29/10/2015 Asia Business Report


29/10/2015

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Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:00.:00:13.

The guessing game continues as America's central bank stands on

:00:14.:00:23.

interest rates. And cash is king. Ahead of historic

:00:24.:00:27.

elections in Myanmar, we find out if there is space for a modern

:00:28.:00:37.

financial services. Good morning, Asia. Glad you could

:00:38.:00:42.

join us for this addition of Asia Business Report. There is no move,

:00:43.:00:50.

the Federal reserve has kept interest rates at historic lows yet

:00:51.:00:54.

again. Shares on Wall Street reacted positively to the news. And now you

:00:55.:01:02.

have the markets from Australia and Japan opening for trading. Currently

:01:03.:01:09.

mixed. Currently slightly below for Sydney. Why? And is there any clue

:01:10.:01:20.

as to if they will be hiked by the end of the year? Many are sceptical

:01:21.:01:30.

about the timing. I asked what the reaction would be in the region.

:01:31.:01:37.

The probability in terms of market anticipation has increased to 45%

:01:38.:01:43.

from 34%. What really is key in terms of what we do see is an

:01:44.:01:48.

improvement in the US labour market. All eyes on payroll data on the

:01:49.:01:53.

sixth of November and the fourth of December. Many Asian investors are

:01:54.:02:00.

waiting for these key numbers. How much do you think is the slowdown in

:02:01.:02:06.

the Chinese economy playing into the decision-making process of the Fed

:02:07.:02:13.

board members? When you look through the statements, a couple of key

:02:14.:02:17.

points. The labour market is still crucial. What was removed from the

:02:18.:02:25.

statement was the market price action we saw in August. There was

:02:26.:02:29.

this reference about monitoring global economic and financial

:02:30.:02:35.

developments. It is almost behind us in times of the critical mass. Less

:02:36.:02:47.

of a concern at this point in time. Let us do away with the guessing

:02:48.:02:51.

game. Why doesn't it just raise the cost of borrowing? We have been

:02:52.:02:56.

talking about this for 1.5 years now. When they do actually increased

:02:57.:03:02.

interest rates, it is likely global sentiment will improve. And all this

:03:03.:03:12.

uncertainty has weakened a lot of the emerging Asian currencies. Some

:03:13.:03:26.

we have not seen since 1998. Until December, how should they position

:03:27.:03:35.

and manage investment portfolios? A lot of the macro challenges for

:03:36.:03:42.

China and so on are being factored in terms of earnings guidance. They

:03:43.:03:49.

are booking across the story, not just focusing on headline GDP

:03:50.:03:55.

numbers, looking at all the data and being very selective and thinking

:03:56.:04:02.

about the long-term. Other business news making

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headlines, Samsung recording its latest results and its profits

:04:07.:04:11.

surging by nearly 30%. That is thanks to a new smartphone lineup.

:04:12.:04:17.

Its performance had been affected by increasing competition from Apple

:04:18.:04:21.

and cheaper Chinese smartphone products. Some good news from

:04:22.:04:26.

neighbouring Japan. Factories have been busy in the month of September

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with output rising 1%. That is thanks to brisk production of

:04:31.:04:37.

electronic devices. In just over a week, Myanmar, one of

:04:38.:04:42.

the poorest nations of South East Asia, will have a historic election

:04:43.:04:46.

after 50 years of isolation. The economy is slowly opening up. The

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lifting of sanctions has helped power growth by more than 8%. It has

:04:51.:04:58.

created opportunities for more modern financial services. But some

:04:59.:05:06.

things in the largely cash -based society are hard to change.

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Early-morning in this market, you can smell it, as in the air.

:05:11.:05:19.

Everybody has something to sell. People haggling over prices. Just

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like in most of Myanmar, all of the transactions are taking place in

:05:26.:05:29.

cash. In this society, cash is still king. At banks across the country,

:05:30.:05:37.

money literally sits piled up in the Flora. Debit and credit cards are

:05:38.:05:41.

still rare. Most people pay for even big-ticket items like a house or a

:05:42.:05:47.

car in cash. Myanmar is trying to introduce more modern conventional

:05:48.:05:52.

forms of banking that most of us in Asia are pretty used to, like ATM

:05:53.:05:59.

cards. It is a pretty hard sell. Most people still only crossed the

:06:00.:06:05.

kinds of services. Making a deposit into your account simply means

:06:06.:06:09.

bringing the cash into the bank. This woman sells handicraft and has

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just brought in the equivalent of $160,000. That is a month worth of

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earnings. In stacks. TRANSLATION: We do not really use ATMs or cards. I

:06:28.:06:30.

have always brought my cash to the bank. Most of the people I deal with

:06:31.:06:37.

also use cash and not familiar with transfers. They do not understand

:06:38.:06:44.

how to use ATMs. What would you do if you had to move 1 million? In

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Myanmar, it is as easy as I get on the back of a pickup truck. --

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throwing it. In stacks, of course. No armed guards, no fuss, just a lot

:07:01.:07:08.

of cash on the mood. -- move. A lot of cash indeed. Whether it is

:07:09.:07:13.

driverless cars or more efficient hydrogen fuel cells or electric

:07:14.:07:18.

powered vehicles, major manufacturers are bringing out their

:07:19.:07:22.

newest concepts at the Tokyo motor show this week. We asked why it is

:07:23.:07:30.

so difficult to get straight answers about vehicles that have plagued

:07:31.:07:35.

Japan's automotive industries. I have been trying to get somebody

:07:36.:07:41.

who took to -- talk to me about the issue for months. It appears that

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there is a conspiracy of silence surrounding this issue. Why? I do

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not think there is a conspiracy of silence. I think they are dealing

:07:52.:08:00.

with car manufacturers from our own side. Our concern is making sure. It

:08:01.:08:16.

is in order to make sure it is so beautiful. Our diesel cars really

:08:17.:08:26.

finished and is this a vindication of the policy going on electric? It

:08:27.:08:36.

is going to go through a tough time. There is a lot of testing, which is

:08:37.:08:45.

fine. Other people are getting back confidence on diesel. It is going to

:08:46.:08:54.

be a difficult time. It is going to be on the downtrend rather than the

:08:55.:09:00.

uptrend. Frankly, we have been on the electric car from the beginning.

:09:01.:09:09.

There are low emission, so do is nothing to test. The emissions are

:09:10.:09:26.

going to get much stricter. Last time we talked, Kyoto was showing

:09:27.:09:37.

off their newest concept. -- Toyota. Elon musk has called hydrogen fuel

:09:38.:09:41.

cell cars silly. You were pretty critical. Do you still think

:09:42.:09:47.

hydrogen is not the way to go? I did not say that. I think the technology

:09:48.:09:53.

is extremely interesting. But I think it is too early. When I see

:09:54.:09:58.

the problems we are facing because of lack of infrastructure for

:09:59.:10:02.

electric cars, which is very common, you can imagine, where

:10:03.:10:16.

people are going to charge the cars. Before we go, a quick look at the

:10:17.:10:22.

regional markets at the moment. Asia is cautious in trading. But there

:10:23.:10:32.

are hints of a possible rate hike. Thank you for investing your time

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with us. Goodbye for now.

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