21/01/2017

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0:00:01 > 0:00:04Hello. It's been a very settled week of weather with very little rain,

0:00:04 > 0:00:08and the outlook for the next five or six days is very similar.

0:00:08 > 0:00:10But eventually, by the end of the period,

0:00:10 > 0:00:12we may start to see a change.

0:00:12 > 0:00:15So, yes, for this weekend, in the short term,

0:00:15 > 0:00:19it looks set to stay mainly dry and cold, but there should be

0:00:19 > 0:00:21some good sunshine, as we saw through the day on Friday.

0:00:21 > 0:00:25This was Dolwyddelan, in Conwy, in the foothills of Snowdonia.

0:00:25 > 0:00:28But although the sunshine was more abundant, there was still a zone

0:00:28 > 0:00:32of cloudy weather, and here in East Lothian, we had that cloud.

0:00:32 > 0:00:35But the cloud is gradually continuing to break, so it

0:00:35 > 0:00:39looks as if the frost will be much more widespread on Saturday morning.

0:00:39 > 0:00:43These countryside figures, you can see, denote quite a harsh frost.

0:00:43 > 0:00:45There could also be some fog in eastern England,

0:00:45 > 0:00:48parts of Northern Ireland and northern Scotland.

0:00:48 > 0:00:51That'll be a continuing trend, more fog through the coming few nights.

0:00:51 > 0:00:54Otherwise, it looks much sunnier for the likes of southern Scotland,

0:00:54 > 0:00:56more sunshine for Northern Ireland.

0:00:56 > 0:00:58A bit more cloud coming into the south and west

0:00:58 > 0:01:01and for eastern parts of England, where there could be the odd

0:01:01 > 0:01:04drizzly shower, a little bit of snow for the Pennines. So it's not warm.

0:01:04 > 0:01:07Temperatures, in fact, will be lower than those we've seen this week.

0:01:07 > 0:01:09That trend continues into Sunday,

0:01:09 > 0:01:12which on balance looks a little cloudier than Saturday because,

0:01:12 > 0:01:15again, you've got this weak weather front near to eastern areas,

0:01:15 > 0:01:16so a few wintry flurries here.

0:01:16 > 0:01:19And also, a bit of cloud just pestering western parts of

0:01:19 > 0:01:21England and Wales to bring the odd drizzly shower.

0:01:21 > 0:01:26But it's still dry and, for most, still bright. But just cold.

0:01:26 > 0:01:27Little changes on Monday.

0:01:27 > 0:01:30If anything, Monday and Tuesday morning will suffer more with

0:01:30 > 0:01:33some thick fog - patches of thick fog, that is.

0:01:33 > 0:01:35So, again, it'll be cold and that fog will be slow to clear.

0:01:35 > 0:01:39But just the sign of a bit more breeze towards the north and west,

0:01:39 > 0:01:43and on Tuesday this weather front does make an attempt to come

0:01:43 > 0:01:46into the north-west of the UK, the first one, if you like,

0:01:46 > 0:01:49to try and break down our static high pressure.

0:01:49 > 0:01:52So, yes, we could see some patchy rain, stronger winds,

0:01:52 > 0:01:54milder air into the north and west, but of course it's coming

0:01:54 > 0:01:58into the cold air so still expect some snow over the hills.

0:01:58 > 0:02:01And then that really fizzles out as we go into Wednesday and

0:02:01 > 0:02:04we're back to the high pressure, still, but just more isobars, so

0:02:04 > 0:02:06that means more wind, more tightly packed isobars.

0:02:06 > 0:02:09So probably from midweek on not as many fog problems for most.

0:02:09 > 0:02:12But still cold in central and eastern areas,

0:02:12 > 0:02:13particularly if we have the cloud,

0:02:13 > 0:02:16and always the threat of stronger winds,

0:02:16 > 0:02:18gales or severe gales into the north-west, and rain,

0:02:18 > 0:02:22because again those weather fronts are advancing in on Thursday, too.

0:02:22 > 0:02:24So we're always going to have to have that risk, I think,

0:02:24 > 0:02:27for the west of Scotland and Northern Ireland,

0:02:27 > 0:02:28of some rain as the week progresses.

0:02:28 > 0:02:30But temperatures are recovering - a little! -

0:02:30 > 0:02:33at seven or eight degrees Celsius.

0:02:33 > 0:02:36So throughout this week, we've had the static high pressure,

0:02:36 > 0:02:40that harsh Continental air. We've felt the effect a little bit.

0:02:40 > 0:02:42Nowhere near as cold as it has been across Continental Europe,

0:02:42 > 0:02:46but gradually this weekend it does dip down, the temperature.

0:02:46 > 0:02:48Now, that high pressure has got a lot of inertia.

0:02:48 > 0:02:49It doesn't want to move away,

0:02:49 > 0:02:52so it's going to take a succession of low pressures through the

0:02:52 > 0:02:56coming week to start to move it eastwards and allow those

0:02:56 > 0:02:57weather fronts to cross the UK.

0:02:57 > 0:02:59As I say, it's going to take time,

0:02:59 > 0:03:02because that high pressure's quite established, and it will stay

0:03:02 > 0:03:04established through most of next week,

0:03:04 > 0:03:06particularly in the south and the east.

0:03:06 > 0:03:09But as eventually the Atlantic winds start to push in one after

0:03:09 > 0:03:12the other, just nibbling away at that area of high pressure,

0:03:12 > 0:03:15temperatures, as we saw, will start to recover, so that by next weekend,

0:03:15 > 0:03:19that's when it looks as if it may well be windier for all of us,

0:03:19 > 0:03:21with some rain pushing its way southwards and eastwards.

0:03:21 > 0:03:23But again, there's still a question mark.

0:03:23 > 0:03:25The south and east may stay

0:03:25 > 0:03:28under high pressure and may stay quite dry and settled.