03/05/2013

Download Subtitles

Transcript

:00:22. > :00:26.an all-time low. 82 years old, but is he still going

:00:26. > :00:29.strong? Warren Barford hosts investors for their annual meeting

:00:29. > :00:35.and that questions about his company's performance and who will

:00:35. > :00:38.replace him. Plus, our Washington spending cuts

:00:38. > :00:48.are undermining America's economic coverage. Markets await key

:00:48. > :00:53.

:00:53. > :00:58.Also coming up: India's central banks poised to cut the cost of

:00:58. > :01:02.borrowing again. We will have the latest from Asia.

:01:02. > :01:09.We start with this man, the Oracle of Burma. In the once -- words of

:01:09. > :01:14.one rival, the single greatest stock investor of all time. Today,

:01:14. > :01:19.some 35,000 shareholders in his company are making their way to his

:01:19. > :01:23.hometown for their annual investor weekend, which he calls the

:01:23. > :01:29.Woodstock for capitalists. His company is bust, with 80

:01:29. > :01:34.subsidiaries from insurance to railways. It has a market value of

:01:34. > :01:39.some $262 billion. Its share prices of some 30% since last year's

:01:39. > :01:43.meeting and is expected to report higher earnings today. However,

:01:43. > :01:49.over the last four years, that share price has underperformed the

:01:49. > :01:57.broader S&P 500. Some investors are concerned that the company is not

:01:57. > :02:01.what it once was. The Oracle of Omagh. Worth more

:02:01. > :02:09.than $50 billion, he is one of the richest people in the world. Just

:02:09. > :02:15.one share of his company is worth about $160,000. To many he is also

:02:15. > :02:21.pretty inspiring. I think it will be awesome to meet him. This woman

:02:21. > :02:25.will get to do just that later this month. If she jumps in the Paul and

:02:25. > :02:35.something happens to her, maybe she hit her head or she cannot swim any

:02:35. > :02:35.

:02:35. > :02:39.more, an alarm will sound like this, and we will be a would take her out.

:02:40. > :02:44.Sponsoring a contest to encourage students' interesting business, her

:02:44. > :02:48.project has won her an audience with the savvy investor. I would

:02:48. > :02:55.definitely ask him how he is so successful and how he thinks that

:02:55. > :03:00.our generation can improve the state of the economy. Warren but it

:03:00. > :03:05.can also take inspiration from young people. On Thursday he joined

:03:05. > :03:11.Twitter and in just two hours he had more than $100,000. Some of his

:03:11. > :03:15.most recent investments are instantly recognisable to teenagers.

:03:15. > :03:19.Ketchup and baked beans, his takeover of Heinz earlier this year

:03:19. > :03:26.was the biggest deal ever in the food industry. The last decade has

:03:26. > :03:29.not been easy for his company. Comparing its performance to US

:03:29. > :03:33.market, this occasion untempered growth. I think that he still has

:03:33. > :03:37.this iconic reputation, but the reality is hears mortal like the

:03:37. > :03:41.rest of us. His performance has certainly been the performance of a

:03:41. > :03:45.mortal in recent years and people are starting to think of the bigger

:03:45. > :03:50.picture of what happens from here. At 82 and being treated for

:03:50. > :03:55.prostate cancer, people are now asking who will replace him. He

:03:55. > :04:05.says he has a plan, but some wonder if the company will be the same

:04:05. > :04:05.

:04:05. > :04:08.without the sage guiding the ship. Let's stay with the US and the big

:04:08. > :04:14.focus of financial markets will be what comes out of the US Labour

:04:14. > :04:18.debate -- Labor Department in just a few hours' time. Official job

:04:18. > :04:25.numbers are expected to show US employers are stepped up their

:04:25. > :04:30.hiring in April. Estimates are for 145,000 new jobs in the US in April.

:04:30. > :04:34.That would be a big improvement over the week 88,000 added in March.

:04:34. > :04:44.But it is way off the figures for February, whether hiring hit

:04:44. > :04:47.

:04:47. > :04:51.268,000. Do you think these figures show that quantitive easing doesn't

:04:51. > :04:54.really help boost of the real economy? I don't think they do

:04:54. > :05:00.because we don't know the counter affects all what would have

:05:00. > :05:05.happened if we didn't have it. Suddenly, the Fed itself as some

:05:05. > :05:09.analysis that shows that bond yields have come down, which makes

:05:09. > :05:12.it cheaper for banks to make loans to individuals. It is not

:05:12. > :05:16.necessarily the case that loans are being made in all the areas where

:05:16. > :05:23.they need to be made but it certainly has been part of the

:05:23. > :05:26.process that has led to the US economy continuing to grow. Back to

:05:26. > :05:32.base -- to slow lipase though. Are we beginning to see the negative

:05:32. > :05:40.impact of fiscal tightening? It has been in place since the end of the

:05:40. > :05:45.big downturn in two dozen date, 2009. The banks have been winding

:05:45. > :05:53.down their largesse. The latest round of fiscal tightening is

:05:53. > :05:58.certainly coming at a very bad time because it is going to crimp any

:05:58. > :06:01.recovery in the economy. It is one of many had and still can front in

:06:01. > :06:08.the US which makes it look like they are going to keep its easing

:06:08. > :06:13.policy in place. The US economy grew at a rate of 2.5% in the first

:06:14. > :06:17.quarter, but do you expect that rate of growth to remain?

:06:17. > :06:25.cannot really just the number because prior to that we had a 0.3%

:06:25. > :06:29.it. It was effectively stalled. That is not enough to even Paul

:06:29. > :06:34.unemployment down substantially. were talking earlier about the fact

:06:34. > :06:38.that the company is releasing its results later today. It is such a

:06:38. > :06:41.large, diversified investment house that in many ways you could argue

:06:41. > :06:47.that it is representative of the US economy and it is expecting to

:06:47. > :06:51.report a profit increase. Would you say that it is perhaps

:06:51. > :06:59.representative of what we have seen elsewhere? US firms are reporting

:06:59. > :07:03.profit increases or at least beating expectations. One of the

:07:03. > :07:06.reasons is that the stock markets have been doing really well.

:07:06. > :07:09.Another is the liquidity being pumped into the system around the

:07:09. > :07:17.world. Just because the companies are doing well, it doesn't mean

:07:17. > :07:19.that the countries are doing well. Companies can source activity from

:07:20. > :07:25.anywhere in the world. American- based companies might be struggling

:07:25. > :07:35.in some sectors. Are you going to follow Warren Barton on Twitter?

:07:35. > :07:38.

:07:38. > :07:43.actually joined on Wednesday, the Let's see what is moving the

:07:43. > :07:50.markets over in Asia this Friday. India widely expected to cut the

:07:50. > :07:58.cost of borrowing in the next hour or so. What more do you have for

:07:58. > :08:05.Investors will be following what India does with its monetary policy.

:08:05. > :08:09.Economists in the central bank seemed to first have diverse views

:08:09. > :08:14.on the cost of borrowing. The central bank is expected to reduce

:08:14. > :08:19.rates. It is expected to help the economy from its slowest growth in

:08:19. > :08:23.a decade. The bank is hinting that it may keep them on hold, saying it

:08:23. > :08:27.sees a very limited room to ease monetary policy even further amid

:08:27. > :08:30.an environment of higher consumer price inflation and a current

:08:30. > :08:34.account deficit well above sustainable levels, which limits

:08:34. > :08:40.the space for monetary policy to support growth. It is a decision

:08:40. > :08:44.that will be made in a few hours' time. Moving to China and there are

:08:44. > :08:49.signs that a recovery in the economy remains modest and still

:08:49. > :08:55.faces many risks. The expansion in month of April with the purchasing

:08:55. > :08:59.managing index for the non- manufacturing sector falling to

:08:59. > :09:02.54.5 from 55.6 in March. Slowing growth and services showed that

:09:02. > :09:08.subdued expansion in manufacturing has began to feed through the rest

:09:08. > :09:16.of the economy. The services industry has so far weathered the

:09:17. > :09:20.global slowdown much better than the factories.

:09:20. > :09:23.The royal bed of Scotland reports burning shortly. It is expected to

:09:23. > :09:27.have made a quarterly profit for the first time in 18 months. It has

:09:27. > :09:35.been trying to move away from the high risk investments that led to

:09:35. > :09:38.the bail-out by the UK taxpayer in 2008. It could report profits of

:09:38. > :09:41.around $1 billion, but at the current share price, the British