19/10/2016

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0:00:03 > 0:00:05Hello. Weather patterns across the UK

0:00:05 > 0:00:07set to become static - blocked - once again.

0:00:07 > 0:00:09What that means is the weather is not going to change a huge amount

0:00:09 > 0:00:12through the rest of this week. If you're in eastern England

0:00:12 > 0:00:13you're most likely to see showers on and off.

0:00:13 > 0:00:16They're not quite as heavy as you'll see on Wednesday.

0:00:16 > 0:00:18Elsewhere, generally dry story,

0:00:18 > 0:00:21but we could see some rather cool nights and some misty mornings

0:00:21 > 0:00:22to take us through the week.

0:00:22 > 0:00:24The reason things are becoming static is this -

0:00:24 > 0:00:27it's the remnants of Hurricane Nicole,

0:00:27 > 0:00:29long-lasting named storm in the Atlantic -

0:00:29 > 0:00:31as it pushed into the North Atlantic,

0:00:31 > 0:00:33it takes huge amounts of snow into Greenland over the next few days

0:00:33 > 0:00:36but it drags up lots of warm air on its eastern flank

0:00:36 > 0:00:38and it's that which helps to build this -

0:00:38 > 0:00:41an area of high pressure to the west which will hang around for a while.

0:00:41 > 0:00:44Notice to the east we have low pressure also stranded -

0:00:44 > 0:00:47that will have an impact across eastern areas,

0:00:47 > 0:00:48certainly see showers again on Wednesday.

0:00:48 > 0:00:50Some of those heavy later on.

0:00:50 > 0:00:52Further west, some good sunny spells.

0:00:52 > 0:00:54Starting off with a few showers round western areas,

0:00:54 > 0:00:57fewer in number by the end of the afternoon,

0:00:57 > 0:00:58Wales and the south-west fairly well scattered.

0:00:58 > 0:01:01Temperatures across western areas - because the winds are lighter,

0:01:01 > 0:01:03a little bit warmer than Tuesday,

0:01:03 > 0:01:05but pretty chilly down the east coast.

0:01:05 > 0:01:06The winds could touch gale force

0:01:06 > 0:01:08and by the end of the afternoon the showers could get heavier.

0:01:08 > 0:01:11Thunder too, lasting into the evening.

0:01:11 > 0:01:14The showers continue as we go through Wednesday night.

0:01:14 > 0:01:17Further west, one or two showers clipping in towards Pembrokeshire,

0:01:17 > 0:01:19down towards Cornwall, Isles of Scilly,

0:01:19 > 0:01:21maybe the odd one in the Channel Islands.

0:01:21 > 0:01:24Many will be dry with some clear skies around.

0:01:24 > 0:01:26Temperatures by night across Western areas dropping night by night -

0:01:26 > 0:01:28that's because the wind's a bit lighter

0:01:28 > 0:01:32and with clear skies, a touch of frost to some into Thursday morning.

0:01:32 > 0:01:33So here's the chart for Thursday.

0:01:33 > 0:01:35High pressure firmly to the west of the UK -

0:01:35 > 0:01:37actually, over much of the UK.

0:01:37 > 0:01:40That low pressure still stranded across the southern North Sea

0:01:40 > 0:01:42feeding in a cool breeze down these eastern coasts.

0:01:42 > 0:01:45Maybe a little bit lighter than Wednesday,

0:01:45 > 0:01:47the showers also lighter and fewer in number.

0:01:47 > 0:01:49In fact, most of you will have a dry day on Thursday.

0:01:49 > 0:01:51Not especially warm, but in the sunshine

0:01:51 > 0:01:55and with just a gentle breeze, that sun is still strong enough

0:01:55 > 0:01:57to make it feel pleasant, certainly, outside.

0:01:57 > 0:01:59As we go through into Friday,

0:01:59 > 0:02:01high pressure starts to nose away just a little bit.

0:02:01 > 0:02:04Still firmly in control, but it does allow a weather front

0:02:04 > 0:02:07just to clip Northern Ireland, western parts of Scotland.

0:02:07 > 0:02:09Risk of cloud and patchy rain here.

0:02:09 > 0:02:11Still a few showers down eastern areas, fairly light,

0:02:11 > 0:02:14lots of brightness and a bit of sunshine in between.

0:02:14 > 0:02:16So the ridge of high pressure is moving back into Scandinavia

0:02:16 > 0:02:18by the weekend - it's still with us,

0:02:18 > 0:02:21but with more of an easterly flow developing across the country -

0:02:21 > 0:02:24easterly or southeasterly depending on where you are -

0:02:24 > 0:02:25that continues to feed cloud

0:02:25 > 0:02:28and one or two showers into eastern Scotland and eastern England.

0:02:28 > 0:02:30Further west always drier and brighter.

0:02:30 > 0:02:33Breeze picks up, so the mist not so much of a problem in the morning.

0:02:33 > 0:02:36That'll be the case, too, on Sunday, especially across Wales

0:02:36 > 0:02:38and the south-west, where some of the windiest weather will be.

0:02:38 > 0:02:41Fewer showers in the east than Saturday, most will be dry,

0:02:41 > 0:02:44best of the sunshine in the north and the west.

0:02:44 > 0:02:45Now as we finish Sunday,

0:02:45 > 0:02:48high pressure to the north of us, low pressure towards the south.

0:02:48 > 0:02:52This will have a little bit of impact as we go into next week,

0:02:52 > 0:02:54but generally, high pressure holds on.

0:02:54 > 0:02:57But with that low pressure system south and high pressure north

0:02:57 > 0:03:00we continue with the feed of generally easterly winds

0:03:00 > 0:03:02and as we saw to start October,

0:03:02 > 0:03:04doesn't lead to especially warm weather.

0:03:04 > 0:03:06The one uncertainty is whether we see weather fronts

0:03:06 > 0:03:08pushing round this low to the south-west,

0:03:08 > 0:03:10which could just clip in rain at times

0:03:10 > 0:03:13across southern parts of England and Wales especially,

0:03:13 > 0:03:14always drive further north.

0:03:14 > 0:03:17Beyond that, exactly where that high pressure ends up

0:03:17 > 0:03:18depends on the weather conditions.

0:03:18 > 0:03:20We'll look at that over the coming nights.

0:03:20 > 0:03:23But this week into next week, a blocked pattern develops.

0:03:23 > 0:03:25Compared to what we should see in October

0:03:25 > 0:03:28it will be drier than normal, but those easterly winds

0:03:28 > 0:03:30will maintain a fairly cool feel. Bye for now.