30/12/2013

Download Subtitles

Transcript

:00:00. > :00:00.Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News. Now for the latest

:00:00. > :00:17.financial news with World Business Report.

:00:18. > :00:22.It's been a stellar year for equity markets with Japan's Nikkei

:00:23. > :00:29.outshining its peers, but what will 2014 bring? We get the view of a

:00:30. > :00:33.market expert. Fewer but bigger airlines - that

:00:34. > :00:36.seems to be the model for Europe's airspace. The process could start in

:00:37. > :00:46.the new year. We have a special report.

:00:47. > :00:52.Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock. Also in the

:00:53. > :00:54.programme: As European governments look to encourage entrepreneurs we

:00:55. > :00:58.focus on the role venture capital has to play.

:00:59. > :01:02.We've come to that part of the year when it is time to look back and

:01:03. > :01:08.reflect on what 2013 was like for financial markets. And it's been a

:01:09. > :01:14.bumper year for most of the world's stock markets. In the US, the Dow

:01:15. > :01:18.jones industrial average is up 26% so far this year, and the tech heavy

:01:19. > :01:24.Nasdaq is doing even better, it's gained 38%. But that is nothing

:01:25. > :01:29.compared to Tokyo's Nikkei, which sees its last trading day for the

:01:30. > :01:32.year today. The index has surged more 56% over the last 12 months,

:01:33. > :01:39.its best annual performance since 1972. But one of the best performing

:01:40. > :01:45.markets of 2013 is Dubai, where the index soared 102%. Overall the

:01:46. > :01:51.biggest disappointment has probably been China, where markets have been

:01:52. > :02:01.stagnant at best. With me is Louise Cooper, market

:02:02. > :02:03.analyst at Cooper City. I would imagine anyone who is put

:02:04. > :02:05.money into sharemarket at the beginning of the year are rubbing

:02:06. > :02:09.their hand at the moment, depending on which one. Tell us why these

:02:10. > :02:15.markets have done so well? First of all, the world 's economically is a

:02:16. > :02:19.much better place than it was 12 month ago. The UK has recovered

:02:20. > :02:24.significantly. Much better-than-expected. Even the

:02:25. > :02:30.Eurozone is now back on the track to recovery. Celibate behind the UK.

:02:31. > :02:35.The US, the economic recovery is well on track there. Globally, if

:02:36. > :02:40.you look at global forecasts for GDP, they are looking a lot better

:02:41. > :02:43.now than they were a year ago. It is interesting, I did not mention the

:02:44. > :02:52.European markets, but they have done well as well. It would seem that the

:02:53. > :02:58.developed economies and markets have done better, and share markets have

:02:59. > :03:03.outshone bond markets. We have had a 30 year boom market for bonds,

:03:04. > :03:08.record low interest rates. The price of a bond goes up as interest rates

:03:09. > :03:12.go down. With an economic recovery, we will see interest rates going up,

:03:13. > :03:16.which means bond prices will fall. It is the stage in the cycle where

:03:17. > :03:22.bonds should underperform. Equity should overperformed. It is very

:03:23. > :03:30.interesting. It has been the year of the fightback for the developed

:03:31. > :03:35.world. After years of financial crises, the developed world has been

:03:36. > :03:39.amassed. This is the year where we fight back. The developing markets

:03:40. > :03:45.are down this year. The developed world, prices were up. Even Europe,

:03:46. > :03:50.will sit a great performance as the state, but still up 15 to the

:03:51. > :04:00.present. Not the 30% we saw the states, but a good return. Quickly,

:04:01. > :04:04.what about Twitter 14? -- 2014. There are some trends that will

:04:05. > :04:08.continue. Better growth will drive stock prices higher, it will help

:04:09. > :04:12.companies. At the end of the day, companies are exposed to growth.

:04:13. > :04:16.Companies should do well, their profits will do well. It should

:04:17. > :04:20.drive prices. This is the beginning of the end of the bull market for

:04:21. > :04:25.bonds. I would not be involved in the bond market sometime. The big

:04:26. > :04:34.question is Japan, with the stunning performance of the Nick Cave last

:04:35. > :04:38.year, -- Nick Cave, can Abenomics continue to drive vehicle it

:04:39. > :04:45.forward. Is the economy turned the corner? Thank you. We will talk to

:04:46. > :04:48.the newspaper headlines shortly. In Japan and how the new sales tax

:04:49. > :04:49.kicking in the early in the New Year.

:04:50. > :04:53.Entrepreneurs and their new companies are often seen as the best

:04:54. > :04:56.way to drive economic growth for a country and generate new jobs. In

:04:57. > :05:03.fact, currently in Europe there are nearly 9,000 startup companies which

:05:04. > :05:06.employ over 750,000 people. But for an entrepreneur to turn a product

:05:07. > :05:09.idea into reality, he or she often faces the hard decision of opting

:05:10. > :05:16.for help from venture capital investors or retaining full

:05:17. > :05:18.ownership of their companies. Chloe Hayward went to meet two

:05:19. > :05:34.entrepreneurs to find out how venture capital money changed their

:05:35. > :05:39.business prospects. Meet Rowlands, and his invention. 14

:05:40. > :05:41.years ago he was a monk, today he is on the road to becoming a

:05:42. > :05:49.millionaire with his new musical instruments. The complete lack of

:05:50. > :05:56.piano that you can play it like a piano. You can bend the pitch by

:05:57. > :06:01.moving along rows. Thanks to an investment of a few hundred thousand

:06:02. > :06:05.dollars, he has been able to hire 30 staff and fine-tune his product. As

:06:06. > :06:10.a first time entrepreneur, I felt like I was underground, digging

:06:11. > :06:14.furiously. I did going was going in the right direction. Having a

:06:15. > :06:19.venture capital firm coming, they give you a periscope to see the

:06:20. > :06:24.larger world, to understand that you are digging in the right direction.

:06:25. > :06:28.Why was an unproven product and an unproven entrepreneur worth

:06:29. > :06:36.investing in? You have to take risks if you are looking for returns of

:06:37. > :06:41.50, 100 times your money. All the ones we invest in, it is about one

:06:42. > :06:50.in ten that the ball out of the park and returns a lot of money to fund.

:06:51. > :06:56.Not all investments are as risky. In Twitter -- in 2012, this company

:06:57. > :07:00.received $16 million from venture capital firms. This company, the

:07:01. > :07:06.terms private homes and short-term hotels, now employs 200 people and

:07:07. > :07:10.is expanding around the world. Claims can rent homes like this one

:07:11. > :07:15.in London, but can also book short-term stays in Paris, Los

:07:16. > :07:18.Angeles, and New York. That is all thanks to venture capital

:07:19. > :07:23.investments. Venture capital money comes with strings attached. The

:07:24. > :07:27.price you pay when you raise money from third parties is that you give

:07:28. > :07:31.up some control, you give up some of the returns of the company is sold

:07:32. > :07:45.or goes public. It can also mean you make better decisions. Sometimes an

:07:46. > :07:52.out site influence can be guiding. That is the goal. If a company does

:07:53. > :07:58.listed shares, early investors will make millions. That is how a monk

:07:59. > :08:06.could become a millionaire in a few short years.

:08:07. > :08:11.We are just going to update you on a story that has been breaking in this

:08:12. > :08:15.last half-hour. An explosion on a trolley bus in the Russian city of

:08:16. > :08:20.Volgograd. It has killed at least ten people. That is why we are

:08:21. > :08:26.hearing. We have some pictures to share with you of these events. They

:08:27. > :08:31.have just come in to us. The blast comes only one day after 17 people

:08:32. > :08:37.were killed in a suicide bomb attack at the Central Station in the city.

:08:38. > :08:41.The explosions have fuelled security concerns ahead of February's Winter

:08:42. > :08:47.Olympics and Sochi. The venue was close to the volatile North caucuses

:08:48. > :08:51.region. It is something we will be discussing in more detail during the

:08:52. > :08:57.paper review. Those are the latest features of the attack. Last

:08:58. > :09:00.October, one of Europe's best-known airlines, the former flag carrier of

:09:01. > :09:07.Greece - Olympic - fell into the hands of its rival, Aegean. The

:09:08. > :09:10.question that everyone in the airline world is asking is whether

:09:11. > :09:12.this could mark the start of a series of further mergers and

:09:13. > :09:17.acquisitions amongst Europe's airlines. Some think that profits in

:09:18. > :09:19.the industry are so thin that companies desperately need to

:09:20. > :09:22.consolidate. They're hoping that 2014 will be the year that the

:09:23. > :09:38.process starts. Jeremy Howell has this report. It was three years ago

:09:39. > :09:41.when there was a buyout of Olympic. Finally, last October, the European

:09:42. > :09:47.commission approved the deal on competition grounds. Olympic and

:09:48. > :09:52.Aegean is the tip of a relatively decrepit iceberg. There are several

:09:53. > :09:58.other larger carriers in Europe that have no economic rights to be in

:09:59. > :10:03.business. They are all the so-called legacy of national flag carriers,

:10:04. > :10:08.with the support of government and national interests. An Italian

:10:09. > :10:11.airline was rescued from collapse when the Italian government

:10:12. > :10:17.persuaded private investors to pay off its $1.5 billion debts. It is

:10:18. > :10:23.fast running out of cash again. A front is considering whether to buy

:10:24. > :10:27.it out. A Scandinavian carrier is facing competition from low-cost

:10:28. > :10:32.carriers. They may be a takeover target. The airline's lobby group is

:10:33. > :10:36.urging the European commission to let deals like this go ahead

:10:37. > :10:40.quickly. Our advice to regulators would be to let the market decide,

:10:41. > :10:45.don't drag your feeds a long and we believe it is ridiculous, the way

:10:46. > :10:52.that the regulators are looking at potential mergers and acquisitions.

:10:53. > :11:03.In recent years, three large airline groups have emerged in Europe. IAG,

:11:04. > :11:10.the air France, KLM alliance, and Lufthansa. They have Twitter percent

:11:11. > :11:15.of the continent's and market. In the USA, the three biggest airlines

:11:16. > :11:23.have 80% of the market. There is scope in more consolidation. It may

:11:24. > :11:27.push up fares. We may see an upward drift in prices. Large carriers will

:11:28. > :11:35.face that downward pressure from low-cost carriers. They will keep

:11:36. > :11:39.the big boys honest. The stage is set for the big boys of European air

:11:40. > :11:46.travel to start snapping up smaller, weaker rivals. It may take some time

:11:47. > :11:50.before they act. That is because groups like Lufthansa and IAG have

:11:51. > :11:54.their hands full sorting out the problems of airlines they already

:11:55. > :12:03.own. They may hesitate before deciding to take on more.

:12:04. > :12:13.Now that is World Business Report. See you soon.

:12:14. > :12:17.Overseas visitors and migrants are set to face controversial new

:12:18. > :12:22.charges for some NHS services in England. Ministers say they're keen

:12:23. > :12:28.to clamp down on any abuse of the system, but doctors have expressed

:12:29. > :12:36.concerns. Here's our health correspondent, Adam Brimelow.

:12:37. > :12:40.The NHS is free for ordinary UK residents. Some doctors have warned

:12:41. > :12:41.that new checks to see