0:00:02 > 0:00:04If you've been with me in recent days you'll know that we've got
0:00:04 > 0:00:07a degree of certainty about what's going to go on in the next few days.
0:00:07 > 0:00:11It's the outlook period in which we have just a degree of uncertainty.
0:00:11 > 0:00:14What I'm very sure of in the short term is that Wednesday
0:00:14 > 0:00:16is going to be very much about the influence of
0:00:16 > 0:00:20Storm Georgina, the next named storm in the season sequence,
0:00:20 > 0:00:23which will be a real player across the northern parts
0:00:23 > 0:00:26of Scotland. We'll all feel the wind from that feature
0:00:26 > 0:00:29and then there's this front to contend with as well,
0:00:29 > 0:00:31gradually slumping its way right across the whole of
0:00:31 > 0:00:33England and Wales.
0:00:33 > 0:00:36There sits Georgina, very close to the Orkneys,
0:00:36 > 0:00:40as we start the afternoon. Notice the strength of the
0:00:40 > 0:00:43gusts here. Widely across the northern half of Britain
0:00:43 > 0:00:47we're looking at 40, 50, 60mph or so at the very least.
0:00:47 > 0:00:49As we come that little bit further south, even in inland
0:00:49 > 0:00:52areas behind the weather front, yes, it brightens up
0:00:52 > 0:00:55but it stays pretty windy - 30, 40mph gusts.
0:00:55 > 0:00:59Anywhere near that weather front and it remains very squally.
0:00:59 > 0:01:02That front eventually pushes off into the near continent
0:01:02 > 0:01:04and Georgina moves off towards Scandinavia, leaving
0:01:04 > 0:01:07behind another little area of low pressure. The wind
0:01:07 > 0:01:11around this still pretty strong but nowhere near as strong
0:01:11 > 0:01:13as they will be during the course of Wednesday.
0:01:13 > 0:01:16A day on Thursday of sunshine, especially in the
0:01:16 > 0:01:19south-eastern quarter. Elsewhere I think you're in with
0:01:19 > 0:01:23a pretty fair chance of seeing some blustery old showers.
0:01:23 > 0:01:27As we close out the week that area of low pressure rather
0:01:27 > 0:01:31fills in situ. Notice how the isobars by this stage
0:01:31 > 0:01:33have come right out of the south-west and there is
0:01:33 > 0:01:36more of a north and north-westerly about proceedings.
0:01:36 > 0:01:39That's a pretty cool direction. The last of the shower activity
0:01:39 > 0:01:41there across eastern shores, temperatures in the
0:01:41 > 0:01:45range of 4 to about 8 or 9.
0:01:45 > 0:01:48That'll be the last of the cool days, I would have thought,
0:01:48 > 0:01:50simply because as we get towards the weekend look at
0:01:50 > 0:01:52where the air is coming from -
0:01:52 > 0:01:54up and around this high pressure and then bumping into the
0:01:54 > 0:01:58British Isles. A long sea track carrying a lot of moisture
0:01:58 > 0:02:01which means a lot of cloud and there will be a weather front
0:02:01 > 0:02:03to thicken up that cloud across western parts.
0:02:03 > 0:02:06There isn't a great deal of difference as we move on
0:02:06 > 0:02:09into Sunday. That high pressure trying to influence things
0:02:09 > 0:02:11across the southern half of the British Isles,
0:02:11 > 0:02:14but it just runs out of influence as we get towards the
0:02:14 > 0:02:16northern and western parts of Scotland, particularly
0:02:16 > 0:02:18here some more in the way of cloud and rain but look at
0:02:18 > 0:02:20the temperatures - they're back to the sort of values
0:02:20 > 0:02:23that many of us saw during the course of Tuesday.
0:02:23 > 0:02:27As we start the new week I think we'll still be influenced
0:02:27 > 0:02:30very much by this feed around the high pressure of
0:02:30 > 0:02:32milder airs coming in from the Atlantic to dominate
0:02:32 > 0:02:34many parts of the British Isles,
0:02:34 > 0:02:37perhaps not just the far north of Scotland,
0:02:37 > 0:02:39because there we've got some fresher conditions.
0:02:39 > 0:02:43The boundary between those mild airs and the colder air to the north
0:02:43 > 0:02:45usually means some fairly strong winds. That'll be the way of it
0:02:45 > 0:02:47across northern parts of Scotland.
0:02:47 > 0:02:51We think the high pressure is going to settle down towards the
0:02:51 > 0:02:54south of the British Isles, with that mild feed of airs,
0:02:54 > 0:02:56which generates quite a bit of cloud.
0:02:56 > 0:02:59However, if that high pressure
0:02:59 > 0:03:01were to drift up to the
0:03:01 > 0:03:02western side of the British Isles
0:03:02 > 0:03:05we then end up with a fairly cool
0:03:05 > 0:03:07northerly to north-westerly flow
0:03:07 > 0:03:09across the British Isles
0:03:09 > 0:03:12and that will give us a different look and feel to the days
0:03:12 > 0:03:15across many parts of the British Isles.
0:03:15 > 0:03:17It would be brighter but it would be that wee bit cooler.
0:03:17 > 0:03:20So, we think the driest of the conditions will be found to the
0:03:20 > 0:03:21south, with some mist and fog
0:03:21 > 0:03:23and frost around,
0:03:23 > 0:03:24it'll be wet and windy in the north.
0:03:24 > 0:03:26But as I say, there is
0:03:26 > 0:03:28a degree of uncertainty.