16/08/2016 BBC Business Live


16/08/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News, with Sally Bundock

:00:00.:00:00.

Mining giant BHP Billiton tells us it lost nearly $6.5 billion over

:00:07.:00:13.

Live from London, that's our top story on Tuesday the 16th August.

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The fatal mining disaster in Brazil and the plummet in commodity prices

:00:36.:00:38.

have taken a huge bite out of the world's biggest mining

:00:39.:00:41.

We'll get an expert view on where BHP is headed next.

:00:42.:00:46.

Also in the programme - how about this deal?

:00:47.:00:49.

Well, if you live in the US Volkswagen is giving you cash

:00:50.:00:55.

as compensation for the emissions scandal and will fix your car.

:00:56.:00:58.

In Europe, it's a bit of pipe to fix the problem.

:00:59.:01:03.

And the markets are headed lower in Europe - watch out

:01:04.:01:05.

for the UK inflation data that is due out this morning.

:01:06.:01:09.

What will it tell us about what the Bank

:01:10.:01:11.

And put on your science caps - we'll be looking at

:01:12.:01:18.

Lasers are used in everything from drilling to cancer treatment

:01:19.:01:34.

and we'll find out from a leading UK firm how they're improving

:01:35.:01:37.

Are all technological innovations positive?

:01:38.:01:39.

Or do we rely too much on technology to help us?

:01:40.:01:42.

Can you go a day without Google maps, for instance?

:01:43.:01:44.

Quantum physics, my specialist subject!

:01:45.:02:07.

It's a record loss for the mining giant BHP Billiton -

:02:08.:02:09.

That is the company's worst result since it was founded in the 1850s.

:02:10.:02:14.

The world's largest miner, like many other commodity firms,

:02:15.:02:17.

has suffered greatly by the collapse in commodity prices

:02:18.:02:19.

But also hitting BHP's bottom line was the fallout from the Samarco

:02:20.:02:28.

Last November an iron-ore mine dam collapsed and released

:02:29.:02:34.

a torrent of toxic mud, killing 19 people and

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Brazilian prosecutors have brought a multi-billion dollar law

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suit against the company and its partner there,

:02:45.:02:45.

So a lot happening as far as BHP Billiton is concerned. Over to you,

:02:46.:03:02.

Aaron? James Butterfill is head of research

:03:03.:03:07.

and investment strategy at ETF Securities. Great to have you. Let's

:03:08.:03:13.

start with this. It is almost like a perfect storm, the slowdown in the

:03:14.:03:18.

commodities, the dam disaster and BHP is a bit of a bad bet on US

:03:19.:03:23.

shale, the fracking story in America, it has all come together?

:03:24.:03:29.

Saudi Arabia has employed a strategy of trying to destroy the shale

:03:30.:03:31.

business in United States. The marginal cost of production, how

:03:32.:03:36.

much it costs to produce oil per barrel, it is around $60 per barrel,

:03:37.:03:46.

the price has fallen to about $47. It is not cost-effective. It has

:03:47.:03:52.

really hurt BHP. Coupled with that, we have seen a 13% fall in iron ore,

:03:53.:04:00.

roughly 20% fall in silver over the financial year. It has picked up

:04:01.:04:03.

recently but that will not be reflected in results. To make

:04:04.:04:09.

matters worse we had the disaster, they had initially said it will cost

:04:10.:04:14.

about $1.3 billion, they have pushed that up to $2.2 billion. So a total

:04:15.:04:21.

write-off for earnings of around $7.7 billion, pretty grim. They set

:04:22.:04:27.

aside 2.2 for the dam disaster in Brazil, but what is the civil

:04:28.:04:33.

lawsuit? $48 billion, it is a bit unrealistic, a bit like BP with the

:04:34.:04:37.

well incident, it was never the amount that the initial estimate

:04:38.:04:40.

said, it will probably come down, but they will have to start making

:04:41.:04:46.

provisions for this. Sally wants to join in as well, but this commodity

:04:47.:04:58.

slowdown, it has been building up, has BHP done a good job in battening

:04:59.:05:01.

down the hatches for the storm, could they have done better? They

:05:02.:05:03.

went on a massive capital expenditure spending splurge to help

:05:04.:05:06.

China building its infrastructure. Since Chinese growth has slowed

:05:07.:05:10.

down, they have cut that back. They were spending $22 billion a year, in

:05:11.:05:17.

2017 they will be $5 billion. That is how much they are scaling back

:05:18.:05:22.

investment. It brings in concerns about future profitability if it is

:05:23.:05:26.

not investing any more. What did they say about the dividend? Chief

:05:27.:05:31.

executive Andrew McKenzie was forced to say we will not stick to the

:05:32.:05:36.

promise of keeping or upping the dividend? If you are an investor,

:05:37.:05:41.

quantitative easing has meant you are yield starved, you want some

:05:42.:05:46.

form of income. Yields have been exceptionally low recently as a

:05:47.:05:49.

consequence, people have been looking for places. Mines have been

:05:50.:05:57.

paying fantastic dividend yields. Except for BHP, it can only cover

:05:58.:06:02.

its dividends, earnings only cover about half of it, so it has divided

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from elsewhere. It is likely that it will cut the dividends. And the

:06:10.:06:14.

gates are easing. James, short and sweet, we appreciated.

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We will talk to you sometime again. BHP shares are opening down 1.7% in

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London. In other news, Australia's central

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bank has explained why it cut interest rates for the second time

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in four months earlier this month. It said inflation would remain

:06:26.:06:27.

low and the economy It also said that house price

:06:28.:06:30.

concerns had cooled, Indonesian Airlines have been

:06:31.:06:33.

cleared to begin flying to the US US transport officials said

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Indonesia's aviation sector had met international standards

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and its safety rating had been Indonesia's fast-growing aviation

:06:50.:06:51.

market suffered several high-profile accidents

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and was downgraded in 2007. They were banned from entering the

:06:56.:07:15.

United States then. Oh, we have the #BBCBizLive page! That is your job,

:07:16.:07:19.

Aaron. BHP is quite heavily on there. You

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caught me by surprise, I forgot I had the tablet. I will tell the

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viewers. Investment firm Berkshire Hathaway

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says it has added a large chunk The investment firm,

:07:33.:07:34.

which is run by legendary investor Warren Buffett,

:07:35.:07:38.

increased its stake in Apple That is quite interesting, he has

:07:39.:07:44.

not traditionally been keen on tech stocks but is tipping his toe in the

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water. Have you found something else? I have not had a chance to

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look at the latest Apple share price. But that is a lot of money.

:07:55.:07:59.

OK, it's that time to head over to our Singapore bureau and talk

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about why shares in the commercial property group Dalian Wanda,

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owned by China's richest man have been climbing today.

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Why are they going? They have risen. Stocks under the deli and wander

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group are trading almost 2.5% higher in Hong Kong on Wednesday --

:08:22.:08:29.

Tuesday. The billionaire won shareholder approval on Monday to

:08:30.:08:33.

buy out the company for a whopping 4.4 billion US dollars, clearing the

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way for the biggest ever privatisation deal in Hong Kong,

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less than two years after the company was first floated. This sets

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the stage for Dalian Wanda group to relocate its Hong Kong listing to

:08:47.:08:50.

mainland China, which is where companies are fetching higher

:08:51.:08:53.

valuations than in Hong Kong. It would be a relief for the

:08:54.:08:59.

billionaire owner, who has faced difficulties completing

:09:00.:09:02.

transactions, but not everyone will be pleased. Wanda is one of many

:09:03.:09:06.

companies hoping to take advantage of higher mainland valuations, some

:09:07.:09:11.

worry about a risk to the Hong Kong market. For Japan, it was a day of

:09:12.:09:21.

decline. It was not like that to the whole trading session, it was

:09:22.:09:24.

enjoying some gains, then it all went sour because the dollar got a

:09:25.:09:30.

much weaker and the yen strengthened significantly. Just to say that the

:09:31.:09:33.

big exporters listed in Tokyo are having a very tough time today. Hong

:09:34.:09:39.

Kong is a little bit flat. Wall Street, higher. The S 500 enjoying

:09:40.:09:47.

record gains. Let's look at Europe. As mentioned earlier, declaims right

:09:48.:09:51.

across the board. BHP Billiton dragging down the FTSE 100/1% at the

:09:52.:09:57.

open, shares in general are a bit lower. Let's not forget the time of

:09:58.:10:04.

year, mid-August, very thin trading. Samir Hussein has the details about

:10:05.:10:08.

what to expect on Wall Street. The number one improvement chain will

:10:09.:10:14.

report earnings on Tuesday. Home Depot is expected to continue its

:10:15.:10:18.

streak of strong results as customers spend more on homes and

:10:19.:10:23.

home improvement. Speaking of homes, housing figures are not expected to

:10:24.:10:27.

have changed much in July compared to one month earlier. The numbers

:10:28.:10:32.

indicate slow progress in residential construction. Also in

:10:33.:10:36.

economic news, the consumer Price Index is not expected to have

:10:37.:10:41.

changed in July. Given the very slow pace of inflation, economists

:10:42.:10:50.

believe it allows the US central bank to maintain monetary policy, to

:10:51.:11:00.

keep interest low. Bronwyn Curtis joins us, a familiar face. We will

:11:01.:11:07.

talk about the US in a bit, but in the UK, inflation numbers today.

:11:08.:11:10.

Inflation is looking backwards, right? We want to look forward. We

:11:11.:11:16.

have seen ten plus percent drop in the value of the pound, that will

:11:17.:11:22.

take some time. That is not good for inflation? Inflation will go up,

:11:23.:11:27.

because you import, you pay more for goods. That goes through to

:11:28.:11:31.

inflation. It is not happening yet, it will probably be the latter part

:11:32.:11:36.

of the year. But a year on, we're looking at inflation, according to

:11:37.:11:40.

the Bank of England, back at 2%, higher than the target of 2% after

:11:41.:11:53.

that. Some of us are looking at something like 3% by the end of next

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year, very high. The Bank of England today, it is its second week of the

:11:57.:11:59.

bond buying programme, it has not been going very well? They are

:12:00.:12:03.

trying to push down long-term rates. Everybody knows they are doing it,

:12:04.:12:07.

the big fund managers and the pension funds are holding out for

:12:08.:12:11.

better prices. They will be able to get these bonds, but it will take

:12:12.:12:16.

some time. They are trying to push down yields across the board so that

:12:17.:12:21.

companies and households will borrow and spend to help the economy. They

:12:22.:12:25.

are not worried about inflation, they are worried about the economy.

:12:26.:12:31.

If we go across the Atlantic, Samir is mentioning things, we got the

:12:32.:12:36.

minutes from the US that meeting, that should give them an indication?

:12:37.:12:43.

They have got other data out this week. We saw the dollar weakened

:12:44.:12:53.

today and although the Fed minutes would say the risks have diminished,

:12:54.:13:01.

anyone would be able to push any rate higher into the future. People

:13:02.:13:03.

are a bit nervous about what is going on with the Fed with rates,

:13:04.:13:09.

will they had to pump more money in it is hovering, the markets are

:13:10.:13:13.

harbouring and waiting for somebody to push them one way or the other.

:13:14.:13:19.

We are at very high levels now. No hope in hell that they will do two

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rate rises between now and the end of the year.

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I hope you will not have to eat your heart!

:13:30.:13:31.

I will if I had to! Still to come, we'll be looking

:13:32.:13:34.

at the world of lasers and how they can be used to make your life

:13:35.:13:37.

and health better. You're with Business

:13:38.:13:40.

Live from BBC News. We were just discussing the

:13:41.:13:47.

inflation data coming out for July which will be the first data on

:13:48.:13:51.

consumer prices since the vote to leave the European Union in June.

:13:52.:13:57.

But the pound's fall, since the referendum should, in theory,

:13:58.:14:01.

increase inflation. As imports become more expensive, it's going to

:14:02.:14:06.

take some time but it could return to the 2% target by the end of the

:14:07.:14:12.

year for the Bank of England? Andrew joins us from our flashy business

:14:13.:14:18.

newsroom. Andrew, is this the way... OK, the first number since the

:14:19.:14:21.

Brexit vote, they're not going to take much into account, are they?

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Not much. We'd been living at inflation last year, and we just got

:14:28.:14:31.

one months worth of the impact of that depreciation in the value of

:14:32.:14:34.

the pound and of course it's going to take time to feed through. This

:14:35.:14:39.

is what inflation have been doing all year. It was 0.1% it has picked

:14:40.:14:45.

up since then and the most recent figure, June, 0.5%. And that,

:14:46.:14:51.

frankly, is what most economists are expecting to see a game in the new

:14:52.:14:56.

figures. No change, not yet, at least. Worth mentioning that we're

:14:57.:15:02.

also going to be getting producer price indices, the prices charged by

:15:03.:15:07.

manufacturers at the factory gate and more importantly the prices I

:15:08.:15:11.

have to pay for raw materials and components including imported stuff,

:15:12.:15:14.

which might just show a little bit more of the impact of the decline in

:15:15.:15:18.

Stirling. At least you would expect to do feed through to that part of

:15:19.:15:22.

the supply chain rather more Rickie Lambert prices paid by consumers.

:15:23.:15:27.

Andrew, I know we all watch this data like a hawk and so do people

:15:28.:15:32.

like the Bank of England and traders in the city, but for those in the

:15:33.:15:37.

rest of the UK, how important is it? To what extent does it impact them?

:15:38.:15:42.

In terms of how the Bank of England responsible as interest-rate policy,

:15:43.:15:46.

there's also the question of these particular figures about regulated

:15:47.:15:50.

rail fares. The figures for retail Price index, different one from this

:15:51.:15:53.

one, and will be higher, they will be used as a benchmark for train

:15:54.:16:00.

fares the next year. This particular figure actually does affect us in

:16:01.:16:04.

the pocket. Andrew, thanks, mate. Andrew Walker. You were videoing

:16:05.:16:13.

your husband earlier. It was a freebie conversation. Google Duo

:16:14.:16:21.

launches today. Another one. Dignity out of a deep hole,

:16:22.:16:25.

Digging itself out of hole, a deep hole - BHP Billiton

:16:26.:16:28.

ever in the company's history, $6.5 billion, as falling commodity

:16:29.:16:31.

prices and a deadly dam failure in Brazil hit hard.

:16:32.:16:33.

it was just below 6.5 to be precise. 6.3 85.

:16:34.:16:37.

A quick look at how the markets are faring.

:16:38.:16:41.

They are all in the red. A real change in fortunes because these

:16:42.:16:48.

markets have been going higher and higher for days. Ending higher on

:16:49.:16:53.

Monday, but we saw a weakness in Tokyo, Japan down 1.6 at the close

:16:54.:16:56.

of the dollar weakness affecting Japan. And general selling going on.

:16:57.:17:04.

Our next guest works with light and in particular lasers to create

:17:05.:17:07.

products for areas as diverse as computing and medicine.

:17:08.:17:09.

Dr Graeme Malcolm co-founded M Squared Lasers in 2006,

:17:10.:17:14.

originally to create lasers for use in academic scientific research.

:17:15.:17:19.

The Scottish firm now has offices in the US including San Jose,

:17:20.:17:22.

The firm explores, develops, and manufactures next-generation

:17:23.:17:28.

lasers for use in oil and gas exploration, cancer detection,

:17:29.:17:33.

through to the discovery of explosives through spectral scans.

:17:34.:17:40.

A large growth area for the company is the application of quantum

:17:41.:17:43.

technology which is being harnessed to create a new generation

:17:44.:17:47.

of electronics, including sensors, communications systems

:17:48.:17:48.

The man himself is in the studio and I've been dying for you to come in

:17:49.:18:02.

and help us out because it's great to have you with us. Quantum

:18:03.:18:08.

physics, for us, can you break it down? What are we talking about?

:18:09.:18:13.

Everybody said about quantum leap. Einstein 100 years ago, a lot of

:18:14.:18:18.

great scientists wrote a theory about quantum and it was a big leap

:18:19.:18:22.

forward in understanding but it's taken a long time for people to

:18:23.:18:26.

catch up selling quantum physics we take a particle, and atom, a

:18:27.:18:32.

building block of matter, or a proton, a particle of light, and

:18:33.:18:35.

reprocessed them using quantum physics, strange things happen and

:18:36.:18:40.

we can exchange information through teleportation. We can create more

:18:41.:18:46.

powerful computer bits which can be not just on and off but both on and

:18:47.:18:53.

off at the same time. It lets technology moves forward. We've had

:18:54.:18:58.

analogue electronics with TVs with valves in them, digital for and and

:18:59.:19:04.

quantum is the next layer of that technology journey. You can put it

:19:05.:19:11.

into lasers and you are telling me in the Green room, using your

:19:12.:19:19.

smartphone here, lasers are used... I'm bamboozled how much lasers are

:19:20.:19:24.

used in manufacturers. The 20 or 30 different processors inside a cell

:19:25.:19:28.

phone. Everything from the glass, the touch-screen, so, really, the

:19:29.:19:35.

way the lasers replace mechanical drills and processing over the last

:19:36.:19:39.

10-15 years has been a phenomenal rate of progress. So who are your

:19:40.:19:43.

clients and who do you sell stuff to and what are you selling? Laser

:19:44.:19:47.

technology and systems based on laser technology to everything from

:19:48.:19:56.

academia, the world's best universities, MIT, Stanford, Oxford,

:19:57.:20:01.

Cambridge, through to government, so for the detection technology trying

:20:02.:20:05.

to help counterterrorism for the week and fingerprint materials, so

:20:06.:20:09.

we work with different governments in Europe and the USA. And more and

:20:10.:20:18.

more we are starting to see the industrialisation, so

:20:19.:20:19.

instrumentation companies and big blue-chip companies that could not

:20:20.:20:24.

be solved about starting to move into this technology. How did you

:20:25.:20:30.

are a kid, did you used to take are a kid, did you used to take

:20:31.:20:35.

things a and put them back together? Yes, not always successfully putting

:20:36.:20:38.

it together again. I kind of got into this because I had a great

:20:39.:20:39.

physics teacher at school. He physics teacher at school. He

:20:40.:20:47.

inspired me. Mr cocky. Mr cocky? You have done well. When I went to

:20:48.:20:53.

university, I must make my choices, and it seemed like the future and

:20:54.:20:57.

now, as we move forward, it's become mainstream. Moving forward, there

:20:58.:21:01.

are some things you're working on now which will make a big impact in

:21:02.:21:05.

30 years' time, affecting us all. What sorts of things? We are working

:21:06.:21:11.

in London on a science using laser imaging to look at how the brain

:21:12.:21:17.

works and to generative rain disease is begun to become a bigger problem

:21:18.:21:21.

as medical science letters live longer. A la understanding of the

:21:22.:21:27.

brain is not a very great at the moment. We don't understand how it

:21:28.:21:30.

works and how to solve diseases of the brain so we can do work in a

:21:31.:21:34.

particular area. OK, it's fascinating. It's fascinating how

:21:35.:21:47.

without it, we don't have anything. Usually our guests bring something

:21:48.:21:51.

in. I've got a smartphone. Nice to meet you. Thanks very much.

:21:52.:21:52.

In a moment we'll take a look through the Business Pages but first

:21:53.:21:55.

here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:21:56.:22:01.

Our pages where you can stay ahead of the braking business news. We

:22:02.:22:08.

will keep you up-to-date with the latest details, with insight and

:22:09.:22:13.

analysis on the BBC's editors around the world. We want to hear from you,

:22:14.:22:17.

too, get involved on the BBC business live web page. And on

:22:18.:22:29.

Twitter. And on Facebook. Business live on TV and online, whenever you

:22:30.:22:31.

need to know. Bronwyn is back to look through some

:22:32.:22:34.

of the paper stories. This is one of our headline stories.

:22:35.:22:44.

The Volkswagen scandal. We knew they were going to pay up in America and

:22:45.:22:49.

not Europe so the Americans, if you own a Volkswagen with a dodgy

:22:50.:22:52.

system, you get 20 grand compensation. And the car is fixed

:22:53.:22:58.

as well. In Europe, you get up plastic type. Interesting. It's all

:22:59.:23:06.

about being able to do class action suits, and in the US, you can. In

:23:07.:23:11.

Europe, the legislation is such that you really can't do that. So what

:23:12.:23:15.

they are trying to do, there are lawyers getting together trying to

:23:16.:23:23.

do online so they can get enough people together to do the equivalent

:23:24.:23:27.

of a class-action suit, so this would be extremely costly, because

:23:28.:23:32.

there's about half a million vehicles in the USA and I think 8.5

:23:33.:23:39.

million in Europe. So imagine the cost of that because, you know, at

:23:40.:23:46.

20,000 a throw, dollars, that is, you rose, whatever, it's an awful

:23:47.:23:50.

lot of money. Let's look at this story which I thought was really

:23:51.:23:54.

interesting. It's about hedge funds is using small satellites in space

:23:55.:24:01.

to keep an eye on stuff to help them make their decisions about future

:24:02.:24:04.

investments. I think it's a fantastic idea. If more central

:24:05.:24:11.

banks looked out of the box... These are tiny shoe box sized satellites

:24:12.:24:17.

which are going into places, for example, looking at oil tanks in the

:24:18.:24:23.

USA, and they have floating lives and by looking at how high load the

:24:24.:24:27.

lids are, you can see really what the infantry is of oil. I thought of

:24:28.:24:35.

something because I used the run an office in South Africa counting the

:24:36.:24:39.

pods on cocoa trees in Africa. We used to do it every three weeks. We

:24:40.:24:45.

used to forecast the crop. We wouldn't have to do that. We were

:24:46.:24:48.

just send in the satellites and look at it, so I think, what they are

:24:49.:24:55.

doing, Nasa scientists about this company together with the satellites

:24:56.:24:57.

but then they sell the data to somebody else. We'll hedge funds

:24:58.:25:03.

management companies have to have a new technology team to manage this

:25:04.:25:06.

side of the business? They have got a data company who is going to

:25:07.:25:10.

actually provide insights, forecasts. We'll publish have them

:25:11.:25:17.

on here. Who is sending up the satellites? Commercial space? A

:25:18.:25:23.

private company. The hedge funds by the predictions from the data

:25:24.:25:29.

company. In about 15 seconds, we've seen banks in the UK with

:25:30.:25:34.

interest-rate cuts, savers, let's be honest, we are screwed, aren't we?

:25:35.:25:38.

There are more savers and borrowers but was going to happen. I had

:25:39.:25:41.

someone on Sunday just saying that they were getting 3% but they are

:25:42.:25:43.

not now. OK, always a pleasure. Hello. It's been a cool but

:25:44.:26:12.

sparkling start to the day in many parts of the British Isles and our

:26:13.:26:15.

weather watchers have been out in force capturing the full majesty of

:26:16.:26:19.

the morning. The satellite picture

:26:20.:26:21.

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