26:31.investment treaty. I guess it's the latter. Is he right to intervene?

:26:32. > :26:35.It's right for him to share his views. He's the leader of the US,

:26:36. > :26:39.he's sharing the US view, we should look at it with appropriate

:26:40. > :26:46.scepticism. He's looking at the view from the US first, but he's also

:26:47. > :26:50.looking at the fact that he is saying that the EU is greater than

:26:51. > :26:56.the sum of its parts in terms of its role on the world stage. When you

:26:57. > :26:59.put together a group of nations working together tot protect climate

:27:00. > :27:05.change and workers's rights, when you put them together and work as a

:27:06. > :27:09.group, that is stronger than if we were working alone. Will it make a

:27:10. > :27:15.difference, the intervention of the President? I don't think it will

:27:16. > :27:19.make any difference at all. When have you ever taken notice of what a

:27:20. > :27:24.US president said? I've always followed what they said. That's a

:27:25. > :27:28.different matter. At least he's not bombing us, he's just telling us

:27:29. > :27:31.what he thinks, that's a real improvement with American diplomacy.

:27:32. > :27:37.You don't think it will affect the debate? No. People make up their

:27:38. > :27:41.mind based on the debates. Nigel's lot and the other side are banging

:27:42. > :27:45.on about stuff. I've said all the way through, I'll vote to leave the

:27:46. > :27:49.moment someone can prove to me we'll be better off outside. The

:27:50. > :27:53.overwhelming majority, economists and business people are in favour of

:27:54. > :28:05.staying in, and it's a nightmare. You are following big business?

:28:06. > :28:11.Corporate Ken! ? Just look at the last six years... I want to come

:28:12. > :28:13.back to the president. Will the President's intervention make a

:28:14. > :28:17.difference? I don't believe it will. I wish I could take Obama just for

:28:18. > :28:22.an hour to a European Union meeting so he could towns what extent Europe

:28:23. > :28:30.and the European Union is driven by anti-Americanism. It's all about

:28:31. > :28:34.NATO, having a kind of pastiche European defence identity, the whole

:28:35. > :28:38.French idea is about elbowing the Americans out of Europe. The

:28:39. > :28:42.Americans misunderstand the whole thing so badly. We are being

:28:43. > :28:47.presented with a parody of what the US is like. Obama is not necessarily

:28:48. > :28:51.listening to the Senators, he's listening to his advisers to a wide

:28:52. > :28:55.range of experts just as the British people are listening to the

:28:56. > :28:57.scientists for the EU, the scientists are overwhelmingly coming

:28:58. > :29:02.out in favour of the EU. Tonight there was a big meeting,

:29:03. > :29:06.environmentalists for the EU. Large numbers of people. In terms of big

:29:07. > :29:10.business, the E such an organisation that can stand up to and rein in big

:29:11. > :29:16.corporate interests in a way that's very, very difficult or impossible

:29:17. > :29:21.for an individual country to do. I voted Green in 89 because you were

:29:22. > :29:24.the only Euro-sceptic party in this country, highly principled. Is it

:29:25. > :29:27.just the money that's turning the Green Party in favour? Clearly you

:29:28. > :29:32.are funded heavily from the European Union. Your European election

:29:33. > :29:35.campaign was funded by the EU. Is it as simple as that? I would very much

:29:36. > :29:38.invite anybody out there to have a look at our accounts for the

:29:39. > :29:41.European campaign or any other election campaign and they'll find

:29:42. > :29:45.that the level of funding that we have in the Green Party is on a very

:29:46. > :29:51.much smaller scale than other parties. That's because we are

:29:52. > :29:57.funded... Do you get any money from the European Union? Not to fight the

:29:58. > :30:04.election campaign. But you do get money? For our MEPs doing all sorts

:30:05. > :30:09.of work. The big development before the President arrived was the

:30:10. > :30:14.forecast. Was it propaganda or public information? It's a guess.

:30:15. > :30:16.The simple fact is, as you said at the beginning, we can't predict

:30:17. > :30:21.what's happening in the British economy next year. We can't predict

:30:22. > :30:26.what happened last year sometimes. One simple fact - we should look at

:30:27. > :30:29.the last six years of our exports to Germany. In the years before we

:30:30. > :30:33.joined the EU, they were cut in half, in the year since we joined,

:30:34. > :30:40.they have gone up 120%. That's quite telling. Those are facts.

:30:41. > :30:48.When we were out, we lost a load of our export markets and when we

:30:49. > :30:54.joined we got it back. We lost all our trade outside the EU because we

:30:55. > :30:59.put tariffs on. We cut ourselves off from the rest of the world. Hardly

:31:00. > :31:03.surprising trade with Germany increased, but their trade with us

:31:04. > :31:10.increased much more quickly. We don't invest the way they do in

:31:11. > :31:14.their industry. The Chancellor and everyone is saying, we have this

:31:15. > :31:17.wonderful deal with the European Union and without it we would risk

:31:18. > :31:23.everything. I think we have a rotten deal with the European Union for

:31:24. > :31:29.access to selling our goods tariff- free to their markets. We pay 1% of

:31:30. > :31:36.our GDP every day as a membership fee for an economy 12% of which is

:31:37. > :31:39.exports to the EU. 100% of our businesses are regulated and we have

:31:40. > :31:47.freedom of movement for 500 million people. What did you make of the

:31:48. > :31:51.Treasury document? It reflects in many ways that the debate has been

:31:52. > :31:57.shallow and focused on figures produced by both sides... You think

:31:58. > :32:03.the document was shallow. I think we all know how George Osborne has

:32:04. > :32:07.entirely changed his tone. Have you read the document? I have not read

:32:08. > :32:15.it all. So how do you know it is shallow. It is packed with quadratic

:32:16. > :32:21.equations. What I think is shallow is, how is this based on the reality

:32:22. > :32:24.of the world. Given the fact we had George Osborne who in the autumn

:32:25. > :32:27.suddenly discovered millions of pounds down the back of the sofa and

:32:28. > :32:32.then found out he did not have them... We need to have this debate

:32:33. > :32:36.on more serious grounds about what sort of country Britain is, how we

:32:37. > :32:40.relate to our neighbours, meaning things like air pollution, water

:32:41. > :32:47.pollution, wildlife. Those things do not stop at natural borders. They

:32:48. > :32:51.are all interrelated. If it is such a cataclysm to leave the European

:32:52. > :32:55.Union, why was the Prime Minister saying a few months ago that he

:32:56. > :32:59.might, if the negotiation did not go right, recommend we leave the

:33:00. > :33:08.European Union. You didn't believe that! If it is such a cataclysm to

:33:09. > :33:12.leave the EU, why has the government risked a referendum? Because they

:33:13. > :33:17.were frightened Nigel was gang to take a lot of their votes. That is

:33:18. > :33:22.probably true. The government is either being insincere or

:33:23. > :33:28.irresponsible, or both. How does the rest of the world survive outside

:33:29. > :33:33.the EU? It is remarkable, isn't it? Switzerland appears to be doing

:33:34. > :33:39.rather well. And has more free trade deals than we do negotiated on its

:33:40. > :33:46.own behalf. Is the referendum playing into Ukip's position or

:33:47. > :33:50.status? It is not doing any harm. I am pretty confident Ukip will win

:33:51. > :33:55.seats in the Scottish parliament, the Northern Irish assembly, the

:33:56. > :33:59.Welsh Assembly and in London. What about the Greens? I think many

:34:00. > :34:04.people are seeing us as anti-UKIP, which is to our benefit. If we go

:34:05. > :34:08.back to the by-election before the general election, we first heard

:34:09. > :34:12.that. The fact that we are an opposite sides in the referendum,

:34:13. > :34:17.and we celebrate the freedom of movement in the EU as enriching the

:34:18. > :34:24.possibility of our lives, as against Ukip, yes. It is late, so you can be

:34:25. > :34:28.honest because nobody is watching. Is it true that after the referendum

:34:29. > :34:32.you are going to rebrand and relaunch your party? When I was in

:34:33. > :34:37.business I work for a small firm, it happy place, which was taken over by

:34:38. > :34:43.a bigger company and became different. The whole modus operandi

:34:44. > :34:47.had to change. Ukip is basically run by volunteers who volunteered to be

:34:48. > :34:52.elected onto a NEC, and they run the party, choose the candidates, do the

:34:53. > :34:56.discipline. That was fine. We now have to have a professional

:34:57. > :35:00.management board, and I think the model where we send money, get them

:35:01. > :35:09.on the ship card we hold in our wallets is just old hat. -- get a

:35:10. > :35:13.membership card. Italy has proved a completely different approach to

:35:14. > :35:17.politics and that is where Ukip needs to go. I am going to ask you a

:35:18. > :35:22.question Natalie Bennett, which you can answer in one word, yes, no or

:35:23. > :35:28.maybe. Are you going to stand for real election as leader of the

:35:29. > :35:34.Greens? I am entirely focused on the elections. Yes, no or maybe? I will

:35:35. > :35:38.think about that after the elections, which is what the people

:35:39. > :35:42.out there listening now will be focused on. That is what we are all

:35:43. > :35:49.focused on. We should be focused on that and the referendum. Yes, no or

:35:50. > :35:51.maybe? I will be deciding after the election. I know when I am beaten.

:35:52. > :35:53.Thank you, Bob. Now, here on This Week we like to

:35:54. > :35:57.think of ourselves as TV royalty. And for many years Michael

:35:58. > :35:59.and Diane reigned supreme as the king and queen of late-night

:36:00. > :36:01.political small-talk. Benign small-screen monarchs,

:36:02. > :36:03.who embodied the very soul But now that Diane has abdicated

:36:04. > :36:06.from serious politics and joined the Shadow Cabinet,

:36:07. > :36:09.Michael is left all alone a modern-day Princess

:36:10. > :36:12.Diana at the Taj Mahal, And that's why we've

:36:13. > :36:17.decided to put the monarchy In case you missed it,

:36:18. > :36:35.Her Maj has turned 90. She's the nation's oldest ever

:36:36. > :36:37.and longest reigning sovereign. So has her longevity helped preserve

:36:38. > :36:40.the monarchy's popularity Reluctant royal or man

:36:41. > :36:47.who would be King? Wills has been following his

:36:48. > :36:50.mother's footsteps this week, but some ask whether he'll prove

:36:51. > :36:53.to be a people's prince and how much responsibility the second in line

:36:54. > :36:59.to the throne really craves. Duty can sort of weigh you down

:37:00. > :37:02.an awful lot at a very early age and I think you've got

:37:03. > :37:07.to develop into the duty role. The Prime Minister might have led

:37:08. > :37:11.Parliament's tributes to the boss on her birthday but were all eyes

:37:12. > :37:14.actually on the man who refused to sing God Save the Queen last

:37:15. > :37:17.year, Republican Whatever different views people

:37:18. > :37:22.across this country have about the institution,

:37:23. > :37:26.the vast majority share an opinion that Her Majesty's served this

:37:27. > :37:30.country and has overwhelming support with a clear sense of public service

:37:31. > :37:35.and public duty. She is certainly flying the Royal

:37:36. > :37:38.standard and Katherine Jenkins will be singing at the Queen's

:37:39. > :37:40.birthday celebrations So as an eventful life

:37:41. > :37:45.enters its tenth decade, should we all bow down

:37:46. > :38:02.and give our thanks? We are joined by Katherine Jenkins.

:38:03. > :38:10.Welcome to the programme. You are singing for the Queen again. Has she

:38:11. > :38:14.got you on speed dial? It is always such an honour and a huge thing to

:38:15. > :38:19.be asked to be part of the birthday celebrations. I have known for a

:38:20. > :38:23.year, because it has been planned for quite a long time. It will be

:38:24. > :38:29.held on the grounds of Windsor Castle. You will be singing there,

:38:30. > :38:33.in the open air? I think it will be an open-air show with the music and

:38:34. > :38:43.pageantry of the Windsor horse show. It will be quite a spectacle. Are

:38:44. > :38:46.you a royalist? I am. My mum and my late grandmother are huge royal

:38:47. > :38:52.fans. I remember going on holiday to the Isle of Wight, and the Royal

:38:53. > :38:55.yacht was going to be passing and my mum was so excited. We had to rush

:38:56. > :39:04.to the beach to be able to see this. On the horizon. Huge fans. Not long

:39:05. > :39:10.ago, in the 1990s, the royal family was under some pressure. But it

:39:11. > :39:18.seems to have escaped from that. When you look at the younger royals,

:39:19. > :39:22.who you have sunk to as well, is the future in good hands? I think there

:39:23. > :39:28.is a lot of goodwill towards the royal family, especially when you

:39:29. > :39:34.look at the work ethic of the Queen, and the dedication, the energy she

:39:35. > :39:37.puts in. My experience has always been that she is informed, has

:39:38. > :39:44.something to say to everybody and has a great sense of humour. I think

:39:45. > :39:48.that comes across. Of course, the younger royals are somebody that my

:39:49. > :39:55.generation look up to as well. Do you get to speak to her when you do

:39:56. > :39:58.the singing? When you do the Royal variety performance, all of the

:39:59. > :40:07.performers line-up and there is a brief shake hands. Does she ever put

:40:08. > :40:12.in a request? No. I surprised, as we head into the 21st-century, and as

:40:13. > :40:16.we were ending the last century republican sentiment had risen, the

:40:17. > :40:26.Queen talked about her horrible year. And yet the monarchy seems as

:40:27. > :40:30.strong as ever. I was always a Republican and in the midst of Mrs

:40:31. > :40:34.Thatcher abolishing the GLC I got a phone call from Buckingham Palace,

:40:35. > :40:39.saying that the Queen would want to open the Thames Barrier. I thought,

:40:40. > :40:46.that will Peers Thatcher. She did that. But you are still a

:40:47. > :40:49.Republican? The trouble is, what do you have in place? Do you have an

:40:50. > :40:56.election between former prime ministers, celebrities? I think the

:40:57. > :41:00.Queen has been magnificent. She has genuinely serve the country. If I

:41:01. > :41:04.was to make a case for republicanism, it is people like the

:41:05. > :41:09.youngsters. Prince Charles grew up and we read in the papers about his

:41:10. > :41:13.exam results, his early dates. If you are going to have a royal

:41:14. > :41:20.family, the kids should be kept out of that publicity. I think we have

:41:21. > :41:23.just seen the convert of a Republican, Mr Portillo. And he is

:41:24. > :41:29.following big business on the European Union. It has been an

:41:30. > :41:35.interesting evening. RU surprised by the strength of the monarchy these

:41:36. > :41:40.days? I am a bit but I do not think it has happened by accident. It has

:41:41. > :41:43.been an effort by the Queen and Prince William, who have rescued the

:41:44. > :41:50.situation into which they had got by 1997. Amongst the many remarkable

:41:51. > :41:54.things that have happened are that they have turned it around. Remember

:41:55. > :42:00.some of the extraordinary thing is the Queen has done. I would pick out

:42:01. > :42:05.in particular her role in the Irish peace process. Also as Head of the

:42:06. > :42:13.Commonwealth. You can't tell us what you are going to sing on the night?

:42:14. > :42:18.It is top secret. I will tell you afterwards. Excellent. You are going

:42:19. > :42:31.to sing for us tonight. The national anthem. I think it is apt for today.

:42:32. > :42:32.We have put the words on-screen for you, can, in case there is a

:42:33. > :42:39.problem. # You can't give me the dreams

:42:40. > :44:06.that are mine anyway # I've been lost, I've been found

:44:07. > :44:25.but I don't feel down