Brexit - What Next? The Andrew Neil and Tara Mills Interviews

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:00:38. > :00:43.So, Prime Minister, the negotiations to leave the European Union began.

:00:44. > :00:47.It is a historic moment for our country. In what ways will Britain

:00:48. > :00:51.be a better country for leaving the European Union? You are absolutely

:00:52. > :00:55.right, Andrew, that this is a historic moment for our country. We

:00:56. > :00:59.are putting into place now the decisions that was taken in the

:01:00. > :01:05.referendum of the 23rd of June last year to leave the European Union and

:01:06. > :01:09.the formal process has begun. I have written to, as they say, invoke the

:01:10. > :01:13.Article 50 people will have heard about which starts a process of

:01:14. > :01:18.formal associations. As we look ahead to the outcome of the

:01:19. > :01:22.negotiations I believe we should be optimistic as a country about what

:01:23. > :01:28.we can achieve. I think when people voted last June, they voted for us

:01:29. > :01:33.to be in control of our borders, our laws but I think people also voted

:01:34. > :01:37.for change in the country and that is way alongside the work we are

:01:38. > :01:41.doing on Brexit I can clear the Government has a plan for Britain to

:01:42. > :01:46.build a more outward looking country, a stronger economy where

:01:47. > :01:49.everyone plays by the same rules, a fairer society where success is

:01:50. > :01:55.based on merit and a privilege and to make sure we are a more united

:01:56. > :01:58.nation. Somewhere children and grandchildren can be protocol home.

:01:59. > :02:02.But we couldn't have been better in all these ways and remained in the

:02:03. > :02:06.European Union? British people decided they wanted to come out of

:02:07. > :02:11.the European Union and I think when they made that vote, when they give

:02:12. > :02:16.that very clear message to us as politicians, I think what they

:02:17. > :02:20.wanted to see was the United Kingdom making its decisions and not feeling

:02:21. > :02:24.that decisions were being taken in Brussels. It's in the I have sent to

:02:25. > :02:29.trigger this formal process today, I make the point that we are not

:02:30. > :02:33.rejecting Europe, we are not projecting values of democracy and

:02:34. > :02:37.European values, we are saying it is about our national

:02:38. > :02:41.self-determination as a United Kingdom and having control. You have

:02:42. > :02:45.mentioned in control several times. So let me start with immigration.

:02:46. > :02:48.They do that because from many people the scale of immigration over

:02:49. > :02:54.the past ten years was a major, not the only reason, but a major reason

:02:55. > :02:59.why they voted to leave, so can the people who voted that way be

:03:00. > :03:02.reassured that immigration will be significant leader were after

:03:03. > :03:07.Brexit? You are right, for a lot of people when they voted, immigration

:03:08. > :03:12.was one of the key issues. I think what they wanted to know it was the

:03:13. > :03:18.UK Government taking control of our borders, that decisions will be made

:03:19. > :03:21.here in the UK. Obviously we want to see migration, net immigration

:03:22. > :03:26.coming down, we have been able to put rules in place in relation to

:03:27. > :03:30.people coming here to the UK from outside the European Union. Now as a

:03:31. > :03:33.result leaving the European Union we will be able to put rules in place

:03:34. > :03:37.decided here about the basis on which people can come from inside...

:03:38. > :03:42.But will immigration be significantly lower after Brexit? I

:03:43. > :03:46.think we will see a difference in the number of people coming in but I

:03:47. > :03:49.was Home Secretary for six years and when you look at immigration you

:03:50. > :03:53.constantly have to look at this issue because there are so many

:03:54. > :03:57.variables, different things that can happen in the world but affect the

:03:58. > :04:02.numbers of people trying to come here to the UK. What we will be able

:04:03. > :04:07.to do as a result of leaving the EU is have control of our borders, set

:04:08. > :04:10.those rules for people coming from outside, inside the European Union

:04:11. > :04:15.into the UK, we haven't been able to do that so we will be able to have

:04:16. > :04:19.control of those numbers, set the rules for that as we have been able

:04:20. > :04:23.to set the rules for others in the past. So what will be rules be for

:04:24. > :04:27.EU citizens coming here in the future? We are looking at the moment

:04:28. > :04:31.that what we think should be right and we will be actually bringing

:04:32. > :04:35.forward a bill in parliament in due course which will set out our

:04:36. > :04:38.proposals. There are a couple of issues around people from European

:04:39. > :04:41.Union. Of course there are quite a few people from the European Union

:04:42. > :04:45.living here in the UK already. Some of them will have been here for a

:04:46. > :04:49.considerable period of time, others will have come more recently. One of

:04:50. > :04:53.the things I want to be able to do is to give them reassurance about

:04:54. > :04:58.the future but they only want to do that when I know those UK citizens

:04:59. > :05:02.who have moved over to countries in the European Union are also going to

:05:03. > :05:08.have that reassurance and guarantees. I understand that but

:05:09. > :05:11.I'm talking about people coming here in the future from the EU. Would you

:05:12. > :05:14.envisage as part of a Brexit deal there would be some sort of

:05:15. > :05:19.preference for EU citizens who want to come and work your? What I am

:05:20. > :05:24.clear about is there will still be opportunities for people who want to

:05:25. > :05:27.come to the UK from the EU but we will bring forward specific proposal

:05:28. > :05:31.on what the rules should be in due course and those will go through our

:05:32. > :05:35.Parliament and looked at by members of Parliament and we will decide

:05:36. > :05:39.what those rules should be. We want to make sure of course that our

:05:40. > :05:45.economy is so strong. We see many people here working in our in or

:05:46. > :05:49.public sector. We want make sure that we still have the strong

:05:50. > :05:51.economy but people want is to be in control and that is the important

:05:52. > :05:56.thing and that is what will be doing. But the Conservatives

:05:57. > :06:03.promised to cut migration to 100,000 a year to seven years ago, you are

:06:04. > :06:07.still nowhere near that figure. Indeed non-EU migration, people

:06:08. > :06:11.coming from beyond the EU, that migration alone is well over 100,000

:06:12. > :06:15.a year. You must understand why people are sceptical about anything

:06:16. > :06:19.you say on immigration? If you look at what has happened to those

:06:20. > :06:24.migration figures, net immigration figures, over the last seven years,

:06:25. > :06:26.they went up, they have come down and up again... They are still

:06:27. > :06:34.really high. They are higher than they want me to be. You are

:06:35. > :06:39.absolutely right about but that is what I have just said, it is

:06:40. > :06:42.important. You can't just set once set of rules for immigration and

:06:43. > :06:45.think that is the answer and you go away and forget about it. Have to

:06:46. > :06:53.constantly be looking at this, constantly saying, have they got it

:06:54. > :06:57.right? You can't reduce net migration to 100,000 without major

:06:58. > :07:01.cuts in both EU and non-EU migration, isn't that right? We need

:07:02. > :07:05.to continue to look across the board as well as introducing rules for

:07:06. > :07:08.people from the European Union, we also need to continue looking across

:07:09. > :07:13.the board. But there is something else we need to do as a country,

:07:14. > :07:17.which is to make sure people here in the UK have the skills they need to

:07:18. > :07:20.take the job is here so that businesses don't feel they have to

:07:21. > :07:25.reach out overseas to bring people in all the time. One final thing on

:07:26. > :07:29.immigration, the British economy has done better than most forecasters

:07:30. > :07:34.said at the time of the referendum, it continues to do pretty well this

:07:35. > :07:39.year. What happens if we continue to do well and you need more than

:07:40. > :07:43.100,000 migrants a year? Would you let them in? One of the things as I

:07:44. > :07:46.have just said is crucial to us as we look to our economy for the

:07:47. > :07:50.future is for us to make sure that people here in the UK are getting

:07:51. > :07:54.the training and education and skills they need to be able to take

:07:55. > :07:59.on the jobs for that growing economy in the future. That is why as a

:08:00. > :08:02.government we are putting more money in the technical education, ensuring

:08:03. > :08:06.that young people have the opportunity to get the skills they

:08:07. > :08:10.need. I want to see a high paid high skilled economy in the future but we

:08:11. > :08:13.need to ensure that young people today are going to be able to take

:08:14. > :08:19.those jobs tomorrow. The EU has talked of a one-off multi-billion

:08:20. > :08:25.pound exit they, some have suggested it could be as much as ?50 billion,

:08:26. > :08:29.maybe more. Would you contemplate some anything like that? One, people

:08:30. > :08:35.voted last year, one of the things that voted for is that in future

:08:36. > :08:37.outside the EU we are not paying significant sums of money on an

:08:38. > :08:42.annual basis into the European Union. Of course we have to look at

:08:43. > :08:45.the rights and obligations we have as a member of the EU is why we

:08:46. > :08:52.continue to be a member until we leave we will continue carrying on

:08:53. > :08:57.paying according to obligations. But would we pay an exit fee of a thing

:08:58. > :09:00.like 50 billion? As we look at negotiations we have to decide what

:09:01. > :09:05.the obligations are but what I very clear about is that what people want

:09:06. > :09:08.to seek is that in the future we will be making decisions about our

:09:09. > :09:12.Budget, we will be deciding not to pay those sums of money every year

:09:13. > :09:17.into the European money. I understand we may continue to decide

:09:18. > :09:19.with some programmes, and make contributions given that would leave

:09:20. > :09:23.but I am not talking about that, I am talking about an exit fee that

:09:24. > :09:29.the EU was talking about, is demanding almost, around 50 billion,

:09:30. > :09:33.so I ask again, is that in the ballpark that you would contemplate?

:09:34. > :09:37.You talk about an exit fee the EU is demanding. There has been a lot of

:09:38. > :09:42.speculation. Actually there isn't a form of the month. Negotiations

:09:43. > :09:47.haven't started yet. -- formal demand. I'm very clear about what

:09:48. > :09:52.the people of the UK expect but I am also clear we are a law-abiding

:09:53. > :09:56.nation, we will meet obligations that we have. As a member until the

:09:57. > :10:00.point we leave we will be continuing to pay according to the rights and

:10:01. > :10:04.obligations of the member so. Many people watching this will wonder, we

:10:05. > :10:09.are leaving, why should we pay anything at all to the? We are not

:10:10. > :10:13.talking about paying to leave, we will be leaving the European Union.

:10:14. > :10:17.What we are talking about is ensuring that when we leave, first

:10:18. > :10:22.of all, when we leave people will see that we will be taking decisions

:10:23. > :10:25.about our Budget, we won't be required to make significant

:10:26. > :10:30.payments every year into the EU's Budget. As you say there may be some

:10:31. > :10:33.particular programmes we want to be members of that we wish to pay in

:10:34. > :10:37.order to be members of because it will be the national interest to do

:10:38. > :10:42.that and that is what will drive us. The European Union is talking about

:10:43. > :10:45.a divorce Bill. Mr Barnier the head negotiator stopping about a divorce

:10:46. > :10:51.Bill. Are we prepared to pay a divorce Bill? There has been a lot

:10:52. > :10:56.of speculation and comment about these comments, we are not in

:10:57. > :10:59.negotiations yet. We will start those from negotiations soon. We

:11:00. > :11:04.have done the first step which is triggering Article 50 and as I have

:11:05. > :11:07.said, the UK is a law-abiding nation and we will look at the rights and

:11:08. > :11:13.obligations that we have. You mentioned already the importance of

:11:14. > :11:17.EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU and they would

:11:18. > :11:22.like to be reassured about the future. Do you believe you can

:11:23. > :11:26.resolve and announce this quickly? One of the things I have put in the

:11:27. > :11:31.letter to President task is precisely that I want to get an

:11:32. > :11:37.early agreement about this. The task. Some people say to me that EU

:11:38. > :11:40.citizens here are concerned about the future and I recognise that but

:11:41. > :11:46.as UK Prime Minister I need to think about UK citizens who are living

:11:47. > :11:50.abroad as well. I mentioned that... They could both be reassured

:11:51. > :11:55.quickly. I want a reciprocal agreement in terms of guaranteeing

:11:56. > :11:58.status of EU citizens and UK citizens and I have said they think

:11:59. > :12:01.this should be done at an early stage. I believe from the talks I

:12:02. > :12:07.have had with other leaders there is a good welfare, but there are those

:12:08. > :12:11.who recognise the importance of -- will there. I think we will be able

:12:12. > :12:16.to address this as one of the earlier things in the negotiations.

:12:17. > :12:20.By early could it be this summer? I don't want to put a date on it but I

:12:21. > :12:24.wanted to be as early as possible precisely because as you have just

:12:25. > :12:27.said people are worried about their futures and I think it is only fair

:12:28. > :12:32.to work to give them reassurance as soon as we can. You believe that

:12:33. > :12:38.Brexit means we can no longer be recent of the single market, why? --

:12:39. > :12:44.members. Other leaders in Europe have made very clear, they use this

:12:45. > :12:47.term the four freedoms, they go together, they are indivisible. What

:12:48. > :12:52.are they? The importance of free movement and we said we want to

:12:53. > :12:58.control movement from the EU. It is the membership of the single market,

:12:59. > :13:01.it entails accepting that freedom of movement. Also accepting the

:13:02. > :13:04.jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice. These are exactly things

:13:05. > :13:08.that people voted to reject when they voted to leave the European

:13:09. > :13:12.Union. And so I have accepted that we can't have that membership of the

:13:13. > :13:15.single market because to do it would mean accepting things that the

:13:16. > :13:21.voters have said they don't want. But what we can do, I believe, is to

:13:22. > :13:25.get a really good trade agreement with the European Union in terms of

:13:26. > :13:28.access for our businesses to their single market and of course for

:13:29. > :13:32.their businesses to our market. But do you accept that no matter how

:13:33. > :13:36.good a free trade deal you will get an an acceptable type to get the

:13:37. > :13:42.best you can, no matter how good, it can't be as good as the unrestricted

:13:43. > :13:45.access we currently enjoy as members of the single market? I believe that

:13:46. > :13:48.what we will be working for and what I believe we can get is a

:13:49. > :13:54.comprehensive free trade agreement. We are looking, we would like to see

:13:55. > :13:57.as frictionless and free trade is possible, tariff free across borders

:13:58. > :14:03.so that we can continue that trade with the European Union. But can it

:14:04. > :14:07.be as good? It will be different, because it won't be a relationship

:14:08. > :14:09.based on membership of the single market and based on accepting all

:14:10. > :14:13.the other things that voters rejected. What it will be is saying

:14:14. > :14:19.that we want that new partnership with the EU. We still want to work

:14:20. > :14:23.with you and cooperate with you and actually getting a trade agreement

:14:24. > :14:24.isn't just about the UK. It is not just about our businesses, it is

:14:25. > :14:39.about You're Brexit Minister David Davis

:14:40. > :14:43.said that there would be a deal that would deliver the exact same

:14:44. > :14:48.benefits we enjoy right now. You and I know that cannot be true! The

:14:49. > :14:53.European Union will never agree to the exact same benefits what was are

:14:54. > :14:56.both looking for is that comprehensive free trade agreement

:14:57. > :15:01.that gives that ability to trade freely into the European single

:15:02. > :15:05.market. We want them to trade with us. It would be a different

:15:06. > :15:09.relationship but I think it could have the same benefits in terms of

:15:10. > :15:16.free access to trade. When we leave the EU and we end our membership of

:15:17. > :15:21.?40 European agencies, security, health care, I want to ask you about

:15:22. > :15:25.to specific ones, one of them is timely given the events in West

:15:26. > :15:31.Minister last week, will our membership of Euro poll, the police

:15:32. > :15:35.Europe-wide service, will that continue post-Brexit? That is one of

:15:36. > :15:43.the things we will have to negotiate as part of the negotiations. I think

:15:44. > :15:48.security cooperation in several matters is important for us. It is

:15:49. > :15:52.not just Europol, there are systems about exchanging information about

:15:53. > :15:55.people crossing borders, which I think are invaluable to us and

:15:56. > :15:59.valuable to the other countries. Would you like to remain a member of

:16:00. > :16:04.Europol? I would like a degree of cooperation on these matters that we

:16:05. > :16:13.have currently. I have argued before for exactly this, when a couple of

:16:14. > :16:16.years ago when we were looking at justice and Home Affairs matters, it

:16:17. > :16:18.is important for us and I want us to be able to continue that degree of

:16:19. > :16:22.cooperation. It will be part of the package of negotiations because at

:16:23. > :16:25.the moment when we leave the European Union, unless we have

:16:26. > :16:29.negotiated still to be members of those sorts of organisations and

:16:30. > :16:34.arrangements, our membership will lapse. Would we then cease to share

:16:35. > :16:38.information? We would not be able to access information in the same way

:16:39. > :16:42.we would as a member and I think it is important that we are able to

:16:43. > :16:46.negotiate a continuing relationship that enables us to work together.

:16:47. > :16:50.Right at the moment, and of course this was brought home to us in

:16:51. > :16:53.London last week, right at the moment, now is not the time given

:16:54. > :16:59.the threats that we face across Europe for us to see less

:17:00. > :17:04.cooperation, we want to continue that cooperation. Will UK citizens

:17:05. > :17:10.still be eligible for free access to health care across the EU through

:17:11. > :17:17.the European health insurance card? That also will be a matter that will

:17:18. > :17:22.be part of the negotiations. We will be... There are two issues, the

:17:23. > :17:25.issue of people who are currently resident in the European member

:17:26. > :17:28.states and the rights that they have and then of course, the rights that

:17:29. > :17:32.people will have as they move across Europe. We want to get the best

:17:33. > :17:39.possible deal for its citizens here in the UK and I want the best

:17:40. > :17:43.possible deal for everyone. We have a whole raft of negotiations that we

:17:44. > :17:47.have to go through, a whole raft of issues that we will be looking at in

:17:48. > :17:51.relation to these matters and we need the flexibility of being able

:17:52. > :17:55.to deal with those issues and the relationship will be different in

:17:56. > :17:59.the future. It is not necessarily a question of whether we will

:18:00. > :18:03.replicate this or that, we will have a different relationship. You talk

:18:04. > :18:06.about a whole raft of things, and a different relationship, you need to

:18:07. > :18:26.negotiate the divorce terms and that this highly controversial. You want

:18:27. > :18:27.a new free trade steel for goods and services, new crime-fighting

:18:28. > :18:29.arrangements and new health arrangements and you need to

:18:30. > :18:32.repatriate 50 trade agreements and you need to have it all ratified by

:18:33. > :18:35.27 other countries as well as our own, all in under two years, that is

:18:36. > :18:38.impossible! It is challenging but I think it is possible and the reason

:18:39. > :18:40.I think it is possible is because of this, there are two reasons, first

:18:41. > :18:43.of all I think it is possible because with goodwill on both sides,

:18:44. > :18:46.I think both sides recognise that it is in our interests to make sure

:18:47. > :18:50.that we get these arrangements in place so that when we leave, we have

:18:51. > :18:54.got that trade arrangement and we know what it will be. There might be

:18:55. > :18:58.a period of implementation after the point of withdrawal, but we know

:18:59. > :19:02.what the arrangement is and everyone is certain about where the future

:19:03. > :19:10.lies. It is in the interests of both sides to do this but the other

:19:11. > :19:13.reason why think it is possible is because we are not a third country

:19:14. > :19:16.in the sense that we are a country that has never been part of the

:19:17. > :19:20.European Union, we have been part of the EU, we have been operating on

:19:21. > :19:23.the same basis with them and I think that puts us in a different position

:19:24. > :19:28.for the future and makes it easier for us to negotiate these

:19:29. > :19:32.arrangements than if we were coming at it fresh. Do you rule out a

:19:33. > :19:37.period, even after we leave, if things remain to be resolved? By the

:19:38. > :19:40.end of two years, I want everyone to know what the withdrawal agreement

:19:41. > :19:46.is and what the future relationship is. I have called it a deep and

:19:47. > :19:50.special partnership with the EU, we are still part of Europe and we want

:19:51. > :19:55.to work and co-operate with them and I want that agreed by the end of the

:19:56. > :19:59.two years. It may be that there are has to be a period of implementation

:20:00. > :20:05.as people and businesses are just as governments are just do it ever the

:20:06. > :20:09.new arrangements are. If there is a transitional period, without still

:20:10. > :20:12.involve the free movement of people and being under the jurisdiction of

:20:13. > :20:17.the European Court or do both of these things have to end in two

:20:18. > :20:22.years' time? We want to make sure that we are ending the jurisdiction

:20:23. > :20:26.of the European court of justice and that we are able to control movement

:20:27. > :20:40.of people coming from the European union. We want

:20:41. > :20:43.to have the agreements done in two years, there may then be a period

:20:44. > :20:45.during which we implement those arrangements, a simple example, if

:20:46. > :20:48.there are different these arrangements, that need to be put in

:20:49. > :20:51.place, governments will have to have the system is working so that they

:20:52. > :20:53.can operate. There may be a period where we have got to implement the

:20:54. > :20:57.decisions. You said in the event of no deal, we may have to change their

:20:58. > :21:03.British economic model, what does that mean? On the no deal, I have

:21:04. > :21:07.said that first of all, that would be better than a bad deal, we do not

:21:08. > :21:14.want to see a bad deal and I say that because I think there are some

:21:15. > :21:18.people in Europe who talk about punishing the UK and I don't want to

:21:19. > :21:21.sign up to an agreement that is based on that. There are others here

:21:22. > :21:25.who perhaps feel that we should be so keen to get an agreement that we

:21:26. > :21:30.might sign up to things that British people rejected when they voted to

:21:31. > :21:34.leave the European Union. What does a different economic model mean?

:21:35. > :21:44.What I have said in the letter today, if we do not get a deal, then

:21:45. > :21:46.we would go on to what are called these World Trade Organisation

:21:47. > :21:49.arrangements for trading and in those circumstances, I have made

:21:50. > :21:55.clear, that is not what we should want. I will come to the point about

:21:56. > :21:59.the economic model but it is not in the interests of either side, I

:22:00. > :22:04.think, to have those arrangements. It is not just about us, it is about

:22:05. > :22:08.the EU as well, what ever comes out, we want to ensure we continue to

:22:09. > :22:13.have a competitive economy and that is what we will be looking at. What

:22:14. > :22:17.does a different economic model mean? We would take decisions at the

:22:18. > :22:29.time as to what we felt was necessary to keep our economy

:22:30. > :22:32.competitive, here in the United Kingdom, to make sure that we are

:22:33. > :22:35.putting in place the arrangements for a business that keep jobs. We do

:22:36. > :22:38.work to do that. I am not sure what are new economic model is. Labour

:22:39. > :22:43.say it is a tax haven. Labour set up all sorts of straw men about what

:22:44. > :22:47.this might be in the future. It is about making sure that job stay here

:22:48. > :22:51.in the UK and new jobs are created. It is about making sure we have the

:22:52. > :22:55.economy that enables people to have those high-paid and high skilled

:22:56. > :23:02.jobs and we are ensuring that young people here have skills the future.

:23:03. > :23:07.Let me ask one important question, if we do not get a deal, will not

:23:08. > :23:11.jeopardise our existing cooperation against crime and terrorism with our

:23:12. > :23:17.European partners? If there is no deal, without that week it? If I can

:23:18. > :23:20.separate bills, on some of the cooperation we have, with them on

:23:21. > :23:24.terrorism, that takes place outside the European Union and the

:23:25. > :23:28.structures of the European Union. If we do not get a deal on the sort of

:23:29. > :23:34.security arrangements I was talking about earlier, the exchange of

:23:35. > :23:38.information at our borders, then I think that is one of the reasons why

:23:39. > :23:43.we should aim not to be in the position of getting no deal, but

:23:44. > :23:47.instead getting a good deal, that cooperation is important. We are

:23:48. > :23:52.leaving the customs union, Ireland is not, do you accept that that must

:23:53. > :23:57.mean tax on the Irish border? We are very clear and I have spoken to the

:23:58. > :24:00.government in the Republic and the Taoiseach, we do not want to see a

:24:01. > :24:04.return to the borders of the past and we are working very closely with

:24:05. > :24:07.the Irish government about the arrangements that can be put in

:24:08. > :24:21.place to ensure a frictionless border in a practical

:24:22. > :24:25.sense, for goods and services and people travelling between Northern

:24:26. > :24:27.Ireland and the Republic. The Leave campaign promised a Brexit dividend

:24:28. > :24:30.of ?350 million a week, much of which they said to be spent on the

:24:31. > :24:33.NHS, how big do you think the dividend will be and do you think

:24:34. > :24:36.most of it should go to the NHS? People want what they voted for and

:24:37. > :24:39.for the UK to be able to decide how it spends its budget, not to be

:24:40. > :24:43.spending significant sums of money every year paying into the European

:24:44. > :24:47.Union and paying it to Brussels. When we leave, we will have control

:24:48. > :24:55.of that money and we will decide how we spend it. I think that is what

:24:56. > :24:59.people want. How big will it be? We will be, as part of the

:25:00. > :25:02.negotiations, we will ensure we are not paying those significant sums in

:25:03. > :25:06.the future and we will then be able to see what the size of that

:25:07. > :25:10.dividend will be and then determine how that money is spent. There are

:25:11. > :25:18.lots of things that we need to think about. It was the NHS on the side of

:25:19. > :25:23.the bus! During the referendum, there were points made often

:25:24. > :25:27.passionately on both sides of the argument. We are now beyond the

:25:28. > :25:32.referendum, we are now at the point where we are putting this into

:25:33. > :25:36.practice, where we are starting what will be complex, challenging, but I

:25:37. > :25:40.think achievable negotiations and I am optimistic about what we can

:25:41. > :25:44.achieve in the future. What people voted for is for us to have control

:25:45. > :25:48.and that is what we will have. You have rejected the demands of the

:25:49. > :25:49.Scottish First Minister for a second independence referendum and you say

:25:50. > :26:06.it is not the time, but what about when

:26:07. > :26:08.you have done the Brexit deal and we know what it involves, would you

:26:09. > :26:10.still rule out a second Scottish referendum? The comment I am getting

:26:11. > :26:13.from the Scottish Government and the SNP are that they want confirmation

:26:14. > :26:16.now that they are going to have a second independence referendum. What

:26:17. > :26:19.I am saying is, I think now is not the time and I think now is not the

:26:20. > :26:22.time to be focusing on it. I accept you do not like the timing, but what

:26:23. > :26:27.about later, when the Brexit deal is done? The Scottish people can see

:26:28. > :26:31.what it looks like, they voted to remain in the EU, people would argue

:26:32. > :26:37.they deserve a second decision, are you against it in principle? Can I

:26:38. > :26:43.explain what I said, this is relevant? Now is not the time to

:26:44. > :26:47.focus on a second independence referendum or to be looking at that

:26:48. > :26:50.second independence referendum, because, for two reasons, now is the

:26:51. > :26:54.time when we need to pull together as the United Kingdom. We need to be

:26:55. > :26:58.talking about how we can work together to get the best possible

:26:59. > :27:01.deal for everybody across the whole of the United Kingdom and focusing

:27:02. > :27:06.on an independence referendum is not about doing that and that is why it

:27:07. > :27:13.is so important for us to ensure that we do focus on the future...

:27:14. > :27:17.And also I think it is important that we recognise, I think Andrew,

:27:18. > :27:22.the question is not whether there could be a second referendum, it is

:27:23. > :27:27.whether there should be. The people of Scotland voted in 2014, they

:27:28. > :27:32.voted to stay part of the United Kingdom, the SNP described it as a

:27:33. > :27:36.once in a generation, once opportunity to vote for

:27:37. > :27:40.independence, the people gave their message, just as we are respecting

:27:41. > :27:59.the referendum that took place here last year on EU membership, so we

:28:00. > :28:02.should all all respect the 2014 Scottish referendum. During the

:28:03. > :28:05.referendum you said you believed it was clearly in our national interest

:28:06. > :28:08.to remain a member of the EU and now you say that Brexit will build a

:28:09. > :28:11.better Britain, who is the real Theresa May? I did campaign for

:28:12. > :28:14.Remain and I did vote to Remain but I also said I did not think this guy

:28:15. > :28:16.would fall in if we left the European Union and it has not. It

:28:17. > :28:19.looks like you're doing the mother of all U-turns. I have been put in a

:28:20. > :28:22.position as Prime Minister, I believe, to respect the wishes of

:28:23. > :28:25.the people of the United Kingdom in that referendum and I believe it is

:28:26. > :28:29.my job now to deliver the best possible future for the UK and that

:28:30. > :28:33.is why... It is not just about Brexit, it is about my plan for

:28:34. > :28:37.Britain, more outward looking Britain, a fairer society and a

:28:38. > :28:41.stronger economy and the United nation and it is about taking out

:28:42. > :28:45.forward which is about building a brighter future for everyone in the

:28:46. > :28:49.UK. If it is for the will of the British people, when you do the

:28:50. > :28:52.deal, when it is clear the terms under which we will leave the EU,

:28:53. > :29:14.why would you not take that to the country, either in

:29:15. > :29:18.the second referendum, or go to the country in a General Election and

:29:19. > :29:21.get the people to vote for the deal that you do? When we have the deal,

:29:22. > :29:23.there will be a vote in the UK Parliament. There will be votes in

:29:24. > :29:27.parliaments across Europe, because they will need to be a process. That

:29:28. > :29:29.is right way to do it, to say to the UK Parliament, this is your

:29:30. > :29:31.opportunity to vote for this deal. I am confident that we are going to

:29:32. > :29:35.get a deal that is going to be good for the British people. The British

:29:36. > :29:38.people have basically said, go and get on with it. We want to leave the

:29:39. > :29:42.EU, get on with it and that is what we will do. Thank you.

:29:43. > :29:45.Well, we leave Downing Street and you join us in the BBC Newsline

:29:46. > :29:46.studio for a special Brexit programme.

:29:47. > :29:49.Brexit must not harm the peace process or the UK's unique

:29:50. > :29:51.relationship with the Republic - Theresa May's words

:29:52. > :29:55.in her letter triggering the formal Brexit process.

:29:56. > :30:01.We are very clear, both I and I have talked to the Government in the

:30:02. > :30:04.Republic, the Taoiseach about this, we are clear we don't want to see a

:30:05. > :30:07.return to the borders of the past and we're working very closely with

:30:08. > :30:11.the Irish government about the arrangements that can be put in

:30:12. > :30:15.place to ensure a frictionless border in a practical sense, if

:30:16. > :30:17.frictionless border for goods and services and people travelling

:30:18. > :30:17.between Northern Ireland and the Republic.

:30:18. > :30:19.We'll be getting reaction to that and the day's

:30:20. > :30:21.events from politicians and business representatives.

:30:22. > :30:23.Before that here's a quick look at the likely timeline.

:30:24. > :30:25.So, today Article 50 was triggered, formally beginning

:30:26. > :30:33.On 29 April the leaders of other 27 EU countries will hold a Brexit

:30:34. > :30:37.summit and adopt guidelines for negotiations with UK.

:30:38. > :30:40.In the autumn of 2017 negotiations begin in earnest, most likely

:30:41. > :30:46.Then a year later both sides aim to have a deal concluded,

:30:47. > :30:55.allowing six months for it to be ratified by various parliaments.

:30:56. > :31:01.Let's hear now from the DUP and Sinn Fein.

:31:02. > :31:05.I'm joined by Christopher Stalford and John O'Dowd.

:31:06. > :31:11.Christopher Stalford, no certainty on health care, immigration, trade.

:31:12. > :31:15.How can you share the confidence of the British Government? I think

:31:16. > :31:17.firstly and most importantly this is the fulfilment of the desires

:31:18. > :31:22.expressed by the British people in the referendum. And people sometimes

:31:23. > :31:26.get very cynical about politics and think voting doesn't change things

:31:27. > :31:31.but here we have a Prime Minister who was on the side of Remain during

:31:32. > :31:37.the referendum campaign implementing the expressed will of the people of

:31:38. > :31:41.this country. So this is a momentous and historic day. But how can you be

:31:42. > :31:45.certain we won't be damaged? The fact is we are entering a period of

:31:46. > :31:50.negotiation. We have all sorts of tactics trying to prevent us getting

:31:51. > :31:53.to this point, people running after the courts to try and nullify the

:31:54. > :31:58.outcome of the referendum that we are now here and I believe firmly

:31:59. > :32:00.not only in relation to our own unique situation with the Republic

:32:01. > :32:06.of Ireland but also in terms of the other EU member states if there is a

:32:07. > :32:09.will to resolve the issues that need to be resolved, I believe that a

:32:10. > :32:15.weight can be found and I believe we are right to be optimistic about the

:32:16. > :32:18.future of this country but I say that not only in relation to

:32:19. > :32:22.Northern Ireland but in relation to the United Kingdom as a whole.

:32:23. > :32:27.People are nervous. I accept people are nervous and people have concerns

:32:28. > :32:31.but that is why whether you were four Remain of Leave in the

:32:32. > :32:35.referendum it is now incumbent upon all of us to work together to secure

:32:36. > :32:40.the best outcome for the people. John O'Dowd, I want to bring you in.

:32:41. > :32:42.Your emphasis today has been on special status, surely that has

:32:43. > :32:46.already been ruled out it is a happen? Anyone who has been

:32:47. > :32:50.listening to be interview by Theresa May is found there is no answers to

:32:51. > :32:53.any questions that were put to hurt other than it will be sorted out in

:32:54. > :32:59.negotiations. But that is the way she can answer. So there is no deal.

:33:00. > :33:05.Brexit is not a complete package. But special status has been ruled

:33:06. > :33:09.out. Voices in Europe say there requires there to be special studies

:33:10. > :33:11.and circumstances, unique circumstances on the island around

:33:12. > :33:15.all have to be dealt with so be Brexit deal is not yet complete so

:33:16. > :33:22.there is an onus on local political parties, the Irish government and

:33:23. > :33:26.Europe who have been contributors to the peace process to ensure we do

:33:27. > :33:31.have a special studies. Special circumstances here. Ensuring that

:33:32. > :33:35.are unique make-up of this society, you can try the unique economic

:33:36. > :33:40.pressures are the result of Brexit are all dealt with in a special

:33:41. > :33:43.circumstance. No one is arguing there are not special circumstances

:33:44. > :33:47.but what are you specifically looking for? We are looking for

:33:48. > :33:51.membership of the EU, protected. We are looking to ensure the rights and

:33:52. > :33:53.entitlements of citizens currently under EU membership are protected,

:33:54. > :33:59.that the economic realities of living on this island are enshrined

:34:00. > :34:04.in any agreement. And that we can citizens live under the terms of the

:34:05. > :34:09.Good Friday Agreement, accessed the protections that EU membership

:34:10. > :34:13.offers. So you want to stay in the EU? Ideally. But we now have to

:34:14. > :34:16.reach agreement with other political parties in which we are attempting

:34:17. > :34:20.to rebuild the power sharing agreement with but ideally want to

:34:21. > :34:24.stay on in the EU but that are unique relationships already within

:34:25. > :34:28.the EU with different countries and regions of countries within the EU

:34:29. > :34:31.so that is not a unique thing we are asking for. The EU has been

:34:32. > :34:34.imaginative in the past and we are asking for the EU and the British

:34:35. > :34:39.Government and local party to be much it now. There may well be

:34:40. > :34:41.opposition from other members of the EU who don't want to see Northern

:34:42. > :34:47.Ireland getting special status or arrangements. There may well be but

:34:48. > :34:50.let's make sure it ensure those countries are talked to and dialogue

:34:51. > :34:53.takes place to explain the unique circumstances. Let's see what

:34:54. > :34:57.challenges they have and let's deal with those countries and talk

:34:58. > :35:02.through their concerns. But we can't do that without a devolved Assembly.

:35:03. > :35:06.I think this is an important point. We do require a devolved Assembly

:35:07. > :35:09.and a local voice that I attended meetings with the British government

:35:10. > :35:12.along with the Scottish and Welsh executives and the Scottish and

:35:13. > :35:15.Welsh gave detailed papers of the British Government. None of those

:35:16. > :35:19.have been taken into account by the British Government. So has the

:35:20. > :35:22.British Government ignored the devolved in situations? That is

:35:23. > :35:25.certainly what Scotland and Wales are appealing? It is important to

:35:26. > :35:29.note that a majority of people in Wales voted to leave. If they are

:35:30. > :35:35.trying to prevent Wales for leaving the rest... But they want a good

:35:36. > :35:37.deal just as much as Northern Ireland and Scotland. So do we all

:35:38. > :35:41.and it is important we recognise the fact we are being hamstrung by not

:35:42. > :35:45.having devolved institutions of drumming and I certainly want to see

:35:46. > :35:50.that happen and want to see government -- up and running.

:35:51. > :35:56.Raising the sorts of issues that are unique to Northern Ireland but I

:35:57. > :36:00.think it is important to note people talk about respecting mandates. More

:36:01. > :36:04.people voted to leave the European Union in the United Kingdom than

:36:05. > :36:08.have ever voted for any political party or any proposition on a ballot

:36:09. > :36:12.paper in our history. But it is a difficult one because more people in

:36:13. > :36:17.Northern Ireland, and you talk about democracy, did vote to Remain. But

:36:18. > :36:20.the question on the ballot paper related to should the United Kingdom

:36:21. > :36:26.remain a member of the European Union. As the DUP promoting Brexit

:36:27. > :36:29.not been a disaster? A united Ireland is now being talked about

:36:30. > :36:33.more than it has been for years and is the potential break-up of the

:36:34. > :36:36.United Kingdom with Scotland potentially. There is irony in this

:36:37. > :36:40.that nationalists who apparently tell us they hate being ruled by the

:36:41. > :36:45.London insist on being ruled by Brussels. I am confident in their

:36:46. > :36:49.unionism and confident that actually the challenge for unionist parties

:36:50. > :36:53.actually lies in the fact we need to encourage the huge majority of

:36:54. > :36:56.people who I believe would vote for the union in a referendum to vote

:36:57. > :37:00.for unionist parties and that is the challenge going forward. John

:37:01. > :37:04.O'Dowd, it displays will for Sinn Fein, doesn't it, because it gives

:37:05. > :37:09.you a disastrous backdrop you would argue to promote a united Ireland?

:37:10. > :37:13.We don't want a disastrous back-up to promote a united Ireland. We want

:37:14. > :37:17.a stable economy and a stable society across the island of

:37:18. > :37:24.Ireland. The question of reunification stands alone in my

:37:25. > :37:26.opinion but Brexit has raised the issue and not only among

:37:27. > :37:29.nationalists and republicans but also unionists. I am not saying it

:37:30. > :37:32.is a significant number but there are no unions to question where

:37:33. > :37:36.their identity lies. Does lie in an inward looking state or a state

:37:37. > :37:42.which is outward looking? I have to come back on that. Let me finish.

:37:43. > :37:46.Does their future lay in an outward looking state which has a

:37:47. > :37:52.relationship with the European Union or does it lie in an inward looking

:37:53. > :37:57.British? The future of the people of Northern Ireland lies in a truly

:37:58. > :38:02.global United Kingdom, not... They had just resigned from... Not

:38:03. > :38:09.manacled to an ever decreasing trading block. Our future lies

:38:10. > :38:10.looking absolutely positively to the rest of the world. Thank you both

:38:11. > :38:12.for joining us. The border and how it will operate

:38:13. > :38:15.is of course one of the key concerns Vehicle checkpoints,

:38:16. > :38:21.security checks and long queues. Routes were blocked with concrete

:38:22. > :38:23.bollards along the hundreds In her Article 50 letter today

:38:24. > :38:28.Theresa May said she wanted to avoid a return to a hard border

:38:29. > :38:30.and to ensure the UK's withdrawal from the EU does

:38:31. > :38:32.not harm the Republic. Our Ireland correspondent

:38:33. > :38:47.Chris Buckler is on the border It was only 70 years ago that this

:38:48. > :38:52.bridge actually opened, paid for by European money and connecting

:38:53. > :38:56.counties Monaghan and Tyrone, the towns of class lock and Culloden.

:38:57. > :39:07.Previously wrote in this area were sometimes blown up by the Army for

:39:08. > :39:11.security reasons. Nobody is going to use this road for some time without

:39:12. > :39:14.a major basic of engineering work. It could be easily filled in. What

:39:15. > :39:21.happened there? They will come and blow it up again. It is no surprise

:39:22. > :39:25.that people who have lived here are some of those years can remember and

:39:26. > :39:30.see the real difference there has been in the last few years. That

:39:31. > :39:34.speak to Sammy Leslie Crombie sunny Leslie stayed and also William

:39:35. > :39:38.Beatty has been involved in regeneration of this area for some

:39:39. > :39:41.time. Told today by the European Parliament that is not going to be a

:39:42. > :39:46.hard board. That must be a relief to you. That is a relief of growing up

:39:47. > :39:49.this was a hole in the road and there were no tourist here. Over

:39:50. > :39:55.years tourism has grown but it is still fragile and it will need all

:39:56. > :39:58.sort of support. Tourists have so made choices. They will take the

:39:59. > :40:03.easy choice and stay away from areas they think are going to be in their

:40:04. > :40:07.perception difficult to travel in and it is giving them the confidence

:40:08. > :40:13.and making it still an easy area to come and see. So how do you make the

:40:14. > :40:17.border attractive? I do you make it disappear or it is never going to

:40:18. > :40:22.happen for you make it a feature. There is so much history and

:40:23. > :40:27.heritage. This order was first created 4000 years ago. Tell the

:40:28. > :40:31.stories of the border area. Join up the Christian history and tell the

:40:32. > :40:35.stories of the border. William, I mentioned that European money helped

:40:36. > :40:38.fund this bridge and of other things as well. Presumably that money from

:40:39. > :40:46.the EU is going to be missed on the northern side of border. Yes, I grew

:40:47. > :40:51.up on a road just half a mile from here and I can remember at the time

:40:52. > :40:56.before this bridge was blown up and I remember the times after that, but

:40:57. > :41:01.I also remember the last 20 years when there has been a great sea

:41:02. > :41:05.change. Community development has been at the heart of that and

:41:06. > :41:10.European money has been at the heart of that. We have a regeneration

:41:11. > :41:15.partnership in the village. Presumably there is a concern the

:41:16. > :41:18.European money is going to go? First money after we got was the money for

:41:19. > :41:24.the comprehensive development plan for the village and then that was

:41:25. > :41:27.followed on by the formation of the Blackwater region and partnership

:41:28. > :41:31.which is a joint initiative by three. The funding that came through

:41:32. > :41:36.was peace money and interregnum money and I think that wasn't all

:41:37. > :41:41.the money because there was government money, but the European

:41:42. > :41:45.money kick-started all of that. You can see of course what difference it

:41:46. > :41:48.makes when you stand here. You take a look at the bridge that has been

:41:49. > :41:52.built. Things are going to change but how the border changes

:41:53. > :41:52.ultimately is down to the negotiations themselves, Tara. Thank

:41:53. > :41:53.you. Joining me now SDLP MLA

:41:54. > :41:56.Sinead Bradley, Steve Aiken from the Ulster Unionist Party

:41:57. > :42:05.and the Alliance Steven Farry, we have heard from the

:42:06. > :42:08.border there and this idea of a seamless border hasn't been spelt

:42:09. > :42:11.out yet, is that your biggest concern? Think the biggest concern I

:42:12. > :42:19.have going forward is how we will deal with the billion euros worth of

:42:20. > :42:25.tread a week that goes as heresy -- Steve I can. What is done to make it

:42:26. > :42:29.seems. The United Kingdom has been a trading nation for well over 1000

:42:30. > :42:32.years. It will make the border system work. The question we need to

:42:33. > :42:36.do is how we keep the trade moving and the movement of people going,

:42:37. > :42:40.how we can keep the Common travel area up and how we can build all

:42:41. > :42:45.these things together. We as a party are talking about trying to get an

:42:46. > :42:49.enabling treaty between the United Kingdom and Republic of band which

:42:50. > :42:51.deals with the modalities of this issue and I think that is important

:42:52. > :42:58.going forward. -- Republic of Ireland. It comes with things like

:42:59. > :43:03.that rules, rules for freight, all the little things that need to be

:43:04. > :43:06.sorted out. If we can make trade and movement as seamless as possible we

:43:07. > :43:10.can get away from any concerns we have about the border going forward.

:43:11. > :43:14.Sinead, a lot of the economic disaster predicted as in so far

:43:15. > :43:19.materialised, do you share Theresa May's optimism today but really we

:43:20. > :43:25.can go forward and have a fairer United Kingdom? Of course Theresa

:43:26. > :43:29.May was her usual very composed and rehearsed self, but if one thing was

:43:30. > :43:34.clear it was that Theresa May does not have a plan and she does not

:43:35. > :43:38.have any clear idea of what the implications of a Brexit will

:43:39. > :43:42.actually mean. In particular I will look in the Northern Ireland

:43:43. > :43:46.context. There was a promise that the Prime Minister would be here

:43:47. > :43:50.ahead of any triggering, that didn't happen and I suggest the token

:43:51. > :43:56.gesture that has been nodded to Northern Ireland to date indicates

:43:57. > :44:00.that really I have no confidence and the SDLP has no competence in a

:44:01. > :44:04.Conservative government leading us through a Brexit deal. What about

:44:05. > :44:08.the special new increased powers for devolved assemblies, does that not

:44:09. > :44:11.give you confidence that if we do get devolution up and running again

:44:12. > :44:15.we might have more power? There are so many variables there and

:44:16. > :44:20.unfortunately one thing we can all agree on is that business no matter

:44:21. > :44:24.what type of sector it is in, business does not like instability

:44:25. > :44:28.and unfortunately there are so many issues there that businesses are

:44:29. > :44:32.asking and trying to make decisions based on. Northern Ireland in

:44:33. > :44:36.particular is the single region that has most difficulty and no answers.

:44:37. > :44:40.We have no answers to date and we are no further on but we have a

:44:41. > :44:45.determined Theresa May that is going ahead with this regardless of the

:44:46. > :44:48.majority of voices from Northern Ireland and regardless of the

:44:49. > :44:50.possible consequences to businesses and life in general in Northern

:44:51. > :44:58.Ireland. When it comes to Borders, other

:44:59. > :45:08.countries manage this, like Canada and the US, do you not think it can

:45:09. > :45:12.be sorted out? It is an actual hard border. If you look at Norway and

:45:13. > :45:18.Sweden. There has to be physical checks. Technology could be used but

:45:19. > :45:22.if we leave the customs union and we will see a situation where there has

:45:23. > :45:27.to be some degree of physical checks. Some of the terms you will

:45:28. > :45:32.hear our rules of origin, we have to police what comes into Northern

:45:33. > :45:39.Ireland, it cannot be a back door in abuse of the rules. Do we need a

:45:40. > :45:41.border? We need to work out a special deal involving Northern

:45:42. > :45:46.Ireland staying part of the single market and on the right side of the

:45:47. > :45:50.customs union and they are major challenges. They are fundamentally

:45:51. > :45:56.in our interest. This is a sad day for the UK, it will be a diminished

:45:57. > :46:05.nation and Northern Ireland is in a real dilemma. Northern Ireland works

:46:06. > :46:07.on the basis of sharing and interdependence. Brexit is about

:46:08. > :46:09.making hard choices on borders and that is not in our interest. Thank

:46:10. > :46:12.you for joining us. The European Union -

:46:13. > :46:14.and the Republic especially - accounts for the majority

:46:15. > :46:15.of Northern Ireland's Many businesses have voiced

:46:16. > :46:18.concern over what might happen with the border

:46:19. > :46:20.and new customs arrangements. But others are focussed

:46:21. > :46:23.on the potential new trade that could be secured on better terms

:46:24. > :46:25.outside the European Union. Our business correspondent

:46:26. > :46:36.Julian O'Neill has more. It has been said that today marks

:46:37. > :46:40.the point of no return and the government will seek to strike a new

:46:41. > :46:46.trade deal with the EU by the time Brexit happens in two years' time.

:46:47. > :46:51.There are anxieties among the many larger scale local businesses.

:46:52. > :46:57.Ultimately, there is concern about the risk of tariffs, disruption to

:46:58. > :47:01.supply chains and uncertainty around European workers. The stakes are

:47:02. > :47:07.high for exporters, the EU and the republic especially our big markets

:47:08. > :47:19.and many firms hope new arrangements will not damage business. Once freed

:47:20. > :47:21.from the EU, the UK will pursue trade deals independently and this

:47:22. > :47:23.company which makes construction machinery near rich ale has dealers

:47:24. > :47:27.in the likes of Singapore and seize opportunities. The growth in the

:47:28. > :47:32.world is in Asia and south America and North America and Europe has not

:47:33. > :47:36.grown in ten years and I think focusing more on the higher growth

:47:37. > :47:42.areas of the world, for our business, will give us better

:47:43. > :47:46.opportunities. Local trade unions were almost unanimous in opposing

:47:47. > :47:50.Brexit and taking stock today are worried about the prospects of a

:47:51. > :47:55.good deal. Yes, there are possibilities in terms of trade, new

:47:56. > :47:58.links in the Far East and the US and things like that, but trade with the

:47:59. > :48:13.Republic of Ireland and within the European

:48:14. > :48:15.Union should not have hampered that and suddenly the idea that these

:48:16. > :48:17.great possibilities will come to Northern Ireland beyond the EU with

:48:18. > :48:20.Brexit is probably wishful thinking, I think. No one knows what is to

:48:21. > :48:23.come. It is like any other business deal, both sides are talking about

:48:24. > :48:26.the worst position and the compromise will be somewhat better,

:48:27. > :48:30.I think than anything that has been mentioned in the press. It was

:48:31. > :48:36.business as usual here after the referendum and so it will be until

:48:37. > :48:42.March, 2019 and the Nat -- between now and then, negotiators hold the

:48:43. > :48:43.futures of firms like this in their hands.

:48:44. > :48:45.Let's hear now what the business community makes of what the Prime

:48:46. > :48:49.Trevor Lockhart is vice-chair of the CBI in Northern Ireland

:48:50. > :48:51.and Irwin Armstrong is chief executive of CIGA

:48:52. > :49:01.Trevor, were you reassured by the statement by Theresa May today?

:49:02. > :49:04.Today is a pivotal day in the history of Northern Ireland,

:49:05. > :49:08.businesses in Northern Ireland, regardless of how they voted last

:49:09. > :49:12.year and are now determined to make a success Brexit. Brexit, the

:49:13. > :49:18.majority of the business community reflected the population, they would

:49:19. > :49:20.have preferred to Remain. Businesses recognise the potential

:49:21. > :49:24.opportunities but there are some very real threats and those threats

:49:25. > :49:28.are grounded in the uncertainties around people movement, and the

:49:29. > :49:36.uncertainties around trade relationships and they need

:49:37. > :49:38.resolution before can have confidence that the opportunities

:49:39. > :49:41.can be turned into reality. Theresa May set out principles in her letter

:49:42. > :49:44.which are hard to disagree with but the devil will be in the detail and

:49:45. > :49:49.the business community needs a strong voice and that strong voice

:49:50. > :49:51.could be best delivered from Northern Ireland through a

:49:52. > :49:57.functioning executive which unfortunately we do not have. You

:49:58. > :50:01.wanted to Leave, to sell goods into the EU after Brexit, we will still

:50:02. > :50:05.need tough regulations and still need to abide by the regulations

:50:06. > :50:11.that the EU have and this whole idea of the bonfire of the red tape will

:50:12. > :50:14.not materialise, will it? No, it never did materialise in our

:50:15. > :50:17.business because protectionism within the European Union, which was

:50:18. > :50:22.designed to keep everyone out, for us there was no single market. I

:50:23. > :50:27.have been travelling in the last six weeks, I have been to North America,

:50:28. > :50:32.Africa, China, they want to do business with us and those areas are

:50:33. > :50:38.expending, particularly Africa and the Middle East and the Far East. I

:50:39. > :50:43.am optimistic, I think Theresa May today, Northern Ireland featured in

:50:44. > :50:46.her letter, Michel Barnier, the chief negotiator said he would

:50:47. > :50:51.ensure there is not a hardboard, and Kenny said they would not be won,

:50:52. > :50:56.David Davis as well, I am very happy that we will not have a hard border

:50:57. > :50:59.and I will doubt if we will have any border, whatever border we have

:51:00. > :51:03.between the north and south of Ireland will be the same border that

:51:04. > :51:09.we have between England and France. We cannot have a different border.

:51:10. > :51:15.Trevor you are a Chief Executive of the farmers cooperative, do farmers

:51:16. > :51:19.see it as an opportunity to get into those markets? When you look at the

:51:20. > :51:24.agri- food industry, we have ?700 million worth of goods being traded

:51:25. > :51:28.to the Republic, 40% of the people who work full-time in those

:51:29. > :51:34.companies are EU nationals and when you look at the average

:51:35. > :51:40.profitability of food, Ms, it is 3%. If you applied WTO tariffs to the

:51:41. > :51:43.food, they range between 7% and 65% and if you are a food company in

:51:44. > :51:47.Northern Ireland with significant levels of exports, you do not need

:51:48. > :51:54.to be a mathematician to work out the threat presented by Brexit.

:51:55. > :51:56.There are real issues to be dealt with and beyond Brexit we will have

:51:57. > :52:00.to develop a new agricultural policy for the UK and we have seen so far

:52:01. > :52:05.the UK Government has been less than supportive of agriculture, so whilst

:52:06. > :52:08.there are opportunities, there are threats. You have laid out how it

:52:09. > :52:12.works for your business but what about the farmers and other

:52:13. > :52:16.businesses that will not benefit or potentially will not benefit? I

:52:17. > :52:20.think Theresa May set it out clearly. She wants free trade. If we

:52:21. > :52:24.are not going to have free trade, it will not be because the UK did not

:52:25. > :52:29.wanted, it will be because the EU stopped it and Ireland is within the

:52:30. > :52:46.EU, so I'd EU going to treat Ireland in such

:52:47. > :52:50.a way that 45% off their food exports actually go to the UK? Are

:52:51. > :52:53.at the EU going to attempt to destroy the Irish economy? I do not

:52:54. > :52:55.think so. A lot of people have talked about a special case for

:52:56. > :52:58.Northern Ireland, what we may actually see is a special case for

:52:59. > :53:01.the south of Ireland within the EU to trade with the UK. That is the

:53:02. > :53:02.direction I think we would end up going then. Thank you.

:53:03. > :53:03.It's our biggest manufacturing industry.

:53:04. > :53:05.It's said to support close to a hundred thousand jobs.

:53:06. > :53:08.Agriculture and the food sector will probably have to deal

:53:09. > :53:10.with the biggest change of all when this

:53:11. > :53:13.Our agriculture and environment correspondent Conor Macauley has

:53:14. > :53:15.been to Limavady to meet one farmer who'll be producing

:53:16. > :53:32.My father bought this farm in 1946. We are still here. Hugh McCollum was

:53:33. > :53:36.working the land here when the UK went into Europe. He says his beef

:53:37. > :53:41.operation will be more challenging after Brexit, but he will not really

:53:42. > :53:45.be sorry to see the back of the subsidies. He believes is guaranteed

:53:46. > :53:49.payments from Europe meant farmers were charged inflated prices for

:53:50. > :53:54.things like feed and fertiliser and he hopes that will change. And he

:53:55. > :53:58.concedes that local producers cannot compete with intensively produced

:53:59. > :54:03.and imported meat. They have to find another way to make their beef

:54:04. > :54:08.bounce off the shelves in much the same way as his cattle on the first

:54:09. > :54:16.day of spring grass. They are like racehorses when they get out! We are

:54:17. > :54:20.going to have to rely on the consumers and the general public.

:54:21. > :54:27.There will be a change, for the farming sector, but the general

:54:28. > :54:33.public, we over the years have developed systems, health standards,

:54:34. > :54:39.we are at the top of the tree, that is what we will have to promote to

:54:40. > :54:43.our customers. There is a big change coming for farmers, but consumers as

:54:44. > :54:46.well may soon have a choice to make. For a long time, people have been

:54:47. > :54:51.used to getting relatively cheap food and the question now is whether

:54:52. > :54:57.they would be prepared to pay extra for locally produced premium

:54:58. > :54:59.products. And that was one of the topics being considered at a

:55:00. > :55:05.conference outside Belfast this week. Which will policy favour?

:55:06. > :55:10.Would come down on the side of UK producers with costly welfare

:55:11. > :55:17.standards the side of cheap imported food, were standards may not be so

:55:18. > :55:21.rigorous? If we were to move to a liberal trading environment, with

:55:22. > :55:27.relatively low-cost imports coming in, from third countries, it would

:55:28. > :55:31.really be a difficult circle to square. It would put pressure on the

:55:32. > :55:40.industry, a big challenge in terms of maintaining its competitiveness

:55:41. > :55:44.in trading environment. Whatever about the global picture, the local

:55:45. > :55:49.trading landscape is what is interesting now. In the short-term,

:55:50. > :55:53.things like tariffs and customs controls with the Irish Republic

:55:54. > :55:56.could have an immediate impact. Particularly in sectors like dairy

:55:57. > :56:00.and sheep weather is a big cross-border trade. All the

:56:01. > :56:04.uncertainty around future subsidies and access to markets is making some

:56:05. > :56:08.farmers think very carefully about the future. In the back of the minds

:56:09. > :56:15.of farmers there is a realisation that things are going to change and

:56:16. > :56:18.things may look different and I think in our discussions around the

:56:19. > :56:21.countryside, I think we are finding that for some of the businesses,

:56:22. > :56:26.they are starting to think of where it their business might be going and

:56:27. > :56:30.can they survive in the future, whatever it may look like? Hugh

:56:31. > :56:34.McCollum believes there is a future in farming not just for him but for

:56:35. > :56:40.his son he is coming behind him. The change of, he says, will be sore at

:56:41. > :56:44.the start, but it will be the same game, just a whole new set of rules.

:56:45. > :56:46.Conor McAuley, BBC Newsline, Ballykelly.

:56:47. > :56:48.Joining me now our political editor Mark Devenport and our economics

:56:49. > :57:01.That point about agriculture that Berman Armstrong brought up, about

:57:02. > :57:05.the Republic having special status, is that a runner? I'm not sure how

:57:06. > :57:09.that will work, but what is clear is that the European Commission is

:57:10. > :57:11.taking a generous approach to the whole problem of Northern Ireland,

:57:12. > :57:14.partly because they have this emotional attachment to the peace

:57:15. > :57:18.process and they do not want anything to disrupt that but partly

:57:19. > :57:21.because the Irish Republic is still a loyal member of the European Union

:57:22. > :57:36.and they do not want to punish one of their own.

:57:37. > :57:40.That is a factor they will take into account, not just in relation to

:57:41. > :57:43.agriculture but across the broader range of concerns in terms of EU

:57:44. > :57:46.funding and the border. We still do not know how the border will work.

:57:47. > :57:49.No return to the borders of the past is what everyone says and all the

:57:50. > :57:51.main players are on the same page. They do not want to return to

:57:52. > :57:53.customs post. There has been a suggestion that there could be a

:57:54. > :57:56.situation like Norway and Sweden, but there are customs posts there

:57:57. > :57:58.are, what ever will be propose will have to be even more seamless. There

:57:59. > :58:01.has been vague talk about technology, to work this border,

:58:02. > :58:24.ultimately, what they may have to be is a realisation that they will

:58:25. > :58:27.not get a special status and the SDLP, how much pressure can they

:58:28. > :58:29.realistically exert? If you're talking about special status in the

:58:30. > :58:31.EU, the UK Government has effectively ruled that out. There

:58:32. > :58:34.are is room to negotiate about special arrangements in relation to

:58:35. > :58:38.Northern Ireland and because the European Commission is so keen not

:58:39. > :58:42.to disrupt things or see any kind of trouble flaring up in all of this, I

:58:43. > :58:48.think that there is quite a lot of scope for that. As John was saying,

:58:49. > :58:51.we had yet to see how it will be spelled-out in practice, a lot of

:58:52. > :58:56.talk of new technology, but that could take longer than the period of

:58:57. > :59:00.transition to put it in place. Should businesses be worried? Some

:59:01. > :59:06.of them should be concerned, if we get a bad deal or a deal worked

:59:07. > :59:10.tariffs would be imposed, but whatever deal we get it is highly

:59:11. > :59:12.likely that there would be more Administration. There will be a

:59:13. > :59:18.period were businesses will have to adjust and they will have to police

:59:19. > :59:21.the migration system, we will see businesses do more form filling and

:59:22. > :59:26.in some circumstances, we could end up with more red tape rather than

:59:27. > :59:30.less. Thank you. Interesting to hear your thoughts on an historic and

:59:31. > :59:32.momentous day. So, today marks a symbolic

:59:33. > :59:35.milestone, setting the UK on the road to the biggest

:59:36. > :59:37.constitutional change in a lifetime. As we've been hearing,

:59:38. > :59:40.exiting the EU will have an impact in our farms and in our factories,

:59:41. > :59:43.on our families and on our future. We've had a lot of discussion

:59:44. > :59:46.about what it might mean for the border, something that's

:59:47. > :59:48.referenced in the Prime And we have looked at some of the

:59:49. > :00:00.issues. For now, though, on the day

:00:01. > :00:04.that Article 50 became