03/05/2016 BBC Business Live


03/05/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

:00:09.:00:18.

HSBC blames "extreme levels of volatility" for a 14% slump

:00:19.:00:21.

That is our top story on Tuesday, May three.

:00:22.:00:44.

Alongside HSBC's slump in profits, UBS also reports a sharp downturn.

:00:45.:00:46.

We'll assess what it tells us about the state

:00:47.:00:48.

Also in the programme, Australia slashes

:00:49.:00:52.

interest rates for the first time in a year, as it battles

:00:53.:00:54.

Asian stock markets opened higher on Tuesday

:00:55.:00:59.

following positive trading sessions in the US and Europe.

:01:00.:01:09.

And how do you listen to music?

:01:10.:01:10.

This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

:01:11.:01:59.

Technology has changed the way we listen,

:02:00.:02:00.

The boss of the world's biggest music platform, SoundCloud -

:02:01.:02:04.

And as new figures show parents are collectively paying billions

:02:05.:02:07.

every year to help children buy their first house,

:02:08.:02:10.

we want to know, do you rely on Bank of Mum and Dad

:02:11.:02:13.

Let us know, use the hashtag, BBC BizLive.

:02:14.:02:16.

We've had an update in the last couple of hours from

:02:17.:02:19.

It says profits were down 14% in the quarter, to

:02:20.:02:25.

It seems that Tata are about to enter a deal with liberty house.

:02:26.:02:32.

This is the first concrete bid for the group since the Indian

:02:33.:02:39.

conglomerate Tata put up the UK operations for sale. We want to do

:02:40.:02:42.

to make you aware of that news in the last few minutes. Returning to

:02:43.:02:50.

the top story. Banking giant HSBC says that profits were down 14% in

:02:51.:03:05.

the last quarter, down to $6.1 billion.

:03:06.:03:08.

Rival UBS also reported its results today with a 65% drop in first

:03:09.:03:11.

quarter profits while French banking giant BNP Paribas managed to provide

:03:12.:03:14.

a little cheer for the troubled banking sector, posting

:03:15.:03:16.

It's been a bad time for big banks recently.

:03:17.:03:19.

In the UK, the five largest have all seen their profits and share

:03:20.:03:23.

Let's have a look at some of the reasons why,

:03:24.:03:26.

the turmoil on global stock markets and slump in commodity prices

:03:27.:03:29.

like oil and steel, have made it even harder for investment

:03:30.:03:32.

The banks have been hit by the cost of mis-selling payment

:03:33.:03:35.

protection insurance as well as fines for market rigging.

:03:36.:03:40.

Remember the bank rate that was rigged by a lot of big banks.

:03:41.:03:45.

Central Banks have been trying to boost borrowing

:03:46.:03:50.

by using record low, and even negative, interest rates.

:03:51.:03:52.

But this has, in many cases, simple led to a weakening

:03:53.:03:55.

the Institute of Financial Services joins me now.

:03:56.:04:07.

Several banks have reported today that being Europe's biggest, it was

:04:08.:04:17.

not as grim as some were predicting. It was not, HSBC is mostly an Asian

:04:18.:04:21.

bank, it is headquartered in London but it is Asian, it is the largest

:04:22.:04:27.

bank in Europe but it is very much an Asian bank. In what way does that

:04:28.:04:32.

change its numbers, because many are doing the fact that it is so exposed

:04:33.:04:37.

to China in particular, it is not necessarily a good thing. HSBC has

:04:38.:04:43.

made it very clear, they see a substantial amount of their future

:04:44.:04:47.

being Asia, Asia is still a growing market. I think what we need to

:04:48.:04:51.

think about is that many markets in Asia, we used to call them

:04:52.:04:59.

developing markets, but now I call them markets that are roughly

:05:00.:05:02.

developing economies, development is not that smooth, but the return

:05:03.:05:07.

tends to be where the risk is. They have gone to where the potential

:05:08.:05:12.

returns are. Talking about some of the issues that then highlighted

:05:13.:05:16.

what all banks around the world have been facing this year, terrible

:05:17.:05:20.

profits when it comes to investment banking because of market volatility

:05:21.:05:24.

and the really low commodity prices, and adds to that very low interest

:05:25.:05:28.

rates, meaning the other side of the business is not doing so well, talk

:05:29.:05:31.

us through some of the headwinds, that the likes of HSBC and others

:05:32.:05:38.

have been facing. Investment banking has been hit by a slowdown in the

:05:39.:05:42.

volume of business, thinking about the number of trades going on,

:05:43.:05:48.

HSBC's investment bank is not the largest, Goldman Sachs, some of the

:05:49.:05:53.

US banks have much larger Trajan operations. -- trading operations.

:05:54.:05:59.

HSBC has not been hit in the same way, its investment arm is client

:06:00.:06:06.

focused, it is not focused as much, that is a positive side. We had

:06:07.:06:10.

expectations of a much worse set of numbers from HSBC, they were not as

:06:11.:06:19.

bad as had been imagined. Overall, investment banking, and thinking

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about some of the other banks that have announced earnings this

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morning, those that had businesses that were much more market focused,

:06:26.:06:31.

investment banking in a niche, big market players have suffered more.

:06:32.:06:35.

We have seen results from Europe, outside of southern Europe, Italy,

:06:36.:06:42.

they have been favourable. Europe not as bad. HSBC, coming back,

:06:43.:06:51.

China, HSBC is more focused on the private sector in China, the state

:06:52.:06:56.

owned enterprises, where there is more difficulty, as they shift from

:06:57.:07:01.

heavy industry to a service economy. We see different things from

:07:02.:07:06.

different banks. UBS reported results, their investment banking

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results, down dramatically, as they were supposedly reducing their

:07:11.:07:16.

investment banking footprint, the size of that business, does not look

:07:17.:07:19.

like they have reduced volatility in earnings. They are also suffering on

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the private banking. So there is a lot to consider as we look towards

:07:28.:07:30.

the rest of the year, thank you very much for coming in. Then two more

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detail on HSBC, BNP Paribas, and UBS, online. -- there is much more

:07:36.:07:40.

detail. Puerto Rico's debt

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crisis has prompted it to default on a $422 million debt

:07:45.:07:50.

payment that was due yesterday. The governor of the US territory had

:07:51.:07:53.

already warned that the the island's financial position was

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perilous and would not meet Creditors have agreed to hold talks

:07:57.:07:58.

for 30 days and will not pursue legal action until those

:07:59.:08:02.

talks are completed. Ferrari says it's on course

:08:03.:08:03.

for a record year and sales for the first

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three months of the year. The Italian sportscar maker

:08:07.:08:09.

sold nearly 1,900 cars that's up 15% on the same

:08:10.:08:11.

period last year. Profits rose 19% to $90m,

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with sales in Europe, China, and the Middle East

:08:16.:08:17.

rising by double-digits. German airline Lufthansa has

:08:18.:08:19.

reported a small loss down from a profit of $490 million

:08:20.:08:23.

over the same period last year. It made a first-quarter pre-tax loss

:08:24.:08:30.

of $61 million but missed forecasts. The group has cut its capacity plans

:08:31.:08:33.

amid fierce competition Last week, one of Lufthansa's

:08:34.:08:36.

rivals, made a similar cut

:08:37.:08:40.

to its growth plans. Iterating the breaking news, as

:08:41.:08:56.

mentioned at the beginning of the programme, it is on the website, in

:08:57.:09:02.

fact it is Ben's tweet on the business live page, bionic Ben,

:09:03.:09:05.

getting a tweet before we walked onto the set, talk us through this

:09:06.:09:10.

letter of intent. Clearly waiting for combination from both sides,

:09:11.:09:14.

this story, liberty house, it was involved in some of the early

:09:15.:09:17.

discussions about the future of the British assets of Tata, this is the

:09:18.:09:24.

first concrete bid since the business was put up the sale, it

:09:25.:09:27.

simply cannot compete with cheap imports, notably from China, and the

:09:28.:09:32.

European industry has been suffering as well, news that this is a letter

:09:33.:09:36.

that they have an intent to buy the British assets of Tata, could be

:09:37.:09:40.

good news for the thousands of jobs that are at risk. Another story on

:09:41.:09:47.

the business live page, BMW says that it is seeing record sales in

:09:48.:09:53.

the first quarter, it has seen an appetite for luxury cars, certainly,

:09:54.:09:58.

BMW, also high end, first-quarter record for car sales, sales volume,

:09:59.:10:05.

up 6%, totalling 567,605 cars, they sold all of those in the first three

:10:06.:10:07.

months of the year. the central bank there has cut

:10:08.:10:10.

interest rates just hours before the Government is due

:10:11.:10:14.

to deliver it's budget. It comes after new figures showed

:10:15.:10:16.

inflation had turned negative from our Asia Business

:10:17.:10:18.

Hub in Singapore. Central bank action getting

:10:19.:10:35.

everyone's attention once again. It is indeed, I should say that the key

:10:36.:10:38.

cash rate, which is the benchmark cash rate, cut to 1.75, that is a

:10:39.:10:45.

fresh record low for Australia, really an attempt to counter

:10:46.:10:51.

deflation, also an attempt to level the strength of this trailing

:10:52.:10:55.

dollar, at a time when it is feeling the pinch from a slowdown in their

:10:56.:11:00.

largest trading partner, China, prompted by a decision data last

:11:01.:11:04.

week, which showed quarterly deflation in the consumer price

:11:05.:11:09.

index and the weakest annual gain on record for core inflation. The

:11:10.:11:12.

Australian dollar pretty much falling on the decision, that's what

:11:13.:11:17.

we saw, that dollar has risen 15% since mid-January, making the nation

:11:18.:11:22.

's key exports like iron ore more expensive, looking to bring down the

:11:23.:11:26.

spreading dollar, there is also the hope that it would boost household

:11:27.:11:29.

spending, but of course, next thing we are watching for is the budget,

:11:30.:11:34.

likely focusing on jobs growth, keeping the budget in check,

:11:35.:11:37.

expectations for small tax cuts, spending, infrastructure ahead, of

:11:38.:11:45.

elections that the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull, will likely call

:11:46.:11:46.

on May 11. So that surprise move

:11:47.:11:50.

by Australia's Central Bank to cut rates off the back of

:11:51.:11:52.

weak inflation data. Prices turned negative

:11:53.:11:54.

in the last quarter. That's largely been driven

:11:55.:11:56.

by the slump in commodity prices, but the big question is how

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temporary these factors In Europe, here's what the numbers

:12:00.:12:01.

are doing in the first hour. We're seeing some improvement

:12:02.:12:20.

from the lows of February, but nothing to get excited

:12:21.:12:22.

about at all. In the UK later we get the latest

:12:23.:12:24.

manufacturing PMI data from which is expected to show

:12:25.:12:27.

a small improvement, and will be watched as always,

:12:28.:12:29.

for signs that it's not only a story of recovery led by

:12:30.:12:32.

the service sector. We'll talk more about that

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in a moment, but let's head Stateside for a look ahead

:12:36.:12:38.

to the day on Wall Street. Plenty to watch out for this

:12:39.:12:47.

Tuesday, buckle up, first we turn to the US car industry, most of the

:12:48.:12:52.

world's big eight auto-makers will report how many new cars they have

:12:53.:12:55.

sold in April in America, research firm Kelly blue book estimates 17.5

:12:56.:13:01.

million new rights were purchased. One company to pay attention to,

:13:02.:13:08.

Volkswagen, tainted by an omission scandal, and omissions cheating

:13:09.:13:11.

scandal, will they be able to stop their steady decline in sales. --

:13:12.:13:15.

Kelly Bluebook. Tuesday's report should shed some light. Earnings

:13:16.:13:20.

season continues, both Pfizer and Haliburton, two of the companies

:13:21.:13:24.

reporting their first-quarter results. You heard it from Michelle,

:13:25.:13:36.

buckle up! We are joined by global market strategist at JP Morgan asset

:13:37.:13:40.

management. Tell us what is on your mind, another busy day. Illustrating

:13:41.:13:44.

how much markets are looking at monetary policy, central bank rate

:13:45.:13:49.

cuts, and assets in the open market, even raising rates that you have in

:13:50.:13:54.

the US, the Australian action was a bit of a surprise, 12 out of 27

:13:55.:14:01.

economists predicted this. At a time when banks are simply trying to keep

:14:02.:14:04.

up with expectations, they exceeded expectations and made a big cut.

:14:05.:14:09.

Touching on that notion of what banks tell us about the world

:14:10.:14:12.

economy, we get caught up in individual figures, these are only

:14:13.:14:15.

quarterly figures, we should not read too much into them, but it

:14:16.:14:18.

should give us an indication of which way the economy is heading,

:14:19.:14:22.

they are players in many big markets around the world, they are a big

:14:23.:14:28.

indicator. Eusebius trailing bank or any banks forecast really impacting

:14:29.:14:32.

how we think about global growth for the next one, three, five years.

:14:33.:14:37.

When you have a bank like the bank of Australia which sees inflation

:14:38.:14:39.

figures really low and worried, trying to stimulate that quickly, it

:14:40.:14:44.

does signal they are ready to act but also that maybe we should be

:14:45.:14:47.

looking closely at whether Australian data is performing the

:14:48.:14:51.

way that we want it to be. Where I mention the US, I feel like we

:14:52.:14:54.

haven't spoken about them for quite some time, which is unusual, what

:14:55.:14:58.

are people saying in the market is about when rates will go up again?

:14:59.:15:02.

It is always will they won't they, the April meeting that we had for

:15:03.:15:05.

the Federal reserve was not a surprise that they did not act,

:15:06.:15:09.

interesting shift in language, they are now looking less about concerns

:15:10.:15:13.

about a high US dollar, and growth issues in China, now looking more at

:15:14.:15:18.

the US, is all the growth that we have been expecting airtight, is it

:15:19.:15:23.

as strong as it can be to justify a hike in June. Still on the table, a

:15:24.:15:27.

lot of the data has got to come up. A lot happening in June. We will see

:15:28.:15:33.

you in five minutes. All of that will keep us busy. Still to come:

:15:34.:15:41.

music to his ears? The boom in streaming services is changing the

:15:42.:15:44.

way we consume music - but with more and more competitors, can anyone

:15:45.:15:46.

make money? The boss of SoundCloud will be with us shortly.

:15:47.:15:55.

Parents will lend their children a staggering ?5 billion this year to

:15:56.:16:01.

help them on to the property ladder. It means that the so-called bank of

:16:02.:16:06.

mum and dad will help finance 25% of all UK mortgage transactions this

:16:07.:16:13.

year. That's about ?17500 per home and it puts parents in the top ten

:16:14.:16:16.

league of mortgage lenders. Joining us now from our

:16:17.:16:19.

Salford Studio is Louisa Fletcher The figures are staggering. ?5

:16:20.:16:32.

billion and 17500, on average, where is the money coming from? Well, I

:16:33.:16:36.

didn't get pocket money like that when I was a kid, I have to say!

:16:37.:16:41.

Frankly, I think parents are possibly benefiting from the fact

:16:42.:16:46.

that house prices have increased so much over the last decade and at

:16:47.:16:49.

that point, they're able with the equity that they have in their

:16:50.:16:53.

property to help finance their children's purchases. So that's

:16:54.:16:57.

probably where the money is coming from. However it is worth mentioning

:16:58.:17:03.

if you are accepting a deposit t has to be gifted. So you can't lend

:17:04.:17:07.

someone a deposit, you have to gift it to them and that does have to be

:17:08.:17:12.

ratified in writing because the lender needs to understand the

:17:13.:17:14.

person giving you that money isn't going to want it back.

:17:15.:17:22.

Is it parents and grandparents in a sense gifting the inheritance to

:17:23.:17:25.

their children a lot earlier than perhaps they would have perhaps

:17:26.:17:29.

thought about and therefore, in some ways, some might call it very, very

:17:30.:17:34.

tax efficient when you look at inheritance tax and that kind of

:17:35.:17:37.

thing? It will depend on the amount of money you're gifting and the

:17:38.:17:41.

threshold at which you would say pay tax. Yes, there is probably a trend

:17:42.:17:45.

that we're seeing where people are saying, "Look, we have got the

:17:46.:17:49.

ability. We've got the where with all because our own property has

:17:50.:17:52.

grown so much in value. Let's give you the money now when it is really

:17:53.:17:57.

going to help you rather than in 20 or so years time. Let's get you on

:17:58.:18:03.

the ladder now and the cash is there in some ca obviously." Better you

:18:04.:18:09.

make use of it now. Louisa, thank you.

:18:10.:18:14.

Parents who lend money to their kids to buy a house, they feel they can

:18:15.:18:17.

stay at that house whenever they want. I have got friends like that

:18:18.:18:26.

in London! It is called BOMAD! The bank of mum and dad!

:18:27.:18:28.

You heard it here! One of the world's biggest banks,

:18:29.:18:38.

HSBC, has reported a 14% in profits for the first

:18:39.:18:47.

three months of the year. The bank blamed "extreme levels

:18:48.:18:49.

of volatility" in financial We have heard those excuses before.

:18:50.:18:55.

Many of the European banks have reported today. Take a look online.

:18:56.:18:59.

You can see the details on our website.

:19:00.:19:00.

When was the last time you bought a CD?

:19:01.:19:02.

For many, the way they consume music has changed entirely.

:19:03.:19:09.

We no longer own the music, but instead rent it,

:19:10.:19:12.

paying a monthly subscription to access thousands of tracks

:19:13.:19:14.

and albums to play whenever and wherever we want.

:19:15.:19:16.

And one of the big players is SoundCloud.

:19:17.:19:19.

Today, they're launching a paid-for service in the UK,

:19:20.:19:22.

but can the market sustain a new player in this

:19:23.:19:24.

Last year there was a 45% increase in streaming revenue,

:19:25.:19:37.

with physical music sales being overtaken for the first time.

:19:38.:19:40.

SoundCloud often gets much less attention than its rival Spotify,

:19:41.:19:42.

but it has more than double the number of users,

:19:43.:19:45.

And unlike Spotify, SoundCloud has focused on growth over paid

:19:46.:19:53.

In 2014, the company posted a loss of $56.4 million and so arguably

:19:54.:20:04.

needs to start charging to stay in the game.

:20:05.:20:07.

Alex Ljung is Co-founder and Chief Executive, SoundCloud.

:20:08.:20:19.

Nice to meet you, Alex. It is a very crowded market, but you argue that

:20:20.:20:26.

you are doing so well already forget the numbers for now. In terms of

:20:27.:20:31.

listeners, those users because of what you aurvings the uniqueness of

:20:32.:20:36.

what you offer? Yes. Well, I think if you take a step back as well.

:20:37.:20:39.

Music is one of the big human passions. Every single person on the

:20:40.:20:43.

planet loves music. Is passionate about it and it is a big part of

:20:44.:20:47.

their life. The market potential in terms of usage is enormous. So there

:20:48.:20:52.

is a lot of space for several different companies in that. How do

:20:53.:20:55.

you convert people from a free service to a paid for service? If

:20:56.:21:00.

you're offering something for free? What convinces them to start

:21:01.:21:03.

shelling out money for it? SoundCloud is unique in that we have

:21:04.:21:06.

been offering a free service for several years now. And now have over

:21:07.:21:12.

175 million unique listeners. Well over, you know, 100 million tracks

:21:13.:21:17.

available for free and it doesn't exist anywhere else. It is the

:21:18.:21:22.

choice for the artists, artists both big and small use SoundCloud all the

:21:23.:21:26.

time. We are introducing a paid service that let's you take all of

:21:27.:21:30.

that and make it off line available, but the unique part is we have taken

:21:31.:21:36.

all the back catalogue and the big indes and put that in a service, you

:21:37.:21:42.

have a service that has over 125 million tracks, everything

:21:43.:21:47.

imaginable, albums, remixes, mash-ups, everything you can think

:21:48.:21:53.

off and off line and that's what you get for the fee. About the artists,

:21:54.:21:58.

we know the likes of Apple Music they faced a backlash when it came

:21:59.:22:02.

to how much they paid artists. Certain artists decided they didn't

:22:03.:22:05.

want to be on that platform because they weren't being paid. How do you

:22:06.:22:10.

square that circle? You need to keep your costs down and particularly new

:22:11.:22:13.

artists that work with you need to be paid? Well, SoundCloud is very

:22:14.:22:18.

special. If you look at its history like, my co-founder and I we were

:22:19.:22:21.

both musicians and we started thinking about what can the internet

:22:22.:22:26.

give to musicians? So we have become very quickly the biggest community

:22:27.:22:30.

of creators and artists across the world and this was before we had

:22:31.:22:33.

revenue opportunities in there. So, you know, you think about

:22:34.:22:38.

traditional radio play, 3,000, 4,000 artists, at SoundCloud we play

:22:39.:22:42.

12,000 artists every month. It is an explosion for what artists can do

:22:43.:22:46.

online and there is also revenue opportunities on top of that. So it

:22:47.:22:50.

is a combination value of both revenue and being able to build a

:22:51.:22:55.

large audience. It is a very mixed environment, isn't it? Different...

:22:56.:22:59.

Just like life. To different organisations work in different ways

:23:00.:23:03.

and for artists, especially new artists, unknown artists, would you

:23:04.:23:07.

argue they are losing out in this world of streaming in terms of the

:23:08.:23:13.

revenue potential for them? Look, there are challenges. Real

:23:14.:23:17.

challenges in terms of, you know, how big I believe the industry

:23:18.:23:21.

around music should be versus where it is at today, but I'm a optimist

:23:22.:23:26.

and we are at a point in time where the tools for cre August's of music

:23:27.:23:30.

are more accessible to, you know, more people than ever before. There

:23:31.:23:34.

is more creativity than ever before. The world is more global than ever

:23:35.:23:38.

before, which means there is more creative input from across the

:23:39.:23:42.

entire world. So I believe we're in a golden age of creativity. We're in

:23:43.:23:48.

a golden age of how people consume music and we're in a really good

:23:49.:23:53.

point in terms of how we're starting to ramp up the regeneration around

:23:54.:23:58.

that which will get a lot bigger over the next few years. You moved

:23:59.:24:06.

from Sweden to Berlin. Talk me through the environment. Perhaps

:24:07.:24:10.

what you could do in Berlin and you couldn't do in Sweden and how Europe

:24:11.:24:14.

is holding its own against the Silicon Valley? Internet connections

:24:15.:24:18.

were better in Sweden, great connectivity, but the thing that we

:24:19.:24:21.

liked about Berlin, it is a city with a little bit of a punk

:24:22.:24:25.

attitude. It has got an edge to it and it is very close to, you know,

:24:26.:24:31.

creativity and the cutting edge of creativity and good technology. That

:24:32.:24:36.

was good for us as we said at the inter-- as we sit at the

:24:37.:24:39.

intersection between arts and technology. We had an office in

:24:40.:24:44.

Silicon Valley. Silicon Valley is great for technology and maybe less

:24:45.:24:47.

interesting for the parts. I know that you're friend and the

:24:48.:24:50.

co-founder that you work with Eric, he had an album which he does admit

:24:51.:24:55.

was not the greatest by any means, are you tempted? No, his albums are

:24:56.:24:59.

great. He has done two of them. OK. I read a quote of his saying he is

:25:00.:25:03.

not impressed with his own stuff! Anyway. Is there a danger when it

:25:04.:25:08.

comes to the musicians, you were founded on the principles of sharing

:25:09.:25:11.

music so it was new bands that wanted to get their music out there

:25:12.:25:14.

and this was a platform to do that and this is a question applicable to

:25:15.:25:19.

many new start-ups that you get so far away from your founding ethos

:25:20.:25:22.

now it becomes about money and profit and revenue and shareholders,

:25:23.:25:26.

all that thing, where it has got so far away from the reason that you

:25:27.:25:31.

created that it runs away from you. How do you retain that ethos? We

:25:32.:25:35.

start it had from a personal point, a passion, believing that the

:25:36.:25:39.

internet could do more for musicians and we have more musicians on

:25:40.:25:42.

SoundCloud than ever before and it is growing rapidly. So I think, you

:25:43.:25:47.

know, we are connected to what it started with and you know we have

:25:48.:25:52.

some of the biggest artists and the smallest artists on the platform

:25:53.:25:55.

today. Alex Ljung Thank you for coming in.

:25:56.:26:01.

Nice to have you on Business

:26:02.:26:02.

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