17/06/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.following a breakthrough in relations. -- in Iran.

:00:00. > :00:09.We're all living longer and putting extra pressure on the NHS.

:00:10. > :00:18.A new report says it faces a financial black hole.

:00:19. > :00:24.The health service in Wales needs to find ways of improving its

:00:25. > :00:25.productivity and most crucially to tackle the burden of chronic disease

:00:26. > :00:38.in Wales. The family of Amir Siddiqi say they

:00:39. > :00:42.can now begin to mourn him after the two hit men who killed him

:00:43. > :00:53.lose their appeals. I don't think we'll ever get over

:00:54. > :01:00.what happened. My brother was taken from us. There is no rhyme or reason

:01:01. > :01:05.to what happened. It is going to take us a long time to accept that.

:01:06. > :01:08.Making the grade at this school but a report says Welsh pupils

:01:09. > :01:11.continue to lag behind the rest of the UK in English lessons.

:01:12. > :01:13.Concerns are raised over the proposals for

:01:14. > :01:17.And after a decline in the number of Welsh speakers in

:01:18. > :01:25.its heartlands, around ?1.6 million to encourage more of us to use it.

:01:26. > :01:30.The NHS in Wales could find itself facing a financial "black hole"

:01:31. > :01:33.of at least ?2.5 billion by the middle of the next decade.

:01:34. > :01:38.That's the conclusion of a new study by the influential Nuffield Trust.

:01:39. > :01:41.They've warned the Welsh Government, which commissioned the report,

:01:42. > :01:43.that they'll have to a make tough decisions.

:01:44. > :01:51.Our health correspondent Owain Clarke has the details.

:01:52. > :01:57.Keeping fit and well, these pensioners don't miss a bit piqued

:01:58. > :02:03.when it comes to living healthily. Every individual should keep

:02:04. > :02:07.themselves fit. In my case, I have got type two diabetes and I find

:02:08. > :02:14.exercise makes a huge difference to my blood sugars. We all have to take

:02:15. > :02:22.responsibility for our hearts and our activities. As a result, many of

:02:23. > :02:27.us are living longer and that comes at a price. Health costs are set to

:02:28. > :02:31.increase by more than 3% a year. What you need is a mature debate

:02:32. > :02:35.with the electorate about whether they want a comprehensive health

:02:36. > :02:42.service free at source where everyone is equivalent and that

:02:43. > :02:46.costs money. We need more resources to run a comp retentive health

:02:47. > :02:50.system. While the costs have been increasing dramatically the amount

:02:51. > :02:54.of money it gets has fallen behind meaning the NHS has fallen deeper

:02:55. > :02:58.into a black hole. Even if those cats are reversed, today's report

:02:59. > :03:04.warns that by 2025 if spending grows in line with inflation the NHS could

:03:05. > :03:12.find itself facing a funding void of ?2.5 billion. If spending does not

:03:13. > :03:20.rise at all the black hole could be even deeper. But before then even if

:03:21. > :03:24.the Welsh NHS succeeds in cutting costs and finding all the savings it

:03:25. > :03:29.has promised to do, they will be a gap of over ?200 million by the end

:03:30. > :03:32.of it -- next year. There's no getting away from the fact that if

:03:33. > :03:36.we want to maintain the quality and range of services we got in Wales

:03:37. > :03:43.and across the UK we are going to have to pay some more for it. Not

:03:44. > :03:49.the increases we saw in the last decade and more than we. The report

:03:50. > :03:55.got the politicians talking this afternoon. If the NHS shares in the

:03:56. > :03:59.protected real-time -- real terms growth in the economy and makes the

:04:00. > :04:07.productivity gains which Nuffield identified as achievable, the NHS

:04:08. > :04:11.remains affordable. No matter how much glossy try and paint, this

:04:12. > :04:15.report makes for eye watering reading and shows clearly the

:04:16. > :04:18.chickens are coming home to roost in terms of the lack of priority you

:04:19. > :04:24.have given to the NHS in recent years. But the NHS argues it is

:04:25. > :04:27.already trying hard to save millions. There are more than

:04:28. > :04:32.400,000 patient records in this storage unit in Newport. They will

:04:33. > :04:38.soon disappear when the health board digitises the information. The main

:04:39. > :04:44.benefit is in patient safety. Whenever a patient goes for care,

:04:45. > :04:47.their record will be complete in terms of alleviating the pressure on

:04:48. > :04:59.the infrastructure of looking after these notes. It will save us ?1

:05:00. > :05:03.million a year. The Welsh Government argues that doing the little things

:05:04. > :05:07.can eventually save a lot but with the pressure facing NHS

:05:08. > :05:11.intensifying, filling a financial void with millions could be ever

:05:12. > :05:16.more difficult. To what extent is this a Welsh

:05:17. > :05:18.problem, Owain? What for example's

:05:19. > :05:27.happening over the border? This mirrors one study two years ago

:05:28. > :05:35.which estimated the NHS in England could face a ?30 billion black hole

:05:36. > :05:42.by 2021. I am told the figure of 2.5 billion we are talking about in

:05:43. > :05:46.Wales is in that ballpark. This clearly isn't just a large problem

:05:47. > :05:53.but Health Minister stood up in the assembly today and said he will be

:05:54. > :05:58.having discussions this summer with the finance minister, looking at NHS

:05:59. > :06:02.finances. They redesign the health service to move more people away

:06:03. > :06:08.from expensive hospitals and into the community. But what is really

:06:09. > :06:13.interesting is the opposition say that won't put the NHS on a firm

:06:14. > :06:16.financial footing but what is interesting is the Welsh Government

:06:17. > :06:22.'s response depends on what happens in Westminster. If the UK economy

:06:23. > :06:26.goes and the government in Westminster uses that money to

:06:27. > :06:29.invest in public services, many would flow to Wales and the gap

:06:30. > :06:36.would be filled up. If the government in Westminster says belts

:06:37. > :06:38.have to remain tight, that would be a big headache here in tackling the

:06:39. > :06:42.gap in NHS finances. The family of teenager,

:06:43. > :06:46.Aamir Saddiqi, stabbed by mistake by two hitmen, say they no longer

:06:47. > :06:48.have to fear bumping Jason Richards and Ben Hope today

:06:49. > :06:52.lost appeals against their sentences and will stay behind

:06:53. > :07:06.bars for a minimum of 40 years. The four years life has been on hold

:07:07. > :07:11.for this family. Grief has been on hold, waiting for their son's

:07:12. > :07:13.killers to be tried and then appeal against those convictions. The

:07:14. > :07:20.youngest of their four children, Aamir Siddiqi, was killed on their

:07:21. > :07:23.doorstep in Cardiff when he was 17. Killed by two hit men who had gone

:07:24. > :07:28.to the wrong address. His parents were also hurt trying to protect

:07:29. > :07:35.him. The severity of what happened has left us with emotional scars,

:07:36. > :07:42.psychological scars. Mentally, physically, there are so many

:07:43. > :07:50.elements to this. There is going to be some long-lasting effects. We no

:07:51. > :07:56.longer feel safe in our family home. Walking down the street is a tough

:07:57. > :08:00.experience. 39-year-old Jason Richards today had his appeal

:08:01. > :08:03.against his conviction thrown out. 40-year-old Ben Hope's appeal

:08:04. > :08:09.against the length of his conviction was also dismissed. The Court of

:08:10. > :08:19.Appeal said it was an appealing -- appalling series of crimes. I feel

:08:20. > :08:22.sad that they took away something so valuable and they don't know what

:08:23. > :08:29.the value of that was. I wish they understood what they did. Only then

:08:30. > :08:35.will they understand the enormity of what they have done. I don't feel

:08:36. > :08:40.anything towards them. His sister says it is the positive memories

:08:41. > :08:44.which will now help them adjust to life without him.

:08:45. > :08:48.That's according to the author of a report published today

:08:49. > :08:50.on the standards of English lessons in Welsh schools.

:08:51. > :08:52.The schools watchdog Estyn says despite the majority of pupils aged

:08:53. > :08:55.seven to 14 achieving good standards in English, pupils in Wales continue

:08:56. > :09:10.Here's our political reporter, James Williams.

:09:11. > :09:18.Learning about their past by using their language skills. English

:09:19. > :09:23.lessons are aware this school excels. However they managed it?

:09:24. > :09:29.Number one is a robust system of assessment for learning. We don't

:09:30. > :09:38.have it just as something that teachers do. It runs across our

:09:39. > :09:42.practice with the pupils. Good standards in this lessons for seven

:09:43. > :09:47.to 14-year-olds are to be found across many primary schools and the

:09:48. > :09:51.majority of secondary schools. That is the findings of a report

:09:52. > :09:55.published today by Estyn but it says concerns remain about the standards

:09:56. > :10:00.of writing especially when it comes to inaccuracies in spelling,

:10:01. > :10:04.punctuation and grammar. Pro-quality marking is still an issue as is the

:10:05. > :10:09.fact that pupils from deprived backgrounds don't achieve as well as

:10:10. > :10:16.their peers. The report found that is -- despite improvements since

:10:17. > :10:17.2008 Welsh pupils continue to lag behind their counterparts in

:10:18. > :10:23.Scotland, Northern Ireland and Inman. It's a gap that is also

:10:24. > :10:33.apparent in the international tests with Wales trailed the rest of the

:10:34. > :10:38.UK. Those results are reflected of 15-year-olds and we are talking

:10:39. > :10:41.about seven to 14-year-olds. The foundation for any English skill is

:10:42. > :10:52.at an early age. Wales is not doing well enough. It is showing that

:10:53. > :11:04.Carolyn Jones and Welsh Labour are letting teachers, pupils and parents

:11:05. > :11:08.down across Wales. Education Minister Hugh Lewis welcomed the

:11:09. > :11:09.positive aspects of the report but recognises that improvements need to

:11:10. > :11:17.be make -- made. A man has been found guilty

:11:18. > :11:20.of murdering an amateur boxer from Wrexham by stabbing him

:11:21. > :11:23.more than 50 times in a pub toilet. Craig Maddocks was killed

:11:24. > :11:25.in the Cambrian Vaults pub last June The two men had gone

:11:26. > :11:29.into the toilet cubicle to take Prevete had been to

:11:30. > :11:39.his father's funeral that day. The judge in the trial

:11:40. > :11:43.of a mine manager accused of causing the deaths of four men at the

:11:44. > :11:46.Gleision mine in the Swansea Valley The men drowned when

:11:47. > :11:50.the mine flooded three years ago. Mr Justice Wyn Williams told

:11:51. > :11:52.the jury they should first reach a conclusion about the

:11:53. > :11:55."crucial" aspect of the case - whether Malcolm Fyfield inspected

:11:56. > :11:58.the area of the mine the men were Mr Fyfield and the pit operators,

:11:59. > :12:01.MNS Mining, A crash between a car,

:12:02. > :12:05.a van and a tanker has closed a 21 It happened earlier this afternoon

:12:06. > :12:10.on the A44 between Llangurig Dyfed Powys Police say

:12:11. > :12:14.the road will remain shut for some Two air ambulances and five

:12:15. > :12:19.ambulances were sent to the scene. There has been no official

:12:20. > :12:36.confirmation of any casualties. How do you prevent traffic jams on

:12:37. > :12:41.the M4? It's a question that politicians have been asking for

:12:42. > :12:44.more than 20 years. The chair of the assembly 's environment committee

:12:45. > :12:51.has reigned -- raised his concerns about proposals, a new relief road

:12:52. > :12:54.about Newport. Alun Ffred Jones has written to the economy minister

:12:55. > :13:02.questioning why an alternative to new road has not been put forward.

:13:03. > :13:04.A site that commuters, businesses and governments dread. Traffic

:13:05. > :13:13.congestion on the M4 around Newport and how to solve it certainly isn't

:13:14. > :13:19.a new topic. This is a public consultation document from the Welsh

:13:20. > :13:27.is dated July 1993. Its title, M4 relief road. More recently the

:13:28. > :13:31.current government of Wales asked an engineering firm to assess the

:13:32. > :13:37.options and its recommendation was to build a relief road. The

:13:38. > :13:42.government then put three different new options up for public

:13:43. > :13:47.consultation. The black route is the main proposal. The red and blue ones

:13:48. > :13:55.were put forward as reasonable alternatives. In a letter to the

:13:56. > :13:58.economy and transport Minister, the chair of the environment committee

:13:59. > :14:04.says he is concerned the process of choosing the three routes may not

:14:05. > :14:08.have been handled properly. He says there are questions over whether the

:14:09. > :14:12.options are too similar. The European regulations demand that if

:14:13. > :14:16.you are proposing any major infrastructure project then you have

:14:17. > :14:25.to prove it is absolutely necessary. In this case, we're not

:14:26. > :14:29.convinced that the government has considered all the other possible

:14:30. > :14:41.options. And business opinion on the matter is split. South Wales needs a

:14:42. > :14:46.new motorway to avoid the pinch point of the tunnels. The blockages

:14:47. > :14:52.we see there are having an impact on investment into South Wales. With

:14:53. > :15:01.the many the government has got available, we have to consider all

:15:02. > :15:06.the options. The government says the Minister will respond to the letter

:15:07. > :15:09.'s questions in due course. BBC Wales understands that pressure

:15:10. > :15:12.groups have been told by Edwina Hart the upgrade option is being

:15:13. > :15:17.considered despite it not being in the formal consultation. A decision

:15:18. > :15:23.is likely this is a but a legal challenge could well follow.

:15:24. > :15:28.How the fire service is helping young prisoners get back on track.

:15:29. > :15:30.And high pressure is still in charge but with subtle differences

:15:31. > :15:37.A detailed forecast later in the programme.

:15:38. > :15:39."It's a critical time for the Welsh language.?

:15:40. > :15:43.The words of the First Minister today as he announced that ?1.6

:15:44. > :15:45.million would be spent to encourage its use.

:15:46. > :15:47.The move comes after figures showed the number

:15:48. > :15:53.The number in Gwaun Cae Gurwen near Ammanford went down 12%

:15:54. > :16:07.Children are our future and these at the nursery in Gwaun Cae Gurwen

:16:08. > :16:10.will be living it in both Welsh and English.

:16:11. > :16:12.But even here in its heartlands, the language is struggling.

:16:13. > :16:18.So what do people here think should be done to help?

:16:19. > :16:26.It is an obligation on the government to make sure we give the

:16:27. > :16:30.children with the best they can and if having two languages or more is

:16:31. > :16:39.the best we can give them then certainly that is our duty. When I

:16:40. > :16:42.was younger I was speaking Welsh but I have lost it a lot. That is why my

:16:43. > :16:49.senders in a Welsh school. Down the road

:16:50. > :16:50.from here is Carmarthenshire, It saw the greatest decrease

:16:51. > :16:54.in percentage terms in the number of Welsh speakers across Wales

:16:55. > :16:57.from 50.3 in 2001 to 43.9 in 2011. That's the biggest fall

:16:58. > :17:03.of any county in Wales and one of the problems the First Minister

:17:04. > :17:17.says he wants to tackle We're going to put more money into

:17:18. > :17:21.the organisations which support the language in communities. Money into

:17:22. > :17:27.developing better is this useful wheel -- Welsh. We are also looking

:17:28. > :17:28.at well -- ways to prove the way the planning system can support the

:17:29. > :17:35.language. The money will be spent

:17:36. > :17:38.on a number of projects including - encouraging businesses to use

:17:39. > :17:41.Welsh, changing the way Welsh is taught in English-medium schools

:17:42. > :17:43.and encouraging people to use Camped on the Assembly's doorstep

:17:44. > :17:46.ahead of the announcement, members of Cymdeithas Yr Iaith

:17:47. > :17:54.Gymraeg were not impressed. People in Wales want to see the

:17:55. > :17:58.language grow. We want to be able to live in Welsh. The will of the

:17:59. > :18:01.people in Wales to see the language grow is clear. What's missing is the

:18:02. > :18:06.political will from Carwyn Jones. It?s always difficult piecing

:18:07. > :18:09.together a language policy that'll make a difference on the ground,

:18:10. > :18:11.but it'll be many years before we know whether any of these

:18:12. > :18:14.plans have been successful. The Welsh Government has

:18:15. > :18:16.suspended its funding to a charity that supports black and ethnic

:18:17. > :18:18.minority communities in Swansea. Police are investigating

:18:19. > :18:20.the Minority Ethnic Women's Network which has received just under

:18:21. > :18:23.?500,000 worth of public money. The Government says there is no

:18:24. > :18:25.evidence that any public funding An inquest jury inquiring into the

:18:26. > :18:39.death of a man in police custody eleven years ago has been told it

:18:40. > :18:43.must focus on the actions of the two 32-year-old Hywel Hughes from Bangor

:18:44. > :18:47.was taken into custody after being In 2005

:18:48. > :18:50.the two officers were charged with misconduct but their case never went

:18:51. > :18:53.to trial for legal reasons. From the inquest in Caernarfon,

:18:54. > :19:01.Roger Pinney reports. An 11 year wait to discover how and

:19:02. > :19:09.why her brother died. Carrying a photograph of him, Hywel Hughes'

:19:10. > :19:14.sister arriving in court. He died in May 2003. The cause of death was

:19:15. > :19:19.traumatic asphyxia. It happened after he was held down by nightclub

:19:20. > :19:24.bouncers and then handcuffed and listed into a police car. Opening

:19:25. > :19:27.the inquest, the assistant coroner told the jury they must focus on

:19:28. > :19:33.activities with the two police officers. She said they must decide

:19:34. > :19:36.whether it would have made any difference whether they had acted

:19:37. > :19:40.differently. The police were called to the nightclub in Bangalore after

:19:41. > :19:49.a disturbance inside. The inquest was told how old hills had assaulted

:19:50. > :19:58.staff members. He was rejected struggling and pinned to the ground.

:19:59. > :20:09.Those security men were later cleared by a jury of manslaughter.

:20:10. > :20:14.But the police officers were charged with misconduct. For legal reasons

:20:15. > :20:18.they case did not go to full trial. The inquest heard the officers took

:20:19. > :20:24.Hywel Hughes to custody in Caernarfon and varied was found his

:20:25. > :20:30.heart had stopped beating. Another officer was unable to assemble it --

:20:31. > :20:34.assemble and oxygen bag and all attempts at resuscitation failed.

:20:35. > :20:41.This inquest is expected to last two weeks.

:20:42. > :20:45.Two people of been arrested as part of an investigation into the death

:20:46. > :20:50.of an elderly woman. Ted Gwen Roderick was found with serious and

:20:51. > :20:54.unexplained injuries at the hospital in Mountain Ash three weeks ago. She

:20:55. > :20:57.was transferred to another hospital where she died.

:20:58. > :21:00.On last night's programme, we took a rare look at life inside

:21:01. > :21:04.It's home to 22 young people who've committed a crime or thought to be

:21:05. > :21:07.They need specialist help and rehabilitation

:21:08. > :21:10.and education is a key part of life at Hillside Secure Children's Home.

:21:11. > :21:13.In the second of our special reports, we've been finding out

:21:14. > :21:15.about a project that's teaching the young people there about giving

:21:16. > :21:34.Today is no ordinary day at Hillside Secure Children's Home. These young

:21:35. > :21:39.people have spent the week learning about fire safety. Today they put

:21:40. > :21:45.their skills to the test. This 16-year-old was sent here to prison

:21:46. > :21:48.for theft. We cannot blame him for legal reasons but this is one

:21:49. > :21:53.element of his revalidation. It's called the Phoenix project and it's

:21:54. > :22:05.about teaching him and others here about doing something positive. I

:22:06. > :22:09.feel proud because I have done something and I might be able to

:22:10. > :22:13.help save people 's lives. A few hundred yards away a reminder of

:22:14. > :22:18.where we are. Locked doors, CCTV, personal staff alarms, all part of

:22:19. > :22:23.life in this secure unit. A secure unit for children. Some have

:22:24. > :22:29.committed robbery, sexual offences, even murder. Others are here for

:22:30. > :22:34.their own welfare like David. He has not been through the courts but he

:22:35. > :22:38.was headed that way. He was referred here and after several months he is

:22:39. > :22:47.now headed in the right direction. It was a good buzz. It felt really

:22:48. > :22:55.good. Is that tried something you have felt before? No, not like that.

:22:56. > :23:00.It was pretty good. Pride for David 's mother as well who remembers the

:23:01. > :23:04.first time she visited him here. When I walked into the room and saw

:23:05. > :23:14.him, I could see my son compares to what was before at home. It was nice

:23:15. > :23:17.to have the old David back. To see him work like that, all the kids

:23:18. > :23:27.have done amazing, I am really proud. And he was very proud as

:23:28. > :23:31.well. Children here were also involved in making a DVD about the

:23:32. > :23:41.dangers of fire and the importance of road safety. A little girl and a

:23:42. > :23:46.mother was passing by. This 17-year-old wrote those lyrics. He

:23:47. > :23:59.was detained here for four months and released in February. This is

:24:00. > :24:02.his first time back. I tried to put myself in the position of people who

:24:03. > :24:10.are still here and I felt sorry for them. I am glad I don't have to be

:24:11. > :24:15.here and be locked up. His work will be seen by schoolchildren across

:24:16. > :24:21.Wales. He says making the DVD changed his outlook on life. I

:24:22. > :24:25.realise you should not drink and drive or take drugs because it has a

:24:26. > :24:30.big effect on people 's lives. The five service says the success of

:24:31. > :24:37.this project relies on the way they contact with the young people. --

:24:38. > :24:40.connect. We get the respect back and we aim to be role models for these

:24:41. > :24:47.young people. Hundreds of young people have been part of the

:24:48. > :24:53.project. Hundreds of lives which may have changed for good.

:24:54. > :25:01.Glamorgan are five wickets away from victory at home to Kent. A century

:25:02. > :25:08.helped Glamorgan reach 527 in the first innings.

:25:09. > :25:10.Well, plenty of glorious sunshine across the country today.

:25:11. > :25:14.It's been feeling very warm today, Derek.

:25:15. > :25:17.Dan Godrey recorded 32C in Penarth this afternoon

:25:18. > :25:22.Plenty more dry weather to come this week and over the weekend.

:25:23. > :25:25.Just the odd shower in places but no more than that.

:25:26. > :25:28.Mind you, there will be subtle differences from day to day such

:25:29. > :25:32.Porthmadog reached 24C today but on Thursday,

:25:33. > :25:37.This evening, dry with sunshine and a few clouds.

:25:38. > :25:40.Overnight, cloud will tend to increase.

:25:41. > :25:43.The odd shower possible but otherwise a dry night for most

:25:44. > :25:52.Tomorrow's chart shows high pressure over the Atlantic.

:25:53. > :25:54.Weak fronts will move through the high, bringing cloud,

:25:55. > :26:01.The odd shower in places but otherwise dry.

:26:02. > :26:04.And there will be breaks in the cloud so some places bright

:26:05. > :26:07.Perhaps some mist over the Irish Sea.

:26:08. > :26:09.So more dry weather and sunshine tomorrow.

:26:10. > :26:12.Some cloud as well and it may not stay dry everywhere.

:26:13. > :26:15.A few showers will break out in the afternoon.

:26:16. > :26:18.The odd heavy one in the south west, perhaps with thunder.

:26:19. > :26:26.Some coasts a little cooler and sea mist may roll onto parts

:26:27. > :26:31.In Carmarthenshire tomorrow, sunny spells and warm.

:26:32. > :26:34.A shower in places in the afternoon which could be heavy.

:26:35. > :26:36.In Denbighshire tomorrow, most of the county dry and brightening-up.

:26:37. > :26:41.Tomorrow evening any showers will die away leaving a dry night.

:26:42. > :26:46.Some clear spells but also some low cloud, mist and a few fog patches.

:26:47. > :26:49.On Thursday, a grey, misty start in places but generally

:26:50. > :26:55.Cooler for many but still warm in the south and south east.

:26:56. > :26:59.Friday and the weekend, little change.

:27:00. > :27:07.Cooler in the north and west, especially on the coast with

:27:08. > :27:20.The main news. There has been a diplomatic rake through in relations

:27:21. > :27:25.between Britain and Iran. The Foreign Secretary has announced that

:27:26. > :27:36.the British embassy in Teheran will reopen.

:27:37. > :27:39.For now from all of us on the programme, have a good evening.