07/02/2018

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0:00:02 > 0:00:04Hello, there. The wintry story continues -

0:00:04 > 0:00:05and not just here in the UK,

0:00:05 > 0:00:07also across much of Europe and north-west Africa.

0:00:07 > 0:00:08In fact, these scenes from Tuesday

0:00:08 > 0:00:10weren't from the tops of the Pennines,

0:00:10 > 0:00:11but were instead from Morocco,

0:00:11 > 0:00:12where we saw extensive

0:00:12 > 0:00:14and, in places, quite heavy snowfall.

0:00:14 > 0:00:15If I show you the air mass

0:00:15 > 0:00:17across Europe and north-west Africa,

0:00:17 > 0:00:19you can see the extent of cold air at the moment -

0:00:19 > 0:00:20the blue colour's all the way

0:00:20 > 0:00:21as far south as the Canaries.

0:00:21 > 0:00:22Warmest are the areas

0:00:22 > 0:00:24down towards the east of the Mediterranean -

0:00:24 > 0:00:26and the reason we've got this extent of cold air

0:00:26 > 0:00:28is because, if I show you the jet stream, now,

0:00:28 > 0:00:30we see the jet stream double back on itself,

0:00:30 > 0:00:31feeding in easterly winds

0:00:31 > 0:00:33and that cold air to many places.

0:00:33 > 0:00:35Push ourselves out towards the west, though,

0:00:35 > 0:00:38there's a strengthening Atlantic jet stream, now,

0:00:38 > 0:00:39and that is edging our way,

0:00:39 > 0:00:41set to bring changes over the coming days,

0:00:41 > 0:00:43and introducing some Atlantic weather fronts.

0:00:43 > 0:00:44Now, before that arrives on Wednesday,

0:00:44 > 0:00:46we've got this ridge of high pressure,

0:00:46 > 0:00:48which means we'll start dry, with some ice,

0:00:48 > 0:00:50and also, of course, a widespread frost.

0:00:50 > 0:00:51Plenty of sunshine, too,

0:00:51 > 0:00:52Early showers, wintry in nature,

0:00:52 > 0:00:54towards East Anglia and the south-east

0:00:54 > 0:00:55clearing away,

0:00:55 > 0:00:56but notice how the cloud increases

0:00:56 > 0:00:58across Scotland and Northern Ireland.

0:00:58 > 0:01:00We'll see some snow on the Scottish mountains,

0:01:00 > 0:01:01maybe as much as 10cm,

0:01:01 > 0:01:03but it will turn back to rain as temperatures rise.

0:01:03 > 0:01:05Stornoway 8 degrees by the end of the day.

0:01:05 > 0:01:07Elsewhere, even with the sunshine, another chilly day,

0:01:07 > 0:01:10and a little bit more breeze around than we saw on Tuesday.

0:01:10 > 0:01:12Frost quickly developing towards the south and east

0:01:12 > 0:01:14under largely clear skies to take us into Wednesday night,

0:01:14 > 0:01:15but this weather front

0:01:15 > 0:01:17will work its way southwards and eastwards

0:01:17 > 0:01:20slowly through Wednesday night and into Thursday,

0:01:20 > 0:01:22with colder air trying to push back in once again

0:01:22 > 0:01:23from the north-west.

0:01:23 > 0:01:25Now, the weather front into the start of Thursday

0:01:25 > 0:01:27will be somewhere across the Borders,

0:01:27 > 0:01:29northern England into north-west Wales,

0:01:29 > 0:01:31outbreaks of, maybe, rain on this, this time.

0:01:31 > 0:01:32Not everywhere -

0:01:32 > 0:01:36it's going to be fairly scattered across this zone,

0:01:36 > 0:01:38with some heavier bursts into the west of Wales later on.

0:01:38 > 0:01:40Bright start, but cold start in the south-east,

0:01:40 > 0:01:41struggling to lift up, here.

0:01:41 > 0:01:44Temperatures in Plymouth 10 degrees by the end of the day,

0:01:44 > 0:01:46Scotland, Northern Ireland stay largely dry

0:01:46 > 0:01:48with some hazy sunshine - but a wetter night

0:01:48 > 0:01:50come Thursday night to Friday,

0:01:50 > 0:01:51as that weather front reinvigorates

0:01:51 > 0:01:53as it passes its way eastwards.

0:01:53 > 0:01:54A ridge of high pressure builds, there,

0:01:54 > 0:01:56but not a particularly strong one.

0:01:56 > 0:01:57Now, there could be some ice around,

0:01:57 > 0:01:58frost here and there for Friday,

0:01:58 > 0:02:00the weather front clearing away

0:02:00 > 0:02:02from the south-east corner. Mainly rain,

0:02:02 > 0:02:04but what follows will be a scattering of showers,

0:02:04 > 0:02:05rain, hail, sleet and snow -

0:02:05 > 0:02:06although mainly snow,

0:02:06 > 0:02:07west of Scotland, Northern Ireland,

0:02:07 > 0:02:09as temperatures again drop back

0:02:09 > 0:02:10to about 4 or 5 degrees -

0:02:10 > 0:02:12and the breeze will make it feel colder than that.

0:02:12 > 0:02:14Brief ridge of high pressure to start Friday night,

0:02:14 > 0:02:15take us into Saturday,

0:02:15 > 0:02:17so, frost and ice risk across England and Wales,

0:02:17 > 0:02:19and then the next Atlantic weather fronts

0:02:19 > 0:02:20start to push away.

0:02:20 > 0:02:22These will have a little bit more about them.

0:02:22 > 0:02:23There'll be some heavy bursts of snow

0:02:23 > 0:02:24on its forward edge,

0:02:24 > 0:02:26particularly across the mountains of Scotland,

0:02:26 > 0:02:28northern England, North Wales -

0:02:28 > 0:02:29but it will turn back to rain

0:02:29 > 0:02:31as mild air briefly tries to push its way in.

0:02:31 > 0:02:33Rain reaching the south-east corner later in the day,

0:02:33 > 0:02:34turning brighter later on

0:02:34 > 0:02:36across Scotland and Northern Ireland

0:02:36 > 0:02:37but here, then, temperatures drop,

0:02:37 > 0:02:39and, whilst we've got the wind coming off the Atlantic,

0:02:39 > 0:02:41they're coming all the way from Canada

0:02:41 > 0:02:42by the end of the weekend,

0:02:42 > 0:02:44and it's a source of pretty cold air at the moment.

0:02:44 > 0:02:47So, we're going to see wintry showers across the board,

0:02:47 > 0:02:49mainly across northern and western areas,

0:02:49 > 0:02:52primarily of snow, giving it further covering in places.

0:02:52 > 0:02:53That's really going to mount up this week

0:02:53 > 0:02:55across the mountains of Scotland.

0:02:55 > 0:02:57Temperatures in single figures, of course,

0:02:57 > 0:02:58but, with added wind-chill,

0:02:58 > 0:03:00it will probably feel close to freezing,

0:03:00 > 0:03:02particularly the further north and west you are -

0:03:02 > 0:03:04and even as we go into the following week,

0:03:04 > 0:03:05half term, of course,

0:03:05 > 0:03:07we've still got that vigorous Atlantic jet stream

0:03:07 > 0:03:09pushing its way in, and where we've got that,

0:03:09 > 0:03:11it means, to the north, we get low pressure,

0:03:11 > 0:03:12to the south we get high pressure,

0:03:12 > 0:03:15and they're both going to have varying goes at us

0:03:15 > 0:03:16through much of half term week.

0:03:16 > 0:03:20The dominant one is more likely to be the low-pressure system,

0:03:20 > 0:03:21so, overall, it will stay cold

0:03:21 > 0:03:24with winds in the west and north-west.

0:03:24 > 0:03:26There will be some milder spells coming in -

0:03:26 > 0:03:28with it, some outbreaks of rain preceded by snow,

0:03:28 > 0:03:30and, next week, always that bit windier.