:00:00. > :00:07.Welcome to the programme. Tonight's headlines:
:00:08. > :00:10.A ?700 million black hole in the finances
:00:11. > :00:13.of the Welsh NHS in three years - the warning from leading experts.
:00:14. > :00:15.This bus crash in France left Catrin Pugh
:00:16. > :00:23.but the home of the Tiger Bay Brawlers is under threat.
:00:24. > :00:39.Now thousands of people are rallying to save it.
:00:40. > :00:43.The NHS in Wales is "facing the most financially challenging period"
:00:44. > :00:48.According to new research by leading experts, the service could face
:00:49. > :00:51.a ?700 million black hole in its finances
:00:52. > :00:56.However, the Health Foundation suggests the gap could be
:00:57. > :01:00.closed by finding savings and limiting pay rises.
:01:01. > :01:04.Our health correspondent Owain Clarke has the story.
:01:05. > :01:07.Since it was established almost 70 years ago,
:01:08. > :01:11.advances in technology mean the NHS, a bit like a factory,
:01:12. > :01:16.So if you think of the NHS as an industrial process
:01:17. > :01:19.or a production line, you can argue it has been the victim
:01:20. > :01:23.Better health care means we are living longer,
:01:24. > :01:27.meaning more of us need care for long-term health conditions
:01:28. > :01:33.Derek Cummings from Treorchy has been living with a serious lung
:01:34. > :01:38.He's too ill to leave the house but full of praise
:01:39. > :01:44.Without the back-up of the NHS, life would be impossible.
:01:45. > :01:47.The different drugs we have to have, the different consultants we have
:01:48. > :01:51.to deal with, the NHS, I can't praise them enough.
:01:52. > :01:56.So if the NHS is consistently having to work harder, what is the impact?
:01:57. > :02:00.Brand-new research gives us the clearest indication yet
:02:01. > :02:07.According to the Health Foundation's analysis, the NHS here might have
:02:08. > :02:10.to spend ?700 million more than it can afford
:02:11. > :02:15.That's more than 10% of what the Health Service
:02:16. > :02:20.Wales is going through a period where the population is ageing.
:02:21. > :02:23.The numbers over 65 are going to grow by almost 30%
:02:24. > :02:31.Making sure they are able to stay well and be well supported in their
:02:32. > :02:35.homes and in their communities is really important for the NHS.
:02:36. > :02:38.So can a financial black hole be filled?
:02:39. > :02:41.Yes, according to the analysis, but it won't be easy.
:02:42. > :02:45.It says the NHS needs to find efficiency savings of 1.5% a year
:02:46. > :02:50.That's higher than the rest of the UK.
:02:51. > :02:57.Some of the easier efficiencies have been delivered and each year it gets
:02:58. > :03:00.harder to find where we're going to get them from.
:03:01. > :03:05.Many industries like this power station in Newport are all the time
:03:06. > :03:08.trying to become more efficient and save money but the analysis
:03:09. > :03:11.suggests the NHS needs to do more than just working
:03:12. > :03:18.The NHS in Wales is already struggling to recruit
:03:19. > :03:23.The challenges we face in medical recruitment in every part of the NHS
:03:24. > :03:26.family across the UK are not all about pay, they are often
:03:27. > :03:31.The recruitment campaign for GPs we are about to launch
:03:32. > :03:33.is about making sure people understand the offer -
:03:34. > :03:37.what it is to train, live and work in Wales.
:03:38. > :03:40.But the positive message in the analysis is the NHS
:03:41. > :03:43.could still be affordable in the longer term.
:03:44. > :03:47.It won't necessarily need to be shut down or sold off like a failing
:03:48. > :03:51.works if it becomes more efficient and if the money spent on it keeps
:03:52. > :03:56.Although the analysis suggests Brexit could still throw
:03:57. > :04:02.But to get to a more secure position, the NHS in Wales will have
:04:03. > :04:05.to first overcome what's being described as the biggest
:04:06. > :04:14.The jury at the retrial of former Wales footballer Ched Evans,
:04:15. > :04:17.for rape, has been told not to judge the morals of those involved.
:04:18. > :04:20.The Chesterfield striker denies raping a 19-year-old woman
:04:21. > :04:23.at a Premier Inn hotel in Denbighshire in 2011.
:04:24. > :04:27.The prosecution argued she was too drunk to consent.
:04:28. > :04:30.The judge at Cardiff Crown Court will continue her summary
:04:31. > :04:36.A Cardiff Jobcentre was closed today after members of staff were taken
:04:37. > :04:42.An investigation is underway and signs were put up at the office
:04:43. > :04:45.on Cowbridge Road to advise job seekers about alternative
:04:46. > :04:49.A spokesman for the Public and Commercial Services Union said
:04:50. > :04:52.several members were given oxygen therapy for suspected
:04:53. > :04:59.A woman from Wrexham who suffered burns to 96% of her body in a bus
:05:00. > :05:04.crash in the French Alps in 2013 has won a settlement of more
:05:05. > :05:06.than a million pounds from the coach firm.
:05:07. > :05:10.22-year-old Catrin Pugh, from Rossett, was returning
:05:11. > :05:13.from a season working in a ski resort when the coach burst
:05:14. > :05:18.into flames, killing the driver and injuring dozens of passengers.
:05:19. > :05:22.Returning home after five months working in a ski resort,
:05:23. > :05:25.Catrin Pugh was sitting directly behind the coach driver when
:05:26. > :05:31.Engulfed in flames, a friend pulled her from the wreckage.
:05:32. > :05:34.I remember being on fire and I remember the aftermath
:05:35. > :05:37.and I wouldn't be able to describe which was worse.
:05:38. > :05:41.Being on fire is one of the hardest things I could ever explain.
:05:42. > :05:45.The pain, literally the only places I had not burned were the top
:05:46. > :05:51.I actually passed out and I don't remember anything else until
:05:52. > :05:53.waking up in Whiston Hospital three months later.
:05:54. > :05:56.Months of painful rehabilitation followed, where she learned to walk
:05:57. > :06:01.She had 200 operations, including many skin grafts.
:06:02. > :06:05.But visits from other burn victims, including Katie Piper,
:06:06. > :06:09.who was scarred in an acid attack, inspired her psychological recovery.
:06:10. > :06:12.That really was my big turning point because I could see
:06:13. > :06:17.that there was a life and a future for me once all of this was over.
:06:18. > :06:20.Catrin's family have helped her back from the brink and say she's become
:06:21. > :06:25.It's very easy to hide yourself away when you have something
:06:26. > :06:28.like this happen to you and I don't know whether I could have been
:06:29. > :06:35.But I am very proud of her and I am proud of her brother and sister
:06:36. > :06:38.as well for all the support they have given her.
:06:39. > :06:42.The exact amount of money Catrin has been awarded by the coach firm
:06:43. > :06:44.hasn't been disclosed, but it's believed to be more
:06:45. > :06:49.The money that I have received is going to be used to make
:06:50. > :06:52.adaptations to my health when I finally move out
:06:53. > :06:56.from my parents - to change handles in the kitchen,
:06:57. > :06:59.drawers and cupboards, to have a bathroom that is a wet room
:07:00. > :07:03.so I can walk into the shower safely and have bars on the walls.
:07:04. > :07:06.Catrin wants to keep growing stronger, doing
:07:07. > :07:08.the activities she loves, like swimming and skiing.
:07:09. > :07:11.But her priority is to give hope to others.
:07:12. > :07:14.Three and a half years after the crash, Catrin Pugh isn't
:07:15. > :07:20.The Welsh Government has named four foreign-owned companies
:07:21. > :07:23.who are competing to run train services and create
:07:24. > :07:28.The eventual winner of the Wales and Borders franchise will have
:07:29. > :07:30.to deliver a major upgrade to the network in Cardiff
:07:31. > :07:35.Officials said the four preferred bidders were the only ones to come
:07:36. > :07:40.Plans to tackle pollution in our streams and rivers
:07:41. > :07:43.by introducing new areas covered by strict rules have been discussed
:07:44. > :07:46.by more than a hundred farmers in Haverfordwest tonight.
:07:47. > :07:49.The Welsh Government is consulting on introducing more so-called
:07:50. > :07:56.But farmers say the rules on how they store and spread slurry
:07:57. > :07:59.could put some of them out of business.
:08:00. > :08:02.We've got perfect weather at the moment for spreading slurry.
:08:03. > :08:05.Why then do we have to stop at a certain date?
:08:06. > :08:08.Whereas maybe in February, when it has opened up again,
:08:09. > :08:12.it is far too wet and the streams will be polluted.
:08:13. > :08:15.That's the challenge that we have and that's what we are asking,
:08:16. > :08:21.Carmarthen Ham has been awarded protected name status by the EU.
:08:22. > :08:24.It's been earned by other foods such as Pembrokeshire Early Potatoes
:08:25. > :08:29.The Rees family, who have been producing the traditionally
:08:30. > :08:32.air-dried and salt cured ham for five generations say they're
:08:33. > :08:36.over the moon, although there was a bit of a scare
:08:37. > :08:39.about qualifying for the European status after Brexit.
:08:40. > :08:43.Football, and Wrexham have parted company with manager Gary Mills
:08:44. > :08:48.The club are 15th in the National League,
:08:49. > :08:56.Now, it houses roller derby, fencing, cheerleading and swimming.
:08:57. > :09:00.Around 4,500 people take part in a variety of activities
:09:01. > :09:04.at the Cardiff Central Sports and Community Centre every week.
:09:05. > :09:07.But its future is uncertain as the council is reviewing
:09:08. > :09:13.So far nearly 3,000 people have signed a petition to keep it open,
:09:14. > :09:19.The rough and tumble of roller derby.
:09:20. > :09:23.The Tiger Bay Brawlers are one of the top ten teams in the UK
:09:24. > :09:26.and are in the top one hundred in the world.
:09:27. > :09:29.They're one of several sports clubs
:09:30. > :09:33.It's the former Welsh National Tennis Centre,
:09:34. > :09:37.which is reviewing the use of its buildings.
:09:38. > :09:43.but groups like these might have to move out by March.
:09:44. > :09:47.We have struggled to find somewhere we can call our own.
:09:48. > :09:51.We've looked at trying to get loans to buy buildings
:09:52. > :09:54.and then we found this place, we managed to get the floor
:09:55. > :09:57.that meant we could skate on it, and it was just finally,
:09:58. > :10:02.The question mark now of not having anywhere,
:10:03. > :10:06.it's not just having this place, it's not having anywhere to skate.
:10:07. > :10:09.The Tiger Bay Brawlers also have a separate scheme funded
:10:10. > :10:12.by Sport Wales to encourage young women from disadvantaged backgrounds
:10:13. > :10:17.And the club's youth team, the Tiger Bay Cubs,
:10:18. > :10:20.is the only junior roller derby team in south Wales.
:10:21. > :10:22.We've moved quite a few times since I've joined
:10:23. > :10:28.It's our own track so I'm not too fussed on
:10:29. > :10:35.We're all a really tight pack and a really good group of friends.
:10:36. > :10:40.And it's something different about you
:10:41. > :10:42.so it makes you more interesting as a person.
:10:43. > :10:45.The centre is also home to the Cardiff Academy of Fencing,
:10:46. > :10:51.including several children who've made it into the British squad.
:10:52. > :10:54.Hundreds of other young people are members of Central Explosion,
:10:55. > :10:59.And nearly 500 people a week take part in lessons
:11:00. > :11:04.as part of their community programme.
:11:05. > :11:09.By far the biggest group here is Cardiff Central Youth Club,
:11:10. > :11:12.a gymnastics club with more than a thousand members.
:11:13. > :11:16.Its base has been secured with a ten year lease but all the other groups
:11:17. > :11:21.are here under a temporary licence which comes to an end next March.
:11:22. > :11:25.The council says it's reviewing its buildings
:11:26. > :11:28.to ensure they deliver the best value for the tax-payer.
:11:29. > :11:33.The groups here hope they'll all be able to stay afloat.
:11:34. > :11:43.Time for the weather forecast now. Derek, what's coming our way?
:11:44. > :11:49.There is a change on the way. Over the weekend it is going to turn
:11:50. > :11:55.milder. That will bring some rain and heavy showers but I can promise
:11:56. > :12:00.some sunshine as well. Most of the country dry tonight. The odd shower
:12:01. > :12:04.in the north-east. A few mist and fog patches forming. We could see a
:12:05. > :12:09.touch of frost. And tomorrow morning, mist and fog patches will
:12:10. > :12:14.slowly lift. I would not rule out the odd spot of rain in the south,
:12:15. > :12:20.otherwise drive. Plenty of cloud but some dry spells. Across the rest of
:12:21. > :12:22.the UK, showers in the North, Northern Ireland, wet and windy for
:12:23. > :12:30.eastern Scotland, gales in the north-east. Most places dry. Maybe
:12:31. > :12:35.some rain in the father south-east of England. The best of the sunshine
:12:36. > :12:40.in north-west England. In Wales, tomorrow afternoon not too bad. Some
:12:41. > :12:45.sunshine. Some showers in Pembrokeshire later in the
:12:46. > :12:50.afternoon. A top temperature of 14 Celsius in Aberystwyth. Later in the
:12:51. > :12:55.night, a front will spread some rain into southern and western counties.
:12:56. > :12:57.That rain all tied to this area of low pressure on our doorstep and it
:12:58. > :13:03.is going to dominate our weather over the weekend. On Saturday
:13:04. > :13:07.showers will spread northwards and then clear. Then a window of
:13:08. > :13:11.sunshine, but then more rain later in the afternoon and during the
:13:12. > :13:15.evening. Sunday will be breezy with a mixture of sunshine and scattered
:13:16. > :13:17.showers and feeling milder over the weekend.
:13:18. > :13:21.We'll be back with updates from around 6:25am in the morning.
:13:22. > :13:25.But for now, from all of us here, good night.