25/01/2012

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0:00:00 > 0:00:05That shrinking feeling. The UK economy went into reverse at the

0:00:05 > 0:00:10end of last year. From manufacturing to building and

0:00:10 > 0:00:18services, output fell by 0.2%. Labour and the government at odds

0:00:18 > 0:00:22over who is to blame. We have a shrinking economy and the highest

0:00:23 > 0:00:30unemployment in 18 years. Mr Speaker, how bad two things have to

0:00:30 > 0:00:35get in the economy to shake him out of his complacency? He talks about

0:00:35 > 0:00:40what our policy is. We remembers what his policy was. No more boom

0:00:40 > 0:00:43and bust! And yet he gave us the biggest boom and the biggest bust!

0:00:43 > 0:00:48We'll be asking if Britain now faces a double dip recession.

0:00:48 > 0:00:56Also tonight: US special forces, the same unit that killed Osama bin

0:00:56 > 0:00:59Laden, rescues two aid workers from Somali bandits. Good job, tonight.

0:00:59 > 0:01:07Good job, says the President after he ordered the secret mission.

0:01:07 > 0:01:12The choice facing Scotland: to stay in the UK or go for independence.

0:01:12 > 0:01:16The First Minister gives his plan for the referendum. The people who

0:01:16 > 0:01:22care most about Scotland, the people who live and work there,

0:01:22 > 0:01:26should be the ones taking the decisions about the future.

0:01:26 > 0:01:30Chocolate with strawberries. And what meal do you think would be

0:01:30 > 0:01:36fit for a queen? Children get their chance to choose a menu for the

0:01:36 > 0:01:41Diamond Jubilee. I will be here with Sportsday, with

0:01:41 > 0:01:51news from Anfield and the Carling Cup semi-final. Liverpool are a

0:01:51 > 0:01:58

0:01:58 > 0:02:04goal up from the first leg against Good evening. Welcome to the BBC

0:02:04 > 0:02:07News at Six. There are new fears that Britain could slip back into

0:02:07 > 0:02:12recession after the latest figures on the economy showed it shrank by

0:02:12 > 0:02:160.2% in the last three months of 2011. The downturn saw a

0:02:17 > 0:02:19contraction in manufacturing and building. David Cameron admitted

0:02:19 > 0:02:23the figures were disappointing but said Britain was not immune from

0:02:23 > 0:02:33the eurozone's difficulties. Labour says cutting the deficit too far,

0:02:33 > 0:02:33

0:02:33 > 0:02:38too fast is to blame. The letters stand for gross domestic product,

0:02:38 > 0:02:42the sum total of everything produced in the UK. In a recovery,

0:02:43 > 0:02:47it is supposed to keep getting bigger, but not lately and not the

0:02:47 > 0:02:53last three months of last year. Our national out but officially shrank

0:02:53 > 0:02:59by 0.2%. -- output. The figures showed manufacturing did

0:02:59 > 0:03:02particularly badly but for Tony Hancock, who makes trailers for the

0:03:02 > 0:03:08aviation industry in Doncaster, it is not about statistics but

0:03:08 > 0:03:12survival. I will survive because that is my nature. I don't yet know

0:03:12 > 0:03:16exactly how I will survive but the last thing I will do is lose staff.

0:03:16 > 0:03:26If I lose any more, I would have to look at saying, let's close the

0:03:26 > 0:03:28

0:03:28 > 0:03:34doors and move on. 2009 was the 2010 looks better now than it felt

0:03:34 > 0:03:41then. Revised figures show growth of 2.1%. Last year wasn't half as

0:03:41 > 0:03:46good. And the average forecast for 2012 keeps falling. The betting now

0:03:46 > 0:03:52is that we will barely grow at all. The Prime Minister said the figures

0:03:52 > 0:03:57were disappointing but don't blame him. They reflect wreath things:

0:03:57 > 0:04:02The overhang of the debt and the deficit that we have to deal with.

0:04:02 > 0:04:06They reflect the higher food and fuel prices that put the squeeze on

0:04:06 > 0:04:12household income is at the end of last year, and they also reflect

0:04:12 > 0:04:17the crisis in the eurozone that has frozen Europe's economies. He said

0:04:17 > 0:04:22unemployment would fall. It isn't. He said the economy would grow. It

0:04:22 > 0:04:25hasn't. He said we are all in this together. We are not. When will the

0:04:25 > 0:04:29Prime Minister face up to the fact that his policies are failing the

0:04:29 > 0:04:34country? It was mainly weak spending at home that held back the

0:04:34 > 0:04:37economy last year. Our trade with other countries and even in Europe

0:04:37 > 0:04:42held up pretty well but the Prime Minister is right that the

0:04:42 > 0:04:47government wasn't the only one squeezing UK households. They also

0:04:47 > 0:04:52faced a big rise in energy and food prices. And uncertainty about the

0:04:52 > 0:04:57eurozone probably did weigh down on confidence last year. It will be

0:04:57 > 0:05:03even more important in 2012. Take tourism. Last year we had more

0:05:03 > 0:05:12foreign visitors and spending by UK holidaymakers rose by over 10% but

0:05:12 > 0:05:16On the plus side, perhaps exposure of the Olympics and the Diamond

0:05:16 > 0:05:21Jubilee but on the negative side, we have the turmoil in Europe so I

0:05:21 > 0:05:24think if we have a flat here, we would still be doing extremely well.

0:05:24 > 0:05:29This news is a bit worse than expected but the broad message is

0:05:29 > 0:05:33the same: The UK economy is flat. But that is enough bad news to be

0:05:33 > 0:05:37getting on with two and a half years after the steepest recession

0:05:37 > 0:05:41in living memory the supposed to have ended.

0:05:41 > 0:05:45So the argument about who or what is to blame rages in Westminster

0:05:45 > 0:05:51but what does the downturn mean for families and businesses around the

0:05:51 > 0:05:57country? Our correspondent has been focusing on the market town of

0:05:57 > 0:06:03Hereford. Hereford, historic, timeless. A

0:06:03 > 0:06:07border city that has seen it all. Good times and bad. But today there

0:06:07 > 0:06:12on new challenges. In the city centre, things seem pretty healthy.

0:06:12 > 0:06:17Plenty of people out and about. Take a closer look. It is late

0:06:17 > 0:06:23January and the sales are still on. Some shops have closed down, others

0:06:23 > 0:06:29struggling for survival. This man is doing all he can to bring the

0:06:29 > 0:06:32customers in. We have been in business 11 years... We have looked

0:06:33 > 0:06:42at every cost in the business and we have cut every cost back to the

0:06:42 > 0:06:48lowest level that we can. 43! Jerez that's brand new livestock

0:06:48 > 0:06:53market is doing brisk business. -- Hereford. Agriculture is crucial to

0:06:53 > 0:06:58the economy and land prices haven't been this good for years. Export to

0:06:59 > 0:07:02Europe are a driving force. Farmers like John Bishop cannot afford to

0:07:02 > 0:07:07celebrate. His income is improving but that is only half of the

0:07:07 > 0:07:14picture. The cost of production is going through the roof. It is

0:07:14 > 0:07:17soaring out of control. The cost of energy is unbelievable. Perhaps the

0:07:17 > 0:07:24economic fightback will start with small businesses like this. In her

0:07:24 > 0:07:29farmhouse kitchen, this woman is running courses in Indian cookery.

0:07:29 > 0:07:34There is a market there. There is a place for new businesses but you

0:07:34 > 0:07:38have to search for the right market. Clearly the people of Hereford are

0:07:38 > 0:07:42having to adapt to a new economic reality. They are changing their

0:07:42 > 0:07:46spending habits and work patterns, launching new businesses, but you

0:07:46 > 0:07:50still get the impression that no one here quite knows what happens

0:07:50 > 0:07:59next with the economy or the scale of the problems which may still lie

0:07:59 > 0:08:04ahead. Our political editor joins us.

0:08:04 > 0:08:07These figures must put pressure on the Chancellor. Any sign he will

0:08:07 > 0:08:11have changed tack? These Treasury officials will

0:08:11 > 0:08:14probably give you a better sense than me because I have not seen him

0:08:14 > 0:08:19but there is clearly a sense that George Osborne is saying to the

0:08:19 > 0:08:22country, I knew it was bad, I told you in my last Autumn Statement

0:08:22 > 0:08:27that things have got worse, that borrowing would go on longer, that

0:08:27 > 0:08:33the pain would be deeper. You get the argument between the Labour

0:08:33 > 0:08:37Party saying, it is all your fault, and the government saying, no, it

0:08:37 > 0:08:41is the euro, and yet the economists are saying, it is probably both

0:08:41 > 0:08:45that have contributed to problems we have. More interesting perhaps

0:08:46 > 0:08:51is the argument about what we do next. The last person to be on the

0:08:51 > 0:08:54doorstep posing for their cameras was Christine Lagarde, head of

0:08:54 > 0:08:59International Monetary Fund, a vital international organisation.

0:08:59 > 0:09:03What is intriguing is what her chief economist has said. He said,

0:09:03 > 0:09:07because the government has got a plan for dealing with the deficit,

0:09:07 > 0:09:13it has got a little bit of room to slow down the cuts if it wants in

0:09:13 > 0:09:16order to help with growth. But then he added a but. The but is:

0:09:16 > 0:09:20Provided it doesn't spook the markets into thinking that the

0:09:20 > 0:09:24government has lost its nerve. That is the argument that will be going

0:09:24 > 0:09:28on inside the building, inside the Treasury, inside the next few weeks

0:09:28 > 0:09:33before the Budget. What can they do which would contribute to growth

0:09:33 > 0:09:36without unnerving the markets that the government had lost its nerve?

0:09:36 > 0:09:40Intriguingly, the Liberal Democrats in the coalition are beginning to

0:09:40 > 0:09:44say the answer is tax cuts for those on low and middle incomes,

0:09:44 > 0:09:50but they have to be paid for and that would mean by tax rises on

0:09:50 > 0:09:53people who are richer. Thank you. US special forces, the same unit

0:09:53 > 0:09:56that killed Osama bin Laden last year, have mounted another daring

0:09:56 > 0:10:00mission. This time they have rescued two aid workers, including

0:10:00 > 0:10:03an American, who were kidnapped by Somali bandits three months ago.

0:10:03 > 0:10:09President Obama, who ordered the top secret mission, said America

0:10:10 > 0:10:14would never tolerate the abduction of its citizens. Our security

0:10:14 > 0:10:20correspondent reports. A commander in chief with every

0:10:20 > 0:10:24reason to be believed. Good job tonight. On his way to give the

0:10:24 > 0:10:27State of the Union address last night, President Obama

0:10:27 > 0:10:34congratulated his Defence Secretary on a secret rescue mission in

0:10:34 > 0:10:37Somalia. A mission that indeed these two aid workers' nightmare.

0:10:37 > 0:10:42American Jessica Buchanan and Poul Hagen Thisted from Denmark, freed

0:10:42 > 0:10:52by US Navy SEALS after three months held by Somali kidnappers. They

0:10:52 > 0:10:54

0:10:54 > 0:10:57were seized last October while working for a Danish Mind -- mine

0:10:57 > 0:11:03clear ring it company. They were being held in a compound in

0:11:03 > 0:11:08northern Somalia. US Navy SEALS from Unit 6, the same that killed

0:11:08 > 0:11:13Osama Bin Laden, parachuted in the area, landing close to the compound

0:11:13 > 0:11:18at 2am. Gunfire broke out and in the fighting that followed, all

0:11:18 > 0:11:24nine kidnappers were killed. There were no US casualties. The hostages

0:11:24 > 0:11:30were then flown by helicopter to the safety of a US base in Djibouti.

0:11:30 > 0:11:37The entire operation lasted an hour. When it was over, the President ran

0:11:37 > 0:11:40Jessica Buchanan's father. He had taken a big risk. The president

0:11:40 > 0:11:45authorised this personally. I cannot go into more detail. They

0:11:46 > 0:11:50concluded they should go and the President gave the go. This was the

0:11:50 > 0:11:55highest profile US military operation in Somalia since US

0:11:55 > 0:11:59forces pulled out in 1994 but that still leaves over 150 hostages,

0:11:59 > 0:12:04mostly sailors, held by Somali pirates and bandits and the ransoms

0:12:04 > 0:12:08for their release are rising, running well into the millions. One

0:12:08 > 0:12:12of those still being held is a British tourist, snatched from this

0:12:12 > 0:12:17Kenyan beach resort last September and taken to Somalia. It is partly

0:12:17 > 0:12:25what has prompted David Cameron to call an international conference on

0:12:25 > 0:12:32Somalia next month. Tonight two X hostages' ordeal is over. But

0:12:32 > 0:12:35Somalia's problems will be up needing profound and lasting

0:12:35 > 0:12:38solutions. It has been described as the most

0:12:38 > 0:12:41important decision Scotland will have to make in 300 years. First

0:12:41 > 0:12:45Minister, Alex Salmond, has set out his proposals for a referendum on

0:12:45 > 0:12:54independence from the rest of the UK. The plan will now go out for

0:12:54 > 0:13:01consultation. This report contains a flash photography.

0:13:01 > 0:13:04It is a day which Alex Salmond believes is historic. He once got

0:13:04 > 0:13:10into the Independent and today his government invited the people to

0:13:10 > 0:13:13have their say -- he wants Scotland to be independent. It is not just

0:13:14 > 0:13:19about the wealth and strength of the Scottish economy, we want to

0:13:19 > 0:13:22see a society which has compassion at its heart. A Scotland's First

0:13:22 > 0:13:27Minister would like the referendum to start with one key question.

0:13:27 > 0:13:32That is, do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?

0:13:32 > 0:13:37Much else is open to discussion. Should there be an additional

0:13:37 > 0:13:44question about further devolution, devolution max? Would a Saturday

0:13:44 > 0:13:49boost turnout for the ballot? Who should get to vote? Should 16 and

0:13:49 > 0:13:5517-year-olds et sa? These pupils in Fife would be affected by which way

0:13:56 > 0:14:00the decision goes. At the age of 16, we are able to go and get married,

0:14:00 > 0:14:04and raise a family, so why shouldn't we be able to vote?

0:14:04 > 0:14:10are not informed enough. A lot of people I know have no idea what is

0:14:10 > 0:14:13going on with politics. Scotland's first minister says it is the

0:14:13 > 0:14:18people who live and work in Scotland who are best placed to

0:14:18 > 0:14:23decide its future. That has left some, including James Wallace,

0:14:24 > 0:14:28recently graduated and heading to London, I'm happy. It is wrong that

0:14:28 > 0:14:32people like me, who has spent my entire life in Scotland, suddenly

0:14:32 > 0:14:36through my work commitments have to move to London and all of a sudden

0:14:36 > 0:14:41I am excluded from being able to vote in the referendum. Two weeks

0:14:41 > 0:14:47ago, Westminster launched its own consultation on the referendum so

0:14:47 > 0:14:50what hope that two governments can reach agreement? We want to sit

0:14:50 > 0:14:55down with as good as government and see if we can come forward with the

0:14:55 > 0:14:58way that will make sure we have a legal and decisive referendum.

0:14:58 > 0:15:02what happens in Scotland could affect the rest of the UK.

0:15:02 > 0:15:07Scotland's future is a matter for Scotland but the constitutional

0:15:07 > 0:15:12debate is a matter for everybody who has an interest in what happens

0:15:12 > 0:15:15to the UK. The details of this announcement will be analysed.

0:15:15 > 0:15:20Voters will now have three months to consider what Alex Salmond has

0:15:20 > 0:15:25said today and to reflect on what is in here but only after people

0:15:25 > 0:15:29have expressed their views will negotiations between the two

0:15:29 > 0:15:33governments really begin. But this consultation brings the

0:15:33 > 0:15:43referendum itself one step closer. The detailed arguments over the

0:15:43 > 0:15:46

0:15:46 > 0:15:53Our top story tonight: the UK economy went into reverse at the

0:15:53 > 0:15:59end of last year, as output fell by 0.2%. Coming up: Harry Redknapp and

0:15:59 > 0:16:04the taped conversations about his alleged tax evasion.

0:16:04 > 0:16:07Later on the BBC News Channel, cutting subsidies for solar panels

0:16:07 > 0:16:17was unlawful. The Government loses its High Court appeal.

0:16:17 > 0:16:19

0:16:19 > 0:16:22And mortgage lending hits its David Cameron has set out the

0:16:22 > 0:16:24fundamental changes he wants to see to the European Court of Human

0:16:24 > 0:16:27Rights. He told the Council of Europe in Strasbourg that the

0:16:27 > 0:16:31court's reputation had been undermined by hearing trivial cases,

0:16:31 > 0:16:33and it should interfere less in decisions made by national courts.

0:16:33 > 0:16:43Our deputy political editor, James Landale, is in Strasbourg and

0:16:43 > 0:16:44

0:16:44 > 0:16:48listened to the Prime Minster's speech. In the wake of the Second

0:16:48 > 0:16:52World War, European nations came together to establish a new

0:16:52 > 0:16:55convention on human rights. Drafted in part by British politicians and

0:16:55 > 0:17:01lawyers, its aim was to give back to the people of Europe the

0:17:01 > 0:17:04freedoms they had lost in years of conflict. But today the European

0:17:04 > 0:17:09Court of Human Rights, the court has upholds that convention, stands

0:17:09 > 0:17:13accused by critics of straying from its original purpose. Critics like

0:17:13 > 0:17:16the Prime Minister, who came to Strasbourg to say it is time for

0:17:17 > 0:17:21reform. The court should be free to deal with the most serious

0:17:21 > 0:17:26violations of human rights. It should not be swamped with an

0:17:26 > 0:17:30endless backlog of cases. It should ensure that the right to individual

0:17:30 > 0:17:34petition counts, but not act as a small claims court. The court

0:17:35 > 0:17:38should hold us all to account. It should not undermine its own

0:17:38 > 0:17:44reputation by going over decisions where it doesn't need to.

0:17:44 > 0:17:48European Court's decision last week to prevent Britain deporting the

0:17:48 > 0:17:51radical Muslim cleric Abu Qatada for fear he would not get a fair

0:17:51 > 0:17:55trial in Jordan, despite the British courts rueming otherwise.

0:17:55 > 0:17:59Mr Cameron says he wants decisions by national courts respected more

0:17:59 > 0:18:03often unless there are exceptional circumstances. He wants the get rid

0:18:03 > 0:18:10of the backlog of more than 150 ,000 cases so the court can focus

0:18:10 > 0:18:16on serious not trivial issues. He wants better judges appointed. But

0:18:16 > 0:18:18last year the court ruled that three of Britain's most dangerous

0:18:18 > 0:18:23murderers couldn't review their life sentences, prompting

0:18:23 > 0:18:27supporters of the court to say it was getting the balance right, and

0:18:27 > 0:18:35warned that reform carried risk. Some of the proposals from member

0:18:35 > 0:18:40states such as the UK seriously threaten the rights of individuals

0:18:40 > 0:18:42all across Europe to seek justice for human rights violations. David

0:18:42 > 0:18:46Cameron's come to Strasbourg because he and many of his MPs

0:18:47 > 0:18:50believe that the judges who sit this these chairs here are

0:18:50 > 0:18:54interfering too much in British national life. But his reforms even

0:18:54 > 0:18:59if they are agreed will take years to implement and for some he is not

0:18:59 > 0:19:03going far enough. In the coming months the European Court will rule

0:19:03 > 0:19:07once again on whether prisonerers should get the vote. If it insists

0:19:07 > 0:19:15they should, many Conservatives MPs will say it is not triumph for

0:19:15 > 0:19:19withdrawal but -- not time to reform but withdraw from the court

0:19:19 > 0:19:22entirely. Harry Redknapp, one of Britain's

0:19:22 > 0:19:25most successful and popular figures in football, has been in court for

0:19:25 > 0:19:28a third day facing charges of tax evasion. The case revolves around a

0:19:28 > 0:19:31bank account held by the Tottenham manager in Monaco. The court heard

0:19:31 > 0:19:33taped conversations with a News of the World journalist in which Mr

0:19:33 > 0:19:43Redknapp angrily denied the allegations against him. This

0:19:43 > 0:19:50

0:19:50 > 0:19:55Harry Redknapp arriving at Court supported once again by his son,

0:19:55 > 0:19:59Jamie, who has been here every day of the trial. The jury heard how

0:19:59 > 0:20:02Redknapp had been paid �1 million when while manager of Portsmouth

0:20:03 > 0:20:06his team had been promoted to the Premier League that. Information

0:20:06 > 0:20:09came from the club's former chairman, Milan Mandaric, in a

0:20:09 > 0:20:15telephone recording made by the News of the World which was played

0:20:15 > 0:20:20to the court. Max Beesley was the reporter who made the call after

0:20:20 > 0:20:25being tipped off about the Monaco bank account. He admitted paying

0:20:25 > 0:20:35his informant �8,000. Max Beesley recorded a call with Harry Redknapp

0:20:35 > 0:20:47

0:20:47 > 0:20:51The prosecution also asked the juer Troy consider a series of questions.

0:20:51 > 0:20:55One of them: did Harry Redknapp and Milan Mandaric really think that

0:20:55 > 0:20:59payments from a chairman of a Football Club to a senior employee

0:20:59 > 0:21:02should not incur income tax? Another: was it credible that it

0:21:02 > 0:21:08never occurred to Mr Redknapp to mention the existence of the Monaco

0:21:08 > 0:21:12account to his own accountant? Harry Redknapp and Milan Mandaric

0:21:12 > 0:21:16both deny sect up the foreign bank account to avoid paying taxes.

0:21:16 > 0:21:22Tomorrow's session will begin with a video link to Monaco, where the

0:21:22 > 0:21:24account was based. The BBC has been told to scale back

0:21:25 > 0:21:27planned cuts to its regional services. The chairman of the BBC

0:21:27 > 0:21:30Trust, Lord Patten, said the changes to local radio stations and

0:21:30 > 0:21:32TV current affairs programmes would damage unique services. It means

0:21:33 > 0:21:40the Corporation will have to find �10 million worth of savings

0:21:40 > 0:21:43elsewhere. England's cricketers will feel they

0:21:43 > 0:21:46have the edge following the first day of play at the second Test

0:21:46 > 0:21:55against Pakistan. They took seven wickets, with Stuart Broad and

0:21:55 > 0:21:59Graham Swann taking three apiece. From Abu Dhabi, here's Joe Wilson.

0:21:59 > 0:22:05In cricket terms Abu Dhabi's stadium is located slap-bang in the

0:22:05 > 0:22:09middle of nowhere, outside desert. Inside deserted? Not quite. The

0:22:09 > 0:22:17crowd grew to a few thousand as England rethought their approach.

0:22:17 > 0:22:22Spin bowling in the morning. Swann struck first. Off off accommodating.

0:22:22 > 0:22:27Panesar returning triumphly to the team. Forget TV technology and

0:22:27 > 0:22:33disputed decisions. If you knock over the stumps it is out. Younis

0:22:33 > 0:22:37Khan dismissed by Broad. Azhar Ali followed emphaticly. Pakistan were

0:22:37 > 0:22:44103-4. England in the grief. Pakistan's Captain Misbah-ul-Haq is

0:22:44 > 0:22:54often regarded as a boring batsman. Panesar may have disagreed. The

0:22:54 > 0:22:55

0:22:55 > 0:23:01bowler's patience stretched further when Misbah was stretched to 30.

0:23:01 > 0:23:06Shafiq lbw for 58. Then Broad was lbw. Fortunes had turned. That's

0:23:06 > 0:23:12the beauty of the game. Misbah was defiant, choosing the final to

0:23:12 > 0:23:16bounce Panesar back over the boundary. Message clear. The

0:23:16 > 0:23:20Captain is still there. Test match cricket is at its best when it is

0:23:20 > 0:23:23evenly poised. That's certainly the case here. Those who came will

0:23:23 > 0:23:29surely think it was worth watching, especially was it was free to get

0:23:29 > 0:23:32From flaming beacons to a flotilla of barges along the Thames - just

0:23:32 > 0:23:35some of the plans to mark the Queen's Diamond Jubilee. Today, the

0:23:36 > 0:23:39search began for a special menu to serve at the big occasion, with

0:23:39 > 0:23:42schoolchildren being asked to come up with a dish fit for a Queen. The

0:23:42 > 0:23:52event was launched by the Duchess of Cornwall, who had some advice of

0:23:52 > 0:23:53

0:23:53 > 0:23:57her own, as Jon Kay reports. Please be seated. She's used to the very

0:23:57 > 0:24:04finest cuisine, but the menu at Buckingham Palace is about to get

0:24:04 > 0:24:09some updating. In June, the royal kitchens will be serving up food

0:24:09 > 0:24:15created by British schoolchildren. So, aprons on, pans at the right-

0:24:15 > 0:24:21hand. What would these youngsters in Bristol cook for the Queen?

0:24:21 > 0:24:26Chocolate cake with strawberries on top. Ice cream and jelly. Chicken

0:24:26 > 0:24:32tikka masala. Everyone likes it. Victoria sponge because of Queen

0:24:32 > 0:24:36victoria. I might call it an Elizabeth sponge. This was the idea

0:24:36 > 0:24:39of the Duchess of Cornwall, who today became the most unlikely

0:24:39 > 0:24:44dinner lady at a Swindon comprehensive school. She wanted to

0:24:44 > 0:24:49give mer mother-in-law an unusual present for her Diamond Jubilee and

0:24:49 > 0:24:53thought a kids' cookery competition would get things rolling. It is a

0:24:53 > 0:24:57light touch isn't it What would you cook for the Queen herself? What

0:24:57 > 0:25:01would I cook for the Queen? Something very simple I think. I

0:25:01 > 0:25:07don't dare go on about my roast chicken but that's the safest thing

0:25:07 > 0:25:11I can cook. What do you think she would like to eat? She likes very

0:25:11 > 0:25:15plain. Nothing too complicated. Children entering the competition

0:25:15 > 0:25:20are encouraged to use local ingredients, so that pasty made by

0:25:20 > 0:25:25kids here contains Wiltshire meat and vegetables. They are encouraged

0:25:25 > 0:25:29to give old dish as new twist. So here we've got Coronation chicken,

0:25:29 > 0:25:33a royal favourite, but inside a Sam oes Sam. Thinking about pudding.

0:25:33 > 0:25:41How about this? This is Queen of puddings appropriately enough, but

0:25:41 > 0:25:45here inside a tart. When did you start to cook? The winning entries

0:25:45 > 0:25:51will be turned into canapes in the royal kitchens and the young chefs

0:25:51 > 0:25:59who create them will get the serve the dishes to the Queen.

0:25:59 > 0:26:04More now on our main story. The argument about where the UK economy

0:26:04 > 0:26:07is heading. Jeffny Flanders joins me. It's a question everyone wants

0:26:07 > 0:26:11answering - is there a possibility of a double-dip recession? Hate to

0:26:11 > 0:26:14be a possibility on the basis of these numbers, buts the question

0:26:14 > 0:26:18that no-one can answer. You can find people in the City who will

0:26:18 > 0:26:21tell you this is likely to be short-lived. We've seen positive

0:26:21 > 0:26:25signs today from UK manufacturing in the last few weeks. Good news

0:26:26 > 0:26:30from the US economy. Even Germany, but there is plenty of others who

0:26:30 > 0:26:35think we are now heading deeply into negative territory for a while.

0:26:36 > 0:26:41What's most striking to me is that the average forecast for the UK

0:26:41 > 0:26:48this year is 0.4%. When George Osborne became Chancellor, when he

0:26:48 > 0:26:52wrote his Budget plans, we thought the economy would grow by 2.6% last

0:26:52 > 0:26:57year, 278% this year. I think the crucial thing is just like the

0:26:57 > 0:27:07financial crisis before it, this is turning out to be a recovery unlike

0:27:07 > 0:27:08

0:27:08 > 0:27:12Fluctuating numbers of my own, because it's been much milder today.

0:27:12 > 0:27:16Temperatures have been higher but tonight they will drop once more.

0:27:16 > 0:27:19It will turn colder after we've all seen a spell of wet weather. It's

0:27:19 > 0:27:23been raining for much of the afternoon in Northern Ireland and

0:27:23 > 0:27:27western Scotland. A big line of rain heading all the way to the

0:27:27 > 0:27:31south of Ireland that. Line of rain is a weather front, which will

0:27:32 > 0:27:37spread across all areas overnight. We'll all have a few hours of rain.

0:27:37 > 0:27:40Because it is a cold front it will then drop temperatures sharply.

0:27:40 > 0:27:45Under the clear skies we will see frost forming in northern Britain.

0:27:45 > 0:27:48As the rain clears it could turn icy for the morning rush hour

0:27:48 > 0:27:51across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. It's a wet

0:27:51 > 0:27:56rush hour in eastern counties of England but the rain here will

0:27:57 > 0:28:02drift away and then we are all in the mixture of sunshine and showers.

0:28:02 > 0:28:07The showers tomorrow will have a wintry shower. Sleet and hail mixed

0:28:07 > 0:28:11in. For some there would be snow over the hills of Scotland. Even at

0:28:11 > 0:28:16lower levels there could be snow flurries in the central belt, and

0:28:16 > 0:28:20in Northern Ireland and northern England. Even at lower level there

0:28:20 > 0:28:25is could be hail and sleet for a time. Further south, not many

0:28:25 > 0:28:31showers by the afternoon. A better chance of sunshine. Maybe showers

0:28:31 > 0:28:36over the moors. Temperatures lower than today's. It will feel chilly

0:28:36 > 0:28:40tomorrow night. Temperatures dropping away. Showers in north-

0:28:40 > 0:28:44western areas. Snow likely over the hills. The risk of ice on Friday

0:28:44 > 0:28:48morning. Friday is again a day of sunshine and showers, with the