12/02/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.visits to a resort in the North. Those are the latest headlines from

:00:00. > :00:00.BBC World News. Now for the latest financial news with World Business

:00:00. > :00:24.Report. Back in business, Chinese trade

:00:25. > :00:30.grows at a much faster pace than expected. Were the fears of a

:00:31. > :00:33.slowdown exaggerated? And all eyes on the governor of the Bank of

:00:34. > :00:37.England as he gets ready to evolve his controversial forward guidance.

:00:38. > :00:48.But will we have a better clue as to when interest rates will go up?

:00:49. > :00:52.Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock. In a minute,

:00:53. > :00:54.we'll also hear how the EU is planning to implement its

:00:55. > :01:05.controversial emissions trading scheme for airlines. But first, at

:01:06. > :01:08.last some good news from China about its economy. There's been a surprise

:01:09. > :01:11.spike in exports and imports in January. In fact shipments of goods

:01:12. > :01:13.overseas grew by 10% when compared to the year before. That's far

:01:14. > :01:16.better than most economists predicted. This is the first bit of

:01:17. > :01:19.encouraging news about the world's second largest economy for some time

:01:20. > :01:23.and has added to the feel good factor on financial markets. Rico

:01:24. > :01:36.Hizon is in our Asia Business hub in Singapore. Some good news from

:01:37. > :01:53.China. Is it a trend or a blip? That is the question. There are? -- two

:01:54. > :02:09.sides. This should allay fears that the economy is rolling down --

:02:10. > :02:18.slowing down. China may overtake the United States to be the world's

:02:19. > :02:28.largest importer. But some economists are worrying about the

:02:29. > :02:35.credibility of the data. There might be some round tripping trade between

:02:36. > :02:44.Hong Kong and China. There have also been mixed signals in the economy.

:02:45. > :02:57.There has been a slowing factory at liberty. -- activity. This has made

:02:58. > :03:07.some investors nervous. At the moment, there is boosted confidence.

:03:08. > :03:11.We will have to wait and see if this growth can be sustained and if it is

:03:12. > :03:17.consistent with the other growth in January. It will be interesting to

:03:18. > :03:27.see what growth we will see from the mainland. Thank you. At the end of

:03:28. > :03:38.the programme, I will talk to about how other markets are suggesting

:03:39. > :03:41.this news. -- digesting. Yesterday, all eyes were on Janet Yellen, as

:03:42. > :03:44.she made her first appearance before congress as Fed Chairwoman. What she

:03:45. > :03:47.had to say about the US economy and the central banks role in

:03:48. > :03:49.withdrawing stimulus gave markets around the world a boost. Will Mark

:03:50. > :03:52.Carney, the relatively newly appointed head of the UK central

:03:53. > :03:55.bank, have the same effect today? The Bank of England governor is set

:03:56. > :03:58.to overhaul his flagship forward guidance policy on interest rates

:03:59. > :04:02.after just six months. The governor had linked a rate rise to a fall in

:04:03. > :04:04.unemployment, but the policy is being reviewed after the jobless

:04:05. > :04:07.level fell faster than expected. The changes will come as Mr Carney

:04:08. > :04:11.delivers the bank's latest Inflation Report on the UK economy. With me is

:04:12. > :04:21.Rob Wood, UK economist at Berenberg Bank. What will he say? He will say

:04:22. > :04:34.that interest rates will go up, but they will go up gradually. When he

:04:35. > :04:38.talked about that six months ago. Other people thought it was

:04:39. > :04:45.fantastic. Was it a bad decision to talk about it? I think it was a

:04:46. > :04:56.mistake because the economy has turned around. Unemployment has come

:04:57. > :05:02.down very fast. The ability of the economy to grow has fallen, because

:05:03. > :05:09.we have grown a lot. It was a mistake. We had just come through a

:05:10. > :05:24.worry about the triple dip recession. Today, he will change

:05:25. > :05:33.that for -- forward guidance. They will give indications about wage

:05:34. > :05:39.growth. There is underemployment. He will say that they don't need to

:05:40. > :05:45.raise interest rates immediately. But because the economy has grown,

:05:46. > :05:51.they will have to be taken up earlier than previously thought. So

:05:52. > :06:00.we had been guessing about it before. We should be clear about the

:06:01. > :06:10.date when interest rates are due to rise. Bank of England said they

:06:11. > :06:19.would not go up until late 2016. They will move away from giving

:06:20. > :06:22.specific details. They will need to increase rates gradually. I think

:06:23. > :06:30.now is the right time to give that message. You would know because he

:06:31. > :06:36.used to work at Bank of England. Thank you for coming in. We will

:06:37. > :06:43.update you will we hear from Mark Carney. Away from the glamour and

:06:44. > :06:46.deal making of the Singapore Airshow, not all is harmony. The row

:06:47. > :06:49.over the European Union's attempts to impose an emissions trading

:06:50. > :06:52.scheme airlines to make them pay for their carbon emissions remains

:06:53. > :06:54.unresolved. The move has provoked widespread opposition elsewhere in

:06:55. > :06:56.the world and the UN-backed International Civil Aviation

:06:57. > :07:01.Organisation or ICAO wants to come up with a scheme by 2016. Will the

:07:02. > :07:05.EU go ahead on its own in the meantime? Sharanjit Leyl spoke to

:07:06. > :07:16.the EU Transport Commissioner at the airshow and asked him how the EU

:07:17. > :07:25.aims to resolve the issue. We have two different views. One is still to

:07:26. > :07:35.implement partly the emissions trading scheme. The other is to

:07:36. > :07:40.postpone it on to 2016. In the European Parliament, it now goes to

:07:41. > :07:52.the European Council for a final decision. We will expect an outcome

:07:53. > :07:58.soon. What happens if there is no resolution and the deal doesn't go

:07:59. > :08:06.through? Then there will be a confrontation between the EU and its

:08:07. > :08:18.partners. Everyone will be waiting on the outcome. Some of our partners

:08:19. > :08:25.are critical. Some of them have been talking about a court solution. We

:08:26. > :08:37.can't say anything more until this has been decided I'd be European

:08:38. > :08:47.Parliament. -- by the. We have been talking about withholding passes.

:08:48. > :09:00.How much pressure is the EU under? We are not looking for a trade war.

:09:01. > :09:03.That is very clear. In other news, the US House of Representatives has

:09:04. > :09:06.voted to suspend the country's debt limit until March 2015. The move

:09:07. > :09:09.raises the government's borrowing authority for one year in order to

:09:10. > :09:13.avoid a default at the end of this month. The outcome is a victory for

:09:14. > :09:15.President Obama, who has lobbied for weeks to have the debt ceiling

:09:16. > :09:19.raised without additional conditions and cuts. The 2015 plan goes now to

:09:20. > :09:23.the Democratic-led Senate. The recovery in the US labour market may

:09:24. > :09:26.be far from complete, but the US central bank is on track to continue

:09:27. > :09:29.pulling back on its stimulus programme. That is according to new

:09:30. > :09:31.Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen. Her comments have been keenly

:09:32. > :09:34.awaited and her message was clear, no sudden changes. That means a slow

:09:35. > :09:38.reduction in the trillions of dollars of bonds bought by the

:09:39. > :09:54.Federal Reserve in the wake of the financial crisis. Those stories were

:09:55. > :10:03.key on the end of trading. Not strong gains, but steady. Toyota has

:10:04. > :10:13.released news that it has had to issue another recall. This is for

:10:14. > :10:22.the third generation of its Prius car. This is a huge recall. Most of

:10:23. > :10:28.those cars are in Japan and North America. I will see you soon as we

:10:29. > :10:29.talk about the