21/06/2016

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0:00:03 > 0:00:05Hello there. Whether it's the astronomical calendar

0:00:05 > 0:00:08or the meteorological calendar that you follow, it's safe to say

0:00:08 > 0:00:10we're now in summer.

0:00:10 > 0:00:13The summer solstice, though, started on a fairly ominous note,

0:00:13 > 0:00:16grim scenes for commuters across England and Wales in the morning,

0:00:16 > 0:00:19much like this captured by one of our weather watchers in Reading,

0:00:19 > 0:00:21and if you're packing at the moment for Glastonbury,

0:00:21 > 0:00:24this is the last thing you want to see - very boggy ground

0:00:24 > 0:00:27on Monday morning thanks to the heavy overnight rain,

0:00:27 > 0:00:30but before you lose heart don't forget we had a bit more of this

0:00:30 > 0:00:33through the second half of Monday and we'll probably see a bit more

0:00:33 > 0:00:36of this than the wet stuff in Glastonbury as we head towards

0:00:36 > 0:00:39the start of the festival. In fact, most of you will spend Tuesday dry,

0:00:39 > 0:00:42better day than Monday, although it will stay rather misty and grey

0:00:42 > 0:00:46across the English Channel, Channel Islands, further rain or drizzle,

0:00:46 > 0:00:48which could get close the south coast at times.

0:00:48 > 0:00:50And more wet weather to the north-west of Scotland

0:00:50 > 0:00:53and the west of Northern Ireland. But for most it's a dry day

0:00:53 > 0:00:55and with light winds, especially further east, very

0:00:55 > 0:00:58pleasant in the variable amounts of sunshine, temperatures

0:00:58 > 0:01:00at levels they should be for the time of year.

0:01:00 > 0:01:02As we go through Tuesday night and into Wednesday,

0:01:02 > 0:01:05low pressure to the north-west of us will bring further showers

0:01:05 > 0:01:08to Scotland and Northern Ireland but this weather front waving,

0:01:08 > 0:01:11that's linked into the misty, low cloud through the English Channel

0:01:11 > 0:01:13on Tuesday, pushing its way north into some southern

0:01:13 > 0:01:16and eastern parts of England, bringing a greyer day, a damper day,

0:01:16 > 0:01:18occasional rain or drizzle, maybe the odd heavier burst

0:01:18 > 0:01:21and humidity levels starting to creep up too.

0:01:21 > 0:01:23Further north and west of that, we stick in the fresher,

0:01:23 > 0:01:26by comparison, Atlantic air, but still warm enough in the sunshine,

0:01:26 > 0:01:29only one or two showers to speak of. Let's deal with that humid air

0:01:29 > 0:01:31cos it starts to build again through this week,

0:01:31 > 0:01:34across France in particular, and it shows signs that we will start

0:01:34 > 0:01:36to draw it towards us

0:01:36 > 0:01:38particularly through Wednesday night into Thursday.

0:01:38 > 0:01:41With it, of course, comes the risk of thunderstorms.

0:01:41 > 0:01:44Those thunderstorms could become nasty, limiting sunshine

0:01:44 > 0:01:47as we go into Thursday and mainly focused towards East Anglia

0:01:47 > 0:01:50and the south-east, but don't forget it could be a little bit further

0:01:50 > 0:01:52east of that at this range, maybe a bit further west,

0:01:52 > 0:01:54so keep checking the forecast, cos where you see those storms

0:01:54 > 0:01:57they will be intense. North and west of that some clearer skies,

0:01:57 > 0:02:00some sunshine, only one or two isolated showers and fresher.

0:02:00 > 0:02:02Fresher air trying to win through into Friday,

0:02:02 > 0:02:04clearing off those storms off into the North Sea,

0:02:04 > 0:02:07but there's just a small chance we could see that humid air curve back

0:02:07 > 0:02:10in towards the north-east of Scotland and into Shetland.

0:02:10 > 0:02:13Most though, by Friday, largely into the Atlantic air,

0:02:13 > 0:02:16sunshine, a few showers around, mainly prone towards western areas

0:02:16 > 0:02:19by this stage. And we've still got a broad area of low pressure

0:02:19 > 0:02:21with us as we go into the start of the weekend.

0:02:21 > 0:02:24We'll have to watch how close this stuff gets, though,

0:02:24 > 0:02:27there is the potential of more thundery, humid air close by.

0:02:27 > 0:02:29But at the moment, it does look like we'll stay in the

0:02:29 > 0:02:32Atlantic regime. Showers possible anywhere on Saturday,

0:02:32 > 0:02:34heaviest will be across England and Wales -

0:02:34 > 0:02:37they may avoid Glastonbury, can't promise it will stay completely dry.

0:02:37 > 0:02:40Where we do see the showers, though, they could be quite heavy at times,

0:02:40 > 0:02:42rumbles of thunder too. And slow-moving,

0:02:42 > 0:02:45so rainfall totals for one or two could be rather large.

0:02:45 > 0:02:48As we finish the weekend, slight area of high pressure

0:02:48 > 0:02:51easing off the showers just a touch. But it's this area of high pressure

0:02:51 > 0:02:54we really want to be concentrating on as we get to this time of year,

0:02:54 > 0:02:57this is the Azores High, this is what can bring us

0:02:57 > 0:03:01some prolonged drier weather. Now, next week it just flirts with us,

0:03:01 > 0:03:03to be honest, it extends its way towards southern areas

0:03:03 > 0:03:07at times, drying things out, showers most prone towards the north-west

0:03:07 > 0:03:10of the country, jet stream driving those in, but every now and again

0:03:10 > 0:03:13the high pressure will recede, the showers will start

0:03:13 > 0:03:16to work their way southwards and eastwards so any one of us will have

0:03:16 > 0:03:18a little bit of wet weather at times through the week,

0:03:18 > 0:03:21before that area of high pressure builds back in once again.

0:03:21 > 0:03:24So it's an oscillating pattern next week, ever-changing.

0:03:24 > 0:03:26But if you've tickets for the first week of Wimbledon,

0:03:26 > 0:03:29you'll want that high pressure to stay around a little bit longer.

0:03:29 > 0:03:30Bye for now.