05/02/2016 BBC Business Live


05/02/2016

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 05/02/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

As the Zika virus spreads across the Americas there are now

:00:00.:00:13.

growing concerns about its impact on tourism, and for a country

:00:14.:00:16.

like Brazil it couldn't come at a worse time.

:00:17.:00:18.

Live from London, that's our top story.

:00:19.:00:23.

The Brazilian President has declared war on the deadly Zika virus,

:00:24.:00:40.

but with just six months to go until the Rio Olympics will it be

:00:41.:00:43.

enough to protect the country's tourism industry?

:00:44.:00:48.

Also in the programme: The world's most hated man,

:00:49.:00:50.

Martin Shkreli, faces lawmakers in America to defend raising

:00:51.:00:53.

And this is how European shares have opened ahead of that closely watched

:00:54.:01:09.

And we'll get the inside track on the week in tech including Google

:01:10.:01:21.

overtaking Apple to become the world's most valuable company

:01:22.:01:23.

and Microsoft buying British tech firm SwiftKey.

:01:24.:01:25.

And as a new report says top London lawyers can charge ?1,000 an hour,

:01:26.:01:28.

the highest ever recorded, we want to know, how much

:01:29.:01:30.

Today marks six months until the opening ceremony

:01:31.:01:53.

of the Rio Olympics, but the event threatens to be

:01:54.:01:55.

overshadowed by the spread of the Zika virus, now present

:01:56.:01:59.

in 20 countries and expected to spread further.

:02:00.:02:13.

As well as the health risks, the virus could also wipe out any

:02:14.:02:16.

economic benefit that many in Brazil were counting on the Games to bring.

:02:17.:02:19.

Tourism linked to the Olympic Games is predicted to add around

:02:20.:02:21.

$23 billion to the Brazilian economy this year.

:02:22.:02:23.

Similar outbreaks have taken devastating tolls

:02:24.:02:25.

In 2003 the spread of the Sars virus led to a 20% fall in tourism

:02:26.:02:29.

If Brazil was hit in the same way, the economy could miss out

:02:30.:02:34.

The Brazilian government says there's not yet evidence of people

:02:35.:02:43.

cancelling their trips but US based United Airlines are already offering

:02:44.:02:46.

full refunds to passengers who are booked to travel

:02:47.:02:48.

Geraint Johnes, Professor of Economics at Lancaster University

:02:49.:02:56.

I want to talk about the Brazilian economy generally but let us touch

:02:57.:03:10.

on tourism. There is no doubt, it is inevitable, Brazil is going to take

:03:11.:03:17.

a hit with people cancelling. There are two important uncertainties. We

:03:18.:03:21.

do not know how people's behaviour will respond to the outbreak. You

:03:22.:03:27.

mentioned SARS earlier. There was a decline of 20% in two days to the

:03:28.:03:32.

affected countries at the time of SARS and if something similar

:03:33.:03:36.

happens to Brazil which is a major tourist destination with the

:03:37.:03:40.

Olympics coming up then the economy would take a major head getting on

:03:41.:03:44.

for $15 billion. It is not clear people will behave in the same way

:03:45.:03:51.

as with SARS. This is something that has a major effect, serious effect,

:03:52.:03:56.

but only in a relatively small group of people, pregnant women. Only a

:03:57.:04:00.

relatively small group are pregnant at any given time. For most people

:04:01.:04:06.

the infection leads to mild symptoms so it is not clear how people's

:04:07.:04:12.

behaviour will respond. The second thing we are uncertain about is how

:04:13.:04:16.

long the outbreak will last. If it is dealt with very quickly then the

:04:17.:04:20.

effects might be minor but if it lasts a year or so in the economic

:04:21.:04:25.

impacts will be greater. It is also fair to say that even before there's

:04:26.:04:31.

Zika outbreak, this is unlike economy that was in turmoil facing

:04:32.:04:37.

possibly its worst recession in a century and its budget deficit is

:04:38.:04:47.

around $151 billion, more than 10% of its GDP, and if you look at

:04:48.:04:53.

Greece in 2009 its deficit was 15% of its GDP and that was just before

:04:54.:05:00.

it needed a bailout. Yes. Recession has hit Brazil badly. Last year

:05:01.:05:06.

economic death, growth was -3% and to date is predicted to be -1.2%. If

:05:07.:05:14.

the head turned out to be similar to SARS then it could knock another 2%

:05:15.:05:21.

of the growth rate. We appreciate that. Thank you for joining us.

:05:22.:05:27.

Martin Shkreli, the former head of Turing Pharmaceuticals,

:05:28.:05:31.

laughed off questions at a US congressional hearing

:05:32.:05:35.

on the company's drug pricing policy.

:05:36.:05:38.

He later took to Twitter to call committee members imbeciles.

:05:39.:05:43.

Congress is investigating Turing's 5,000% price increase of a drug,

:05:44.:05:45.

Daraprim, used by many Aids patients.

:05:46.:05:51.

Shares in Mattel, the maker of Barbie dolls, jumped 8%

:05:52.:05:55.

on Thursday following reports it discussed a merger with rival

:05:56.:05:57.

Hasbro, which makes the board game Monopoly and the latest Star Wars

:05:58.:06:06.

action figures, was first approached by Mattel back in 1996,

:06:07.:06:08.

but the two sides failed to reach an agreement.

:06:09.:06:11.

In 2014, Lego overtook Mattel to become the world's largest

:06:12.:06:13.

Toyota says profit came in at just over $6 billion in the three

:06:14.:06:19.

Earnings were down by 5% on the previous year

:06:20.:06:22.

But the world's biggest car maker did raise its full year forecast

:06:23.:06:28.

for the US, thanks to stronger demand.

:06:29.:06:39.

On the website, Russia having to sell off some of its family silver,

:06:40.:06:54.

and the Russian economy minister has confirmed states sales, the

:06:55.:06:56.

privatisation programme to be approved within days.

:06:57.:07:01.

The parallels between Russia and Saudi Arabia, both countries wanting

:07:02.:07:05.

to raise money, big questions about who would want to be involved and

:07:06.:07:10.

the security of that investment. There's the potential for newly

:07:11.:07:13.

privatised firms to be national eyes to?

:07:14.:07:19.

Oil prices. Saudi Arabia and Russia have been dipping into their

:07:20.:07:21.

sovereign oil funds. Their savings pot.

:07:22.:07:24.

Growth in South East Asia's largest economy, Indonesia,

:07:25.:07:27.

picked up speed in the fourth quarter, but full-year growth

:07:28.:07:29.

was still the slowest since the global financial crisis.

:07:30.:07:40.

It also marks the fifth consecutive slow down.

:07:41.:07:42.

Ali Moore has the details in our Asia Business Hub in Singapore.

:07:43.:07:45.

I do not remember how to say happy Chinese new year. I know you are not

:07:46.:07:53.

Chinese, but I thought I would say that. Indonesia has been having a

:07:54.:08:02.

tough time getting momentum into its economy partly because of the

:08:03.:08:05.

slowdown in China which is affecting everyone, that is a key trading

:08:06.:08:10.

partner, and the crash in commodity prices. Growth last year was the

:08:11.:08:16.

slowest since the global financial crisis. Lower than what the

:08:17.:08:20.

president has promised. The pick-up in the last quarter to 5% could be

:08:21.:08:27.

significant. Driven by higher public spending and optimists arguing that

:08:28.:08:30.

is good news because the president might finally be getting some of the

:08:31.:08:36.

reforms through and unclogging much-needed infrastructure

:08:37.:08:40.

investment. It is too early to say whether the momentum is going to

:08:41.:08:43.

hold. We will have to see what happens in the current quarter.

:08:44.:08:45.

Happy Chinese new year to you. It's been another difficult week

:08:46.:08:50.

for European markets - the first week of February trying,

:08:51.:08:54.

but failing, to shake off Those worries of a slowing world

:08:55.:08:57.

economy, weak inflation and relatively

:08:58.:09:00.

disappointing earnings. Oil prices are starting to creep

:09:01.:09:02.

back up, but at the same time, we've had more downbeat growth

:09:03.:09:05.

forecasts from central banks. The latest, the Bank

:09:06.:09:11.

of England yesterday, downgrading UK growth forecasts

:09:12.:09:14.

from 2.5% to 2.2% this year. We will discuss that in a moment.

:09:15.:09:26.

What will be making the news on Wall Street? After weak data on US

:09:27.:09:35.

economic growth, all eyes will be on January's job report. It will play a

:09:36.:09:44.

large part of the Federal Reserve's decision-making. Analysts predict

:09:45.:09:52.

job growth slowed in January. A lot of that is down to the fact that the

:09:53.:09:56.

manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs. January is traditionally

:09:57.:10:02.

slow for hiring and unemployment is expected to remain at a seven and a

:10:03.:10:06.

half year low and wages are expected to have grown modestly. The trade

:10:07.:10:12.

deficit is expected to be reported to have had little change.

:10:13.:10:15.

Joining us is Jane Sydenham, investment director

:10:16.:10:17.

It is that time again. It feels like four years, every single month we

:10:18.:10:34.

have had this incredible focus on what the US jobs number is going to

:10:35.:10:42.

be. When do we get... Unemployment has come down... When do we shift

:10:43.:10:47.

our focus and look for something else? We are nearly at the natural

:10:48.:10:52.

rate of unemployment. That is the natural expectation for unemployment

:10:53.:10:56.

regardless of what the economy is doing. We're probably going to be

:10:57.:10:59.

focusing on wage growth going forward. It is going to be about

:11:00.:11:05.

wage growth than the earnings of companies and weather at the

:11:06.:11:08.

consumer is spending, whether the service sector caddies on doing well

:11:09.:11:12.

because manufacturing is slowing so it is about the service sector and

:11:13.:11:18.

wage growth so slightly different. The Bank of England downgrading

:11:19.:11:22.

growth forecasts for the UK not wholly unexpected and blaming all

:11:23.:11:25.

the same sorts of things but there was a lot of criticism of forward

:11:26.:11:29.

guidance. Mark Carney trying to tell us what the bank was thinking that

:11:30.:11:37.

he keeps changing his tune. Yes, they must be regretting the use of

:11:38.:11:41.

that phrase. They are reacting to what is going on as events changed.

:11:42.:11:47.

Having said that signal and manage expectations that we can tell you

:11:48.:11:50.

what is going to happen it is uncomfortable. It is. You are going

:11:51.:12:00.

to take us through the papers later. Central bankers must communicating,

:12:01.:12:03.

I do not think that, I think they are dealing with the changing time.

:12:04.:12:09.

They are having to react as they go but they are setting up different

:12:10.:12:15.

expectations and that is what people are angry about.

:12:16.:12:18.

Our technology correspondent Rory Cellan-Jones will take us

:12:19.:12:22.

through the biggest stories in the tech world this week,

:12:23.:12:24.

including why Microsoft were so keen to part with a quarter of a billion

:12:25.:12:29.

dollars for the British firm SwiftKey.

:12:30.:12:30.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:12:31.:12:33.

Could the great British breakfast be under threat?

:12:34.:12:35.

Pig farmers in the UK seem set for a difficult year,

:12:36.:12:38.

with the price of pork at an eight year low.

:12:39.:12:42.

It's feared that many producers could go out of business.

:12:43.:12:54.

Do you have food on your feet? Who knew that my feet were so tasty?

:12:55.:13:03.

There is nothing on these apart from my wellies. 100,000 pigs reared here

:13:04.:13:13.

every year. These guys are 14 weeks old and went they get to 20 weeks

:13:14.:13:19.

they will sell them for about ?100 on average per pig. Prices have

:13:20.:13:27.

fallen from ?125 down to ?100 which means they are losing ?10 on every

:13:28.:13:32.

pig they cell. Farmers are losing money because of various things. As

:13:33.:13:38.

we talk about with commodities, these guys are commodities, and

:13:39.:13:44.

there is a lot of oversupply, we are not eating as much pot. -- pork. We

:13:45.:13:53.

are not selling as much pork because of the ban on exports. Some pork

:13:54.:14:05.

coming in from Europe and because of the strong pound it means the picks

:14:06.:14:11.

here are pretty expensive and that means pressure on the industry and

:14:12.:14:16.

farmers are concerned about what it is going to mean for the industry. I

:14:17.:14:21.

have never seen such inquisitive animals in my life. I am going to

:14:22.:14:27.

try to escape them. Do they bite?

:14:28.:14:35.

Real pressure on the industry. I will see you later.

:14:36.:14:41.

I have never heard quite so many sound effects.

:14:42.:14:52.

We are not allowed to talk about pigs as commodities.

:14:53.:15:01.

What about the Danish? Pork in Denmark is big.

:15:02.:15:04.

We will find out soon. With only six months

:15:05.:15:09.

to go until the Olympics, the Brazilian President Dilma

:15:10.:15:13.

Rousseff has declared war on mosquitoes responsible

:15:14.:15:15.

for spreading the Zika virus in a recorded TV

:15:16.:15:17.

message to the nation. There are now increasing fears

:15:18.:15:19.

that the virus could devastate the country's tourism industry,

:15:20.:15:21.

which was expecting a big boost And now let's get the inside track

:15:22.:15:23.

on some of the tech biggest tech A week where Google overtook Amazon

:15:24.:15:34.

as the world's largest firm, Microsoft snapped up British tech

:15:35.:15:45.

firm Swiftkey and Shares in the camera maker GoPro slumped

:15:46.:15:47.

19% after reporting losses That should not have said Amazon, it

:15:48.:15:55.

should have said Apple! Did you have one of those GoPro things?

:15:56.:15:58.

No, but their shares were down 19%. Our technology correspondent

:15:59.:16:01.

Rory Cellan-Jones is here. Good morning, Rory, welcome to the

:16:02.:16:09.

madhouse. I should be wearing a GoPro struck my head. I have run a

:16:10.:16:16.

five kilometre race with a GoPro struck to my head. Goodness knows

:16:17.:16:21.

what you would record in this studio! Things that should be off as

:16:22.:16:30.

state arts -- stay off our. Now Google and Apple, vying for the top

:16:31.:16:35.

spot? After Apple's somewhat disappointing results last week,

:16:36.:16:40.

their shares have dipped, Google, now renamed Alphabet, came out with

:16:41.:16:45.

their results. They split off the other stuff from the main stuff.

:16:46.:16:51.

Google shares went up. The market capitalisation of Google overtook

:16:52.:16:55.

that of Apple, which is extraordinary, because Apple still

:16:56.:16:58.

make small profit in a quarter than Google makes in a year. So what the

:16:59.:17:03.

market was effectively saying is it is the growth story of Apple, it is

:17:04.:17:07.

over, the growth story as Google has a long way to go and they will

:17:08.:17:13.

overtake each other. But overnight, Google shares are down again and

:17:14.:17:18.

Apple is back in the lead. Does it really matter? We talk about it

:17:19.:17:22.

being the world's largest company, the truth is they are both hugely

:17:23.:17:26.

successful organisations and it is all based on perception? There is a

:17:27.:17:31.

great quotes, I think it is from Warren Buffett, that the market is

:17:32.:17:36.

in the short term a voting machine and in the long term, a weighing

:17:37.:17:40.

machine. The market gets things right in the long term, in the short

:17:41.:17:44.

term it is driven by emotion. Sometimes those emotions go in the

:17:45.:17:50.

wrong direction. Talking about this UK firm, Swiftkey, known for a

:17:51.:17:54.

predict with keyboard? They make a little keyboard. They have brilliant

:17:55.:17:59.

technology behind them. They are founded by very clever young

:18:00.:18:04.

scientists from Cambridge University, they are using a lot of

:18:05.:18:08.

artificial intelligence techniques. Their technology was used to upgrade

:18:09.:18:13.

Professor Stephen Hawking's technology, so that when he

:18:14.:18:18.

communicates it can be done quicker. Microsoft, one of the big firms

:18:19.:18:22.

looking at these artificial intelligence research in the UK,

:18:23.:18:27.

they snap them up. We did not get the price that we were told it was a

:18:28.:18:32.

graduate and $50 million, for a firm that probably makes very tiny

:18:33.:18:36.

amounts of revenue at the moment. There is a great story about the

:18:37.:18:40.

guys who founded this, one cashed out pretty early in return for a

:18:41.:18:47.

bike? It is a great story. As ever, slightly exaggerated. The firm was

:18:48.:18:51.

founded in around 2008 by three guys, two months in, who knows where

:18:52.:18:58.

a company will start to go, this guy cashed out and got a bike in

:18:59.:19:02.

exchange, he was quoted this week as saying, maybe it wasn't my best

:19:03.:19:07.

decision. In about 30 seconds, what are GoPro doing wrong? Not meeting

:19:08.:19:13.

market expectations. Market expectations were completely daft. A

:19:14.:19:18.

little maker of action cameras, great little cameras, but there are

:19:19.:19:21.

much cheaper ones coming out of China now. The company was priced as

:19:22.:19:27.

if it was growth stock, I always thought there would be a limit to

:19:28.:19:31.

the number of crazy geek like me who wants to strap onto their heads, so

:19:32.:19:36.

it has been pro then! -- crazy people like me. Have a good weekend.

:19:37.:19:39.

It's estimated that tens of billions of dollars a year are gambled

:19:40.:19:42.

However, a string of match fixing scandals have damaged the reputation

:19:43.:19:46.

of Indian sport - and pressure is growing to legalise sports

:19:47.:19:49.

betting to try and weed out corruption.

:19:50.:19:50.

It is nearly race time. As these jockeys lead their horses to the

:19:51.:20:06.

track, activity in the betting hall is picking up, too. Gambling is a

:20:07.:20:11.

big part of the day for many racegoers. Horse racing is the only

:20:12.:20:16.

sport where betting in India is legal. You will find licensed

:20:17.:20:20.

bookmakers at racecourses like this at accepting bets from punters. This

:20:21.:20:27.

has been held up as an example of how gambling can be legalised across

:20:28.:20:32.

sports here. For now, though, with most gambling

:20:33.:20:36.

outlawed, the underground sports betting market is thriving. Tens of

:20:37.:20:40.

billions of dollars are thought to be staked every year, the bulk of

:20:41.:20:46.

that on cricket. Bookmakers tend to take bets only from gamblers who

:20:47.:20:50.

they know, to reduce the risk of being caught. Many punters who bring

:20:51.:20:54.

those bookies to lay their bets say they would rather be able to gamble

:20:55.:20:59.

out of the shadows. TRANSLATION: We all are scared of the police, that

:21:00.:21:03.

is why I had to be really careful while placing my bet. I call only a

:21:04.:21:09.

known bookie. If the police find stuff, they arrest people. I think

:21:10.:21:13.

the Government should legalise betting, as so many do it. It may

:21:14.:21:18.

still be India's greatest sport, but the credibility of Indian cricket

:21:19.:21:24.

took a hit after a in the IPL.

:21:25.:21:29.

There is a clamour to legalise betting. As well as making gambling

:21:30.:21:35.

more transparent, it said it would bring in taxes and help restrict the

:21:36.:21:39.

flow of so-called black money, cash not declared to the taxman.

:21:40.:21:43.

Globally, online sports betting is booming. The Indian law is ambiguous

:21:44.:21:48.

about its legality here. There are many more betting site is now,

:21:49.:21:52.

allowing people to play for fun without risking money. Even if

:21:53.:21:56.

sports gambling is legalised, those global firms will have to cater to

:21:57.:22:02.

the legal audience -- to the Indian audience. Global legitimate

:22:03.:22:06.

operators can come in and say, we will deliver a very strong, safe

:22:07.:22:11.

product to the market. That would compete strongly with the black

:22:12.:22:17.

market. As Indian sport leagues like football get more popular, interest

:22:18.:22:23.

in betting is picking up. But for that to be done legally, they will

:22:24.:22:28.

need Parliament to agree. That could be a difficult law to pass.

:22:29.:22:31.

Let's take a quick look at what's been making the business news

:22:32.:22:34.

The Washington Post reports that Martin Shkreli,

:22:35.:22:36.

former head of Turing Pharmaceuticals, refused to answer

:22:37.:22:38.

questions at a US congressional hearing on the company's

:22:39.:22:41.

The FT reports on a study that says partners at top London law firms

:22:42.:22:52.

are charging as much as ?1,000 an hour -

:22:53.:22:54.

And Business Insider says that Apple's big expansion plan

:22:55.:23:00.

for its European headquarters could be affected by a shortage

:23:01.:23:03.

Jane Sydenham from Rathbones Investment Management

:23:04.:23:06.

Let's get cracking. Let's start with Mr Martin Shkreli, calling the

:23:07.:23:16.

congressional hearing and the people on that panel imbecile. He has got a

:23:17.:23:24.

smug little look on his face. He was originally a hedge fund manager and

:23:25.:23:28.

I think he is used to working out of the eye of the media. This is a

:23:29.:23:31.

business that quite a lot of companies bought drugs, repurposed

:23:32.:23:36.

and, that the prices up and sold them again, which is fine, but this

:23:37.:23:40.

seems to be going to an extreme. It was picked up a Hillary Clinton last

:23:41.:23:46.

summer. He is not the only one, there are others. I think it is the

:23:47.:23:49.

extreme nature of the price increase causing difficulty. Looking at it

:23:50.:23:54.

from his side, he says he is doing it because drug research costs a

:23:55.:23:59.

lot, so you need to invest in the research to make sure new drugs are

:24:00.:24:03.

coming in the pipeline. Here's trying to play off the health care

:24:04.:24:07.

system in America, whereby providers can't negotiate the price of drugs.

:24:08.:24:12.

He is saying, look, this market is not working, I am proving I can do

:24:13.:24:17.

it, it is in need of reform. Some would say he has a point in that

:24:18.:24:23.

respect? I think it probably highlight the need for reform,

:24:24.:24:28.

actually. I think it will push the pace of change and will be a good

:24:29.:24:32.

thing, it is just a rather extreme example. And the way in which he is

:24:33.:24:38.

doing it as one of the issues. Let's talk lawyers. You are not married to

:24:39.:24:42.

a lawyer? No, but I am beginning to regret my choice of career! 1000

:24:43.:24:49.

quid an hour for some of the top partners! You had to speak with

:24:50.:24:57.

glee! This is at the top end of the corporate litigation market -- and

:24:58.:25:01.

you had to speak quickly! Legislation is much more

:25:02.:25:08.

complicated, some of these cases are incredibly complicated. It is a lot

:25:09.:25:21.

of money. It is stopping people from pursuing litigation because it is

:25:22.:25:25.

out of the reach of most people, although you would not go to a top

:25:26.:25:27.

London lawyer to defend a parking fine. It pushes up the cost

:25:28.:25:38.

genetically. We will not have time for the next story.

:25:39.:25:42.

This is like the Victorian age, employers are having to stop will --

:25:43.:25:49.

start building property because that was not enough, and Apple are

:25:50.:25:55.

expanding their operations. We have to go, thank you for coming

:25:56.:25:58.

in, Jane. Thank you for watching. Goodbye.

:25:59.:26:08.

Good morning. Quite mild for the next few days, but it will remain

:26:09.:26:14.

very changeable. We have more clout and drain on the way. The main,

:26:15.:26:17.

thick belt of cloud as this

:26:18.:26:19.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS