16/03/2017

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0:00:03 > 0:00:04I know a lot of you like it

0:00:04 > 0:00:06when we talk about the jet stream in this broadcast.

0:00:06 > 0:00:08You might reconsider by the end of this.

0:00:08 > 0:00:09There's a lot of jet stream coming up,

0:00:09 > 0:00:10but hopefully it's worth it.

0:00:10 > 0:00:12I want to show you a picture

0:00:12 > 0:00:13from glorious sunshine

0:00:13 > 0:00:14across much of Wales and England

0:00:14 > 0:00:17during Wednesday, 18.8 Celsius in the sun

0:00:17 > 0:00:19at London's Kew Gardens,

0:00:19 > 0:00:21the highest temperature the UK's had so far this year.

0:00:21 > 0:00:23That 17 in Hawarden in north-east Wales

0:00:23 > 0:00:25the highest that Wales has seen so far this year

0:00:25 > 0:00:27and you might be surprised to see

0:00:27 > 0:00:29this big dome of mild air across the UK.

0:00:29 > 0:00:31Of course, the highest temperatures are realised

0:00:31 > 0:00:32when we get some sunshine

0:00:32 > 0:00:35and it's high pressure across the UK as well

0:00:35 > 0:00:37that's kept our weather pretty similar

0:00:37 > 0:00:38as we've been through the past few days.

0:00:38 > 0:00:40No great change.

0:00:40 > 0:00:42The jet stream is to the north of us

0:00:42 > 0:00:45at the moment, not severely impacting our weather,

0:00:45 > 0:00:47and if you are new to the jet stream,

0:00:47 > 0:00:48here are a few key facts about it.

0:00:48 > 0:00:53There's a ribbon or a stream of strong winds up to about 200mph

0:00:53 > 0:00:56high in the atmosphere, up to nine miles above us,

0:00:56 > 0:00:58and it's along the jet stream...

0:00:58 > 0:01:01Well, it impacts and influences weather systems and steers them,

0:01:01 > 0:01:04particularly across the Atlantic towards us.

0:01:04 > 0:01:05We haven't been getting anything

0:01:05 > 0:01:07because the jet stream has been to the north of us

0:01:07 > 0:01:08and it's a looping,

0:01:08 > 0:01:11we call this meridional jet stream

0:01:11 > 0:01:12across the Atlantic right now

0:01:12 > 0:01:14and when you see that,

0:01:14 > 0:01:16you know the weather isn't changing very quickly.

0:01:16 > 0:01:17Weather systems, either high pressure

0:01:17 > 0:01:19or low pressure, stick around for some time,

0:01:19 > 0:01:22but fast forward to Friday and, look,

0:01:22 > 0:01:24these weather systems are queuing up

0:01:24 > 0:01:26right across the Atlantic to come into the UK

0:01:26 > 0:01:28on a jet stream which is no longer

0:01:28 > 0:01:29looping up and down,

0:01:29 > 0:01:31but it is taking a more direct

0:01:31 > 0:01:32straight line towards us.

0:01:32 > 0:01:34It is a zonal jet stream -

0:01:34 > 0:01:36it is stronger and on it,

0:01:36 > 0:01:37there are more active weather systems

0:01:37 > 0:01:40and they're coming right for us so, for Friday into the weekend,

0:01:40 > 0:01:43well, things will look and feel very different out there.

0:01:43 > 0:01:44Let's take things day by day.

0:01:44 > 0:01:46We will start with Thursday's weather

0:01:46 > 0:01:47and there is a band of rain

0:01:47 > 0:01:49pushing through Scotland and Northern Ireland,

0:01:49 > 0:01:51heavier for a time before clearing in the afternoon

0:01:51 > 0:01:54as sunny spells and scattered showers follow,

0:01:54 > 0:01:55some of that rain heading into

0:01:55 > 0:01:57northern and western England into Wales,

0:01:57 > 0:01:59the far south-east staying dry until after dark,

0:01:59 > 0:02:01not as much sunshine, not as warm

0:02:01 > 0:02:02and by Friday morning,

0:02:02 > 0:02:04it's quite chilly out there.

0:02:04 > 0:02:06Northern Scotland fares reasonably well

0:02:06 > 0:02:07on Friday, but for the rest of the UK,

0:02:07 > 0:02:09rain pushing south-eastwards,

0:02:09 > 0:02:11but then again, you might want something on your garden

0:02:11 > 0:02:13after it's been, for some of us, quite dry.

0:02:13 > 0:02:16And then this is the picture going into the weekend,

0:02:16 > 0:02:17I showed you it again a second ago.

0:02:17 > 0:02:19You can follow this weather system

0:02:19 > 0:02:22all the way back almost to North America

0:02:22 > 0:02:24and all of that is coming our way.

0:02:24 > 0:02:26It won't be raining all the time.

0:02:26 > 0:02:27I think some of the heaviest rain

0:02:27 > 0:02:29will be focused on western parts of the UK,

0:02:29 > 0:02:31into the hills and maybe Wales, for example,

0:02:31 > 0:02:33will see quite a lot coming down into the hills.

0:02:33 > 0:02:36Another spell of rain sweeping eastwards on Sunday,

0:02:36 > 0:02:37showers following on behind.

0:02:37 > 0:02:40Sunday looks like the windier of the two this weekend

0:02:40 > 0:02:42and it's in the wind, particularly,

0:02:42 > 0:02:43things are feeling cooler.

0:02:43 > 0:02:45Then into the start of next week,

0:02:45 > 0:02:46still low pressure close by

0:02:46 > 0:02:48so it's still looking unsettled.

0:02:48 > 0:02:49Another push of cooler air

0:02:49 > 0:02:51looks like it will come in,

0:02:51 > 0:02:52but as we get to the jet stream,

0:02:52 > 0:02:54look at this.

0:02:54 > 0:02:55It's no longer right across the Atlantic

0:02:55 > 0:02:58towards us, it's doing that looping thing again

0:02:58 > 0:03:01so it looks like the mobility is slowing down

0:03:01 > 0:03:04so pressure systems hang around longer.

0:03:04 > 0:03:05Low pressure at the start of the week,

0:03:05 > 0:03:08but looks like later in the week,

0:03:08 > 0:03:10there'll be a gradual progression to high pressure

0:03:10 > 0:03:12coming back into the UK

0:03:12 > 0:03:14and the influence of that will be

0:03:14 > 0:03:16to settle things down for many of us,

0:03:16 > 0:03:17turn things drier once again.

0:03:17 > 0:03:19It could be pleasant by day,

0:03:19 > 0:03:22but there is a risk of some cold frost overnight.

0:03:22 > 0:03:25So, a weather pattern at the end of next week

0:03:25 > 0:03:27pretty similar to what we have at the moment,

0:03:27 > 0:03:29in between something much more changeable,

0:03:29 > 0:03:31for which, of course,

0:03:31 > 0:03:32we can blame the jet stream.

0:03:34 > 0:03:37The psychiatrist was a figment of his imagination.