24/02/2017 BBC Business Live


24/02/2017

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Five million US factory jobs have been lost since

:00:17.:00:18.

the turn of the millennium, but what's to blame?

:00:19.:00:20.

We'll ask an expert later in the show.

:00:21.:00:24.

Also in the programme - knock off - get outta here, go home early,

:00:25.:00:27.

Japanese firms bring in a 3.00 pm finish -

:00:28.:00:30.

Question is, can it really change a culture that has a word

:00:31.:00:40.

And Wall Street did it again - wow on the Dow -

:00:41.:00:45.

As you can see, Europe is slightly off today. We will tell you why.

:00:46.:01:00.

And, this week on BBC News we've been looking at the issue

:01:01.:01:03.

Later in the programme we'll speak to our producer

:01:04.:01:06.

Johnny Cassidy gradually lost his eyesight when he was

:01:07.:01:14.

talking to us about his unique experience of the newsroom.

:01:15.:01:17.

Today we want to know - with Japan allowing workers to head

:01:18.:01:20.

home early on a Friday - would you like to see this

:01:21.:01:23.

Is it overkill or should employers be more sympathetic?

:01:24.:01:26.

I tell you what, when you start at 4am in the morning, I don't want to

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go to 3pm! "We want products made in America -

:01:45.:01:47.

made by American hands". That was the pledge of US

:01:48.:01:51.

President Donald Trump when he addressed cheering workers

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at Boeing last week. And he continued the theme

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on Thursday when he met with the bosses of more than 20 top

:01:56.:01:57.

US companies at the White House - the likes of General Electric,

:01:58.:02:01.

Lockheed Martin, Ford and Dell. He told them he plans to bring

:02:02.:02:08.

millions of manufacturing Well, according to President Trump's

:02:09.:02:10.

official website, since it signed the North American Free Trade

:02:11.:02:22.

Agreement with Canada and Mexico - known as NAFTA - more

:02:23.:02:25.

than two decades ago, America has lost "nearly one-third

:02:26.:02:29.

of its manufacturing jobs". And I tell you what -

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official numbers do seem America's Bureau of Labour

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Statistics says 5 million factory That's left just 12.3 million

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Americans employed in manufacturing - well under one in ten

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of the workforce. Definitely a huge decline

:02:50.:02:54.

from the one in four who worked But are bad trade deals,

:02:55.:02:58.

and cheap Mexican and Chinese Or is it simply the

:02:59.:03:05.

march of technology? One recent study by Ball State

:03:06.:03:12.

University says the vast majority of these jobs -

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85% - have gone Persuading companies to reverse this

:03:15.:03:17.

trend could be difficult. The Boston Consulting Group

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estimates that a human welder costs $25 an hour to employ,

:03:25.:03:28.

while a robot costs less than a third of that - around $8 -

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to do the same job. Dr Michael Plouffe, Lecturer

:03:32.:03:40.

in International Political Economy Thank you for coming in this

:03:41.:03:52.

morning. Let's start with this jobs issue. The latest figures we have

:03:53.:03:57.

had out of America would suggest the economy is at full employment. If it

:03:58.:04:01.

is at full employment, why is there a need to create more jobs there and

:04:02.:04:05.

secondly, is it really full employment or is there more the

:04:06.:04:11.

figures? The employment figures do not reflect the distribution of

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employment in manufacturing has taken a hit over the last few years.

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I would be optimistic about what these figures mean. They are likely

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to be biased and there are people who have no chance of finding

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employment. So that does not take into account the figures of people

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who have given up looking for work? Exactly. When it comes to creating

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jobs, given the information Aaron has told us, how realistic do you

:04:42.:04:44.

think it is that President Trump could bring back these manufacturing

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it would be difficult to do. He has it would be difficult to do. He has

:04:50.:04:55.

floated the idea of a parallel law which has no prospect of lasting or

:04:56.:05:01.

getting by without signing significant repercussions on an

:05:02.:05:07.

international level -- the tariff wall. His best option is to provide

:05:08.:05:13.

jobs and vocational training. Just touching on that, if Trump and his

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team were being creative, he wouldn't be trying to get rid of

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robots to put back humans into place because companies will not do that,

:05:24.:05:27.

it is unrealistic, but they should be looking at creating completely

:05:28.:05:31.

new industries as the world moves forward, in terms of technology and

:05:32.:05:37.

things like that? Yes. Unfortunately this goes against the Republican

:05:38.:05:42.

small government ethos. A small problem! We told you about the

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meeting which happened yesterday, 20 big companies meeting President

:05:49.:05:51.

Trump and it did seem to be big smiles, a lot of enthusiasm and

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optimism, if we are saying he cannot bring back these manufacturing jobs,

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the technology has moved on, why are these big CEOs not coming in with a

:06:03.:06:07.

more demure expression. They were very agreeable yesterday!

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My guesses they are being cautiously optimistic. Rather than the wall

:06:15.:06:28.

which Rex Tillerson is trying to calm the Mexican government down

:06:29.:06:31.

about, but there are other options which they could potentially benefit

:06:32.:06:38.

a great deal from. Doctor Michael Plouffe from UCL, thank you for

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joining us. Let's touch on some other stories.

:06:44.:06:45.

Uber is being sued for stealing trade secrets

:06:46.:06:48.

Waymo, set up by Google owner Alphabet, is taking legal

:06:49.:06:54.

action against Otto, the self-driving vehicle business

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that Uber bought last year for $700 million.

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The lawsuit argues that former Waymo manager Anthony Levandowski

:07:06.:07:12.

took information when he left to co-found the venture.

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Uber says it takes the allegations seriously and will review

:07:15.:07:17.

China for the first time became Germany's most important

:07:18.:07:20.

trading partner in 2016, overtaking the United States,

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which fell back to third place behind France.

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German imports from and exports to China rose to $180 billion

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last year, Federal Statistics Office figures reviewed by Reuters showed.

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France remained the second-most important business partner

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with a combined trade volume of $176 billion.

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The United States came in third with $174 billion.

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Heathrow airport says it served a record number

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75.7 million people passed through its gates in 2016,

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Cargo volumes were also up - so was revenue.

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The boss is calling it a 'milestone year' -

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partly of course because the UK Government has announced its support

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China's internet giant, Baidu, has reported a fall

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in its quarterly revenue following a government-driven

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Sales fell a less-than-projected 2.6% in the fourth quarter after it

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instituted measures to comply with regulatory restrictions

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and cut the number of ads it displays alongside results.

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Tim McDonald, in Singapore, has the details for us.

:08:43.:08:48.

Good to see you, Tim! Hello. That is right, the latest results showed

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that Baidu did not have a good last quarter. There was a government

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crackdown on health care advertising in particular, which accounts for 20

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to 30% of the company's search revenue. The reason for the

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crackdown is because its student died after undergoing experimental

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cancer treatment it discovered through the search engine. Revenues

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have slipped by nearly 3%. Also it is in an intensely competitive

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market and Baidu has two fend off competition from China's other

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Internet giants. But it is bullish, predicting revenues to rise for the

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first quarter of this year. OK. Tim, do you want to answer the pineapple

:09:47.:09:53.

question now or not? I am OK with pineapple. There we go, that is what

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we wanted! 24 hours late but good on you! We had been waiting.

:09:59.:10:08.

The shares have been hit by a fall in the price of copper and other

:10:09.:10:15.

commodity prices. Keep your eyes on Washington, we will be talking about

:10:16.:10:23.

that very shortly. Click over to Europe because the European markets,

:10:24.:10:30.

do we have them? I think so. They are not there! The markets are

:10:31.:10:35.

supposed to follow suit but I tell you what, Wall Street, we will tell

:10:36.:10:40.

you about that in a minute, Wall Street is powering on. The tenth

:10:41.:10:48.

straight session of games. More records being broken, one thing

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after an. Let's find out from an expert.

:10:54.:10:55.

Joining us is Simon Derrick, Chief Markets Strategist,

:10:56.:10:57.

Ken straight games, is that because of Trump or something else? -- ten

:10:58.:11:23.

straight games. We have a cautious Fed, we also like the fact we are

:11:24.:11:29.

not going to be calling China are currency manipulator yet. The story

:11:30.:11:37.

is, the interest in Europe. We have rising concerns about political

:11:38.:11:40.

events in the Netherlands, France and possibly Italy and Greece. That

:11:41.:11:45.

towards northern Europe. It is towards northern Europe. It is

:11:46.:11:50.

pushing it towards German bonds and pushing yields down. Bonds and

:11:51.:11:55.

yields, bonds we are talking about government debt, the retainer get on

:11:56.:11:59.

that investment. By lend money to Germany for the next two years, I

:12:00.:12:03.

would get negative interest rates on that. I would have to pay .9 of a

:12:04.:12:09.

percent. For the privilege of lending them money. If I had the

:12:10.:12:13.

choice of lending them money or paying for a privilege or paying the

:12:14.:12:17.

money to the US and receiving a 2% plus interest rate, what would you

:12:18.:12:24.

rather do? That is keeping interest rates relatively speaking controlled

:12:25.:12:28.

in the US. While I have got you on bonds, government debt, we heard

:12:29.:12:36.

from the Treasury Secretary for the US yesterday. He mentioned something

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which you don't hear about much, a 50 year bond, a 50 year debt. Would

:12:44.:12:46.

that be America saying he, that be America saying he,

:12:47.:12:50.

investors, we are going to sell you 50 years of debt? What they are

:12:51.:12:53.

going to do is instead of borrowing money for 20 years or 30 years, they

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are borrowing for 50 years. This is the story they have talked about for

:12:59.:13:01.

the last three months. The idea is interest rates are so low, why not

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borrow money for as long as you can. The fact that you will not get your

:13:07.:13:09.

money back for another 20 years means that money will be in the

:13:10.:13:22.

system for a little longer. It is also good for equities. But it is

:13:23.:13:25.

bad for the dollar. If you look at the course of the last 12 hours, the

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dollar has started to come under pressure on the back of that. That

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is something with you to keep a close eye on. Simon Derrick, thank

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you. You will be returning to discuss some paper stories including

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the premium on Friday. Do you get early doors on a Friday? I am going

:13:40.:13:47.

home now! No, you are not! See you in a minute.

:13:48.:13:48.

And this week on BBC News we've been looking at the issue

:13:49.:13:52.

Later in the programme we'll speak to our producer

:13:53.:13:56.

Johny gradually lost his eyesight when he was a teenager and he'll be

:13:57.:14:00.

talking to us about his unique experience of the newsroom.

:14:01.:14:02.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:14:03.:14:12.

Let's talk about RBS. The Royal Bank of Scotland has just reported

:14:13.:14:17.

another massive loss. The bank - which is 72%

:14:18.:14:19.

owned by taxpayers - is also planning cost savings,

:14:20.:14:22.

which will mean job cuts The bank has lost ?7 billion in 2016

:14:23.:14:25.

- that's more than three Our business correspondent

:14:26.:14:32.

Theo Leggett has more. Was this a surprise? No, it didn't

:14:33.:14:46.

come as a surprise at all. RBS is really still paying for the sins of

:14:47.:14:50.

the past. If you remember, in the run-up to the financial crisis

:14:51.:14:54.

around 2007, RBS was positioning itself as a major international

:14:55.:14:59.

bank, huge ambitions. For a while it was, by some measures, the biggest

:15:00.:15:03.

bank in the world, but overstretched itself and is still paying for the

:15:04.:15:07.

consequences of that, still restructuring and on top of that

:15:08.:15:18.

there was a fair amount of wrongdoing within the bank. You can

:15:19.:15:20.

see that in today's figures. It had to set aside around ?6 billion to

:15:21.:15:23.

cover the legal consequences of past actions, like the mis-selling of

:15:24.:15:25.

mortgages in the United States, still being pursued by the

:15:26.:15:30.

Department of Justice for that. That burden hasn't gone away and won't go

:15:31.:15:34.

away for another year or so. On top of that big restructuring costs and

:15:35.:15:37.

the bank is trying to reposition itself as a UK focused bank,

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withdrawing its international ambitions, so there are

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restructuring cost associated with that as well. Is RBS effectively a

:15:46.:15:51.

zombie bank? That's one question we put to the chief executive of RBS a

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short while ago. Certainly it's been a long period of time and this is

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what happens when a bank goes wrong and you have to put it right.

:15:59.:16:02.

Underneath, this is an amazing bank. We make ?1 billion profits every

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quarter but then it is offset by the one-off charges, predominantly from

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the past and that has been huge. This year alone 24 billion we have

:16:15.:16:20.

put into the UK economy through lending, 320,000 home loans, ?9

:16:21.:16:23.

billion has gone into small and medium-sized businesses to get the

:16:24.:16:26.

economy moving. That's the sort of bank we really are underneath it

:16:27.:16:31.

all, fantastic brands, fantastic people serving customers every day.

:16:32.:16:36.

The big boss of RBS. Also thank you to Theo. Have a great weekend.

:16:37.:16:42.

Always great having you on that. Bye-bye.

:16:43.:16:44.

As part of our Disability Works coverage, this week here on the BBC

:16:45.:16:50.

we've been exploring the experiences of disabled people in

:16:51.:16:55.

We've had various guests on this show, focusing on the experiences

:16:56.:16:59.

of disabled entrepreneurs and employees, and examining how

:17:00.:17:01.

different businesses are innovating to help disabled people.

:17:02.:17:05.

The BBC's Johny Cassidy has been central to the production

:17:06.:17:08.

Thank you for joining us. Good to see you.

:17:09.:17:21.

Glad to be here. Funny being on the side for a change. Yes, I was going

:17:22.:17:26.

to say to our viewers, Johnny works in our department.

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You are always e-mailing us for our inside track guests.

:17:32.:17:34.

What is your experience, what is your disability, what caused it?

:17:35.:17:40.

I am blind, can't really see too good. I lost my eyesight as you

:17:41.:17:44.

mentioned in my teens. It started gradually going. I was beat up and

:17:45.:17:50.

lost the eyesight in my right eye straightaway, and in my left eye it

:17:51.:17:54.

gradually went. In some ways it's lucky, some people lose it overnight

:17:55.:18:01.

which has more of an impact on them. Because mine was gradual, I was able

:18:02.:18:05.

to get used to it over that length of time. We mentioned with bin

:18:06.:18:09.

looking at disabled people in the workplace, disabled people as

:18:10.:18:15.

consumers. -- been looking. What challenges are therefore disabled

:18:16.:18:17.

people looking to get into work and employers wanting to employed or

:18:18.:18:21.

maybe needing to change their attitudes about employment? The

:18:22.:18:26.

whole idea of disability and getting people into work, across the world

:18:27.:18:30.

there's over 1 billion, 1.2 billion people who live with some sort of

:18:31.:18:34.

disability, a population the size of China a massive proportion of the

:18:35.:18:40.

population. To get those people into work, it's going to be a win win for

:18:41.:18:44.

everybody. Companies are going to get more of a diverse workforce.

:18:45.:18:47.

People are going to come off benefits. There's going to be other

:18:48.:18:52.

diverse experiences people can bring into the workforce, workplace, and

:18:53.:18:58.

share their experience. Disabled people, day in and day out, live

:18:59.:19:01.

with a problem they have to solve. They are innovative problem solvers.

:19:02.:19:07.

The challenges, if there is a barrier and you can't get round

:19:08.:19:10.

it... Those are the sort of people bosses should want in work. Right

:19:11.:19:14.

the practical challenges of companies to employ people with a

:19:15.:19:20.

disability. All it takes is a bit of a mindset.

:19:21.:19:25.

If you've have some on an amazing at computers, amazing at IT but your

:19:26.:19:29.

office is up three flights of steps and he is in a wheelchair. Rather

:19:30.:19:35.

than not employ them, let him or her work at home. It's changing the way

:19:36.:19:40.

you think about traditional perceptions of workplaces. Having

:19:41.:19:43.

produced a series for us this way, what stories have you come across

:19:44.:19:47.

that have really resonated with you? There have been brilliant stories,

:19:48.:19:51.

and a lot of them haven't really come onto the screen or haven't been

:19:52.:19:55.

on the radio or anything. We mentioned stuff on the inside track

:19:56.:20:02.

we had earlier this week, the chief technology officer of the hearing

:20:03.:20:05.

aid company. He was a brilliant story. He invented a sound bridge

:20:06.:20:10.

which was installed in his head and has changed the lives of hundreds of

:20:11.:20:16.

thousands of people. We had Louise Dyson, the only global casting

:20:17.:20:19.

agency for disabled actors and actresses. Her big thing is she

:20:20.:20:24.

wants advertisers to embrace disability. Once it up on the big

:20:25.:20:28.

board and people are starting to see a day in and day out, it will have

:20:29.:20:32.

some sort of profound change. Tell us about the trader you were

:20:33.:20:37.

mentioning earlier with cerebral palsy? We had him on on some of the

:20:38.:20:42.

World Service coverage, a former Wall Street trader who happens to

:20:43.:20:47.

have cerebral palsy. An investment banker, made millions and millions

:20:48.:20:50.

of dollars for a lot of the investment banks. He realised

:20:51.:20:55.

companies weren't utilising the disabled pound, the purple pound or

:20:56.:21:00.

purple dollar, so as he said he ran a lot of numbers. He said disability

:21:01.:21:05.

shouldn't be seen as a niche market but an emerging market. If people

:21:06.:21:10.

can leverage disability and somebody won't say, it's about the economy,

:21:11.:21:15.

stupid! Fascinating. Unfortunately we have to wrap it up. Thank you for

:21:16.:21:18.

joining us. We will see what says afterwards.

:21:19.:21:19.

You can find more on our special coverage of this issue and how

:21:20.:21:22.

businesses are dealing with it at bbc.com/disability

:21:23.:21:24.

and on Twitter at hashtag - disabilityworks.

:21:25.:21:34.

Let's go to Japan, where thousands of workers will be

:21:35.:21:36.

It's part of a drive by the Government and business

:21:37.:21:42.

groups to tackle overwork - and it's being called

:21:43.:21:45.

The idea is companies make staff go home at 3pm on the last Friday

:21:46.:21:49.

You know why they're doing it? Death from overworking in Japan is such a

:21:50.:22:03.

problem that it even has its own word.

:22:04.:23:17.

There you go. Sounds like a lot of fun.

:23:18.:23:27.

Sounds horrid! Simon is back with us to take us through the papers. The

:23:28.:23:31.

idea of premium Friday, do you do anything like this in your place of

:23:32.:23:35.

work? No. I know of people who work in big companies in London,

:23:36.:23:38.

especially in the summertime they do an early finish on a Friday when its

:23:39.:23:44.

BST, when the clocks change. I seem to remember way back, certainly up

:23:45.:23:49.

in Norway in the early 90s used to have some working hours, to take

:23:50.:23:54.

advantage of the long summer days and get the maximum benefits out of

:23:55.:23:58.

that. I think it was Friday, might have even been all week that people

:23:59.:24:01.

finished at three o'clock, get out and make the most of it. I think

:24:02.:24:05.

it's a lovely idea. There's a story in the Daily Mirror today, union

:24:06.:24:11.

chiefs reveal workers are doing ?33.6 billion worth of unpaid

:24:12.:24:17.

overtime year. Up to this point in 2017 people on average have been

:24:18.:24:21.

working for free. It's interesting looking about story, they say one in

:24:22.:24:26.

five of us are doing unpaid overtime. It is quite a remarkable

:24:27.:24:32.

number. Again, it was interesting, there's a certain regional element

:24:33.:24:36.

to it. It seems us folks in London do even more. Do you think doing

:24:37.:24:40.

extra work, do you think that is adding to productivity or adding to

:24:41.:24:43.

what is achieved at work or do you think if people worked left and took

:24:44.:24:47.

the time of their supposed to take off there would be more productive?

:24:48.:24:52.

I think the answer is... You always have to have appropriate worklife

:24:53.:24:56.

balance. I think about what is changing and possibly should be

:24:57.:25:00.

changing for the better, is it's a little more mixed. People should

:25:01.:25:03.

head on a little earlier probably but equally you work in the evenings

:25:04.:25:07.

or on a Saturday, it's about getting that balance right to fit in. I

:25:08.:25:11.

think the idea you should simply be there and work all the hours and

:25:12.:25:15.

percent is slightly daft. You've taken all the time up talking about

:25:16.:25:21.

work and we can't talk about the Romanians on Bulgarian is working in

:25:22.:25:25.

the UK, filling the hole of the Polish or are going back or going to

:25:26.:25:31.

Germany. We can't even let you make a comment on it. Sorry! We

:25:32.:25:37.

appreciate your time. We are going to go home early. That's it from us

:25:38.:25:38.

today, bye-bye.

:25:39.:25:41.

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