28/06/2016 Asia Business Report


28/06/2016

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Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore.

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Asian stock markets fall and the Japanese yen continues to be strong.

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We met an exporter in Japan feeling the reaction to the UK's vote to

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leave the EU. And more bad news for the UK as markets take another

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tumble. It has stripped off its AAA credit rating and the pound sees

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further falls. -- it is stripped of. Good morning, Asia, hello, world. It

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is Tuesday. Glad you could join us for this edition of Asia Business

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Report. I am Rico Hizon. We kicked off with Brexit and market jitters

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are continuing in the region in the wake of the UK's vote to leave the

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European Union, the major markets opening lower again this morning. As

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you can see on your Tokyo. Yesterday we saw a relief

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rally but now it is down. Indeed, it has really been a

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for investors here. On Friday, the Nikkei fell by nearly 8%. And as you

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mentioned yesterday, we saw a bit of bargain-hunting, and today it opened

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sharply lower. Most of the exporter 's' shares are down and that is

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because the Japanese yen continues to strengthen, not just against the

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British pound but also against the US dollar and all the major

:02:09.:02:12.

currencies. And that hurts exporters because the strong yen makes their

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product more expensive overseas. I went to visit one factory in Tokyo

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to see how the result of the EU referendum may affect his business.

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In an economic cycle of peaks and troughs at small companies like this

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struggle the most. For 40 years this man has been supplying parts for big

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Japanese exporters. During the global financial crisis he had to

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close one of his factories. Now he is hit by the strong yen as a result

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of Brexit. TRANSLATION: We were envious of the EU being a single

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market. There are no tariffs. So it is hard to understand why the UK

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want to leave, and the strong yen will affect us. When it hit 99 on

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Friday it was a real shock. The consensus here seems to be confusion

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over why the UK it wanted to leave the EU at all. And Japanese

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companies are not just affected by the strong yen. They have been

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investing heavily in the UK, with many basing their European

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headquarters there. So will they pull their money out of the UK?

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Europe, you know, is likely to do some soul-searching. A lot of rules

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and regulations are likely to be changing. From here there are likely

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to be calls for additional referendums in other parts of

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Europe. So if you are a businessman, I don't have a lot of time, I need

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to focus on what I can rely on, so I am going to leave Europe and I am

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going to go to Asia. So it is going to be sayonara Europe and welcome to

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Asia. But the yen is where investors like to park their money when things

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get risky. With the strong yen already hurting Japanese exporters,

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authorities are trying to reassure investors that they are ready to do

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whatever it takes to stabilise the currency. And the Japanese yen is

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currently trading at around 101 yen against the US dollar. That factory

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owner who I spoke to yesterday said 105 to 110 is a comfortable level,

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and that is why when he saw 99, the double digit, he got really shocked

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and he said it reminded him of the global financial crisis back in 2007

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and 2008, when the yen strengthened even further, to the 80s, and that

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really affected his business and the rest of corporate Japan. So the

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authorities have repeatedly said that they are ready to intervene if

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we see another violent swing strengthening the Japanese yen.

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Thank you so much, Mariko Oi. 101 yen, a level not seen since 2013.

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And while the yen has surged, some Asian currencies have slumped

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following the vote, among them the Indonesian rupiah and the Malaysian

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ringat. Philip is an expert from London. She said the slump could

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lead to a co-ordinated response from central banks. I think what we might

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see that continues is a co-ordinated, either a co-ordinated

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currency intervention or a co-ordinated liquidity intervention

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so central banks acting in concert to make sure there is liquidity in

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the market. I think what is important to recognise is that it is

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not just about currency intervention as such. Many of these currencies

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have already faced multiple shocks including the lower oil price, for

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example, that has been hitting oil exporters and commodity exporter 's.

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So this Brexit vote really adds to the risks that have been on the

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radar screen for a lot of these countries to begin with. In a sign

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of further uncertainty, ratings agencies have downgraded the UK's

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ratings. Standard and Poor's has stripped them of their last AAA

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rating, cutting theirs from double A+ 288. It indicates that there is

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at least a chance in the next few years it will go down again -- to

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AA. They could be a number of triggers, it could be the weaker

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economy, it could be slippage on the fiscal side, you could have higher

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government debt, you could have external side payments, or you could

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have further downward pressure on the constitutional risks. And of

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course that is much discussed in the country right now, that is the

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reaction in Edinburgh that there might be another Scottish

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independence referendum, which would leave you with a situation where you

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have two very challenging situations to deal with at the same time.

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Leaving the European Union is something no one has ever attempted

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before while at the same time, they are testing the wheel of the people

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north of the border to leave the UK. -- testing the will. Given the

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environment of policy-making right now, there are great challenges,

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great uncertainty is so lots of opportunities for things to go

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wrong. It doesn't have to happen that way but we think there is a

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decent chance things might get tricky and that is why we are

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keeping a negative outlook. The Brexit vote has continued to occupy

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the minds of his best leaders meeting at the World Economic Forum

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in China's city of Tianjit. There is a warning that the effect of the

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global economy might last a decade. We have seen Chinese companies

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heavily investing in Britain. Are they now reconsidering their

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investments? Well, when you speak to companies here at the World Economic

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Forum and ask them about the likely impact of Brexit on their investment

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decision-making, it really does depend on the company and depends

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also on the industry. We heard earlier from the chairman of a major

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carmaker saying that not only would there be no negative impact but it

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was looking to increase but there is a major emphasis on hi-tech here,

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and when it comes to start-ups and other companies trying to get into

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Europe, it is a different story. For example, we heard from a CEO of a

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Shanghai -based investment company which pumps money into start-ups

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here, and this is what its CEO had to say. I think part of that impact,

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at least in the short term, might be concentrated in Chinese companies

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that have been going global. So a lot of Chinese companies are looking

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at investments overseas, have been setting up offices overseas and have

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been doing trade and investment building up in economies which are

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mature and emerging. So a Chinese company thinking about an EU

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platform for that new market opportunity might no longer think

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about setting up in London or in the UK and then it will be focused

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mainly in France or Germany. So a lot of uncertainty there. As you can

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see people are still trying to weigh up what the impact of the Brexit

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might be in China. Now people thought they were prepared for this

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but as the reality of it is dawning on Chinese companies having to come

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to terms with it, and looking around and deciding what are they going to

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do, there is a lot of debate about what will come in the coming weeks

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and coming months. Thank you for joining us from Tianjin, at the

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World Economic Forum. Thank you for investing your time with us. Asian

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stocks in negative territory, goodbye for now.

:10:21.:10:30.

The top stories this hour: Britain's credit rating is downgraded,

:10:31.:10:32.

as the referendum prompts warnings of a sharp slowdown in growth.

:10:33.:10:36.

A group of British MPs have challenged China's record on human

:10:37.:10:40.

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