16/03/2016 BBC News at Ten


16/03/2016

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in Cheltenham three years after a hard problem threatened to end his

:00:00.:00:00.

racing days. -- after a heart problem.

:00:00.:00:13.

Against a backdrop of slowing economic growth, falling

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productivity and weaker public finances the Chancellor,

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George Osborne, has delivered his eighth Budget.

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He unveiled a series of giveaways to small firms,

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And he produced an eye-catching measure - to tackle levels

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of obesity among children and young people.

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But the big picture was dominated by the latest forecasts on economic

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But Mr Osborne says Britain is still ahead of other major economies.

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There were changes on personal taxes.

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From next April people will start paying income tax

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And that eye-catching measure - a new levy on sugary drinks,

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expected to raise around ?500 million a year.

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More on that in a moment, but first our political editor

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Laura Kuenssberg reports on the Budget speech.

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REPORTER: Where the sunshine, Chancellor?

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Hold your nose, the contents of the box say we are all less well off

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than we thought. Hold your nose, he has decided to keep cutting spending

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four years to come. Hold your nose, the son that he

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promised is absolutely behind the clouds. The Chancellor of the

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Exchequer. Financial markets are turbulent,

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productivity growth across the West is too low, and the outlook for the

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global economy is weak. It makes for a dangerous cocktail of risks.

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The economy is in better shape than rivals but growth is slowing down,

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so the Government will borrow billions more than planned. By 2020,

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to stick to George Osborne's rule, the books should be back in the

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black in surplus. Not everyone believes he will head

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that political target but his back ventures were happy to cheer it

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today. But, listen... Five-year-old

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children are consuming their body weight in sugar every year. MPs

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shushed each other and grew quieter and quieter. To hear Mr Osborne's

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big surprise. I'm not prepared to look back at my time in this

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Parliament, doing this job and say to my children's generation, I'm

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sorry, we knew there was a problem with sugary drinks, we knew it cause

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disease but we ducked the difficult visions and did nothing. So today I

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will announce that we will introduce a new sugar levy on the soft rings

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industry. One of the country's best-known campaigners for the sugar

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tax bed to Westminster. Jamie Oliver, delighted, could scarcely

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believe it. I am happy. In terms of the visuals any Chancellor would

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want, this counts as a result. But the sugar tax should not distract

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from bold redrawing in this budget, a totally new kind of saving for

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old-age, big changes to business taxes and a freeze on fuel duty. As

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ever, it is only when the Budget gets picked over, that the big

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picture becomes clear. There are big changes to tax and

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spend. ?3.5 billion of extra costs, lower Corporation Tax business

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profits and, by the next election, high income tax thresholds so

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millions of workers pay less tax. That is one way to please those

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grumpy Tory MPs. A typical basic rate tax payer will pay over ?1000

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less income tax than when we came into Government five years ago, and

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another 1.3 million of the lowest paid are out of tax altogether.

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Social justice delivered by Conservative means.

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The vice he needs those supportive voices, because right now the Tories

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are vying with each other to get you on their side in the referendum. And

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some are peeved because he used evidence from the neutral Office for

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Budget Responsibility to back his case for staying in. Britain will be

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stronger, safer and better off inside a reformed EU, and I believe

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we should not put at risk all the hard work done by the British people

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to make the economy strong again. There it was, his main claim, that

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as Chancellor he truly has the whole country's interest that hard. This

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Budget gets investors investing, savers saving, businesses doing

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business so that we build for working people a low tax enterprise

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Britain, secure at home, strong in the world, I commend to the House a

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Budget that puts the next-generation first. A total -- in total contrast

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to the colleagues' congratulations, the Labour leader was having none of

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it. Failed on the Budget, debt, investment, productivity, trade

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deficit, the welfare cup, failed to tackle inequality in this country.

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Flagging the most sensitive and biggest cut of all, lower payments

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to some people with disabilities, accusing Mr Osborne of trying to

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balance the books on the backs of the most vulnerable. Half a million

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people with disabilities are losing over ?1 billion in personal

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independence payment, Corporation Tax has been cut and billions handed

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out in tax cuts to the very wealthy. There were plenty of other

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opposition politicians queueing up to condemn the Budget. What it

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really does is confirm the failure of George Osborne. Deficit,

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borrowing, everything pushed back, the so-called long-term plan was

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not, abject failure from start to finish. In many ways, the Chancellor

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is making it more likely we will have another recession, rather than

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giving the resilience that we need for the long-term. Less than six

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months ago, George Osborne was lucky with the numbers. But luck is on the

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way out. But his carefully crafted ambitions, don't doubt there are

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plenty of them still hanging around. As we heard, the prospects

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for economic growth are rather less encouraging than they were

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just a few months ago. Mr Osborne in effect blamed

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the global economic situation for the changed forecasts on growth,

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debt and productivity, and he warned of 'storm

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clouds gathering again'. Our economics editor Kamal Ahmed

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is here with his take Thanks. Today the Chancellor had a

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tricky hand to play than he expected four short months ago. He disguised

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some of it with eye-catching policy announcements like the sugar tax,

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that he knows that the economic fundamentals are looking less

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healthy. And that there is one major reason for that, it is about the way

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we work. George Osborne likes to talk about a

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cocktail of dangers facing Britain. A cooling global economy, a slowdown

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in China, throw in a collapse in the oil price and it can seem a toxic

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mix. The effect, economic growth is slowing. Last year the forecasted

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growth rate was 2.4%. That number was downgraded to date to 2%. The

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Government's economic watchdog put that largely down to the issue of

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productivity, the amount of output each worker produces per hour. If

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that is not going up as fast as hoped, earnings will not go up as

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fast as hoped, the economy will not grow as fast, tax revenues will not

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come in. That is the big change and what we ought to be talking about

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more than anything, it really, really matters not just for the

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Chancellor but for how well off we all are. How does the Chancellor

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proposed to deal with the problem of lower growth and still produce a

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Budget surplus by 2020, a fiscal rule committee claims, he won't

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break. This graph shows the Government will borrow more over the

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next four years. With that amount of borrowing higher than expected and

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falling more slowly. That borrowing figure, the Treasury predicts, will

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still turn despite all the economic gloom into a ?10.4 billion surplus

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the following year, just in time for the election. Reaching the target

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will be harder given that Mr Osborne NL 's and giveaways, and they cost

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money. Here are some of the biggest ones, increasing the income tax

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thresholds, except in Scotland, will cost ?2.5 billion. Cutting small

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business rates will cost ?1.4 billion.

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Giveaways to begin with and takeaways in 2019/20 and the years

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after, those are the years for which the Government has the target to

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achieve a budget surplus. We really have quite a big squeeze taking

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place in 2019/28 cell. Now that big squeeze is how Mr

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Osborne proposes to hit that surplus by 2020, introducing a raft of

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revenue raising measures. He proposes to find ?3.5 billion in

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efficiency savings from Government departments and disability benefits

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cuts will save another ?1.3 billion. And then there is a very big ticket

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item, the majority of corporation tax changes will kick in that year,

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leaving larger businesses with a tax bill of ?7.9 billion.

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That is quite a cocktail, and the financial watchdog says there is

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only a 55% chance of the Treasury even hitting the target.

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Last year George Osborne had three rules on the economy, he would cap

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the welfare budget, a rule abandoned last year, he would bring down debt

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as a share of national income, a rule broken today. He has one left,

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producing a Budget surplus by 2020. And it seems he is prepared to tax

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more and cut more to achieve that. Even if there was some scepticism

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that he will ever get there. Thank you, we will talk to you later,

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Kamal Ahmed. The biggest Budget surprise for many

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was the Chancellor's decision to impose a new levy

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on sugary drinks. There will be two bands -

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one for drinks with above 5 grams of sugar per 100 millilitres,

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including some cordials and flavoured waters,

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and a second band for those Most colas will fall

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into this category. If the manufacturers pass

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on the cost to the consumer it could add between 18 and 24

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pence to a litre bottle, as our health editor

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Hugh Pym explains. It was a big surprise and it

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could hit many people's pockets. Today these shoppers were working

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out what the new levy adding possibly 80% to the price of a large

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unbranded bottle of cola might It will stop the kids from keeping

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on going to the shops, keep on buying all the fizzy

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drinks all the time. The cost to the NHS

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and the dentist all the time. At the end of the day they're

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enjoyable but they are bad, so... Some well-known campaigners

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on the issue were hurrying No-one likes tax, right,

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but this is a tax for good. This is a tax that will have

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ripples across the world. Canada, Australia, New Zealand,

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pull your finger out, It is about the balance between

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business and society and health. Excluding milk-based sugary drinks

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it's likely to be passed The industry argues such a move

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is not the way to tackle obesity. I think it's very unfair and ironic

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almost that the soft drink manufacturers, who've been

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in the vanguard of reformulation, of making their products more widely

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available with great choice, should be the ones penalised

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through this measure. The Chancellor says the proceeds

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will be spent on school It is up to Scotland,

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Wales and Northern Ireland how The move comes at a time

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of increasing concern about obesity There is already a strain on the NHS

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and problems often develop About 10% of four and five-year-olds

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in England starting off at school By the age of 10 and 11 that

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figure has gone up to 19%. When it comes to adults,

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25% are obese. Treating conditions linked

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to obesity cost the NHS in England ?5.1 billion in the

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last financial year. To put that into perspective,

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the cost of treating smoking-related diseases, including lung

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cancer, cost ?3.9 billion. All of that came out of a total

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health Budget of ?113 billion The levy will raise just

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?500 million a year. Even so, the head of NHS England

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says it will help improve children's health and he says it's just one

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of a series of measures to be It's part of a much broader

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comprehensive strategy that we need, but also we'll have to take account

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of promotions and advertising Together, we think that these

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measures will substantially tackle the problem that we've got

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of childhood obesity. Health campaigners hope this

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is a game-changing moment, but there's a lot of detail

:14:08.:14:11.

still to be worked out and there'll be intense debate about how the levy

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will be implemented. Today's Budget did contain a wave

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of measures aimed at business - giving more help to small firms,

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especially on business rates, but asking big companies to make do

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without some of the tax breaks that Our business editor Simon Jack has

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been looking at the likely impact. The Chancellor served up some good

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news for business underdogs today. Small businesses like this cafe in

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Sunderland were licking their lips at the prospect of saving real money

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from a cut to the burden of business rates. Hundreds of thousands of

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small companies in England will pay no business rate, permanently. We

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are over the moon, actually, one of the best things I have heard from

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the Budget is the increase in small business rate relief which,

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hopefully, for a business like ours, will take us out of paying rates

:15:15.:15:18.

altogether. Some will go toward staff wages, we might take another

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apprentice. There is no such thing as a free lunch, and the ?7 million

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boost to small business will be paid for by a ?9 billion raid on fat cat.

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But until now, big firms and multinationals have been able to

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reduce the fat Democrat tax they pay by taking off borrowing costs from

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their profits. The amount of profit they can drink this way will be

:15:42.:15:46.

limited. Some sectors use a lot of debt financing, and this limited

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ability to upset the debt interest payments against profits will head

:15:51.:15:53.

some sectors, like commercial construction, very hard. The British

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property Federation warns that it might slow investment. The banks

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have used some of their previous big losses, remember them, to minimise

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tax bills, which will be further constrained. Will the Chancellor 's

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new more aggressive approach to collecting tax work better than his

:16:12.:16:15.

patchy record? Yes, I think it will. I think by setting in place system

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changes it is much easier to see that there is more likely to be

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effective than trying to plug the art weird loophole, which is quite

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tricky to understand whether people are using it and it is effective.

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The financial backdrop, whether you are big or small, has taken a

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decidedly gloomy tone. That makes life difficult for all businesses,

:16:41.:16:44.

just like it has for the Chancellor himself.

:16:45.:16:46.

Among the other measures announced by the Chancellor today

:16:47.:16:48.

were investments in infrastructure, especially in road and rail

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There's an extra ?700 million for flood defences.

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There's a commitment to introduce elected mayors for English counties

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And the Chancellor confirmed that all schools in England are to become

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academies, taking them out of local authority control.

:17:06.:17:10.

That is something that we reported yesterday. Just a selection of some

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of the other measures in a very densely packed Budget.

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Our political editor Laura Kuenssberg is in Downing

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When we look at today, Mr Osborne's eight Budget, what was his main

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challenge? It shouldn't be a good day at the office for a Chancellor

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to leave here, turnip and has comments and say, you know that

:17:36.:17:39.

economy I have been in charge of the six years, it is not going quite as

:17:40.:17:43.

well as I hoped, things are looking rather peaky and may take a turn for

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the worse. But the mood in number 11 is quite chipper tonight. I think

:17:49.:17:51.

they believe that they steered the rather fine line between providing

:17:52.:17:56.

some crowd pleaser is, showing they had some big ideas and, crucially

:17:57.:18:01.

for any Chancellor, pulling off a big surprise with the sugar tax.

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There is already a whiff of rebellion in the air on the Tory

:18:06.:18:10.

benches over that cuts. Some people see a very punitive and unfair cuts

:18:11.:18:15.

to some disability payments. There is a whiff of rebellion on the Tory

:18:16.:18:19.

benches and outrage if you read from the Labour Party and other

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opposition parties. George Osborne may have held his nerve today, but

:18:23.:18:26.

might need white knuckles in the days ahead. The king beyond the days

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ahead and beyond, maybe, the all important EU referendum, which was

:18:34.:18:36.

part of the Budget statement at one point, what are the longer term

:18:37.:18:41.

goals? The overwhelming backdrop to this is the Government 's desire and

:18:42.:18:47.

fear, really, that they had to win the European referendum on June 23,

:18:48.:18:51.

they can't afford to lose that otherwise all their careers, all

:18:52.:18:57.

bets might be. There is a second part of this, George Osborne fours

:18:58.:19:02.

only to ship ambitions. For those reasons he did not want to do

:19:03.:19:09.

anything that would upset his Conservative backbenchers or Middle

:19:10.:19:12.

England. This was another step along the road in his big medical project,

:19:13.:19:17.

mailing the Conservative Party to capture those swing voters in the

:19:18.:19:23.

middle, to truly become, as he would suggest, the party of ordinary

:19:24.:19:25.

working families. One minister said to me, this was a good Budget for

:19:26.:19:31.

the middle class, but there are plenty of people who want to stop

:19:32.:19:35.

George Osborne achieving that goal. Thank you, Laura Kuenssberg.

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If you want to find out more about the Budget and how it

:19:39.:19:41.

affects your financial circumstances, you can use

:19:42.:19:42.

Enter a few details and it will let you know if you're better

:19:43.:19:47.

You will see lots of news and analysis, also the calculator. Let's

:19:48.:20:02.

move on. In America, the frontrunner

:20:03.:20:03.

for the Republican presidential nomination - Donald Trump -

:20:04.:20:05.

has warned of riots if he's Mr Trump has strengthened his

:20:06.:20:08.

position after winning the latest primaries in three states,

:20:09.:20:12.

but he lost in the key state of Ohio - meaning he could still fall short

:20:13.:20:15.

of the support he needs. In the Democratic race,

:20:16.:20:21.

Hillary Clinton extended her substantial lead over rival

:20:22.:20:23.

Bernie Sanders with wins Our North America editor

:20:24.:20:25.

Jon Sopel reports. He's young, articulate,

:20:26.:20:33.

telegenic and Hispanic, but Senator Marco Rubio

:20:34.:20:35.

is also a loser. Last night the great hope

:20:36.:20:40.

of the Republican establishment was crushed in his home state

:20:41.:20:42.

of Florida by the Donald Trump While it is not God's plan that

:20:43.:20:45.

I be president in 2016, or maybe ever, and while today my

:20:46.:20:52.

campaign is suspended. The fact that I've even come this

:20:53.:20:55.

far is evidence of how special Donald Trump made impressive

:20:56.:21:01.

gains last night. He's now halfway to getting

:21:02.:21:07.

the number of delegates he needs to win outright and is way

:21:08.:21:10.

ahead of his main rivals. He's achieved it, not by wooing

:21:11.:21:13.

the traditional republican base, but by bringing new

:21:14.:21:16.

support to the party. We have a great opportunity

:21:17.:21:19.

and the people that are voting are Democrats are coming in,

:21:20.:21:22.

independence are coming in and very, very importantly, people

:21:23.:21:25.

that never voted before. Donald Trump has had an emphatic

:21:26.:21:27.

victory here in Florida. But perhaps the most striking thing

:21:28.:21:35.

about tonight is what has happened It was to this man, the State

:21:36.:21:40.

governor, John Kasich, a moderate Republican whose now

:21:41.:21:49.

vowed to carry on his fight We are going to go all the way

:21:50.:21:51.

to Cleveland and secure But the path is strew

:21:52.:21:57.

with more than confetti. John Kasich staying in the race

:21:58.:22:03.

means the anti-Trump vote is now split between him

:22:04.:22:06.

and Senator Ted Cruz. What looks certain is that

:22:07.:22:11.

Donald Trump is going to arrive at the convention with way more

:22:12.:22:14.

delegates than anyone else, but potentially short

:22:15.:22:17.

of the majority that he needs. This is where politics

:22:18.:22:21.

clashes with arithmetic. Arithmetically, yes,

:22:22.:22:24.

it would be possible for the Republican establishment

:22:25.:22:26.

to do a stitch-up and put someone else in but, politically,

:22:27.:22:29.

it would be explosive and Donald Trump has warned

:22:30.:22:32.

that if that happens, A threat the authorities

:22:33.:22:35.

are taking seriously. On the Democratic side,

:22:36.:22:43.

things couldn't have been sweeter If we win in November,

:22:44.:22:45.

I know our future will be brighter Her path to the nomination seems

:22:46.:22:51.

less complex and already her advisers are war gaming the next

:22:52.:23:00.

battle - how to take on Donald Trump, her most likely

:23:01.:23:03.

Republican opponent. Jon Sopel, BBC News,

:23:04.:23:09.

Palm Beach, Florida. A brief look at some of the day's

:23:10.:23:14.

other news stories... A man shot dead by the police

:23:15.:23:17.

in Brussels yesterday has been identified as an Algerian national

:23:18.:23:20.

who was in Belgium illegally. The raid was linked

:23:21.:23:24.

to the investigation into the attacks in Paris that

:23:25.:23:25.

killed 130 people last November. Police say they found an assault

:23:26.:23:30.

rifle, the flag of the so-called Islamic State group,

:23:31.:23:33.

and a book of extremist literature The European naval force targeting

:23:34.:23:35.

migrant smuggling gangs in the Mediterranean says there's

:23:36.:23:40.

been a sudden increase in the number of boats crossing

:23:41.:23:44.

from Libya to Italy. These pictures, given

:23:45.:23:47.

to the BBC by the Royal Navy, show some of the migrants

:23:48.:23:49.

rescued earlier today. Hundreds have been rescued

:23:50.:23:52.

in the past few weeks and many more are expected as the

:23:53.:23:55.

weather improves. Arsenal have been knocked out of

:23:56.:24:05.

the Champions League by Barcelona. They'd travelled to the home

:24:06.:24:07.

of the Spanish Champions - the Nou Camp - needing

:24:08.:24:10.

to overturn a two-goal deficit. A rainy night in Barcelona. Arsenal

:24:11.:24:20.

may have wished their opponents had stayed indoors. The defending

:24:21.:24:24.

champions are a daunting prospect. Unbeaten since October, with one of

:24:25.:24:28.

the best attacking line-up since history. When this team clicks into

:24:29.:24:33.

gear, it takes something special to stop them. 2-0 down from the first

:24:34.:24:39.

leg, Arsenal 's claim would become steeper. Messi, Neymar and Suarez

:24:40.:24:48.

had combined for 103 goals this season. Their 104th looked easy.

:24:49.:24:56.

After the break, Arsenal's efforts were rewarded, Mohamed Elneny's

:24:57.:25:01.

first goal for Arsenal. Their revival was brief, even in the

:25:02.:25:05.

Champions League, Barcelona play for fun. The Nou Camp is a playground

:25:06.:25:10.

for Louis Suarez. There was time for them to tie further with Arsenal, as

:25:11.:25:16.

Messi completed the game. Arsenal's Champions League journey is over,

:25:17.:25:19.

Barcelona roll onto the quarterfinals.

:25:20.:25:20.

A last look at the Budget tonight, this time focussing on measures that

:25:21.:25:24.

could affect families and young people throughout the UK.

:25:25.:25:26.

On savings, there'll be a new Lifetime ISA,

:25:27.:25:28.

specifically for the under-40s and the Government will top-up

:25:29.:25:30.

On duties, the tax on beer, cider and spirits will be frozen.

:25:31.:25:37.

But tobacco duty will rise by 2% above inflation.

:25:38.:25:41.

Reeta Chakrabarti has been getting reaction to the measures

:25:42.:25:43.

at Stockport College in Greater Manchester.

:25:44.:25:49.

"We are the builders," declared the Chancellor,

:25:50.:25:51.

and young adults learning the bricklaying trade

:25:52.:25:53.

17-year-old Harvey is keen to get on.

:25:54.:25:58.

He's interested in George Osborne's proposed lifetime ISA,

:25:59.:26:00.

encouraging young people to save by giving them ?1 for every

:26:01.:26:03.

You've got different types of ISAs you can put your money away in.

:26:04.:26:10.

So you can start saving up for things that you need in life,

:26:11.:26:14.

Just building up that money to get you off in life.

:26:15.:26:23.

I now call the right honourable George Osborne,

:26:24.:26:25.

He's one of a group the Chancellor repeatedly name checked,

:26:26.:26:30.

the next generation, the focus of today's Budget

:26:31.:26:32.

George Osborne's next generation should be in optimistic mood

:26:33.:26:38.

The north-west of England has, he says, the fastest growing rate

:26:39.:26:43.

of employment in the country, but it's not that straight-forward.

:26:44.:26:51.

18-year-old Hayley has been listening to the message too.

:26:52.:26:54.

She harbours big ambitions, she's training to be a chef

:26:55.:26:56.

while working part-time and she wants to own her own business.

:26:57.:27:01.

She likes the idea of being helped to save, but...

:27:02.:27:04.

The money that I do make, I have to use it for public

:27:05.:27:07.

transport, also buying food for myself during the week.

:27:08.:27:10.

At the end of the day, it's a good decision,

:27:11.:27:15.

but it's how - are you going to start saving, if you don't

:27:16.:27:18.

have the money to start saving with in the first place?

:27:19.:27:22.

Dominic Smith used to be a teacher, now he's retraining as a plumber.

:27:23.:27:25.

For him, raising the threshold at which people pay tax to ?11,500

:27:26.:27:28.

I think for workers it's a good thing to be able to know that a bit

:27:29.:27:37.

more of your money you've earnt will go into your own pockets and,

:27:38.:27:40.

hopefully, boost the economy by spending it the way that

:27:41.:27:43.

But for car owners and anyone paying insurance, it was a different story.

:27:44.:27:51.

The tax on premiums will go up by 0.5%, a smaller increase

:27:52.:27:55.

than expected, but it comes on top of a bigger hike last year.

:27:56.:28:00.

I'm not happy at all because that does affect me because I'm a car

:28:01.:28:03.

owner, I'm a homeowner, you know, I have a mortgage to pay.

:28:04.:28:07.

I'm trying to stand on my own two feet, I have done all my life,

:28:08.:28:10.

and I do find that slightly frustrating.

:28:11.:28:13.

Forging a vision for the country that echoes people's personal

:28:14.:28:15.

ambitions is what Chancellor's attempt on Budget Day.

:28:16.:28:20.

George Osborne will hope what he's produced is suitably joined up.

:28:21.:28:23.

Reeta Chakrabarti, BBC News, Stockport.

:28:24.:28:31.

Some of the views in stock but college. We have talked about the

:28:32.:28:36.

main measures and the potential impact of some of them, but what

:28:37.:28:39.

about the policy risks? Just time for a last word

:28:40.:28:41.

with our economics editor, How do you see those? It has been a

:28:42.:28:50.

long day, but a significant one, not just a policy risk that a political

:28:51.:28:54.

risk is the issue of the Budget surplus. The downgrade in economic

:28:55.:28:59.

growth was more significant than normal downgrades because was based

:29:00.:29:04.

on failure on the of productivity. Policies to change productivity take

:29:05.:29:09.

a long time. We're talking about improving skills, encouraging

:29:10.:29:11.

businesses to invest. That is long-term. Getting that productivity

:29:12.:29:17.

up and improving economic growth will take a long time. The second

:29:18.:29:21.

big area of risk for the Chancellor and the Government is this big bet

:29:22.:29:28.

on 2019 and 2020, when everything will come together, the tax cuts,

:29:29.:29:34.

the tax rises will comment, the public sector cuts will come in,

:29:35.:29:38.

meaning he can hit this budget surplus. They are relatively heroic

:29:39.:29:43.

in terms of what he is trying to achieve in that final year, and if

:29:44.:29:47.

he does not do that he will fail on his final fiscal rule. He has missed

:29:48.:29:54.

two, he still has the third, can he hit that target? Thank you for your

:29:55.:29:56.

final word, Kamal Ahmed. Newsnight is coming up

:29:57.:29:57.

on BBC Two in a few moments. There were quite a few missed

:29:58.:30:00.

targets in the Budget today, so we'll be delving

:30:01.:30:04.

into the excuses. Join me now on BBC Two,

:30:05.:30:06.

11.00pm in Scotland. Here, on BBC One, it's time

:30:07.:30:13.

for the news where you are.

:30:14.:30:17.

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