29/02/2016

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0:00:03 > 0:00:05Hello there. Now, of course, it's a leap year this year,

0:00:05 > 0:00:08so we get one extra day of winter, but meteorological spring

0:00:08 > 0:00:10just around the corner, starts on 1st March. Well, looking back

0:00:10 > 0:00:13at the winter, it will go down as a warm one and a wet one

0:00:13 > 0:00:15and there's more on those statistics

0:00:15 > 0:00:16online on the BBC Weather website.

0:00:16 > 0:00:18A cold start to the day on Monday

0:00:18 > 0:00:19across England and Wales

0:00:19 > 0:00:21in particular. Minus four, minus five

0:00:21 > 0:00:22in some rural spots.

0:00:22 > 0:00:24No problems with the frost in the west

0:00:24 > 0:00:25because here we've got more

0:00:25 > 0:00:26of a breeze from the south,

0:00:26 > 0:00:28some cloud and mostly light and patchy rain

0:00:28 > 0:00:29which will slowly drift

0:00:29 > 0:00:30its way across the Irish Sea.

0:00:30 > 0:00:32Patchy rain gets into the western side of Wales

0:00:32 > 0:00:34and the far south-west of England

0:00:34 > 0:00:35by the middle of the afternoon.

0:00:35 > 0:00:37Much of Wales and the eastern side of England

0:00:37 > 0:00:39doing well with some hazy sunshine,

0:00:39 > 0:00:41eight or nine degrees, the top temperatures.

0:00:41 > 0:00:42It's really through Monday evening

0:00:42 > 0:00:44when that rain starts to push its way

0:00:44 > 0:00:45across most of the UK.

0:00:45 > 0:00:46The winds will be picking up,

0:00:46 > 0:00:48lots of isobars on the charts.

0:00:48 > 0:00:49It will be quite wet, quite windy

0:00:49 > 0:00:51to start the day on Tuesday.

0:00:51 > 0:00:53That rain makes steady progress ever eastwards

0:00:53 > 0:00:55with not a very pleasant start

0:00:55 > 0:00:56to the day on Tuesday

0:00:56 > 0:00:59with wind and rain across much of the UK.

0:00:59 > 0:01:01It'll last longest across

0:01:01 > 0:01:02more eastern parts of England,

0:01:02 > 0:01:03but behind it there is something

0:01:03 > 0:01:05a bit drier following on behind,

0:01:05 > 0:01:06but also quite a few showers.

0:01:06 > 0:01:09Some of us may see double-figure temperatures

0:01:09 > 0:01:11on Tuesday, but, of course, you have

0:01:11 > 0:01:13to factor in that wind which will be quite keen.

0:01:13 > 0:01:14It stays pretty windy

0:01:14 > 0:01:16and very unsettled

0:01:16 > 0:01:17into the middle part of the week.

0:01:17 > 0:01:19The low pressure to the north of the UK

0:01:19 > 0:01:20dragging in the air from the long way north.

0:01:20 > 0:01:23There's some cold air coming down through the UK

0:01:23 > 0:01:24and this little feature looks like it

0:01:24 > 0:01:26could bring some pretty blustery winds with it.

0:01:26 > 0:01:27It's a very windy day.

0:01:27 > 0:01:29You could see some gales round the coasts,

0:01:29 > 0:01:31to the north, the west and in the south.

0:01:31 > 0:01:32And it's quite an unsettled day,

0:01:32 > 0:01:34lots of showers around,

0:01:34 > 0:01:35some of those will be heavy, thundery,

0:01:35 > 0:01:37a real mixture of rain, hail, sleet,

0:01:37 > 0:01:38a little bit of snow

0:01:38 > 0:01:40over the hills of northern England.

0:01:40 > 0:01:41In fact, across northern parts of the UK,

0:01:41 > 0:01:43some of that snow might

0:01:43 > 0:01:44get down to the lower levels.

0:01:44 > 0:01:46On into Thursday, and we've got low pressure

0:01:46 > 0:01:49to west of the UK and out towards the east.

0:01:49 > 0:01:51In between, we've still got this cold air

0:01:51 > 0:01:53coming down from the north.

0:01:53 > 0:01:54That bit drier, I suspect,

0:01:54 > 0:01:55for many places on Thursday,

0:01:55 > 0:01:57particularly along the south coast,

0:01:57 > 0:01:58but not completely dry

0:01:58 > 0:02:00cos there will be a few showers

0:02:00 > 0:02:01towards the North Sea coast,

0:02:01 > 0:02:02northern Scotland and later on

0:02:02 > 0:02:03we start to see some rain just

0:02:03 > 0:02:06nudging its way into the far south and west.

0:02:06 > 0:02:08That is due to an area of low pressure

0:02:08 > 0:02:09which is driven along

0:02:09 > 0:02:12by the jet stream. So let's take a look at the jet stream later on

0:02:12 > 0:02:15this coming week and it will be a key feature of things

0:02:15 > 0:02:18because it looks like it'll be pushing its way on long way north

0:02:18 > 0:02:20up towards Greenland but then arcing quite a long way south

0:02:20 > 0:02:23and as it does so, it continues to pull in cold air.

0:02:23 > 0:02:25And we are also going to see low-pressure systems

0:02:25 > 0:02:28developing in this trough which develops towards the start

0:02:28 > 0:02:32of the coming weekend, so into next weekend and it looks

0:02:32 > 0:02:35like we're going to stay pretty unsettled with low pressure

0:02:35 > 0:02:36pretty much on top of the UK.

0:02:36 > 0:02:38This is at least for the first part of the coming weekend.

0:02:38 > 0:02:41The isobars, you can trace them back to a long way north,

0:02:41 > 0:02:44so, again, cold air filtering down across the United Kingdom.

0:02:44 > 0:02:46So quite an unsettled look to things,

0:02:46 > 0:02:48further heavy showers in the forecast

0:02:48 > 0:02:50for the start of the weekend. The second part of the weekend,

0:02:50 > 0:02:53things might just begin to settle down from the west

0:02:53 > 0:02:57as this area of high pressure drifts its way in from the Atlantic.

0:02:57 > 0:02:59So we've still got low-pressure to the east of the UK

0:02:59 > 0:03:02and in between the two, well, the resultant winds are coming down

0:03:02 > 0:03:06from the north, so yet more cold air filtering down across the UK.

0:03:06 > 0:03:09Not quite done with that wintry feel to things.

0:03:09 > 0:03:11So into next weekend and beyond,

0:03:11 > 0:03:13it looks as if we're going to stay quite cold,

0:03:13 > 0:03:16daytime temperatures will be struggling a little bit,

0:03:16 > 0:03:18still some night-time frost

0:03:18 > 0:03:19and it looks quite unsettled

0:03:19 > 0:03:21with further wintry showers to be

0:03:21 > 0:03:23had on into the following week

0:03:23 > 0:03:24but at least there will

0:03:24 > 0:03:26be some spells of sunshine.

0:03:26 > 0:03:27There's a lot going on

0:03:27 > 0:03:28in the next few days -

0:03:28 > 0:03:30you can keep up-to-date with all of it online.