18/10/2016 Outside Source

Hello, I'm Ros Atkins, this is Outside Source.

Day two of the offensive to take back Mosul.

Iraqi and Kurdish forces say progress is being made.

Orla Guerin is with the Kurds as they close in.

If and when the forces make it across the city, they may be caught

in the crossfire. A Night before the final

US Election debate - President Obama has criticised

the Donald Trump for modelling his He's announced he's got

a new album coming out - This is a report from BBC Trending

on an unlikely online connection between an Internet broadcaster

in California and a teenager Plus the BBC's Chief Correspondent

Gavin Hewitt will cast his eye over the big issues ahead of the next

European Union. 20 villages on the outskirts

of Mosul have been taken. Iraqi forces are moving

from the south, kurdish The ultimate goal

is to free the city And IS has been resisting with

rocket-fire and suicide attacks. Orla Guerin is with the Kurdish

forces in the East. In the distance, Mosul,

a city in waiting for deliverance It is the last bastion of IS in

Iraq, but for how much longer? On the horizon today, black smoke

from burning oil. The extremists trying to thwart

attacks from the air, but as the net closes on so-called

Islamic State the risks are increasing for those trapped

down below in Mosul, there is the danger of coalition air

strikes, IS could try to use the local population as human

shields, and if and when Iraqi forces make it inside the city

they could be caught This is what IS want you to see

from inside Mosul, its latest propaganda video paints

a picture of normality. The message is, all is well,

anyone daring to say The television channels

have been lying. One year ago, they were driven away

by these air strikes, and troops from the Kurdish

region, Peshmerga. They took us to see

what IS could have in store Here, a home made chemical weapon,

chlorine gas, crude but How many of these did

you find? As the Peshmerga advanced

deeper into IS territory, new insights below ground -

this was captured yesterday. They built a bedroom

to rest, he says. The extremists had the basics

for survival hidden from view, the authorities hope

that they are going to run out of hiding places over the next

coming weeks and months. Hundreds of thousands of people

still live in Mosul. Both internet access and phone

reception has been poor under IS. Efforts to improve phone reception

is making some progress, but as you'll see in this

clip from the Pentagon, other means are needed

to communicate with people. This is obviously a dangerous

situation for civilians on the ground, and I know that one

thing the Iraqi Government has been trying to do,

is to reach to the residents of Mosul, both by radio broadcast

and there was a drop of leaflets - thousands of leaflets in Mosul,

and my understanding was that there may be as many

as seven million leaflets dropped in the next 48 hours or so, to try

and educate the population of Mosul, as to the safest way to conduct

themselves, as this We have some pictures of families.

These are some people who escaped a small town. They are making their

move from Mosul. Many more people will flee in time. The UN has

estimated that there could be a mass exodus of up to 700,000 people. You

can get much more information on what is happening in Iraq and the

historical factors playing out in that country on the BBC News

website. Let's go to neighbouring Syria...

Russian and Syrian warplanes have stopped air-strikes in Aleppo.

Russia had planned a pause on Thursday - so this

UN aid agencies had been pushing for a longer cessation -

the Russians appear to have responded.

Lessening of the violence, lessening of the fighting,

any pause that's actually implemented will be

We have been calling for at least a 48-hour ceasefire cessation

of hostilities in order to get humanitarian aid in.

The reason the Russians are talking about Eastern Aleppo is that is the

area controlled by anti-government rebels. And that is the area being

hit by these air strikes. Let's get you the latest on the US election

campaign. Let me start with the carousel -

the BBC's poll of polls - Hillary Clinton 51%

Donald Trump at 41%. Trump has come in for some criticism

from Barack Obama. He has reacted to claims that the campaign is being

raped. He used Florida, which has

a Republican governor, Using Florida as that place where

there are people you have to watch out for. That is both

irresponsible... And by the way doesn't really show the kind of

leadership and toughness that you want out of a president. If you

start whining before the game is even over... If whenever things are

going badly for you and you lose you start blaming somebody else... Then

you don't have what it takes to be in this job. A study has been

looking at the reaction of the campaign. It seems what we have been

seeing has been distorted by bots. It searched for hashtags associated

with one candidate - The study analysed how many of these

tweets, using these hashtags, have been made by bots. There were four

times more positive hashtags made for Trump than there were for Mrs

Clinton. But Trump received a higher number of support tweets without the

bots being counted. More detailed: -- detail.

We knew something would happen. We found both Clinton and Trump have a

bot Army working to support them. It is difficult to say how many

American voters were the bots. They give the impression that Trump is

more popular on Twitter. Clinton's bots are more positive, they are

about policies. Trump's bots, the ones that tweet in favour of Trump,

are more negative. They tend to go after prominent female journalists.

They tend to promote messages which are slightly racist or very racist.

One extra story to tell you... Hillary Clinton's emails

are back in the spotlight. FBI documents that have been

released by the FBI. suggest that a State Department

official pressured the FBI to change the classification

of a Hillary Clinton email from classified -

In return the State Department would allegedly accept an FBI

request for extra agents at foreign diplomatic posts.

The email was one of those from Mrs Clinton's private email server.

We can talk to Kathie Kay about these stories. The FBI and the State

Department denied any deal was done. Yeah. The State Department again

pushing back against this when the story first came out. The FBI did a

similar thing and said there was no question of a quid pro quo, that

that hadn't been suggested, that it hadn't happened. You have both of

those entities pushing back against it. From Trump's point of view

displays into the idea that there is corruption in the system and that

Hillary Clinton somehow has managed to game the system to her advantage

and her supporters -- his supporters see this as more evidence, whatever

the FBI are saying. Let's talk about Trump. He still has three weeks to

turn things around. The polls may not be entirely accurate. What is

his best route to the White House? I imagine a good performance in Las

Vegas. Yes, tomorrow night in the debate, we will fly out tomorrow

morning and cover the debate from there. He has to do well tomorrow

night. And even more importantly, she has to do badly. He has got to

try and do something to give this race a shake up. At the moment, as

your polls are suggesting, his route to the White House looks narrow. He

is just too far behind in all of those battle ground states to be

able to confidently predict that he can win the presidency. All of the

polls of polls, and the people who project these kinds of things, and

have a pretty good track record, are putting her chances of winning much

higher than his. Tomorrow night there will be another big audience.

Millions will tune in. Partly because of the spectacle of these

two and the fireworks we can expect in the final debate. Partly to see

what their policies are, and partly to see how Trump responds after

these allegations of sexual harassment against him. It will be

an exciting debate. The last two debates have been pretty incendiary.

We will get messages from viewers asking why you spending more time on

Trump than Clinton. Would it be fair to say that Clinton is keeping a low

profile, or is it just that the media is obsessing over Donald

Trump? Clinton hasn't actually done any public appearances since last

Friday. She's made a deliberate decision, she's done if you

television interviews. She is targeting bespoke audiences,

particularly female audiences. But she hasn't done one of those big

rallies recently. Trump is making headlines by, partly with these

allegations of sexual harassment against him, but also with his

comments about the election being raped. These are the kind of

comments we've not heard in the US from a president, so that is news.

-- the election being rigged. This is why we are reporting these

things, because they simply never happened before. Thanks very much.

This is ahead of the debate tomorrow night. A little later we will talk

about Chuck Berry. It is his 90th birthday and he has a gift for

everyone, because he is releasing a new album. His first 438 years,

which is a decent sized break by any measure. We will hear all about it.

-- his first 38 years. A 15-year-old girl and her teenage

boyfriend have been found guilty Elizabeth and Katie Edwards

were murdered at their home in Spalding in

Lincolnshire, in April. The pair who carried out the murder

are thought to be the youngest defendants to be convicted

of murder in a British court. The detective who led

the investigation spoke This tragedy was distressing for all

families involved. For Katie's school friends, for Elisabeth's

colleagues, children, and friends in the school where she worked. As well

as having a shocking impact on the wider community of Spalding. Today,

a court has found a 15-year-old guilty of both murders. A teenage

boy has also pleaded guilty to the same murders. What makes this case

even more shocking is that these two were 14 when they planned, committed

-- planned and committed these unprovoked attacks on Elizabeth and

Katie. This is Outside Source live

from the BBC newsroom. Iraqi government troops

and their allies are into their second day of military

operations in a drive to retake the city of Mosul

from the militant group, They've been meeting some resistance

including rocket-fire In Thailand the justice minister has

asked people to take action against those who insult

the monarchy following the death He called for critics to be

"socially sanctioned", but stopped This is a fire at a prison in Brazil

during which 55 prisoners escaped. It started during a riot

linked to gang rivalry. Theresa May is going to her first

EU summit this week. It's in Brussels, starts

Thursday, ends Friday. I'll be there with

Outside Source throughout. Brexit isn't formally on the agenda,

but of course it will be discussed. The BBC's Chief Correspondent

Gavin Hewitt explains how After dinner, over coffee, they will

turn to Theresa May and ask what you have in mind. Not what are your

plans, but give us a broad view of how you see things developing. At

the end of that there was not an expectation of everybody piling in

and saying they don't agree, or they would like to see you push in that

direction. But it is an opportunity to qualify some of the impressions

that arose out of her conference speech when, certainly in Europe, it

was interpreted as if Theresa May was, if you like, sacrificing the

single market in favour of making controlling migration the priority.

In Europe that was interpreted as hard Brexit. There have been some

indications since negotiations between Cabinet ministers, which are

still very much going on, and some in Europe have taken comfort from

it. They will be listening closely to her language, even though this is

I was at the last summit days after I was at the last summit days after

the vote. It seemed that Europe were not giving any other option than

hard Brexit. They knew that immigration had been a main driver

in the Brexit vote. Quite right. The impression at the moment is one of

consensus, of unity. They are taking quite a strong, firm line. They are

not going to get picked on. One of their concerned is that the UK will

start making the kind of concessions to one country or another. At the

moment they are putting up a united front. Some countries, notably

France, very, very strong about the idea that they need to be firm,

disciplined. Not using the word punishment, but certainly there have

to be consequences. That is what Francois Hollande is saying. That is

the mood in Europe. There will have to be consequences. They are taking

a firm line. This is very much a preliminary stage. They are not

supposed to be in negotiations. We won't see negotiations until next

year. At the moment the UK is putting forward its view without

revealing its plan, and certainly the response from Europe is we are

not going to make kind of concessions. We are not going to

sacrifice freedom of movement in order to give you concessions over

the market. Inevitably this is also about personality. What relationship

does Theresa May have with the key players who will be there? It's

early stage. A view she knew already through her previous job. She's been

to see Angela Merkel. She's been to see some others. But at the moment

they don't really know her. It's not like other leaders who have

repeatedly gone to the summit who do know each other. They will be

testing out what flexibility there is. And when they get to the

negotiations in the New Year whether there will be a degree of give and

take. Amongst people I talked, there is a belief that in the end it is in

Europe's interest as the UK 's interest, for this to be a smooth

process. -- amongst people I talk to. The language is as if there is

going to be no meeting of minds. And that the UK will fall out of the EU

and will have to rely on tariffs under WTO rules. I think we are too

soon to say that. I would expect to see a real push at some stage to see

if there was a way of keeping the UK as close as possible to the EU

without compromising the results of the referendum that happened last

year. On Wednesday I am heading to Brussels. On Thursday we will be

live from this EU summit. We will also be broadcasting all day through

BBC World News. Chuck Berry is going to be releasing

an new album next year. -- His last one came

out 38 years ago. Even better - the album will contain

new tracks - not just covers. He chose a good day

to announce this. Peter Bowes is carrying this. I

suppose if you are Chuck Berry everybody is going to forgive the

big break of 38 years. Yes. And it is a tantalising prospect for

anybody who loves music, never mind the music of Chuck Berry, to hear

what he has been created over the last nearly 40 years. The new album

will simply be called Chuck. He has been in the studio over the last few

decades determined to get this right. There have been long studio

sessions. He has spent a long time on the writing of these new songs.

We won't actually get to hear this album until next year. The actual

tracks on the album, they are keeping them secret as to the nature

of the songs. But according to his son, Charles Berry Jr, the songs

will cover the spectrum of hard-driving rockers to soulful,

thought-provoking time capsules of a life's work.

The trade deal between the EU and Canada - or CETA -

EU ministers meeting in Luxembourg have given up

on signing it on Tuesday, which was an original aim.

One of Belguim's regional parliaments - Wallonia -

is blocking the agreement - amid worries it will undercut

If Wallonia's concerns aren't dealt with - then the official signing

ceremony due next week may need to be cancelled.

Here's the EU trade commissioner on what the EU are doing

If I didn't think we could solve the Belgian issue we wouldn't keep

engaging with them. But the minister was there and gave his view. We are

engaging with them. We will continue to do so.

There were other countries who have specific problems. We are engaging

with them in the same way, trying to see if there are ways we can solve

it without reopening the treaty. That isn't even on the agenda. But

if there are some things which can be sold through declarations or

other items. Hopefully we will get there but we are not there yet.

Everybody will be keeping an eye on this because it will affect the UK's

trading in the future after Brexit. Now some business news...

A pretty big surprise. People were expecting them to make 14 cents per

share. They've surprised everybody by making 20 cents per share. This

is being seen as good news. Normally at this time I would say what people

will be looking forward to is the investor call when Yahoo speaks to

their investors and analysts and answer their questions. They have

decided to forego the analyst call so we will not be hearing from Yahoo

today. Thanks very much. If you want up-to-date business News you can get

that online from BBC news wherever and whenever you want either through

the BBC News app or website. In the next half of the programme we will

be bringing you up to date on the champions of the games taking place.

If you cannot wait for that you can also access that live online. Speak

to you in a minute. Let's look at some of the biggest

world stories. Straightaway off to raise where we