01/06/2017

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:00:00. > :00:00.regions from forces linked to the so-called Islamic State

:00:00. > :00:15.Now it's time for World Business Report.

:00:16. > :00:25.Closer ties between the EU and China - that's the aim.

:00:26. > :00:28.The leaders are meeting at at summit in Brussels later hoping to counter

:00:29. > :00:30.President Trump's stance on trade and climate change.

:00:31. > :00:33.Brazil is expected to announce that its economy is growing

:00:34. > :00:37.for the first time since 2014 - but could that be overshadowed

:00:38. > :00:40.We'll look at whether that could threaten the return

:00:41. > :00:51.In a minute we'll find out why today is a big day

:00:52. > :00:58.But first, the EU and China will attempt to deepen ties

:00:59. > :01:04.There is concern among some about the direction taken by US

:01:05. > :01:07.President Donald Trump on trade and climate change.

:01:08. > :01:09.Chinese Premier Li Keqiang will meet European Council president

:01:10. > :01:23.Donald Tusk and European Commission head Jean-Claude Juncker.

:01:24. > :01:26.They are hoping to come up with an answer to Donald Trump's

:01:27. > :01:30.Trade in goods between the EU and China is worth well over 1.5

:01:31. > :01:35.The EU is China's biggest trading partner, while China is the EU's

:01:36. > :01:37.second largest trading partner - after the United States.

:01:38. > :01:40.But the EU is worried about industrial overcapacity

:01:41. > :01:43.in China - most notably, in the steel sector.

:01:44. > :01:46.For example, in April this year the European Commission increased

:01:47. > :01:48.anti-dumping duties on imports of hot-rolled flat steel products

:01:49. > :01:59.from China by up to 36% - much to Beijing's anger.

:02:00. > :02:08.China invested four times as much in European businesses as European

:02:09. > :02:10.businesses did in China. With me is Dr Yu Jie,

:02:11. > :02:17.Head of China Foresight, There is likely to be some common

:02:18. > :02:22.ground as far as climate change and statements of intent regarding the

:02:23. > :02:26.Paris agreement are concerned. But still some areas where there could

:02:27. > :02:32.be some friction? I would say it plenty of friction. That is

:02:33. > :02:37.partially because the Chinese take investment more seriously, whereas

:02:38. > :02:43.the EU take rules more seriously. Chinese played by the money, there

:02:44. > :02:50.are differences here because of that. Regarding the overcapacity

:02:51. > :02:54.issue, this is not just an issue in terms of foreign investment. It is

:02:55. > :03:06.also an issue for China in terms of domestic politics. We know that this

:03:07. > :03:12.party congresses in pipeline. Xi Jinping is trying to stabilise the

:03:13. > :03:18.economy, and to make sure less people are unemployed. So they don't

:03:19. > :03:26.want to lay off and steel in China. Therefore, I am expecting some tough

:03:27. > :03:32.talks. Do you think this talk of getting together and continuing a

:03:33. > :03:40.protectionist stance with Donald Trump, do you think that has been

:03:41. > :03:44.overblown? Partially, yes. Xi Jinping also wants to look like a

:03:45. > :03:51.very stable leader on the international stage, so by

:03:52. > :03:55.presenting himself into some kind of alliance regarding climate change

:03:56. > :04:00.would not give him a very good image. This is also testing the

:04:01. > :04:05.Chinese Communist Party's governing ability, and whether they can

:04:06. > :04:10.address the issues of pollution and poor air quality. That is something

:04:11. > :04:15.Xi Jinping is trying to present to the world as well as the domestic

:04:16. > :04:22.audience. How big of a sticking point do you think this issue of

:04:23. > :04:26.steel tariffs is going to be? It is an ongoing issue. It has become

:04:27. > :04:32.particularly pressing, because what is happening in the political arena

:04:33. > :04:38.and what is happening inside China, that is affecting it. I can only see

:04:39. > :04:40.the problem escalating. Thank you very much for your analysis.

:04:41. > :04:46.Today it re-joins the MSCI Emerging Markets Index -

:04:47. > :04:48.a massive reputational boost for the country,

:04:49. > :04:51.and a sign that things could be turning around for a nation that's

:04:52. > :05:06.been beset with political and terror related problems.

:05:07. > :05:09.The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is made up of 23 emerging markets

:05:10. > :05:13.Pakistan used to be a part of the index, but was removed

:05:14. > :05:17.because of the exchange's decision to shut down for four months in late

:05:18. > :05:22.2008 after prices dropped dramatically.

:05:23. > :05:26.That meant foreign investors couldn't get their money out.

:05:27. > :05:35.We are joined by our Asia business correspondence. In practical terms,

:05:36. > :05:40.what difference does this make. It makes a big difference. Pakistan was

:05:41. > :05:45.once called the basket case of South Asia in terms of its economic

:05:46. > :05:49.prospects. Now it is being called the new Asian tiger. A lot of that

:05:50. > :05:54.is down to the new reputational boost you are talking about. It is

:05:55. > :05:59.now part of the emerging markets index. That includes top-ranked

:06:00. > :06:07.stocks from all over the world. Some of the world's biggest businesses

:06:08. > :06:15.use this list. Just take a look at some of the evidence. Pakistani

:06:16. > :06:19.stocks versus the emerging markets index, you can see on your screen

:06:20. > :06:26.how shares have outperformed the emerging markets index, despite all

:06:27. > :06:32.the troubles that have come out of Pakistan in recent years. Why is

:06:33. > :06:39.this happening? A lot of it is down to good corporate governance, and it

:06:40. > :06:44.is also a domestic consumption story. Much like India and China,

:06:45. > :06:51.Pakistan is all about spending money and seeing incomes rise. Take a look

:06:52. > :06:56.at this chart. GDP growth in Pakistan has been pretty solid of

:06:57. > :07:00.late. That is coming after a low period in the mid- 2000. I think it

:07:01. > :07:06.is also important not to disregard the obvious issues with security and

:07:07. > :07:13.terror related concerns. At least for today, a sign that this country

:07:14. > :07:14.could be facing a turnaround. Thank you very much.

:07:15. > :07:17.Brazil may be about to announce the end of the country's worst

:07:18. > :07:21.It is expected to report that its economy grew for the first

:07:22. > :07:25.three months of the year - it'll be the first quarter of growth

:07:26. > :07:29.But just as the country seems to be turning a corner,

:07:30. > :07:32.another political crisis has kicked off that could halt the recovery

:07:33. > :07:41.Daniel Gallas reports from the capital, Brasilia.

:07:42. > :07:47.Violence flared outside Brazil's national congress as protesters made

:07:48. > :07:51.it clear they were not happy with how the country is being ruled.

:07:52. > :07:57.Inside the building, politicians were debating radical reforms to the

:07:58. > :08:03.economy, including making Brazilians work longer and retire later. We are

:08:04. > :08:08.tired of being a country with a president accused of corruption. We

:08:09. > :08:13.want a new president and we want to know are by tree Labour reforms.

:08:14. > :08:18.These people do not want reforms, they say it will hurt pensions.

:08:19. > :08:22.Despite the political crisis engulfing Brazil, they know that

:08:23. > :08:25.sooner or later, Congress is likely to vote on the reports, some say

:08:26. > :08:30.that is crucial for the Brazilian economy. The Brazilian population is

:08:31. > :08:35.ageing. It presents a serious challenge, the cost of caring for

:08:36. > :08:39.the elderly is rising sharply in the government does not have the money

:08:40. > :08:46.to pay for it. The country spends around 11% of its GDP on pensions,

:08:47. > :08:50.that is twice as high as in more developed economies and it is set to

:08:51. > :08:56.double in the next 40 years. Brazil's debt is also growing,

:08:57. > :09:01.doubling in the past three years. Without reforms, the IMF says that

:09:02. > :09:07.debt could balloon to 90% in five years. President Michel Temer has

:09:08. > :09:12.been pushing reforms to get the economy back on track, but he is now

:09:13. > :09:17.embroiled in a corruption scandal which could see him forced out of

:09:18. > :09:26.office. The question is, if he goes, will his reforms survive? Is -- if

:09:27. > :09:34.the current president has to step down, I am certain that politicians

:09:35. > :09:39.would find a new president who is committed to these reforms. Changes

:09:40. > :09:49.needed, but the proposals are unpopular. -- change is. There is

:09:50. > :09:52.little appetite for more pain, but without more reforms, the recovery

:09:53. > :09:59.could prove short lived, bringing the prospect of yet more unrest.

:10:00. > :10:19.A quick look at the markets now. This is how the Asian markets

:10:20. > :10:21.finished. We are out of time, I'll see you soon. Goodbye. Then we'll be