06/10/2016

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0:00:03 > 0:00:04If you were watching yesterday,

0:00:04 > 0:00:06I was indicating how the behaviour of Hurricane Matthew

0:00:06 > 0:00:08could influence our weather eventually.

0:00:08 > 0:00:09Now, that is still the case,

0:00:09 > 0:00:11but there are still big question marks,

0:00:11 > 0:00:12as we'll see in a moment.

0:00:12 > 0:00:14What we ARE confident about

0:00:14 > 0:00:16is the fact that easterly winds will cool things off across

0:00:16 > 0:00:18our part of the world in the next few days -

0:00:18 > 0:00:21those winds coming off a cooling continent at this time of year,

0:00:21 > 0:00:24and carrying a bit more cloud than we've seen in recent days,

0:00:24 > 0:00:26and eventually that cloud could produce the odd shower

0:00:26 > 0:00:28across parts of East Anglia and the far south-east.

0:00:28 > 0:00:29Still a lot of dry weather,

0:00:29 > 0:00:31and the best of the sunshine further north and west -

0:00:31 > 0:00:34Western Scotland doing pretty well, but wherever you are,

0:00:34 > 0:00:35temperatures will be a little bit lower

0:00:35 > 0:00:37than they have been in recent days,

0:00:37 > 0:00:39and, as we head into the night and on into Friday,

0:00:39 > 0:00:40that cloud becomes more widespread,

0:00:40 > 0:00:42and the showers become more widespread, too.

0:00:42 > 0:00:43No great amounts,

0:00:43 > 0:00:45and there'll still be a lot of dry weather out there on Friday,

0:00:45 > 0:00:47but more cloud than we've seen recently,

0:00:47 > 0:00:49and in the breeze it will feel quite chilly,

0:00:49 > 0:00:51I think, particularly where you're exposed to it

0:00:51 > 0:00:54along those north sea currents, but still some sunshine to be had -

0:00:54 > 0:00:56again, Western Scotland particularly well placed.

0:00:56 > 0:00:57Now, in broad terms,

0:00:57 > 0:00:59the picture isn't really changing that much

0:00:59 > 0:01:01as we head through this weekend.

0:01:01 > 0:01:02We've still got those easterly winds,

0:01:02 > 0:01:04so it's all quite cool,

0:01:04 > 0:01:06and they'll tend to moisten up, as well.

0:01:06 > 0:01:08That means more cloud and more showers,

0:01:08 > 0:01:12especially across the more central and eastern parts of the UK.

0:01:12 > 0:01:15I mention cool - if anything, it's going to cool off even more,

0:01:15 > 0:01:19with this area of blue pushing in from the north-east.

0:01:19 > 0:01:21Not desperately cold - it's only October -

0:01:21 > 0:01:23but temperatures will be below normal

0:01:23 > 0:01:25for the time of year.

0:01:25 > 0:01:27Not helped by all that cloud, and if you get caught by a shower,

0:01:27 > 0:01:28it won't feel all that pleasant.

0:01:28 > 0:01:30There will be some sharp showers around -

0:01:30 > 0:01:33particularly, again, across some central and eastern areas.

0:01:33 > 0:01:35West best once more for dry and bright weather -

0:01:35 > 0:01:36but nowhere will it be warm.

0:01:36 > 0:01:39At least the winds will start to ease off through this weekend -

0:01:39 > 0:01:41mind you, that does mean that overnight,

0:01:41 > 0:01:43if the skies stay clear, we could see a touch of frost,

0:01:43 > 0:01:45and maybe one or two fog patches,

0:01:45 > 0:01:47but generally a lot of cloud out there, some showers,

0:01:47 > 0:01:49and that's really the scenery on Monday,

0:01:49 > 0:01:52with some showers, again, across central and eastern areas,

0:01:52 > 0:01:53western parts of the UK

0:01:53 > 0:01:56continuing to see the best of the dry and bright weather,

0:01:56 > 0:01:59but a chilly feel wherever you are

0:01:59 > 0:02:01as we get into the early part of next week.

0:02:01 > 0:02:03Now, what about Hurricane Matthew?

0:02:03 > 0:02:05Well, there it is, it's a monster.

0:02:05 > 0:02:07If anything, it's strengthening again,

0:02:07 > 0:02:10and it's ploughing its way towards the Bahamas.

0:02:10 > 0:02:13This is a serious storm, still, and with fierce winds,

0:02:13 > 0:02:17a huge storm surge, and colossal amounts of rainfall.

0:02:17 > 0:02:19That is bad news for the Bahamas

0:02:19 > 0:02:21as it rips through on Thursday,

0:02:21 > 0:02:23and then too close for comfort

0:02:23 > 0:02:24to the eastern coast of Florida.

0:02:24 > 0:02:27It could make landfall with huge impact -

0:02:27 > 0:02:29and then it heads its way northwards.

0:02:29 > 0:02:30Now, if you were watching on Tuesday,

0:02:30 > 0:02:32I was indicating that the computer models

0:02:32 > 0:02:35suggested that the storm would continue to move its way northwards

0:02:35 > 0:02:37up the eastern seaboard towards Newfoundland

0:02:37 > 0:02:39and even as far as Greenland,

0:02:39 > 0:02:41and that would lead to a build of high pressure

0:02:41 > 0:02:43across our part of the world.

0:02:43 > 0:02:45Well, now, the computer models

0:02:45 > 0:02:47are, well, changing their mind a little bit.

0:02:47 > 0:02:49It looks like the storm will head north,

0:02:49 > 0:02:50but then stall,

0:02:50 > 0:02:53and could then begin to head back southwards again,

0:02:53 > 0:02:55and be influenced by another storm,

0:02:55 > 0:02:56Tropical Storm Nicole,

0:02:56 > 0:02:57in the same part of the world.

0:02:57 > 0:02:59So, again, the impact of that

0:02:59 > 0:03:02on our weather back home, not clear cut -

0:03:02 > 0:03:05but what the computer models are indicating,

0:03:05 > 0:03:07that through the weekend and beyond,

0:03:07 > 0:03:09the temperature does stay below normal,

0:03:09 > 0:03:10green is the normal,

0:03:10 > 0:03:12most of the computer models are indicating

0:03:12 > 0:03:14that that chilly theme

0:03:14 > 0:03:17continues right the way through next week -

0:03:17 > 0:03:20but that could change depending on Matthew.

0:03:20 > 0:03:21But, to sum up next week,

0:03:21 > 0:03:23yes, it looks like staying pretty chilly.

0:03:23 > 0:03:25Those showers continue,

0:03:25 > 0:03:26and the brightest weather

0:03:26 > 0:03:28looks like staying across western parts.

0:03:28 > 0:03:29Sarah updates you tomorrow.

0:03:32 > 0:03:33Back in the firing line...

0:03:33 > 0:03:35I'm the business equivalent of a diamond.

0:03:35 > 0:03:37..18 new candidates are going for broke.