23/10/2016 Sunday Politics South East


23/10/2016

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There's another candidate in the race to become Ukip's next

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leader: Suzanne Evans, the party's former deputy chairman,

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This man might have something to say about that.

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Paul Nuttal was Nigel Farage's deputy for many years.

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So is he now ready to throw his hat in the ring?

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The battle for Mosul: the Iraqi army and its allies advane

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on the country's second city which has been in the hands of

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In the south-east, Brighton and Hove from this key clash?

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In the south-east, Brighton and Hove Labour Party is ordered to split

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into three and the one of the richest cities in the

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world. Should all private landlords be licensed to help tackle the

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squalor? And with me - as always -

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the best and the brightest political panel in the business: Toby Young,

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Polly Toynbee and Tom Newton Dunn - The last leader was in the job

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a mere 18 days before she decided The favourite to succeed her then

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quit the party after a now infamous Ukip's biggest donor says the party

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is at "breaking point". This morning, the former

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Deputy Chairman, Suzanne Evans, announced that she would be

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running for the leadership. I've thought long and hard

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about this leadership bid, and one of the reasons I've perhaps

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delayed announcing it is because I wanted to be absolutely

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sure that I had the support And I can confirm that I have

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more than enough signatures on the nomination form already

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to be able to go forward. Let's not forget that 3,000 people

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signed a petition in support of me I know head office was besieged

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with letters in support. I would not be doing this

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if I didn't have the backing of our members, because our members

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are the most important Well, Paul Nuttall was

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Nigel Farage's deputy for many years and plenty of people saw him

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as a leader-in-waiting. Let's ask the man himself -

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Paul Nuttall joins me now. Yes. I've made the decision that I'm

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going to put my name forward to be the next leader of Ukip. I have huge

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support across the country, not only amongst people at the top of the

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party in Westminster and with the MEPs, but also the grassroots. I

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want to be the unity candidate. Ukip needs to come together. I'm not

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going to gild the lily. Ukip is looking over a political cliff at

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the moment. It will either step four step back, and I want to tell us to

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step backwards. You say it faces an ex-distension or threat, which means

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it's possible it has no future at all. Students of political history

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know that political parties take a long time to get going. They can

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disappear pretty quickly. Ukip is facing an existential crisis. What

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happened over the summer has put us on a... We could be on a spiral that

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we can't get off. But I believe I am the man to bring the factions

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together, to create unity within the party, and to build on the structure

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and get us ready for the common challenges. Why didn't you stand

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last time? Because I have spent the last four or five years of my life

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travelling around the country. I have done more Ukip meetings than

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anybody else, spending a lot of time away from home. With Brexit, I felt

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that my job and Nigel's job was done and we could hand over to the next

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generation. That doesn't seem to be the case, and maybe it's time for

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someone who is an old hand. I'm very experienced and I know the party

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inside out. Maybe it's time to step in and bring the party together You

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told the Liverpool Echo on the night of July that you didn't wish to take

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on Nigel Farage, you didn't want that to happen to your family and

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friends. What has changed? The party is facing an existential crisis and

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I want to make sure that Ukip is on the pitch to keep the ball into the

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open net we have in politics. We have a Conservative Party who is

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moving toward Brexit, but we have to be there too. Why would you be

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better than Suzanne Evans? Suzanne would be an excellent candidate I

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thought the 2015 manifesto was the best out of all the political

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parties. I would be the best candidate because of my experience.

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I am not part of any faction within the party. Is she? I get on well

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with everybody, and I believe I could be the man to bring the party

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together. Do you get on with Iain Banks, -- Aaron Banks, who is

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supporting one of your rivals? Yes, I get on well with him. He is able

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to choose whoever he wants to be the next leader of the party. After

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November 28, the leadership election, we all say, the past the

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past. It becomes Daisy row for the new leader. We forget all that has

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before and move on. You won the referendum. Mrs May is adopting some

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of your policies, like grammar schools. What is the point of Ukip

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these days? Twofold. We don't have Brexit. Mrs May said she would not

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invoke Article 50 until the end of March, and we don't know if that

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will happen. We need to ensure a strong Ukip to make sure that Brexit

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really does mean Brexit. We have a huge opportunity in working class

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communities where the Labour Party no longer represents them. I believe

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Ukip can become the voice of working people. If you were the leader,

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would Ukip be a bigger threat to Labour in the north or the Tories in

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the South? You save Labour in the north, and people often to make that

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mistake. There's working class communities right across the country

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is. There are working-class communities in Bristol just

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as in Newcastle. We are second in a number of northern seats, and

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southern seats as well, and I believe the party can move into

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these communities. It can only do so if Ukip is on the pitch, and I

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intend to make sure that's the case. I don't think we have portrayed a

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good image over the summer. Is that called British understatement? A

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bit. It is dysfunctional. We have to move on beyond Nigel Farage. We have

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to build a strong national Executive Committee. We need to ensure our

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branches are ready for the fight and concentrate on local elections. I've

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got the experience. I'm now throwing my hat into the ring, and I'm the

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only person who can keep Ukip in the game. What role would you give Nigel

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Farage, if any? I will be the candidate of compromise. I would see

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what Nigel wanted to do. Would you keep in the leader of the freedom

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and democracy group in the European Parliament? There would have to be

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compromise on both sides, and we would need to talk about it. I don't

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know what Nigel wants to do. Do you think his support, his association

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with Donald Trump, helps Ukip win female votes in this country?

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Personally, I would not have gone out and campaigned or said anything

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about Donald Trump, but I don't think Ukip has come out and backed

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Donald Trump 100%. Personally, I wouldn't have even spoken about the

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American election, because I think the two candidates are quite

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appalling. Some up for us. If you win, what would be the hallmark of

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your Ukip leadership? The first couple of months would be ensuring

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that Ukip unifies. Saying no to factions, bringing people together.

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Suzanne Evans, Nigel Farage, all of the MEPs, and ensuring that Ukip can

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move forward. If we don't unify Ukip will not be around for much

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longer. Thanks for being with us this morning.

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We won't have to wait too long to find out who Ukip's

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new leader will be - the winner will be announced

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Who would be the best leader for Ukip? I think the difference between

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the field a few weeks ago and today is that this field is a lot

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stronger. Whether it's Paul or Suzanne, I think... It is hard to

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say, with Aaron Banks and apparently Nigel Farage hacking another

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candidate, Raheem, but I want Ukip to be a strong force in British

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politics. I think the fact there is a stronger field now is good news

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for Ukip. Is it a Labour's worst nightmare in the north of England?

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It is. I think the personality difference and presentational

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difference is interesting. Suzanne Evans is going for the Conservative

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county vote. There's a lot to be taken there by Ukip. He would

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probably be more appealing to the Labour vote. It is interesting. At

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the moment, pollsters say that the Ukip vote splits pretty easily

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between Labour and Tory. But things always collapse. When they have made

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inroads into Tower Hamlets and Barking, they collapse, because they

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fight amongst each other so much. But not always with fists! Does Ukip

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have a future? And who would best secure that future? It does for at

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least two years, until we Brexit. We have to believe that that will

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happen. That was an impressive pitch there from Paul, certainly as the

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unity candidate, after the car crash we have seen on TV screens this

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morning. But it doesn't go beyond May 20 19. What then? There is no

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point being called the United Kingdom Independence party any

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longer. What will happen after May 2019? If you want to hoover up votes

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of the back of Brexit, you need to start looking further ahead than two

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years. The person who wins that leadership contest is the person who

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will sum that up the best. We shall see.

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In June 2014, the group which calls itself the Islamic State in Iraq

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and the Levant captured Iraq's second city, Mosul.

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Later that month the group announced it was establishing a 'caliphate',

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or an Islamic state, on the territories it

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This week 30,000 Iraqi troops, aided by Iranian-backed Shia fighters

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Kurdish Peshmerga and Western air support, began the assault

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Then they spot a truck bomb from so-called Islamic State.

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They destroy it before it destroys them.

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These are the first steps in the battle for Mosul,

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the Northern Iraqi city IS has made its stronghold since 2014.

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Controlling the city of around 2 million people means

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that they established governance, they establish a territorial base.

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This is what has obsessed everyone, because with a territorial base

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you are capable of doing more than if you are simply an insurgency

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movement in the fabric of another society.

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It's being billed as the biggest military operation in Iraq

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since the war in 2003, the biggest moment in the international effort

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Here is how the various forces are approaching the city.

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Heading to Mosul from the south the elite troops of the Iraqi army.

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Known as the Golden division, trained and accompanied

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From the North, a force made up of Kurds, known as the Peshmerga,

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Also from the South, a militia made up of Shia fighters

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who have been accused of human rights abuses.

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British planes have bombed outlying villages, reportedly guided

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in by British personnel on the ground.

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To the North West, a corridor has been left for some

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of the 3000 plus IS fighters, in theory an escape route

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which could limit the bloodshed when fighting starts in the city.

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We've had 4-5 days of battle and it's taking place

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in the outlying villages and there have been some

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successes and some failures, but the momentum is building.

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And the real question will be when the attackers get

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towards the city itself, how strong are the defences?

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It will crack but it might crack within 48 hours or 2-3 weeks.

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IS has fought back, on Friday they attack sites

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in the city of Kirkuk, including a power station.

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The United Nations believes hundreds of thousands of families

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have been rounded up as potential human shields.

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The battle could be bloody, but what about when it's over?

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The Shia militias, the Iraqi army, the Peshmerga guerrillas,

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some of the Turkish elements, they all want a share of the action.

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They are in Mosul, not for altruistic reasons.

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They are there because they want to be part of whatever happens next.

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The biggest issue is how the Sunni majority in Mosul reacts to the Shia

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militias which have helped to liberate them.

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ARCHIVE FOOTAGE: When Sir Francis Humphrey went to Mosul

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If it all seems like something from the archive, when the Middle

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East went up in flames and was then carved up,

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it is because that is what is happening in Iraq right now.

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National identity has been cut across by other identities such

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And that means that putting together a so-called nation state again

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Almost certainly there will be a new form of Kurdish state,

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almost certainly in northern Iraq at the end of this crisis,

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and what is happening in Mosul is a microcosm of what is happening

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elsewhere across the Levant which is that it is melting down.

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Big questions, questions that come after the battle.

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The coalition forces are advancing but this is just the beginning.

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I'm joined now by the International Development Minister Rory Stewart.

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In a former life he was the coalition Deputy-Governor of two

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provinces in Southern Iraq following the Iraq intervention of 2003.

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Is there any doubt that at some stage Mosul will fall to the forces

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of Iraq and its allies? The first thing is that war is very uncertain

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and there are cliches about it being the graveyard of predictions and we

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don't want to make confident predictions but the basic structure

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is that there are 30,000 Iraqi forces outside and only a few

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thousand Daesh fighters inside and I would say it is overwhelmingly

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likely that the batter will one STUDIO: -- the battle the won by the

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Iraqi forces. June 2014 was a great success, they

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took a city of over in people and they created what they tried to

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create a million state of 7 million people, stretching across the Iraqi

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Syrian border, but since then they have lost territory quite rapidly.

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Now they are losing the outskirts of Mosul, and that is a fundamental

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blow. Islamic State is all about territory and holding state, that is

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what makes it different from Al-Qaeda. If they lose Mosul that

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will be a cynic -- significant blow to their credibility. Hillary

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Clinton said on Wednesday's presidential debate that when Iraqi

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forces with their allies including the United Kingdom gain control of

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Mosul they should continue to press into Syria to take back Raqqa which

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is the de facto capital of the caliphate, what is left of it, do we

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want Iraqi forces to pursue IS into Syria? Very important question.

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Delayed in Raqqa needs to come from people on the Syrian side of the

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border and that is an important principle -- the lead. In the end of

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that enemy, Islamic State, is a common enemy for odd members of the

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coalition including the Iraqi government. -- all members. There is

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likely to be a humanitarian crisis especially if it ends up with street

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to street fighting and IS are difficult to dislodge what are we

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doing about that? We are doing very detailed scenario planning. It is

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very uncertain what the scenario will be but much investment has gone

:18:44.:18:47.

into creating a network of camps, refugees STUDIO: Refugee camps

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around cash refugee camps, and that is where money, British money, 40

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million has gone recently into supporting that, especially in terms

:19:04.:19:07.

of medical support to people. The United nation's emergency response

:19:08.:19:14.

budget is ?196 million but only one third funded which sounds like we

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are putting up a big chunk of what is already being funded. Why is

:19:18.:19:22.

that? The international committee can't say they haven't seen this

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assault coming, and the humanitarian fallout they may see from it. You

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are absolutely right. We have seen it coming and we have been planning

:19:33.:19:35.

since debris and we have put in about ?167 million into this --

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planning since February. There has been a change in the nature of the

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appeal, and if there is a lag in the accounting of it, but the money we

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need at this stage is in place and we do have the support structure in

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place for those refugees. You are right the United Nations is

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continuing with its appeal and is asking for more money at the moment.

:19:57.:20:00.

The converse magazine wrote this week that preparations for a big

:20:01.:20:04.

exodus of people leaving the city have been made -- Economist

:20:05.:20:10.

magazine. But confidence is not high in the preparations, is that a

:20:11.:20:14.

unfair conclusion? If you can imagine the different scenarios it

:20:15.:20:18.

could be a few thousand and it could be a few hundred thousand coming out

:20:19.:20:21.

of the city through a front line where the war is going on, that is

:20:22.:20:26.

very difficult. You have to screen those people and disarm them, and

:20:27.:20:30.

keep families together, and transport them and you have to bring

:20:31.:20:34.

them into the refugee camps. The people working on this have been

:20:35.:20:38.

working on this for long time, we have mapped the different routes we

:20:39.:20:41.

have good camp infrastructure in place and we have people who have

:20:42.:20:48.

worked in south to dam and other areas who are putting their

:20:49.:20:51.

structures in place -- South Sudan. It is never easy but I think we have

:20:52.:20:55.

done everything we can in the preparation for this. What is the

:20:56.:21:00.

British role in what will probably be an even bigger issue, assuming

:21:01.:21:06.

that Mosul is liberated and retaken, the humanitarian crisis is dealt

:21:07.:21:11.

with, what role will we play in the rebuilding of Mosul? That will be

:21:12.:21:17.

crucial to the future of Iraq, the second-biggest city and it will need

:21:18.:21:23.

to be rebuilt. It will need to be rebuilt as a community as well as

:21:24.:21:27.

bricks and mortar. And eight Sunni community that is not harassed by

:21:28.:21:32.

the Shia. -- and eight. You are right. One of the core drivers is

:21:33.:21:38.

that the Sunni community felt excluded and they did not feel they

:21:39.:21:41.

have the trust from the Baghdad government. A lasting solution is

:21:42.:21:47.

stopping some of Islamic State coming back, that involves making

:21:48.:21:52.

sure the Sunni community have a stake in their future. That is

:21:53.:21:57.

making sure that the governing structures are in place. The UK s

:21:58.:22:02.

response is twofold, we have got to get the humanitarian aid right, that

:22:03.:22:07.

is the short term, people who might be malnourished, coming out of the

:22:08.:22:12.

front line. The second thing is working with the Iraqi government to

:22:13.:22:16.

make sure that as we rebuild Mosul we do so in a way that that

:22:17.:22:20.

population feels a connection to the Iraqi state. Islamic State is losing

:22:21.:22:27.

territory everywhere in the Levant, it is almost finished in Iraq, we

:22:28.:22:32.

think. It is down to one district in Libya, as well, just one small part

:22:33.:22:37.

of the town. I suppose the risk is, if life is becoming more difficult

:22:38.:22:41.

across these areas, it can start to look more in Europe and the United

:22:42.:22:47.

Kingdom as a place to continue its terrorist attacks? That is a real

:22:48.:22:54.

danger. You are right. This is a group which has proved over the last

:22:55.:22:57.

five years very unpredictable and it changes for it quickly full stop

:22:58.:23:03.

often it does unexpected things In 2009 its predecessor had been

:23:04.:23:09.

largely wiped out in Iraq and when it was under pressure in Syria it

:23:10.:23:12.

went back into Iraq, and in the past it didn't hold territory but now it

:23:13.:23:16.

holds territory, so you are right. There is a serious risk that as it

:23:17.:23:20.

gets squeezed in the middle East it will try to pop up somewhere else

:23:21.:23:24.

and Mac could include Europe and the United States -- that could. They

:23:25.:23:28.

say that is something they have focused on full stop we also have a

:23:29.:23:34.

big focus on counterterrorism security and making sure that we

:23:35.:23:37.

keep the United Kingdom and Europe say. One final question. -- say --

:23:38.:23:49.

safe. Maybe events in Mosul could add to the migration crisis in

:23:50.:23:52.

Europe, is that a possibility? Again, you are right, we have seen

:23:53.:23:59.

in Syria it can push migration, the biggest push the migration was the

:24:00.:24:02.

conflict in Syria, and that's the reason why we have but so much

:24:03.:24:05.

energy into getting those refugee camps in place and getting the

:24:06.:24:10.

humanitarian response in place - put so much energy. People will want

:24:11.:24:14.

to remain in their homes, this is their country, but we have got to

:24:15.:24:17.

make it possible for them and that means in the short term looking

:24:18.:24:21.

after their shelter and in the medium to long-term making sure they

:24:22.:24:24.

have livelihoods, jobs and an economic development which is why

:24:25.:24:30.

our support in Iraq is in the UK National interests because it deals

:24:31.:24:34.

with these issues of migration and terrorists. Thanks for joining us.

:24:35.:24:41.

I'm joined now by the Shadow Defence Secretary.

:24:42.:24:48.

Does Labour support British participation in this offensive We

:24:49.:25:00.

fully support the participation in this offensive, extremely important

:25:01.:25:05.

move forward and we voted for this back in 2014. We are asking the

:25:06.:25:10.

government question is, of course, I was asking the Secretary of State

:25:11.:25:14.

this week about this very offensive but we are fully behind our RAF

:25:15.:25:19.

pilots out there and be trading that has been going on to help the forces

:25:20.:25:24.

on the ground. -- the training full stop that is very clear. I wonder if

:25:25.:25:28.

you'll lead it shares that clarity and that position. -- is your

:25:29.:25:36.

leader. This is what Jeremy Corbyn has said.

:25:37.:25:37.

What's been done in Iraq is done by the Iraqi

:25:38.:25:40.

government, and currently supported by the British government.

:25:41.:25:42.

I did not support it when it came up.

:25:43.:25:44.

Well, I'm not sure how successful it's been, because most

:25:45.:25:47.

of the action now appears to be moving in to Syria, so I think we

:25:48.:25:51.

He doesn't sound very supportive. The issue about Mosul, it has been

:25:52.:26:00.

very carefully prepared as Rory Stewart said and I hope we have

:26:01.:26:04.

learned the lessons from previous offensives where we haven't learnt

:26:05.:26:08.

sufficiently, and that is going to be crucial in this context. How the

:26:09.:26:13.

aftermath is going to be dealt with. Of course will stop that clip was

:26:14.:26:18.

from November last year, and things have changed. Two weeks ago he told

:26:19.:26:26.

the BBC" I'm not sure it is working", in reference to air

:26:27.:26:30.

strikes in Iraq, but it is working. We have got to see what happens in

:26:31.:26:34.

Mosul, it is a very high-risk operation, but we also have to face

:26:35.:26:37.

the fact that the people there are living under tyranny at the moment.

:26:38.:26:41.

We have to ask very cirrus question shall stop he says he's not sure it

:26:42.:26:49.

is working, when Mosul is the last major target be cleared of Islamic

:26:50.:26:53.

State in Iraq. The combination of Allied air power has worked, why is

:26:54.:26:58.

he not sure it is working? Because we have seen difficulties in the

:26:59.:27:03.

past. But this was two weeks ago. It is essential that the work is done,

:27:04.:27:07.

both planning for the refugees as Rory Stewart referred to, but also

:27:08.:27:10.

in terms of reconstruction of the city and its community as you

:27:11.:27:16.

mentioned. These are vital. This was about the ability to make progress

:27:17.:27:20.

with Allied air power, special forces in Iraq, on the ground, do

:27:21.:27:26.

you accept so far that has a strategy that seems to be working to

:27:27.:27:37.

read Iraq of Islamic -- to read Iraq of Islamic State the question of the

:27:38.:27:46.

car began placement. Ulloa -- we can't be complacent. The problems

:27:47.:27:54.

they are creating where ever they are urged that we must continue to

:27:55.:27:58.

pursue them. This is the first time we have spoken to since you have

:27:59.:28:02.

become the Shadow Defence Secretary. I hope we will have a longer

:28:03.:28:07.

interview. Will Labour's next manifesto include a commitment to

:28:08.:28:13.

the renewal of Trident? It will We made that commitment in 2007, that

:28:14.:28:17.

is a firm commitment and we will honour that to our coalition allies

:28:18.:28:20.

and our industrial partners and that is the vote which was taken

:28:21.:28:25.

democratically and repeatedly has been reaffirmed by Labour conference

:28:26.:28:28.

and we are a democratic party vote up you have squared that with Jeremy

:28:29.:28:36.

Corbyn? He's in favour of democracy and he understands the situation,

:28:37.:28:39.

but we also want to push for the UK to play a much bigger role on the

:28:40.:28:43.

international stage on multilateral disarmament talks. You were very

:28:44.:28:49.

clear there, I thank you for that. Support for Trident will be in the

:28:50.:28:54.

next Labour manifesto. What has happened to Labour's review of

:28:55.:28:58.

Trident policy? That review has been taking place over the year, we had a

:28:59.:29:02.

very clear reaffirmation in the conference boat this year, we are

:29:03.:29:06.

reaffirming our commitment to Trident -- vote. The review can t

:29:07.:29:14.

change that? There is a process of review and a fair number of issues

:29:15.:29:17.

related to defence, all parties do this. Of course. The review can t

:29:18.:29:24.

change the commitment to Trident? We are not changing the commitment to

:29:25.:29:28.

Trident. Russia is now the main strategic threat to this country? It

:29:29.:29:33.

is a major strategic threat and we have got to work with our Nato

:29:34.:29:35.

allies very closely and make sure that we respond and that we do not

:29:36.:29:40.

let things pass. For example, we should be calling out Russia for the

:29:41.:29:44.

way it has been a bombing humanitarian aid and we should be

:29:45.:29:49.

taking them to international court over this, but we should also be

:29:50.:29:53.

strengthening sanctions, somewhat imposed over Ukraine. We try to do

:29:54.:29:59.

that, but the Italians wouldn't let us. The Italians did not want to

:30:00.:30:03.

participate in the European initiative but that doesn't stop

:30:04.:30:08.

individual countries for the Britain should step up? Yes, we should look

:30:09.:30:13.

at what is practical to impose. Thanks for joining us.

:30:14.:30:19.

Mosul is not the only major battle being waged in the Middle East.

:30:20.:30:22.

The city of Aleppo in northern Syria has seen some of the heaviest

:30:23.:30:25.

bombardment since Syria's five-year-long civil war began.

:30:26.:30:28.

This week Russian warships, in a deliberate show of power,

:30:29.:30:31.

sailed west through the English channel en route to Syria.

:30:32.:30:35.

Nato says it's Russia's "largest surface deployment" since the end

:30:36.:30:38.

of the Cold War in what is thought to be preparation

:30:39.:30:41.

for a final assault on the besieged city of Aleppo.

:30:42.:30:46.

In the city itself fighting resumed overnight -

:30:47.:30:50.

following a 3-day ceasefire - with more air strikes and heavy

:30:51.:30:55.

clashes in the city's rebel-held eastern districts.

:30:56.:30:58.

Almost 500 people have been killed and 2,000 injured

:30:59.:31:00.

since Syrian government forces, backed by Russian air strikes,

:31:01.:31:04.

This week Theresa May condemned Vladimir Putin's involvement

:31:05.:31:12.

in Syria, accusing Moscow of being behind "sickening

:31:13.:31:14.

atrocities" in support of President Assad's regime.

:31:15.:31:18.

But European leaders are divided on how to respond and,

:31:19.:31:22.

with the United States preoccupied with domestic politics,

:31:23.:31:25.

President Putin senses this is his moment to bring the Syrian

:31:26.:31:28.

I'm joined now by the BBC's former Diplomatic and Moscow Correspondent,

:31:29.:31:37.

Bridget Kendall, who is now Master of Peterhouse College in Cambridge.

:31:38.:31:44.

Welcome. Good to see you in the BBC studio again. Let me put up this

:31:45.:31:52.

satellite image of Aleppo here, to get an idea of the scale. It was the

:31:53.:32:00.

biggest city in Syria. It was the commercial capital and a huge

:32:01.:32:05.

cultural hub as well. Almost the New York of Syria, to give you an idea

:32:06.:32:08.

of its significance to the country. Let me show you now how it's been

:32:09.:32:14.

divided. The rebels are now in control of the eastern part, about

:32:15.:32:22.

eight miles long and three miles wide there, they're in purple. They

:32:23.:32:25.

are under great attacks still. Is it inevitable that that purple part

:32:26.:32:32.

falls to the regime? That is what President as Saad, the Russians and

:32:33.:32:38.

the Iranians hope. The fierce bombardments we have seen is part of

:32:39.:32:45.

that. I'm reminded very much in the Russian tactics of what happened in

:32:46.:32:51.

grudgingly in Chechnya in 2000, when the Russians said, a warning for all

:32:52.:32:55.

civilians to lead, and then they went ahead and they basically raised

:32:56.:33:01.

it to the ground. They are talking about Al Nusrah as being one of the

:33:02.:33:05.

rebel groups. They got rid of all of the terrorists. They talk about it

:33:06.:33:10.

being an Al-Qaeda offshoot. The purpose of going in is to get rid of

:33:11.:33:14.

them. You get the civilians out and then you take it. But this isn't

:33:15.:33:19.

like Chechnya. It is much more complex. We have seen an attempt to

:33:20.:33:24.

take Aleppo before, and then there was a rebel counter offensive. It's

:33:25.:33:29.

not so certain. And there are so many different parties involved We

:33:30.:33:33.

have seen the alarm in the west of the extent of the civilian

:33:34.:33:37.

casualties. There have been rumblings in the west of, shouldn't

:33:38.:33:46.

the United States do something? Shouldn't they stop the Syrian air

:33:47.:33:49.

force? This Russian aircraft carrier steaming its way towards the Eastern

:33:50.:33:52.

Mediterranean is a symbolic gesture, both to its own people, but also to

:33:53.:34:00.

the West, to say, don't get involved in Aleppo if we go ahead. Don't try

:34:01.:34:06.

and stop us because we could up the ante. They have not been great

:34:07.:34:10.

visual pictures, because the aircraft carrier looks a bit clapped

:34:11.:34:15.

out, belching out smoke! If the rebel controlled area does fall it

:34:16.:34:22.

would be seen as a great victory for President as Saad and his Russian

:34:23.:34:27.

allies. What is the aim of Russia here? What would they then do, if

:34:28.:34:31.

Aleppo Falls? It is part of a plan that President Putin set out in his

:34:32.:34:36.

UN speech in 2014, before Russia went into Syria. The aim is to put

:34:37.:34:42.

President Assad back in charge. President Putin said this weekend

:34:43.:34:47.

that either is Assad in Damascus, or its Al Nusrah. There is nothing in

:34:48.:34:52.

between. They want to eliminate the argument for a moderate opposition.

:34:53.:34:57.

They want to make it plain that the only way to get a stable Syria is to

:34:58.:35:04.

have Assad back in charge. Even sue argue for a rump steak lit, leaving

:35:05.:35:13.

aside what is happening with IAS. They have already said they want to

:35:14.:35:18.

have an enlarged military presence at their bases. And they have a big

:35:19.:35:24.

naval base. It is. It is a chance to push for this when he sees the West

:35:25.:35:29.

is being distracted and divided Europe and America, by elections and

:35:30.:35:36.

so on. Just before the US elections. The Americans are worried about

:35:37.:35:41.

that, Europeans are being distracted by Brexit. He can push to his

:35:42.:35:46.

maximum advantage now, before there is a new US president. If they do

:35:47.:35:54.

take that part of Aleppo, and that part of northern Syria, does Mr

:35:55.:36:03.

Putin want us to recognise, to admit, that that is now his sphere

:36:04.:36:08.

of influence? I think the rhetoric from the Russians is that they want

:36:09.:36:12.

the West to recognise that they are an equal powerful partner. It's not

:36:13.:36:17.

just the US that runs the writ in the Middle East. Russia is as

:36:18.:36:22.

important as it is. It is engaging with Saudi Arabia and has mended

:36:23.:36:27.

fences with Turkey. Syria is the place from which it can launch its

:36:28.:36:33.

message that it is a big player in the Middle East. Russia wants the

:36:34.:36:39.

West to understand that this isn't a country that was dismembered after

:36:40.:36:42.

the end of the Soviet Union and is now a week. It is back, and it is

:36:43.:36:46.

strong. That is an important message. Looking at the economy It

:36:47.:36:53.

is in recession. GDP has been falling, partly because of the price

:36:54.:36:59.

of oil. It is highly dependent on hydrocarbons, and is expected to

:37:00.:37:03.

fall again. Its people are falling again. People don't realise how

:37:04.:37:08.

small the Russian economy is. Its GDP is about the size of Italy's. It

:37:09.:37:15.

is smaller than the UK economy. Bigger than it was 15 or 20 years

:37:16.:37:23.

ago. But so is Britain's does it help to take people's mind of this?

:37:24.:37:29.

A huge shock to the Russian economy was a drop in the price of oil and a

:37:30.:37:35.

price of gas. A drop in the price of the ruble as well. This is hurting

:37:36.:37:40.

the people of Russia. On the one hand, it is the war in Syria, which

:37:41.:37:45.

is very important for Russia to sort out that part of the world and

:37:46.:37:51.

dispensed terrorists who might be danger to -- is dangerous to Russia.

:37:52.:37:58.

But he had also has presidential election is going up. They are

:37:59.:38:03.

supposed to be 2018, but some feel he will bring them forward to 2 17,

:38:04.:38:07.

because the economy is not doing so well. But you need a good story for

:38:08.:38:11.

the Russian people. Thank you very much.

:38:12.:38:14.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:38:15.:38:26.

This is Sunday politics in the south-east.

:38:27.:38:28.

Coming up later, the Prime Linster has been accused of dither `nd delay

:38:29.:38:31.

It is, to be at least anothdr year before we finally know

:38:32.:38:36.

whether Gatwick, Heathrow or both are allowed to expand.

:38:37.:38:45.

We all get reaction from politicians and protesters

:38:46.:38:46.

Joining me in the studio Gordon Henderson, the Conservative

:38:47.:38:50.

MP for Sittingbourne and Shdppy and Labour's Baroness Maggid Jones.

:38:51.:38:53.

Gordon, it is the first that we have seen you since you spent tile

:38:54.:38:59.

in intensive care in the sulmer you suffered serious burns

:39:00.:39:02.

after trying to light a bonfire with petrol.

:39:03.:39:04.

It was a very stupid thing to do and would like to take this

:39:05.:39:13.

opportunity to remind peopld do not use petrol on bonfires.

:39:14.:39:15.

No matter how safe you think it is and I had been using ht

:39:16.:39:19.

for years, but one occasion it was not safe and that bldw

:39:20.:39:22.

And I know you suffered serhous burns.

:39:23.:39:29.

I'm back to full health, still the paving, my body

:39:30.:39:42.

is still the paving sort yot look of your energy goes into th`t

:39:43.:39:45.

process and it will take up to two years to fully recover but H am back

:39:46.:39:49.

Lesson almost learned because I fell out of a tred again

:39:50.:39:54.

Now, the split in the Labour Party between Jeremy Corbyn supporters

:39:55.:40:03.

and moderates has been no where more pronounced

:40:04.:40:05.

The branch there was suspended pending an investigation into claims

:40:06.:40:09.

of bullying and intimidation and accusations of a ballot run

:40:10.:40:12.

improperly at the party's annual general meeting in July.

:40:13.:40:14.

This week Labour's rulling NEC ordered the local Party,

:40:15.:40:16.

the biggest in the country, to be split into three separate

:40:17.:40:19.

It also expelled Mark Sandell, who was elected chair at th`t AGM.

:40:20.:40:27.

He joins us from our Brighton studio.

:40:28.:40:30.

The Labour Party will not tdll us why they expelled you and s`y

:40:31.:40:39.

they do not comment on individual members so I am hoping you can tell

:40:40.:40:42.

us why you have been kicked out of the party.

:40:43.:40:45.

I was not expelled by the National Executive,

:40:46.:40:48.

there has not been a vote on my expulsion, I was

:40:49.:40:51.

expelled by Ian McNicol, the general secretary,

:40:52.:40:53.

who wrote me a letter, which I have here.

:40:54.:40:55.

It basically is happening because the Brighton

:40:56.:40:57.

and Hove Labour Party was won by the left and an overwhelling

:40:58.:41:12.

style in an AGM 600 and since that vote happened there has been various

:41:13.:41:16.

people panicking about the result and that led to the

:41:17.:41:18.

These are the reasons it is happening and the reasons

:41:19.:41:23.

are because they are trying to silence the left of the party

:41:24.:41:26.

For example, 600 people's votes have basically been

:41:27.:41:30.

The AGM investigation has not come out with any concrete findings

:41:31.:41:33.

and yet we are being told we will be broken down

:41:34.:41:36.

Some people think that is a better system for the local party,

:41:37.:41:50.

the fact is we had a democr`tic meeting which was

:41:51.:41:53.

the investigation has not found any of alleged any of the alleg`tions

:41:54.:42:02.

were upheld, and yet we are facing a situation

:42:03.:42:04.

where still the Labour Partx in Brighton and Hove cannot meet,

:42:05.:42:11.

we are basically voiceless, the ordinary memembers,

:42:12.:42:13.

the existing executive is jtst the old executive left in place

:42:14.:42:16.

the people who won the election have had their vote annulled and be 00

:42:17.:42:19.

Well, most of them are still members of the constituency Labour Party.

:42:20.:42:24.

There is 15 people suspended and you have been expelled.

:42:25.:42:26.

As you know, there has been other allegations about you in particular

:42:27.:42:29.

and it is against Labour Party rules to be an entryist, in other words,

:42:30.:42:32.

being a member of another p`rty and then join Labour in orddr

:42:33.:42:35.

to influence its politics as you know, you have been ` member

:42:36.:42:38.

of the Alliance for Workers' Liberty for many years on and off

:42:39.:42:41.

and that actively works against the Labour Party.

:42:42.:42:46.

Firstly, the letter I have from Ian McNicol does not claim I am

:42:47.:42:49.

a member of the Alliance Workers Liberty because I am not.

:42:50.:42:53.

What it says is I am an acthve supporter of the Alliance Workers

:42:54.:42:59.

of the Alliance Workers Libdrty which is true and I have

:43:00.:43:01.

and that was well known when I rejoined the Labour Party

:43:02.:43:05.

a few years ago and well known when I stood for

:43:06.:43:08.

There were nine days for people to object to me standing,

:43:09.:43:11.

it was well known when the dlection was held, with people who I defeated

:43:12.:43:15.

in that election were prepared to shake my hand and congratulate me

:43:16.:43:18.

Sorry, we do not have an awful lot of time but Ian McNicol is not here,

:43:19.:43:25.

his job in the wake of Jeremy Corbyn's re-electhon

:43:26.:43:27.

Could it be that someone like yourself, who has spokdn openly

:43:28.:43:31.

about wanting to oust the L`bour MP in Hove, is not the right pdrson

:43:32.:43:35.

is not the right person to chair the constituency Labour

:43:36.:43:37.

If they want to have that dhscussion with me we can have the deb`te

:43:38.:43:42.

Ian McNicol is the person who tried to stop Jeremy Corbyn being able

:43:43.:43:47.

to stand in the second leaddrship election, he is also the person

:43:48.:43:51.

who used ?500,000 of Labour Party money trying to stop,

:43:52.:43:54.

in fact, effectively stopping, hundreds of thousands of new members

:43:55.:43:58.

being able to vote in the sdcond election for Jeremy Corbyn.

:43:59.:44:00.

He does not have a good record on supporting the leader

:44:01.:44:03.

The fact is Jeremy Corbyn h`s been re-elected and Ian McNicol says

:44:04.:44:10.

Maggie Jones, you are a long serving member of the Labour Party

:44:11.:44:16.

The trouble is it will alienate a lot of Jeremy Corbyn supporters

:44:17.:44:20.

That is not going to help unity when you hear what has

:44:21.:44:29.

I think Mark's case is completely different from what is happdning

:44:30.:44:33.

in Brighton and Hove in terls of the NEC decision.

:44:34.:44:36.

That decision was made by elected members that we elected to be

:44:37.:44:39.

the Labour Party NEC, so it is not just a secret

:44:40.:44:42.

cabal, it has been made by our representatives.

:44:43.:44:44.

They decided the Labour Party that used to be

:44:45.:44:47.

in the three constituencies should return to that arrangement

:44:48.:44:49.

and I think that makes perfdct sense because we know

:44:50.:44:53.

there were far too many people to turn up to that meeting.

:44:54.:44:56.

We were mostly victim of our own success, we've got

:44:57.:44:58.

so many members now cannot really organise them as one unit.

:44:59.:45:02.

But what about giving voice to people like Mark,

:45:03.:45:04.

and there are 15 people who have been suspended as well,

:45:05.:45:08.

who do feel as though the top of the party is trying to ptrge left

:45:09.:45:11.

I have not seen the letter and I think Mark's accusations

:45:12.:45:20.

against Ian McNicol are really unfair because he is a partx

:45:21.:45:22.

servant, he is not here to defend himself.

:45:23.:45:25.

His job is to carry out the rules of the NEC and ultimately

:45:26.:45:28.

He is there to carry out thd rules, including rules of membershhp.

:45:29.:45:33.

Mark has already admitted he is a supporter of the Alliance

:45:34.:45:37.

of Workers' Liberty, which is a Trotskyist entryhst group

:45:38.:45:47.

and his membership, he said it was well known,

:45:48.:45:49.

he certainly did not make it well known when I was present at the AGM.

:45:50.:45:53.

I think it is important those people who are entryists

:45:54.:45:55.

That has been a rule of the Labour Party for years

:45:56.:45:59.

and applied consistently, nothing particular about Mark.

:46:00.:46:01.

You will appeal this decision, I understand?

:46:02.:46:05.

There is no rule in the Labour Party but not supporting another

:46:06.:46:13.

organisation that is socialhst politics, there has always been

:46:14.:46:15.

socialists in the Labour Party and it is not a party.

:46:16.:46:18.

There are organisations that are prescribed

:46:19.:46:20.

What they are prescribed by name and those prescriptions werd voted

:46:21.:46:23.

I think by sleight of hand ` rule that to people who stand

:46:24.:46:30.

against the party in elections is being used against socialists.

:46:31.:46:33.

I have never stood against the Labour Party,

:46:34.:46:35.

Again, I think if the gener`l secretary was here they might

:46:36.:46:39.

have a different argument but you have had a chance

:46:40.:46:41.

They are hiding in plain sight, that his hope campaigners described

:46:42.:46:53.

modern-day slaves, men and women trafficked into the country and

:46:54.:46:58.

living here exploited by bosses are unable to leave. The number of

:46:59.:47:02.

police raids were carried ott on suspected brothels in Kent `nd

:47:03.:47:07.

Sussex. In one reader for e`stern European woman were arrested.

:47:08.:47:13.

Joining us is someone from ligrant health UK goose provides support for

:47:14.:47:18.

those victims. What is modern-day slavery and where is it?

:47:19.:47:23.

The simplest way to explain it is where someone is exploited `gainst

:47:24.:47:29.

their will. What trafficking someone is transported as well. It hs

:47:30.:47:32.

unfortunate across the whold country. The Home Office have a

:47:33.:47:38.

prediction there is between ten and 13,000 victims of slavery in the UK

:47:39.:47:42.

at any one time and that estimation is out of date and being reworked.

:47:43.:47:48.

Sexual exploitation, people associate with human trafficking in

:47:49.:47:55.

this region but agricultural workers are also something you are

:47:56.:48:00.

increasingly concerned about? Yeah. The slavery that is more well known

:48:01.:48:05.

and what you would think of is sexual exploitation of labotr

:48:06.:48:09.

exploitation in terms of thd number of cases reported outstrips that,

:48:10.:48:14.

just slightly. In terms of agricultural cases, there h`s been

:48:15.:48:23.

more awareness and may be spotted more. Sort it is just the

:48:24.:48:29.

authorities are getting better at finding it? When the Nation`l

:48:30.:48:34.

referral mechanism started to allow the NGOs and Government to work

:48:35.:48:38.

together there was only a couple of hundred victims last year wd had

:48:39.:48:45.

3500. It is not a 40% incre`se in crime, it is just awareness. We have

:48:46.:48:50.

been trying to raise awarendss of the issue so people are mord aware

:48:51.:48:53.

of so those cases can be reported because often that is how wd get the

:48:54.:48:59.

victims support they need and how the police Bill the intelligence in

:49:00.:49:02.

order to tackle this. What could the authorities do better

:49:03.:49:09.

to expose a less? If there `re up to 13,000 in the UK what are wd not

:49:10.:49:13.

doing well? It is a bit past and the police

:49:14.:49:20.

forces across the country -, big task, it is joining them up to work

:49:21.:49:26.

together. Some police forces last year had not referred anyond whilst

:49:27.:49:30.

in west Yorkshire the referred almost 70 people. And that hs the

:49:31.:49:35.

referral mechanism we talked about earlier. You would like to see more

:49:36.:49:40.

and more prosecutions as well? The in order to have prosecutions unit

:49:41.:49:44.

to give good support to victims and they need to trust the authorities

:49:45.:49:49.

which is very difficult. Often they come from abroad where they have not

:49:50.:49:53.

had good experiences to trust anyone and therefore offering them services

:49:54.:50:00.

allowing them to rehabilitate are very important. The research shows

:50:01.:50:01.

they would then be more willing to they would then be more willing to

:50:02.:50:06.

work with the police in orddr to gather the needed intelligence.

:50:07.:50:13.

The anti-slavery commissiondr has just published his first report and

:50:14.:50:17.

says not enough is being done and in Kent last year the police rdferred

:50:18.:50:22.

87 potential victims through this referral mechanism but none of those

:50:23.:50:26.

resulted in a charge or sumloned to court.

:50:27.:50:30.

This Government has introduced the modern slavery act which will help

:50:31.:50:36.

police and the long-term to suit steps and I am pleased that Kent

:50:37.:50:40.

Police have been this week proactive in trying to track down brothels and

:50:41.:50:48.

arrests have been made, 11 `rrests arrests have been made, 11 `rrests

:50:49.:50:58.

made but no convictions. No convictions were made. It is a

:50:59.:51:03.

difficult task and I am concerned to hear what the James is saying about

:51:04.:51:08.

the labour exploitation in the agricultural sector because I have

:51:09.:51:14.

got a rural constituency and I am fairly confident the farmers in my

:51:15.:51:18.

idiot of responsible farmers who would not be exporting the labour

:51:19.:51:23.

force is what I am sure it goes on. -- the farmers in my area are

:51:24.:51:28.

responsible farmers. The other accusation made is the authorities

:51:29.:51:31.

do not properly understand the relationship between the people

:51:32.:51:35.

exploited and the criminal gangs controlling them. As James `lluded

:51:36.:51:39.

to it is a tricky one and wd're not getting it right. That is one of the

:51:40.:51:48.

things James's organisation is doing a good job about, highlighthng to

:51:49.:51:52.

people this is taking place. We have got to make people understand modern

:51:53.:51:57.

slavery is happening, it cotld be happening next door, it could be

:51:58.:52:02.

happening in the shops they go to, it could be happening in thd

:52:03.:52:08.

community. Like letting people know it is happening so they can look out

:52:09.:52:12.

for it and report it is one step forward.

:52:13.:52:13.

You cannot accuse the Government of You cannot accuse the Government of

:52:14.:52:18.

not doing anything. To May introduced the modern slavery act

:52:19.:52:22.

last year and appointed the Commissioner. -- Theresa Max

:52:23.:52:26.

introduced it. It is an isste of resources. Police numbers h`ve been

:52:27.:52:32.

cut and the appeal in all sorts of directions and we need more police

:52:33.:52:36.

forces with special knowledge of this area and more convictions. I

:52:37.:52:41.

think unless we have the police force that are trained to rdcognise

:52:42.:52:47.

the symptoms and act then one week a year is not enough to sort the

:52:48.:52:52.

problem. That is a good point and I cannot disagree that we need to

:52:53.:52:56.

better trim our police officers to recognise this sort of slavdry -

:52:57.:53:02.

better train or police officers I am delighted Kent the forefront and

:53:03.:53:08.

I am confident they will continue to do that. Thank you for coming into

:53:09.:53:12.

the studio, James. It is a political decision

:53:13.:53:14.

the south-east has been Widespread expectations

:53:15.:53:16.

were that Theresa May would announce week the outcome of

:53:17.:53:22.

the Government's deliberations but we may have to

:53:23.:53:26.

wait some more It seems to be the case

:53:27.:53:28.

of the never But the Government may be one step

:53:29.:53:32.

closer to a conclusion on the issue of airport

:53:33.:53:35.

expansion in This month this Government

:53:36.:53:37.

will take a decision on the appropriate site

:53:38.:53:43.

for expanded This is a subject debated,

:53:44.:53:44.

discussed, speculated on for 40 Last summer the three year dnquiry

:53:45.:53:50.

into airport capacity backed a new third runway at Heathrow,

:53:51.:53:59.

but did not rule out The timetable for the Government's

:54:00.:54:08.

decision looks like this. Next week a Cabinet

:54:09.:54:11.

committee will meet to Ministers will be free for ` short

:54:12.:54:13.

time to restate their views and objections, which should avoid

:54:14.:54:18.

cabinet resignations. Then there will be

:54:19.:54:19.

a public consultation before, in winter 2017-18,

:54:20.:54:21.

Parliament vote on a final plan It could then take

:54:22.:54:24.

a decade before any years says this village would be one

:54:25.:54:26.

of the worst affected by nohse and pollution if a second runwax

:54:27.:54:38.

is given the go-ahead at Gatwick. We have been waiting for cl`rity

:54:39.:54:41.

for the best part of four years now and we were

:54:42.:54:52.

hoping after delaying would have a clear indication

:54:53.:54:54.

of where we stand this week. The impact a second runway

:54:55.:54:58.

would have, obviously there will be a huge increase,

:54:59.:55:01.

all the planes that are currently flying over that direction,

:55:02.:55:09.

they would be about two or 300 metres

:55:10.:55:11.

in that direction so instead of skirting

:55:12.:55:14.

edge of the village they wotld be coming right over it.

:55:15.:55:17.

Their concerns have the support of a group of

:55:18.:55:22.

conservative south-east MPs who also oppose a second runway at G`twick.

:55:23.:55:24.

We're talking about ?100 billion of economic advantage for the Heathrow

:55:25.:55:27.

You would be economically illiterate to go for

:55:28.:55:32.

any other option and quite `part from the fact that we have `

:55:33.:55:35.

situation where there will be five different

:55:36.:55:37.

go by rail from central London to Heathrow

:55:38.:55:41.

while the Gatwick option is

:55:42.:55:42.

on a line currently frankly that is disaster

:55:43.:55:45.

proposition to suggest we should be putting the extra runway at Gatwick

:55:46.:55:51.

Building a second runway at Gatwick has divided

:55:52.:55:53.

East Sussex County Council says it has

:55:54.:56:01.

pushed the airport to reducd the impact of noise

:56:02.:56:04.

My immediate reaction is an element of

:56:05.:56:10.

I think in the business intdrests of our own community, let

:56:11.:56:18.

alone the whole nation, we need to be getting on and making

:56:19.:56:21.

I would strongly recommend to the Prime Minister

:56:22.:56:26.

that, one, she makes a very firm decision and immediately and

:56:27.:56:34.

secondly she commissions both airports for expansion.

:56:35.:56:36.

But one business Association from Crawley

:56:37.:56:42.

believes the extended process could be good news for thosd

:56:43.:56:44.

We can go back to Government and say why we support the runway at Gatwick

:56:45.:56:49.

and build the case and make sure the Government and the MPs who are

:56:50.:56:56.

going to ultimately vote on it understand why this next runway

:56:57.:56:59.

A spokesman for the airport said, Gatwick

:57:00.:57:01.

expansion is the best option for the country

:57:02.:57:03.

It would give the same economic boost as

:57:04.:57:06.

Heathrow but with less financial and environmental cost and Gatwick

:57:07.:57:08.

expansion can be delivered in just ten years.

:57:09.:57:11.

The decision on where to

:57:12.:57:14.

increase airport capacity is still hanging in the air.

:57:15.:57:16.

There is still some way to travel before the

:57:17.:57:18.

residents and businesses of the South East know

:57:19.:57:20.

Gordon, it is almost not about which way

:57:21.:57:27.

the decision will go, it is the

:57:28.:57:29.

delays that are frustrating people, especially those

:57:30.:57:30.

They have got to wait another year now.

:57:31.:57:34.

Yes, it is, and I can understand the frustration but

:57:35.:57:36.

you must look at the political realities of it, this decishon will

:57:37.:57:44.

upset a lot of people and no Government will rush into that.

:57:45.:57:47.

This decision has not taken a year or two

:57:48.:57:49.

It feels like no Government wants to take that

:57:50.:57:52.

You are right. It'll be a brave Government but it will be m`de. An

:57:53.:58:03.

announcement is going to be made next week and parliament in one

:58:04.:58:07.

year's time and MPs will vote on it and there will not be... We have to

:58:08.:58:13.

make a decision and whatever I decide will be somewhat hypocritical

:58:14.:58:20.

double because I campaigned fiercely against an airport at Thames estuary

:58:21.:58:25.

and for me to seek either or is slightly hypocritical. What about

:58:26.:58:31.

expanding both? It is going to be quicker and cheaper and delhver a

:58:32.:58:35.

vote of economic prosperity for generations. I think we havd to be

:58:36.:58:40.

very careful. Setting aside the business case the actual qu`rter of

:58:41.:58:44.

the air and the whole environmental issue of noise affects hundreds of

:58:45.:58:51.

thousands of people. It would affect far fewer if Gatwick was allowed to

:58:52.:58:56.

build a second runway. The decision must be a business case and I think

:58:57.:59:01.

you have two measure that and I think the business case is on the

:59:02.:59:07.

site of Heathrow but it has to be done on the basis of those

:59:08.:59:10.

environmental and noise predictions are in place and I do not bdlieve

:59:11.:59:15.

they are. I cannot see the point in delaying another year. Somebody

:59:16.:59:23.

somewhere should make the ddcision. Heathrow, Gatwick or both? Both

:59:24.:59:30.

Thank you very much. Now at 60 seconds.

:59:31.:59:36.

Head teachers in West Sussex went to Downing Street to deliver

:59:37.:59:39.

a petition about what they say it a serious funding crisis

:59:40.:59:41.

They say they need ?20 millhon in emergency funding.

:59:42.:59:44.

We will have to continue to look at our staffing ratios and lay have

:59:45.:59:48.

to look at reducing the number of hours we are open for.

:59:49.:59:52.

Police are investigating an allegation and aid

:59:53.:59:55.

to Conservative MP Craig Mackinlay raped a woman in Parliament.

:59:56.:59:59.

Sam Armstrong was arrested and bailed last week.

:00:00.:00:02.

Women in Medway are calling on the local MP to resign

:00:03.:00:07.

from the Waspi all-party parliamentary group.

:00:08.:00:12.

The campaign is known as thd Woman Against State Pension Inequ`lity say

:00:13.:00:15.

Kelly Tolhurst should step down after voting against a motion

:00:16.:00:18.

to support the campaign in a council meeting.

:00:19.:00:20.

And the former Liberal Democrat MP for Lewes, Norman Baker,

:00:21.:00:22.

It is called Throwing Meet @t Tigers and criticises David Cameron for his

:00:23.:00:29.

Soaring Meet At The Tigers. As someone who campaigned for Brexit do

:00:30.:00:51.

you feel like one of the Tigers was throwing the meet at? To thd Mac I

:00:52.:00:55.

find it odd people objected to him find it odd people objected to him

:00:56.:00:59.

calling a referendum. I heard someone say we should not h`ve one

:01:00.:01:04.

because people do not understand. How very patronising. And I thought

:01:05.:01:08.

we would have a Brexit free programme! Thank you to both my

:01:09.:01:12.

guests. Join us again next week Goodbye.

:01:13.:01:17.

go ahead with this policy, I know. And now back to Andrew.

:01:18.:01:26.

So, Brexit, airports, Calais and the chances

:01:27.:01:28.

With what Rory Stewart was saying there, it is clear that Islamic

:01:29.:01:50.

State is losing territory in Iraq now, and could come under pressure

:01:51.:01:57.

in Syria as well. It used to control a whole swathe of the coast of

:01:58.:02:05.

Libya, and is now down to a small area of Sirte in Libya. But

:02:06.:02:09.

curiously, it could make them more dangerous here if they are being

:02:10.:02:13.

driven out of the Maghreb and the Levant, they could be more dangerous

:02:14.:02:19.

here. Discuss. That was a very interesting admission from a

:02:20.:02:24.

government minister, of all people, and a well-informed one. Chasing

:02:25.:02:30.

Isis around the Middle East is about... Like chasing Al-Qaeda

:02:31.:02:34.

around Afghanistan and Pakistan You smash them somewhere, and they pop

:02:35.:02:44.

up somewhere else. He is right to warn that these guys will go

:02:45.:02:51.

somewhere. And it may well be, in Sirte, for example, across the magic

:02:52.:03:00.

oration -- across the Mediterranean into Italy. A lot of the foreign

:03:01.:03:04.

fighters in Mosul have already gone, we heard, which raises the question,

:03:05.:03:12.

to where? I think it is quite right for government ministers to warn

:03:13.:03:15.

that it might have repercussions here. We have been involved in this,

:03:16.:03:21.

with full public consent, as far as we can tell. If it doesn't happen,

:03:22.:03:26.

if there are horrors and outrages here and in the rest of Europe,

:03:27.:03:31.

that's fine. If it does happen, at least the government is prepared. We

:03:32.:03:35.

knew surprised about how categorical Nia Griffith was? She was

:03:36.:03:47.

categorical about support for the Allied action in Iraq, and

:03:48.:03:52.

categorical about Russia. So much so that perhaps written should take

:03:53.:03:58.

tougher sanctions on its own, even if it can't get the Europeans to

:03:59.:04:03.

fall in line. I found that interesting. I was surprised by

:04:04.:04:08.

that. Tom may be right that Rory said more than perhaps he was

:04:09.:04:12.

intending, but I thought that some of what she said sounded politically

:04:13.:04:17.

imprudent in the current context of the Labour Party. I'm not sure she

:04:18.:04:21.

cleared those lines with the Labour office. I'm not sure she and Jeremy

:04:22.:04:27.

are in the same place about it. I'm not sure there is that much

:04:28.:04:31.

leadership. People at the moment get out there and say what they think

:04:32.:04:34.

it's right for the party. She sounded dead right to me. Whether it

:04:35.:04:41.

is ill-advised or not, people should answer... I want to move on, because

:04:42.:04:48.

Brexit never goes away. This week we saw Hilary Benn, former Shadow

:04:49.:04:52.

Foreign Secretary. He is going to be the chair of the select committee in

:04:53.:04:56.

the Commons which will monitor the Department for Brexit. All sorts of

:04:57.:05:00.

people will be coming to give testimony and so one. Let's hear

:05:01.:05:01.

what he told Andrew Marr. I think it will be very important

:05:02.:05:04.

for the government to indicate that if it is not possible within the two

:05:05.:05:07.

years provided for by Article 5 to negotiate both our withdrawal

:05:08.:05:10.

agreement and a new trading relationship, market access,

:05:11.:05:13.

including for services, 80% of our economy, million jobs,

:05:14.:05:14.

in financial services, that it should tell the House

:05:15.:05:17.

of Commons that it will seek a transitional arrangement

:05:18.:05:19.

with the European Union. If the deal is not done at the end

:05:20.:05:32.

of the two-year Article 50 process, would the government go for an

:05:33.:05:38.

interim agreement, or would it fall back on WTO, World Trade

:05:39.:05:43.

Organisation, Rawls? My understanding is the article 15

:05:44.:05:46.

negotiation doesn't specifically include what Britain's future

:05:47.:05:50.

trading relationship with the EU would be. It is perfectly possible

:05:51.:05:55.

that Article 50 could be triggered, and after two years we don't have a

:05:56.:06:00.

trade deal, but the trade deal negotiations are ongoing when we are

:06:01.:06:12.

outside the EU. But the trade deal negotiations are the most important

:06:13.:06:15.

thing. If Article 50 doesn't cover it, what is it about? Absolutely

:06:16.:06:17.

essential. The trade deal with Canada has taken nine years, and now

:06:18.:06:22.

it looks like it is fading, because of the Walloons. Just one small part

:06:23.:06:32.

of the country. If you cannot do a free-trade deal with Canada, a

:06:33.:06:36.

progressive, social Democratic Canada, who can the EU do a trade

:06:37.:06:40.

deal with? You would think it would be easy with us, because we have all

:06:41.:06:45.

of the level playing field agreements in place. You would hope

:06:46.:06:49.

it would be easier, but it may not be, because in the end, it will

:06:50.:06:54.

hinge on the single market and if we are in or out. If we are in, can we

:06:55.:07:04.

have a small break on immigration? It looks like not. What is

:07:05.:07:07.

interesting about the opinion polls is, in the last two opinion polls

:07:08.:07:11.

there was a significant change in public opinion, where people are now

:07:12.:07:15.

saying they think that actually trade, the economy, the single

:07:16.:07:19.

market is more important than immigration. If it is really true,

:07:20.:07:24.

as the observer is reporting today, that banks are on the move, and in a

:07:25.:07:28.

year's time there could be a significant collapse in the income

:07:29.:07:34.

we get from finance, the income that the Treasury gets, then public

:07:35.:07:46.

opinion might change. They may say, we don't want more immigration, but

:07:47.:07:48.

this isn't a price worth paying Everything tends to be seen through

:07:49.:07:54.

the Brexit lens at the moment. Things are not always as they seem.

:07:55.:07:59.

The Canadian- EU free trade agreement was about increasing free

:08:00.:08:04.

trade between the EU and Canada and therefore subject to the

:08:05.:08:07.

ratification of all members. Any deal we do will not give us the same

:08:08.:08:13.

access we have at the moment. The question is, how much will it be

:08:14.:08:17.

diminished? It may not be subject to the same ratification process.

:08:18.:08:22.

Absolutely right. Another unbelievably technical point that we

:08:23.:08:28.

still don't know is, if we can get this free-trade deal with the EU at

:08:29.:08:34.

the same time as our Brexit talks and deal, the divorce deal as well

:08:35.:08:41.

as the remarriage deal, then one gets signed off by QM V. The trade

:08:42.:08:50.

deal may still need all 28, all 27, including the people from the

:08:51.:08:56.

Walloons. And the MEPs. The majority of parliament. This is exactly why

:08:57.:09:00.

Theresa May would like the transitional deal to push this one

:09:01.:09:04.

deeper. I was surprised to hear Hilary Benn pushing this line this

:09:05.:09:09.

morning. The remainers have been all over the place. They wanted a vote

:09:10.:09:13.

after Article 50 had been triggered about the deal. Then they wanted a

:09:14.:09:18.

vote before Article 50. Now they are talking about a vote before article

:09:19.:09:25.

Article 50 is triggered about a trade deal. They need to make up

:09:26.:09:30.

their minds about what it is they are pushing for, and what their best

:09:31.:09:34.

hope of obstructing Brexit is, and stick with it. Something else we see

:09:35.:09:41.

through the Brexit lens, which isn't always helpful, is Calais. The

:09:42.:09:45.

French bulldozers will move in tomorrow. We will see some pretty

:09:46.:09:50.

disturbing scenes on the TV. We will see some horrible scenes. The

:09:51.:09:54.

government has handled this very badly. Having passed an amendment in

:09:55.:10:00.

April saying we would take something like 3000 children, a lot of those

:10:01.:10:04.

children have disappeared. Save the Children, one of the charities

:10:05.:10:08.

there, are very worried that people traffickers have been in there, and

:10:09.:10:16.

a lot of those children have vanished. We haven't sent social

:10:17.:10:18.

workers in. No preparations have been made what ever. You are raising

:10:19.:10:25.

an interesting point. We don't know how many we are meant to be taking.

:10:26.:10:30.

The huge argument has arisen over what the age is of some of the ones

:10:31.:10:38.

coming in. Is this another problem for the Home Office? To some extent.

:10:39.:10:43.

Didn't Theresa May 's too well to survive six weeks of this? Amber

:10:44.:10:46.

Rudd has been there for three months. It is clear that the Home

:10:47.:10:51.

Office didn't prepare for this. They didn't prepare for the age

:10:52.:10:59.

verification or when it will go It needs to be an perfect. We don't

:11:00.:11:03.

know how many we will take, because the Home Office will not say. I want

:11:04.:11:09.

to talk about airport capacity, but I won't, because I don't think we

:11:10.:11:14.

have anything to say about it until the statement on Tuesday from

:11:15.:11:17.

Transport Minister Grayling. When you look at the polls and see the

:11:18.:11:22.

decision on airport runway expansion being kicked into the long grass for

:11:23.:11:26.

a year, are we heading for an early election next year or not? I think

:11:27.:11:31.

Theresa May will do everything she can to avoid it. If there is an

:11:32.:11:36.

election before 2020, it is bound to be about Europe, and that is a much

:11:37.:11:42.

harder case for her to win than just a question of who is the best Prime

:11:43.:11:47.

Minister. She will have a tough time, because it will be a general

:11:48.:11:51.

election about in or out of the single market. Half of her party

:11:52.:11:57.

will peel away. How do she conduct a general election when the likes of

:11:58.:12:02.

Anna Soubry will not stand on the same platform? It will be difficult.

:12:03.:12:07.

But she may reach such a stalemate that she just calls one. No general

:12:08.:12:15.

election next year because it will split the Tory party. There will be

:12:16.:12:18.

won in 2019 when she cannot get Brexit through the House of Commons.

:12:19.:12:23.

You really can have too much of a good thing. I just want to show a

:12:24.:12:28.

little clip of the former Shadow Chancellor, Ed Balls, from Strictly

:12:29.:12:33.

last night. Let's just watch this. There he is.

:12:34.:12:40.

Where is the hand? That is the worrying bit! We will no longer be

:12:41.:12:47.

saying that Ed Balls is a safe pair of hands! Can we agree on that?

:12:48.:12:55.

Remarkable that he was once the man most feared by David Cameron! Labour

:12:56.:13:04.

leader 2021. He has hit popular culture in the way that many few

:13:05.:13:11.

politicians do. Charm, gusto, bravery, no worries about being

:13:12.:13:15.

embarrassed. All the things that you don't like about being a politician.

:13:16.:13:22.

We have run out of time. You can get it on social media.

:13:23.:13:24.

Jo Coburn will be back with the Daily Politics tomorrow

:13:25.:13:27.

And I'll be back here next Sunday at the same time.

:13:28.:13:30.

Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:31.:14:04.

Everyone's living these amazing lives,

:14:05.:14:07.

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