01/10/2014 Asia Business Report


01/10/2014

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Alice disappeared just over a month ago. Now on BBC News all the latest

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business news live from Singapore. Hong Kong's on brother revolution is

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set to swell, retailers brace for a dip in national holiday sales. And a

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pickup in business confidence among manufacturers in Japan. Thank you

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for joining us. Hong Kong's stock exchange is closed

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this Wednesday, perhaps a welcome break after two days of losses

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triggered by pro`democracy protest concerns. Speculation is growing

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whether Beijing will impose economic pressure to put a lid on the

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protesters' campaign. For more about the response I spoke to a managing

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director in Hong Kong. Economic sanctions, they are one way,

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hypothetically, that the mainland could increase pressure on Hong Kong

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to get some movement to come to a negotiated settlement. There is a

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lot of talk that China could remove its 50% retail luxury tax which

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would hurt the flood of tourists to the city. The last round of protests

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against anti` subversion legislation that was one of the rumours that

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went around. That the public tried tourists in relation to the luxury

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tax on the mainland, was something that was tabled. Hypothetically the

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mainland could look at decreasing that which would stem the flow of

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tourism and retail purchases in Hong Kong. Any kind of economic pressure

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and sanctions could undermine Hong KongKong's status. And China needs

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Hong Kong is also Bella they have made a statement that Hong Kong is

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the golden goose. Here in Hong Kong we would be concerned about the

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growing probability of an international board in Chennai. ``

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international bourse. With the Hong Kong stock exchange, China is

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putting Hong Kong forward effectively as the international

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bourse. `` ``Shanghai.. The euro will become the sixth major

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currency which can be exchanged directly for the yuan in Shanghai.

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This is just another step to make China's currency more widely

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available outside China. It already has agreements with America, UK,

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literally at Japan, so the euro is an obvious partner. `` Australia.

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The Hong Kong dollar is at a six`month low against the greenback,

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could we eventually see the unpicking of the Hong Kong currency

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against the US dollar? I doubt it. Hong Kong has been through the

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turmoil before. They are trying to break the linkage between the Hong

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Kong dollar and the US dollar. But Hong Kong is resilient. It will be

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able to maintain that no matter what.

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Business confidence among manufacturers in Japan has improved

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since 2/4. There has been a pickup in the three months till September.

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`` 2/4. There has been a small bounce. The drop in nonmanufacturing

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conference told you that the rise in sales tax that we had a few back has

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hurt the economy more than people expected. As we can see, there is a

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double edged sword for the weakening Japanese yen against the US dollar.

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It is a benefit for exporters but not good news for small and medium

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prize enterprises. Ashya medium`sized. In many ways a weaker

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yen means they have very few options. The yen pushing the lower,

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stimulating labour demand and hopefully at some point consumption,

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they are pinning their hopes on that I mention. In the second quarter we

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say at we saw a contraction in the economy. Could we see a technical

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recession, meaning two consecutive quarters of falling economic data.

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You may see it. But it is likely that the second quarter was not so

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bad. More worrying is the fact that indicators are at lower levels than

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they were a year ago. That shows you how much the economy is installing.

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And where does the bank of Japan go from here? How could they boost the

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economy. They are in trouble. They have very little chance of hitting

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their 2% inflation target next year. When they revise the targeting

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October they will have to recognise the economy is off track, step up

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stimulus and perhaps move into negative interest rates. They need

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to try harder. The factory output has gone down in the Pan Am comment.

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EBay is planning to split off its payment system, PayPal, into a

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separate company. News of the move, which is expected to be completed in

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the second half of 2015, sent shares up 7%. Microsoft has disclosed the

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first details of its next operating system, Windows can. It will run on

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a range of devices including games consoles and phones. `` Windows can.

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Hopes are high in India that a meeting between the Indian prime

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minister and Barack Obama will ring significant returns for both

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economies. India is counting on US investors for big infrastructure

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projects and investors are keen to see Mr Modi cut red tape and combat

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corruption. This report from Washington.

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New York was about showcasing brand India and brand Modi. Telling

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America that India is open for business. In Washington, the effort

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was to underscore the common US and Indian values, and a striking up a

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chemistry. Security was tight around the White House, as the two leaders

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got down to business. Prime minister Modi and President Obama sat

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side`by`side and talked on a list of issues, ranging from the Middle East

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to Ebola but the economy was central. Last night during our

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dinner we spent most of our time talking about the economy. We agreed

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that in both countries, one of our primary goals is to improve

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education and job training so that our younger people can compete in

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the global marketplace. Modi did not shy away from raising issues on

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trade disputes, nuclear cooperation and visas, which have dogged the

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relationship for some time. TRANSLATION: I also sought the

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support from President Obama for service Company is in the US market

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that are from India. Experts say it would be miraculous if all these

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disputes can be resolved overnight, but the two leaders do seem to have

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made a promising start. They have agreed to set up a new agenda to

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revive this flagging relationship. While Mr Modi has a strong domestic

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economic focus, and the US supports that, it also expects India to be an

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effective and strategic partner on global platforms. If the two can fit

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both on the same page, that would be called a success.

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There has been a jump in sales in China's in cinemas. It is a more

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successful the year than 20 13. The best movie so far is Transformers,

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the new movie. As we go, a quick look at the markets. The market in

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Hong Kong is closed today for China's national holidays. Japan and

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Australia is in negative territory. Bye for now.

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I'm Mike Embley. The top stories this hour: crowds of protesters are

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still on the street in Hong Kong as China's national day

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