24/03/2017

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:00:00. > :00:20.possible collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign.

:00:21. > :00:23.Wall Street and markets watch as President Trump struggles to push

:00:24. > :00:35.Could a $2 trillion bubble be about to burst?

:00:36. > :00:38.Plus - Australia puts on a song and dance for China's Premier Li -

:00:39. > :00:40.massive trade ties top of the agenda.

:00:41. > :00:56.Also, Samsun faces shareholders at its annual meeting. I'd like to be a

:00:57. > :00:59.fly on the wall there. Our We start in the US -

:01:00. > :01:03.where President Trump is battling to deliver on one of his biggest

:01:04. > :01:06.election promises - and to hang on to his

:01:07. > :01:08.credibility with investors. Late on Thursday Republicans

:01:09. > :01:11.were forced to delay a vote in the House of Representatives

:01:12. > :01:13.on scrapping and replacing Obamacare as they struggled to

:01:14. > :01:16.drum up enough support On Wall Street it's

:01:17. > :01:27.being seen as a key test The concern is if he can't deliver

:01:28. > :01:31.on scrapping Obamacare, his other plans for massive tax cuts

:01:32. > :01:34.and spending hikes may not get Let's just show you the scale

:01:35. > :01:39.of the expectation that $2.2 trillion has been added

:01:40. > :01:47.to the value of US shares since Trump was elected in a rally

:01:48. > :01:54.of historic proportions. If you take a look at

:01:55. > :01:57.the Dow Jones Industrial Average, it has soared since

:01:58. > :02:06.the election in November. As of the start of this week, it had

:02:07. > :02:12.gone up 14% since the US election. The financial sector has been

:02:13. > :02:14.the biggest winner - That's because the President has

:02:15. > :02:22.promised to review the strict regulations brought

:02:23. > :02:24.in after the financial crisis - The Dow's index of bank

:02:25. > :02:30.shares has soared 17% (TAKE GFX 4) The construction

:02:31. > :02:33.industry has also been doing well - thanks to President Trump's promises

:02:34. > :02:36.of huge spending on infrastructure. Shares in that sector are up

:02:37. > :02:40.9% since the election. Markets have been rattled

:02:41. > :02:44.this week though. Some investors think they are now

:02:45. > :02:53.only going in one direction. The market really can't keep

:02:54. > :02:57.the gains that we had earlier today. It's just a no-win, because no

:02:58. > :03:00.matter what happens in the House, that bill, that healthcare bill just

:03:01. > :03:03.had to be too conservative The Senate will never be

:03:04. > :03:10.able to pass that bill. There's just too many

:03:11. > :03:13.on the left, liberal senators, so it's a no-win, which means it's

:03:14. > :03:16.no support for Trump which means that that Trump trade

:03:17. > :03:21.is starting to unwind. Russ Mould is Investment

:03:22. > :03:33.Director at AJ Bell. nice to see you. What do you make of

:03:34. > :03:39.all of this? Everybody predicted that this particular reform of the

:03:40. > :03:42.affordable healthcare act known as Obamacare would be extremely

:03:43. > :03:48.difficult. One of those classic situations where markets climb a

:03:49. > :03:53.wall of worry and slide down the slope. When Trump took over, people

:03:54. > :03:58.were wondering what he was. Infrastructure reform and healthcare

:03:59. > :04:03.reform and tax reform, he could be like Ronald Reagan, how exciting,

:04:04. > :04:10.GDP went up to 8% but now, hopes have gone from zero as you said to

:04:11. > :04:14.$2.3 trillion worth counting. There has been hope built-in and that is

:04:15. > :04:19.what he has got to meet. What's interesting is the move on his part

:04:20. > :04:26.saying we will vote on this regardless. If I don't win, but I

:04:27. > :04:30.will walk away. We will not necessarily change what has become

:04:31. > :04:35.known as Obamacare. What do you take from that in how he will push do

:04:36. > :04:40.other things which will be difficult to pass? It is the slope of hope

:04:41. > :04:43.again. The Budget blueprint didn't mention the $1 trillion of

:04:44. > :04:48.infrastructure spending. The Democrats are fighting this

:04:49. > :04:51.appointment for the Security and exchange commission and The Supreme

:04:52. > :04:56.Court, raising questions over what reforms he can push through which

:04:57. > :05:01.comes back to American investor Warren Buffett, who said when you

:05:02. > :05:06.mix your political views with your investment decisions, you are making

:05:07. > :05:11.a big mistake. Nobody knows what the politicians can do. It is hard to

:05:12. > :05:17.predict the outcome. Let me ask to predict what will happen on markets.

:05:18. > :05:22.This is the big question. Why do the markets get so excited? We knew it

:05:23. > :05:26.would be tough on Capitol Hill. Everybody said that. Investors said

:05:27. > :05:30.that, political analysts. We all knew it wouldn't be easy yet we saw

:05:31. > :05:38.this incredible rally since he was elected. Do I think the market is

:05:39. > :05:42.expensive? Yes. Is the economy late in its cycle? Yes. Do interest rate

:05:43. > :05:48.rises stopped the market, yes, because eventually more inspect at

:05:49. > :05:53.-- expensive money. What I will say, you are likely to get more

:05:54. > :05:58.volatility. We had a fall in the index which was the first one for

:05:59. > :06:02.110 days. You only get those moves every 11 so you are likely to see

:06:03. > :06:10.more volatility going forward. Good luck. Thanks a lot but coming in.

:06:11. > :06:18.Samsung has been facing investors at its Annual General Meeting.

:06:19. > :06:20.The company's leader - grandson of the founder

:06:21. > :06:23.and Vice Chairman Jay Y Lee - wasn't there.

:06:24. > :06:25.He's facing trial on charges of bribery and embezzlement

:06:26. > :06:28.which he denies in a corruption scandal that has seen president

:06:29. > :06:38.Sharanjit Leyl has been following this for us in Singapore.

:06:39. > :06:46.That was never going to be an easy AGM. But also the other issues that

:06:47. > :06:55.Samsung, it has had torrid year. A very torrid year. Lee wasn't there,

:06:56. > :07:00.detained over those bribery charges. We heard from the vice-chairman

:07:01. > :07:09.instead. He was apologising to shareholders. The scandals which led

:07:10. > :07:18.to the ousting of the South Korean president and the recall of the Note

:07:19. > :07:22.7 smartphones. They are promising the firm will improve governments in

:07:23. > :07:26.the face of pressure from investors and Mr Jay Y Lee, absent because he

:07:27. > :07:30.is facing all those charges including bribery and embezzlement.

:07:31. > :07:35.Prosecutors are accusing him of bribing are confident of the former

:07:36. > :07:40.resident in return of the government backing 2015 merger which helped

:07:41. > :07:47.tighten control over the South Korean technology giant. Also fire

:07:48. > :07:51.prone Note 7 and the Battle over its batteries, it cost the company about

:07:52. > :07:55.$6 billion in the vice-chairman apologise about that as wealth and

:07:56. > :08:00.Samsung shares are falling today. They hit record highs this month

:08:01. > :08:03.following very strong semiconductor sales and the potential for

:08:04. > :08:09.restructuring the technology giant. Investors are hoping to hear about

:08:10. > :08:12.that as well. The shares are falling today. Good to see you. Thank you.

:08:13. > :08:15.We are also in Australia - where the Chinese Premier Li Keqiang

:08:16. > :08:18.is holding talks with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull.

:08:19. > :08:20.They'll be discussing how to build on the Free Trade Agreement

:08:21. > :08:25.Mr Li's visit to Canberra comes at a time when China is looking

:08:26. > :08:28.to capitalise on the global uncertainty which has followed

:08:29. > :08:31.Our Australia correspondent Hywel Griffith has been looking

:08:32. > :08:45.Handmade for some of the world's most demanding sleepers. These

:08:46. > :08:55.mattresses are on their way from Sydney to Shanghai where they will

:08:56. > :09:00.sell for 75,000 Australian dollars. AH Beard only started exporting to

:09:01. > :09:05.China in 2013 and in a few years, they hope to have 100 stores there.

:09:06. > :09:10.The 2015 Free Trade Agreement has helped push down tariffs and plugged

:09:11. > :09:14.up profits, bolstered by the massive demand for Western goods. The buyer

:09:15. > :09:19.typically is not interested in buying locally produced products,

:09:20. > :09:22.they are looking for something that is imported. They particularly look

:09:23. > :09:28.to Australia because we have a very natural product and beyond, I guess,

:09:29. > :09:31.the quality of the product and the master craftsmanship which goes into

:09:32. > :09:38.producing the product, they are looking for something that is

:09:39. > :09:42.genuine. Premier Li Keqiang has been given a traditional welcome afforded

:09:43. > :09:48.to old allies. He's come to tell Australia it doesn't have to choose

:09:49. > :09:53.between China and America. They can trade in a circle of friends.

:09:54. > :09:56.Australia has spent decades carefully cultivating its

:09:57. > :10:00.relationship with China. It's become its biggest trading partner. The

:10:01. > :10:04.Free Trade Agreement sealed the deal but there are more doors the company

:10:05. > :10:09.opened like making it easier for Australian companies to sell on

:10:10. > :10:15.line. At the moment, exports are still dominated by iron ore and

:10:16. > :10:18.coal, the commodities that have kept the Australian economy moving. But

:10:19. > :10:24.there is a need to change track. Food sales like beef on the menu.

:10:25. > :10:29.There may even be time to discuss China stepping into the space

:10:30. > :10:33.vacated by America in a new transpacific part -- Trans-Pacific

:10:34. > :10:40.Partnership. The TPP itself may have to be modified because it has been

:10:41. > :10:45.strict on prices and a bunch of other issues which China has found

:10:46. > :10:49.difficult to swallow in the short-term but a modified version

:10:50. > :10:53.may be possible. For this company, more could be done to put the

:10:54. > :10:58.finishing touches to the trade agreement, like improving customs

:10:59. > :11:08.clearance but China and Australia become pretty happy bedfellows.

:11:09. > :11:17.The show you how markets are trading in Asia. It's a mixed picture. --

:11:18. > :11:25.let us. We saw some numbers for Japan earlier this week, the yen is

:11:26. > :11:29.still very strong. Markets in the US are very flat. Markets worldwide are

:11:30. > :11:34.waiting to see how that boat on the reform of the healthcare plan in US

:11:35. > :11:39.goes. That is the real issue for markets around the world. You

:11:40. > :11:40.up-to-date on the business stories. See you in a