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insisted the policy was a success. Now on BBC News all the latest | :00:00. | 3:59:59 | |
business news live from Singapore. Mild expansion. Chinese companies | :00:00. | :00:22. | |
show an increase in activities. Higher sales tax, is Japan's Prime | :00:23. | :00:26. | |
Minister on the right track and how will it impact consumers? | :00:27. | :00:39. | |
Welcome to Asia business report broadcasting around the world. A | :00:40. | :00:45. | |
potential reprieve for investors as the latest data from China shows the | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
manufacturing sector is registering a mild expansion in the month of | :00:49. | :00:51. | |
March, with the government's official PM are coming in at 50.3, | :00:52. | :00:54. | |
with a reading above 50 indicating an expansion. Let's look at the | :00:55. | :00:56. | |
reaction right now. Hong Kong is in positive territorial | :00:57. | :01:17. | |
by about 157 points but we have seen a volatile period for the likes of | :01:18. | :01:23. | |
Japan, South Korea and Australia. Let's get the latest from our | :01:24. | :01:30. | |
Shanghai bureau. We have seen a volatile time for the markets trying | :01:31. | :01:39. | |
to digests how this PMI will affect the Chinese economy going forward? | :01:40. | :01:47. | |
As you say, 50 is the number that separates growth from contraction. | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
This is a measure of factory activity based on a survey of | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
purchasing managers and as you see the official figures look pretty | :01:56. | :01:58. | |
good today, a slight increase on where we where in February. There | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
have been some people seeing this as something to celebrate, signs as | :02:04. | :02:11. | |
well on the currency markets with the Australian dollar being up | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
slightly after the figures were published, but the picture on some | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
markets is mixed because in parallel to this, we have the HSBC Private | :02:20. | :02:27. | |
survey of purchasing managers and that is very much in negative | :02:28. | :02:30. | |
territorial, the figure coming and 48. That is a slightly different | :02:31. | :02:39. | |
group of companies. The HSBC survey takes on smaller and medium`sized | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
businesses whereas the official figures take in the large | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
state`owned companies, but I think the reason we are seeing the mixed | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
reaction is because nobody is convinced yet that Chinese growth is | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
back on track for further expansion through this year. Analysts expect | :02:57. | :03:04. | |
the government to take additional steps to jump`start the economy but | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
they have basically ruled out a huge stimulus package? The Chinese | :03:10. | :03:16. | |
premier is still speaking about infrastructure and there is no doubt | :03:17. | :03:19. | |
that although we saw growth slowing in the last quarter of 2013, | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
suggestions that left the HSBC figures are the more accurate ones, | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
we may have seen slowing even further than quarter one of this | :03:30. | :03:35. | |
year. Some people will suggest that there is a signal of an engineered | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
slowdown, something everybody has been talking about in China and | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
which many people see as necessary. The spike that, there is no doubt | :03:45. | :03:51. | |
the Chinese economy is still heavily dependent on infrastructure | :03:52. | :03:54. | |
spending, making up a huge proportion of GDP and despite all | :03:55. | :04:00. | |
the talk of rebalancing, infrastructure still remains key | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
going for Rod and I think these figures people will suggest will add | :04:07. | :04:13. | |
a further boost to the viewpoint. Over to Japan where business | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
confidence improved in the three months to March, marking five | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
quarters or 15 months of positive sentiment among Japanese | :04:22. | :04:23. | |
manufacturers, but according to the latest sentiment it is most likely | :04:24. | :04:26. | |
to weaken over the next three months due to worries that the country's | :04:27. | :04:29. | |
hike in sales tax will be heartening future growth. `` hurting. This was | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
released as the country marks a brand`new financial year and | :04:37. | :04:38. | |
effective today, the sales tax goes up to 8% from 5%. It was a campaign | :04:39. | :04:43. | |
promise by Shinzo Abe when he was seeking the office more than one | :04:44. | :04:52. | |
year ago. He's hoping revenues from the sales tax will help reduce the | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
debt load, over twice the size of the economy. They also want to use | :04:56. | :04:59. | |
the sales tax as a means to provide for rising welfare costs. The last | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
time the country made an adjustment to the sales tax was almost 20 years | :05:05. | :05:08. | |
ago won a lot of people held back on spending, fostering a prolonged | :05:09. | :05:10. | |
period of falling prices and the relation. I asked earlier whether | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
the latest sales hike could have the same effect. Everybody was extremely | :05:18. | :05:23. | |
worried about the impact in particular because of the bad impact | :05:24. | :05:26. | |
of the last hike, almost 20 years ago, but this time it seems to be | :05:27. | :05:33. | |
widely accepted. People have been picking up big`ticket items before | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
and that is smart but we did not see any panic buying. That means that | :05:37. | :05:43. | |
while demand is strong now it will not drop that much. Does hoarding | :05:44. | :05:49. | |
raise industrial production but industrial production numbers saw a | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
dip at the fastest pace for eight months, showing people are very | :05:53. | :06:03. | |
nervous about the sales tax? It rather shows that companies as much | :06:04. | :06:06. | |
as consumers seem to be quite a bit more relaxed about the impact and | :06:07. | :06:10. | |
the negative impact on them of the sales tax. Countries have been | :06:11. | :06:18. | |
preparing for the big rush but they did not expand production in terms | :06:19. | :06:21. | |
of new investment, so they are just smoothing out the impact and | :06:22. | :06:31. | |
otherwise business as usual. A lot of economists feared after the last | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
hike that Japan lacks an engine of growth so there will be pressure to | :06:35. | :06:37. | |
come up with additional growth policies and basically more reforms? | :06:38. | :06:48. | |
We had a very strong year of Abenomics. They promised growth | :06:49. | :06:56. | |
policies would be in place and they have been spending a lot and | :06:57. | :07:03. | |
balancing. For this year, it becomes much trickier. Structural reforms | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
are still very hard to implement so something has to be done when | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
exports are slow as they already are and that is missing debt will be | :07:12. | :07:14. | |
investments or companies are asking, what is there to invest in? What are | :07:15. | :07:28. | |
the incentives? Thank you. Corporate news and Singapore's | :07:29. | :07:31. | |
second`largest lender has made the formal offer to purchase Hong Kong's | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
bank for $425 million. If they reach a deal with the biggest shareholder, | :07:37. | :07:38. | |
the takeover, widely anticipated, will give OCBC a gateway to doing | :07:39. | :07:50. | |
business in China. Chinese Rongsheng heavy industries | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
may be too big to fail. They received financing after reporting a | :07:57. | :08:03. | |
loss for last year. It amounted to more than $1 billion. The | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
shipbuilder are grappling with debts of around Rongsheng are leveraging | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
loans that have not been paid worse in total 20 billion US dollars. | :08:14. | :08:19. | |
Electricity bills are set to go up for households and businesses in my | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
own mark with the effect set to kick in today. `` Myanmar. Electricity | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
bills could rise by as much as 50% which some feel will raise the price | :08:27. | :08:32. | |
of goods and services. Only a quarter of the population has | :08:33. | :08:35. | |
access to electricity aren't they are frequent power shortages. I | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
asked earlier whether these power price rate hikes are indeed | :08:40. | :08:46. | |
necessary? Deeply unpopular but very necessary and prices will rise 25 to | :08:47. | :08:52. | |
50%. This will affect heavy residential users on some businesses | :08:53. | :08:55. | |
but the government also claims 55% of all households and businesses | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
will not be affected, so they will continue to pay subsidised rates. | :08:59. | :09:08. | |
Power demand is rising by 15% a year in a Myanmar. This is necessary to | :09:09. | :09:15. | |
bring an adequate investment. In the medium term, could this stifle | :09:16. | :09:23. | |
fledgling growth? It does not look as if it will because as I mentioned | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
55% will not be affected than consumers will not be affected. You | :09:28. | :09:29. | |
mentioned only a quarter of households are connected to the | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
grid. Those households are probably not the lowest income households in | :09:33. | :09:35. | |
the first place, so bringing more people onto the grid is probably | :09:36. | :09:43. | |
more important. On the flip side, could it attract more foreign direct | :09:44. | :09:47. | |
investments in to the country? Exactly. This sort of raising prices | :09:48. | :09:52. | |
makes financing for an adequate supply possible and keeps the | :09:53. | :09:54. | |
country of the diesel power generation bread, and that is | :09:55. | :10:03. | |
better. `` power grid. Making that more viable means you get more | :10:04. | :10:06. | |
foreign investors coming in and more factories and people connected to | :10:07. | :10:17. | |
the grid. Before we go look at Asian stock | :10:18. | :10:26. | |
markets, currently mixed. The reserve bank will today decide on | :10:27. | :10:34. | |
the cost of borrowing at about 1130 Singapore time. Thanks for watching. | :10:35. | :10:44. |