0:00:00 > 0:00:11Will Gompertz, BBC News.
0:00:11 > 0:00:14Good evening and welcome to BBC London News,
0:00:14 > 0:00:15with me, Louisa Preston.
0:00:15 > 0:00:19First tonight: Another report warning of dire consequences
0:00:19 > 0:00:21of Britain leaving the EU.
0:00:21 > 0:00:24This time from experts commissioned by the Mayor to look into the impact
0:00:24 > 0:00:26Brexit will have on London.
0:00:26 > 0:00:29It says the economy would suffer for at least a decade.
0:00:29 > 0:00:32But Sadiq Khan's critics have dismissed the findings,
0:00:32 > 0:00:33accusing him of scaremongering.
0:00:33 > 0:00:38Here's our political editor, Tim Donovan.
0:00:38 > 0:00:40At Canary Wharf a self-styled community of more than 200
0:00:40 > 0:00:46start-ups, new technological answers to old financial questions.
0:00:46 > 0:00:50Today's report says a hard Brexit could lead to 29,000 fewer
0:00:50 > 0:00:56financial jobs by 2030.
0:00:56 > 0:00:58Both of these two have set up companies.
0:00:58 > 0:01:01She helps banks, offering software to do audits
0:01:01 > 0:01:04and comply with regulations.
0:01:04 > 0:01:08He's challenging banks with an app and card enabling you to send
0:01:08 > 0:01:10and spend money around the world.
0:01:10 > 0:01:15So far, no big worries here of talent or investment drying up.
0:01:15 > 0:01:19We are become a global company and a British company.
0:01:19 > 0:01:22We see everything as a bed of roses, so we do not see
0:01:22 > 0:01:25a struggle because of Brexit.
0:01:25 > 0:01:29Evidence shows access to capital has not dried up and if any thing
0:01:29 > 0:01:34capital is coming in and it always follows good businesses.
0:01:34 > 0:01:38This analysis suggests if we stay as we are London's economic output
0:01:38 > 0:01:44would be worth £510 billion by 2030, but under a soft Brexit,
0:01:44 > 0:01:50where we stay in the single market, but came out of the customs union,
0:01:50 > 0:01:54affecting trade, the cost of the capital would be £4 billion
0:01:55 > 0:01:58and 30,000 jobs potentially lost.
0:01:58 > 0:02:02But in the worst-case scenario, a hard Brexit with no deal next
0:02:02 > 0:02:05year, London would be £11 billion poorer and with 87,000 fewer jobs
0:02:06 > 0:02:12created than if we stayed in.
0:02:12 > 0:02:16What is clear is the harder the Brexit deal, the worse
0:02:16 > 0:02:19it is for jobs, the worse it is for investment
0:02:19 > 0:02:24and economic output.
0:02:24 > 0:02:26The boss here says fears are exaggerated
0:02:26 > 0:02:29and London wins from change.
0:02:29 > 0:02:31This report is based on a set of static assumptions,
0:02:31 > 0:02:37but London is dynamic and very good at change.
0:02:37 > 0:02:39It misses the opportunity to consider the benefits
0:02:39 > 0:02:41and opportunities created as a result of our changing
0:02:41 > 0:02:45relationship with Europe.
0:02:45 > 0:02:49At a chemistry lab at UCL, EU funding pays for more
0:02:49 > 0:02:53than a tenth of research and the report warns 11,000 new jobs
0:02:53 > 0:02:57are jeopardised in this sector by hard Brexit.
0:02:57 > 0:02:59Here research programmes are guaranteed for now.
0:02:59 > 0:03:04There is a lot of concern among EU staff who we want to keep here doing
0:03:04 > 0:03:07brilliant work they are doing and it is not clear yet
0:03:07 > 0:03:10what the longer term impact will be.
0:03:10 > 0:03:12My biggest fear is it will start to undermine
0:03:12 > 0:03:16relationships and collaboration that is so important.
0:03:16 > 0:03:18We do not know what Brexit will look like.
0:03:18 > 0:03:20Negotiations are ongoing.
0:03:20 > 0:03:24This is scaremongering speculation.
0:03:24 > 0:03:27What is found is high-value sectors like finance make London more
0:03:27 > 0:03:29resilient than the rest of the country, but there
0:03:29 > 0:03:32is a warning that construction and hospitality sectors are more
0:03:32 > 0:03:36vulnerable, because of the important role played by EU
0:03:36 > 0:03:41workers, so far at least.
0:03:41 > 0:03:44Well, Tim joins us now from Mansion House in the City,
0:03:44 > 0:03:46where the Mayor has just given a speech at the annual
0:03:46 > 0:03:47London Government Dinner.
0:03:47 > 0:03:50So Tim, it was a fairly sombre warning earlier today -
0:03:50 > 0:03:58any answers this evening from the Mayor?
0:03:58 > 0:04:02Well, he's dedicated much of his address tonight to this issue and
0:04:02 > 0:04:05this analysis. Quite a highly politicised speech. Not always the
0:04:05 > 0:04:10way, at these annual mayoral occasions. He described as
0:04:10 > 0:04:13astonishing the government's lack of preparedness and said the inequality
0:04:13 > 0:04:19that could result from Brexit could lead to social tension.History will
0:04:19 > 0:04:23judge this government on how they deal with Brexit, but it will judge
0:04:23 > 0:04:29all of us here as well, and whether we managed to influence the debate,
0:04:29 > 0:04:33and what we did to stir the government to take the right course
0:04:33 > 0:04:37and on how successful we were at protecting the jobs, livelihoods and
0:04:37 > 0:04:44the quality of life of Londoners. He's stressing, the mayor is
0:04:44 > 0:04:48stressing that this is important, because it's providing comparisons,
0:04:48 > 0:04:50letting people know what could happen depending on where the
0:04:50 > 0:04:55negotiations go. He's gone come under fire from quite a few
0:04:55 > 0:04:59quarters, who argue why is he dedicating research to insisting on
0:04:59 > 0:05:02staying in the single market and the customs union and being in the EU,
0:05:02 > 0:05:06when we've already made that decision, and should he not be
0:05:06 > 0:05:09dedicating research, investment, into how London should adapt, be
0:05:09 > 0:05:15resilient in the future.Tim, thanks very much, Tim Donovan there.
0:05:15 > 0:05:18A teenage victim of London's growing knife crime has been speaking
0:05:18 > 0:05:20about the attack which left him fighting for his life.
0:05:20 > 0:05:23He suffered appalling injuries and lost a limb when he was stabbed
0:05:23 > 0:05:24in Dagenham last summer.
0:05:24 > 0:05:27Today, Tyler Dawson and his mother wanted to warn young
0:05:27 > 0:05:28people about the dangers of carrying a weapon.
0:05:29 > 0:05:31Alpa Patel reports.
0:05:31 > 0:05:37Graphic photos of 18-year-old Tyler Dawson as he fights for his life.
0:05:37 > 0:05:40His mother Kerry gave these pictures to BBC London to show
0:05:40 > 0:05:44people what her son went through after he was stabbed.
0:05:44 > 0:05:46When he first went in, with all the tubes,
0:05:46 > 0:05:51that was the most harrowing.
0:05:51 > 0:05:52That was life and death.
0:05:52 > 0:05:57We really did not know if he would come through.
0:05:57 > 0:06:00Tyler is lucky to have survived.
0:06:00 > 0:06:02He almost died four times, but lost his leg after being
0:06:02 > 0:06:06stabbed in the groin.
0:06:06 > 0:06:08What has it been like to lose your leg?
0:06:08 > 0:06:11You're restricted for everything.
0:06:11 > 0:06:15You can't walk, play football, ride a bike.
0:06:15 > 0:06:18You just can't do anything, really.
0:06:18 > 0:06:23His mother says he also has a brain injury and has lost all confidence.
0:06:23 > 0:06:26He has to have his mum do this and that for him.
0:06:26 > 0:06:31Getting in and out of the bath, for example.
0:06:31 > 0:06:35What 18-year-old wants their parents helping him in and out of the bath?
0:06:35 > 0:06:41Tyler was stabbed at this spot in June, a mile away from his home.
0:06:41 > 0:06:45A boy came up to him on a bike and stabbed him in the groin.
0:06:45 > 0:06:51His attacker was sentenced to nine years and ten months in prison.
0:06:51 > 0:06:56His attacker has just turned 18.
0:06:56 > 0:07:00At the end of the day, whatever he would have got,
0:07:00 > 0:07:03he's still walking with two legs, he still has his life ahead
0:07:03 > 0:07:06of him when he comes out because he will still be
0:07:06 > 0:07:09a young man.
0:07:09 > 0:07:11Tyler is having physiotherapy and desperately hopes
0:07:11 > 0:07:16for a prosthetic leg in the future.
0:07:16 > 0:07:21I would not like to see anyone going through this, regardless.
0:07:21 > 0:07:24It's so horrendous, life changing.
0:07:24 > 0:07:26Not just life changing for him, it is also life changing
0:07:26 > 0:07:36for his brothers and sisters.
0:07:36 > 0:07:38Overseas students contribute billions of pounds to London's
0:07:38 > 0:07:41economy, according to new research.
0:07:41 > 0:07:44Around 55,000 students come to study here every
0:07:44 > 0:07:46year from all over the world.
0:07:46 > 0:07:48It's estimated that they generate around
0:07:48 > 0:07:51£4.6 billion per year in the capital.
0:07:51 > 0:07:53That's through paying tuition fees and living costs.
0:07:53 > 0:07:56Our education reporter Marc Ashdown has been to East London
0:07:56 > 0:08:05where the benefits are said to be greatest.
0:08:05 > 0:08:11It's Nigeria versus India, the venue, the University of East London
0:08:11 > 0:08:15of course, where international students are making a real impact.
0:08:15 > 0:08:20So why choose here to study?
0:08:20 > 0:08:25I feel the United Kingdom is the best option for me to come and
0:08:25 > 0:08:27study.
0:08:27 > 0:08:30This is the first time the cost and benefits of students who come
0:08:30 > 0:08:33from the EU and further afield to study here have been assessed,
0:08:33 > 0:08:35but do students themselves feel it's worth it?
0:08:35 > 0:08:39It is so substantially cheaper than my country.
0:08:39 > 0:08:42I feel like I'm able to get more bang for my buck, so to speak.
0:08:42 > 0:08:44Especially because of in the job market, if you come
0:08:44 > 0:08:47back with a UK degree, that is really highly regarded.
0:08:47 > 0:08:49The report estimates each overseas students generates up
0:08:49 > 0:08:50to £100,000 every year.
0:08:50 > 0:08:53About £40,000 of that is course fees and living costs like rent.
0:08:53 > 0:08:56£60,000 is through indirect spending - buying goods
0:08:56 > 0:08:58and services in the local area.
0:08:58 > 0:09:00On average, every single London resident benefits
0:09:00 > 0:09:06to the tune of £549 every year from their spending.
0:09:06 > 0:09:08Which flies in the face of some political rhetoric,
0:09:08 > 0:09:12questioning their worth and motives for being here.
0:09:12 > 0:09:13I would love to go back home and try to spread the knowledge I'm
0:09:15 > 0:09:18Post-study, my plan is to try to take it back home and explain
0:09:18 > 0:09:21to people how interesting it is to study here and also it
0:09:21 > 0:09:24gives you an opportunity to work with a very good company in Nigeria.
0:09:24 > 0:09:26Many experts are baffled then, why lucrative international students
0:09:26 > 0:09:28are still in the immigration figures, which the government
0:09:28 > 0:09:29is desperate to reduce.
0:09:29 > 0:09:32They need to take them out of the immigration figures,
0:09:32 > 0:09:35because I think that the perception is wrong at this point in time.
0:09:35 > 0:09:38They contribute a lot to the economy.
0:09:38 > 0:09:41What we really want to do is to grow international numbers,
0:09:41 > 0:09:44so that in future trade deals, because obviously following Brexit,
0:09:44 > 0:09:47we're going to need as much support as possible from a number
0:09:47 > 0:09:49of our partners.
0:09:49 > 0:09:53The Home Office says it has no plans to remove international students
0:09:53 > 0:09:54from immigration figures and insists it doesn't hamper recruitment.
0:09:54 > 0:09:56Today's report shows how valuable it is to encourage
0:09:56 > 0:10:03even more arrivals.
0:10:03 > 0:10:05That's it from me. I'll hand you
0:10:06 > 0:10:07That's it from me. I'll hand you over to Chris Fawkes for
0:10:07 > 0:10:07That's it from me. I'll hand you over to Chris Fawkes for the
0:10:07 > 0:10:09weather. I confess this week hasn't been the
0:10:09 > 0:10:14most interesting, weather-wise. We had a lot of cloud today, a lot of
0:10:14 > 0:10:20dull weather, Griesel. Our pictures show this cloud on the top of the
0:10:20 > 0:10:22tallest buildings. The cloud was pretty low today. Tomorrow, it's
0:10:22 > 0:10:27cloudy again but the cloud is probably a bit higher up in the sky.
0:10:27 > 0:10:31Overnight tonight the cloud is the king of foreign occasional spot of
0:10:31 > 0:10:34light drizzle from time to time. A bit misty over the hills, the Downs
0:10:34 > 0:10:39and Chilterns, not too cold with the cloud around, temperatures down to
0:10:39 > 0:10:424-6. Tomorrow, for most of the day it's going to stay pretty cloudy.
0:10:42 > 0:10:50The cloud could then at times but for the majority of the day it will
0:10:50 > 0:10:53be different shades of grey, coming and going. There could be an odd
0:10:53 > 0:10:55spot of drizzle but foremost, a dry afternoon. Temperatures similar to
0:10:55 > 0:10:58today, a high of nine Celsius in centre of town. At the weekend, more
0:10:58 > 0:11:02of a say. -- same.