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Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore. | :00:00. | :00:13. | |
We look at the impact of China's new normal on workers as government and | :00:14. | :00:21. | |
business leaders meet at the forum. And how young people are finding new | :00:22. | :00:24. | |
ways to move up the corporate ladder in Japan. | :00:25. | :00:31. | |
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of Asia Business Report. | :00:32. | :00:37. | |
A forum, loosely referred to as the Chinese Davos, kicks off this week | :00:38. | :00:44. | |
and this year government and business leaders meet against a | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
backdrop of slow growth and fewer jobs. For more we can go live to our | :00:49. | :00:57. | |
correspondent at the forum in China's Hainan province. Tell us | :00:58. | :01:02. | |
what you have heard and seen. This is very much an annual gathering of | :01:03. | :01:06. | |
the political and business leaders in China and also from around the | :01:07. | :01:11. | |
region. It is an impressive list over the next couple of days. We | :01:12. | :01:16. | |
expect the Chinese Premier to make a speech here. We are not expecting | :01:17. | :01:20. | |
anything ghastly different from the comments he made at the National | :01:21. | :01:23. | |
People's Congress two weeks ago. The focus of this forum at the top of | :01:24. | :01:29. | |
the minds of many is how China is going to manage this transition. | :01:30. | :01:34. | |
That is from an economy dominated by manufacturing and investment into | :01:35. | :01:37. | |
one that is more focused on services and innovation. I travelled to | :01:38. | :01:42. | |
southern China to find out how one company is making this transition. | :01:43. | :01:48. | |
China's army of workers, the winning formula behind its success... So | :01:49. | :01:55. | |
far. This country got rich being the factory of the world but that is now | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
changing. Chances are some of the products you have in your house had | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
been made here. It produces half of the world's goods but now this | :02:06. | :02:09. | |
country needs to make a transition beyond the factory floor. The | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
government says it is already doing this but what it is not saving is | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
the price it has to pay for this transition. Millions of workers | :02:16. | :02:22. | |
could be left out -- saying. A Entertainment is new China's poster | :02:23. | :02:26. | |
child, manufacturing toys was once how it made its money, but its | :02:27. | :02:33. | |
future lies in this. Alpha wants to be Asia's Disney, creating cartoon | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
characters that have become household names. It is now China's | :02:39. | :02:46. | |
biggest household entertainment. Alpha's boss is catering to China's | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
middle classes, selling them everything from cartoons to cafes, | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
but there is a sacrifice. TRANSLATION: Today in China we are | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
seeing structural reform in business. Those will see opportunity | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
to develop. For those who can't adapt, they will have to shut down. | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
It is a challenge Beijing is trying to manage. At the recent party | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
congress the government said millions of jobs would be created | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
this year and it has launched a $15 billion fund aimed at workers who | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
have lost their jobs. But this transition isn't going to be easy. | :03:22. | :03:26. | |
Another day, another shift ends. Factory life has given millions of | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
workers a shot at the Chinese dream. As China makes this transition, so | :03:32. | :03:35. | |
will adapt, but many more will struggle to find a place for | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
themselves in the new China. Now, you talk about a new China, and | :03:41. | :03:47. | |
this need to adapt. This meeting comes against the context of a | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
slowdown in the economy. Tell us about what's on the agenda and what | :03:52. | :03:58. | |
people will be talking about? Very much the transition you have | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
mentioned. Innovation is a key focus at the forum. We will see the likes | :04:03. | :04:08. | |
of the CEO of Uber, his Chinese counterpart, the man who runs a AB | :04:09. | :04:18. | |
-- AirBnb and China's manager of AirBnb. Innovation at the heart of | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
seminars taking place at the forum. In fact, even as I speak, in the | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
conference room behind me there is a discussion about global economic | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
governance and later today currency war is high on the agenda as well. | :04:32. | :04:37. | |
It sounds like a couple of easy days. Thank you. Members of the oil | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
cartel OPEC will meet in coming weeks to discuss a freeze in output | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
at January levels to try to stabilise the global oil market. Oil | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
prices have staged a turnaround following a fall below $30 a barrel | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
in January. Let's see what they are doing. You can see they are trading | :04:57. | :05:01. | |
at around $41 although there are concerns of oversupply with a report | :05:02. | :05:04. | |
out overnight showing US crude stocks rose almost 9 million barrels | :05:05. | :05:11. | |
to reach a record high. I asked Neal Atkinson, head of the oil department | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
at the international energy agency where prices are headed next. | :05:18. | :05:23. | |
Meeting at the January period it will be at the bottom. It is | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
forward-looking, oil markets. There is still a lot of supply. Into the | :05:28. | :05:33. | |
second half of 2016, the oil market starts to move closer to balance. If | :05:34. | :05:38. | |
it doesn't yet balance, there would be a surplus of supply over demand | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
but it is heading towards balance and in 2017 we think the market will | :05:43. | :05:46. | |
balance. There is if you like a platform for prices to build from | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
although we are not expecting prices to rise dramatically anytime soon. | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
April 17 is the date everyone is watching out for, went OPEC | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
producers meet. Will Saudi Arabia's agenda to keep production fairly | :06:01. | :06:07. | |
high and to keep prices low and as a result drive out US shale | :06:08. | :06:11. | |
producers, will that still be the theme? -- when POEC producers meet. | :06:12. | :06:14. | |
That has not turned out to be as simple a task as they might have | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
imagined when they took their decision to go for market share | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
rather than support prices. As far as the upcoming talks are concerned, | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
it is not entirely clear what format they are taking place in -- OPEC. As | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
far as we are aware there isn't an official OPEC initiative as such. | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
There is an initiative among the producers, including Saudi Arabia, | :06:37. | :06:42. | |
Russia and others to put a stop on the prices, suggesting that prices | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
won't rise further, although there is suggestion that countries | :06:48. | :06:49. | |
involved in these talks couldn't increase oil production even if they | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
wanted to. I think there is more symbolism than actual reality in | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
terms of affecting the oil supply around that. Neal Atkinson. In other | :06:58. | :07:06. | |
news, profits at New Zealand's dairy giant Fontera jumped 20% in January | :07:07. | :07:14. | |
to $276 million, boosted high load global milk prices, reducing the | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
ingredient cost for consumer products at the biggest exporter of | :07:19. | :07:21. | |
New Zealand, but those prices have seen farming incomes slashed by | :07:22. | :07:28. | |
billions in the last two years -- lower global prices. In Japan, the | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
more money you get, the more money you own as long as you stay with the | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
same employer - at least that has been the norm. Recently, companies | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
have been experimenting with a different model were working salary | :07:40. | :07:46. | |
is based on skill and not seniority. As part of the study in Japan | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
series, we look at whether the approach is paying off. Out on the | :07:51. | :08:00. | |
street, 29-year-old Kataku has his groove, but in the corporate world | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
he had a frustrating start. He knew that his turn for a promotion and | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
pay rise was decades away. There was a long line of older workers at the | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
company who needed to be rewarded first. For Japan Inc, that has been | :08:15. | :08:21. | |
the tradition for over half a century, so he quit his first job | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
and joined an online media and advertising firm in 2013. Within two | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
years, he rose through the ranks to become a manager. TRANSLATION: | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
Initially, I was surprised to have staff who were older than me, or to | :08:36. | :08:40. | |
have a boss who was younger than me but I like the fact that CyberAgent | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
rewards its workers based on performance, not on age. This man is | :08:44. | :08:50. | |
in charge of human resources at CyberAgent. TRANSLATION: Many of our | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
executives worked at companies where the oldest at the biggest salary. We | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
all felt that was unfair. This model means more competition. It is | :09:02. | :09:04. | |
natural for all the staff to feel awkward, to see younger colleagues | :09:05. | :09:08. | |
promoted first, but because it has been policy from the start I think | :09:09. | :09:12. | |
it was easier for us compared with older companies. During Japan's | :09:13. | :09:19. | |
economic boom of the 80s and 90s, companies could afford to keep | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
raising salaries for older workers as a reward for their loyalty, but | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
since the economic bubble burst even household names like Panasonic and | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
Sony had to reconsider their policies - jobs were cut, which | :09:34. | :09:37. | |
shocked Japanese workers who were expecting the guarantee of lifelong | :09:38. | :09:43. | |
employment. TRANSLATION: It is like a couple who just found out that | :09:44. | :09:46. | |
your partner was cheating on you. They are feeling betrayed. But | :09:47. | :09:50. | |
companies which revised their policies have not all been | :09:51. | :09:53. | |
successful, because unless you can turn your business around you are | :09:54. | :09:56. | |
just creating unhealthy competition among your employees. For young | :09:57. | :10:02. | |
companies like CyberAgent, the new salary model has so far paid off. | :10:03. | :10:08. | |
And its success is what the rest of Japan Inc is also hoping to achieve, | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
but it is much trickier for bigger and older companies to adjust to the | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
new economic reality. A quick look at the markets and this | :10:19. | :10:23. | |
is where they are trading right now, fairly neutral reaction to the | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
Brussels at a. That is it for this edition of Asia Business Report. | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
Thanks for watching -- Brussels | :10:33. | :10:33. |