02/06/2016

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:00:00. > :00:19.Spoiling the party in Vienna - Iran's oil minister says he won't

:00:20. > :00:21.back any deal to limit oil production which would boost

:00:22. > :00:28.Question is, why should we even care anymore about OPEC?

:00:29. > :00:31.Plus - strikes, price wars and security fears.

:00:32. > :00:33.Worrying times for the global airlines - but the boss

:00:34. > :00:44.of Lufthansa tells us passengers have never had it so good.

:00:45. > :00:57.Stop what you are doing and give me eight minutes and I will give you a

:00:58. > :00:58.snapshot of everything in the world of business and money. Let's get

:00:59. > :01:00.cracking. We start with the price of oil,

:01:01. > :01:03.because in the next few hours, the OPEC group

:01:04. > :01:05.of oil-producing nations will be starting their twice yearly meeting

:01:06. > :01:08.in the Austrian capital, Vienna. They have repeatedly failed to agree

:01:09. > :01:15.a deal to restrict crude supplies and prop up the slumping price

:01:16. > :01:22.of oil. Many are now questioning

:01:23. > :01:24.whether the group still has any This is Bijan Zanganeh, the oil

:01:25. > :01:33.minister of Iran, getting mobbed by Iran was of course under Western

:01:34. > :01:52.sanctions for years. It was blocked from basically

:01:53. > :01:57.selling it all. -- its oil. Now they've been lifted,

:01:58. > :01:59.it's determined to make the most Last night he told reporters,

:02:00. > :02:06."An output ceiling has no benefit Let's just give you a bit

:02:07. > :02:09.of context to all this. Brent crude is now trading

:02:10. > :02:14.around this level - $49 a barrel. In January, it hit this -

:02:15. > :02:24.a low of around $27 a barrel. So it's up almost 80% since then,

:02:25. > :02:27.relieving some of the massive Some of those nations will used to

:02:28. > :02:42.getting $120 a battle for oil. But don't forget, two years ago

:02:43. > :02:45.it was around $115 a barrel. So even after the recovery,

:02:46. > :02:49.it is still down by more than half. And analysts are saying the recent

:02:50. > :03:00.recovery is based on temporary We have seen the Canadian wildfire

:03:01. > :03:04.which not one million barrels a day of flying, and there we have seen

:03:05. > :03:11.Nigerian production get knocked off by a series of sabotage, which is

:03:12. > :03:15.not of about 600,000 barrels a day. I have not got a significant amount

:03:16. > :03:18.of crude oil, which is helped to push out oil prices slightly -- it

:03:19. > :03:19.not off. Richard Mallinson is a

:03:20. > :03:30.geopolitical analyst Thank you for coming in at this time

:03:31. > :03:35.of day. Let's start with Iran. It seems to be one of the big problems.

:03:36. > :03:40.They have not been able to sell oil for many years now and now they are

:03:41. > :03:46.allowed to sell. There will not come to the table and sell we will only

:03:47. > :03:50.sell a little. Iran wants a higher or price as well. It benefits it as

:03:51. > :03:56.much as Saudi Arabia and the other OPEC members. But it is saying we

:03:57. > :03:59.lost market share because of sanctions. They have been lifted and

:04:00. > :04:03.we want that market share back. And that market share, when Iran was

:04:04. > :04:09.blocked from the markets, it was sucked up by the Saudis. Some of it.

:04:10. > :04:15.Some went to Iraq and son went to shell produces in America. It is not

:04:16. > :04:20.automatically clear who Iran takes from, or can there be enough demand

:04:21. > :04:25.and growth, can we lose and supply elsewhere, to allow Iran to come

:04:26. > :04:30.back in. Iran is already exporting a lot more than was last year, and the

:04:31. > :04:36.market is managing to absorb that. Prices are still going up. At the

:04:37. > :04:42.end of today, as consumers we like low prices, and producers don't, but

:04:43. > :04:48.can this be solved is Saudi Arabia said OK, we will turn some of the

:04:49. > :04:52.taps off, for a while, and the price will go up. The Saudis have been

:04:53. > :05:00.resisting this ever since we saw the price of oil go down. Any decision

:05:01. > :05:04.in November 2014 where OPEC did not agree a cut was led by Saudi Arabia.

:05:05. > :05:09.It was a deliberate strategy to let the price go though. Let it have any

:05:10. > :05:12.impact on production elsewhere, and then eventually the market will

:05:13. > :05:16.rebalance. A lot of that comes back to in the 1980s when they tried to

:05:17. > :05:19.prop up the price, and it meant production fell by nearly two thirds

:05:20. > :05:25.and the price still collapsed. They did not want to go that way again.

:05:26. > :05:32.They are looking for the payoff in terms of higher prices. I have seen

:05:33. > :05:35.in the headlines and many people are asking, should we care about OPEC

:05:36. > :05:39.any more? They failed in the last two meetings to come to an

:05:40. > :05:45.agreement. Now you have fracking in America, ran in the picture. Do we

:05:46. > :05:51.need OPEC? -- run. We should still care. It still matters for the oil

:05:52. > :05:54.market and for prices, and the fact that the Saudis are talking to other

:05:55. > :05:56.OPEC members show they still care. We appreciate your time. Thank you

:05:57. > :06:00.for joining us. We are also talking airlines this

:06:01. > :06:01.Thursday. All the top bosses are in Dublin

:06:02. > :06:04.for the annual meeting of their trade body IATA - the International

:06:05. > :06:09.Air Transport Association. We've been talking to Carsten Spohr,

:06:10. > :06:12.the boss of Europe's biggest He says passengers have never had it

:06:13. > :06:19.so good, with air fares seeing some of the steepest price falls

:06:20. > :06:26.of any product. But it's also been

:06:27. > :06:28.a tough environment for the carriers themselves, with major

:06:29. > :06:30.cost cuts and increased concerns over safety, as he explained to

:06:31. > :06:45.our reporter Theo Leggett. Huge cost pressure has been in this

:06:46. > :06:48.industry for years. Obviously we cannot depend on the oil prices

:06:49. > :06:53.remaining where they have been lately. So I think that does not

:06:54. > :06:57.relieve us from continuously working on efficiency and cost reduction. We

:06:58. > :07:03.have been passing that on to the passengers historically. Only a few

:07:04. > :07:08.products have gone down in price as much as a traffic. Therefore I think

:07:09. > :07:12.the consumer is taking the benefit and flying more often, which is

:07:13. > :07:16.creating this extraordinary growth for our industry compared to

:07:17. > :07:19.others. You mentioned efficiencies and cost-cutting, but that has got

:07:20. > :07:22.you into trouble as well with your relationship with the unions. They

:07:23. > :07:27.have been a lot of strikes. Of course. Changing structures in

:07:28. > :07:33.general does create internal resistance, but in the end, we have

:07:34. > :07:36.a joint goal with our staff and shareholders, with our customers, to

:07:37. > :07:43.be able to grow and maintain our number one position, and the pain it

:07:44. > :07:47.takes will be accepted. Will you have more strikes? How our talks

:07:48. > :07:51.progressing? We have a constructive dialogue with our unions. We have a

:07:52. > :07:57.joint goal. After years of shirking our core fleet, we want to be able

:07:58. > :08:01.to grow that fleet, and that is what is guiding us in the current

:08:02. > :08:09.constructive dialogues -- shrinking. The cargo market is the

:08:10. > :08:15.most volatile of all businesses in aviation. It is more important for

:08:16. > :08:20.Lufthansa than other carriers, it was of huge export volumes out of

:08:21. > :08:23.Germany, which is made as one of the biggest cargo carriers in the world.

:08:24. > :08:31.Even in a down cycle we can show profits. We are optimistic about

:08:32. > :08:39.cargo, although not as much as his ago. I have to ask about safety. --

:08:40. > :08:43.years ago. They have been a lot of high-profile accidents recently. Do

:08:44. > :08:48.you think everything has been done that can be done to guarantee the

:08:49. > :08:53.safety of passengers? First, it is important to stay flying. This

:08:54. > :08:58.remains the safest way of transport. It has been and with all of the

:08:59. > :09:02.ongoing efforts to increase safety even further, it will be in future.

:09:03. > :09:07.Even though we have unfortunate accidents, incident, in the last

:09:08. > :09:12.month, historically, flying is as safe as never before. I have not

:09:13. > :09:18.visited one meeting at this conference where we don't touch on

:09:19. > :09:24.safety. It is the number one, surely for Lufthansa, and the whole

:09:25. > :09:27.industry. We will have more on that throughout the next day or so.

:09:28. > :09:30.Let's go to Asia now, where the US Treasury Secretary is in

:09:31. > :09:34.Let's ask Rico Hizon, who's following the story in Singapore.

:09:35. > :09:44.Hello! He will be meeting with the South Korean finance minister, and

:09:45. > :09:53.for sure, the foreign exchange will be high on the agenda. The US has

:09:54. > :09:57.accused several Asian countries of manipulating the value of their

:09:58. > :10:02.currencies, it including the likes of China, Japan and South Korea. The

:10:03. > :10:05.weakness of the South Korean money against the US dollar is likely to

:10:06. > :10:11.be a key discussion between the two sides. Also making business

:10:12. > :10:14.headlines today, the slight pickup in the domestic economy and South

:10:15. > :10:19.Korea. Consumption and production where the key drivers that led the

:10:20. > :10:24.economy to grow in the first quarter I a shade more than initially

:10:25. > :10:29.revealed. It expanded by Sir .5% in the first two months of this year.

:10:30. > :10:36.2.8% year on year. While that might be some good news, data since the

:10:37. > :10:40.end of March has been mixed. Data released yesterday was on this

:10:41. > :10:48.side. Production in April fell to a ten month low. So they are all

:10:49. > :10:54.making headlines today in South Korea. Thank you. Cheers.

:10:55. > :10:57.The taxi app Uber has won a $3.5 billion investment from Saudi

:10:58. > :11:07.I will have more on that later on. Follow me on Twitter. I will be back

:11:08. > :11:11.to take a look at the newspapers.