28/05/2014 Reporting Scotland


28/05/2014

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stand firm, dismissing talk of a leadership challenge,

:00:00.:00:00.

The Union Dividend versus the Independence Bonus -

:00:00.:00:08.

the two competing claims about the costs and benefits

:00:09.:00:11.

of voting Yes or No in September. Our

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political editor and our economics correspondent will be analysing

:00:16.:00:18.

the two visions for Scotland's future. Also

:00:19.:00:23.

on the programme: After the fire - an

:00:24.:00:25.

exclusive look look inside Glasgow's Art School, to see just how much

:00:26.:00:29.

live with the build-up as Scotland face Nigeria.

:00:30.:00:41.

Good instructing has some simple advice. It is simple. You have the

:00:42.:00:55.

ball, you try to score. They have the ball, you try not to let them

:00:56.:00:56.

score. BT spend millions to get their name

:00:57.:01:06.

above the door at Murrayfield. In three and a half months time, you

:01:07.:01:11.

will decide to vote for or against independence, and today, the two

:01:12.:01:17.

sides stepped up their campaigns. The UK Government set out what

:01:18.:01:19.

it's calling its Union Dividend. Over the next 20 years, it says,

:01:20.:01:22.

one ?1,400 each year will be saved Meanwhile, the Scottish Government

:01:23.:01:26.

has made its own offering Within 15 years of a Yes vote,

:01:27.:01:31.

and with projected growth, it claims every Scot would be wealthier

:01:32.:01:37.

to the tune of ?1,000 a year. Not only are

:01:38.:01:41.

the scenarios complicated, but unsurprisingly, both sides

:01:42.:01:43.

dispute the other's figures. In a moment, we'll hear more about

:01:44.:01:47.

that so-called independence bonus, but first, here's our political

:01:48.:01:51.

editor, Brian Taylor, on how the In advance, Danny Alexander talks

:01:52.:02:09.

money with medical students. What is the money that will be available in

:02:10.:02:14.

the future? I like emergency medicine but the hours are horrific.

:02:15.:02:19.

Today at a press conference Danny Alexander said, stick with the

:02:20.:02:25.

union. Here is how Westminster does the sums. Under independence,

:02:26.:02:31.

Scotland would have to meet these cost alone. It is currently matched

:02:32.:02:33.

by all revenues. The Treasury says the oil revenues

:02:34.:02:44.

are already in decline and we have an ageing population. Total added

:02:45.:02:57.

costs from independence... Takeaway ?389 per person for Scotland's

:02:58.:03:01.

greater share of oil under independence. That leaves ?1400.

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It is a ?1400 dividend every year for every Scot. This is the Treasury

:03:07.:03:16.

paper but Scottish ministers say it was undermined in advance by

:03:17.:03:23.

exaggerated estimates of the start-up costs of an independent

:03:24.:03:26.

Scotland. They were based on academic studies and the academics

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themselves have disowned the Treasury calculation is. A major

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part of this has been destroyed by one of the authorities they were

:03:38.:03:42.

claiming. So we should not believe the Treasury.

:03:43.:03:54.

While the Treasury was making its arguments, the Scottish Government

:03:55.:03:59.

was setting out how prosperous it thinks an independent Scotland could

:04:00.:04:02.

be. Our correspondent has been looking at the case for the

:04:03.:04:06.

Independence Bonus. By the time these youngsters reach

:04:07.:04:10.

graduation age, the Scottish Government says an independent

:04:11.:04:15.

Scotland could be enjoying a year and is in its economic fortunes. So

:04:16.:04:21.

how would we climbed this growth ladder within 15 years? By growing

:04:22.:04:24.

employment. 3.3%. Partly with more free childcare. By

:04:25.:04:34.

growing the working age population. And by growing productivity.

:04:35.:04:43.

You put of these things together and it is ?1000 per Scot, ?2000 per

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Scottish family. We can make Scotland a more prosperous and just

:04:52.:04:56.

society. The Scottish Government's latest oil forecasts are down on

:04:57.:04:59.

last year but they said revenues should pick up as new production

:05:00.:05:03.

comes on stream. What the Scottish Government could not specify today

:05:04.:05:08.

is how much setting up an independent Scottish state would

:05:09.:05:12.

cost. The First Minister said ?250 million was a reasonable estimate.

:05:13.:05:18.

His buyout secretary said it would depend on negotiations with the rest

:05:19.:05:24.

of the UK. Calculating Scotland's share of UK assets like this new

:05:25.:05:29.

aircraft carrier would also require negotiation. But prounion

:05:30.:05:33.

campaigners say independence would leave us worse off. All the

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independent analysis tells us an independent Scotland would start

:05:40.:05:41.

with a biggest fiscal deficit than the rest of the UK, and what they

:05:42.:05:46.

would face, we would face, following a Yes vote, would be higher taxes,

:05:47.:05:52.

cutting public spending or probably both. Bedside in the referendum want

:05:53.:05:57.

voters to consider the balance of their economic argument before

:05:58.:06:03.

deciding which way to jump. Let's speak now to our economics

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correspondent in Glasgow and Brian Taylor, the Parliament in Edinburgh.

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Both projections wildly different. Cannot be true. How do people begin

:06:15.:06:20.

to know who to believe? Well, it is a real headache for people when they

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are working out which figure is true or not, and the likelihood is that

:06:25.:06:27.

both figures are not correct, because when you are looking at

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projections 20 years ahead of time, the likelihood is so many variables

:06:32.:06:35.

are in place that no one is able to hit the nail on the head. Also, both

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sides are picking out the figures that suit their own arguments,

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cherry picking. If you look at projections over one year, five

:06:48.:06:49.

years and ten years, often you will get a very different outcome, and

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that is what we have seen today. Of course, in anyone's book ?1000 is a

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lot of money and nothing to be sniffed at, but you would imagine

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that people value lots of different things when it comes to either an

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independent Scotland, or staying as part of the UK, so it is not

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necessarily just these extra bonus check one way or another that people

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will be casting their votes on. Brown, how will today's events help

:07:12.:07:16.

those people who are still undecided? They will have to go

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through the figures themselves and make their minds up. It is about

:07:19.:07:23.

status and growth. It is about where Scotland is going, particularly it

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is about where Scotland is going, and that is a question of trust and

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belief. Do you believe that Scotland's economy would grow more

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positively and independence, or under maintaining the union? I have

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never encountered a period when people are so engaged and

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enthusiastic about the debate, but it does not appear to be universal

:07:43.:07:47.

with regard to that. Cinemas are having to withdraw adverts for the

:07:48.:07:53.

Yes and no campaigns as, as ever in politics, there is a row about who

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is responsible for the campaigns. It appears people do not want to be

:08:01.:08:04.

cajoled at the cinema. They just want to watch the movie. I'm sure

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today's events will feature in BBC Scotland's new current affairs

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programme. Here is what is on tonight.

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On Scotland 2014 tonight we will be doing the sums, trying to work out

:08:18.:08:21.

whether we would be better off or worse off in independent Scotland,

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and I will be talking to the First Minister about the costs of setting

:08:26.:08:30.

up a brand-new state. So join me at 10:30pm on BBC Two tonight.

:08:31.:08:34.

In the meantime, still to come on Reporting Scotland: Drawings from

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Glasgow's official First World War artist go on display in the city.

:08:40.:08:44.

And in sport, it is a name change but is it a game changer? Selling

:08:45.:08:50.

the naming rights to Murrayfield, we are told, could transform Scottish

:08:51.:08:54.

rugby. And we are live as Scotland prepare

:08:55.:09:02.

to face Nigeria. Reporting Scotland has been given a

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first look inside Glasgow School of Art five days after it was

:09:06.:09:09.

devastated by fire. Salvage work continues to rescue the contents of

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the historic library and student portfolios. Although many parts

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survived unscathed. We really did not know what we were

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going to see and it is really testament to the work of the fire

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services that we are able to stand in this space just now. And you can

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still smell the smoke, but largely intact. It is incredible. I really

:09:33.:09:36.

did not think we would have this much left, and the space is smoke

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damaged but fine. The clocks may have stopped, the walls may be

:09:43.:09:47.

blackened, but the Macintosh still stands and up to 70% of the contents

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survived. What is amazing is that on the East side of the building, whole

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rooms survived intact without any damage whatsoever. This is the

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Macintosh room, used for meetings, and everything, including these

:10:01.:10:05.

distinct Macintosh details, have survived. The West side of the

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building is a different story. The world-famous library, only recently

:10:10.:10:13.

restored, was completely destroyed. But it is one of the best documented

:10:14.:10:17.

rooms in the world, and the Macintosh archive in the concrete

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basement of the East Wing also survived intact. The level of

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interest in Macintosh is such that our archive records are fantastic.

:10:27.:10:30.

We have no shortage of expertise and so we are very well placed with

:10:31.:10:34.

Glasgow School of Art to help in the reconstruction. Meantime, students,

:10:35.:10:39.

who abandoned everything when the fire boat out, must anxiously await

:10:40.:10:43.

the return of their work. Much depends on their medium and where in

:10:44.:10:48.

the building their studios were, but all will return on Friday. We have

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had to shut the campus town for the last five days and I have been

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describing to the students that what we have done is, effectively, freeze

:10:57.:11:02.

Glasgow School of Art. It got frozen on Friday afternoon. On Friday this

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week, the school will open again and we will get on with business as

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usual as much as possible. Today, it is clear how much work has to be

:11:13.:11:19.

done, but it is also clear how much has been saved and how determined

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they are to rebuild it. Meanwhile, firefighters have been

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tackling a large blaze at a derelict school in Glasgow where the former

:11:29.:11:33.

Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson was taught. At its services

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were called to Broomloan Primary school in Ibrox earlier this

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afternoon. No one is believed to have been in the building. The fire

:11:40.:11:45.

has brought down part of the roof. Progress has stalled on reducing the

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number of hospital acquired infections. According to a report by

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Health Protection Scotland, infections picked up in hospitals

:11:53.:11:55.

and care homes continue to pose a significant threat to safety. A

:11:56.:12:02.

national scheme to monitor how often medical staff wash their hands ended

:12:03.:12:05.

last year, despite showing one in ten doctors were not complying with

:12:06.:12:09.

hygiene rules. As a company, Serco is perhaps

:12:10.:12:13.

better known for running prisons, so what do we make of the fact it is

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set to take over the Scotland to London sleeper service? Serco says

:12:18.:12:22.

it will transform it with investment in new carriages, complete with

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ensuite cabins and gourmet food, but it comes as a -- at a cost, as we

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now report. It is almost the journey's end for

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these old carriages. The years and the Scottish weather have not been

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kind. Now Aberdeen -based First Group is preparing to hand over to

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rivals Serco, which today won the battle for the Caledonian sleeper

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franchise from April. New custom-built carriages are on the

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way here is a glance of the future. These drawings show how Serco plans

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to drive up standards on board. That is when the new

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to drive up standards on board. That is when the trains arrive in 2018.

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There will be new features, ensuite facilities for the first time, sleep

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pods that artfully requiring the ball -- that recline fully. There

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will be a reservation system that is easier to use and we are

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will be a reservation system that is easier keen to get early boarding

:13:22.:13:26.

times for passengers. Serco already operates luxury long haul rail

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services across Australia. Also the Indian Pacific... Ministers here say

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there is no reason why the Caledonian sleeper shouldn't also be

:13:41.:13:43.

counted amongst the great rail journeys of the world. If we sell it

:13:44.:13:48.

in the right way so people see it as a real experience, the sleeper

:13:49.:13:51.

service going on to other parts of Scotland as well, and make sure it

:13:52.:13:55.

is a quality experience, I reckon it can be one of the best services in

:13:56.:14:01.

the world. Creating a world-class sleeper service will not be cheap.

:14:02.:14:07.

But what about the cost to passengers? We are told a range of

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ticket deals and accommodation on-board will mean all of us can

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afford to travel on the new Caledonian sleeper.

:14:18.:14:23.

Now, a look at other stories from the across the country.

:14:24.:14:26.

Police Scotland's rationalisation of its control and command centres

:14:27.:14:28.

has started with the closure of the Dumfries and Galloway divisional

:14:29.:14:31.

34 civilian jobs are being lost - although the union Unison says 14

:14:32.:14:36.

Other closures are scheduled in Stirling, Glenrothes,

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It is a blow for the community and the control centre is being

:14:40.:14:53.

transferred into Motherwell. It is a sad day for Dumfries and the people

:14:54.:14:57.

who work for police Scotland. It is a sad day all round.

:14:58.:15:02.

A series of public consultations are being held this week over

:15:03.:15:05.

the planned new Aberdeen Exhibition and Conference Centre.

:15:06.:15:07.

Supporters say it's vital for the North East's economic future, but

:15:08.:15:10.

The Royal Bank of Scotland is to close four

:15:11.:15:15.

The sites at Dalbeattie, Whithorn, Glenluce and Lochmaben will go

:15:16.:15:19.

RBS say it's because of falling business as more people

:15:20.:15:22.

But local politicians say the closures will hit

:15:23.:15:26.

The film and television company behind the Inbetweeners series has

:15:27.:15:34.

announced it's moving its operations from London to the Isle of Skye.

:15:35.:15:37.

YoungFilms is already working on commissions for the BBC and

:15:38.:15:40.

Channel Four and its Gaelic drama serial Bannan airs later this year.

:15:41.:15:43.

The company says it's to expand significantly its Skye workforce.

:15:44.:15:51.

?2 million could be spent replacing badly corroded street lights

:15:52.:15:54.

Stringent testing was introduced after one of the lights fell over.

:15:55.:15:58.

94 lamp posts are so badly corroded they need to be

:15:59.:16:01.

A huge new housing development for Aberdeen has taken a step forward.

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Councillors have approved a planning application in principle

:16:10.:16:11.

for 4,700 homes at the Granom Estate, between Danestone and Dyce.

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Schools, shops and green spaces are all included in the proposal.

:16:15.:16:25.

Let's get the sports news now from David.

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There's a new name above the door of home of Scottish rugby - it's now

:16:29.:16:32.

the BT Murrayfield stadium. The Scottish Rugby Union has sold the

:16:33.:16:36.

naming rights in a twenty million pound sponsorship deal - a deal the

:16:37.:16:40.

SRU says is momentous for the sport in this country. More from our rugby

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We already knew it was a case of Murrayfield no more. So today was

:16:44.:17:00.

all about the National Stadium?s new name. The BT Murrayfield Stadium.

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Heralding a new age for Scottish rugby. This is a major deal.

:17:05.:17:10.

Probably the biggest change in sports history. Everyone who kicks a

:17:11.:17:17.

ball and plays rugby in Scotland will see BT?s influence on the game

:17:18.:17:23.

in Scotland. The SRU is calling today?s

:17:24.:17:26.

announcement a game changer for the sport in this country. ?20 million

:17:27.:17:30.

is a lot of money, so what do they propose to do with that? The answer

:17:31.:17:36.

is to grow Scottish Rugby Union. For new academies will be rolled out

:17:37.:17:39.

across the country to nurture young talent. They will also spend money

:17:40.:17:46.

on strengthening the domestic game. Wiping out the SRU?s debt and

:17:47.:17:49.

funding a third professional team, that will not be happening. We have

:17:50.:17:55.

always been open to discussing finance but our view is that this

:17:56.:17:59.

money will primarily be building the grassroots of our game. The game

:18:00.:18:06.

needs an injection of cash. It has been a difficult time for club rugby

:18:07.:18:12.

in general and we hope this will boost club rugby in Scotland as well

:18:13.:18:18.

as the academies. Did I say Murrayfield? That is now a

:18:19.:18:20.

thing of the past. Scotland are in action tonight. Alas

:18:21.:18:27.

though it's the opposition who're preparing for the finals in Brazil.

:18:28.:18:31.

The match is taking place at Craven Cottage from where our senior

:18:32.:18:35.

football reporter Alasdair Lamont joins us now.

:18:36.:18:37.

Al, the build-up to this match hasn't been all about the football

:18:38.:18:40.

has it? Now, it has been overshadowed to a

:18:41.:18:47.

large extent over the last 24 hours by suspicions of match-fixing. This

:18:48.:18:52.

is something that is taken very seriously, I can tell you, by the

:18:53.:18:58.

authorities. I am joined by the cull manic and Scotland striker, Kris

:18:59.:19:02.

Boyd. With regards to allegations of match-fixing, you have been in a lot

:19:03.:19:05.

of dressing rooms over the years. Did these things affect player

:19:06.:19:10.

preparation at all? I do not think so. They will be focusing on

:19:11.:19:14.

finishing the season. They want to finish off and put on a good

:19:15.:19:18.

performance and go on holiday. But match-fixing probably happens in a

:19:19.:19:21.

lot of countries, but we're not used to it. Hopefully we will get a

:19:22.:19:24.

positive result for the country tonight.

:19:25.:19:27.

Let's focus on the football. The Greg Inglis, Hutton, Mulgrew, Brown,

:19:28.:19:37.

Naismith. It's not an experimental team. We have picked up positive

:19:38.:19:44.

results in the last few games and we will look to continue that. We're

:19:45.:19:48.

bringing in Shaun Maloney and James Morrison to give them a chance. I am

:19:49.:19:52.

looking forward to seeing young Andrew Robertson to see if he can

:19:53.:19:59.

perform at an international level. Would you expect Scotland to

:20:00.:20:02.

continue that good run? I think they can. I know other teams are

:20:03.:20:08.

preparing for the World Cup. But if Scotland start this game right and

:20:09.:20:13.

get in their faces, because the last thing they want to do is get injured

:20:14.:20:19.

before a World Cup, so it's Scotland's ten ticket early doors

:20:20.:20:22.

and get a result, that will be a positive end to the season.

:20:23.:20:28.

A compact stadium, so it should be a good atmosphere. Yes. With the team

:20:29.:20:37.

that we have, I expect them to cause problems. So I am looking forward to

:20:38.:20:39.

the game. Thank you. Kris Boyd will be part of

:20:40.:20:46.

the football coverage later on BBC One.

:20:47.:20:49.

You can watch the match live on BBC One Scotland. Coverage starts at

:20:50.:20:52.

five to eight. There's also live coverage on BBC radio Scotland 810

:20:53.:20:56.

Now, a look at what else is happening across Scottish sport.

:20:57.:21:01.

Team GB Olympic bronze medal winner Daniel Purvis is one of ten gymnasts

:21:02.:21:06.

named in the Scotland team for the Glasgow 2014 Commonwealth games.The

:21:07.:21:09.

Liverpool based Scot fancies another team medal this year.

:21:10.:21:16.

As long as we can stay and hit as many routines cleanly as we can, it

:21:17.:21:22.

is looking good. Veteran judoka Euan Burton is one of

:21:23.:21:23.

fourteen athletes in the Scotland Judo team also announced today..the

:21:24.:21:27.

Commonwealth games a first for the It is an opportunity to compete in

:21:28.:21:37.

Scotland, which I have never done before. I have been at the top of

:21:38.:21:41.

the British team for over a decade but never actually represented

:21:42.:21:42.

Scotland. Peter Kirkbride won a silver in

:21:43.:21:43.

Dehli four years ago. The Ayrshire at Glasgow 2014 and he wants gold

:21:44.:21:46.

this time. I only missed out by one kilo, so

:21:47.:21:58.

that is the equivalent of lifting a bag of sugar. So I want to go one

:21:59.:22:00.

better and not miss out this time. The man who scored the goal to

:22:01.:22:02.

ensure a second place Premiership finish for Motherwell has agreed a

:22:03.:22:05.

new deal. Craig Reid signing up for Aberdeen's manager Derek McInnes has

:22:06.:22:08.

been busy he's signed defender Ash Taylor from Tranmere and goalkeeper

:22:09.:22:13.

Scott Brown from Cheltenham. Read all about that - and more,

:22:14.:22:17.

including the SRU's multi million Lots of football action tonight. We

:22:18.:22:32.

have that international and also Scotland against the Netherlands,

:22:33.:22:33.

Under-21s. Fred Farrell was a self taught

:22:34.:22:39.

painter, who became Glasgow's official First World War artist, yet

:22:40.:22:42.

few know much about him. His drawings and paintings are now on

:22:43.:22:45.

display at the People's Palace, as part of the city's centenary

:22:46.:22:48.

commemoration. The flickering images almost seem

:22:49.:23:04.

familiar. Resolutely upbeat, marching to glory for King and

:23:05.:23:10.

country, expecting to be home by Christmas. But now a new exhibition

:23:11.:23:15.

tells the soldiers' story first-hand. These pictures were

:23:16.:23:18.

captured by Fred Farrell who had served as an engineer and then back

:23:19.:23:23.

to the trenches of the Western front to record the Highland Light

:23:24.:23:27.

Infantry in the 51st Highland division in action.

:23:28.:23:30.

This is a particularly startling image showing a soldier caught up in

:23:31.:23:35.

barbed wire. A disturbing image and an unusual one. Official war artists

:23:36.:23:41.

were not allowed to depict dead bodies. They would not have gotten

:23:42.:23:45.

through censorship so this was probably completed at the end of the

:23:46.:23:49.

war. The Corporation of Glasgow wanted

:23:50.:23:53.

him to document the home front, as women called the factories to do the

:23:54.:23:59.

jobs of the men who had gone to war. Glasgow relied heavily on women in

:24:00.:24:05.

the workforce to produce munitions. Fred Farrell has recorded this in

:24:06.:24:10.

incredible detail. You get a sense from the drawings that, of the scale

:24:11.:24:19.

of the work and the scope of the work of the women.

:24:20.:24:26.

The pictures tell a powerful story. But Fred Farrell himself remains a

:24:27.:24:30.

mystery. Curators are hoping that the fact that the show is on could

:24:31.:24:34.

prompt others to come forward with stories, photographs, diaries, had

:24:35.:24:39.

even more original artworks. The exhibition runs until November.

:24:40.:24:45.

Time for your midweek weather forecast - Judith, it seems to be

:24:46.:24:49.

It was warming up. And that they now continue. That rain is heading every

:24:50.:25:09.

westwards. There are two is on the radar. Elsewhere largely dry and

:25:10.:25:19.

cloudy. Some late sunshine for the Northern Isles where it has been a

:25:20.:25:24.

beautiful day. Overnight, the rain shifts towards the West Coast and

:25:25.:25:28.

tends to fizzle and fade away, leaving a rather cloudy night. Not

:25:29.:25:36.

too cold. Around eight Celsius. First gets off to a cloudy start for

:25:37.:25:42.

pretty much all of the country except Shetland. Plenty sunshine

:25:43.:25:46.

there. There will be some showers as we head into the afternoon but the

:25:47.:25:50.

drier weather in the North will filter its way towards the South as

:25:51.:25:54.

we head through the day. A bit cloudy in the south-west. Further

:25:55.:26:01.

north, more in the way of sunshine. A beautiful day for Orkney and

:26:02.:26:08.

Shetland. Plenty of sunshine through Murray and Aberdeenshire. Still

:26:09.:26:17.

quite chilly on the east cost with the breeze coming in off the North

:26:18.:26:22.

Sea. The rest of the afternoon, into the evening, some late sunshine into

:26:23.:26:28.

the given. Some light showers around. The good news as we head

:26:29.:26:32.

into Friday and Saturday as high pressure. That means settled

:26:33.:26:38.

conditions. We do have a front coming early on Sunday but Friday

:26:39.:26:42.

and Saturday are not looking too bad at all. By that I mean dry, bright

:26:43.:26:47.

and sunny for most. Temperatures around 16 or 17 degrees. Dry and

:26:48.:26:55.

braked to start the weekend. Temperatures could reach 19 degrees.

:26:56.:26:56.

Sunday will see more cloud. Now, a reminder of tonight's main

:26:57.:27:02.

news. The Liberal Democrats are facing

:27:03.:27:04.

further controversy tonight. Lord UK ministers said people would

:27:05.:27:18.

benefit from staying in the UK by ?1400 per year. The Lib Dems are

:27:19.:27:26.

facing further controversy. Lord Oakeshott has quit the party seeing

:27:27.:27:29.

it is heading for disaster under Nick Clegg. Lord Oakeshott had been

:27:30.:27:33.

facing disciplinary action. That's Reporting Scotland. I am back just

:27:34.:27:37.

after the Ten O'Clock News. Goodbye.

:27:38.:27:43.

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