02/02/2017 Asia Business Report


02/02/2017

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More money for India's rule areas as farmers struggle with

:00:14.:00:22.

demonetisation. -- rural areas. Mixed news for Facebook - strong

:00:23.:00:27.

earnings results but loses a court case over the virtual reality

:00:28.:00:37.

business. Hello, everyone, I am glad you can join us for this Thursday

:00:38.:00:43.

edition of Asia Business Report. More government spending on rural

:00:44.:00:47.

areas was a top priority announced by India's Finance Minister in his

:00:48.:00:51.

budget on Wednesday. Farmers were one of the hardest hit by the

:00:52.:00:55.

decision last year to withdraw almost 90% of bank notes in

:00:56.:00:59.

circulation. Our correspondent sent this assessment of the budget from

:01:00.:01:04.

Delhi. It seemed as if India's Finance

:01:05.:01:09.

Minister was in a rush to deliver his fourth budget. And when he

:01:10.:01:15.

finally revealed the contents of his briefcase, it wasn't what most had

:01:16.:01:19.

expected. But he was optimistic about one thing at least... India

:01:20.:01:25.

stands out as a bright spot in the world economic landscape. Three

:01:26.:01:28.

months after banning most of the cash in circulation, the finance

:01:29.:01:32.

minister chose the budget to admit its effects. For the first time, he

:01:33.:01:36.

called it a disruptive reform. But he promised there would be long-term

:01:37.:01:40.

benefits. That included extra income for the government and more cash in

:01:41.:01:44.

the banking system, making it easier for people to get loans. Benefits

:01:45.:01:50.

that would be supplemented by other measures. In an effort to boost

:01:51.:01:56.

demand in domestic spending, especially in rural areas, he

:01:57.:02:00.

announced more farmer loans and crop insurance. He did more to widen the

:02:01.:02:04.

tax net to bring more people into the system but there were almost no

:02:05.:02:07.

incentives for people who were already paying income tax. Small and

:02:08.:02:12.

medium-sized companies which make up 90% of the firms in India were given

:02:13.:02:17.

a boost. Their tax rate was reduced 5%. But for bigger firms there was

:02:18.:02:22.

disappointment. Despite promises of a reduction in the last budget, the

:02:23.:02:27.

high rate of corporate tax remains. Corporate tax rates are going down

:02:28.:02:31.

throughout the world and even in some other western countries they

:02:32.:02:34.

have committed to bringing down the tax rate, so I feel that the capital

:02:35.:02:40.

is going to flow out of India unless we really do something to make it

:02:41.:02:46.

more competitive. For Mr Arun Jaitley, this was a balancing act

:02:47.:02:49.

between the need to put the momentum back into India's growth and at the

:02:50.:02:53.

same time ensure that spending is under control. But all of this was

:02:54.:02:59.

put together without knowing the true effect of the cash ban on the

:03:00.:03:03.

economy. For that, he and the entire nation will have to wait for GDP

:03:04.:03:13.

figures at the end of the month. In other news: making headlines, the UK

:03:14.:03:18.

is a step closer to leaving the EU. MPs voted to allow Theresa May to

:03:19.:03:24.

get the negotiations under way. She promised to trigger Article 50 by

:03:25.:03:29.

the end of March. Amazon plans to schedule 200 flights

:03:30.:03:36.

every day at a cargo hub it is building near Cincinnati. The

:03:37.:03:39.

company announced the airport project earlier this week. The aim

:03:40.:03:44.

is to handle shipping in-house to cut costs and get packages to

:03:45.:03:49.

shoppers faster. The cargo hub is worth $1.5 billion US.

:03:50.:03:54.

Social media giant Facebook reported the latest earnings numbers and

:03:55.:03:58.

revenue was surging over 50% with the company continuing to benefit

:03:59.:04:02.

from the aggressive push into mobile and video. There was bad news for

:04:03.:04:08.

the company. A US jury ordered Facebook and the virtual reality

:04:09.:04:14.

business oculus to pay half $1 billion to accompany accusing it of

:04:15.:04:17.

stealing technology. Asked an analyst if the firm can continue the

:04:18.:04:22.

strong performance. Facebook themselves acknowledged the

:04:23.:04:26.

revenues that they are going to get from advertising through the

:04:27.:04:32.

newsfeed will start the stabilisation over time, so they are

:04:33.:04:35.

looking at other sources of growth, and they are doing a good job on

:04:36.:04:41.

that, from Instagram, video, they have grown advertising revenue

:04:42.:04:44.

substantially and they are investing in other areas, like what they can

:04:45.:04:48.

do with WhatsApp and messenger. But of course everybody also wants to

:04:49.:04:53.

find out about China. When are they likely to make a big splash in the

:04:54.:04:58.

mainland market, if ever? I think that will be a big challenge for

:04:59.:05:03.

Facebook. We know already, you know, Weibo and WeChat have become strong

:05:04.:05:12.

in that. Facebook has a long way to grow to establish itself in China if

:05:13.:05:16.

it gets into China. There are all manner of challenges. They have to

:05:17.:05:20.

look at complying with regulations in China, which are much tighter

:05:21.:05:23.

than anything. So, indeed they have challenges making their way into the

:05:24.:05:27.

Chinese market, so how could they indirectly make money out of the

:05:28.:05:32.

Chinese Internet users? Well, I think, you know, a key thing for

:05:33.:05:37.

them, I mean, obviously if they want everyone in the globe to be

:05:38.:05:40.

connected, and Facebook wants to, you know, get to all of the users,

:05:41.:05:44.

China is a key market, the biggest issue is revenue they can get from

:05:45.:05:48.

China, and there are a lot of Chinese firms that want to get

:05:49.:05:52.

revenues outside of China, and Facebook could be an ideal vehicle

:05:53.:05:55.

for that, so they might start by looking at ways in which they can

:05:56.:06:00.

get revenue from Chinese customers to start with, before starting to

:06:01.:06:03.

build a user base in China. Well, the world's biggest economy will

:06:04.:06:08.

have a new Treasury Secretary, he is Steven Mnuchin and like much of the

:06:09.:06:16.

presidency it has been divisive. Democrats say he is too close to

:06:17.:06:20.

Wall Street whereas the President says it will help America towards

:06:21.:06:24.

growth and prosperity, so what do we know about him? Let's have a look.

:06:25.:07:27.

And staying with the US and the central bank also know as the

:07:28.:07:33.

Federal Reserve decided not to raise the cost of borrowing this around as

:07:34.:07:37.

economist -- and I asked an economist if he expected heights

:07:38.:07:40.

this year. While most of the markets think that they will but they will

:07:41.:07:44.

sit on their hands to find out how the Trump administration will play

:07:45.:07:47.

out. The drum administration, Donald Trump as a candidate, was critical

:07:48.:07:51.

of Janet Yellen and the Fed through the campaign so there is a bit of

:07:52.:07:57.

ten June and I know the Janet Yellen has received anti-Semitic abuse from

:07:58.:08:02.

the right wing supporters, so there is some tension. -- Trump

:08:03.:08:07.

administration. You have Steven Mnuchin and Donald Trump wanting

:08:08.:08:10.

growth and prosperity. When will there start to pump the economy? I

:08:11.:08:16.

think it is interesting. Donald Trump's trade policies have been

:08:17.:08:20.

about American jobs and I think he will make calls for General Motors

:08:21.:08:23.

and American companies to stay in Michigan, to stay in the

:08:24.:08:27.

manufacturing heartland. And he will be able to do this and then

:08:28.:08:30.

basically ride the wave of employment growth that Janet Yellen

:08:31.:08:34.

has been presiding over, so he may not have to even take trade tariffs

:08:35.:08:39.

action against China. He may be able to get enough employment momentum in

:08:40.:08:45.

any case by some of his actions via Twitter. But, Tim, trade is an

:08:46.:08:49.

integral part of the global economy and growth. With him threatening

:08:50.:08:59.

China as a currency manipulator, renegotiating Nafta and of course

:09:00.:09:02.

other bilateral trade agreements, couldn't this also impact growth in

:09:03.:09:06.

the US going forward? Oh, it definitely could, I think, with an

:09:07.:09:11.

isolationist US being bad for the economy and for the American labour

:09:12.:09:17.

market. And I think him ripping up the TPP straightaway is a sign that

:09:18.:09:22.

he would take a very anti- trade view. His view is he is a great

:09:23.:09:26.

negotiator and only he can negotiate trade agreements that have been bad

:09:27.:09:30.

for America but it could have adverse impact on Asia, especially

:09:31.:09:34.

China, and even Australia if there is a trade war. Can Asia still go

:09:35.:09:40.

ahead without the United States in the Trans-Pacific Partnership? I

:09:41.:09:44.

think something can take its place. I think the Trans-Pacific

:09:45.:09:47.

Partnership was the United States and Japan trying to wrest control of

:09:48.:09:51.

the Asia-Pacific economy back from China. Now, with Donald Trump anti-

:09:52.:09:57.

TPP, as with all of the candidates in the election, including Hillary

:09:58.:10:00.

Clinton and Bernie Sanders, China can actually step in and the

:10:01.:10:05.

regional partnerships and other pacts to have a more assertive role,

:10:06.:10:10.

so it could be that Donald Trump's isolationism will boost Chinese

:10:11.:10:12.

negotiating power in the Asia-Pacific.

:10:13.:10:16.

Let's have a quick look now at how Asia has performed in early trade

:10:17.:10:23.

this Thursday, currently lacklustre, dull, moving sideways, this despite

:10:24.:10:26.

US stocks advancing overnight. Thank you so much for investing your time

:10:27.:10:31.

with us. I'm Rico Hizon. Sport Today is up next. Hello.

:10:32.:10:37.

The United States Senate has voted to confirm the former chief

:10:38.:10:42.

executive of the oil giant Exxon Mobil, Rex Tillerson,

:10:43.:10:44.

as President Trump's Secretary of State.

:10:45.:10:46.

The new American Defence Secretary, James Mattis, is heading

:10:47.:10:49.

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