29/06/2014 Sunday Politics South East


29/06/2014

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No surprise that Mr Cameron didn't get his way at the European summit.

:00:37.:00:47.

But does it mean Britain has just moved closer to the EU exit?

:00:48.:00:50.

Doctors want to ban smoking outright.

:00:51.:00:53.

A sensible health measure or the health lobby's secret plan all

:00:54.:00:56.

A green threat to our green and pleasant land?

:00:57.:01:10.

We'll look at the dramatic rise in the number

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And with me, as always, the best and the brightest political

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panel in the business Nick Watt Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh.

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They've had their usual cognac, or Juncker as it's known in

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Luxembourg, for breakfast and will be tweeting under the influence

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He's a boozing, chain-smoking, millionaire bon viveur who's made

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it big in the world of European politic.

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I speak of Jean-Claude Juncker, the former Prime Minister of Luxembourg

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He'll soon be President of the European Commission,

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He wasn't David Cameron's choice of course.

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But those the PM thought were his allies deserted him and he ended up

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on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Fedrealist Juncker.

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-- on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Federalist

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So where does this leave Mr Cameron's hopes

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of major reform and repatriation of EU powers back to the UK?

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Let's speak to his Europe Minister David Lidington

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Welcome to the programme. The Prime Minister says that now with Mr

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Juncker at the helm, the battle to keep Britain in the EU has got

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harder. In what way has it got harder? For two reasons. The

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majority of the leaders have accepted the process that shifts

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power, it will not careful, from the elected heads of government right

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cross Europe to the party bosses, the faction leaders in the European

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Parliament and and the disaffection was made clear in many European

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countries. Mr Juncker had a distinguished period as head of

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Luxembourg, and was not a known reformer, but we have to judge on

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how he leads the commission and there were some elements in the

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mandate that the heads of government gave this week to the new incoming

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European Commission that I think are cautiously encouraging for us. The

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Prime Minister talked about those that not everybody wants to

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integrate and to the same extent and speed. Let me just interrupt you.

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What is new about saying that Europe can go closer to closer union at

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different speeds? That has always been the case. It's nothing new

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Indeed there are precedents, and they are good examples of the

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approach as part of the course and one of the elements that the Prime

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Minister is taking forward in the strategy is to get general

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acceptance that while we agree that most of the partners have agreed to

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the single currency will want to press forward with closer

:04:26.:04:28.

integration of their economic and tax policies, but not every country

:04:29.:04:33.

in the EU is going to want to do that. We have to see the pattern

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that has grown up enough to recognise there is a diverse EU with

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28 member states and more in the future. We won't all integrate the

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extent. It is a matter of a pattern that is differentiation and

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integration. I understand that. John Major used to call it variable

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geometry, and other phrases nobody used to understand, but the point is

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that you're back benches don't want any union at any speed, even in the

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slow lane. They want to go in the other direction. It depends which

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backbencher you talk to. There's a diverse range of views. I think that

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there is acceptance that the core of the Prime Minister's approaches to

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seek reform of the European Union, for renegotiation after the

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election, then put it to the British people to decide. It won't be the

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British government or ministers that take the final decision, it's the

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British people, provided they are a Conservative government, who will

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take the decision on the basis of the reforms that David Cameron

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secures whether they want to stay in or not. Is there more of a chance,

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not a certainty or probability, but at least more of a chance that with

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Mr Juncker in that position of Britain leaving the EU? I don't

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think we can say that at the moment. I think we can say that the task of

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reform looks harder than it did a couple of weeks ago. But we have do

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put Mr Juncker to the test. I do think he would want his commission

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to be marked and I think that there is, and I find this in numbers

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around Europe, and there is a growing recognition that things

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cannot go on as they have been. Europe, economically, is in danger

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of losing a lot of ground will stop millions of youngsters are out of

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work already that reform. There is real anxiety and a number of

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countries now about the extent to which opinion polls and election

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results are showing a shift of support to both left and right wing

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parties, sometimes outright neofascist movements, expressing

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real content and resentment at Howard in touch -- how out of touch

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decisions have become. You say you are sensing anxiety about the

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condition of Europe, so why did they choose Mr Juncker then? You would

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have to put that question to some of the heads of European government.

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Clearly there were a number for whom domestic politics played a big role

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in the eventual decision that they took. There were some who had signed

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up to the lead candidate process and felt they could not back away from

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that, whatever their private feelings might have been, but I

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think the PM was right to say that this was a matter of principle and

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it shouldn't just be left as a stitch up by the European Parliament

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to tell us what they do. He said, I can't agree to pretend to acquiesce.

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They have to make the opposition clear that go on with reform. Are

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the current terms of membership for us unacceptable? The current terms

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of the membership are very far from perfect. Are they unacceptable? The

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current terms are certainly not ones that I feel comfortable with. The

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Prime Minister described them as unacceptable. Do you think they are?

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We look at the views of the British people at the moment. If you look at

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the polling at the moment, the evidence is that people are split on

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whether they think membership is a good thing. I'm asking what you

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think. David Cameron wants to in -- endorse changes in our interest but

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also because the biggest market is going to suffer if they don't

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challenge -- grasp the challenge of political and economic reform.

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Newsnight, Friday night, Malcolm Rifkind the former Secretary of

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State said to me that even if the choice was to stay in on the

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existing terms, he would vote to stay in on the existing terms. He

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doesn't necessarily like them, but he would vote to stay in. That is

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the authentic voice of the Foreign Office, isn't it? That is the

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position of your department. Is it your position? Malcolm Rifkind is a

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distinguished and independent minded backbencher. He's not in government

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now. But that is your position. No, the position of the government and

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the Conservative Party in the government is that we believe that

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important changes, both economic and political reforms, are necessary and

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that they are attainable in our interest and those of Europe as a

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whole. Would you vote to stay in on the existing terms? That's not going

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to be a question that the referendum. Really? I know that in

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2017 Europe is going to look rather different to how it looks today For

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one thing our colleagues in the Eurozone will want and need to press

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ahead with closer integration. That, in our view, needs to be done

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in a way that fully respects the rights of those of us who remain

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outside. Variable geometry, tackling things like the abuse of freedom of

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migration. Those are all in the conclusions from the leader this

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week and we should welcome that Very briefly, finally, when will

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you, as a government, give us the negotiating position of the

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government? Will you give us what you hope to achieve before the

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election or not? David Cameron set out very clearly in his Bloomberg

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speech that he wanted a Europe that was more democratically accountable,

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more flexible, more at it -- economically competitive. That is

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all very general. When will you lay out the negotiating position? It's

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not general. It is very far from general. We have seen evidence in

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the successful cut of the European budget, the reform of fisheries

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those reforms have started to take effect. We have won some victories

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and I'm sure the Prime Minister as we get towards the general election,

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will want to make clear what the Conservative Party position is, and

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perhaps other political leaders will do the same for their party. Thank

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you for joining us this morning The harsh reality of this is that there

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is a yawning gap between what the Prime Minister can hope to bring

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back and what will satisfy his Conservative backbenchers. Yes, I

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think the Parliamentary Conservative Party is divided into three parts,

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those who would vote to leave the EU regardless, those who would stay

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regardless, and a huge middle ground of people who want to stay in on

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renegotiated terms. These are not three equal parts. Those who would

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vote to stay in regardless are smaller and smaller. Compared to 20

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years ago, tiny. But the people in the middle, generally, would only

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stay in if you secure a renegotiation that will not be

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re-secured. In other words, they are de facto, out by 2017 and the

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referendum. This whole saga of the recent weeks has been the single

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biggest economy in foreign policy under this government. That's not

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what the voters think. -- single biggest ignominy. I mean the failure

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to secure the target. The opinion polls show that standing up against

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Mr Juncker has proved rather popular. I suggest that is not Mr

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Cameron's problem. His problem is that, if in the end he gets only

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because Medic changes, and if he says he still thinks that with these

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changes -- cosmetic changes. And he says that they should stay in, that

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would split the Tory party wide open. Eurosceptics say would be the

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biggest split since the corn laws. He wants to protect the position of

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coming out, and you might get that. He wants to crack down on abuse of

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benefits, and he might get that He wants to restrict freedom of

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movement for future member states, and that's difficult, because it is

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a treaty change. And he wants to deal with closer union, but that is

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also treaty change. In the Council conclusions, David Cameron was

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encouraged because it said, let s look at closer union, but it did not

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say it would reform. All it said was ever closer union can be interpreted

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in different ways. In other words, we're not going to change it. The

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fundamental problem the David Cameron was that two years ago, when

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he vetoed the fiscal compact, that showed Angela Merkel was unwilling

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to help them and what happened in the last two weeks was that Angela

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Merkel was unable to help him. There is not a single leader of the

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European Union that once Juncker as president, and he doesn't want it,

:13:36.:13:39.

he wants the note take a job at the European Council. But there was this

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basic stitch up by the European Parliament that meant he was

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presented, and when Angela Merkel put the question over his head there

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was a huge backlash in Germany and she was unable to deliver. I

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understand that, but I'm looking forward to Mr Cameron's predicament.

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I don't know how he squares the circle. It seems inconceivable that

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he can bring back enough from Brussels to satisfy his

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backbenchers. No, you can't. Most of them fundamentally want out. They

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don't want to be persuaded by renegotiations. Where it's hard to

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draw conclusions from the polling is that if you ask people question that

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sounds like, do you like the fact that our Prime Minister has gone to

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Brussels and stuck it to the man, they say yes, but how many people

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will go to the voting booths and put their cross in the box based on

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Europe? We know mostly voters care about Europe as a proxy for

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immigration fears. In ten people in this country could not tell you who

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John Claude Juncker is Angela Weir is replacing. -- and who he is

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replacing. And I'm joined in the studio now by

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arch-Eurosceptic Conservative MEP, Daniel Hannan and from Strasbourg by

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staunch European and former Liberal war? His declared objectives would

:14:51.:15:11.

leave Britain still in the common agricultural policy, the common

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foreign policy, the European arrest warrant, so the negotiating aims

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which we just heard Nick setting out wouldn't fundamentally change

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anything. It would be easy for the Government to declare war on any of

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these things. The danger from your point of view as someone who wants

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to stay in is that if David Cameron only gets cosmetic changes, the

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chance of getting the vote to leave the European Union increases,

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doesn't it? Hypothetically it probably does but we have two big

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things to get through first in domestic politics before we even

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reach a negotiation. One is are we going to have the United Kingdom

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this time next year following the referendum in Scotland? Secondly,

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are the Conservatives after the general election next year going to

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be in a position to pursue a negotiation? In other words are they

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going to be a majority government or even a minority government? For the

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sake of this morning let's assume the answer to both is yes, the UK

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stays intact and against the polls they were saying this morning, David

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Cameron forms an overall majority after the election. There is a

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danger, if he doesn't bring much back, that people will vote yes

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correct? There is that danger and I see a lot of the British press

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comment this morning saying this could be a rerun of the Harold

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Wilson like negotiation of the 1970s, a bit cosmetic but enough to

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say we have got new terms and you should go with it. I think what is

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different however, and this is really an appeal if you like, it

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cannot just be left to the Liberal Democrats and coalition government

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to make this case on our Rome. A lot of interest groups across the land

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will have to start being prepared to put their head above the parapet on

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the fundamental - do you want Britain to remain in the European

:17:28.:17:33.

Union? Yes or no? Are you willing to put your public reputations on the

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line? We are not getting enough of that at the moment and it is getting

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dangerously close to closing time. Daniel Hannan, David Cameron will

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not get away with this, will he It will be an acceptable to his party.

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If it is an acceptable to Tory backbenchers it is because it is

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working and they are reflecting what their constituents say. A majority

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of people in the country are unhappy with the present terms. They can see

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there is a huge wide world beyond the oceans and we have confined

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ourselves to this small trade bloc. There is a huge debate to be had

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about whether we could be doing better outside. It is not danger, it

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is democracy, trusting people. If the only person offering a

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referendum at the moment is the Prime Minister, it has serious

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consequences for his party, your party, that's what I'm talking

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about. I am very proud of being part of the party that is trusting people

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to offer this. If he only gets cosmetic changes he cannot carry his

:18:51.:18:56.

party. But ultimately it will not be his party, it is the electorate as a

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whole that has to decide whether the changes are substantive. Everything

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we have been hearing just now is about staying out of future

:19:06.:19:10.

integration, protecting the role of the non-euro countries. People are

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upset about what is going on today with the EU. They can see laws being

:19:15.:19:20.

passed by people they cannot vote for, friendships overseas are

:19:21.:19:24.

prejudiced, and they conceive that the European Union has just put in

:19:25.:19:28.

charge in the top slot somebody who wants a United States of Europe into

:19:29.:19:33.

which we will eventually be dragged into as some kind of Providence

:19:34.:19:39.

Jean-Claude Juncker is a Federalist, you are Federalist, why did the Lib

:19:40.:19:49.

Dems oppose him? We shared the view that whilst you take account of what

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the members of the European Parliament say, ultimately the

:19:54.:19:57.

choice of the presidency in the commission should be the political

:19:58.:20:01.

leaders, the governmental leaders at a national level, and that's why we

:20:02.:20:06.

went down the route we did. It was more to do with the system than the

:20:07.:20:11.

individual. Although I would say that you need to bear in mind, I

:20:12.:20:16.

mean Daniel, I respect him personally and the integrity of his

:20:17.:20:21.

views, as I think he does mine, but to dismiss the European Union as a

:20:22.:20:28.

small trading block globally, when you have got the United States of

:20:29.:20:33.

America, China and other countries acknowledging its importance, it is

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really Walter Mitty land. Are we closer than... Daniel Hannan, are we

:20:44.:20:55.

closer to an exit after what happened last week? Yes, because the

:20:56.:21:01.

idea that we could get substantive reforms, gets a mythic and powers

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back and be within a looser, more flexible European Union has plainly

:21:11.:21:19.

been closed off. We have to face up to the actual European Union that

:21:20.:21:23.

has taken shape on our doorstep Are we going to be part of that or are

:21:24.:21:29.

we going to have a much more semidetached, looser relationship

:21:30.:21:33.

with it which we can either achieve via a unilateral system of power or

:21:34.:21:45.

another way. This debate is never-ending, it is going on and on

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and has bedevilled British prime ministers for as long as I can

:21:50.:21:53.

remember. Shouldn't the Lib Dems change their stance on the

:21:54.:21:58.

referendum yet again let's just have this in-out referendum and have it

:21:59.:22:04.

sided one way or another? Our position remains clear. If there is

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a constitutional issue put before us in terms of treaty changes then we

:22:10.:22:16.

will have a referendum. Why not now? I am probably the wrong person to

:22:17.:22:26.

ask because I argued and voted for a referendum on Maastricht because I

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thought that was a constitutional treaty. Anything that makes the

:22:32.:22:35.

Queen a citizen of the European Union surely has constitutional

:22:36.:22:42.

implications. Anyway, 20 years on we are where we are and we need to

:22:43.:22:46.

established common vocabulary. You talk about federalism. What do we

:22:47.:22:54.

mean? Most of the people operating in the European Parliament and the

:22:55.:22:57.

institution across the road, the Council of Europe, they mean by

:22:58.:23:03.

federalism decentralisation of powers, not a Brussels superstate

:23:04.:23:10.

but actually the kind of decentralisation that maintains

:23:11.:23:13.

national characteristics and pools resources and sovereignty where it

:23:14.:23:23.

makes sense. Mr Juncker, who is now going to be in charge of the

:23:24.:23:26.

Brussels commission, he believes in a single EU reform policy, an EU

:23:27.:23:37.

wide minimum wage and EU wide taxes. You said this week that you

:23:38.:23:41.

liked the sound of Juncker federalism. Does that sound good to

:23:42.:23:48.

you? No, and I think the new president of the commission will be

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disappointed if he puts forward these views because although we only

:23:52.:23:57.

had Hungary voting with us, I think if you go to other countries,

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France, Poland, Scandinavia, they are not going to buy that kind of

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menu. What they mean by federalism is the continental concept, also the

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North American concept, that we can sit very happily... They have an

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army, a federal police force, federal taxation. Yes, but in terms

:24:23.:24:32.

of the political institutions which is what we are discussing here, you

:24:33.:24:36.

can have the supranational, the European level, whilst still having

:24:37.:24:40.

the very vibrant national, and indeed as we are practising in the

:24:41.:24:45.

United Kingdom the subnational. A very brief final word from you,

:24:46.:24:51.

Daniel. That is ultimately going to be the choice. The European Union is

:24:52.:24:57.

an evolving dynamic, we can see the direction it is going in. Do we want

:24:58.:25:02.

to be part of that? I suspect Charles Kennedy would have loved a

:25:03.:25:06.

referendum. I cannot help but notice his party is going downhill since he

:25:07.:25:22.

was running it. It is illegal to light up in the workplace, pubs and

:25:23.:25:27.

restaurants. Now the British Medical Association has voted to outlaw

:25:28.:25:30.

everywhere but not everybody at once. It would apply to anyone born

:25:31.:25:36.

after the year 2000. In a moment we will debate the merits of those

:25:37.:25:40.

plans but first he is Adam. There was a time when to be British

:25:41.:25:47.

was to be a smoker. 1948 was the year off peak fag with 82% of men

:25:48.:25:52.

smoking mainly cigarettes but it was a pipe that Harold Wilson used as a

:25:53.:25:57.

political prop to help with the hard-hitting interviews they did in

:25:58.:26:01.

those days. The advertisements make out pipe smokers to be more virile,

:26:02.:26:12.

more fascinating men than anybody else. Do you thought -- have that

:26:13.:26:16.

thought anywhere in your mind? No. It changed in 2006 when smoking in

:26:17.:26:27.

enclosed places was banned. I would rather be inside but unfortunately

:26:28.:26:31.

we have got to do what this Government tells us to do. I think

:26:32.:26:37.

it is good, it is calm and you can breathe. Research suggests it has

:26:38.:26:43.

improved the health of bar workers no end and reduced childhood asthma.

:26:44.:26:47.

Now just one in five adults is a smoker. Coming next, crackdowns on

:26:48.:26:53.

those newfangled e-cigarettes, smoking in cars and possibly the

:26:54.:26:58.

introduction of plain packaging There is still those who take pride

:26:59.:27:05.

in smoking and see it as a war on freedom.

:27:06.:27:18.

We're joined now by Dr Vivienne Nathanson

:27:19.:27:21.

from the British Medical Association who voted for a graduated ban

:27:22.:27:24.

on smoking at their conference last week, and Simon Clark

:27:25.:27:28.

They're here to go head-to-head There are plenty of things which are

:27:29.:27:37.

bad for our health, why single out cigarettes? We need some sugar in

:27:38.:27:47.

our diets but the fact is that we need to stop people smoking as

:27:48.:27:51.

children because if we can do that, the likelihood that they will start

:27:52.:27:56.

smoking is very small. In no circumstances is smoking good for

:27:57.:28:01.

you. There are lots of smokers who live long, healthy lives but we

:28:02.:28:05.

totally accept smoking is a risk to your health and adults have to make

:28:06.:28:10.

that decision, just as you make the decision about drinking alcohol

:28:11.:28:15.

eating fatty foods and drinking sugary drinks. This proposal is

:28:16.:28:19.

totally impractical. It will create a huge black market in cigarettes

:28:20.:28:24.

which will get bigger every year. They say this is about stopping

:28:25.:28:27.

children smoking but there is already a law in place that stops

:28:28.:28:33.

shopkeepers from selling cigarettes to children. This target adults so

:28:34.:28:39.

you could have the bizarre situation in the year 3035 for example where a

:28:40.:28:44.

36-year-old can go into shops to buy cigarettes but if you are 35 you

:28:45.:28:49.

will be denied that, which is ludicrous. The point is that the

:28:50.:28:54.

younger you start smoking the more likely you will become heavily

:28:55.:28:57.

addicted. I take the point, but the point he is saying is that if this

:28:58.:29:03.

becomes law, down the road, if you go into shops to buy cigarettes you

:29:04.:29:08.

would have to take your birth certificate, wouldn't you? We have

:29:09.:29:12.

no idea how the legislation would be written but the key point is that if

:29:13.:29:16.

we can stop young people from starting to smoke, we will in 2

:29:17.:29:22.

years have a whole group of people who have never smoked so you won't

:29:23.:29:27.

have that problem of people who are smokers and they are now in their

:29:28.:29:31.

20s and 30s. Or you will have a lot of younger people who get cigarettes

:29:32.:29:35.

the way they currently get illegal drugs now. They are already getting

:29:36.:29:39.

cigarettes illegally and we have to deal with that. We have got to get

:29:40.:29:45.

better. The Government has not been able to stop it. We know this is

:29:46.:29:55.

going to kill 50%... When you are 15 you think you will live for ever.

:29:56.:30:00.

Indeed but they also do it as rebellion and because they see

:30:01.:30:04.

adults and it is remarkably easy to buy cigarettes. Whatever the case is

:30:05.:30:08.

for individual choice, won't most people agree that if you could stop

:30:09.:30:13.

young people smoking, so that through the rest of their lives they

:30:14.:30:16.

never smoked, that would be worth doing? You get 16 or 17-year-olds

:30:17.:30:27.

who already do that. Is it worth trying? When the government

:30:28.:30:32.

increased the age at which shopkeepers could sell from 16 to

:30:33.:30:36.

18, we supported it. We don't support a ban on proxy purchasing,

:30:37.:30:42.

we support reasonable measures, but this is unreasonable. This proposal

:30:43.:30:45.

says a lot about the BMA, because this week the BMA also passed a

:30:46.:30:51.

motion to ban the use of E cigarettes in public places. There

:30:52.:30:54.

is no evidence that they are dangerous to health, so why are they

:30:55.:30:58.

doing that? They are becoming a temperance society. This is not

:30:59.:31:02.

about public health, it's an old-fashioned temperance society and

:31:03.:31:05.

they have to get their act together because they are bringing the

:31:06.:31:09.

medical profession into disrepute. We were having argument is about

:31:10.:31:14.

things that people buy large accept, smoking in bars or public places,

:31:15.:31:19.

but the real aim of the BMA was the total banning of cigarettes

:31:20.:31:21.

altogether. This would suggest that that was true to claim that. It s

:31:22.:31:27.

not about a ban, it's about a move to a country where nobody wants to

:31:28.:31:32.

smoke and no one is a smoker. But it would be illegal to smoke. It would

:31:33.:31:36.

be illegal to buy, not smoke, and there's a difference between two. So

:31:37.:31:43.

even if I am born in the year 2 00, it would still be illegal to smoke,

:31:44.:31:46.

just illegal to buy the cigarettes? Indeed. The point being that the

:31:47.:31:53.

habit of smoking is very strongly linked to your ability to buy, so

:31:54.:31:57.

that is why things like Price and availability and marketing are so

:31:58.:32:01.

important. People will flood across the Channel with the cigarettes One

:32:02.:32:05.

thing you will find is that throughout the world people is

:32:06.:32:08.

looking at -- people are looking at the same kind of measures, and

:32:09.:32:13.

different countries like Australia, they were the first with a

:32:14.:32:16.

standardised packaging. Other countries will follow, because all

:32:17.:32:19.

of us are facing the fact that we can't afford to pay for the

:32:20.:32:25.

tragedy. There will be people waiting to flood the market with

:32:26.:32:29.

cigarettes. This is nonsense. Thanks for both coming and going

:32:30.:32:32.

head-to-head. "Unless we have more equal

:32:33.:32:36.

representation, our politics won't be half as good as it should be "

:32:37.:32:40.

So said David Cameron back in 2 09. So how's it going?

:32:41.:32:42.

Well, you can judge the quality of the politics for yourself,

:32:43.:32:44.

but we've been crunching the numbers to find out what

:32:45.:32:47.

parliament might look like after the next year's general election.

:32:48.:32:48.

Here's Giles. Politicians are elected to

:32:49.:32:55.

Parliament to represent their constituents, but the make-up of

:32:56.:32:58.

Parliament does not reflect society well at all the parties it. In 010

:32:59.:33:04.

more women and ethnic minority candidates entered Westminster but

:33:05.:33:08.

not significantly more inner chamber still dominated by white males.

:33:09.:33:16.

Looking at the current make-up of the Commons, Labour has 83 female

:33:17.:33:22.

MPs, the Conservative have 47 women MPs, which is just over 47% -- and

:33:23.:33:29.

the Lib Dems have 12% of the parties. All of the parties have

:33:30.:33:33.

selected parliaments in those seats where existing MPs are retiring and

:33:34.:33:36.

to fight seats at the next election, and they've all been

:33:37.:33:39.

trying to up the number of women and ethnic minorities because discounts

:33:40.:33:44.

and can be capitalised on. A picture tells a thousand words. Look at the

:33:45.:33:49.

all-male front bench before us. And he says he wants to represent the

:33:50.:33:54.

whole country. Despite the jibe the Labour Party know they have a long

:33:55.:33:57.

way to go on the issue of being representative. So we

:33:58.:34:09.

way to go on the issue of being look at this particular area of lack

:34:10.:34:10.

of women and ethnic minorities. Women first.

:34:11.:34:10.

In the most marginal, 40 have women candidates, that would mean if they

:34:11.:34:42.

got just enough to win power, they would have 133 women, which is 1%

:34:43.:34:48.

The Conservatives currently have 305 MPs and their strategy

:34:49.:34:50.

at the next election is to concentrate on their 40 most

:34:51.:34:53.

marginal seats, and the 40 seats most mathematically likely to turn

:34:54.:34:55.

In those 40, 29 candidates have been selected

:34:56.:34:59.

If they kept hold of their existing seats and won those 29 new ones

:35:00.:35:04.

they would have 56 women MPs, around 17%, and up 2% from last time.

:35:05.:35:08.

The Liberal Democrats are fighting to hold on to the 57 seats they won

:35:09.:35:11.

at the last election, if they manage that, they would have

:35:12.:35:14.

However all the indications are it could be

:35:15.:35:19.

a bad night for the Lib Dems, if they lost 20 seats, on a uniform

:35:20.:35:23.

swing it would leave them with just four women, 11% of the party.

:35:24.:35:28.

One Conservative peer who thinks the party needs to look at all

:35:29.:35:32.

options if it's female numbers go down in 2015, says Parliament is

:35:33.:35:35.

The bottom line is, if 50% of our population is not being looked at

:35:36.:35:50.

evenly, are we really using the best of our talent? And yes, women's life

:35:51.:35:57.

experiences are different. They are not superior, they are not inferior.

:35:58.:36:00.

They are different. But surely those life experiences need to be

:36:01.:36:02.

represented here at Westminster So that's the Parliamentary

:36:03.:36:06.

projection for gender, According to the last census

:36:07.:36:08.

in 2011, 13% of people in the UK Labour currently has 16 MPs from

:36:09.:36:14.

black, Asian or minority ethnic backgrounds or just over 6%, if they

:36:15.:36:19.

get their extra 68 seats that figure would go up to 26, 8% of their party

:36:20.:36:23.

were from BAME backgrounds. The Tories currently have 11 BAME

:36:24.:36:27.

candidates, or 4% of the party. If they get an extra 29 seats,

:36:28.:36:34.

that would mean 14 BAME MPs, The Liberal Democrats

:36:35.:36:37.

don't have any BAME MPs. If they manage to cling

:36:38.:36:46.

on to their current number of seats they would have two,

:36:47.:36:51.

giving them a proportion of 4%. If they lost

:36:52.:36:54.

their 20 most vulnerable seats, But even if you changed the mix

:36:55.:36:56.

of gender and ethnicity in Parliament would that solve

:36:57.:37:06.

the problem? Probably not. Only 10% of us have gone to

:37:07.:37:08.

a private fee paid school. A Quarter of all Mps went to Oxford

:37:09.:37:12.

or Cambridge. Only a fifth

:37:13.:37:21.

of us went to any university. There is a huge disillusionment with

:37:22.:37:28.

the political elite due to the fact that these people don't look like

:37:29.:37:32.

us. They don't speak like us, they don't have our experiences and they

:37:33.:37:35.

cannot communicate in a way we relate to. If you look at the

:37:36.:37:40.

turnout, at the moment, if you are an unskilled worker, you are 20

:37:41.:37:43.

points less likely to turn and vote than a middle-class professional and

:37:44.:37:46.

that is getting worse with single election.

:37:47.:37:49.

And that's the key, evidence does suggest that if a

:37:50.:37:51.

Party reflects the society it exists within, it is more likely to get

:37:52.:37:54.

It's just gone 11.35pm, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:55.:38:04.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:38:05.:38:06.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, we'll have more from the panel.

:38:07.:38:10.

First though, the Sunday Politics where you are.

:38:11.:38:19.

I'm Natalie Graham and this is the Sunday Politics in the South East.

:38:20.:38:22.

After eight years of heated arguments, a decision has fhnally

:38:23.:38:27.

been made to permanently downgrade Eastbourne's maternity servhces

:38:28.:38:30.

We?ll ask whether it was the right decision.

:38:31.:38:35.

Joining me in the studio today are the Sevenoaks

:38:36.:38:37.

MP and Government Energy Minister, Michael Fallon, and Diane J`mes

:38:38.:38:40.

First, we learnt last week that the UK population has grown more

:38:41.:38:48.

in the past year than in any other EU country.

:38:49.:38:51.

And the rate is fastest in London and the South East, fuelled by

:38:52.:38:54.

So, are we doing enough to plan ahead for that growth?

:38:55.:39:06.

Being in government, Michael Fallon, planning the long`term is a

:39:07.:39:12.

necessary job but when the government are very reluctant to do.

:39:13.:39:16.

Not least, because decisions they need to make with housing and

:39:17.:39:19.

energy. They tend to be verx unpopular. Yes, the census hs every

:39:20.:39:25.

ten years so often we are c`tching up with where the population has

:39:26.:39:30.

been. Part of the answer is getting immigration under control. There was

:39:31.:39:34.

no answer before, it was virtually unlimited. We need to make sure

:39:35.:39:40.

people coming here are only coming here to work and to make a

:39:41.:39:45.

contribution to the country. We also need to make sure we have the

:39:46.:39:49.

infrastructure. If we have increased, we need railways and

:39:50.:39:55.

scores. Too often, we wait tntil we are at crisis point. The

:39:56.:39:58.

infrastructure comes afterw`rds Schools are a good idea. Do you

:39:59.:40:03.

think you might not be in government? No, we only get the

:40:04.:40:09.

accurate information every five years with a mini census and every

:40:10.:40:12.

ten years and every ten years with a full census. It has also bedn

:40:13.:40:16.

difficult to plan ahead in some of these areas and predict the growing

:40:17.:40:21.

demand in medical technologhes for the NHS. Budget to get caught out.

:40:22.:40:26.

It's something you need to do. You need to make sure there are scored

:40:27.:40:30.

places and that in the South East it is easy enough to commute to London

:40:31.:40:39.

and other places `` school places. Do you think it is a system that

:40:40.:40:43.

means we are not that good `t it? Yes, undoubtably there is an issue

:40:44.:40:53.

with the system. The borders, the international passenger survey has

:40:54.:40:57.

been ridiculed by the Labour Party. But the infrastructure improves

:40:58.:41:02.

that? If you can't have the people in, if you don't know where they

:41:03.:41:08.

will end up, it does make it very difficult for local authorities If

:41:09.:41:12.

you go back a year, it was the leader of Kent County Counchl who

:41:13.:41:16.

made the point that when restrictions on Romanians and bog

:41:17.:41:19.

Aryans would be lifted, the impact on Kent County Council would be

:41:20.:41:25.

severe. And the numbers that came in were different. That is an dxample

:41:26.:41:32.

of someone who tried to get a grip on things and get a head. Local

:41:33.:41:38.

authorities and their questhons are not always received well. Wd have to

:41:39.:41:39.

leave it there. If, like me, you're a fan

:41:40.:41:41.

of the Archers, you'll have been interested to hear the Radio 4

:41:42.:41:44.

programme praised for the w`y it One example of that is the recent,

:41:45.:41:47.

and no doubt future, storyline about plans to put solar

:41:48.:41:51.

panels in Ambridge. It's a big issue here in thd

:41:52.:41:53.

South East because of the boom in applications for large scald solar

:41:54.:41:57.

farms over the past two years. Sara has been to Kent

:41:58.:41:59.

to find out more. You know

:42:00.:42:01.

what 10 megawatts means, don't you? I've not really

:42:02.:42:07.

had time to look it up. Well, that will be

:42:08.:42:09.

about 50 acres of prime Ambridge Plans

:42:10.:42:12.

for a solar farm ruffling fdathers in the Archers, but the Radho Four

:42:13.:42:21.

drama is a reality for many rural Where there's a boom in applications

:42:22.:42:26.

for large`scale solar developments, as landowners rush to get connected

:42:27.:42:33.

to the grid, ahead of a change This prime agricultural land

:42:34.:42:36.

near Headcorn is a case in point. It could soon be

:42:37.:42:42.

a so`called solar city, covdring 157 acres and that is one of many

:42:43.:42:45.

proposals in Kent and Sussex. Campaigners say, schemes like this

:42:46.:42:51.

will interfere with food production There is nothing green

:42:52.:42:58.

about this. All across this area, we have

:42:59.:43:00.

similar applications for large`scale installations, where developers are

:43:01.:43:06.

merely chasing access to the grid without any considdration

:43:07.:43:10.

to where they are siting thdm. It has a massive impact

:43:11.:43:14.

on our landscape, This is all Grade 2

:43:15.:43:18.

agricultural land. Farmers have been quick to `dopt

:43:19.:43:23.

solar energy as Generous subsidies have meant that

:43:24.:43:26.

the number of large`scale projects There are currently 28 developments

:43:27.:43:32.

over five megawatts compared to just A further 49 have planning

:43:33.:43:38.

permission in Kent and Sussdx. This 125 acre solar park

:43:39.:43:50.

on the Romney Marsh in Kent is one It is already generating enough

:43:51.:43:55.

electricity to power a small town, The development is on

:43:56.:44:00.

Alan Clifton`Holt's family farm As a family, as a business,

:44:01.:44:08.

we are being pragmatic about how we We want to get the best long`term

:44:09.:44:12.

return, with a secured incole, for Looking at solar and wind,

:44:13.:44:19.

is about a long`term solution that is index linked,

:44:20.:44:25.

that we can guarantee a price that From a business point of vidw,

:44:26.:44:28.

it is a bit of a no`brainer. These panels are built on some

:44:29.:44:34.

of the most fertile land in the country, but the question is

:44:35.:44:38.

how many more installations on this scale are we likely to see, now that

:44:39.:44:42.

the government has recognisdd that large`scale solar farms are going to

:44:43.:44:46.

be unpopular with local comlunities? The predicament facing Ambrhdge

:44:47.:44:51.

and the South East made it to the Commons recently,

:44:52.:44:57.

with ministers keen to stress that they are listening to concerns over

:44:58.:44:59.

the use of Britain's best f`rmland I would draw the attention

:45:00.:45:03.

of Borsetshire District Council to the planning advice

:45:04.:45:07.

and the local solar strategx. I would say the same to all

:45:08.:45:13.

councils, making clear that our focus is on Brownfield sites, not

:45:14.:45:16.

on high`grade agricultural land The Community Secretary,

:45:17.:45:20.

Eric Pickles, recently ordered another large project to be

:45:21.:45:23.

scrapped, saying, it was unsightly But, just last week,

:45:24.:45:25.

that decision was overruled in So, with the clock ticking

:45:26.:45:34.

until government subsidies `re slashed, and with no legisl`tion to

:45:35.:45:40.

stop developments, there is a question mark about whethdr we

:45:41.:45:43.

really will see the demise The solar industry says,

:45:44.:45:47.

government policy is in dis`rray. The position for solar, in

:45:48.:45:53.

terms of policy, is pretty chaotic. We are

:45:54.:45:58.

in the situation where the second cheapest and most popular rdnewable,

:45:59.:46:01.

solar, the larger scale, and also on large roofs, is effectively without

:46:02.:46:05.

a coherent policy framework. It is very difficult to unddrstand

:46:06.:46:08.

why the government would do that at this point in time, given solar s

:46:09.:46:14.

potential to be subsidy fred in just So, it seems there is uncertainty

:46:15.:46:17.

surrounding solar energy in the UK. Is this due to a lack

:46:18.:46:26.

of coherent government policy or a clash between the demand for

:46:27.:46:30.

green energy and the preservation Well, joining us now is Richard

:46:31.:46:33.

Knox`Johnston of the Campaign for We saw you there, listening in the

:46:34.:46:59.

column `` comments. In this letter to the local authority, he said it

:47:00.:47:02.

is a priority for the government and it will help us meet renewable

:47:03.:47:06.

targets. Between one solar panels or not? We want it on roofs. Not on

:47:07.:47:14.

good agricultural land. There has been a surge in applications. That

:47:15.:47:18.

quote you out, by the sound of it. You didn't expect it to be so

:47:19.:47:24.

popular. We have acted and we are issuing tougher planning guhdance

:47:25.:47:29.

that my planning `` colleagte referred to to ensure they don't go

:47:30.:47:34.

on good agricultural land. Hf they do get to the council, they can be

:47:35.:47:38.

called into the Secretary of State. First, we heard from a farmdr who

:47:39.:47:42.

have to make a pragmatic business is Asian. He said it is a no`brainer.

:47:43.:47:49.

If they can make it out of solar farms, why shouldn't farmers? There

:47:50.:47:55.

is a subsidy. It is costing too much and is undermining the rest of the

:47:56.:48:00.

renewable strategy. We have to be formed `` fair to those forls, too.

:48:01.:48:06.

We have had to put a stop to be subsidy. The cost of these things

:48:07.:48:11.

has come back enormously. P`nels are now cheaper, being imported from

:48:12.:48:16.

China. They are not being ptt in the right place. They should be on the

:48:17.:48:22.

roofs. Nobody can see them `nd they can achieve energy as a restlt. The

:48:23.:48:28.

other point, you mentioned was Eric pickle's intervention. Ultilately,

:48:29.:48:32.

you can't stop them. It was overruled, if they are allowed on

:48:33.:48:38.

prime agricultural land, thdy will be called in and overruled. We have

:48:39.:48:46.

heard calls to the end of subsidies. Eric Pickles is prepared

:48:47.:48:51.

to intervene. What more can the government do? The government has

:48:52.:48:57.

made the position clear. We are in favour of solar energy. We want them

:48:58.:49:03.

on roofs. There are plenty of spaces. There are plenty of

:49:04.:49:10.

opportunity. Are there enough Brownfield sites for these panels,

:49:11.:49:17.

as we saw in the piece, thex may be worried about their income for the

:49:18.:49:20.

future. This gives him a gu`ranteed income and you can see why he would

:49:21.:49:25.

want to have them. Let's take the point about sites. There ard sites.

:49:26.:49:29.

They must fit in with certahn criteria. If not, it would be much

:49:30.:49:37.

harder. No, I think we have always taken the same position. We have

:49:38.:49:43.

been anti`going having `` are having them on good quality land. With

:49:44.:49:48.

respect to the farm, I think he s been short sighted because H imagine

:49:49.:49:52.

the land will be far more v`luable for food production in the future.

:49:53.:49:56.

He argued the opposite. He said this was a pragmatic decision. Wd heard

:49:57.:50:02.

in the report, there has bedn a ninefold increase for in

:50:03.:50:06.

applications in the last few years. There are 49 applications going to

:50:07.:50:10.

at the moment. We have not seen the beginning of the boom, yet, have we?

:50:11.:50:17.

We are at the end of the beginning. There have been a lot of

:50:18.:50:21.

applications and this has c`used concern for local councils.

:50:22.:50:25.

Obviously, we have two replx to every application. Has that been

:50:26.:50:30.

chewed by the government announcement it will remove

:50:31.:50:32.

subsidies earlier than expected Yes, that is a factor. So you have

:50:33.:50:40.

poured fuel onto the fire bx a putting forward the end of the

:50:41.:50:49.

substances `` subsidies to 2015 It has become a huge surge. Many

:50:50.:50:54.

applications won't go through. Because they are not on good

:50:55.:50:59.

agricultural land. The subshdy will end next March. We are constlting on

:51:00.:51:04.

it, it ends next week. That is our intention. They all know th`t.

:51:05.:51:09.

Tiniest only running out. You will find that poor quality applhcations

:51:10.:51:14.

won't go through. What is UKIP's policy. We don't like solar panels.

:51:15.:51:22.

We think they are fastly inefficient, intermittent,

:51:23.:51:26.

unreliable. What could be rdcouped from them is 50%. The industry is

:51:27.:51:31.

arguing they are only getting started. That is an interesting

:51:32.:51:37.

point. But what do you do, do you invest in inefficient forms of

:51:38.:51:42.

energy or do you wait until technology `` technology get to

:51:43.:51:47.

estate where it will work. They are cheap and they will help us meet our

:51:48.:51:52.

renewable targets. It's the European Union which is directing thhs whole

:51:53.:51:57.

issue about the use of renewables. I would counter argument `` counter

:51:58.:52:03.

argue personally, and I am sure UKIP would, too. Why not, use subsidy

:52:04.:52:12.

system in the UK to use an indigenous energy resource, rather

:52:13.:52:16.

than invest in one that is so inefficient. Your leader, Nhgel

:52:17.:52:21.

Farage, last week announced a plan to a plan say national wreck down

:52:22.:52:26.

like a referendum on issues. I think that is right. This is exactly the

:52:27.:52:31.

issue that the Coalition Government tried to address. It clearlx didn't

:52:32.:52:37.

work. To me it have an issud with developments that threat turned ``

:52:38.:52:44.

communities have an issue whth developments that threaten the

:52:45.:52:50.

character of their area. Thhs is yet another issue that in Tory

:52:51.:52:54.

heartlands like Kent and Sussex where local voters are alienated. I

:52:55.:53:00.

am not clear on a UKIP's endrgy policy. We do need more homd`grown

:53:01.:53:06.

energy. We saw the threat in Ukraine are to their gas supply. We would

:53:07.:53:10.

like more shale gas and mord nuclear. We are short of endrgy and

:53:11.:53:14.

need more energy capacity in this country. What about that issue of

:53:15.:53:21.

alienating core voters? Thex don't want to see large`scale funds on

:53:22.:53:25.

green areas. That is why we are putting an end to it. We have done

:53:26.:53:32.

the same with an assured wind farms `` on shore wind farms. You are

:53:33.:53:40.

doing it to the voters? We're doing it to protect voters, to prdvent

:53:41.:53:45.

costs going up, to ensure a list `` a range of energy supplies. We need

:53:46.:53:51.

to think about the legacy of those solar sites already there. We need

:53:52.:53:53.

to move on. The news that maternity services

:53:54.:53:57.

at Eastbourne's District General Hospital will be permanentlx

:53:58.:53:59.

downgraded didn't come as a big surprise,

:54:00.:54:01.

but it was a bitter disappohntment for campaigners who have bedn

:54:02.:54:03.

fighting the plans for eight years. From now on, any mother

:54:04.:54:06.

in the town facing a complicated birth will have to travel to the

:54:07.:54:10.

consultant led unit at St Ldonards. Monica Corrina`Kavakli has been

:54:11.:54:13.

involved in the campaign One of her babies died at the DGH

:54:14.:54:15.

and she had three other difficult Thank goodness I?m not having

:54:16.:54:19.

our babies now, because I would be frightendd to

:54:20.:54:26.

death if I was having children now. We went through very traumatic

:54:27.:54:29.

experiences with our childrdn Well, the chair of the Eastbourne,

:54:30.:54:35.

Hailsham and Seaford Clinic`l Commissioning Group said it was

:54:36.:54:46.

"the best that they could h`ve come up with" and that the changd will

:54:47.:54:49.

make mothers and babies safdr. So, the NHS says lives will

:54:50.:54:52.

be saved, the campaigners I go with the campaigners. H am very

:54:53.:55:06.

disappointed to hear the ch`ir say it is the best they could h`ve

:55:07.:55:10.

achieved. That is not the sort of words that will reassure people who

:55:11.:55:15.

want those services and what the hospital to stay open. They don t

:55:16.:55:19.

want to see services centralised in another location. They want to hear

:55:20.:55:23.

it is best practice and thex want access. It seems contradictory to

:55:24.:55:28.

what was said about the NHS, where the future wasn't seen in the

:55:29.:55:35.

closure and merger. Think t`nk argue that fewer larger units where they

:55:36.:55:39.

can recruit better consultants are safer, even if patients havd two

:55:40.:55:45.

travel. You don't agree? We're talking about pregnant ladids and

:55:46.:55:50.

situations with difficult bhrths. I would prefer to follow the Royal

:55:51.:55:55.

College Of Midwives. They h`ve endorsed this to a degree, but they

:55:56.:56:00.

also raised the question of road access that patient have to travel,

:56:01.:56:05.

there is an issue that they need to be an improvement in the tr`nsport

:56:06.:56:11.

network, buses. There is also a need in terms of a hopper link sdrvice.

:56:12.:56:17.

They are the experts. When they can put those three, very good reasons

:56:18.:56:22.

up to say this may work but we still have concerns. Can those patients

:56:23.:56:28.

get there? Can they see the best practice in terms of a clinhcal

:56:29.:56:33.

lead, rather than staying in an area they are comfortable in. Whx not

:56:34.:56:37.

bring the service to them. H think that is the problem. There have been

:56:38.:56:43.

similar changes in Kent, to Maidstone Hospital. It is

:56:44.:56:46.

interesting, the gulf betwedn the patients and the campaigners. They

:56:47.:56:51.

are more cynical after eight years of dialogue and discussion hn the

:56:52.:56:56.

Eastbourne case. The failurd of managers to communicate what they

:56:57.:57:02.

are doing? Yes, maybe. I don't know the Eastbourne situation. I do think

:57:03.:57:06.

these decisions should be t`ken locally when possible, not by the

:57:07.:57:10.

minister in London, and shotld be taken by emissions rather than

:57:11.:57:18.

bureaucrats or local politicians. `` clinicians. You need the clhnical

:57:19.:57:25.

decision. Nobody believes them. You can't have a consultant in dvery

:57:26.:57:31.

single unit. You have to take the advice of the clinicians and

:57:32.:57:34.

professional people involved. Let's hear from the Eastbourne MP.

:57:35.:57:37.

I?m incredibly disappointed with the decision.

:57:38.:57:38.

People who don?t live in our area may not be award

:57:39.:57:42.

of the quite deplorable road network between the Eastbourne DGH

:57:43.:57:47.

Even with blue lights, it c`n take on average 40 to 45 minutes.

:57:48.:57:52.

By public transport, it can take anything up to two hours.

:57:53.:58:05.

Prime Minister made a simil`r argument back in 2010. It w`sn't the

:58:06.:58:12.

case that people died. Stephen might be right, the road network `round

:58:13.:58:17.

Eastbourne might be more difficult than around Maidstone. That is why

:58:18.:58:22.

these decisions should be local Why don't local MPs say, actually this

:58:23.:58:29.

could be a good thing. You could get better care. That would be

:58:30.:58:33.

realistic. I think every voter wants to see their MP doing that. But

:58:34.:58:41.

there is the party whip to say, no, keep one side, I have to get my NHS

:58:42.:58:47.

reforms through. I may sound cynical and sarcastic, but that is what it

:58:48.:58:52.

is a bout. We have a Health Minister who wants to deliver savings in the

:58:53.:58:58.

NHS. He is putting pressure on local providers. We have a Health Minister

:58:59.:59:00.

who wants to deliver savings in the NHS. He is putting pressure on local

:59:01.:59:05.

providers. That is an awful lot of money and financial pressurd. A

:59:06.:59:10.

short`term response is to close services. He is a roundup. The chair

:59:11.:59:27.

of Medway Hospital is paid ?200 000 for one half days work of wdek. In

:59:28.:59:32.

the pay eight nurses. The trust say this is appropriate but people in

:59:33.:59:38.

diabolical. Kent Police havd diabolical. Kent Police havd

:59:39.:59:41.

unveiled a local police moddl in which officers are managed by

:59:42.:59:45.

district commanders rather than centrally. The chief customdr will,

:59:46.:59:50.

Alan Pughsley, is facing up to 20 million cuts which would cut jobs. I

:59:51.:59:56.

haven't got enough resources. A survey has put in southeastdrn at

:59:57.:00:01.

the bottom of Wales services in terms of customer satisfacthon.

:00:02.:00:07.

There has been a backlash to East Sussex County Council's proposal to

:00:08.:00:12.

cut glass services. Authorities say 90% of passengers would see no

:00:13.:00:15.

difference. Locals say they could be left stranded. I am very annoyed.

:00:16.:00:22.

They wouldn't like to hear what I would like to say. Things are going

:00:23.:00:33.

to get worse for southeastern passengers, not least because we

:00:34.:00:36.

have disruption at London Bridge. Yes. There has got to be proper

:00:37.:00:42.

compensation. Compensation needs to be provided by the network. We have

:00:43.:00:48.

to sort it out. People make life choices about how to commutd and

:00:49.:00:52.

they could really lose out. We have two answer it properly. Diane Jones,

:00:53.:00:56.

southeastern will get worse before it gets better. I am sure it will.

:00:57.:01:03.

It's like you're opening topic of immigration Pete stop peopld come

:01:04.:01:08.

here and they need access. H am sorry, we have two leave it there.

:01:09.:01:11.

My thanks to both my been problems elsewhere in Europe,

:01:12.:01:15.

but I take your point. Thanks to both of you today. Back to you,

:01:16.:01:17.

Andrew. Now, there have been some

:01:18.:01:22.

less-than-helpful remarks about the way the Labour party makes

:01:23.:01:24.

policy, and they've come from the man who is heading Labour's

:01:25.:01:26.

Policy Review, Jon Cruddas. In a speech to party activists he

:01:27.:01:31.

was recorded saying that, "instrumentalised, cynical nuggets

:01:32.:01:35.

of policy to chime with our focus groups and our press strategies and

:01:36.:01:38.

our desire for a topline in terms of the 24 hour media cycle,

:01:39.:01:41.

dominate and crowd out any He added that Labour's election

:01:42.:01:44.

strategy was being hampered by a The shadow chancellor, Ed Balls

:01:45.:01:54.

was asked about what Mr Cruddas had I talked to him a couple of days

:01:55.:02:15.

ago, and he's not frustrated, he is excited about his policy agenda He

:02:16.:02:21.

is frustrated that one report of 250 pages gets reduced down. So it's our

:02:22.:02:26.

fault? That is the way we live in the world in which we live, but we

:02:27.:02:31.

have big ideas about devolution long term infrastructure spending

:02:32.:02:35.

and new manufacturing policy, new investment in skills, big changes

:02:36.:02:39.

which, let's be honest, I'm really on George Osborne's agenda. How

:02:40.:02:47.

serious is this? It is Wimbledon, so let's call it an unforced error You

:02:48.:02:51.

go to the party speeches, and you don't know who is in the audience.

:02:52.:02:55.

There is no need for something as serious as this to happen. It's

:02:56.:02:59.

hugely serious because it speaks about something people have felt for

:03:00.:03:02.

a long time, that they have doled out little nuggets of policy but no

:03:03.:03:06.

overarching story. There was a quite saying the Ed Miliband has given as

:03:07.:03:10.

a shopping list, not a narrative. When people in the party say things

:03:11.:03:14.

that are true, it's very difficult for people to explain it away. Not

:03:15.:03:19.

sure Mr Miliband can win here. He was recently criticised for not

:03:20.:03:22.

having policies. Now he's being criticised for having too many. I

:03:23.:03:27.

think this line of attack is particularly wounding because he

:03:28.:03:29.

prides himself on being a politician of ideas. That is his unique selling

:03:30.:03:35.

point, and the weight that David Cameron's prime ministerial nature

:03:36.:03:40.

is his selling point. So it is wounding. If I was the Labour Party,

:03:41.:03:43.

before announcing any policy, I would ask can help fix us on the

:03:44.:03:49.

economy? It might be radicalised immolating on its own terms, but

:03:50.:03:55.

it's politically useless. -- radical and innovative on its own terms I

:03:56.:03:59.

don't think any member of the public does not think they are not radical

:04:00.:04:02.

enough or creative enough. If anything, it's the opposite. They

:04:03.:04:05.

are a bit nervous about what a Labour government could do and

:04:06.:04:09.

nervous about the economic reputation. Reassurance, caution,

:04:10.:04:13.

maybe a bit of timidity might be the notions that inform their policies

:04:14.:04:17.

or should inform their policies in night -- my view, not the opposite.

:04:18.:04:23.

I am worried for Jon Cruddas, because anyone who questions the

:04:24.:04:26.

Labour Party are part of the nexus of the banking industry who are

:04:27.:04:31.

terrified of a Labour victory. It's interesting that this goes to the

:04:32.:04:33.

heart of the debate in the Labour Party, at the highest levels, do

:04:34.:04:37.

they put a big offer to the British people, or a little off, John

:04:38.:04:41.

Cruddas offer, or Douglas Alexander offer? Ed Miliband says that his

:04:42.:04:48.

ideas about freezing energy prices and rent controls are a big offer,

:04:49.:04:51.

but his policy chief clearly has real concerns that they don't go far

:04:52.:04:56.

enough. How important a figure is John Cruddas in the project? He is

:04:57.:05:00.

hell of the -- head of the policy review and has a huge amount of

:05:01.:05:06.

power, and so him slagging off the policy review is a bad moment. He is

:05:07.:05:11.

trusted in that inner circle and the problem for Ed Miliband from the odd

:05:12.:05:14.

is that he has people with strong opinions, Maurice clasping is

:05:15.:05:18.

another, big thinkers, but they maybe don't have a precaution that a

:05:19.:05:23.

professional politician might have in terms of giving bland answers.

:05:24.:05:28.

So, David Cameron had to apologise after his former director

:05:29.:05:31.

of communications was convicted of phone hacking.

:05:32.:05:32.

David Cameron's other former friend, Rebekah Brooks, had a better day.

:05:33.:05:36.

At the same trial, she was cleared of all the charges against her.

:05:37.:05:42.

I take full responsibility for employing Andy Coulson. I did some

:05:43.:05:48.

on the basis of undertakings I was given by him about phone hacking and

:05:49.:05:51.

those turned out not to be the case. I always said that if they turned

:05:52.:05:55.

out to be wrong, I would make a full and frank apology, and I do that

:05:56.:06:00.

today. I am extremely sorry that I employed him. It was the wrong

:06:01.:06:05.

decision. I'm clear about that. When I was arrested it was in the middle

:06:06.:06:10.

of a maelstrom of controversy, politics and of comment. Some of

:06:11.:06:13.

that was there, but much of it was not, so I'm grateful to the jury for

:06:14.:06:24.

coming to that decision. Not been a great week for David Cameron. Andy

:06:25.:06:28.

Coulson found guilty, and another person who had worked in Downing

:06:29.:06:30.

Street is also charged on an unrelated issue. And he was 26- on

:06:31.:06:36.

the wrong end in Brussels, and there is a poll this morning which no one

:06:37.:06:39.

seems to be talking about which puts Labour nine points ahead. Before all

:06:40.:06:44.

that there was Dominic Cummings criticising the Downing Street

:06:45.:06:48.

operation is being shambolic. Is Mr Cameron's judgement becoming an

:06:49.:06:52.

issue? Yes, what often happens when one leader is under pressure for

:06:53.:06:55.

long enough, as Ed Miliband has been the six months, we get bored. We

:06:56.:07:00.

then switch the Gatling gun to the other guy. So David Cameron going

:07:01.:07:03.

into the Conference season might be the man under pressure. The whole

:07:04.:07:06.

Andy Coulson saga has raised questions about his judgement and

:07:07.:07:10.

those around him, but any political damage she was going to sustain over

:07:11.:07:13.

Andy Coulson and phone hacking was sustained years ago -- he was

:07:14.:07:16.

going. It was Brother beyond the date the News of the World was

:07:17.:07:20.

closed down three summers ago - it was probably on the date. As the

:07:21.:07:25.

hacking trial cut through to the general public? Or is it just as

:07:26.:07:31.

media and political obsessives? I am sure it has cut through in some way

:07:32.:07:35.

but it didn't necessarily happen in recent days, more likely in recent

:07:36.:07:39.

years. It was some time ago that Andy Coulson resigned in high

:07:40.:07:43.

profile circumstances. It has had a slow burning effect over a few

:07:44.:07:47.

years, and the Prime Minister fears the Big Bang. But there is one theme

:07:48.:07:53.

and words that unites this week with Juncker and Andy Coulson, and that

:07:54.:07:57.

is that the Prime Minister can be lackadaisical. He was lackadaisical

:07:58.:08:00.

in not asking big question is when there was a lot in the public domain

:08:01.:08:03.

about what had happened that the News of the World. And he was

:08:04.:08:07.

lackadaisical with Juncker. He made a calculation that Angela Merkel

:08:08.:08:10.

would support him and it turned out she couldn't. Maybe he needs to

:08:11.:08:14.

change. He was late in understanding what was happening in Germany when

:08:15.:08:18.

both the Christian Democrats, her party, wanted Juncker, and when the

:08:19.:08:25.

actual Murdoch press of Germany said that they wanted him as well. He

:08:26.:08:30.

never saw that. He only looks at one person in Germany, Angela Merkel,

:08:31.:08:34.

and it is a grand coalition, and the SDP felt strongly about it. He is,

:08:35.:08:39.

in a sense, an essay crisis Prime Minister. He is, in a sense, an

:08:40.:08:41.

essay crisis Prime Minister. He s very good in an essay, and the SA

:08:42.:08:47.

gets a double first the essay. Is Ed Miliband right to be angry? He has

:08:48.:08:52.

John Cruddas attacking him, and that is the news leading in the Sunday

:08:53.:08:57.

Times, and has not been a good week the Prime Minister and in which Mr

:08:58.:09:00.

Miliband has a bigger lead in the polls than he has had some time so

:09:01.:09:03.

he must be wondering why they are having a go at him. He made a

:09:04.:09:07.

tactical error in Prime Minister's Questions by asking all the

:09:08.:09:10.

questions about Andy Coulson. The one at the end about what Gus

:09:11.:09:14.

O'Donnell said was rather hopeful in the extreme. Politicians can be out

:09:15.:09:19.

of touch on all sides of the house. The problem is, and there is a great

:09:20.:09:23.

quote by William Hague, is that the Tory party has two modes, panic and

:09:24.:09:27.

complacency. At the moment they are complacent. They think Ed Miliband

:09:28.:09:30.

will lose Labour election but I don't know if they have a positive

:09:31.:09:33.

plan about how to win it. -- lose Labour the election.

:09:34.:09:36.

Now, we knew Prince Charles had trouble keeping his views

:09:37.:09:39.

about the environment and the countryside to himself,

:09:40.:09:41.

but that's not the only thing he's passionate about according to

:09:42.:09:43.

a radio four documentary to be broadcast this lunchtime.

:09:44.:09:46.

Here's former Education Secretary, David Blunkett on how the Prince

:09:47.:09:51.

had once attempted to influence his policy on schools.

:09:52.:09:54.

I would explain that our policy was not to expand grammar schools, and

:09:55.:10:00.

he didn't like that. He was very keen that we should go back to a

:10:01.:10:06.

different era where youngsters had what he would've seen as the

:10:07.:10:10.

opportunity to escape from their background, where as I wanted to

:10:11.:10:11.

change their background. And you can hear that documentary -

:10:12.:10:13.

it's called The Royal Activist Does it matter that Prince Charles

:10:14.:10:23.

is getting involved in this kind of policy, released behind closed doors

:10:24.:10:26.

question mark on the issue of grammar schools is not clear anybody

:10:27.:10:32.

listened to him. I think it is a principal problem. I've spoken to

:10:33.:10:35.

form a government members, and judging by what they say, if

:10:36.:10:38.

anything we underestimate how much contacting makes with ministers And

:10:39.:10:42.

how many representations he makes on the issue that interest him. There

:10:43.:10:48.

has been an attempt to keep it hidden. It's almost a theological

:10:49.:10:51.

question about whether the future monarch should be involved in the

:10:52.:10:56.

public realm. If he wants to influence policy, shouldn't we know

:10:57.:10:59.

what policy he's trying to influence and what position he is taking?

:11:00.:11:04.

Sewer speech is better than private one-on-one lobbying. Possibly - so

:11:05.:11:10.

a speech. Prince Charles's views are interesting. He's not a straight

:11:11.:11:14.

down the light reactionary. He makes a left-wing case for rammer schools.

:11:15.:11:18.

There is an interview with him in the Financial Times in which his

:11:19.:11:23.

argument in favour for architectural development takes into account

:11:24.:11:26.

affordable housing in the wake which no one would have suspected. He has

:11:27.:11:29.

interesting views, but I'm not convinced on the point of principle

:11:30.:11:33.

whether someone is dashing his position should be speaking. Your

:11:34.:11:38.

former employer 's famously described him as the SDP king. You

:11:39.:11:45.

slightly feel sorry for him. He s 66 and still an apprentice. He's in a

:11:46.:11:52.

difficult position. We know what the powers of the monarch are. They are

:11:53.:11:56.

to advise in courage and warned the Prime Minister of the day. These in

:11:57.:11:59.

the difficult position where the problem for him is that there is a

:12:00.:12:02.

line that isn't really defined, but you slightly feel he just gets a bit

:12:03.:12:06.

too close to it and possibly crosses that line with the lobbying that

:12:07.:12:12.

goes on. I think the worrying thing is that at some point he will become

:12:13.:12:16.

King and will he know that he has got to work within that framework?

:12:17.:12:21.

He is somebody that cannot win either. If he doesn't take an

:12:22.:12:24.

interest in public policy, he will be thought to be a bit of a waster,

:12:25.:12:28.

going round opening town halls, and when he does have an interest we

:12:29.:12:32.

think, hey, you are in the monarchy, stay out. There's an interesting

:12:33.:12:37.

parallel with first ladies who are encouraged to find a controversial

:12:38.:12:42.

charitable project. Michelle Obama has bought childhood obesity, and

:12:43.:12:47.

that is the standard thing. Everybody knows that that is a bad

:12:48.:12:50.

thing, but you are not offering solutions that are party political.

:12:51.:12:54.

I feel there must be a middle way with what he should be able to do

:12:55.:12:57.

about finding big causes he can complain about without getting stuck

:12:58.:13:02.

into lobbying ministers. Which can become a party political issue. He

:13:03.:13:05.

has had some influence on architecture, because the buildings

:13:06.:13:08.

we are putting up to date are better than the ones we used to put up

:13:09.:13:10.

The Daily Politics is on BBC 2 at 11:00am

:13:11.:13:15.

We'll be back here at the same time next week.

:13:16.:13:19.

Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:20.:13:24.

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