:00:08. > :00:15.This is BBC World News. Our top stories: A new baby for Britain's
:00:16. > :00:20.Royal family. The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge are expecting their
:00:21. > :00:25.second child. Now the speculation" at the six of the baby, possible
:00:26. > :00:30.names and of course Prince charge will enjoy sharing the limelight.
:00:31. > :00:35.Iraq militants come under pressure, Baghdad claims a series of victories
:00:36. > :00:38.while attending to agree a new government. Sierra Leone defends
:00:39. > :00:45.plans for a three-day national lockdown as they battle to stop the
:00:46. > :00:51.spread of deadly Ebola outbreak. Could your brothers and sisters be a
:00:52. > :00:53.threat to your mental health? Why bullying at home could be worse than
:00:54. > :01:09.anything children experience at home. -- experience at school.
:01:10. > :01:14.Welcome. We begin with an announcement from the British royal
:01:15. > :01:18.family that the Duchess of Cambridge and her husband Prince William are
:01:19. > :01:22.expecting their second child. The couple's office, Clarence House, has
:01:23. > :01:26.said the couple and their families are delighted with the news. The
:01:27. > :01:31.first child, Prince George, was born in July 2013.
:01:32. > :01:38.The new baby will have a tough act to follow. From his first photocall
:01:39. > :01:44.outside hospital, Prince George has behaved impeccably for the cameras.
:01:45. > :01:50.Very emotional. It is such a special time, I think any parent will
:01:51. > :01:54.probably know what this feeling is like. Kate, how you feeling? His
:01:55. > :02:00.mother may have been a picture of health after the birth but the early
:02:01. > :02:03.part of the first pregnancy wasn't easy for the Duchess of Cambridge.
:02:04. > :02:06.She was admitted to hospital with acute morning sickness. Despite the
:02:07. > :02:10.initial concern the rest of the pregnancy appeared to go smoothly,
:02:11. > :02:13.with public interest in the impending birthing creasing along
:02:14. > :02:18.with the size of her figure, there was little time for her to slow
:02:19. > :02:22.down. -- birth increasing. This was her last public engagement, a month
:02:23. > :02:27.before the birth of George. There will be plenty of room for the new
:02:28. > :02:39.addition. The family apartment at Kensington Palace has recently been
:02:40. > :02:41.refurbished at a the public purse of more than ?4 million. Now the
:02:42. > :02:44.speculation can relieve begin. The six of the baby, possible names and
:02:45. > :02:46.of course how Prince George were like sharing the limelight. He has
:02:47. > :02:50.proved a huge hit with the Royal family supporters around the globe.
:02:51. > :02:52.He stole the show in the few brief appearances he made during his
:02:53. > :03:00.parents tour of Australia and New Zealand. The new baby will be fourth
:03:01. > :03:06.in line to the throne, but unlike his or her big brother, is not
:03:07. > :03:11.destined to be the monarch. Their role throughout life will really be
:03:12. > :03:17.a very secondary role, and I think, rather like Prince Harry, they will
:03:18. > :03:22.have to find their own role. They will have to find their own
:03:23. > :03:27.charities, their own causes. Maybe, who knows, they may decide to take a
:03:28. > :03:33.completely different path in life altogether. Whatever role the new
:03:34. > :03:35.baby ends up taking on, it is clear that from the moment he or she
:03:36. > :03:40.emerges from hospital, they will have to get used to being the centre
:03:41. > :03:43.of attention. A little earlier and Royal
:03:44. > :03:47.correspondence Peter Hunt told me more about the pregnancy. We can
:03:48. > :03:52.safely assume she is not passed the first key milestone of 12 weeks. For
:03:53. > :03:54.a second time this couple have been robbed of the opportunity to get
:03:55. > :03:57.through that first milestone and both times they have been robbed of
:03:58. > :04:01.it because she suffers from this acute form of morning sickness. The
:04:02. > :04:05.reason we are talking about it today is because she has it and is unable
:04:06. > :04:18.to go to Oxford, so they have two announced the world that she is not
:04:19. > :04:21.going and give the reason. We can safely issue and she is not 12 weeks
:04:22. > :04:24.pregnant but the Palace will not go into figures, given how early in the
:04:25. > :04:26.pregnancy it is. In a few weeks we will get the formal announcement
:04:27. > :04:29.that she has passed the milestone, then we will know when the baby is
:04:30. > :04:32.due. In India it is bad luck to talk about pregnancy too early, or in
:04:33. > :04:35.advance of the birth at all. This couple has two deal with a lot of
:04:36. > :04:38.speculation, the baby 's name, six, and its role, that will play out,
:04:39. > :04:43.because there is huge global interest in the Royal family. There
:04:44. > :04:46.is huge global interest in the Royal family and this couple and also in
:04:47. > :04:50.baby George. There will be huge global interest in this as yet
:04:51. > :04:53.unborn child, but the key differences there will be interest
:04:54. > :04:57.but not the constitutional significance attached to this child
:04:58. > :05:01.as things stand, as there is the George. We could talk endlessly
:05:02. > :05:06.about George being a future king. This child is the spare, as is known
:05:07. > :05:14.in British Royal circles, destined to be fourth in line to the throne,
:05:15. > :05:16.not as things stand the future moderate. Cynics in the newsroom has
:05:17. > :05:20.suggested, is this announcement timed to help the Scotland float? I
:05:21. > :05:27.think the cynics need to see some sunshine and a happiness! We can
:05:28. > :05:32.safely say this announcement is not timed to move the Queen of the front
:05:33. > :05:36.page, but it is tremendously help. White the Royal family saying they
:05:37. > :05:40.are absolutely delighted. We also know that Prince William wants a
:05:41. > :05:45.much more private life and a more normal life, actually, for the
:05:46. > :05:48.foreseeable future. What strikes me about what we will see with William
:05:49. > :05:53.and Kate and the expanding family is that they are determined to try to
:05:54. > :05:58.live in Norfolk when they can... We are looking at Prince Harry at the
:05:59. > :06:01.moment. He is probably privately rather please pick a -- because he
:06:02. > :06:06.is slipping down the pecking order of succession, so he will be bumped
:06:07. > :06:09.down one more by the birth of first Prince George, then the subsequent
:06:10. > :06:14.child. What we and Kate will do now is try to focus on being a family.
:06:15. > :06:19.He had a very fractured family life because of the deterioration of his
:06:20. > :06:22.parents marriage, she had a normal, upper middle-class family life, he
:06:23. > :06:26.will want to represent hers, not his, and they will try and live as
:06:27. > :06:30.much as they can in Norfolk away from the intrusion -- replicate
:06:31. > :06:33.hers. In the UK they have never published paparazzi pictures but
:06:34. > :06:38.foreign magazines publish pictures of her walking her child, Prince
:06:39. > :06:42.George, in Kensington Park. Peter Hunt, interesting to see what the
:06:43. > :06:47.media reaction will be on that story. More on the website. Let's
:06:48. > :06:51.move on to the rest of the day 's news, we start Iraq and the ongoing
:06:52. > :06:56.conflict with the militant group calling itself Islamic State or ISS.
:06:57. > :06:59.The United States says it has stepped up its campaign, striking
:07:00. > :07:05.IFS targets around a strategic dam on the Europe -- Euphrates River.
:07:06. > :07:11.That comes ahead speech in which the White House says resident Obama will
:07:12. > :07:16.outline his strategy to defeat ISS. The Iraqi parliament is today
:07:17. > :07:20.reconvening to convene a new government, likely to be a more
:07:21. > :07:28.inclusive administration to pave the way for more international support.
:07:29. > :07:32.The new Iraqi government will be inaugurated here in this hall of the
:07:33. > :07:37.Iraqi parliament. As in the Iraqi population, Shi'ites form the
:07:38. > :07:40.majority here, but both the Kurds and the Sunnis, the other two main
:07:41. > :07:45.communities in Iraq, will be included in the government with
:07:46. > :07:50.representation for minorities as well. Last time around, the outgoing
:07:51. > :07:54.Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki announced his cabinet here. Back
:07:55. > :08:00.then, it was also meant to be a national unity government based on a
:08:01. > :08:02.power-sharing agreement. But soon after, he fell out with the Kurds
:08:03. > :08:08.and Sunnis, who accused after, he fell out with the Kurds
:08:09. > :08:13.authoritarianism -- authoritarian. Eventually divisions were exploited
:08:14. > :08:19.by extremists of the militant group Islamic State, which took over large
:08:20. > :08:24.areas in Iraq. Previously little-known politician will be the
:08:25. > :08:27.next minister. The prime minister designate comes from this
:08:28. > :08:30.predominantly Shi'ite neighbourhood in Baghdad. Only one day after his
:08:31. > :08:37.appointment carbonic uploaded right here. With me now is -- car bomb
:08:38. > :08:40.exploded. With me now is as mad. This is perceived to be more
:08:41. > :08:46.inclusive, what you expect with all the violence the country? The
:08:47. > :08:53.Shi'ite community want to provide more security than right now. What
:08:54. > :09:01.has happened today is more explosions, many explosions have
:09:02. > :09:07.happened in the area. We want him to be a very powerful man, to run all
:09:08. > :09:11.these things. Most of the Sunni heartland in northern and western
:09:12. > :09:16.Iraq is under the control of ISS, so I came here to a Sunni neighbourhood
:09:17. > :09:22.in Baghdad to see what the expectations are for the new
:09:23. > :09:26.government. The new administration should correct the mistakes of the
:09:27. > :09:31.previous government. It should understand the militias and build a
:09:32. > :09:38.national army for all Iraqis regardless of ethnic or sectarian
:09:39. > :09:42.background. Iraq is about to enter a new chapter in its troubled
:09:43. > :09:44.history. The destiny of this country and its people depends on the
:09:45. > :09:56.success of the new government. Early trials for a vaccine to
:09:57. > :10:00.protect against the deadly Ebola virus are showing positive signs. US
:10:01. > :10:05.scientists say backs on it it monkeys have developed long-term
:10:06. > :10:08.immunity to the Ebola virus, raising the prospect of success for human
:10:09. > :10:14.trials. Similar trials of the experimental drug -- and experiment
:10:15. > :10:17.drug found it had a 100% success rate in monkeys. The World Heath
:10:18. > :10:21.Organisation says more than 2000 people have now died in the outbreak
:10:22. > :10:24.in West Africa. The authorities in Sierra Leone are planning a
:10:25. > :10:28.three-day lockdown to stop the spread of the virus, but the aid
:10:29. > :10:32.organisation Medecins Sans Frontieres has said it will drive
:10:33. > :10:38.people underground. Earlier I spoke to Sierra Leone's Justice Minister
:10:39. > :10:45.and asked him how it will work. We share the concerns of MSF, but this
:10:46. > :10:51.decision was not taken lightly, it came by way of recommendation from
:10:52. > :10:59.the emergency operations centre, part of the structure put in place
:11:00. > :11:07.to advise on ways to combat the disease. It is a multinational,
:11:08. > :11:14.multidisciplinary team of mainly scientists, medical and public
:11:15. > :11:19.health professionals. How will you enforce the fact that people stay
:11:20. > :11:22.indoors for three days? Because there were riots in Liberia after
:11:23. > :11:33.the government quarantine one community there last month. Well,
:11:34. > :11:37.for a start, we now have military security firmly in gauge in the
:11:38. > :11:43.fight against the Ebola virus. To achieve our objective this time,
:11:44. > :11:51.governments have recruited and trained some 120,000 personnel who
:11:52. > :11:57.would go from house to house enquiring about the health of
:11:58. > :12:02.citizens, with a view to identification of infected persons
:12:03. > :12:09.or persons with any symptoms of the disease. These persons can then be
:12:10. > :12:13.isolated and treated. The Seelaar -- Sierra Leone justice minister
:12:14. > :12:20.there. The referendum on whether Scotland should achieve independence
:12:21. > :12:24.has taken on a new dimensional after the first time a poll indicated more
:12:25. > :12:29.people would like to leave the union than staying. The poll gave the
:12:30. > :12:34.Decided to point advantage, but as the tracker shows, along this year,
:12:35. > :12:38.the Better Together or No camp enjoy the 14 point lead in the same survey
:12:39. > :12:42.since the beginning of the year. Polls shouldn't be seen in
:12:43. > :12:47.isolation, there is a clear trend though. As you would expect this has
:12:48. > :12:51.caused concern among the pro-union movement, which involves all three
:12:52. > :12:55.main parties at Westminster. Their message now is that Scotland would
:12:56. > :13:01.get additional devolved powers if it votes to reject full independence.
:13:02. > :13:06.You will see in the next few days plan of action to give more powers
:13:07. > :13:10.to Scotland, more tax powers, more spending powers, more plans for
:13:11. > :13:16.powers over welfare state, and that will be put into effect, the
:13:17. > :13:21.timetable for delivering that, at the moment there is a No vote in the
:13:22. > :13:24.referendum. George Osborne there. The Yes campaign say the latest
:13:25. > :13:29.offer is nothing more than a bribe, and they are questioning why people
:13:30. > :13:32.should settle for anything less than full independence. Nobody is
:13:33. > :13:36.suggesting independence of the magic one but it is an opportunity to
:13:37. > :13:41.access our own resources and be the ones in charge of the decisions that
:13:42. > :13:53.shape the kind of country we are. Independence is also not about
:13:54. > :13:54.turning our backs on anybody else across the British Isles. An
:13:55. > :13:57.independent Scotland would continue to be part of the British Isles,
:13:58. > :14:00.working of our friends in other parts of the islands but doing so on
:14:01. > :14:02.the basis of equality. I asked James Cook how much agreement there is in
:14:03. > :14:05.Scotland with the Mayor of London Boris Johnson, who says Britain is
:14:06. > :14:08.on the verge of trashing its global brand. You are right to say that
:14:09. > :14:12.Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London, isn't the most popular figure in
:14:13. > :14:15.Scotland, but I think he does articulately concerns are quite a
:14:16. > :14:20.number of people, not just in London but some here in Scotland as well.
:14:21. > :14:28.For all this talk of polls narrowing, one poll puts the Yes
:14:29. > :14:31.campaign in the Leeds, others suggest the no campaign has a narrow
:14:32. > :14:36.lead. But Scotland is split on the issue. There is division among
:14:37. > :14:40.families, friends and most people, and what is most remarkable is the
:14:41. > :14:44.extent to which this subject is now being debated, that politics has
:14:45. > :14:50.come alive in Scotland in recent weeks. Of course, the campaigners in
:14:51. > :14:56.favour of staying in the UK are looking at these polls, on the one
:14:57. > :15:01.hand, but on the other hand, they serve the useful purpose for that
:15:02. > :15:04.campaign, in that for a long time, they had warned against
:15:05. > :15:08.complacency. They perhaps hope that this moment that these polls will
:15:09. > :15:15.jolt the silent majority, as they see it, No voters into action to
:15:16. > :15:19.vote against independence. The other side side, campaigns for
:15:20. > :15:23.independence, are out there at the moment, jubilant and excited and
:15:24. > :15:28.campaigning, and saying they will indeed win.
:15:29. > :15:34.Stay with us on BBC World News, still to come:
:15:35. > :15:37.The stress of sibling rivalry - why being bullied at home puts children
:15:38. > :15:49.One aspect of the conflict in Ukraine has been for a number
:15:50. > :15:51.of former Soviet Republics to look again
:15:52. > :15:55.Moscow will therefore have been watching carefully when the United
:15:56. > :15:57.States promised to help Georgia fulfil its goal of joining NATO.
:15:58. > :15:59.The American Defence Secretary, Chuck Hagel, said the plans
:16:00. > :16:10.From Tbilisi, Rayhan Demytrie sent this report.
:16:11. > :17:54.Kensington Palace has announced that the Duchess of Cambridge
:17:55. > :18:03.Iraqi troops say they have cleared militants from around a key dam,
:18:04. > :18:08.as Baghdad attempts to form a new government.
:18:09. > :18:10.It's been six months since Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 disappeared
:18:11. > :18:15.No trace has been found since of the aircraft despite an extensive
:18:16. > :18:21.search operation involving planes and ships from several countries.
:18:22. > :18:30.This report from Richard Westcott contains flash photography.
:18:31. > :18:39.It still seems incredible that a modern airliner full of people could
:18:40. > :18:57.just disappear. The last contact with air traffic control was
:18:58. > :19:01.routine. Minutes later, nothing. For the families, the lack of
:19:02. > :19:07.information was torture. After two weeks, they hadn't given up hope.
:19:08. > :19:16.The Malaysian is said new evidence suggested the aircraft had crashed.
:19:17. > :19:26.According to this new data, flight MH370 ended in the southern Indian
:19:27. > :19:31.Ocean. An unprecedented sea search drew a blank. They thought they had
:19:32. > :19:36.heard the black boxes, they were wrong. So what has been happening
:19:37. > :19:42.and what comes next? The old search area was fruitless so now there is a
:19:43. > :19:47.new search area based on the only hard evidence they have. This arc
:19:48. > :19:54.shows where the plane could have been and they think this yellow
:19:55. > :19:59.patch is where it ran out of fuel. For months now, they have been
:20:00. > :20:03.mapping the unknown seafloor and they have discovered two new
:20:04. > :20:08.volcanoes and five cliffs. In a few weeks they will lower some of these
:20:09. > :20:14.into the water and begin the fingertip search for wreckage. It is
:20:15. > :20:19.attached to ship by a ten kilometre long umbilical chord, with sonars
:20:20. > :20:24.which can pick out odd lumps and cameras that can detect whether it
:20:25. > :20:28.is wreckage or just rocks. It also has an electronic nose that can
:20:29. > :20:32.smell jet fuel in the water even if it is heavily dilutive, but moving
:20:33. > :20:38.at walking pace it could take one year. We still don't track airliners
:20:39. > :20:42.all over the globe and the cost of the equipment means it will be many
:20:43. > :20:55.years before that changes. It is possible they will never flight --
:20:56. > :20:59.find flight MH370. I am more or less 90% convinced that the aircraft is
:21:00. > :21:04.in the sport they say it is. I am really quite sorry about the fact
:21:05. > :21:06.they wasted so much time looking for the aircraft further north, but we
:21:07. > :21:11.are where we are. With me is Dr Matthew Greaves,
:21:12. > :21:13.head of the safety and accident investigation centre
:21:14. > :21:22.at Cranfield University. Do you agree that they are looking
:21:23. > :21:29.in the right place? Based on the evidence, yes, but the evidence is
:21:30. > :21:34.very sparse. The aircraft lost communication, performed a U-turn of
:21:35. > :21:40.180 degrees, flew back over Malaysia and then we lost radio contact with
:21:41. > :21:45.it, so they are basing this information on a few electronic
:21:46. > :21:49.handshakes that were done once an hour, then a final unusual handshake
:21:50. > :21:55.that happened and they have to look at where this could possibly lead to
:21:56. > :22:00.and try to track that back but it unusual set of circumstances. We saw
:22:01. > :22:06.that machine tracking the surface of the ocean bed, why can't they get
:22:07. > :22:11.more of those? They are very rare, very specific, and they need to be
:22:12. > :22:18.towed at great depth. We also need to understand what the sea bed looks
:22:19. > :22:21.like down there. It is six kilometres straight down so they are
:22:22. > :22:27.mapping the ocean floor at the moment and finding things that we
:22:28. > :22:32.didn't even know where there, like a volcano on the seafloor. What do you
:22:33. > :22:37.think the likelihood is that we never find out what happened? There
:22:38. > :22:42.is a chance. If we don't find any wreckage or the black boxes, we have
:22:43. > :22:46.to accept we may never know. The information we have at the moment
:22:47. > :22:54.double -- doesn't tell us nearly enough. Until we find some wreckage,
:22:55. > :22:58.we will never know. Hopefully this search will turn up something and
:22:59. > :23:03.certainly the experts seem to feel this is their best guess but there
:23:04. > :23:11.may be still factors that we don't understand. And all of the
:23:12. > :23:17.information has been put together? Because that in itself is a massive
:23:18. > :23:22.task. Yes, whether we have military satellite imagery no one knows and
:23:23. > :23:29.no one will admit to, but no one has come forward to suggest they have a
:23:30. > :23:33.clear idea of where it is. Many organisations have put together
:23:34. > :23:35.their best guess but we don't have any concrete information. Thank you
:23:36. > :23:41.very much indeed. Could your brothers
:23:42. > :23:43.and sisters be a threat to That's the suggestion
:23:44. > :23:48.from a study carried out by the University of Oxford, which claims
:23:49. > :23:50.that children who suffered bullying from sibilngs are far more at risk
:23:51. > :23:53.of developing psychiatric problem. The study asked 12-year-olds
:23:54. > :23:55.if their siblings had bullied them, either by saying mean things,
:23:56. > :23:57.hitting, Then at age 18 the children were
:23:58. > :24:05.asked if they had psychiatric problems including depression,
:24:06. > :24:07.anxiety, or carrying out self-harm. Those who had been bullied
:24:08. > :24:09.by a brother or sister were twice The survey also suggests the problem
:24:10. > :24:16.is more marked in families where there are three or more children
:24:17. > :24:19.and perhaps unsurprisingly, boys Let's talk now to the report's Lead
:24:20. > :24:24.author Dr Lucy Bowes, from the department of social policy
:24:25. > :24:27.and intervention at the University You are saying that this is a very
:24:28. > :24:43.severe impact, childhood bullying, You are saying that this is a very
:24:44. > :24:46.but how do you measure it? It is a good question. We simply
:24:47. > :24:47.but how do you measure it? It is a children to talk about whether or
:24:48. > :24:52.not they have been bullied children to talk about whether or
:24:53. > :24:57.sibling and the majority of children said they hadn't, which is very
:24:58. > :25:02.reassuring, but in cases where the bullying is very frequent, occurring
:25:03. > :25:08.several times a week, we find an increased risk of self harm and
:25:09. > :25:15.depression at 18 years. Can you tell me more about what sort of bullying
:25:16. > :25:20.you found? Yes, it can vary. We measured different aspects including
:25:21. > :25:25.name-calling, punching, hitting, kicking, taking their possessions or
:25:26. > :25:29.completely excluding them. We based this on a measure that we use for
:25:30. > :25:33.school bullying which has obviously received much more research
:25:34. > :25:39.attention and we used the same types of actions that would be classed as
:25:40. > :25:43.school bullying but used them in the home setting. How can you link that
:25:44. > :25:48.directly to the people with depression and other problems? That
:25:49. > :25:53.kind of behaviour pattern suggests a not very cohesive family structure
:25:54. > :25:56.in the first place. As a parent, I would never tolerate anything like
:25:57. > :26:01.that and neither would anyone I know. And we found a number of
:26:02. > :26:07.factors in a family that makes sibling bullying more common, and
:26:08. > :26:13.one of those is domestic violence between the parents or maltreatment.
:26:14. > :26:19.So have you factored out all of those other social factors? We have
:26:20. > :26:23.attempted to, but we can never talk in terms of causality. We cannot say
:26:24. > :26:30.it is definitely sibling bullying causing self harm, but we can look
:26:31. > :26:33.at peer factors, whether they are being bullied at school, and
:26:34. > :26:37.individual characteristics of the child that might make them more
:26:38. > :26:45.vulnerable to developing depression or anxiety. We need more research to
:26:46. > :26:55.say whether this is replicable with other findings. Thank you. Of course
:26:56. > :26:59.sibling rivalry we hope will be all loving and fun and healthy in the
:27:00. > :27:00.new Royal family as baby number