0:00:03 > 0:00:05Hello. With a strong jet stream overhead the UK,
0:00:05 > 0:00:08we'll see turbulent weather over the next few days.
0:00:08 > 0:00:10Very mild just now.
0:00:10 > 0:00:13Not often that you can have breakfast alfresco in November
0:00:13 > 0:00:17as one of our viewers did in the north-east of England.
0:00:17 > 0:00:18Unusually warm for the time of year.
0:00:18 > 0:00:20Record-breaking start to Tuesday.
0:00:20 > 0:00:22That's because the air's been dragged
0:00:22 > 0:00:23from the mid-Atlantic.
0:00:23 > 0:00:24By the afternoon,
0:00:24 > 0:00:26temperatures peaked in Murlough
0:00:26 > 0:00:27at 19 degrees.
0:00:27 > 0:00:29But a big shock on the way
0:00:29 > 0:00:30for the end of the week.
0:00:30 > 0:00:31We switch from south-westerlies
0:00:31 > 0:00:33to north-westerly winds.
0:00:33 > 0:00:35By then, temperatures well down
0:00:35 > 0:00:36on what we have now,
0:00:36 > 0:00:37even a little bit below
0:00:37 > 0:00:39what it should be for the time of year.
0:00:39 > 0:00:40Later this week, we're watching
0:00:40 > 0:00:41clumps of cloud.
0:00:41 > 0:00:42This is Kate,
0:00:42 > 0:00:44a developing hurricane
0:00:44 > 0:00:46which will influence our weather slightly
0:00:46 > 0:00:47into the weekend.
0:00:47 > 0:00:48This massive cloud
0:00:48 > 0:00:50could be our first named storm
0:00:50 > 0:00:51of the season.
0:00:51 > 0:00:52Whereas this one is what we've got
0:00:52 > 0:00:54for Wednesday.
0:00:54 > 0:00:56Bringing rain to areas that don't need it.
0:00:56 > 0:00:57Saturated ground.
0:00:57 > 0:00:58We could see further flooding
0:00:58 > 0:01:00in parts of north England
0:01:00 > 0:01:01and north-west Wales.
0:01:01 > 0:01:02The south of it, lots of cloud.
0:01:02 > 0:01:04Pretty mild day, 16 or 17 degrees.
0:01:04 > 0:01:05A few sunny breaks,
0:01:05 > 0:01:06but the cloud could bring rain
0:01:06 > 0:01:07or drizzle at times.
0:01:07 > 0:01:09To the north of our weather front,
0:01:09 > 0:01:10it'll be fresher than recent days,
0:01:10 > 0:01:12but at least dry and sunny...
0:01:12 > 0:01:14Until the afternoon in Northern Ireland.
0:01:14 > 0:01:16Some heavy rain for short moments.
0:01:16 > 0:01:17A burst of heavy rain also working
0:01:17 > 0:01:19across Scotland with some gusty winds.
0:01:19 > 0:01:20But it eventually clears,
0:01:20 > 0:01:22Wednesday into Thursday,
0:01:22 > 0:01:23and things quieten down.
0:01:23 > 0:01:24Not much rain in the chart
0:01:24 > 0:01:25by Thursday morning,
0:01:25 > 0:01:27but it will feel colder out there,
0:01:27 > 0:01:29even if temperatures
0:01:29 > 0:01:30are still above average.
0:01:30 > 0:01:32Into Thursday,
0:01:32 > 0:01:34we do have this brief ridge of high pressure,
0:01:34 > 0:01:35next to this developing system.
0:01:35 > 0:01:38This will become our first named storm.
0:01:38 > 0:01:40Enjoy the dry weather while it lasts
0:01:40 > 0:01:41on Thursday morning.
0:01:41 > 0:01:42A bit of mist and fog.
0:01:42 > 0:01:44Dry and brightest for longest
0:01:44 > 0:01:45towards the east,
0:01:45 > 0:01:47turning cloudier across the west
0:01:47 > 0:01:48later on.
0:01:48 > 0:01:50Outbreaks of rain begin, some heavy,
0:01:50 > 0:01:52and stronger winds, touching gale force,
0:01:52 > 0:01:53if not severe gale force,
0:01:53 > 0:01:54by the day's end
0:01:54 > 0:01:55to the north-west of the UK.
0:01:55 > 0:01:57And it's all down to our first
0:01:57 > 0:01:58named storm of the season - Abigail.
0:01:58 > 0:02:00It's passing between the UK and Iceland.
0:02:00 > 0:02:02The strongest winds will be closest
0:02:02 > 0:02:03to the southern flank
0:02:03 > 0:02:05of that low pressure system,
0:02:05 > 0:02:07so parts of north and west Scotland
0:02:07 > 0:02:08will be hardest hit.
0:02:08 > 0:02:0980 to 90mph gusts possible.
0:02:09 > 0:02:11Gale force winds possible elsewhere,
0:02:11 > 0:02:13but not to the level seen in the north.
0:02:13 > 0:02:14A mixture of sunshine
0:02:14 > 0:02:16and heavy, thundery showers.
0:02:16 > 0:02:17Some sleet and snow over higher ground
0:02:17 > 0:02:18in the north.
0:02:18 > 0:02:20A chillier day
0:02:20 > 0:02:22made to feel colder by the strong winds.
0:02:22 > 0:02:23A big shock really
0:02:23 > 0:02:25compared with the week so far.
0:02:25 > 0:02:27Yesterday, we were talking about
0:02:27 > 0:02:28this next low pressure system
0:02:28 > 0:02:30cutting off that supply of cold air.
0:02:30 > 0:02:32It's going to take a bit longer to get to us.
0:02:32 > 0:02:33Saturday is going to be
0:02:33 > 0:02:35another chilly and windy day.
0:02:35 > 0:02:37But winds will be down on Friday's level.
0:02:37 > 0:02:39We'll see sun and showers.
0:02:39 > 0:02:40They'll ease off later
0:02:40 > 0:02:42and cloud will spread into the west.
0:02:42 > 0:02:44Temperatures of around 8 to 11 degrees.
0:02:44 > 0:02:47Through Saturday night into Sunday,
0:02:47 > 0:02:49what's coming will contain traces
0:02:49 > 0:02:50of Hurricane Kate.
0:02:50 > 0:02:52Winds won't be the big player into Sunday -
0:02:52 > 0:02:54although it will be blustery -
0:02:54 > 0:02:56but rain could be a problem.
0:02:56 > 0:02:58Especially where it lands up.
0:02:58 > 0:02:59The heaviest rain
0:02:59 > 0:03:00difficult to determine right now,
0:03:00 > 0:03:02but if it hits areas
0:03:02 > 0:03:03of north England and north Wales,
0:03:03 > 0:03:05we could have further flooding issues.
0:03:05 > 0:03:07So a turbulent end to the weekend.
0:03:07 > 0:03:09Even next week, a strong jet stream overhead,
0:03:09 > 0:03:12but it's going to meander a bit further north and south at times,
0:03:12 > 0:03:14and it will allow incursions of colder air,
0:03:14 > 0:03:16but it'll also allow some longer dry moments
0:03:16 > 0:03:17between those weather systems.
0:03:17 > 0:03:19But throughout, it's a general westerly flow
0:03:19 > 0:03:21which will dominate off the Atlantic,
0:03:21 > 0:03:23keeping things mild, largely speaking,
0:03:23 > 0:03:26but if the wind goes down to a north-westerly every so often,
0:03:26 > 0:03:28those temperatures will drop.
0:03:28 > 0:03:30We'll have more on this tomorrow.
0:03:33 > 0:03:35# I put a spell on you