0:00:03 > 0:00:05What's going on in the tropics this week may have
0:00:05 > 0:00:09an indirect bearing on what goes on with our weather next week.
0:00:09 > 0:00:11Stay tuned, I'll fill you in in a few minutes.
0:00:11 > 0:00:13But for most of us through this week,
0:00:13 > 0:00:15plenty of dry and warm weather,
0:00:15 > 0:00:17particularly across southern and eastern areas.
0:00:17 > 0:00:18Further north and west
0:00:18 > 0:00:20there'll be more cloud at times,
0:00:20 > 0:00:22breezy conditions. There will be some rain,
0:00:22 > 0:00:24but even here there'll be
0:00:24 > 0:00:26decent dry weather as well.
0:00:26 > 0:00:28This is how Bank Holiday Monday looks.
0:00:28 > 0:00:29Good news for many of us,
0:00:29 > 0:00:30bar the odd shower early on
0:00:30 > 0:00:32across eastern counties
0:00:32 > 0:00:33most of us will have a fine day
0:00:33 > 0:00:35with plenty of pleasant sunshine.
0:00:35 > 0:00:37We'll see thickening cloud eventually
0:00:37 > 0:00:39across Northern Ireland and Western Scotland,
0:00:39 > 0:00:41an approaching weather system here.
0:00:41 > 0:00:42This strength in the wind keeping it cool.
0:00:42 > 0:00:44Further south and east in the sunshine
0:00:44 > 0:00:46it should feel very pleasant indeed
0:00:46 > 0:00:48with temperatures up in the low,
0:00:48 > 0:00:49possibly mid 20s.
0:00:49 > 0:00:52A glancing blow from this weather system
0:00:52 > 0:00:53across the far North-West
0:00:53 > 0:00:55as we go through the night into Tuesday.
0:00:55 > 0:00:56That should clear away
0:00:56 > 0:00:58leaving just the odd drib and drab of rain
0:00:58 > 0:01:00towards western coasts and hills.
0:01:00 > 0:01:02A bit of cloud still across the North-West,
0:01:02 > 0:01:04but further south and east in the sunshine
0:01:04 > 0:01:05it'll feel very nice,
0:01:05 > 0:01:07temperatures even higher, into the mid,
0:01:07 > 0:01:09possibly high 20s across the South-East.
0:01:09 > 0:01:11Cooler and fresher to the north-west,
0:01:11 > 0:01:13with a strengthening wind.
0:01:13 > 0:01:14The next weather front coming in
0:01:14 > 0:01:15brings a splash of rain
0:01:15 > 0:01:17to Northern Ireland and Western Scotland,
0:01:17 > 0:01:18but as it tracks its way
0:01:18 > 0:01:21south and east through Wednesday,
0:01:21 > 0:01:23it'll weaken, so much of the rain will fade away.
0:01:23 > 0:01:26It never really makes it to southern and eastern areas,
0:01:26 > 0:01:27so another fine day to come here
0:01:27 > 0:01:29with temperatures again doing well.
0:01:29 > 0:01:31Behind that weather front,
0:01:31 > 0:01:33fresher conditions with blustery showers,
0:01:33 > 0:01:35particularly for the West of Scotland.
0:01:35 > 0:01:38Here's the big picture for later in the week.
0:01:38 > 0:01:40High pressure still holding sway
0:01:40 > 0:01:41across many central and southern areas.
0:01:41 > 0:01:44Another weather system comes in off the Atlantic,
0:01:44 > 0:01:45we'll have to keep an eye on that.
0:01:45 > 0:01:47But for the time being on Thursday,
0:01:47 > 0:01:49plenty of fine weather. Could be a cool start,
0:01:49 > 0:01:52but in the sunshine it'll feel very nice indeed,
0:01:52 > 0:01:54and with light winds temperatures back up
0:01:54 > 0:01:56into the low to mid 20s across the South.
0:01:56 > 0:01:59Always that bit fresher across the North.
0:01:59 > 0:02:01By the time we reach the end of the week,
0:02:01 > 0:02:03this front coming in from the West
0:02:03 > 0:02:04will make its presence felt,
0:02:04 > 0:02:06but as a slowing future.
0:02:06 > 0:02:08There's uncertainty about its progress eastwards,
0:02:08 > 0:02:10but it looks as if we'll see wet weather
0:02:10 > 0:02:13for Northern Ireland and Western Scotland
0:02:13 > 0:02:14again on a strengthening wind.
0:02:14 > 0:02:16Whereas further south and east
0:02:16 > 0:02:17across the country we'll hold on
0:02:17 > 0:02:18to at least one more
0:02:18 > 0:02:21fine and potentially pretty warm day.
0:02:21 > 0:02:22Temperatures again doing very well
0:02:22 > 0:02:24for what will be early September,
0:02:24 > 0:02:26up into the mid, possibly high 20s.
0:02:26 > 0:02:27Again, it will be fresher
0:02:27 > 0:02:29towards the North and West.
0:02:29 > 0:02:32Big question marks about the progress of that front
0:02:32 > 0:02:33eastwards through the weekend,
0:02:33 > 0:02:35but I think we'll see unsettled weather
0:02:35 > 0:02:37gradually spreading across the country.
0:02:37 > 0:02:39So some rain at times,
0:02:39 > 0:02:41cooler conditions for the South and East.
0:02:41 > 0:02:42I mentioned the tropics,
0:02:42 > 0:02:45we're keeping a close eye on Hurricane Gaston.
0:02:45 > 0:02:48We also have a tropical depression further west in the Atlantic.
0:02:48 > 0:02:50And these sources of energy
0:02:50 > 0:02:52will start to move their way northwards.
0:02:52 > 0:02:54Gaston will no longer be a hurricane,
0:02:54 > 0:02:57but an area of low pressure, an injection of energy,
0:02:57 > 0:03:00up towards us and our jet stream
0:03:00 > 0:03:02will have a rippling downstream effect.
0:03:02 > 0:03:05Gaston is not going to reach our shores, we think.
0:03:05 > 0:03:07It looks as if through early next week,
0:03:07 > 0:03:09low pressure will dominate
0:03:09 > 0:03:10across northern and western areas
0:03:10 > 0:03:12and high pressure could hold sway
0:03:12 > 0:03:14across the more southern
0:03:14 > 0:03:16and central parts of the UK.
0:03:16 > 0:03:17But I must reiterate,
0:03:17 > 0:03:19there's a lot of uncertainty
0:03:19 > 0:03:21generated by these tropical features.
0:03:21 > 0:03:22We'll keep an eye on Gaston.
0:03:22 > 0:03:24It looks like staying away, but it may have
0:03:24 > 0:03:26a knock-on effect on our weather
0:03:26 > 0:03:28for the early part of next week.
0:03:28 > 0:03:30Tom will update you again tomorrow.