:00:17. > :00:20.Wales could continue to be ?300 million a year worse off,
:00:21. > :00:23.as a result of a promise made to Scotland by the leaders of
:00:24. > :00:29.That's the warning tonight after David Cameron, Ed Miliband
:00:30. > :00:32.and Nick Clegg pledged to keep the method for allocating money to
:00:33. > :00:37.the UK's devolved nations in place IF Scotland rejects independence.
:00:38. > :00:52.It may sound like something dreamt up in a room full of test tubes and
:00:53. > :00:56.colourful concoctions like this high-tech ice cream parlour in
:00:57. > :00:59.Cardiff, but the Barnett formula was almost created on the back of an
:01:00. > :01:05.envelope. So says the man who devised it. Lord Barnett came up
:01:06. > :01:09.with a funding system in the late 1970s to provide a short-term method
:01:10. > :01:15.for deciding how much money should be given to the various parts of the
:01:16. > :01:21.UK. At 35 years later, it is still firmly in place. This is the Barnett
:01:22. > :01:27.formula, it may look complicated, it is one of the reasons it has lasted
:01:28. > :01:32.so long, it is relatively easy to calculate. It does have its critics,
:01:33. > :01:36.which they it leaves Scotland overfunded and Wales short-changed.
:01:37. > :01:42.A couple of years ago, the average public expenditure per head was
:01:43. > :01:49.nearly ?9,000, but in Scotland it was more than ?10,100. Here in
:01:50. > :01:57.Wales, it was more than ?9,500, and in Northern Ireland, nearly ?11,000
:01:58. > :02:01.was spent on each citizen. We are about 14% per head better off than
:02:02. > :02:04.basic spending in England. What the formula does not take into account
:02:05. > :02:09.is the cost to providing services here in Wales. High levels of
:02:10. > :02:12.poverty, low levels of population, which makes clear and education much
:02:13. > :02:19.more expensive to provide than in England. Others warn new needs
:02:20. > :02:24.-based formula will not be the best option for Wales. If you open that
:02:25. > :02:29.can of worms, who knows what will happen? I am not persuaded that
:02:30. > :02:35.Wales would automatically win. There are extremely poor areas of
:02:36. > :02:41.England. Wales might not necessarily win. In their attempts to convince
:02:42. > :02:45.Scottish Borders to reject independence, the three main UK
:02:46. > :02:49.parties have now promised to keep the Barnett formula if Scotland
:02:50. > :02:52.votes Now on the Barnett formula if Scotland
:02:53. > :02:59.frustrated people in Wales, who have long campaigned for a new and fairer
:03:00. > :03:05.funding system. Between 2010 and 2020, Wales will lose
:03:06. > :03:10.funding system. Between 2010 and billion to public services if the
:03:11. > :03:15.Barnett formula is fixed. Is the First Minister suggesting today that
:03:16. > :03:20.this announcement is not the whole truth? If so, do the people of Wales
:03:21. > :03:24.not deserve to know today what the future holds further public
:03:25. > :03:30.services? First Minister, in short, we are is your piece of paper, your
:03:31. > :03:34.vote? As Ed Miliband and I have said, an incoming Labour government
:03:35. > :03:38.will address the issue of fair funding for Wales. We have said that
:03:39. > :03:43.publicly for some months, our position has not changed. Reform may
:03:44. > :03:48.be on its way, but the political reality in Wales is that we may have
:03:49. > :03:50.to accept at face -- our place in the queue, while the people of
:03:51. > :03:51.Scotland decide what they want. Lord Barnett has tonight
:03:52. > :03:53.called for the formula He's called it 'grossly unfair' and
:03:54. > :03:58.will call for a debate on its future Two men have gone on trial
:03:59. > :04:03.in Cardiff accused of forcing a vulnerable man to work for them
:04:04. > :04:07.against his will and without pay. Darell Simister from Worcestershire
:04:08. > :04:10.was found last year, in poor health, at the farm
:04:11. > :04:27.on the outskirts of Newport, Timid and vulnerable, that is home
:04:28. > :04:34.Darell Simister was described in court today. The man, now 44, who
:04:35. > :04:39.disappeared 13 years ago, and was found last year in such a state his
:04:40. > :04:45.family said they hardly recognised him. The men accused of keeping him
:04:46. > :04:54.on a farm against his will at father and son, Daniel senior and Daniel
:04:55. > :04:58.junior. Today the junior were told -- the jury were told that Darell
:04:59. > :05:01.Simister first came in contact with the family when he was picked up at
:05:02. > :05:07.the side of the road by the father and offered a few days' work tarmac
:05:08. > :05:10.in. But it is alleged he was taken to the farm on the outskirts of
:05:11. > :05:16.Newport, where he remained for the next 13 years. Working for no pay.
:05:17. > :05:21.Police arrested the father and son in September last year after Darell
:05:22. > :05:25.Simister's family had been looking for him for
:05:26. > :05:30.Simister's family had been looking traced him to the farm, and his
:05:31. > :05:33.brother went there and find him. Today the court heard that duelling
:05:34. > :05:37.his time on the farm he had lived in a shed, worked for no pay, got his
:05:38. > :05:42.food once a day and watched in an animal trough. It is said he worked
:05:43. > :05:49.from 7am until 9pm animal trough. It is said he worked
:05:50. > :05:55.week. And all those years, left only two or three times. Once he was
:05:56. > :05:59.taken to a fear and once to Cardiff on New Year's Eve. It was alleged
:06:00. > :06:04.that on one occasion, he had fallen from a horse onto a concrete floor
:06:05. > :06:10.and fractured his hip. When he was taken to hospital two days later, he
:06:11. > :06:13.was told to give a false name and false story to the doctors. On
:06:14. > :06:19.another occasion, it was said after a fire he ran away. But he was
:06:20. > :06:22.brought back. He told police, he promised to eat less and the damage
:06:23. > :06:27.was paid for. Both defendants deny the charge of requiring another
:06:28. > :06:29.person to perform forced or compulsory labour. The case is
:06:30. > :06:34.expected to take up to six weeks. Police have been given more time
:06:35. > :06:37.to question a man arrested on suspicion of the murder
:06:38. > :06:39.of a 45-year-old woman in Mold. Paramedics were called to help
:06:40. > :06:41.Karen Catherall Police say
:06:42. > :06:44.a full investigation is underway and are appealing for anyone with
:06:45. > :06:47.information to contact them. Football, and Cardiff City have been
:06:48. > :06:50.beaten 1-0 at home by Middlesbrough in the Championship tonight,
:06:51. > :06:53.just three days after In League Two, Newport County had
:06:54. > :06:59.a goalless draw away at Tranmere, while in the Conference, Wrexham
:07:00. > :07:06.beat leaders Barnet 1-0 away. Rugby, and the Cardiff Blues say
:07:07. > :07:09.they'd be interested in re-signing Leigh Halfpenny if his contract is
:07:10. > :07:13.terminated at Toulon. The Wales fullback moved to
:07:14. > :07:19.the French Champions in the summer Toulon's owner has told a newspaper
:07:20. > :07:22.that they haven't ruled out They're investigating
:07:23. > :07:41.whether he was already injured E look at the weather forecast.
:07:42. > :07:47.The warm September continues, 24 Celsius in parts of Pembrokeshire
:07:48. > :07:52.today. More warm weather with the risk of showers as well. Largely
:07:53. > :07:56.dry, maybe one or two showers in the north-east. Mist and fog patches
:07:57. > :08:05.forming, especially in sheltered valleys, mild as well. Overnight
:08:06. > :08:08.lows between 11 and 15 Celsius. Turning into a dry and largely
:08:09. > :08:13.bright day tomorrow for Wales. Across the UK, low cloud and fog
:08:14. > :08:22.quite slow to lift. Especially east along the North Sea coast. Showers
:08:23. > :08:27.becoming readily available in the East. Warming up across the south of
:08:28. > :08:32.England into the low to mid 20s. Another warm day across Wales,
:08:33. > :08:36.bright afternoon with sunny spells. A very small risk of an isolated
:08:37. > :08:42.shower, temperatures in the 20s for most. The chart shows low pressure
:08:43. > :08:46.off Portugal edging a bit closer on Thursday, turning increasingly
:08:47. > :08:49.humid, bringing a greater chance of showers. Mostly settled and warm
:08:50. > :08:54.with sunny spells, at those showers edging closer to the south later in
:08:55. > :08:59.the afternoon, and that humid, unstable are brings us another warm
:09:00. > :09:04.day, with a risk of heavy showers on Friday. Sunny at times and feeling
:09:05. > :09:08.quite muggy. In the Atlantic, high pressure builds for the end of the
:09:09. > :09:11.week, and into the weekend. Things settling down again. Warm weather
:09:12. > :09:17.over the next few days, temperatures widely into the low to mid 20s. The
:09:18. > :09:21.humid air could give us a greater chance of showers by the end of the
:09:22. > :09:25.week. You can keep up-to-date with the details on the forecast, and
:09:26. > :09:30.watch the video forecast online, on the website.
:09:31. > :09:34.Thank you very much. Tomorrow, please join me live from Edinburgh
:09:35. > :09:38.with a special Wales Today on the eve of the referendum. As well as
:09:39. > :09:41.following the final day of campaigning, we will meet up with
:09:42. > :09:45.Welsh expats to see how they are reporting. And assessing the impact
:09:46. > :09:54.Yes vote would have on Welsh businesses. That is tomorrow at
:09:55. > :09:59.6:30pm. Crimewatch is next. We are back at 6am tomorrow morning, Wales
:10:00. > :10:01.Today, from all of us on the programme, good night.