01/04/2014 Asia Business Report


01/04/2014

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insisted the policy was a success. Now on BBC News all the latest

:00:00.3:59:59

business news live from Singapore. Mild expansion. Chinese companies

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show an increase in activities. Higher sales tax, is Japan's Prime

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Minister on the right track and how will it impact consumers?

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Welcome to Asia business report broadcasting around the world. A

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potential reprieve for investors as the latest data from China shows the

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manufacturing sector is registering a mild expansion in the month of

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March, with the government's official PM are coming in at 50.3,

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with a reading above 50 indicating an expansion. Let's look at the

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reaction right now. Hong Kong is in positive territorial

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by about 157 points but we have seen a volatile period for the likes of

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Japan, South Korea and Australia. Let's get the latest from our

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Shanghai bureau. We have seen a volatile time for the markets trying

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to digests how this PMI will affect the Chinese economy going forward?

:01:40.:01:47.

As you say, 50 is the number that separates growth from contraction.

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This is a measure of factory activity based on a survey of

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purchasing managers and as you see the official figures look pretty

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good today, a slight increase on where we where in February. There

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have been some people seeing this as something to celebrate, signs as

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well on the currency markets with the Australian dollar being up

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slightly after the figures were published, but the picture on some

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markets is mixed because in parallel to this, we have the HSBC Private

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survey of purchasing managers and that is very much in negative

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territorial, the figure coming and 48. That is a slightly different

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group of companies. The HSBC survey takes on smaller and medium`sized

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businesses whereas the official figures take in the large

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state`owned companies, but I think the reason we are seeing the mixed

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reaction is because nobody is convinced yet that Chinese growth is

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back on track for further expansion through this year. Analysts expect

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the government to take additional steps to jump`start the economy but

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they have basically ruled out a huge stimulus package? The Chinese

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premier is still speaking about infrastructure and there is no doubt

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that although we saw growth slowing in the last quarter of 2013,

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suggestions that left the HSBC figures are the more accurate ones,

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we may have seen slowing even further than quarter one of this

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year. Some people will suggest that there is a signal of an engineered

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slowdown, something everybody has been talking about in China and

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which many people see as necessary. The spike that, there is no doubt

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the Chinese economy is still heavily dependent on infrastructure

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spending, making up a huge proportion of GDP and despite all

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the talk of rebalancing, infrastructure still remains key

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going for Rod and I think these figures people will suggest will add

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a further boost to the viewpoint. Over to Japan where business

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confidence improved in the three months to March, marking five

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quarters or 15 months of positive sentiment among Japanese

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manufacturers, but according to the latest sentiment it is most likely

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to weaken over the next three months due to worries that the country's

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hike in sales tax will be heartening future growth. `` hurting. This was

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released as the country marks a brand`new financial year and

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effective today, the sales tax goes up to 8% from 5%. It was a campaign

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promise by Shinzo Abe when he was seeking the office more than one

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year ago. He's hoping revenues from the sales tax will help reduce the

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debt load, over twice the size of the economy. They also want to use

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the sales tax as a means to provide for rising welfare costs. The last

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time the country made an adjustment to the sales tax was almost 20 years

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ago won a lot of people held back on spending, fostering a prolonged

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period of falling prices and the relation. I asked earlier whether

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the latest sales hike could have the same effect. Everybody was extremely

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worried about the impact in particular because of the bad impact

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of the last hike, almost 20 years ago, but this time it seems to be

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widely accepted. People have been picking up big`ticket items before

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and that is smart but we did not see any panic buying. That means that

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while demand is strong now it will not drop that much. Does hoarding

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raise industrial production but industrial production numbers saw a

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dip at the fastest pace for eight months, showing people are very

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nervous about the sales tax? It rather shows that companies as much

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as consumers seem to be quite a bit more relaxed about the impact and

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the negative impact on them of the sales tax. Countries have been

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preparing for the big rush but they did not expand production in terms

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of new investment, so they are just smoothing out the impact and

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otherwise business as usual. A lot of economists feared after the last

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hike that Japan lacks an engine of growth so there will be pressure to

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come up with additional growth policies and basically more reforms?

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We had a very strong year of Abenomics. They promised growth

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policies would be in place and they have been spending a lot and

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balancing. For this year, it becomes much trickier. Structural reforms

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are still very hard to implement so something has to be done when

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exports are slow as they already are and that is missing debt will be

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investments or companies are asking, what is there to invest in? What are

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the incentives? Thank you. Corporate news and Singapore's

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second`largest lender has made the formal offer to purchase Hong Kong's

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bank for $425 million. If they reach a deal with the biggest shareholder,

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the takeover, widely anticipated, will give OCBC a gateway to doing

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business in China. Chinese Rongsheng heavy industries

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may be too big to fail. They received financing after reporting a

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loss for last year. It amounted to more than $1 billion. The

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shipbuilder are grappling with debts of around Rongsheng are leveraging

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loans that have not been paid worse in total 20 billion US dollars.

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Electricity bills are set to go up for households and businesses in my

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own mark with the effect set to kick in today. `` Myanmar. Electricity

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bills could rise by as much as 50% which some feel will raise the price

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of goods and services. Only a quarter of the population has

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access to electricity aren't they are frequent power shortages. I

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asked earlier whether these power price rate hikes are indeed

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necessary? Deeply unpopular but very necessary and prices will rise 25 to

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50%. This will affect heavy residential users on some businesses

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but the government also claims 55% of all households and businesses

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will not be affected, so they will continue to pay subsidised rates.

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Power demand is rising by 15% a year in a Myanmar. This is necessary to

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bring an adequate investment. In the medium term, could this stifle

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fledgling growth? It does not look as if it will because as I mentioned

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55% will not be affected than consumers will not be affected. You

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mentioned only a quarter of households are connected to the

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grid. Those households are probably not the lowest income households in

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the first place, so bringing more people onto the grid is probably

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more important. On the flip side, could it attract more foreign direct

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investments in to the country? Exactly. This sort of raising prices

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makes financing for an adequate supply possible and keeps the

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country of the diesel power generation bread, and that is

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better. `` power grid. Making that more viable means you get more

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foreign investors coming in and more factories and people connected to

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the grid. Before we go look at Asian stock

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markets, currently mixed. The reserve bank will today decide on

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the cost of borrowing at about 1130 Singapore time. Thanks for watching.

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