05/07/2012

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:00:04. > :00:14.an international moratorium but hunting for researchers allowed.

:00:14. > :00:14.

:00:15. > :00:21.Time for bold business report. -- World Business Report.

:00:21. > :00:25.Welcome. The headlines: The euro falls and Asian stocks rise in

:00:25. > :00:30.anticipation of a rate cut from the European Central Bank. A crucial

:00:30. > :00:39.test for Ireland as it returns to the market for its first auction in

:00:39. > :00:42.nearly two years. Europe's sinking economy and

:00:42. > :00:46.struggling banks could get some help today from an interest rate

:00:46. > :00:56.cut by the European Central Bank. Economists think it will reduce

:00:56. > :00:56.

:00:56. > :01:05.rates by at least 0.25. On Tuesday, the rising expectation of a rate

:01:05. > :01:09.cut helped lift stock markets in Europe, which have been rallying.

:01:09. > :01:17.The European Central Bank is likely to hold off for more -- from more

:01:17. > :01:25.aggressive measures. I'm joined by a currency analyst. A

:01:25. > :01:29.rate cut is expected today. By how much? Most likely it will be cut

:01:29. > :01:37.0.25 of their Prasad. There is some talk that they could do twice that

:01:37. > :01:44.and take the key interest-rate down 0.5%. But they tend to be very slow

:01:44. > :01:49.and cautious. Why are they doing this now? And many have been

:01:49. > :01:53.calling for them to do this. Is it a sign that Germany is slowing

:01:53. > :01:58.down? I think that is the case. There have been signed within the

:01:58. > :02:03.German economy that we are starting to see a slowdown in industry. And

:02:03. > :02:11.there is the long-term downward drag from the eurozone crisis.

:02:12. > :02:18.Should they have gone earlier? I think they should have. Should they

:02:18. > :02:25.do more this time? I think so. We have to remember that these prices

:02:25. > :02:29.are in the margins. There is a need to get interest rates down to make

:02:29. > :02:34.life easier and help deal with the austerity measures. I think they

:02:34. > :02:42.should do more than they will. it make their life easier? Rates

:02:42. > :02:49.are already very low. Willie cut make a big difference to Spain,

:02:49. > :02:55.Italy, Greece? It could make a modest difference. People are

:02:55. > :02:59.paying more on mortgages. That is if it is passed on. Absolutely. If

:02:59. > :03:05.it is passed on, it will make a minor cut. More generally, there is

:03:05. > :03:09.a need to get to the idea of quantitative easing. Making money

:03:09. > :03:15.cheaper by printing more money. That is what we need in these

:03:15. > :03:22.countries. Will it led to inflation in Germany? Possibly. But inflation

:03:22. > :03:27.is at low levels. What the ECB go down that road? They have done the

:03:27. > :03:33.long-term refinancing operation. Those cheap loans issued last year

:03:33. > :03:37.and February this year. That was taken up massively. It seemed to to

:03:37. > :03:43.get us away from the crisis in the banking sector. But we're back in

:03:43. > :03:51.it with Spain. D think this is something they will consider?

:03:51. > :03:58.think it is. I saw the All tiara is being an indirect version of one to

:03:58. > :04:06.take it easing any way. I have no problem whether they do a third

:04:06. > :04:12.operation on the other one. -- or quantitative easing. We need to get

:04:12. > :04:17.more money into the system. Bank of England decision on

:04:17. > :04:24.interest rates is unlikely to do anything. Will we see more money

:04:24. > :04:29.pumped in? More wanted to be easing from the UK? I think we will.

:04:29. > :04:32.Probably �50 billion this afternoon. We had a lot of signs in minutes

:04:32. > :04:37.from the last meeting. The difference between you and the UK

:04:37. > :04:41.and the eurozone is that we are a nation that can make the decision

:04:41. > :04:51.quickly. The eurozone has 17 nations. Much more difficult to

:04:51. > :04:58.come to a decision. Thank you. Let's move on to Ireland. It has

:04:58. > :05:02.been two years since it was forced to ask for a bank bail-out. Today,

:05:03. > :05:09.we will find out if it has regained the confidence of market with its

:05:09. > :05:13.first debt sale in over 1.5 years. Ireland is aiming to sell treasury

:05:13. > :05:20.bills. Ireland is making a cautious mood

:05:20. > :05:24.towards regaining the trust of bond investors. When it sells $629

:05:24. > :05:27.million of Treasury bills, marking the country's first auction since

:05:27. > :05:33.it was locked out of international capital markets two years ago. At

:05:33. > :05:36.the height of the banking crisis, the Irish government was forced to

:05:36. > :05:42.turn to the Europe and International Monetary Fund.

:05:42. > :05:45.Investors refused to bear -- lend it any more money. If it is to

:05:45. > :05:51.avoid a second bail out, the government needs to be able to fund

:05:51. > :05:56.itself from the bond market. The kind here you and IMF loans will

:05:56. > :06:01.expire next year. Irish yields have declined after you lenders --

:06:01. > :06:05.European lenders are great that bail out funds will be able to

:06:05. > :06:12.recapitalise banks directly. Ireland's, and once this policy to

:06:12. > :06:17.apply retrospectively to its lenders. The average performance in

:06:17. > :06:24.terms of digging their way out of the whole they were in it is the

:06:24. > :06:27.most impressive. There are still with the bombs in the road. The

:06:27. > :06:35.economic environment globally is not terribly promising of the next

:06:35. > :06:41.six months. That might delay some of the ability of the Irish public

:06:41. > :06:44.finances to look in better shape. The movies at the mercy of investor

:06:44. > :06:54.sentiment towards the recession. Any setback in Spain, Italy or

:06:54. > :06:56.

:06:56. > :07:00.Greece could have the potential to sour sentiment.

:07:00. > :07:04.Some of the British MPs who questioned the former Chief

:07:04. > :07:08.Executive of Barclays Bank over- rate fixing have now question the

:07:08. > :07:11.possibility of his evidence. The chairman of the Treasury Select

:07:11. > :07:14.Committee and several other members have called into question the

:07:14. > :07:22.answers given by Bob Diamond during the three-hour session in

:07:22. > :07:29.parliament yesterday. There will be a parliamentary inquiry into

:07:29. > :07:37.banking following the scandal. It was surprising that Bob Diamond

:07:37. > :07:44.said he knew nothing about the rate fixing until a month ago.

:07:44. > :07:54.The 50.1 % stake in poor show remaining will be bought. -- in

:07:54. > :07:59.

:07:59. > :08:04.poor shot. Volkswagen will pay $5.6 billion to acquire the stake.

:08:04. > :08:10.The former head of France Telecom has been put under formal

:08:10. > :08:15.investigation for harassment. It relates to the suicides of over 30

:08:15. > :08:19.employees and 2008 and 2009 when he was in charge and presided over an

:08:19. > :08:22.efficiency drive in which tens of thousands of jobs were cut. Many of

:08:22. > :08:27.those who killed themselves left notes blaming pressure from

:08:27. > :08:33.management. He wrote that restructuring of the company may

:08:33. > :08:38.have upset employees but challenged the idea that it caused suicides.

:08:38. > :08:45.He was forced to step down in 2010. In Spain, authorities have opened a

:08:45. > :08:48.court case against former executives of Bankia. 33 officials

:08:48. > :08:54.are named in the lawsuit, which includes the former chief of the

:08:54. > :09:04.IMF. The case accuses them of fraud, price-fixing and falsifying

:09:04. > :09:06.

:09:06. > :09:11.accounts. Many Spaniards arrive happy with Bankia.

:09:11. > :09:17.The markets today are having their first day of declines for Asia in

:09:17. > :09:25.seven days. Asia has had six days of gains, probably the best of this

:09:25. > :09:28.year. There have been up most though this week on the expectation

:09:28. > :09:33.that the European Central Bank will cut rates today. But also that

:09:33. > :09:43.Chinese banks would be allowed to reduce their capital reserve ratios

:09:43. > :09:45.