:00:22. > :00:23.Hello and welcome to The Election Wrap, your guide
:00:24. > :00:25.to all the day's news from the campaign trail.
:00:26. > :00:34.What does Brexit mean...of course, silly...it means Brexit.
:00:35. > :00:39.All the party leaders today were desperate to make that clear with
:00:40. > :00:45.their own modifications thrown in, naturally. Obviously the debate that
:00:46. > :00:49.you didn't take part in, you are getting a hard time on social media
:00:50. > :00:55.for not doing it, having seen that do you think you made the right
:00:56. > :00:59.decision? Do you think she watched it on telly with a cup of cocoa? If
:01:00. > :01:08.we only knew. We'll be visiting the most marginal constituency in the
:01:09. > :01:13.country, Gower in South Wales to see if Labour can topple the Tories. And
:01:14. > :01:16.in sunny Skegness for a lovely day by the sea to check if the folks
:01:17. > :01:21.there have already made up their minds to vote for. Thank goodness
:01:22. > :01:26.these two didn't do a Theresa May and leave empty chairs. Gracing us
:01:27. > :01:28.with their presence, Caroline Wheeler of the Sunday express and
:01:29. > :01:37.Jack Blanchard from the Mirror. Hello and first of all,
:01:38. > :01:39.let's bring you up to date with the latest developments
:01:40. > :01:41.on the campaign trail - and today everyone seems keen
:01:42. > :01:44.to focus on Brexit. Theresa May insists only she can
:01:45. > :01:52.bring back a good deal from those I am confident that we can fulfil
:01:53. > :01:57.the promise of Brexit together, and build a Briton that is stronger,
:01:58. > :02:04.fairer, and even more prosperous than it is today.
:02:05. > :02:11.No, No, says Jeremy Corbyn, accusing the Conservatives of fostering what
:02:12. > :02:15.he calls a toxic climate ahead of those talks. We will confirm to the
:02:16. > :02:20.other member states that Britain is leaving the European Union, that
:02:21. > :02:24.issue is not in doubt. But instead of posturing and pumped up animosity
:02:25. > :02:28.Labour government under my leadership will set out a plan for
:02:29. > :02:33.Brexit based on mutual interests of both Britain and the European Union.
:02:34. > :02:35.The Liberal Democrats, campaigning at a hospital in Kingston,
:02:36. > :02:38.issue a warning about the possible effects of Brexit on the NHS.
:02:39. > :02:46.Remember that lie, emblazoned on the bus, ?350 million of the NHS,
:02:47. > :02:49.everyone knows it is a blatant lie but now we've found out that the
:02:50. > :02:51.truth is even worse, it will actually cost the NHS hundreds of
:02:52. > :02:54.millions of pounds. In Edinburgh, Nicola Sturgeon says
:02:55. > :02:56.the more SNP MPs there are, the greater the chance of stopping
:02:57. > :02:59.a "hard Brexit". Meanwhile in Northern Ireland,
:03:00. > :03:01.the Ulster Unionist party Party leader Robin Swann says he'll
:03:02. > :03:18.oppose Brexit becoming a backdoor I, nor my party will tolerate any
:03:19. > :03:25.attempt to undermine the principle of consent. There can be no border
:03:26. > :03:29.up the middle, there can be no passport checks the citizens of
:03:30. > :03:32.Northern Ireland arriving at Heathrow. All our energies should be
:03:33. > :03:34.focused on the Brexit negotiations and getting the best deal for all
:03:35. > :03:36.people. We'll be discussing why
:03:37. > :03:38.Brexit's back at the heart First let's take a look at how
:03:39. > :03:46.the parties' approaches compare. The Conservatives are
:03:47. > :03:49.promising to bring down Labour accepts the end
:03:50. > :03:52.of free movement too, but would immediately guarantee
:03:53. > :03:54.the rights of EU Ukip wants a points-based
:03:55. > :03:57.system, while the Lib Dems On trade, Theresa May says we'll
:03:58. > :04:01.leave the single market but would negotiate to retain
:04:02. > :04:14.the benefits of both, while the Liberal Democrats
:04:15. > :04:16.want to stay as members. The SNP wants Scotland's
:04:17. > :04:18.place in the single On legal matters,
:04:19. > :04:26.the Conservatives say they would end the jurisdiction
:04:27. > :04:29.of the European Court of Justice. Labour would keep EU protections
:04:30. > :04:31.on worker and consumer While the Lib Dems
:04:32. > :04:34.would hold a referendum on the final Brexit deal before
:04:35. > :04:44.it was put in place. Caroline. Brexit, the Tories must be
:04:45. > :04:49.happy that it is back on a subject they believe they are top of. That's
:04:50. > :04:55.right, we've seen an election supposed be about Brexit not mention
:04:56. > :04:58.it for weeks, or indeed not have it as the main thrust of the agenda,
:04:59. > :05:04.that has changed today, one reason for this has been this tightening in
:05:05. > :05:06.the polls and the suggestion that the campaign strategists now see
:05:07. > :05:11.that in their focus groups its Brexit that can win the election for
:05:12. > :05:14.the Conservatives. The notion being that they can assure up their vote,
:05:15. > :05:18.they can say to Labour voters who voted for Brexit, we are the only
:05:19. > :05:22.ones who can deliver Brexit. They can say this into you could voters
:05:23. > :05:27.and that will help them get over the line, particularly as we are now
:05:28. > :05:32.seeing discussions, even if we find them fanciful, that could be a
:05:33. > :05:37.coalition government. So Jack we are not talking about the NHS, social
:05:38. > :05:41.care, unemployment or housing. We are talking about Brexit. Not the
:05:42. > :05:45.best day for Labour? In Venice Jeremy Corbyn made it the theme of
:05:46. > :05:49.his speech, he chose to do that you didn't have to. It was an active
:05:50. > :05:52.decision and I think it's because Labour can't run away from this
:05:53. > :05:56.issue, it will be one of the biggest this country has a red-faced, or
:05:57. > :06:00.suddenly for a hundred years. So Labour can't not have a position on
:06:01. > :06:05.Brexit, he had to make a big Brexit speech in the final days of the
:06:06. > :06:08.campaign. Conservatives think it is their strong point so Labour want
:06:09. > :06:12.want to talk about this issue for the next week but they can't just
:06:13. > :06:18.run away from it and in fairness to Jeremy Corbyn he isn't doing that.
:06:19. > :06:22.Are they clear on it? One moment they are criticising the Tories were
:06:23. > :06:27.saying that no deal is better than a bad deal, does this mean that they
:06:28. > :06:33.would go for a bad deal or a compromise that wouldn't benefit
:06:34. > :06:38.anyone. The terms are so vague, one person's bad deal is another person
:06:39. > :06:42.is no deal. Deal or no Deal? Exactly. I think everyone agrees
:06:43. > :06:48.that no deal is bad, nobody wants is to have no deal so to say that...
:06:49. > :06:51.Surely that's the difference in negotiating strategy. Theresa May is
:06:52. > :06:55.saying that if we get to a point with is about to deal it will be no
:06:56. > :06:58.deal because she is saying, if we don't get what we want we will walk
:06:59. > :07:03.away and using this notion that ultimately they have more to lose
:07:04. > :07:07.and we have four hours what Corbyn is saying is a more conciliatory
:07:08. > :07:16.approach to negotiations basically saying we should do this in tactile
:07:17. > :07:19.way, saying we want a consensus, we want one that will work well for
:07:20. > :07:26.Britain. She's taking quite a gamble in the way she's doing it, if at
:07:27. > :07:28.all. Park that will be a bit of a disaster for her. OK. You will be
:07:29. > :07:30.back in a second. One seat where Brexit may make
:07:31. > :07:33.a difference is Southport - a marginal Liberal Democrat seat
:07:34. > :07:35.where the Conservatives came Southport went Remain
:07:36. > :07:37.in the referendum, so is the Lib Dems' pro-Europe
:07:38. > :07:54.message going to help Is sunny south but still save for
:07:55. > :08:00.the Lib Dems, it hasn't swung since 1997. The Tories want it, to win it,
:08:01. > :08:03.they will need workers like those in Latham's Bakery. The ones I've seen
:08:04. > :08:09.the most of the moment are the Labour ones, the red ones. Sales of
:08:10. > :08:15.reserves and gingerbread men reflect surely's story. She's sweet and Mr
:08:16. > :08:18.Corbyn. I wouldn't have voted for him at the beginning, I thought he
:08:19. > :08:21.couldn't lead me down the garden path at one time. But the more I've
:08:22. > :08:25.listened to him, and I have listened, it's right what he is
:08:26. > :08:31.saying. It comes across as honest. You don't have to shout to be heard.
:08:32. > :08:36.I have no influence over the customers whatsoever. Education and
:08:37. > :08:41.the NHS decided Shirley's vote although Mr Latham has Brexit on his
:08:42. > :08:46.plate, higher import costs, worries about his Polish staff and customer
:08:47. > :08:49.trepidation at the tills. It takes away his feel-good factor and when
:08:50. > :08:55.you've got the feel-good factor you want to spend and buy cakes, so
:08:56. > :08:59.people are nervous of spending at the moment. And he thinks a
:09:00. > :09:04.Conservative government will calm those nerves. Of a great deal of
:09:05. > :09:10.admiration for Theresa May. -- I have a great deal of admiration. Who
:09:11. > :09:12.I think is doing a good job in difficult circumstances.
:09:13. > :09:17.Theoretically all it would take for Mr Latham to get his wish would be
:09:18. > :09:21.several hundred Lib Dems switching. But Pam says they will be another
:09:22. > :09:26.coalition is a thing of the past. I was a bit annoyed when they went
:09:27. > :09:30.with the Conservatives, that's what put me off them, in the coalition
:09:31. > :09:37.but you cannot hold a grudge forever. You've got to think, what
:09:38. > :09:42.is best for us, and that is best. The Liberal Democrats. Yes. Two
:09:43. > :09:46.years ago the Lib Dems held surfboard Buttle hammered elsewhere.
:09:47. > :09:52.The number of MPs dropped from 57 to only eight. -- they held surfboard
:09:53. > :09:56.but they were hammered elsewhere. But in many places that voted Remain
:09:57. > :10:02.in the referendum the Lib Dems will hope that their pro-European stance
:10:03. > :10:05.will help win back some and possibly others, no it's the voters to
:10:06. > :10:10.decide, go for what looks familiar or take a chance on change in a
:10:11. > :10:14.different direction entirely. Warhurst, BBC News.
:10:15. > :10:18.Now - there was a bit of a morning after the night before feel
:10:19. > :10:21.to the campaign today as politicians and pundits picked over the pieces
:10:22. > :10:27.I was one of those journalists! Where exactly was Theresa May.
:10:28. > :10:30.She'd sent Home Secretary Amber Rudd in to bat her place -
:10:31. > :10:32.even after Jeremy Corbyn's spectacular change of heart
:10:33. > :10:36.And it didn't take long for the Prime Minister's political
:10:37. > :10:39.rivals to criticise her for not taking part in the debate.
:10:40. > :10:46.The Prime Minister is not here tonight. She cannot be bothered so
:10:47. > :10:52.why should you. In fact Bake-Off is on BBC Two next, why not make
:10:53. > :10:57.yourself a brew, you are not worth Theresa May's time, don't give her
:10:58. > :11:03.yours. I think the first rule of leadership is to show up. She won't
:11:04. > :11:07.turn up to these debates because her campaign of sound bites is falling
:11:08. > :11:09.apart. The Prime Minister do not have the guts to come along this
:11:10. > :11:16.evening to tell us. Well, social media quickly
:11:17. > :11:19.got in on the act, with the hashtag "where's Theresa"
:11:20. > :11:21.trending on Twitter, and Missing May memes popping up
:11:22. > :11:24.all over the internet. Lee James Brown posted
:11:25. > :11:26.up this Where's Wally style picture,
:11:27. > :11:27.she's in the top-right hand corner, if you're having
:11:28. > :11:31.trouble spotting her. The Liberal Democrats
:11:32. > :11:38.tweaked their website, this is what you get when you search
:11:39. > :11:44.for a page that doesn't exist. And the Twitter account
:11:45. > :11:46.for the American political drama House of Cards had this advice
:11:47. > :11:48.from President Underwood Even Mrs May's Foreign Secretary
:11:49. > :11:52.didn't seem entirely clear when he was asked on BBC
:11:53. > :12:02.Breakfast this morning. I, I, I don't know exactly where she
:12:03. > :12:06.was, I can tell you whenever she was she was right not to be a bad debate
:12:07. > :12:12.because it was a yammering cacophony of views, many of them left, even by
:12:13. > :12:16.the BBC's own standards I think you would agree that that audience was
:12:17. > :12:23.notably to the left of many people in this country. The audience was of
:12:24. > :12:25.course picked by ComRes, but that's by the by.
:12:26. > :12:28.And the issue even came up when the Prime Minister was meeting
:12:29. > :12:29.voters at a West Yorkshire factory this afternoon.
:12:30. > :12:35.I am sure you are fed up of talking about and but just a quick one, the
:12:36. > :12:40.debate last night that he didn't take part in, you are getting quite
:12:41. > :12:45.a hard time on social media for not doing it today. Having seen that do
:12:46. > :12:48.you think you made the right decision? I'm running the sort of
:12:49. > :12:52.campaign I've run throughout my career which is a campaign when I
:12:53. > :12:55.get out and about and talk to people and listen to people and hear
:12:56. > :13:02.questions, that's what I'm doing today, it's what I've been doing
:13:03. > :13:07.throughout the campaign. According to Boris, it was a yammering
:13:08. > :13:14.cacophony anyway, did it make sense for her to miss it, Jack? He would
:13:15. > :13:17.say that! It might make sense for her political ends to avoid it
:13:18. > :13:22.because she is leading in the polls and she knows she's not good on TV.
:13:23. > :13:27.But the reality is that it looks terrible for all the other leaders
:13:28. > :13:31.to turn up except her, she looks frit as Mrs Thatcher would have
:13:32. > :13:37.said, a cynical ploy by a politician who knows she is winning and doesn't
:13:38. > :13:41.want to do it. But it made sense, didn't it? The argument is that if
:13:42. > :13:47.you are out in front and you are the Prime Minister you have nothing to
:13:48. > :13:50.gain from that in that sense. The notion is that people would
:13:51. > :13:54.literally start turning on her as we saw to a certain extent on Amber
:13:55. > :13:58.Rudd, and that's not a great look for a Prime Minister who is
:13:59. > :14:01.basically refereeing a quarrel. Politically she took the decision
:14:02. > :14:05.and it wasn't going to win her any votes ultimately so she didn't take
:14:06. > :14:10.part. I kind of agree with Jack to a certain extent that it doesn't look
:14:11. > :14:13.great. One reason why it doesn't for her in particular is that there have
:14:14. > :14:26.been so many questions asked about her ability to
:14:27. > :14:30.reach out to people and be personal. She goes to factories rather than
:14:31. > :14:32.meeting voters in the way that Corbyn does and I think that is what
:14:33. > :14:35.social media has tapped into. But the difference with this campaign,
:14:36. > :14:37.social media plays a bigger role than it has done on previous
:14:38. > :14:39.campaigns in the past so it quickly starts trends and the more they
:14:40. > :14:43.build in momentum the more difficult it looks for her. So where was she?
:14:44. > :14:46.We still don't know. When she was asked about it the day before she
:14:47. > :14:51.said she had to spend time thinking about Brexit. I mean, come on,
:14:52. > :14:55.that's ludicrous. And then she says I want to be out campaigning on the
:14:56. > :15:07.ground and none of it is true, she wasn't doing an event last night,
:15:08. > :15:09.she could easily have turned up if you'd wanted. I find it a bit
:15:10. > :15:11.embarrassing that the Prime Minister can't... Except that she did send
:15:12. > :15:15.Amber Road. Uninteresting strategy because we have seen Amber Rudd put
:15:16. > :15:19.out again and again as the spokesman for the Prime Minister -- that is an
:15:20. > :15:24.interesting strategy. That in the game is a gamble in itself. A number
:15:25. > :15:27.of people have suggested that she might even become the next Prime
:15:28. > :15:33.Minister after Theresa May, should things go pear shaped. She probably
:15:34. > :15:37.did a better job than it Theresa May to be honest but that is because
:15:38. > :15:41.Theresa May isn't good at this kind of thing and her advisers know it
:15:42. > :15:46.and that was why it should was too scared to do it. We've heard she was
:15:47. > :15:51.at Downing Street so maybe she was cooking dinner for Philip. She was
:15:52. > :15:54.asked if she had watched it and she dodged the question twice, she
:15:55. > :16:03.wouldn't even answer that straight. We'll leave that for a few seconds.
:16:04. > :16:06.One of the most closely watched contests in this election will be
:16:07. > :16:09.in Gower in south wales - the most marginal
:16:10. > :16:12.The Conservatives won the seat from Labour last time around -
:16:13. > :16:15.Bethan Lewis has been to meet the candidates.
:16:16. > :16:20.Mumbles, linking Swansea to the Gower Peninsula.
:16:21. > :16:22.No sign of the election here amongst the half-term busyness, but
:16:23. > :16:24.this is the UK's most marginal seat.
:16:25. > :16:27.The Conservatives' election taxi is back on the road, only two years
:16:28. > :16:28.after former policeman and assembly member
:16:29. > :16:30.Byron Davies took the seat in
:16:31. > :16:32.the biggest shock of the Welsh results last time.
:16:33. > :16:36.In this election he says he's not taking any notice
:16:37. > :16:42.And I have to say, my vibes are good.
:16:43. > :16:46.Unsurprisingly Brexit is high on the agenda.
:16:47. > :16:49.In the last 2015 election we had something
:16:50. > :16:54.in the region of just under 5000 people who voted for Ukip, many,
:16:55. > :17:00.many of those that I have spoken to have said that they can only see
:17:01. > :17:03.Theresa May as the person who will now take it forward.
:17:04. > :17:07.Out and about in Gorseinon it's another day of
:17:08. > :17:11.doorknocking for Labour's Tonia Antoniaz.
:17:12. > :17:13.She's a former Welsh rugby international battling to take
:17:14. > :17:16.Gower back for the party which held it for decades.
:17:17. > :17:18.Any lessons you can take from the rugby pitch to
:17:19. > :17:24.She says she's seen real examples of poverty
:17:25. > :17:30.Seven years ago when we had the Conservatives in
:17:31. > :17:33.Westminster, my life changed massively.
:17:34. > :17:40.I'm a schoolteacher and I was on my own and basically
:17:41. > :17:43.financially yes, I do have a good wage, but I was feeling the pinch.
:17:44. > :17:46.Ukip were third in Gower last time but what's the message now we are
:17:47. > :17:59.I believe Ukip has done extremely well by winning the referendum, but
:18:00. > :18:03.All we have had since is the triggering of Article 50.
:18:04. > :18:05.That alone is simply a useless piece of paper
:18:06. > :18:08.unless it is acted upon and I believe only
:18:09. > :18:09.a strong Ukip vote will
:18:10. > :18:12.The Lib Dems came fifth here last time.
:18:13. > :18:13.They say health, education, even fly-tipping
:18:14. > :18:18.Council and Assembly responsibilities, but
:18:19. > :18:20.still relevant to this election, says their candidate.
:18:21. > :18:23.The monies come from the UK Government, as Lib
:18:24. > :18:26.Dems for example we are pledging to put a penny on income tax to allow
:18:27. > :18:30.for more monies to go to the NHS and to be given to the Welsh
:18:31. > :18:33.Harri Roberts, I'm your Plaid Cymru parliamentary candidate.
:18:34. > :18:35.For Plaid Cymru as well it is a challenge to
:18:36. > :18:38.get their voice heard, but they argue voting Plaid
:18:39. > :18:41.Labour are so disunited and ineffective and the Tories
:18:42. > :18:43.represent nothing that will gain for Wales.
:18:44. > :18:46.There may be a bit of tactical voting going on after
:18:47. > :18:50.last time, but I'm absolutely convinced that the bigger the Plaid
:18:51. > :18:53.Cymru vote, the more the other parties will have to listen to us.
:18:54. > :18:56.Past experience suggests in this constituency more than any other
:18:57. > :19:11.And here is the list of candidates standing in the Gower consistency.
:19:12. > :19:22.Now Ellie is back with her balls. She has been on a tour of the UK
:19:23. > :19:23.during this campaign. With her balls.
:19:24. > :19:25.Today's she's been to the seaside resort of Skegness
:19:26. > :19:28.to ask people if they've made their mind up yet
:19:29. > :19:37.on who they will vote for in a week's time.
:19:38. > :19:51.Have you decided who to vote for? She's decided. Labour. I've always
:19:52. > :19:57.voted Labour. I decided about a week ago. I decided it better to keep
:19:58. > :20:00.what we've got. Why are you undecided? Because they are all as
:20:01. > :20:07.bad as one another and they make promises and it doesn't come off.
:20:08. > :20:17.Will you vote? I haven't decided. He hasn't decided if he's going to make
:20:18. > :20:22.a decision! I decide on the day, I'll just go and put an X on
:20:23. > :20:25.whoever. We want to do what is best for the disabled and we are not yet
:20:26. > :20:33.sure which party will do that, aren't we, Thomas. You've decided to
:20:34. > :20:37.be undecided, fair enough. Because of the weak leadership of the Labour
:20:38. > :20:41.Party of decided to vote for Theresa May for the first time ever, it's a
:20:42. > :20:45.break with family tradition that you have to do what's best for this
:20:46. > :20:49.country and Jeremy Corbyn isn't best. He knows what he's doing,
:20:50. > :20:53.Theresa May just once and for herself, I don't think she
:20:54. > :20:57.considering anyone else. But Iraq she just wants it for herself.
:20:58. > :21:02.There's been too much on the news for me to take it in, that's why, I
:21:03. > :21:08.think. Otherwise I would decide if I could understand it a bit more. I've
:21:09. > :21:13.decided for quite a while, just listening to the policies of the
:21:14. > :21:22.parties, forget the fighting between their politicians, it's policies
:21:23. > :21:26.that's important. I've done by post already. Improperly decided. Yes.
:21:27. > :21:31.They all in each other's pockets, it doesn't matter who is in government,
:21:32. > :21:37.it doesn't affect me or my wages my house. You don't think it does? I
:21:38. > :21:42.will vote for someone, I'm not sure who. Do you think you will make a
:21:43. > :21:53.decision? Eventually but for now we are just having fun. I can see. The
:21:54. > :21:57.good people of Skegness and those on holiday here have made their
:21:58. > :22:02.decisions, the trouble is, I can't decide if it is the decideds or the
:22:03. > :22:06.undecided Dexter who won the mood box today. The one thing I have
:22:07. > :22:13.decided is that I need an ice cream. Thank you, Skegness. There's too
:22:14. > :22:15.much on the news to take it all in. I'm with her. Ellie and her balls
:22:16. > :22:17.there. We've all learnt to be a little wary
:22:18. > :22:20.of the opinion polls after recent elections -
:22:21. > :22:22.and now there might The last week's seen them predicting
:22:23. > :22:26.widely different outcomes - from a huge Tory majority
:22:27. > :22:28.to a hung parliament. Joining us is Joe Twyman,
:22:29. > :22:31.Head of Political and Social research at the pollsters,
:22:32. > :22:43.YouGov. Joining Caroline and Jack. It's good
:22:44. > :22:47.to see you. Hi. YouGov, what's the latest thinking on what will happen
:22:48. > :22:54.next week. Well we are not thinking about what is happening next week...
:22:55. > :22:56.About what's happening now. We've conducted estimates for seat
:22:57. > :23:03.distribution based on what the polling is showing at the moment.
:23:04. > :23:08.And that's as we are looking at between 275 and 345 seats of the
:23:09. > :23:13.Tories. They need 226 for majority so it could be a hung parliament, it
:23:14. > :23:16.could be a small majority for the Conservatives. But on current
:23:17. > :23:19.polling is not the sort of three figure majority that Theresa May and
:23:20. > :23:25.the Tories hoped for at the start of the campaign when the election was
:23:26. > :23:33.called. So a definite shift. Have you had a poll done since the debate
:23:34. > :23:36.last night? Knox 's last night, we have updated our statistical model
:23:37. > :23:42.but the next poll will be out in the next couple of days. -- not this
:23:43. > :23:46.last night. Since last night several thousand new survey is going into
:23:47. > :23:50.the model replacing some from a week ago, it is all complicated but the
:23:51. > :23:56.upshot is that didn't change significantly. So why the polls so
:23:57. > :24:01.all over the place? That depends how you mean, all over the place, yes
:24:02. > :24:05.there has been a since the start of the campaign, not surprising given
:24:06. > :24:08.that in 2015 we had five years to look forward to the delight of an
:24:09. > :24:12.election and the last year that was one long campaign. This time we had
:24:13. > :24:15.seven weeks to get to know the people, their policies and bouts of
:24:16. > :24:19.thing. So perhaps not surprising that we've seen a lot of movement
:24:20. > :24:24.but generally speaking we have seen seen the gap closing. The question
:24:25. > :24:28.is, how far has that gap closed and that is where there is some
:24:29. > :24:32.difference. If you look at the underlying data, who people are
:24:33. > :24:36.voting for, when asked, if there was an election tomorrow, would you vote
:24:37. > :24:40.for, that data is pretty much the same for all the pollsters. It shows
:24:41. > :24:46.a small lead the Conservatives. Whoever you talk to, which method
:24:47. > :24:49.you use, that is what it is showing. The reason the difference is when
:24:50. > :24:53.adjustments are made for turnout. INAUDIBLE
:24:54. > :24:58.Elements to this, which party people support and whether or not they will
:24:59. > :25:02.turn out to vote. Two equally important elements, the adjustments
:25:03. > :25:07.made what is causing the difference. I write. Caroline. We had Shadow
:25:08. > :25:10.Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry said there would be no deal in the
:25:11. > :25:14.event of a hung parliament. Is that creeping into their minds that there
:25:15. > :25:19.could be a hung parliament. Think that's the message they need to get
:25:20. > :25:25.out because we don't want a rerun of 2015 with a story woods about
:25:26. > :25:28.whether there would be a labour- SNP coalition and that was the message
:25:29. > :25:32.we saw the Tories drumming home time. So Labour wants to get that
:25:33. > :25:35.message out as early as possible that they want to do a deal with the
:25:36. > :25:39.SNP so they can circumnavigate that argument. But there seem to have
:25:40. > :25:45.been suggestions that Mr Corbyn hasn't run ruled out a coalition so
:25:46. > :25:50.we are not sure what it all means and we'll learn more about this
:25:51. > :25:55.coalition of chaos notion as we move further towards polling day, I am
:25:56. > :25:59.sure. Are you hearing that they are thinking that there could be a hung
:26:00. > :26:03.parliament? They've always thought there was a chance of getting that,
:26:04. > :26:07.they were from such a low base, it was, what can we achieve in a snap
:26:08. > :26:10.election with only weeks to campaign and certainly some people in the
:26:11. > :26:14.Labour team were hoping they could do just enough to deny today made
:26:15. > :26:19.that majority and then who knows what happens, she'd have to resign
:26:20. > :26:22.so you won a big victory just by doing that. I must say spent a lot
:26:23. > :26:27.of time speaking to candidates from the Labour and the Conservative
:26:28. > :26:32.Party, people inside the campaigns today, and I can't find many people
:26:33. > :26:38.who don't think the Tories will win. Everyone I speak to, knocking on
:26:39. > :26:41.doors, this is not scientific, it's anecdotal, MPs making phone calls
:26:42. > :26:46.all day and they say, I don't think it's going to happen and that is
:26:47. > :26:53.from both sides. Great to have you all in. Thank you for joining us.
:26:54. > :26:55.That's it for the Election Wrap today.
:26:56. > :27:06.We'll be back at the same time tomorrow.
:27:07. > :27:07.Huge contrasts in the weather today, we've