0:00:02 > 0:00:03Hello, there. On Wednesday, many parts of the UK
0:00:03 > 0:00:05started to see the weather calm down once again.
0:00:05 > 0:00:08A lot of dry weather around, a fair bit of sunshine at times too,
0:00:08 > 0:00:11but it was a different story on the east coast of England once again.
0:00:11 > 0:00:12These high seas
0:00:12 > 0:00:14captured by our weather watchers
0:00:14 > 0:00:15whipped up in Scarborough
0:00:15 > 0:00:17and on the north Norfolk coast
0:00:17 > 0:00:19in Cromer, battering the pier here.
0:00:19 > 0:00:20Strong to gale-force winds, in fact,
0:00:20 > 0:00:22through the day, frequent showers,
0:00:22 > 0:00:23especially later in the day.
0:00:23 > 0:00:25It's all caused by this area of low pressure.
0:00:25 > 0:00:27That's going to just linger around
0:00:27 > 0:00:29to the southeast over the next couple of days,
0:00:29 > 0:00:31but it's really high pressure dominating for most,
0:00:31 > 0:00:33which means more in the way of cool,
0:00:33 > 0:00:35at times frosty nights, as we'll see,
0:00:35 > 0:00:36to start Thursday morning,
0:00:36 > 0:00:38but a lot of dry, bright weather by day.
0:00:38 > 0:00:40The mist clears, lots of sunshine.
0:00:40 > 0:00:41Lighter winds compared with Wednesday,
0:00:41 > 0:00:44so many western areas may feel a little bit warmer,
0:00:44 > 0:00:46even though the temperatures are nothing to write home about.
0:00:46 > 0:00:48There will be varying amounts of cloud
0:00:48 > 0:00:50across England and eastern Wales in particular
0:00:50 > 0:00:51through the day.
0:00:51 > 0:00:52Just threatening the odd isolated shower.
0:00:52 > 0:00:54Greatest chance of showers remain down eastern parts,
0:00:54 > 0:00:56closest to that area of low pressure.
0:00:56 > 0:00:58Here the breeze is at its strongest,
0:00:58 > 0:00:59but even that a little bit lighter
0:00:59 > 0:01:00than it was on Wednesday afternoon.
0:01:00 > 0:01:02Still remains, that breeze in place
0:01:02 > 0:01:04as we go through Thursday night into Friday,
0:01:04 > 0:01:06a few coastal showers. But at the same time,
0:01:06 > 0:01:07you'll also notice a bit more cloud
0:01:07 > 0:01:09in Northern Ireland, Western Scotland.
0:01:09 > 0:01:10Outbreaks of rain spreading here.
0:01:10 > 0:01:13In between, though, away from towns and cities,
0:01:13 > 0:01:14clear skies, some mist
0:01:14 > 0:01:16and a chance of frost once again.
0:01:16 > 0:01:18That's because here you're under that little area
0:01:18 > 0:01:20of high pressure. Either side of it,
0:01:20 > 0:01:22we've got some weather fronts to the northwest of the UK.
0:01:22 > 0:01:23Still that low pressure.
0:01:23 > 0:01:25Becoming less dominant, but still noticeable
0:01:25 > 0:01:27towards the southeast of the country,
0:01:27 > 0:01:28so I'm afraid East Anglia, southeast,
0:01:28 > 0:01:30still the chance of one or two showers,
0:01:30 > 0:01:32and still that breeze.
0:01:32 > 0:01:33Most, though, light winds.
0:01:33 > 0:01:34Pleasant enough in the afternoon sunshine,
0:01:34 > 0:01:36once morning mist and fog has cleared.
0:01:36 > 0:01:38Rain, though, will linger throughout the day.
0:01:38 > 0:01:40Highlands and Islands of Scotland especially.
0:01:40 > 0:01:42Temperatures, generally speaking,
0:01:42 > 0:01:44not far off what we'll see on Thursday,
0:01:44 > 0:01:46which takes us into the weekend.
0:01:46 > 0:01:48Well, what we have at the moment is some very warm air
0:01:48 > 0:01:49to the east of the United States.
0:01:49 > 0:01:51That will help to fire up a strong jet steam.
0:01:51 > 0:01:52The blocking high, though,
0:01:52 > 0:01:55splits that jet stream in two as it approaches us.
0:01:55 > 0:01:56It's the southern portion,
0:01:56 > 0:01:58the strongest portion, which is of interest,
0:01:58 > 0:02:00because it starts to develop this area of low pressure.
0:02:00 > 0:02:01As that develops,
0:02:01 > 0:02:03an easterly wind develops for the UK,
0:02:03 > 0:02:04as that low pressure
0:02:04 > 0:02:06squeezes against the high in Scandinavia.
0:02:06 > 0:02:07Like we saw the other week,
0:02:07 > 0:02:09easterly winds will start to dominate.
0:02:09 > 0:02:10It's getting colder and colder,
0:02:10 > 0:02:12that easterly wind, as we go through Saturday.
0:02:12 > 0:02:14Still a few showers down the east.
0:02:14 > 0:02:16Most of the places, though, dry and bright.
0:02:16 > 0:02:18Best of the sunshine the further west you are.
0:02:18 > 0:02:19But the breeze picks up even further
0:02:19 > 0:02:20as that low pressure deepens,
0:02:20 > 0:02:22more in the Bay of Biscay,
0:02:22 > 0:02:23and edges closer towards us.
0:02:23 > 0:02:24So expect more cloud.
0:02:24 > 0:02:26The showers, across eastern areas to begin with,
0:02:26 > 0:02:28will get that little bit further west.
0:02:28 > 0:02:30Many western areas still dry and bright at this stage,
0:02:30 > 0:02:34but just notice, creeping closer, the threat of some rain.
0:02:34 > 0:02:36This probably opens up the biggest uncertainty
0:02:36 > 0:02:37through the forecast period -
0:02:37 > 0:02:39just whether this low pressure system,
0:02:39 > 0:02:40as it clears away,
0:02:40 > 0:02:42throws any weather fronts in our direction.
0:02:42 > 0:02:44So Monday's forecast,
0:02:44 > 0:02:46probably the most uncertain at the moment.
0:02:46 > 0:02:47We've still got an easterly wind
0:02:47 > 0:02:48whichever way you look at it.
0:02:48 > 0:02:50Western areas, particularly northwest,
0:02:50 > 0:02:51probably driest and brightest,
0:02:51 > 0:02:54but that chance of rain pushing in towards the south.
0:02:54 > 0:02:58If we look at the star of next week, we've got that low pressure clearing
0:02:58 > 0:03:01away to the south, but still the risks of those weather fronts.
0:03:01 > 0:03:03But all computer models are starting to show signs
0:03:03 > 0:03:05that that will actually go away through the week.
0:03:05 > 0:03:08So, as we progress through the week, this high pressure dominates.
0:03:08 > 0:03:10Its position changes, though, pushes further south,
0:03:10 > 0:03:13so England and Wales most likely to be dry and bright by day,
0:03:13 > 0:03:16but some overnight mist, some fog and some frost.
0:03:16 > 0:03:19Then, as the jet stream strengthens further out of North America,
0:03:19 > 0:03:21we could start to see things starting to turn back
0:03:21 > 0:03:24to low pressure in the northwest, which brings the greatest threat
0:03:24 > 0:03:27of rain later next week, to northern and western parts of Scotland.
0:03:27 > 0:03:30We'll keep you updated, of course, over the coming days.