26/08/2016 Asia Business Report


26/08/2016

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Searching for clues and. Wilbert Federal Reserve chair dropped any

:00:14.:00:20.

hints about a rate rise? -- will the. And look, no hands. The world's

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first self driving taxis hit the road in Singapore -- drop. --

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searching for clues. Welcome to Asia Business Report, I'm Sharanjit Leyl.

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It's the speech that is being billed by Wall Street as must see TV. This

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lady, the US central bank governor Janet Yellen will be speaking at

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Jackson hole symposium later today. Markets have been eerily quiet.

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Investors are waiting for any hints of a next rate rise. Let's look at

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how US markets closed on Thursday, fairly flat and in fact Asian

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markets have opened in a similar way. For his views earlier I spoke

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to a representative from the national university of Singapore.

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Today's meeting isn't a ratesetting meeting but it's about looking for

:01:15.:01:19.

clues as to what Janet Yellen says. The expectation is there's just over

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a 50-50 chance there will be one hike this year, it could be in

:01:24.:01:27.

September but more likely December. The bigger question is not whether

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there will be one more hike or not, the bigger question is what is the

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Fed up to? I think the Fed needs a radical reboot in its communication

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strategy, it's forward guidance hasn't been very helpful, it's been

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worse than no guidance at all and I think something needs to be done to

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communicate the framework they are using for these decisions, even more

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than whether they will all want at the next meeting. Ultimately traders

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are focused on interest rates -- will all white. 42% chance of a rate

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rise in December -- will or won't. You say it's more about these

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communications, what should they be doing? Something structural has

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happened to interest rates, the natural habitat for interest rates

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is a lot lower now than it used to be, even three or four years ago. We

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haven't seen much indication the Fed has accepted that, that the stable

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rate of interest is somewhere much lower. And therefore we flip-flopped

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between dovish and hawkish. I think they need to say that we do have a

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backdrop of growth that isn't fantastic, we have a problem with

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global inflation. It is buying to be behind the curve than trying to jump

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the gun and do something too drastic to quickly. It's about the global

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concerns and what is interesting is you have policymakers from places

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like Europe, and Japan, where there's negative interest rates.

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What is the impact really globally, how do you see it briefly? Complete

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divergences, the rest of the world are smack in the middle of their

:03:16.:03:20.

stimulus programmes, negative rates, negative yield on about a third of

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the world's government bonds right now so that's another reason why the

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Fed and the US can't divert and breakaway entirely. It's also

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important to see what the Fed does because the global economy is

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concerned with the dollar and the dollar is what matters.

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The world's first self driving taxis hit the road right here in Singapore

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this week and the company behind it has said they have actually beaten

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other ride hailing services like Bluebird to roll out these

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autonomous cars. But it is still a limited trial with select passengers

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riding for free on select roots in a small area -- Uber. A fully fledged

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service would be launched for two years. We caught up with Doug Parker

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and asked him how the ride compares to a regular taxi.

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They are fairly conservative and they might drive like your

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grandmother might drive. They are careful, stop for pedestrians and

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pass slowly. How can a passenger be confident the cars are safe? We have

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driven hundreds of thousands of kilometres, we have a good safety

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record especially around collisions with other cars and pedestrians. It

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will make the right choice, it has a 360 degrees view continually, it

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sees what's going on in the world and it acts at the speed of a

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computer, not at the speed of a human. How does the technology work?

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It is a robot and it has to do three things, see the world, decide what

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to do and then decide to move an act. Those are the sensors you see

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on the outside. Today they are very expensive lasers, camera and radar

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to create a detailed image of the world. It is continually updating

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itself 20 times a second or more 360 degrees, creating a detailed picture

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of pedestrians, trucks and buses, all the things a car sees, and it

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builds a map of it. Then we have a decision engine that decides

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navigating. How can the business model be applied outside Singapore,

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especially when the government highly restricts how many cars are

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here and there is lots of regulations? First it will develop

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in places like Singapore with well structured streets, well marked

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streets, people generally obey the rules of the road. We think we can

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find appropriate markets but we probably won't start with downtown

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Manhattan Orman by. How hard will it be to get insurance for these cars?

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We have a global insurance policy that covers all our operations

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around the world -- Manhattan or Mumbai. We will get more safety

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records as we get more kilometres. What kind of reaction do you expect

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from the industry? There will be an amazing amount of disruption. If you

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think about it, we will be launching fleets of cars that will replace

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your individual car. That will mean fewer personal car sales and

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insurance and maintenance. All those things for individuals will be

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disrupted. Drivers will also be disrupted initially and that's what

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we need to work with, especially with governments to make sure that

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drivers and other people that are disrupted in the industry have a

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safe landing. Doug Parker from the company behind

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those driverless taxi is. In other news, Air New Zealand profits are at

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42%. The airline posted record profits of $330 million -- taxis.

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That is due to a tourism boom to New Zealand. The country had 3.3 1

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million visitors in the last year, up 11% from last year.

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India's Tata motors is set to report its latest results, once again

:07:17.:07:19.

expected to show strong sales for the carmaker. You are seeing other

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brands doing reasonably well as well, so what is behind the

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resurgence? We have more from Delhi. Buying a

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car in India is much like bringing a new member of the family home. Cakes

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are cut and congratulations are offered. And carmakers are more than

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willing to give out big discounts to help woo customers like Ranjit, who

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is upgrading his old vehicle to a bigger model. Right now there are

:07:51.:07:55.

good schemes in the market, the best thing I thought they are taking my

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old car back, which is value for money, and interest rates are also

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low right now. After a slow few years for India's

:08:05.:08:09.

car market, sales are powering ahead. The nation's top-selling

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carmaker Maruti Suzuki had growth in the last quarter, as did Heidi and

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I. Indian customers are traditionally ones who buys smaller

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cars and stick with their purchase for years -- as did Hyundai. Now

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people are being courage to buy more. They include Hyundai, which

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has ten models in India with over 100 variations, ranging from $5,000

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to nearly $50,000. So what is the Indian customer looking for? He is

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seeking global products, global quality, global designs, global

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features. But yes, he is also seeking strong value for money but

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packed with strong assurances and reliability. The scale of the

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challenge was highlighted last month when Tata motors and said it was

:09:18.:09:21.

rethinking a $1 billion investment into India as it reassessed which

:09:22.:09:25.

cars could do well in the local market. There are now strong rumours

:09:26.:09:29.

it will try to sell one of its two factories here. And Nissan,

:09:30.:09:36.

Volkswagen and Ford are increasingly seeing India as a manufacturing hub

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as they struggled for domestic market share. -- struggle. Ranjit

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hopes that his car is a sign of more prosperity to come and for India's

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car makers, a fast moving economy and booming middle-class promises

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plenty of good times for those who know what their customers want.

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Let's have a look at the markets before we go because Asian markets

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have opened reasonably unchanged, as you can see, the Nikkei down 1%, the

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all All Ords down as well. We waiting for the Hang Seng. On Wall

:10:20.:10:23.

Street overnight there was a lot of caution and wariness ahead of the

:10:24.:10:29.

symposium, that is echoed here. That is the meeting where the Fed

:10:30.:10:32.

potentially hints at interest rates. That's it for the show.

:10:33.:10:39.

There's been an unprecedented rise in killings in the Philippines

:10:40.:10:50.

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