01/11/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.Now for the latest financial news with Sally

:00:00. > :00:20.Black gold - 2 of the worlds largest oil companies report earnings today

:00:21. > :00:24.giving investors vital insight into how big oil is coping

:00:25. > :00:30.The squeezed middle - as voters in the US prepare

:00:31. > :00:33.to make their choice we find out which candidate the middle classes

:00:34. > :00:41.believe will boost their bank balance.

:00:42. > :00:48.Also in the programme, we'll cross over to Asia

:00:49. > :00:51.where the latest manufacturing data is pointing to recovery

:00:52. > :01:02.Global oil giants BP and Shell are due to release their quarterly

:01:03. > :01:08.The oil producers are both expected to post a decline in profits,

:01:09. > :01:12.but BP in particular is expected to show more signs of weakness

:01:13. > :01:15.as the price of crude fails to recover.

:01:16. > :01:19.Oil has had a rocky 2016 - in January it dropped to its lowest

:01:20. > :01:23.level in over a decade at around $28 a barrel.

:01:24. > :01:28.It's currently hovering around $50 a barrel,

:01:29. > :01:30.weighed down by persistent oversupply.

:01:31. > :01:32.In September the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

:01:33. > :01:36.- or OPEC - agreed to do something about this.

:01:37. > :01:40.At a meeting in Algeria they announced a modest limit on oil

:01:41. > :01:43.output levels in order to prop up prices.

:01:44. > :01:49.This is the first cut in production since 2008,

:01:50. > :01:53.but the details of the how the cuts will work are yet to be finalised

:01:54. > :01:56.and any further agreement has yet to be reached following a meeting

:01:57. > :02:02.of both OPEC and non-OPEC members over the weekend.

:02:03. > :02:08.Russ Mould, Investment Director at AJ Bell.

:02:09. > :02:20.Good morning. Lets talk about the two companies to start with. We have

:02:21. > :02:29.had big US oil numbers reported an their profit at 35% 45% year on year

:02:30. > :02:35.so that is the benchmark. The European looking for BP and Shell to

:02:36. > :02:40.be down by half. They are quite different companies to what they

:02:41. > :02:48.were at the beginning of the year. It was a big manoeuvre, 47 billion

:02:49. > :02:53.dollars. It meant they are more exposed to liquefied gas, deep water

:02:54. > :03:01.drilling in Brazil, for example. Shell has more petrol chemical

:03:02. > :03:05.exposure. BP lubricants. It all depends on different parts of the

:03:06. > :03:11.world as well. We are looking at a significant fall in profits but what

:03:12. > :03:18.about other elements - capital expenditure, that kind of thing? If

:03:19. > :03:23.you look, BP shares and Shell shares are near a 12 month high of partly

:03:24. > :03:27.because it has recovered from its lowest but capital investment cuts,

:03:28. > :03:34.cost-cutting, they are leaner and meaner that is the mantra from both

:03:35. > :03:41.companies. The meeting in Vienna on Friday has spilt into Saturday. We

:03:42. > :03:51.all hoped OPEC would say about production cuts. We should learn our

:03:52. > :03:56.lessons given its records. Even if OPEC comes to an agreement, non-

:03:57. > :04:04.OPEC may see this as an opportunity to grab shares. They seemed to

:04:05. > :04:10.spring back to life after all your reach is $50 per barrel. Relying on

:04:11. > :04:16.OPEC is a road to ruin, as in the past. Russia is also meeting with

:04:17. > :04:24.representatives and it too promised reduction cuts. You have to wait to

:04:25. > :04:32.deliver, again, unfortunately. Russia and Saudi Arabia need oil at

:04:33. > :04:39.around $100 per barrel to balance. They have a vested interest to

:04:40. > :04:49.getting oil up their but the Saudi's be cynical, could be different. When

:04:50. > :04:51.will it be at the end of the year? That's a brutal question. I will

:04:52. > :04:53.save $40 per barrel. Let's cross over to the US

:04:54. > :04:56.where middle class rage has Many Americans feel the economy

:04:57. > :05:00.is doing poorly and the next generation will be financially worse

:05:01. > :05:06.off than their parents. Michelle Fleury has been to Florida

:05:07. > :05:26.to find out who people believe On Florida's Coast, where the

:05:27. > :05:31.American dream went broke in the housing collapse of 2007. The

:05:32. > :05:35.horrors of that crash could still be felt in the real estate market and

:05:36. > :05:43.in this year's election. How much of your income... About 56.5% is going

:05:44. > :05:50.towards the rent. It is our lot. Jennifer works as a nurse, owning a

:05:51. > :05:57.home is unthinkable without help. At this stage, she is undecided but

:05:58. > :06:05.clearly she wants to hear of someone who eases her financial burden.

:06:06. > :06:10.Someone needs to prove to my type of class that they will go above and

:06:11. > :06:21.beyond this country. The science seem to favour Donald Trump. He has

:06:22. > :06:30.tapped into dissatisfaction. $119,000... As a local estate agent,

:06:31. > :06:37.he has had a front seat. He has a ready cast his vote for Donald

:06:38. > :06:46.Trump. We need change. We work twice as hard to pay half as much. I am

:06:47. > :06:52.not saying that is going to change immediately if somebody like Donald

:06:53. > :06:57.Trump gets elected but at the the better if I put somebody a

:06:58. > :07:02.businessman rather than a politician in that position. With every bust,

:07:03. > :07:08.winners emerge. One person who got it good deal was Laurent Richardson

:07:09. > :07:14.and she will not be voting for Donald Trump. As strong as a

:07:15. > :07:20.businessman as he is, I would not trust his decisions. I think it

:07:21. > :07:25.would hire great people but I think Hillary Clinton would do as good as

:07:26. > :07:32.the job and her experience is primary. I also hold a lot of social

:07:33. > :07:38.issues she prioritises as near and dear to my heart. Hillary Clinton

:07:39. > :07:44.sounds a more up beat note on the economy while Donald Trump points to

:07:45. > :07:50.those struggling as a sign of economic despair. Here, in a swing

:07:51. > :07:55.state, the economic losers and winners live side-by-side.

:07:56. > :07:58.Markets in Asia have been given a boost by the latest

:07:59. > :08:01.The manufacturing sector has expanded at a faster pace

:08:02. > :08:17.Great to see you. How excited should we be? Investors are cheering this

:08:18. > :08:25.manufacturing activity from China. It has expanded in its fastest pace

:08:26. > :08:31.in more than two years in the month of October. Prices, garments,

:08:32. > :08:35.electronics have now been on demand and it has been a challenging couple

:08:36. > :08:39.of years for the Chinese but analysts are saying this data could

:08:40. > :08:46.be an indication that the economy might be stabilising, fuelled by

:08:47. > :08:54.stronger government spending, and a redhot property market. The

:08:55. > :09:01.benchmark came in at 51 .2 in October compared to 50.4 in the

:09:02. > :09:06.previous months. It indicates an expansion. If you take a look at the

:09:07. > :09:13.three quarters markets, the economy grew and look set to reach the

:09:14. > :09:20.four-year target to 7% but despite all these positive numbers and there

:09:21. > :09:26.are still red flags. The incidents persisted sluggishness in global

:09:27. > :09:32.demand. Despite the apparent surge in domestic spending, the government

:09:33. > :09:37.has pledged rod capacity reduction across a range of industries so it

:09:38. > :09:42.is still quite mixed but going forward things looking up for

:09:43. > :09:51.Chinese economy. Good to see. Looking at the markets of won Japan

:09:52. > :09:57.is standing out. The bank of Japan had meeting and it has kept interest

:09:58. > :10:03.rates on hold and acid purchases on hold. The Australian central bank

:10:04. > :10:08.had its meeting and again interest rates have been kept on hold. Other

:10:09. > :10:15.meetings in the US and UK happen later this week. The Fed starts its

:10:16. > :10:16.meetings later