Brexit: A Very British Coup?

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0:00:07 > 0:00:10It became the biggest event in modern British history -

0:00:10 > 0:00:12the referendum.

0:00:12 > 0:00:14But it was really a family row,

0:00:14 > 0:00:17one raging in the Conservative Party for over half a century.

0:00:17 > 0:00:20If you were to ask me, do I wish David Cameron, that

0:00:20 > 0:00:25he hadn't said that he would have a referendum, yes, I bloody well do!

0:00:25 > 0:00:26Watch out, team. Watch out.

0:00:26 > 0:00:31'Boris Johnson revealed he wants to leave the European Union yesterday.'

0:00:31 > 0:00:33I wanted to make a film about the row,

0:00:33 > 0:00:37follow the family in the last month before polling.

0:00:37 > 0:00:40It gave me a unique perspective on the biggest story of our time.

0:00:40 > 0:00:42It's going to be absolutely fine.

0:00:44 > 0:00:47Not here. 'I like Boris, makes everybody laugh.'

0:00:47 > 0:00:50It just seemed to me that he'd lost the plot rather.

0:00:50 > 0:00:55Everyone playing their allotted part - mischievous uncle,

0:00:55 > 0:00:58angry brothers, even pantomime villain.

0:00:58 > 0:01:01It's not just Remain that think you're a liability, the Vote Leave people do as well.

0:01:01 > 0:01:03They won't have anything to do with you.

0:01:03 > 0:01:05You are sexist, that you are racist... Very good.

0:01:05 > 0:01:08..that you are toxic. Bits of sort of outrageous abuse,

0:01:08 > 0:01:11but then I'm Nigel Farage, so I'd be disappointed if I didn't, really.

0:01:11 > 0:01:15And, like all good family rows, it ends in tears.

0:01:15 > 0:01:18I told you we were going to win and I told you the Prime Minister would have to go.

0:01:18 > 0:01:22The ruthlessness is the thing that always shocks people.

0:01:22 > 0:01:24I am quite upset by it, actually.

0:01:24 > 0:01:28You know, one day he is there and the next, he's not.

0:01:28 > 0:01:35I think a good guy has been basically...binned.

0:01:38 > 0:01:39You ain't seen nothing yet.

0:01:57 > 0:02:00At times of strife, families exclude outsiders,

0:02:00 > 0:02:04so - no surprise - getting to real candour isn't easy,

0:02:04 > 0:02:09whether it's at David Cameron's carefully choreographed Remain events

0:02:09 > 0:02:13or Boris Johnson's eccentric cross-country pilgrimage,

0:02:13 > 0:02:16from brewery to cattle market.

0:02:16 > 0:02:18Who'll give me ?800 for this beautiful specimen -

0:02:18 > 0:02:22a Gisburn-reared, contented cow?

0:02:22 > 0:02:25INAUDIBLE

0:02:28 > 0:02:31Enjoying it, Boris? Yeah. How could you not?

0:02:31 > 0:02:33'That's my first and, indeed,

0:02:33 > 0:02:36'last question to Boris for quite some time.

0:02:36 > 0:02:39'Leave spinners take umbrage at such a probing inquiry.

0:02:39 > 0:02:41'Their loss, my gain.

0:02:41 > 0:02:45'It pushes me to people who do talk about how the vote is

0:02:45 > 0:02:47'actually won and what's really at stake.'

0:02:47 > 0:02:51We have let a lot of passionate genies out of the bottle,

0:02:51 > 0:02:52I might say, on this occasion,

0:02:52 > 0:02:55and getting them back in might be a bit problematic!

0:02:57 > 0:02:59There's one particular genie

0:02:59 > 0:03:01that all family members wish would vanish.

0:03:07 > 0:03:10The Remanians are throwing everything they've got at this -

0:03:10 > 0:03:13threats, fears,

0:03:13 > 0:03:16telling us dire things will happen to us unless we continue to be

0:03:16 > 0:03:21run by a bunch of unelected old men in Brussels, and it's not washing.

0:03:21 > 0:03:26I genuinely think it's tight, but the passion, the energy,

0:03:26 > 0:03:28is on the Leave side of the argument.

0:03:28 > 0:03:32Whatever his passion, the rest of the media aren't listening.

0:03:32 > 0:03:35That's because Vote Leave have refused to allow Nigel any

0:03:35 > 0:03:39part in their campaign - too toxic.

0:03:39 > 0:03:42And Remain's elders are only too happy to agree.

0:03:42 > 0:03:45I think Farage is a busted flush, completely busted flush, you know.

0:03:45 > 0:03:50He couldn't even win a parliamentary seat in Thanet or wherever it

0:03:50 > 0:03:53was for the third time of asking, you know.

0:03:53 > 0:03:54I don't take Farage seriously.

0:03:54 > 0:03:57I mean, he's just a sort of caddish little loudmouth.

0:04:02 > 0:04:05While the polls fluctuate wildly,

0:04:05 > 0:04:09Nigel Farage sets off on a cross-Britain tour, aiming for

0:04:09 > 0:04:15the audiences other campaigns aren't reaching - core Labour voters.

0:04:15 > 0:04:18Today, it's the West Country - local anarchists and an alarmed

0:04:18 > 0:04:20police force lying in wait.

0:04:20 > 0:04:23He's been joined by an old ally - let's call him

0:04:23 > 0:04:27a distant cousin - a former Cabinet minister defying Leave orders

0:04:27 > 0:04:28to stay away from Farage.

0:04:28 > 0:04:31Are you threatening trouble? Not here.

0:04:31 > 0:04:35And you and Nigel Farage? Yep. Is that unusual? Not really, you know.

0:04:35 > 0:04:37All the crosses look the same when they're being counted!

0:04:40 > 0:04:42I put my bet on on Thursday. I never bet.

0:04:42 > 0:04:44HE LAUGHS

0:04:44 > 0:04:46I don't ever bet. I've never bet on a horse in my entire life. Really?

0:04:46 > 0:04:48I've only ever once been in a bookies,

0:04:48 > 0:04:50and that was when I was canvassing.

0:04:50 > 0:04:52Well, you're very low on vices, Liam!

0:04:52 > 0:04:55THEY LAUGH

0:04:55 > 0:04:58Yeah, it's going very well. I've been on the road for a fortnight.

0:04:58 > 0:05:00Most of my time has been spent in Labour areas.

0:05:00 > 0:05:03And the reason for that is that there's not as much of a debate

0:05:03 > 0:05:07going on in Labour areas because the Labour Party is so quiet.

0:05:07 > 0:05:11In fact, some think that Jeremy Corbyn's gone missing.

0:05:11 > 0:05:13Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Nigel Farage.

0:05:13 > 0:05:16APPLAUSE

0:05:16 > 0:05:22After 25 years of campaigning for the British people to have a vote,

0:05:22 > 0:05:26I almost can't believe that it's only 19 days away.

0:05:26 > 0:05:27I'm delighted,

0:05:27 > 0:05:31and I think the wind has turned and it is now with the Leave campaign.

0:05:31 > 0:05:33I really do.

0:05:33 > 0:05:36They tell us we're not big enough as a country,

0:05:36 > 0:05:40we're not strong enough as a country, to make our own laws,

0:05:40 > 0:05:41to make our own trade deals,

0:05:41 > 0:05:46to control our own borders and to be the masters of our own destiny.

0:05:46 > 0:05:48And what we've got to say is

0:05:48 > 0:05:53we demand our historic right to govern our own country.

0:05:53 > 0:05:54Let's do it!

0:05:54 > 0:05:56CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

0:06:05 > 0:06:07All I need's the right beer named after me.

0:06:07 > 0:06:10That's all we need - a proper British pint. Good brand.

0:06:10 > 0:06:12Pint of Farage, please!

0:06:12 > 0:06:14LAUGHTER

0:06:14 > 0:06:17There was a lovely cartoon this week in the Telegraph,

0:06:17 > 0:06:19and it was me at the bar - as they always do -

0:06:19 > 0:06:22with a pint of Australian Points System beer,

0:06:22 > 0:06:23and there's Gove and Boris saying,

0:06:23 > 0:06:26"Barman, we'll have the same as he's having."

0:06:26 > 0:06:27It was brilliant. Are you ready?

0:06:27 > 0:06:30Thanks very much. See you soon. Thank you very much.

0:06:30 > 0:06:33Boris and Michael still want nothing publicly to do with Nigel,

0:06:33 > 0:06:37though I discover that, privately, they're talking to him all the time.

0:06:40 > 0:06:44Three days ago, they nicked Farage's immigration policy -

0:06:44 > 0:06:45the Australian points system.

0:06:45 > 0:06:47Points, as ever,

0:06:47 > 0:06:52mean prizes, and Leave's poll numbers start to creep up.

0:06:52 > 0:06:54Two hours later, 50 miles west,

0:06:54 > 0:06:57and a very different pace of life awaits me.

0:06:57 > 0:07:01I'm intruding on a considerably more genteel branch of the family -

0:07:01 > 0:07:05a debate between the man running Conservative In and the local MP,

0:07:05 > 0:07:08who's firmly out. Hello, hello. How are you?

0:07:08 > 0:07:12There's a bottle of brandy cider. You can't be...

0:07:12 > 0:07:16Is that for me? Yes, that's for you. Oh, how enormously kind!

0:07:16 > 0:07:18Every day and everywhere, it gets better and better and now,

0:07:18 > 0:07:21every minute! Our majority's rising steadily.

0:07:21 > 0:07:23You see, we're the future and their Europe's the past.

0:07:23 > 0:07:25BELL TOLLS For whom the bell tolls?

0:07:25 > 0:07:27And for whom the bell is dutifully tolling, yes.

0:07:27 > 0:07:28We've got the future,

0:07:28 > 0:07:33we've got Boris and Gove and all these exciting figures.

0:07:33 > 0:07:35There's no petrol left in their tank.

0:07:35 > 0:07:39Today, they had to wheel out Neil Kinnock. I think that says something, don't you?

0:07:41 > 0:07:44When we are competing in a global marketplace,

0:07:44 > 0:07:48we don't want to leave the European Union, wreck our economy and,

0:07:48 > 0:07:52in that sense, ruin the future life chances of children

0:07:52 > 0:07:56and grandchildren, perhaps of yourselves in this room.

0:07:56 > 0:07:59APPLAUSE

0:08:00 > 0:08:03Well, ladies and gentlemen, you heard it here first.

0:08:03 > 0:08:05Greece, Spain - they're not basket cases.

0:08:05 > 0:08:07They're these wonderful economies -

0:08:07 > 0:08:10youth unemployment heading towards 50%.

0:08:10 > 0:08:13The Italian economy hasn't grown since 2000 but, clearly,

0:08:13 > 0:08:14it's a wonderful, successful economy.

0:08:14 > 0:08:19How lucky we are to be shackled to our Italian friends(!)

0:08:19 > 0:08:22We creep away as Jacob wins his debate hands down.

0:08:22 > 0:08:25It's almost too painful to watch.

0:08:29 > 0:08:33This morning, as the EU campaign heads towards knockout,

0:08:33 > 0:08:37we have Sir John Major, former Prime Minister, arguing for Remain.

0:08:37 > 0:08:40And what they have said about leaving is fundamentally

0:08:40 > 0:08:44dishonest, and it's dishonest about the cost of Europe.

0:08:44 > 0:08:46And on the subject that they've veered towards,

0:08:46 > 0:08:49having lost the economic argument of immigration,

0:08:49 > 0:08:52I think their campaign is verging on the squalid.

0:08:52 > 0:08:56While Nigel and Jacob scrap it out on the ground,

0:08:56 > 0:08:59Leave and Remain are heading for the TV studios.

0:08:59 > 0:09:02Worried by the endlessly changing polls,

0:09:02 > 0:09:04Remain double up the doom, sending out

0:09:04 > 0:09:08a patriarch to question the errant Leave children's iniquity.

0:09:08 > 0:09:11To my surprise, Leave are thrilled,

0:09:11 > 0:09:13particularly the hedge fund billionaire backing them.

0:09:13 > 0:09:18I thought, John, I never thought you were like Ted Heath but now I do!

0:09:18 > 0:09:21You know, how bad-tempered he was towards Maggie,

0:09:21 > 0:09:26that nothing she did was ever of any value.

0:09:26 > 0:09:28And, in much the same way,

0:09:28 > 0:09:34he just can't resist absolutely doing in Boris.

0:09:34 > 0:09:39And, the trouble is, the more he does that, the more Joe Public thinks, great!

0:09:39 > 0:09:40The fighter opening up.

0:09:40 > 0:09:43I mean, if you looked at the John Major interview on Sunday,

0:09:43 > 0:09:46I thought it was quite extraordinary.

0:09:46 > 0:09:52You had a former Prime Minister launching a vicious attack on

0:09:52 > 0:09:54a member of his own party

0:09:54 > 0:09:59who could potentially be the next party leader.

0:09:59 > 0:10:02This is civil war at its worst.

0:10:02 > 0:10:05And if you've got civil war, then you actually have to create

0:10:05 > 0:10:09conditions which allow for reconciliation and for moving on.

0:10:09 > 0:10:14As in all good rows, the Leave leaders' call for moderation fails.

0:10:14 > 0:10:18It doesn't help that Gisela is from another family - the Labour Party.

0:10:18 > 0:10:21Tory backbenchers ring me, scenting blood.

0:10:23 > 0:10:25I think it's about credibility.

0:10:26 > 0:10:29I struggle to think that the Prime Minister,

0:10:29 > 0:10:33if it's a Leave vote when I'm hoping and working for that,

0:10:33 > 0:10:37that the Prime Minister's credibility will be shot and

0:10:37 > 0:10:39I think he knows that and those around him certainly know that.

0:10:42 > 0:10:45Hello, this is Studio 6C. Is Jacob Rees-Mogg in the studio?

0:10:45 > 0:10:47Yes, I'm here, ready and waiting. Excellent.

0:10:47 > 0:10:50The producer will be talking to you shortly. OK. Thank you.

0:10:50 > 0:10:54MUSIC: Venus by Bananarama

0:10:54 > 0:10:58I think I preferred Prime Minister's Questions to what we're getting coming through now!

0:10:58 > 0:11:02And I think Project Fear's beginning to be laughed at. Um...

0:11:02 > 0:11:05Somebody was saying to me yesterday that the Prime Minister is

0:11:05 > 0:11:08beginning to be like the boy who called wolf, and there isn't

0:11:08 > 0:11:13this great pack of wolves about to descend on the British public!

0:11:13 > 0:11:14I'm going to put these on, actually,

0:11:14 > 0:11:16in case they want me to say something.

0:11:16 > 0:11:20Have you not, Jacob, in the last few days, just taken such

0:11:20 > 0:11:24a pounding from the Remain camp on the economy?

0:11:24 > 0:11:26I don't think we've taken a pounding at all.

0:11:26 > 0:11:27Look, the Government's cronies

0:11:27 > 0:11:29are supporting the Government's position.

0:11:29 > 0:11:32I think we are growing in strength and momentum every day,

0:11:32 > 0:11:34in every way it gets better and better.

0:11:38 > 0:11:41There is one cloud on the Leave horizon.

0:11:41 > 0:11:44David Cameron refuses to debate Boris or Michael head-to-head

0:11:44 > 0:11:46and picks Nigel tomorrow,

0:11:46 > 0:11:49hoping to tarnish Gove et al with the Farage brush.

0:11:54 > 0:11:58Mr Farage is facing the Prime Minister tomorrow.

0:11:58 > 0:12:02Him up against the Prime Minister, that's one thing.

0:12:02 > 0:12:04I would not have shared a platform with him.

0:12:06 > 0:12:09I am ecumenical but not saintly.

0:12:17 > 0:12:19Pasty of independence!

0:12:19 > 0:12:23I'm learning that each campaign has its motif - Leave's bus,

0:12:23 > 0:12:27Remain's staged event. Nigel's is a poster.

0:12:27 > 0:12:31Barely seen outside London, but each launch catnip to the media.

0:12:32 > 0:12:36Yes, on debate day, we're jostling for space with the world's cameras.

0:12:36 > 0:12:38Farage back in the limelight again.

0:12:40 > 0:12:41I think he believes in

0:12:41 > 0:12:44a higher political order that we should be a part of.

0:12:44 > 0:12:47And I would say that you cannot be an independent,

0:12:47 > 0:12:50self-governing nation and a member of the European Union.

0:12:50 > 0:12:52He is utterly and entirely wrong.

0:12:52 > 0:12:56The Britain Stronger In Europe campaign says that you are

0:12:56 > 0:12:59sexist, that you are racist... Very good. ..that you are toxic.

0:12:59 > 0:13:00Very good. Do you think that, tonight,

0:13:00 > 0:13:03you'll be able to overcome that and win people over?

0:13:03 > 0:13:04Well, at least I tell the truth.

0:13:04 > 0:13:08The fact they're stooping to these depths means we are now winning.

0:13:08 > 0:13:12But it's not just Remain that think you're a liability. The Vote Leave people do as well.

0:13:12 > 0:13:13They won't have anything to do with you.

0:13:13 > 0:13:17Well, because they're looking for their jobs in Number 10 after the election's over.

0:13:17 > 0:13:19And some people in the Remain camp are saying that you are

0:13:19 > 0:13:23the Keyser Soze of this campaign, you are the invisible dark force

0:13:23 > 0:13:25who is actually running the Vote Leave campaign.

0:13:25 > 0:13:29Well, to be compared to Peter Mandelson is a high compliment.

0:13:32 > 0:13:34Away from the chasing pack,

0:13:34 > 0:13:38he's happy to show off eight million listeners tuning in to Radio Nigel.

0:13:38 > 0:13:39..UK out of Europe.

0:13:39 > 0:13:42But while Nigel Farage is playing a leading role ahead of the EU

0:13:42 > 0:13:47referendum, he wasn't selected to head the official Leave campaign.

0:13:47 > 0:13:50He joins us now. Good afternoon. Good afternoon.

0:13:50 > 0:13:52So, how do you feel about...

0:13:52 > 0:13:55What was your first thought on waking this morning? Gosh!

0:13:55 > 0:13:57HE LAUGHS

0:13:57 > 0:13:58Gosh, this is it!

0:13:58 > 0:14:01This is the nearest thing that we're going to get to

0:14:01 > 0:14:04a head-to-head debate with the Prime Minister in this campaign,

0:14:04 > 0:14:08and for him to come out yesterday and say it would put a bomb under

0:14:08 > 0:14:12the British economy, I think we've got the chap on the run, you know.

0:14:12 > 0:14:14Some Leave people want you to shut up!

0:14:14 > 0:14:16They don't want you talking, connecting with people.

0:14:16 > 0:14:18Well, because they're worried about the Conservative Party...

0:14:18 > 0:14:21poxy Conservative Party and its future.

0:14:21 > 0:14:25I don't give a damn about the Conservative Party or the Labour Party!

0:14:25 > 0:14:30And frankly, in the context of this referendum, Ukip is a very,

0:14:30 > 0:14:36very poor second. This issue, this is about the country.

0:14:36 > 0:14:38It's not about wretched careers!

0:14:38 > 0:14:43Despite wretched party politics, more and more Conservative MPs are

0:14:43 > 0:14:48willing to publicly endorse Farage as he assumes greater prominence.

0:14:48 > 0:14:52Nigel Farage is a formidable debater who Nick Clegg massively

0:14:52 > 0:14:56underestimated a couple of years ago, to his great cost.

0:14:56 > 0:14:58And I think the same thing's happening again.

0:14:58 > 0:15:02I think the Remain camp thought that going up against Nigel Farage

0:15:02 > 0:15:04was the easy deal.

0:15:04 > 0:15:07They thought that they could paint Nigel Farage in a particular way,

0:15:07 > 0:15:10and they may well find that they've bungled that, actually.

0:15:24 > 0:15:25Good evening.

0:15:25 > 0:15:27There are now just 16 days to go

0:15:27 > 0:15:30before the UK makes a momentous decision.

0:15:30 > 0:15:34Frankly, the cost of membership now far outweighs any benefit.

0:15:34 > 0:15:37The things that affect our great country we would have no say over.

0:15:37 > 0:15:41I think it is wrong, wrong, wrong! That would damage our economy.

0:15:41 > 0:15:43We need to be in this organisation.

0:15:43 > 0:15:47We need to get back British passports. I love this country...

0:15:47 > 0:15:51How do you think it plays or will play? I don't know.

0:15:51 > 0:15:54You can't ask the chap on the pitch how he's doing, can you?

0:15:54 > 0:15:57I don't know. I don't know.

0:15:57 > 0:16:00I mean, clearly we're entering a, you know,

0:16:00 > 0:16:04last two weeks in which it's going to be pretty frantic and it's

0:16:04 > 0:16:06probably going to get quite rough.

0:16:06 > 0:16:10His contribution infuriates Leave almost as much as Remain.

0:16:10 > 0:16:13Overnight, spinners from both whisper calumnies into our ears

0:16:13 > 0:16:17about the errant Nigel. It's not a great success.

0:16:17 > 0:16:18The polls stay becalmed

0:16:18 > 0:16:21as the contest gets ever more heated and bad-tempered.

0:16:27 > 0:16:31MUSIC: Habanera from Carmen by Georges Bizet

0:16:31 > 0:16:32The race could be tight.

0:16:32 > 0:16:34Every vote will count.

0:16:34 > 0:16:36And that's why the campaigning has become so frantic.

0:16:37 > 0:16:41What's remarkable about my private conversations with both sides

0:16:41 > 0:16:44is how little they're thinking about life after the vote.

0:16:44 > 0:16:48They just want to win. The future can look after itself.

0:16:48 > 0:16:51Worries about that nonchalance are starting to be quietly voiced.

0:16:51 > 0:16:56My concern right from the very start was that the risk was that

0:16:56 > 0:16:58David Cameron would win the referendum but lose his own party.

0:17:00 > 0:17:02Funnily enough, as of today,

0:17:02 > 0:17:05it could be completely the other way around.

0:17:06 > 0:17:10Including that Boris could win the referendum but actually find

0:17:10 > 0:17:13that he is not the darling of the party, so, you know,

0:17:13 > 0:17:16the chemistry and the dynamics here are quite complicated

0:17:16 > 0:17:20and they are quite entwined and they are far from certain.

0:17:29 > 0:17:31'Prosperous and profoundly Tory,

0:17:31 > 0:17:34'Sutton Coldfield is the kind of place that Leave have to win.

0:17:36 > 0:17:37'I roll up at The Great Debate,

0:17:37 > 0:17:40'organised by the local MP Andrew Mitchell.

0:17:40 > 0:17:43'Remain Lords Ashdown and Heseltine

0:17:43 > 0:17:46'versus Leave's Gisela Stuart and, yes,

0:17:46 > 0:17:48'the man she'd never share a platform with.

0:17:48 > 0:17:51'Nigel couldn't be happier.'

0:17:51 > 0:17:53So, you're running the Leave campaign, I see?

0:17:53 > 0:17:55That's what they say! HE LAUGHS

0:17:55 > 0:17:57I just do what I do.

0:17:57 > 0:18:01Let Osborne say what he likes, let Mr Cameron say what he likes,

0:18:01 > 0:18:02I think they're in trouble.

0:18:03 > 0:18:05APPLAUSE

0:18:08 > 0:18:12That group of unelected old men in Brussels have hijacked

0:18:12 > 0:18:16the word Europe and I want us to vote for Brexit

0:18:16 > 0:18:20not just so that we are a free, independent democracy,

0:18:20 > 0:18:24but so that the rest of Europe follows our example.

0:18:24 > 0:18:25Let's have a true Europe.

0:18:25 > 0:18:27CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

0:18:28 > 0:18:31NATO is stronger with a united Europe and weaker with

0:18:31 > 0:18:33a divided one. APPLAUSE

0:18:33 > 0:18:34The one-person...

0:18:34 > 0:18:37The one person who knows that most of all,

0:18:37 > 0:18:41it's president Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin.

0:18:41 > 0:18:43And for... A RIPPLE OF DISAGREEMENT

0:18:43 > 0:18:44Oh, listen, guys.

0:18:44 > 0:18:46Just because you boo doesn't mean to say it isn't true.

0:18:46 > 0:18:48MIX OF BOOING AND APPLAUSE

0:18:48 > 0:18:50So, here is... Here is...

0:18:50 > 0:18:51So, here is...

0:18:51 > 0:18:55Let me come to the issue of immigration.

0:18:57 > 0:19:01And frankly, it's not just about immigration.

0:19:01 > 0:19:02It's about race.

0:19:02 > 0:19:06Have you watched to see what Marine Le Pen,

0:19:06 > 0:19:12what Donald Trump and Nigel Farage are saying about this issue?

0:19:12 > 0:19:14SHOUTING AND BOOING

0:19:14 > 0:19:15SOME APPLAUSE

0:19:15 > 0:19:18You say, "Don't make it personal."

0:19:18 > 0:19:22This is Nigel's article in the Daily Telegraph today.

0:19:22 > 0:19:24APPLAUSE

0:19:24 > 0:19:28Am I not allowed to quote his words? FROM CROWD: No. Oh, I see.

0:19:28 > 0:19:30LAUGHTER

0:19:33 > 0:19:38Nigel's utterly unmoved by the row over his remarks about "kith and kin."

0:19:38 > 0:19:41Gisela, however, is furious.

0:19:41 > 0:19:42I am angry.

0:19:42 > 0:19:46The Conservatives are trying to make anybody who is for Out

0:19:46 > 0:19:47stooges of Farage,

0:19:47 > 0:19:49and they've turned up the temperature

0:19:49 > 0:19:50in a way which is unhealthy.

0:19:52 > 0:19:53Round two.

0:19:53 > 0:19:56The other combatants and pretty much all of Sutton Coldfield

0:19:56 > 0:19:58squeeze into the pub.

0:19:58 > 0:20:00Is Mr Farage a racist? I don't know.

0:20:00 > 0:20:03I'd have to look into his mind and I'd rather not.

0:20:03 > 0:20:06But there is absolutely no doubt that the way that the Leave campaign

0:20:06 > 0:20:10have been playing this argument appeals to those who are racist.

0:20:10 > 0:20:12I have no... I mean, this is racist dog whistling.

0:20:13 > 0:20:15Go on, get in there, get in there.

0:20:15 > 0:20:16Farage is very important,

0:20:16 > 0:20:18cos he's created the Leave campaign,

0:20:18 > 0:20:21but they're deeply ashamed of him, because they know

0:20:21 > 0:20:24what underlines his case. Which is?

0:20:24 > 0:20:28Which is this racial, racist and immigrant issue.

0:20:28 > 0:20:31Oh, typical. Disgraceful old man. Really? Disgraceful old man.

0:20:31 > 0:20:33He should be in the Natural History Museum in my opinion.

0:20:33 > 0:20:36Listening to him reminded me why I resigned from

0:20:36 > 0:20:38the Conservative Party and that cheered me up.

0:20:38 > 0:20:40I've made the right decision!

0:20:40 > 0:20:41HE LAUGHS

0:20:47 > 0:20:50I have to say, I'm feeling pretty gloomy.

0:20:50 > 0:20:53This is an e-mail I sent to one of my best mates last night.

0:20:53 > 0:20:57It said, my political antennae make me feel that the anti-immigration

0:20:57 > 0:21:01sentiment amongst blue-collar urban England is going viral for Leave.

0:21:01 > 0:21:04I thought David Cameron would win for Remain,

0:21:04 > 0:21:06but perhaps lose the affections of his own party,

0:21:06 > 0:21:10but I now think that Boris will win for Leave but that the

0:21:10 > 0:21:13Conservative Party will lose the affections of the country.

0:21:15 > 0:21:17SCREAMING

0:21:19 > 0:21:21Alan Duncan's isn't a lone voice.

0:21:21 > 0:21:25Some Brexiteers are delighted by the public support they're getting,

0:21:25 > 0:21:30but surprised nobody can see the coming storm in government.

0:21:30 > 0:21:31We were in Southend today,

0:21:31 > 0:21:35looking at supposedly one of the world's scariest rollercoasters.

0:21:35 > 0:21:37It's nothing to what's going to happen in Parliament.

0:21:38 > 0:21:42A referendum often turns into a question that is not being asked,

0:21:42 > 0:21:46and essentially what everybody's just saying is, "Screw you."

0:21:47 > 0:21:50'Here we are, what, a week before polling?'

0:21:50 > 0:21:53I just think the mood as of today is Leave.

0:21:53 > 0:21:55We're on the brink.

0:21:55 > 0:21:57MUSIC: O Fortuna from Carmina Burana by Carl Orff

0:21:57 > 0:22:01I'm hearing rumours that the evil genius behind the Leave poll surge,

0:22:01 > 0:22:06one Nigel Farage, may be invited into a post-Brexit Cabinet.

0:22:06 > 0:22:08Rumours his team do nothing to deny.

0:22:09 > 0:22:10But then...

0:22:10 > 0:22:13HUW EDWARDS: Ukip has rejected accusations of racism

0:22:13 > 0:22:16after unveiling a poster showing a queue of migrants

0:22:16 > 0:22:19at Europe's border with the slogan Breaking Point.

0:22:19 > 0:22:22Then it's a short taxi ride to Tower Bridge.

0:22:22 > 0:22:26Nigel and the besotted media are going fishing.

0:22:26 > 0:22:29Today is not a party, but the destruction of one of Britain's

0:22:29 > 0:22:32great industries, directly as a result of the European Union.

0:22:32 > 0:22:35MUSIC CONTINUES

0:22:45 > 0:22:47MUSIC FROM BOAT: The In Crowd by Bryan Ferry

0:22:50 > 0:22:53'Disgusting. Rich people laughing at poor people.

0:22:53 > 0:22:55Absolutely disgusting.

0:22:58 > 0:23:00They tried to pull off a stunt.

0:23:01 > 0:23:05Bob Geldof then did his bit and in the end,

0:23:05 > 0:23:08I think Joe Public who really cares about this will have just

0:23:08 > 0:23:11looked at it and said, "Children..."

0:23:12 > 0:23:14SHE LAUGHS

0:23:14 > 0:23:16The traffic was stopped for 20 minutes,

0:23:16 > 0:23:18cos they had to keep Tower Bridge open.

0:23:18 > 0:23:19Yeah, yeah, yeah, well...

0:23:19 > 0:23:21And then we wonder why people despair about democracy.

0:23:23 > 0:23:26Vote Leave! Save your country...

0:23:26 > 0:23:30The big challenge is to deal with the undeniable anger

0:23:30 > 0:23:32that is out there.

0:23:32 > 0:23:35They are angry because they feel that those who they have

0:23:35 > 0:23:38charged to make decisions on their behalf in government

0:23:38 > 0:23:41either are not responding to what they think is important,

0:23:41 > 0:23:44or actually now are in institutions where whatever they do,

0:23:44 > 0:23:45it doesn't matter.

0:23:46 > 0:23:51..before one o'clock today, Jo Cox, MP for Batley and Spenborough,

0:23:51 > 0:23:53was attacked in Market Street, Birstall.

0:23:54 > 0:23:57I am now very sad to have to report

0:23:57 > 0:24:00that she has died as a result of her injuries.

0:24:00 > 0:24:04And secondly, an eyewitness, somebody who saw and heard

0:24:04 > 0:24:09what happened, said he heard the attacker say, "Britain first" twice.

0:24:09 > 0:24:11The words I heard him say was "Britain first" or "put Britain first."

0:24:11 > 0:24:13I can't say which, exactly what it was,

0:24:13 > 0:24:16but definitely "Britain first" was what he said when it was shouted.

0:24:16 > 0:24:18He shouted it at least twice.

0:24:20 > 0:24:22THUNDER ROLLS

0:24:25 > 0:24:31I was flying up to Glasgow and I literally arrived at the airport

0:24:31 > 0:24:34and my messages said, "Ring immediately."

0:24:36 > 0:24:38And I rang and what was so extraordinary,

0:24:38 > 0:24:42because I was in the, still, sort of, before you get to the luggage.

0:24:42 > 0:24:44And there was a young man standing next to me,

0:24:44 > 0:24:48and all he heard me say was, "Do we know whether she is still alive?"

0:24:50 > 0:24:55And he gets his mobile phone out and flashes up the news item on Jo Cox.

0:24:57 > 0:24:59And, well, I just cried.

0:25:02 > 0:25:03Any decent person last Thursday

0:25:03 > 0:25:06just wanted to curl up in a corner and cry.

0:25:06 > 0:25:07Whatever side of the House you're on,

0:25:07 > 0:25:11something like that just really cuts us all to the quick.

0:25:12 > 0:25:16However, I'm finding a curious dissonance between public mourning

0:25:16 > 0:25:18and private calculation.

0:25:18 > 0:25:22All campaigning cancelled, Liam Fox is back from Gibraltar,

0:25:22 > 0:25:25worried Jo Cox's death is playing into Remain's hands.

0:25:25 > 0:25:28I hope that we'll not be hearing people try to use

0:25:28 > 0:25:32a tragedy of this proportion to try to change the political tone

0:25:32 > 0:25:35or alter the political weather.

0:25:35 > 0:25:38I think there's a strong argument to consider, at least next week,

0:25:38 > 0:25:41whether we want to extend the period of the referendum itself.

0:25:50 > 0:25:51The vote isn't put off.

0:25:51 > 0:25:54In the face of a barrage of criticism,

0:25:54 > 0:25:57Nigel Farage launches a media onslaught

0:25:57 > 0:26:00to try and regain the momentum he had before the MP's death.

0:26:01 > 0:26:05George Osborne described your "Breaking Point" poster as vile.

0:26:05 > 0:26:08Even Michael Gove, a politician you admire, has disowned it.

0:26:08 > 0:26:11Of course, because we've had this terrible, tragic event.

0:26:11 > 0:26:14What happened on Thursday lunchtime, Thursday afternoon,

0:26:14 > 0:26:17was a terrible, tragic event and you can paint things in all sorts of

0:26:17 > 0:26:18different lights afterwards, but as I say,

0:26:18 > 0:26:21if you look at the stuff that we've put out in this campaign

0:26:21 > 0:26:23and all the stuff Vote Leave has put out, it's very similar.

0:26:23 > 0:26:26Excuse me, excuse me. Do you regret that campaign poster?

0:26:26 > 0:26:30As I say, I regret the death of an innocent Member of Parliament.

0:26:32 > 0:26:35In private conversations, the colder hearts in Vote Leave

0:26:35 > 0:26:38don't think "Breaking Point" was a disaster.

0:26:38 > 0:26:41They think it kept the debate just where they want it,

0:26:41 > 0:26:42immigration.

0:26:42 > 0:26:44They encourage Farage back out.

0:26:51 > 0:26:52HORN HONKS

0:26:52 > 0:26:54Good on ya! We're going to win!

0:26:56 > 0:26:58Beware of what you wish for.

0:26:58 > 0:27:02Despite frantic calls from Boris begging him not to,

0:27:02 > 0:27:05Nigel promptly unveils another poster.

0:27:05 > 0:27:07How do you think your referendum's going?

0:27:07 > 0:27:09Smashing, thank you very much.

0:27:09 > 0:27:11Well done, Nigel. Without you, we wouldn't have it.

0:27:11 > 0:27:16All the very best. You've fought for 20 years for this. I know!

0:27:16 > 0:27:20Only thing we need is self-confidence and belief

0:27:20 > 0:27:23and let's just start believing in Britain, believing in ourselves

0:27:23 > 0:27:25and knowing that, actually, all over the world,

0:27:25 > 0:27:29the most successful countries are independent democratic nations.

0:27:29 > 0:27:33The money behind Farage is largely from one man,

0:27:33 > 0:27:36combative insurance multimillionaire, Aaron Banks.

0:27:36 > 0:27:39I think it's been a long, hard journey for him.

0:27:39 > 0:27:41He started when no-one wanted to listen to him,

0:27:41 > 0:27:44up to the point where it's quite amazing that someone

0:27:44 > 0:27:47that actually has never been elected to Westminster probably

0:27:47 > 0:27:49has become - if we do vote Out -

0:27:49 > 0:27:54will be the single most important politician in the last 25 years.

0:27:54 > 0:27:58David Beckham has said he's for Remain. Well, of course, he's rich!

0:28:00 > 0:28:02Next, it's a dash back into the capital

0:28:02 > 0:28:05and a rather frostier reception.

0:28:05 > 0:28:09There are only two more days to go until the EU referendum.

0:28:09 > 0:28:11Coming into the studio are Nigel Farage

0:28:11 > 0:28:14and former Deputy Prime Minister Michael Heseltine.

0:28:14 > 0:28:17MUSIC: Vin ou Biere from Faust by Charles Gounod

0:28:34 > 0:28:36We simply don't know how many people

0:28:36 > 0:28:38are going to be coming into our country.

0:28:38 > 0:28:41The basic fact is we have an open door...

0:28:41 > 0:28:45The essence of the Brexit case is to create all these fears.

0:28:45 > 0:28:48You can see what happens here - they find the argument so difficult,

0:28:48 > 0:28:51they're so terrified of losing on Thursday,

0:28:51 > 0:28:53that they're going for the man and not the ball.

0:28:53 > 0:28:55You see this poster he's produced

0:28:55 > 0:28:57and the reference to "Breaking Point" -

0:28:57 > 0:28:59there was a racial element to that.

0:28:59 > 0:29:03I have challenged some of the basic assumptions of the Establishment.

0:29:03 > 0:29:07Anti-immigrant and all that sort of stuff, gone on and on and on...

0:29:07 > 0:29:10Even to talk about it, you get labelled as "anti-immigrant".

0:29:10 > 0:29:14It is utterly preposterous. It may be OK for your class of people...

0:29:14 > 0:29:16Bits of outrageous abuse, but then I'm Nigel Farage,

0:29:16 > 0:29:19so I'd be disappointed if I didn't, really.

0:29:21 > 0:29:25LAURA KUENSSBERG: Big ideas, big characters, big rows.

0:29:25 > 0:29:27Now, time for the biggest debate.

0:29:27 > 0:29:32Since when has the UK been interested in politics?

0:29:32 > 0:29:36Suddenly, families are speaking to each other, basically.

0:29:36 > 0:29:38They're rowing with each other.

0:29:38 > 0:29:41I'm crossing my fingers, I really am.

0:29:41 > 0:29:44If we win, that is the most amazing result.

0:29:44 > 0:29:47I mean, it's going to be very, very close.

0:29:51 > 0:29:54If we were not in the EU today...

0:29:54 > 0:29:56TUC has looked at all the hard evidence...

0:29:56 > 0:29:59I've been listening to businesses large and small...

0:29:59 > 0:30:02Despite the hype and hope,

0:30:02 > 0:30:05The Great Debate is in fact a reminder of the difference

0:30:05 > 0:30:07between the earthy populism of Farage

0:30:07 > 0:30:10and the Leave and Remain campaigns, distant voices,

0:30:10 > 0:30:12shouting, not connecting.

0:30:12 > 0:30:14The polls barely move.

0:30:15 > 0:30:20But away from the public gaze, there is one all too human moment.

0:30:20 > 0:30:21Right in front of me,

0:30:21 > 0:30:25the man running Remain's campaign surprises Michael Gove.

0:30:25 > 0:30:28Which country, of all those you've listed,

0:30:28 > 0:30:30wants us to leave the European Union?

0:30:30 > 0:30:32I think there are people... Which country?

0:30:32 > 0:30:34There are people... No, which country?

0:30:34 > 0:30:36Your poster on Turkey was no different

0:30:36 > 0:30:38from Nigel Farage's poster on "Breaking Point".

0:30:38 > 0:30:41They have the same sentiment - to scare people, to stir up fear,

0:30:41 > 0:30:43that's what you were doing.

0:30:43 > 0:30:47That is a Project Hate and that's what your campaign has been doing.

0:30:58 > 0:30:59But you will be voting?

0:30:59 > 0:31:02Oh, I'll be voting. Absolutely, absolutely.

0:31:02 > 0:31:05We've even discussed my wife voting one way and me voting the other,

0:31:05 > 0:31:06so we balance it out.

0:31:11 > 0:31:12Polls deadlocked.

0:31:12 > 0:31:14Whatever the public bravado,

0:31:14 > 0:31:17in private, both sides are completely at sea

0:31:17 > 0:31:18as to what's about to happen,

0:31:18 > 0:31:20both now and after the vote.

0:31:21 > 0:31:25I woke up at four o'clock this morning and I feel...

0:31:25 > 0:31:26physically ill.

0:31:26 > 0:31:30It's like being summoned to be beaten by the headmaster at school.

0:31:30 > 0:31:34I feel that we are on the verge of a huge decision

0:31:34 > 0:31:36and I don't know which way it's going to go

0:31:36 > 0:31:38and I've always in my political life -

0:31:38 > 0:31:41a sort of arrogant thing to say, really,

0:31:41 > 0:31:46but for 33 years here and pretty much when I was a soldier too -

0:31:46 > 0:31:49I pretty much sort of thought I knew how to deal with

0:31:49 > 0:31:53what I was going to be faced with, but if this goes wrong for Britain,

0:31:53 > 0:31:56I just don't know what the consequences are going to be

0:31:56 > 0:31:58and I think they are very, very serious.

0:31:58 > 0:32:03I think they're serious for Europe and I think they are very serious

0:32:03 > 0:32:07politically for us and I just cannot see my way ahead.

0:32:07 > 0:32:12For the whole of our dear, dear, wonderful country, I just want

0:32:12 > 0:32:17to cross that finishing line on the right side of the ledger.

0:32:23 > 0:32:25It's been very tight throughout.

0:32:25 > 0:32:28If anything, I think there's a slight move towards Leave

0:32:28 > 0:32:29in these last few days.

0:32:31 > 0:32:34Now it just feels we're almost there

0:32:34 > 0:32:39and, almost, there's a sense of being able to almost just touch

0:32:39 > 0:32:41a real, historical change.

0:32:45 > 0:32:48Out in Middle England, Leave's talisman is being deployed

0:32:48 > 0:32:49in one last big hurrah.

0:32:51 > 0:32:55I can see you're not dressed for work, Boris, I can see that.

0:32:55 > 0:32:58Nice to see you. How are you? Nice to see you.

0:32:58 > 0:33:02Thanks for coming out this morning. Thank you very much. How are you?

0:33:02 > 0:33:04We trip over a rare, unguarded moment.

0:33:04 > 0:33:06How are you doing? We're doing very well.

0:33:06 > 0:33:08It's going to be absolutely fine.

0:33:10 > 0:33:11Not here. Then they're back on script...

0:33:11 > 0:33:14We're actually probably right in the centre of the country,

0:33:14 > 0:33:16Ashby-de-la-Zouch, a beautiful market town.

0:33:16 > 0:33:18We're going to a butcher's shop just round the corner.

0:33:18 > 0:33:20..albeit to a rather hostile reaction.

0:33:20 > 0:33:24Why would you, like, leap into the unknown?

0:33:24 > 0:33:29So the whole of England you want to leave? It's not on, is it, Boris?

0:33:30 > 0:33:31It's too scary, isn't it?

0:33:31 > 0:33:34We're British and we take risks.

0:33:34 > 0:33:37I think it'll be 52 Remain, 48 Leave.

0:33:37 > 0:33:39I think there are a lot of Leave people who don't believe it.

0:33:39 > 0:33:42I've always thought that Boris' wish was to lose by one

0:33:42 > 0:33:44so that he could be the heir apparent

0:33:44 > 0:33:48without having to have all the S-H-1-T of clearing up the mess.

0:33:48 > 0:33:51That's always been my view of Boris.

0:33:51 > 0:33:53By championing Leave,

0:33:53 > 0:33:55he can be the great heir apparent for the future,

0:33:55 > 0:33:57darling of the activists,

0:33:57 > 0:34:00but actually it'd be quite good if he didn't win the referendum,

0:34:00 > 0:34:03because there would be total chaos.

0:34:03 > 0:34:07Independence day. Yeah, yeah. Absolutely. Good luck, everybody.

0:34:07 > 0:34:09See you, folks. Remember Ashby-de-la-Zouch.

0:34:11 > 0:34:13It's the same message in Mayfair.

0:34:13 > 0:34:15Leave will lose by a 2% margin,

0:34:15 > 0:34:18according to Crispin Odey's private polls.

0:34:18 > 0:34:21The odds are - what? - 8/1 at this stage.

0:34:21 > 0:34:24The hedge funder has commissioned them so he can make money,

0:34:24 > 0:34:25get ahead of the market,

0:34:25 > 0:34:28but the numbers prompt an unusually harsh verdict

0:34:28 > 0:34:30on the campaign he's poured his money into.

0:34:30 > 0:34:34You are quite low, actually, aren't you? Yeah, I am quite low. I am.

0:34:34 > 0:34:37I sort of slightly thought maybe...

0:34:37 > 0:34:41we are going to get one of those wonderful results of history,

0:34:41 > 0:34:45but I think the administration wasn't very good and I'm afraid

0:34:45 > 0:34:48everything else has taken its toll. We'll see tomorrow.

0:34:48 > 0:34:51The administration of Vote Leave is not very good.

0:34:53 > 0:34:54We've paid the price.

0:34:55 > 0:34:58Anyway, we'll see, we'll see.

0:34:58 > 0:34:59I'm a bit depressed.

0:35:02 > 0:35:06MUSIC: Overture from The Marriage of Figaro by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart

0:35:13 > 0:35:16Decided which way to vote yet, Nigel? I'm thinking about it.

0:35:16 > 0:35:19I've been undecided up until now, but...

0:35:22 > 0:35:24Are you feeling confident, Prime Minister?

0:35:24 > 0:35:25Morning, sir!

0:35:25 > 0:35:26Sir!

0:35:29 > 0:35:30BIG BEN STRIKES

0:35:30 > 0:35:33History unfolds in a square mile,

0:35:33 > 0:35:35the media running between a techno village

0:35:35 > 0:35:37just outside the House of Commons,

0:35:37 > 0:35:39a sort of digital Glastonbury,

0:35:39 > 0:35:42and a cramped nightclub high in Millbank Tower,

0:35:42 > 0:35:43host: Nigel Farage.

0:36:02 > 0:36:04Ladies and gentlemen, good evening!

0:36:04 > 0:36:06Good evening!

0:36:06 > 0:36:12I want to say a massive, massive thanks to every single voter today

0:36:12 > 0:36:16who had the guts to defy their party-political leaders,

0:36:16 > 0:36:18to defy the Establishment,

0:36:18 > 0:36:21to defy the elites and to defy the big boys.

0:36:21 > 0:36:25I hope and pray that my sense of this tonight is wrong

0:36:25 > 0:36:29and my sense of this is that the Government's registration scheme,

0:36:29 > 0:36:31getting two million voters on,

0:36:31 > 0:36:34the 48-hour extension, may be what tips the balance.

0:36:34 > 0:36:36I hope I'm wrong.

0:36:36 > 0:36:38I hope I'm made a fool of,

0:36:38 > 0:36:39believing that to be the case,

0:36:39 > 0:36:41but tonight, whatever the result,

0:36:41 > 0:36:44is not one for recriminations but for a celebration that the landscape

0:36:44 > 0:36:47of British politics in the course of the last few weeks

0:36:47 > 0:36:50has changed and it's changed forever.

0:36:50 > 0:36:53CHEERING

0:36:58 > 0:37:01As dawn breaks, the booze runs out in Club Farage.

0:37:01 > 0:37:04Nobody cares, media or revellers. Something's up.

0:37:05 > 0:37:09THEY CHANT: Out! Out! Out! Out! Out! Out!

0:37:11 > 0:37:13CHEERING

0:37:18 > 0:37:20The same message is being heard 100 yards away.

0:37:24 > 0:37:27They're saying 85% probability of a Leave win now.

0:37:29 > 0:37:31How does that make you feel?

0:37:31 > 0:37:32It makes me feel very good.

0:37:36 > 0:37:38But I'm...

0:37:38 > 0:37:40I'm waiting for the actual result.

0:37:42 > 0:37:45CHEERING AND CHANTING

0:37:49 > 0:37:50I just can't believe it.

0:37:50 > 0:37:53I honestly can't believe it. Nigel!

0:37:54 > 0:37:56APPLAUSE

0:37:59 > 0:38:01SHOUTING AND APPLAUSE

0:38:03 > 0:38:04Ladies and gentlemen...

0:38:06 > 0:38:08..dare to dream...

0:38:09 > 0:38:11..that the dawn is breaking

0:38:11 > 0:38:14on an independent United Kingdom.

0:38:14 > 0:38:16CHEERING

0:38:20 > 0:38:24Let June 23rd go down in our history

0:38:24 > 0:38:26as our independence day!

0:38:26 > 0:38:28CHEERING

0:38:45 > 0:38:47It's out. The numbers,

0:38:47 > 0:38:50all the numbers say Britain is out of the EU.

0:38:51 > 0:38:53Sky News and BBC as well.

0:39:01 > 0:39:02Welcome.

0:39:03 > 0:39:07You're happy, but what can you say when you see the market tumbling

0:39:07 > 0:39:09and all sorts of insecurity ahead,

0:39:09 > 0:39:13certainly on the economic front for the short term at least?

0:39:13 > 0:39:15Well, there's bound to be some dislocation.

0:39:15 > 0:39:17Well done. I'm very pleased. Well done.

0:39:21 > 0:39:23Brilliant. Well done, well done.

0:39:26 > 0:39:28It's beginning to sink in that we actually did it.

0:39:30 > 0:39:32And, uh, after all the, um,

0:39:32 > 0:39:35after all the effort and all the ups and downs

0:39:35 > 0:39:37that you get in campaigns,

0:39:37 > 0:39:40there's no up like actually winning it.

0:39:43 > 0:39:46Of course, now we're all really awaiting a response

0:39:46 > 0:39:47from the Prime Minister,

0:39:47 > 0:39:50which I imagine we'll get very early this morning.

0:39:50 > 0:39:53And will he stay, in reality? I think so.

0:39:53 > 0:39:54Really? I hope so.

0:39:54 > 0:39:58What a day. My God! This is a day to remember.

0:39:58 > 0:39:59This is a morning to...

0:39:59 > 0:40:00It's...it's...

0:40:00 > 0:40:02You get so few of these moments

0:40:02 > 0:40:07and you never really properly savour them and they're lost

0:40:07 > 0:40:09and I'm going to savour this one.

0:40:15 > 0:40:19There's that Italian expression, "il mattino ha l'oro in bocca,"

0:40:19 > 0:40:21"the morning has gold in its mouth,"

0:40:21 > 0:40:29and never has one felt so much that idea as this morning, really.

0:40:30 > 0:40:34I discover Crispin has two reasons to be cheerful -

0:40:34 > 0:40:36Brexit and bonds.

0:40:36 > 0:40:39Overnight, he's made 220 million quid,

0:40:39 > 0:40:43betting markets will collapse as his campaign succeeds.

0:40:43 > 0:40:47I still think tomorrow they're going to take it all away from me,

0:40:47 > 0:40:51cos I've lived for too long in the Euro world.

0:40:51 > 0:40:54You might have been up all night,

0:40:54 > 0:40:57but I'm feeling fresh as a daisy.

0:40:57 > 0:40:59HE CHORTLES

0:40:59 > 0:41:01PHONE RINGS

0:41:01 > 0:41:02Good morning.

0:41:04 > 0:41:05Not a great morning, indeed.

0:41:05 > 0:41:09Darling, I'm just doing a quick interview. Can I call you in ten?

0:41:09 > 0:41:11Yeah, all right, OK, bye.

0:41:12 > 0:41:13Um... So, you were saying...

0:41:16 > 0:41:17I was saying...

0:41:17 > 0:41:20I'm having a bacon butty to console myself.

0:41:20 > 0:41:23There'll be a moment of jubilation for the Leavers.

0:41:25 > 0:41:28The problems I think are short-term economic...

0:41:29 > 0:41:33..and people in a few weeks will not be happy to be paying 10% more

0:41:33 > 0:41:37for their food and their fuel, but these things can pass.

0:41:37 > 0:41:40The real problems I think are political.

0:41:40 > 0:41:42We are entering into a period now

0:41:42 > 0:41:44of deep instability and uncertainty

0:41:44 > 0:41:47and potentially ultra-dysfunctional government.

0:41:48 > 0:41:52The first thing we hear is Michael Gove says he's going to negotiate

0:41:52 > 0:41:56with David Cameron about being in charge of the negotiations.

0:41:56 > 0:41:58Well, these people have got to remember

0:41:58 > 0:42:02they might have won a referendum, but they don't run the country.

0:42:02 > 0:42:05What the hell is Boris thinking this morning?

0:42:05 > 0:42:07I think he's...

0:42:07 > 0:42:09MUMBLING AND BLUSTERING: "What do I do now? What do I do now?

0:42:09 > 0:42:10"It'll be all right!"

0:42:14 > 0:42:18If cold-eyed Crispin planned ahead, not so the politicians.

0:42:18 > 0:42:22That lack of foresight that we found is catching up with the

0:42:22 > 0:42:26Brexit plotters. Nobody's thought about what to do with the PM.

0:42:26 > 0:42:29I'm 100% behind David Cameron staying as Prime Minister for...

0:42:29 > 0:42:31For a period? ..through this process.

0:42:31 > 0:42:33No, I think he needs to lead us through this whole process.

0:42:33 > 0:42:35How can he do it when his heart's not in it?

0:42:35 > 0:42:38He was the person who gave us the referendum in the first place.

0:42:38 > 0:42:40But he didn't really think it would happen.

0:42:40 > 0:42:43He gave the country the choice, by giving the country the choice

0:42:43 > 0:42:46clearly he opened up to the idea they might decide one option or the other.

0:42:46 > 0:42:47George Osborne, should he stay on?

0:42:47 > 0:42:51I don't want today to be a day about changes... Tomorrow then?

0:42:51 > 0:42:55No. This is a moment we need to... Should George Osborne stay on?

0:42:55 > 0:42:59As such, I think the country requires fresh leadership to

0:42:59 > 0:43:02take it in this direction.

0:43:02 > 0:43:06I will do everything I can as Prime Minister to steady the ship

0:43:06 > 0:43:09over the coming weeks and months,

0:43:09 > 0:43:12but I do not think it would be right for me to try to be the....

0:43:12 > 0:43:13What we've actually seen is that

0:43:13 > 0:43:17politics is a high-risk game and when you reach for the stars

0:43:17 > 0:43:21and miss, the first step is quite a painful one to drop.

0:43:21 > 0:43:23By placing himself front and centre of the Remain campaign,

0:43:23 > 0:43:26it became about the confidence in the Prime Minister and

0:43:26 > 0:43:30unfortunately, in the game of politics, the Prime Minister lost.

0:43:31 > 0:43:34I told you we were going to win and that the Prime Minister

0:43:34 > 0:43:36would have to go and George Osborne will have to go as well.

0:43:36 > 0:43:38That hasn't been announced yet, has it?

0:43:38 > 0:43:43Do you want to bet on it? Yes. How much are you having?

0:43:45 > 0:43:50The one prime minister who's socially liberal, built up,

0:43:50 > 0:43:53you know, a reputation for tolerance around the party,

0:43:53 > 0:43:57got an absolute majority, is going.

0:43:57 > 0:43:58That is not good news.

0:43:58 > 0:44:01He's going to be very difficult to replace.

0:44:02 > 0:44:06We were talking to IDS, they were all surprised.

0:44:06 > 0:44:10Well, clever aren't they, yippy dippy do-dah.

0:44:10 > 0:44:15They basically finish him off and then complain when he's gone, didn't

0:44:15 > 0:44:18think through the consequences of what they were suggesting.

0:44:18 > 0:44:24Obviously, if the result was to leave,

0:44:24 > 0:44:27it was a humiliation for the Prime Minister in anyone's book.

0:44:27 > 0:44:29I'm quite upset by it, actually.

0:44:29 > 0:44:36I think a good guy has been basically...binned,

0:44:36 > 0:44:38in a very unfortunate way.

0:44:40 > 0:44:44The ruthlessness is the thing that always shocks people, isn't it?

0:44:44 > 0:44:50It's just...one day he is there and the next he's not.

0:44:51 > 0:44:56You know, I actually think he was right to go as well.

0:44:56 > 0:45:00David never thought he would ever have to hold a referendum.

0:45:00 > 0:45:03And Boris never thought he was going to win it,

0:45:03 > 0:45:06he never thought he was going to win it.

0:45:06 > 0:45:08He just thought that it would be

0:45:08 > 0:45:12the great populist horse that he should ride.

0:45:12 > 0:45:15MUSIC: Anvil Chorus from Il trovatore by Giuseppe Verdi

0:45:21 > 0:45:24If Brexit was won with Nigel Farage's help,

0:45:24 > 0:45:27this war will be fought by Tories alone.

0:45:27 > 0:45:29They don't seem very ready for it.

0:45:32 > 0:45:35So what happens if Boris does eventually become the leader?

0:45:35 > 0:45:37I have no idea. I have no idea.

0:45:37 > 0:45:40I don't even know who the other candidates are.

0:45:40 > 0:45:43I dread it, I dread it.

0:45:43 > 0:45:46It'll be the third, fourth, third leadership election

0:45:46 > 0:45:50I've taken part in and I've loathed every single one of them.

0:45:50 > 0:45:51They're just sort of ghastly.

0:45:51 > 0:45:55You cannot sit down in the tearoom without some twerp coming up...

0:45:57 > 0:46:00Absolutely loathsome. Hideous.

0:46:00 > 0:46:05In my experience, my campaigning for Cameron, during the Cameron

0:46:05 > 0:46:08election, helping with the campaign,

0:46:08 > 0:46:12practically everyone I spoke to assured everyone else they

0:46:12 > 0:46:15were voting for them as well so you never... You know...

0:46:15 > 0:46:17It's meant to be the most sophisticated electorate in Britain,

0:46:17 > 0:46:21it's about the least sophisticated electorate I've ever met in my life.

0:46:23 > 0:46:25Because of the patronage point of view,

0:46:25 > 0:46:29a lot of people won't commit openly because they'll want to be on

0:46:29 > 0:46:33the winning side for obvious career-enhancing reasons.

0:46:34 > 0:46:38I've already come out and said we're going to back Boris. Bridgen backs Boris.

0:46:38 > 0:46:41And that should secure victory? I would have thought so.

0:46:43 > 0:46:45Boris is not possibly the perfect candidate.

0:46:45 > 0:46:49There isn't a perfect candidate but Boris is a winner.

0:46:49 > 0:46:50He's a proven winner.

0:46:53 > 0:46:56Who are you backing for new leader? Boris.

0:46:56 > 0:47:00I think Boris won the referendum for Brexit.

0:47:00 > 0:47:05I think without him and Michael Gove and indeed Gisela Stuart,

0:47:05 > 0:47:09it would have been very very difficult for Brexit to win.

0:47:09 > 0:47:13Boris is an extraordinarily capable politician and I think it would be

0:47:13 > 0:47:19absurd to have somebody running the re-negotiation who supported Remain.

0:47:20 > 0:47:22And you, who are you going for?

0:47:22 > 0:47:23I'm going for Theresa, 100 %.

0:47:23 > 0:47:27It's a time when you need the reliable bank manager really.

0:47:27 > 0:47:29You know, we don't want Flash Harry fireworks.

0:47:29 > 0:47:34We need steadiness and experience and really wrestle with what

0:47:34 > 0:47:40are now economic, political and constitutional crises. Yes.

0:47:40 > 0:47:43All at once. Why not Boris?

0:47:43 > 0:47:46Jacob has come out for him, Nick Soames has come out for him.

0:47:46 > 0:47:48Well, you know,

0:47:48 > 0:47:52Etonians are closer than the masons when it comes to these things.

0:47:54 > 0:47:58It's battle by press launch, but not a carefully choreographed campaign.

0:47:58 > 0:48:00They're all called at a moment's notice

0:48:00 > 0:48:04as candidate after candidate lurches into the spotlight.

0:48:04 > 0:48:06My pitch is very simple, I'm Theresa May and I think

0:48:06 > 0:48:09I'm the best person to be prime minister of this country.

0:48:09 > 0:48:10As we're setting up,

0:48:10 > 0:48:14the first sign that all may not be well with Team BoJo.

0:48:14 > 0:48:18A muttered insistence the candidate won't be taking questions.

0:48:18 > 0:48:20CHEERING

0:48:20 > 0:48:22Good morning, everybody. Thank you very much.

0:48:22 > 0:48:26This is our chance to think globally again, to lift our eyes to the

0:48:26 > 0:48:32horizon, that is the agenda for the next prime minister of this country.

0:48:32 > 0:48:36But I must tell you, that person cannot be me.

0:48:38 > 0:48:40So, a little surprised?

0:48:40 > 0:48:44Yep. I mean...

0:48:44 > 0:48:50There's clearly been a monumental bust up between Michael Gove

0:48:50 > 0:48:53and Boris Johnson.

0:48:53 > 0:48:59I've just had five colleagues from the Boris campaign in my garden

0:48:59 > 0:49:03absolutely spitting feathers and, you know,

0:49:03 > 0:49:06not at Boris,

0:49:06 > 0:49:07at Michael Gove.

0:49:07 > 0:49:09JOURNALISTS SHOUT

0:49:09 > 0:49:12MUSIC: Brindisi from La Traviata by Giuseppe Verdi

0:49:12 > 0:49:14Have a good morning.

0:49:14 > 0:49:18The irony of course that former partner has sabotaged former partner.

0:49:18 > 0:49:24I discover the Michael Gove is backed by a cabal of yes, Etonians.

0:49:24 > 0:49:26I've always wanted Michael Gove

0:49:26 > 0:49:28to stand for the leadership of the party.

0:49:28 > 0:49:30I've encouraged him to do this,

0:49:30 > 0:49:33but I'd announced that I would support Boris, but then he announced

0:49:33 > 0:49:37he was pulling out and so I was free to back Michael.

0:49:39 > 0:49:43Has Michael Gove not completely torpedoed himself?

0:49:44 > 0:49:47He certainly damaged himself.

0:49:47 > 0:49:49In the rear-view mirror of his car,

0:49:49 > 0:49:52there's a lot of bodies mounting up, aren't there?

0:49:52 > 0:49:56It's really difficult when someone's said for years and years

0:49:56 > 0:49:59and years, on TV cameras, "I'm not up to the job,

0:49:59 > 0:50:02"I don't want the job, I couldn't do the job and I'll tell you why

0:50:02 > 0:50:06"I couldn't and in fact if you asked me, I will write in my own blood on parchment,

0:50:06 > 0:50:10"I do no want to be prime minister, and will not stand," and then to change your mind.

0:50:10 > 0:50:12It's just a bit difficult.

0:50:12 > 0:50:15CLAMOURING AND CAMERAS CLICKING

0:50:15 > 0:50:18'I imagine that the reason for Michael Gove's

0:50:18 > 0:50:23'candidacy and Boris Johnson pulling out must be pretty momentous.'

0:50:23 > 0:50:25I mean we're all hearing bits and pieces.

0:50:25 > 0:50:27We're not that far from the Palace of Westminster,

0:50:27 > 0:50:30but we might as well be another side of the Moon for all that

0:50:30 > 0:50:32we're getting information here,

0:50:32 > 0:50:34so the public are feeling a bit bruised.

0:50:34 > 0:50:37Both sides are feeling a little bit battle weary.

0:50:37 > 0:50:40We've now got an uncertain leadership campaign.

0:50:40 > 0:50:42You know, it's an ordinary day in politics.

0:50:42 > 0:50:45GENERAL CHATTER

0:50:45 > 0:50:48Despite being forced to resign from the Cabinet

0:50:48 > 0:50:52a couple of years back, Liam is a candidate too,

0:50:52 > 0:50:56though he can only muster one MP to support him openly.

0:50:56 > 0:50:59Have you seriously got enough support to win this?

0:50:59 > 0:51:01Well, we'll find out next week.

0:51:01 > 0:51:03If someone had told me this morning that Michael Gove would be

0:51:03 > 0:51:06standing and Boris Johnson would have ruled himself out,

0:51:06 > 0:51:09I'm not sure I would have believed them, although in the past week

0:51:09 > 0:51:11I'm beginning to believe anything at all.

0:51:11 > 0:51:15In the free for all, one candidacy is launched on the back of

0:51:15 > 0:51:18a successful television debate performance.

0:51:18 > 0:51:21Andrea Leadsom is the stalking horse of the hardline Brexiteers

0:51:21 > 0:51:25and I'm hearing of Farage himself.

0:51:25 > 0:51:26Shut out from the contest,

0:51:26 > 0:51:30Nigel wants a standard bearer for his politics, his victory.

0:51:31 > 0:51:35It was a big decision to put myself forward to lead our country,

0:51:35 > 0:51:39one that was driven by my absolute conviction that...

0:51:39 > 0:51:42What did you say to her to swing her to do this?

0:51:42 > 0:51:45I said your country needs you. We need clarity.

0:51:45 > 0:51:48We need leadership and we need somebody that voted to leave

0:51:48 > 0:51:52but who represents a generational shift.

0:51:52 > 0:51:56Such is the atmosphere of blind panic, that old romcom favourite,

0:51:56 > 0:52:00the unfortunate midnight text now makes an appearance.

0:52:00 > 0:52:04"I respect the fact that you want Theresa May to be prime minister,

0:52:04 > 0:52:06"it's overwhelmingly likely that she will be and if she does,

0:52:06 > 0:52:08"I will sleep easily at night.

0:52:08 > 0:52:11"Michael doesn't mind spending two months

0:52:11 > 0:52:13"taking a good thrashing from Theresa,

0:52:13 > 0:52:14"if that's what it takes

0:52:14 > 0:52:17"to put the party's interests and the national interest.

0:52:17 > 0:52:21"Surely we must all work together to stop AL?"

0:52:21 > 0:52:22Where AL is Andrea Leadsom.

0:52:22 > 0:52:27That was a text sent to known May supporters asking them basically

0:52:27 > 0:52:31to tactically vote for Gove so that it's Gove-May in the final.

0:52:31 > 0:52:33The text backfires.

0:52:33 > 0:52:37There's a stormy Parliamentary meeting, all cameras banned,

0:52:37 > 0:52:42Gove is called a liar to his face. So it's Theresa versus Andrea.

0:52:42 > 0:52:46I'm delighted to have won so much support from my colleagues.

0:52:46 > 0:52:50I've won votes from Conservative MPs from across the party...

0:52:50 > 0:52:54OPERA DROWNS OUT SPEECH

0:52:54 > 0:52:56There's Michael Gove!

0:52:56 > 0:52:59Why have you lost, Mr Gove? Why have you come third?

0:52:59 > 0:53:03Was it the text from Mr Boles? Did that backfire?

0:53:03 > 0:53:07I'm hugely grateful to all those Members of Parliament who

0:53:07 > 0:53:08supported my candidacy.

0:53:08 > 0:53:11I was really fortunate to have some of the brightest and the best

0:53:11 > 0:53:14in the Parliamentary Party on my side and I'm naturally

0:53:14 > 0:53:16disappointed that I haven't been able to make it through to

0:53:16 > 0:53:19the final round of this leadership contest.

0:53:19 > 0:53:21JOURNALISTS SHOUT

0:53:21 > 0:53:25Do you regret what you did? Is that a yes?

0:53:25 > 0:53:28That's not an end to skulduggery.

0:53:28 > 0:53:31There's another text from the frustrated Faragistas.

0:53:31 > 0:53:36There's a bit of an issue brewing which is the Arron Banks list

0:53:36 > 0:53:40is being used to try and get people to join Conservative Associations

0:53:40 > 0:53:43in what is clearly a takeover attempt.

0:53:43 > 0:53:46We've had an e-mail bombardment which is trying to make it

0:53:46 > 0:53:51look as though Conservatives are only for Leadsom.

0:53:51 > 0:53:59So we have a sort of infiltration attack going on even as we speak.

0:54:01 > 0:54:03SHE LAUGHS

0:54:03 > 0:54:05What is going on?

0:54:05 > 0:54:09Well, I think I told you a couple of months ago this is major

0:54:09 > 0:54:13realignment of political fault lines. Does this not surprise you?

0:54:13 > 0:54:16I mean on a personal level?

0:54:16 > 0:54:19Yes, it does.

0:54:20 > 0:54:24In a sense, they won a victory and threw it away.

0:54:24 > 0:54:28You've just achieved something quite extraordinary,

0:54:28 > 0:54:30you've achieved it against the odds

0:54:30 > 0:54:34and I'm not sure whether they deliberately threw it away.

0:54:37 > 0:54:41..I'm therefore withdrawing from the leadership election.

0:54:41 > 0:54:43Andrea implodes.

0:54:43 > 0:54:46One unfortunate interview about motherhood

0:54:46 > 0:54:49and widespread distaste for the Leave text, and it's Theresa.

0:54:52 > 0:54:54JOURNALISTS SHOUT

0:54:58 > 0:55:01Welcome to Downing Street where there have been

0:55:01 > 0:55:03a great deal of comings and goings today.

0:55:06 > 0:55:09For all the talk of revenge in the press, on the ground

0:55:09 > 0:55:12I feel a palpable sense of the family dusting itself down,

0:55:12 > 0:55:17of the incredible elasticity of the modern politician.

0:55:19 > 0:55:22There's a great line of Churchill's who said he'd often had to

0:55:22 > 0:55:25eat his own words and found it to be a very good diet.

0:55:25 > 0:55:28I accept I've had to eat my own words on all the previous leaders

0:55:28 > 0:55:30and I'm a complete convert to Mrs May.

0:55:33 > 0:55:34CHANTING

0:55:34 > 0:55:38What do we want? Brexit. When do we want it? Now!

0:55:38 > 0:55:41Privately, the PM decides that the combatants in the family row

0:55:41 > 0:55:44should be rewarded with the task of sorting it out.

0:55:46 > 0:55:49Lo and behold, I'm a Foreign Minister.

0:55:49 > 0:55:52So I'm a Minister here at the Foreign Office and frankly,

0:55:52 > 0:55:56it could not be more interesting and more exciting.

0:55:56 > 0:55:58It's my sort of spiritual home in many ways,

0:55:58 > 0:56:00and I'm thrilled to be here.

0:56:00 > 0:56:02..that way, thank you.

0:56:02 > 0:56:05But there is a man in charge of this great department who you

0:56:05 > 0:56:08campaigned against! We've been long-standing friends.

0:56:08 > 0:56:11We get on crackingly well.

0:56:11 > 0:56:13There's never a dull moment, but, you know,

0:56:13 > 0:56:15I think we complement each other.

0:56:15 > 0:56:19To borrow a phrase, toujours plus etroit.

0:56:19 > 0:56:23The French Foreign Minister in fact has sent me a charming letter

0:56:23 > 0:56:25just a couple of hours ago

0:56:25 > 0:56:28saying how much he looked forward to working together.

0:56:30 > 0:56:33Well, I'm now Secretary of State for International Trade in the

0:56:33 > 0:56:36new department that's set up to prepare Britain for

0:56:36 > 0:56:40its trading environment after we've left the European Union

0:56:40 > 0:56:44and the negotiations for actually extricating ourselves from

0:56:44 > 0:56:48the European Union have gone to David Davis' department.

0:56:48 > 0:56:49I'm not particularly worried

0:56:49 > 0:56:52that any of them are not going to do very well at their jobs,

0:56:52 > 0:56:55it's just how it's going to work that worries me.

0:56:55 > 0:56:57You know, three huge egos.

0:56:57 > 0:57:01David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris is going to be

0:57:01 > 0:57:05a very difficult operation in my view to keep on track and it's

0:57:05 > 0:57:09going to be the iron fist of the Prime Minister that will do that.

0:57:11 > 0:57:15So often people go for something that they don't really

0:57:15 > 0:57:19believe in the consequences of what they're saying and I think,

0:57:19 > 0:57:22you've not only got to believe in those consequences,

0:57:22 > 0:57:25you've got to have thought about them actually and that's

0:57:25 > 0:57:28what's frightening about it, is just how little thought

0:57:28 > 0:57:31there has really been to what we're going to do now.

0:57:31 > 0:57:33What does the future hold?

0:57:33 > 0:57:38My answer is I don't really mind because I've, in a very small way,

0:57:38 > 0:57:42helped achieve the very thing that I came into politics largely to do

0:57:42 > 0:57:44which was to give Britain its freedom back

0:57:44 > 0:57:46outside the European Union.

0:57:47 > 0:57:51We have to make our way in the great global world, and that's what

0:57:51 > 0:57:54these boys are going to be negotiating for us.

0:57:54 > 0:57:55And if they don't,

0:57:55 > 0:57:59well, what my father used to call Fouquet in Le Touquet.

0:58:03 > 0:58:05I bet you don't broadcast that.

0:58:10 > 0:58:15One of the questions that is being asked is what am I going to do?

0:58:15 > 0:58:20Amidst the madness, the man who brought it all about stood down -

0:58:20 > 0:58:22almost unnoticed.

0:58:22 > 0:58:27During the referendum campaign, I said I want my country back.

0:58:27 > 0:58:32What I'm saying today is I want my life back and it begins right now.

0:58:32 > 0:58:33Thank you.

0:58:36 > 0:58:38But is it really likely that

0:58:38 > 0:58:42having helped engineer this very British coup that he'll walk away?

0:58:44 > 0:58:45If, what I thought,

0:58:45 > 0:58:52if they were to betray the wishes of the biggest democratic exercise

0:58:52 > 0:58:54in the history of this nation,

0:58:54 > 0:59:02then I think if you feel since June 23 you've seen political change in

0:59:02 > 0:59:06this country, if they betray those people, you ain't seen nothing yet.

0:59:09 > 0:59:14MUSIC: Casta Diva from Norma by Vincenzo Bellini