07/12/2015 Asia Business Report


07/12/2015

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Many people have had to be rescued from their homes in Cumbria

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and Lancashire, while hospitals have had to cancel operations and

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Now on BBC News, all the latest business news, live from Singapore.

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A new warning about emerging markets and how they will cope with the rise

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in interest rates in the US. A bitter pill or a promising cure. We

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look at how online pharmacies are shaking up the industry in India.

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Welcome to the programme. Emerging markets will be at risk from an

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eventual interest rate rise in the US. That is the warning from the

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bank of International settlements, which says that 2016 could be a bad

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year for those markets, even worse than two years ago when the US

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Federal Reserve said it would stop dumping money into the economy. With

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new data last Friday showing more data -- more jobs were created than

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expected in the US, many believe the federal reserve will raise interest

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rates when it meets on December 16. We can take a look at those

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markets. They rallied in the US, increasing 2% on the close on

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Friday. And Asian markets are also making strong gains. The Hong Kong

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market is about to open but we have already seen gains in Tokyo and

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Australia, although that is now retreating from what we saw earlier.

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From Sydney, we can speak to Michael McCarthy.

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We are seeing this very positive start for Asian markets with these

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rallies, but will these markets be as audience if and when the Federal

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Reserve do eventually raise interest rates? The job numbers that we saw

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on Friday are pointing clearly to an increase. The buying that was done

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on Friday night and is occurring in the Asia-Pacific region is in full

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knowledge that it is almost certain US rates will rise on December 16,

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and while volatility in the markets is likely to continue, it is quite

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clear that at this stage at least investors are taking on the positive

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news, the increase in jobs and the revision upwards of the October

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data. That means the economy in the US is not only recovering but the

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pace of recovery is increasing and that is good for the global economy

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and for companies in general. It is not likely to be a single day

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phenomenon. You said that much of the anticipation of a rate rise in

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the US has already been factored in but we saw this report saying that

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emerging markets will be quite badly hit once those rates start heading

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up. Is this something that we should be worried about? The idea that

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rising US interest rates could attract global investment flows that

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the US is not new or controversial but because it is not new, we have

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already seen a lot of potential adjustments to a higher US interest

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rate market being made. That weakness that we have seen across,

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emerging markets this year is a direct reflection of investors

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adjusting to that ahead of the fact. Markets look to price the future,

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not what is happening today. The world is very different from 2011

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and 2012 and the situation of economies like Russia, Brazil and

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China are very different, so I would be very careful about any analysis

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that makes a blanket call for countries like that. Last week, we

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saw OPEC decided to continue with their output and that keeps oil

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prices low. We are seeing some impact in Australian markets with

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energy stocks. How will this affect the global economy and commodity

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remind economies like Australia? --, did his reliance. -- commodity

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reliant. Oil prices affect many economies in this region but the

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clear issue is that OPEC is broken and the Saudis, the biggest

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producers, are pushing that. If they can find a way for it to come back

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together, we could see Titan is returning to the oil market. --

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things return to normal in the oil market.

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A Chinese bank is trying to list on the stock exchange again this year

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for the second time... Regulators in Europe are extending

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trade protections aimed at helping European solar power manufactures

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compete against cheaper products from China. The protections had been

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in place for two years and were due to expire on Monday.

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As the world works towards a binding framework for emissions reductions

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in Paris, climate change is having an impact not just on the

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environment but also on trade. Melting ice in the Arctic offers the

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potential for new shipping routes. At a climate change exhibition in

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Singapore, I asked the Norwegian ambassador about the outlook.

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Global climate change is happening twice as fast in the Arctic as

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otherwise globally. The ice is melting. It also gives opportunity

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like new shipping routes and a new north-eastern shipping route and

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north-west shipping route. In the long-term perspective, these will be

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near impossible routes for ships globally. In the short-term

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perspective, I don't think there will be any kind of competition to

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the present shipping routes, to the Suez Canal. But it will also open up

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for Asian countries to become more involved. Surely be opening up of

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the Arctic shipping routes will impact this part of the world,

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particularly countries like Singapore, which is a huge shipping

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hub. The Straits of Malacca and the Suez Canal as well. Is this a

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threat? On the opposite side. We see this as a very long-term

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development. There are different ice conditions on both of the shipping

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routes, the north-east and north-west, so we do not think this

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is an issue for the next 20 years. And what about the concerns over the

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environment as well as displacing many of the communities in the

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region? For most of the Arctic people, shipping, oil and gas

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production and other kinds of economic entity would be positive.

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-- activity. It would create jobs and it would create engagement. We

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would look at the increased engagement from Asian countries as

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very positive, not as a threat to the Arctic.

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A BBC investigation earlier this year found how easy it is to

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purchase prescription drugs over the counter in India. It is an industry

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that is under pressure as online only pharmacies are drawing more and

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more customers away from traditional shops.

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A one-day strike at 850,000 of India's pharmacies. The demand is a

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ban on websites selling medicines online. TRANSLATION: Online firms

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can buy medicines in bulk directly from large pharmaceutical companies

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at huge discounts. We cannot match those prices. The bigger issue is

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that India does not have a law to regulate online sales yet. This is

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one start-up sending medicines online. It does not stop any drugs

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itself, linking up with pharmacies to fulfil orders. It says more price

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transparency means the consumer wins, with no risk to safety. In my

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company, we have 35 pharmacists who check the prescription and eight

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senior pharmacist who validated before we go to the third party,

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which is the chemist. And the chemist has his own pharmacist which

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again looks at the prescription before dispensing it. The local

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neighbourhood chemist is something most Indians have grown up with and

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you really have to go far to find one. But you can see the appeal of

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the new services. It is quite easy to buy medicine online. Go to the

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website, it global prescription and once it is approved, pay for it.

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That is especially appealing if you are sick. With over-the-counter

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drugs on the High Street worth $12 billion per year, it is no wonder

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that online and offline businesses are fighting over it. We went to

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more than half a dozen pharmacies in Delhi... Problems in India's

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pharmacy sector were highlighted by the panorama programme earlier this

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year, which found it was easy to buy prescription drugs, including

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antibiotics, without having a prescription. The government is now

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exploring how to better regulate the sale of medicines and whether

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pharmacies need to face up to the modern reality of e-commerce is

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something regulators are also bound to look at.

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And a quick look at the markets before we go to stop we are starting

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to see those gains as Asian markets take their choose from the strong

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closure on Wall Street on Friday, which was down to the

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better-than-expected US jobs report. In Australia, energy stocks are

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being sold off after OPEC maintained its output. That is it for now.

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Thank you for

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