16/09/2016

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0:00:03 > 0:00:05Hi there. Halfway through the month,

0:00:05 > 0:00:07and so far September has had a bit of an identity crisis.

0:00:07 > 0:00:10I'm sure you'll agree it's felt a bit more like July than September.

0:00:10 > 0:00:13However, over the next few days, it's going to rediscover itself.

0:00:13 > 0:00:16We can wave goodbye to these sorts of values,

0:00:16 > 0:00:19which we saw on Thursday, nudging 30 degrees in some places.

0:00:19 > 0:00:23And, yes, we're back to reality with a bump. Mid to high teens.

0:00:23 > 0:00:26Mind you, that's more or less where we should be for the time of year.

0:00:26 > 0:00:30We're replacing the sunny skies with some thundery downpours, too,

0:00:30 > 0:00:33a real shock to the system, with some torrential rain in some places.

0:00:33 > 0:00:37And the reason for that is a huge, great dig in the jet stream,

0:00:37 > 0:00:41and where the jet scoops itself up across the country like that,

0:00:41 > 0:00:44it tends to suck up the air into big, big thunderclouds,

0:00:44 > 0:00:46and that's exactly what we've got at the moment,

0:00:46 > 0:00:49some really shocking conditions up and down the UK,

0:00:49 > 0:00:51with the possibility of some flash flooding.

0:00:51 > 0:00:55Check out your BBC local radio station through Friday morning,

0:00:55 > 0:00:58particularly across central and eastern parts of the UK.

0:00:58 > 0:01:01In stark contrast, out west completely different - bright

0:01:01 > 0:01:04and breezy, just a few showers around.

0:01:04 > 0:01:07Now, the culprit for the thundery breakdown is this area of low

0:01:07 > 0:01:11pressure, and these weather fronts are never really getting away.

0:01:11 > 0:01:12Actually, as we start the weekend,

0:01:12 > 0:01:14those fronts could start to head back westwards again.

0:01:14 > 0:01:17Not the thundery downpours, but some damp, dreary weather,

0:01:17 > 0:01:20perhaps, across central and eastern parts of England. Disappointing.

0:01:20 > 0:01:23Best of the brightness on Saturday will be further west.

0:01:23 > 0:01:26And again, those temperatures back to normal,

0:01:26 > 0:01:27mid to high teens typically.

0:01:27 > 0:01:31Now, we say goodbye to that front, we say hello to another front,

0:01:31 > 0:01:33coming in off the Atlantic on Sunday,

0:01:33 > 0:01:36bringing some rain to Northern Ireland and Scotland,

0:01:36 > 0:01:38whereas further south and east across the country,

0:01:38 > 0:01:41after a chilly start it looks set to be a reasonable day again

0:01:41 > 0:01:46with some sunshine, lightish winds and temperatures much of a muchness.

0:01:46 > 0:01:49On into Monday, and those fronts head down towards the

0:01:49 > 0:01:52south-east, but as weakening features, just showery rain, really.

0:01:52 > 0:01:55Further north and west, it brightens up again before the next

0:01:55 > 0:01:57front comes in off the Atlantic,

0:01:57 > 0:02:00and that again will bring some rain initially to Northern Ireland

0:02:00 > 0:02:03and Western Scotland during the course of the day on Tuesday.

0:02:03 > 0:02:06The best of the brightness by then looks like being further

0:02:06 > 0:02:08south and east, for England and Wales, where the winds will

0:02:08 > 0:02:11be lightest and the temperatures will be highest.

0:02:11 > 0:02:14But again, those sorts of temperatures, mid to high teens,

0:02:14 > 0:02:16maybe 20 degrees in one or two places.

0:02:16 > 0:02:18Well, what's this? Snowfall, yes,

0:02:18 > 0:02:22an early autumn snowfall in Yellowstone National Park, because

0:02:22 > 0:02:26across the northern hemisphere the days are getting shorter and shorter

0:02:26 > 0:02:29and the Arctic in particular is getting colder and colder,

0:02:29 > 0:02:33and lobes of cold air tracking down across Canada and into Greenland

0:02:33 > 0:02:35and eventually into the Atlantic.

0:02:35 > 0:02:39And where lobes of cold air meet lobes of warm air coming up

0:02:39 > 0:02:43from the tropics, we get a clash of the air masses, and where the

0:02:43 > 0:02:46air masses clash, we get a supercharging of the jet stream.

0:02:46 > 0:02:48If you were watching me yesterday,

0:02:48 > 0:02:52I was explaining how where you get those contrasting air masses,

0:02:52 > 0:02:55the jet tends to get propelled at high velocity towards us.

0:02:55 > 0:02:58And the main oomph of the jet stream as we go towards the end of

0:02:58 > 0:03:00the week looks like being across more northern and western areas,

0:03:00 > 0:03:02and that's where we'll see most of the rainfall.

0:03:02 > 0:03:05However, the jet never really gets down towards the more

0:03:05 > 0:03:07southern and eastern areas, where we still have

0:03:07 > 0:03:11a reservoir of relative warmth across Continental Europe.

0:03:11 > 0:03:15What does that mean as we end the week and we go into, well,

0:03:15 > 0:03:18the winter half of the year, shall we say?

0:03:18 > 0:03:20One thing's for sure, the nights will get longer than the days,

0:03:20 > 0:03:23back to normal weather-wise with that Atlantic influence,

0:03:23 > 0:03:27wettest across the north-west but always that hint that we

0:03:27 > 0:03:28could see some warmth at times

0:03:28 > 0:03:30across the south-east. I'll update you again tomorrow.