30/05/2014 Asia Business Report


30/05/2014

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Only quotes or gists of the content are to be disclosed. Now on BBC News

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all the latest business news live from Singapore. The sales tax of

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fact `` affect. We look at how higher prices have affected spending

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habits in Japan. India and the economy, how soon can the new

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government help shore up growth? Welcome to Asia Business Report.

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Thank you for joining us, I'm Rico Hizon. The figures have indeed

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confirmed it. Japanese consumers held off on purchases after the

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country raised its sales tax in April from 5% to 8%. Household

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spending fell by more than 4%, when compared to the same period last

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year. Meanwhile, inflation prices in Japan edged up one more than 3% to a

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23 year high. That is something the government would be pleased about.

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Rupert Wingfield`Hayes explains from Tokyo.

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Sales tax went up for the first time in 17 years, and today for the first

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time we get to see the result. Has inflation here in Japan gone up? The

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answer is an emphatic yes. In fact, it has lept to well over 3%. For the

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Japanese government that is good news, because it is intent on ending

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20 years of falling prices and getting inflation back into the

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Japanese economy, and it appears to be succeeding. It also means that

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shops and businesses are willing for the first time in many years to put

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their prices up. In fact, some are doing it by quite a lot. I had my

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hair cut earlier this week and the price had gone up by 8%. So the

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Japanese government is happy, businesses are happy, but how do

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consumers feel? TRANSLATION: Before the tax rise I was worried, and I

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stocked up on lots of household stuff. But after the tax rise, I

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forgot pretty quickly, so now I am back to buying stuff just the same.

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Before the tax rise, if my family and I went out to eat sushi, it

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would cost about 10,000 yen. But now we end up spending a lot more, so

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why have decided to stop going out for sushi. How consumers here in

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Japan respond to these higher prices in the next few months is absolutely

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key. If they look at the higher prices and say, there is nothing I

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can do, and carry on spending, then it can create a positive cycle.

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Higher prices should mean higher profits, higher profits should in

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the end mean higher wages, and so it goes. But if on the other hand

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Japanese consumers look at these higher prices and say, hey, these

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prices are going up at my salary hasn't, I have to stop spending,

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then it could have the opposite effect, and could push Japan back

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into deflation. It is a high`risk plan. We spoke to Ed Rodgers in

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Tokyo, who offered his analysis. You have to consider that April numbers

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will be an aberration because of the effect of the buying before the

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implementation of the sales tax increase. If we have numbers of

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`4.4% going forward over the next couple of quarters, that would be

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cause for concern, but we don't think that will happen. Of course

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everyone right now is pinning their hopes on Shinzo Abe's next move, in

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terms of restructuring the economy. The so called third arrow? Right,

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the so`called third arrow that we have been calling a thousand darts

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for over a year now. We think there will be a number of positive data

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point for investors to look at, and say yes, change has come to Japan.

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We don't know exactly which of these reforms will be enacted, many or all

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of them. But between TPP, the labour reform, immigration reform, change

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of corporate taxes, there will be multiple positive outcomes we

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believe that the plans that will be put forward publicly, literally

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within a matter of weeks by the TPP and by the government for structural

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change. India's latest growth figures will be announced today.

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Growth has been below 5% for the past 12 months, which is slower than

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in previous years. But with the new government in power, could India's

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economy soon turn a corner? We have more from Calcutta.

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He is working on the only order that they have here at the moment. This

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factory makes ovens and mixers used to produce biscuits. There is not

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much bright news. With no demand from inside India, they are just

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about getting by on some small orders from abroad. With 10% profit,

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it is difficult to earn, because prices have increased, my costs have

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doubled. The salary of my people that I was giving, it has doubled.

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In that case, the cost also increased, power has increased.

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Transport has increased. But if we raise the prices we will not get the

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job. It has been the same story for many, big or small, they are all

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going through a slump that has been particularly bad over the past year.

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In the months running up to the election here, things have virtually

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come to a standstill around the country. Businesses had stopped

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expanding, everyone was waiting and watching to see what the results

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would be. Now, India has a new government. Led by Narendra Modi,

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whose party swept elections with a strong majority. Their promise of

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speeding up growth makes many hopeful that things will be better.

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Things are positive on the sentiment side, but the real challenge starts

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now. The first priority from the government and the expectation is

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that the growth side starts to see some revival. The investment

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products which are being stopped because of lack of clearance will

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start to see a revival, so essentially the ease of doing

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business will start to pick up. But they can't afford to neglect

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inflation either. Especially over food prices. One of the main reasons

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the last government was voted out. Rains this year are expected to be

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below normal, so the new government will need to strike the right

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balance between keeping the cost of living down and getting growth to

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pick up. Staying with India, the country's

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largest car maker is hopeful the new government will help put economic

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reforms on track to boost growth. That may then translate into higher

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sales in vehicles at home. Tata earned close to what they earned in

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the previous quarter in the last month. They say flat performances

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are due to a big drop in sales in the home market.

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US car manufacturer, Ford, has recalled 1.4 million cars in North

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America due to potential power steering problems. The recall is for

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sedans and sport utility vehicles many manufactured between 2008 and

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2013. They will be recalling a number of sedans with floor mats

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that could interfere with accelerator pedals. There have been

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crashes related to this format malfunction.

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Outside Sweden, Saab is a brand that is perhaps best known for cars, but

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there is one part of Saab. It also builds fighter jets and weapon

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systems. It is now looking towards Asia. Earlier, I spoke to the head

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of Saab in Singapore, asking if tensions in the region have lead to

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higher defence spending. Globally it has been decreasing. In this part of

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the world it has increased to 3.6%. We think that we will see a slight

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increase globally. Where do you see the spending taking place here in

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Asia? Which countries? Countries buying more civil defence products,

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weapon systems or fighter jets? The spending depends on what country you

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look at. Large programmes like fighter jet programmes and big naval

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programmes are expanding, and that is why it is important for us in the

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industry to come up with more cost efficient solutions. Sport Today is

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coming up next on BBC World News, tune in for the latest on the fate

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of the NBA basketball team, the Los Angeles Clippers. According to the

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LA Times, Steve Ballmer has emerged as the highest ever for the

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Clippers. ``highest bidder. He apparently beat two other groups,

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including one led by David Geffen, the media mogul, who made an offer

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of $1.6 billion. Here is a quick look at the markets. Shares are

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currently mixed in midmorning trade. Earlier they were in positive

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territory inspired by a record close on Wall Street. Thank you for

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investing your time with us. Have a great weekend everyone. The main

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news stories. The African Union has begun a major

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campaign to eradicate child marriage. It cuts the childhoods of

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