11/05/2014 Sunday Politics Wales


11/05/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics, where we're talking

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about the Europe-wide contest that really matters. No, not Eurovision.

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The European elections. There are local elections across England too

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on May 22nd. The party leaders are campaigning ahead of polling day.

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The results could be a pointer to the Big One, May 2015. We'll be

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speaking to the man in charge of Labour's election battle plan. Has

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the opposition really got its sights set on all-out victory in 2015? Or

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will it just be content with squeaking home? And you can't

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mention elections these days without talking about the impact of this

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Four Welsh MEPs will be elected on him if UKIP really

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Four Welsh MEPs will be elected on the 22nd of

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Four Welsh MEPs will be elected on boroughs. What will make a

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difference to the way you vote? And I'm joined by three journalists

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guaranteed to bring a touch of Eurovision glamour to your Sunday

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morning. With views more controversial than a bearded

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Austrian drag act and twice the dress sense, it's Nick Watt, Helen

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Lewis and Janan Ganesh. So you might have thought you've already heard

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David Cameron promise an in-out referendum on EU membership in 2017

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if he's still Prime Minister. Many times. Many, many times. Well he

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obviously doesn't think you've been listening, because he's been saying

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it again today. Here he is speaking to the BBC earlier. We will hold a

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referendum by the end of 2017. It will be a referendum on an in-out

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basis. Do we stay in a reformed European Union or do we leave? And

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I've said very clearly that whatever the outcome of the next election,

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and of course I want an overall majority and I'm hoping and

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believing I can win an overall majority, that people should be in

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no doubt I will not become Prime Minister unless I can guarantee that

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we will hold a referendum. Here's saying there that an overall

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majority there will definitely be a referendum. If these are the

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minority position, he won't form a new coalition unless they agree to a

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referendum, too. The Lib Dems a pulmonary agree to that. They

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probably will because the Prime ministers have a strong argument

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which is I gave you a referendum back in 2010 so the least I need is

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theirs and the Lib Dems are the only party who have stood in recent

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elections on a clear mandate to hold a referendum, so it is difficult for

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them to say no, there was interesting the interview he did

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earlier today. He named everything was going to ask for. The most

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controversial with him, as he said in his speech last year, he wants to

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take Britain out of the commitment to make the European Union and ever

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closer union. That is a very big ask, but the point is, he may well

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get it because the choice for the European Union now, France and

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Germany, is a clear wonderful do Britain in or out? Previously, it

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was can you put up with a British prime ministers being annoying? I

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think you'll find the answer is they are willing to pay a price but not

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any price to keep Britain in. In this scenario, Labour would have

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lost the election again because we are talking the slowly happen if Mr

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Cameron is the largest party or has an overall majority. Could you then

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see Labour deciding we had better go along with a referendum, too? I

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think that's unlikely because as I think that's unlikely because

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there's a huge upside for that for I think what's interesting is the idea

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he would for minority government. Would you get confidence and look at

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other options that might well happen with the way the arithmetic is going

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or is he going to hold out and say the only way I will be Prime

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Minister is in a majority Conservative government? No, the

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implication of his remarks was I wouldn't form a coalition government

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unless my coalition partners would also agree to vote for a referendum.

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He's basically talking about is negotiating strategy in those

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coalition talks. It's a red line and a huge opportunity for the Lib Dems,

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because they know David Cameron absolutely has to do, for accidental

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reasons, as a person who survives as Tory leader, to ask for that

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referendum, so they can ask anything they want in return and if I was

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Nick Clegg, I would work out in the next year one absolute colossal

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negotiating demand for those coalition talks. For a party around

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10% in the polls, they will do have the Prime Minister over a barrel on

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this one, assuming that coalition talks goes well. They could make

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Michael Gove Tbyte meeting. OK, we need to move on. So, the politicians

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are out and about on what used to be called the stump ahead of local and

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European elections in less than two weeks' time. But, without wanting to

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depress you on a damp Sunday morning, the party strategists are

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already hard at work on their campaign plans for the General

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Election next May. Yes, it's less than a year to go. They may have

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taken their time, but Labour's battleplan for 2015 is starting to

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take shape. As well as take promising to freeze your energy

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bills, and reintroduce the 50p rate of tax, Ed Miliband now says he

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wants to intervene in the housing market to keep rents down. There's

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even talk that the party leadership wants to bring more railway lines

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into public ownership. And Labour is gambling that its big push on the

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cost of living will see it through to the general election despite

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evidence that growth is firmly back. Labour's campaign chief Douglas

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Alexander hopes it all adds up to victory next May. But so far, the

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evidence is hitting home very thin. One survey today shows that 56% of

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people don't think Mr Miliband is up to the job of Prime Minister. As we

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head towards one of the least predictable general elections in 70

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years, has Labour got a message to win seats up and down the country?

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And Labour's election co-ordinator and Shadow Foreign Secretary,

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Douglas Alexander, joins me now. Welcome to Sunday Politics. A lot of

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these policies announced polar pretty well. By popular with the

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country. When you add them together, it's a move to the left and what

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would be wrong with that? I think is your packet suggests, the contours

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in the coming campaign are becoming clear. Our judgement is the defining

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issue of the year in British politics will be the widening gap

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between the wealth of the country and the finances of ordinary

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families. We believe it will be a cost of living election and we have

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been setting out our thinking in relation to energy prices and rent,

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but you will hear more from Labour Party in the coming months because

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we're now less than one year away from a decisive moment. If the

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leftish think tank suggested any of his policies in that Tony Blair

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years, you would have opposed them. Let's be clear, when not going for

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an interest but seeking to secure a majority for the only way to do that

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is not simply to appeal to your base, but to the centre ground. I

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believe we got genuine opportunities in the next year. You have the

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Conservatives in a struggle with UKIP on the right of politics. The

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Lib Dems 9% of trying to find their base, and there's a genuine

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opportunity in the next year for Labour to dominate the centre ground

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of politics and secure the majority Labour government we are planning

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for in the coming year. I notice you didn't deny you wouldn't have

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opposed. You say you have got an message for aspirational voters in

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the South. This is what John Denham said. He thinks you're talking too

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much to your core vote. He is right to recognise we took a

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terrible beating in 2010. 29%. If you look at what we've done in the

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last week, for example, the signature policy on rent Ed Miliband

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announced to launch the campaign, there's now more than 9 million

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people in the country in the private rented sector, more than 1 million

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families. Many of them are in the south-east. They are seeing

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circumstances where, suddenly, landlord will increase the rent and

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they put the pressure involved in schooling, health care facing the

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families, so it is important both in terms of policy and in terms of

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politics that we speak to the whole country, not simply to one part of

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it falls up what is the average rise in event last year? I don't know.

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Can you tell me? 1%. 1% not in real terms. I'm not sure what the problem

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is. It will happen to wages in last year, we are facing circumstances

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where people will be worse off, up to ?1600 off worse and frankly, if

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our opponents want to argue that the economy has healed and they deserve

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a victory lap, good luck to them because actually, what we are

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hearing from the Buddhist public, not just in the north and south, is

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not the cost living crisis is continuing and it affects families.

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There was nothing aspirational about your party election broadcast for

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the European elections. It looked like crude class war to money

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people. That's a bit of it. Bedroom tax. Isn't it going to look bad that

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two thirds of those affected are disabled? Who cares? They can't

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fight back. Shall be lay-offs and NHS nurses? The National Health

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Service? Oh yes. Mr Cameron? Who said that? Me. My gosh. The man has

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shrunk. He's actually shrunk. What shall we do with him? Can we hunt

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him? Nothing about Europe, Labour policy. News that the Tories would

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result in negative campaigning and smear. You didn't tell you would be

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just as bad. Let's start the party broadcast. The one thing guaranteed

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to have most people reaching for the remote control these days are the

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words, there now follows a party but the broadcast. I make no apology in

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the factory to be innovative in how we presented. It's factual. It was a

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policy -based critic of this government. And the Lib Dems role

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within it. So you're claiming it's factual to betray the camera and

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cabinet is not even knowing what the NHS is, -- the Cameron Cabinet. They

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attack the disabled because they can't fight back. The Pinellas

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Tanner severely Prime Minister Sun and he was treated during a short

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life by the NHS. It's a fact many disabled people across the country

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including in my constituency have been directly affected by the

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bedroom tax. And ultimately, this Conservative led government,

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including the Lib Dems, will be held accountable by the politicians. You

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say that, the Prime Minister, who had a severely disabled son of. I

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you not ashamed about? I shadowed Iain Duncan Smith of five months

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also they don't have the excuses of seeing that saying nobody told them

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the consequences of the bedroom tax. They went into this with their eyes

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open. They knew about the hardship and difficulty. If they were

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one-bedroom properties available across the country for people to

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move into, their argument would be OK but they knew they were dealing

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with the most vulnerable people. Did you sign off that part of the

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broadcast? Of course I stand by the fact of it. I wish David Cameron and

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Iain Duncan Smith would apologise to the disabled people of the country

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and the poorest people for the effects of the bedroom tax. I hope

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we get that apology between now and election. As someone who thinks

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integrity is important in politics, not ashamed of this kind of thing?

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It's important we scrutinise the policies of this government as well

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as adding a positive agenda for change. You want that you won't

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promise this is the last time we'll see such a negative press campaign?

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I don't think it is negative or personal to scrutinise the

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government. So we'll get more of this? I'm less interested in the

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background of the cabinet than their views. You call the upper-class

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twits. It's for the British public to make a judgement in terms of the

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British... That's how you depicted them. We are held in accountable for

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the bedroom tax, the NHS, taxation, and our record they have to defend.

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One reason are so fearful in this election is actually because they

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know they have a poor record. Let's look at other part of the election

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campaign. This poster. Particularly digitally doing the rounds. On that

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shopping basket, can you tell us which items take the full 20% VAT?

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It's representative of household shopping, which includes items like

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cleaning products, and we know that food is not that trouble. People

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don't go to the supermarket and say this is -- vatable. So you are

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denying that ?450 extra is being paid? Yes, where'd you get that

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figure? For an average family to pay ?450 a year extra VAT, they would

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have to spend ?21,600 a year on vatable products at 20%. The average

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take-home pay is only 21,009. They have got to spend on all sorts of

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things which are zero VAT. So in addition to the items, has a range

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of products people face in terms of VAT. How could an average family of

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?21,000 a year spent 21,006 and the pound a year on 20% vatable items?

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It's not an annual figure, is it? So what is it then? If it's an annual,

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what is it? The increased VAT in this parliament is calculated over

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the course of a Parliament. For the whole of the Parliament? And you're

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illustrated this with a shopping basket which almost has no VAT on it

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at all? People will be buying a weekly shop in the course of this

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Parliament every week. Did you sign off on this as well? Of course. It

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didn't dawn on you you're putting things on it which have no VAT? If

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you want to argue some people go to the shops and say these are vatable

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or not, I disagree. Even your rent cap announcement went wrong. You're

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working on the rent rises and it turns out it wasn't. It was a post

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your policy. It is the exception rather than the rule to have the

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position we have at the moment. In Northern Ireland we have seen the

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continued rise in terms of the rented sector but there is a

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widespread recognition that for those people in the rented sector,

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change is necessary. Are you coordinating this campaign? It seems

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accident prone. This is a party that has set the agenda more effectively

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than a Conservative party that said when David Cameron was elected he

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wasn't going to bang on about Europe. The day after the election

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we expect the Conservative party to be engulfed in crisis. I'm proud of

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what we talk about and I think there is a clear contrast about a party

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talking about issues people care about, and a Conservative party

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talking about exclusively a referendum. Are you in charge of the

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campaign? I am coordinating the campaign is, yes. The expensive

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election guru you have hired, has he been involved in any of this? We

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have started our discussions with him. You are going to have to brief

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him about British politics because he doesn't know anything about it. I

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make no apology for hiring him. He has a lot of experience in winning

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tight elections and that is what we are expecting. If you are expecting

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us to say, they have passed and we have to hold them accountable, then

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I am sorry but we have a campaign that holds the Government and the

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Conservatives to account for what I think is a very hopeless record in

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government. Thank you. He leads a party with zero MPs but

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his media presence is huge. He's had an expenses scandal, but the public

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didn't seem to mind. He's got a privileged background but he's seen

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as an anti-establishment champion. Nothing seems to stick to him, not

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even eggs. I speak of course of Nigel Farage. We'll talk to him in a

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moment, but first Giles has been out on the campaign trail ahead of

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elections that could make or break the UKIP leader.

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Nigel Farage likes a stage, and at this stage of the Euro and local

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election campaign he is, like his party, in buoyant mood. They feel

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they are on the verge of what they see as causing an earthquake in

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British politics. Today Nigel is filling thousands seat venues and

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bigger. Not that there's much sign of that at this press launch. But

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it's a threat with serious money behind it, that they believe the

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media and the political elite just haven't realised yet, much less

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learned how to counter it. Not that it's all been plain sailing.

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Offensive comments from some candidates has not only seen UKIP

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labelled as racist, but necessitated a rally by the party to visibly and

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verbally challenge that. The offensive idiotic statements made by

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this handful of people have been lifted up and presented to the great

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British public as if they represent the view of this party, which they

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do not. They never have and they never will. APPLAUSE

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I don't care what you call us, but from this moment on, please do not

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call must trust a racist party. We are not a racist party.

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The need to say that is not just about the European and local

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elections even at that campaign launch it's clear UKIP's leader has

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set his sights firmly on the ultimate prize. I come from the

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south of England and I would not want to be seen as an opportunist

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heading to the north, north Norfolk or whatever it will be. I will make

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my mind up and stand in the general election for somewhere in Kent, East

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Sussex, Hampshire, somewhere in my home patch. Back at UKIP HQ they are

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still drilling down how the last fortnight of campaigning should go.

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They aren't taking any chances, and one imagines having offices above

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those of Max Clifford is a reminder how fragile built reputations can be

:20:44.:20:46.

of the bubble bursting. They want their reputation to be built on

:20:47.:20:49.

votes and they know anything but significant success on May 22nd and

:20:50.:20:52.

some seats in Westminster in 2015 isn't going to be good enough. And

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after that, having sold yourselves as the honest outsiders, that stance

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is harder to maintain once your people are on the inside. And subtle

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changes from the past are already noticeable. The ordinary man of the

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people stance is still working. Characteristically outside a pub,

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Nigel Farage is glad handed by a customer. Two weeks to go, let's

:21:16.:21:21.

cause an upset. Wouldn't that be great? The only sign that such an

:21:22.:21:26.

interaction is different now is the ever presence of bodyguards who

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shadow his every move. Over lunch ahead of Question Time, a radio

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appearance, and then off to Scotland, I ask him if some of those

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minded to vote UKIP who see him as a man they'd be comfortable having a

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drink with are the sort of people he'd be entirely comfortable sitting

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down with. Every political party attracts support from across the

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spectrum and there will be some magnificent people who vote for us

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and some ne'er-do-wells. The one common thing about UKIP voters is

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that they are often not very political. And it's that people's

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army that if UKIP can get to a polling booth might just create that

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earthquake they want. Nigel Farage joins me now. When you

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decided not to stand at the new work by election coming said if you lost

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it that the bubble would have burst. What did you mean by that? I

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was asked at seven 20p -- at 7:21pm if I would stand, I have decided by

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the next morning that I would not. I didn't know he was going to resign.

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You claim only a handful of UKIP candidates have ever said things

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that are either stupid or offensive, I'm right on that, yes? 0.1%, I'd

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rather it was non-. But why have you chosen a candidate to fight this

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by-election that has said many things most people would regard as

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stupid or offensive? Roger is fighting this for us, someone of 70

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years of age who grew up with a strong Christian Bible background,

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in an age when homosexuality was imprisonable. He had a certain set

:23:30.:23:33.

of views which he maintained for many years which he now says he

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accepts the world has moved on and he is relaxed about it. The comments

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about homosexuality are not from the dark ages, they are from two or

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three years ago. From when he was a Conservative, yes, so will you be

:23:51.:23:56.

asking David Cameron that question? I have never seen a single comment

:23:57.:24:00.

from Roger that would be deemed to be offensive. Do you regard his

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comments on homosexuality as offensive? When he grew up,

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homosexuality was illegal in this country. But this was in 2012 but he

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said that. Most people have his age still feel uncomfortable about it --

:24:21.:24:30.

of his age. In 2012 he said, if two men can be married, why not three,

:24:31.:24:38.

why not a commune. Many people in this country are disconcerted by the

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change in the meaning of marriage and in a tolerant society we

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understand that some people have different views. But he has changed

:24:46.:24:51.

his views now in only two years? He says he is more relaxed about it.

:24:52.:25:02.

Was he your candidate? He is a first-class campaigner who has had

:25:03.:25:06.

30 years in industry, he served in the European Parliament, he is a

:25:07.:25:11.

good candidate. This morning's papers suggest you are about to

:25:12.:25:15.

select Victoria Ayling for Grimsby, but she is on camera saying that, of

:25:16.:25:21.

immigrants, I just want to send a lot back. This is all very

:25:22.:25:25.

interesting, and we can talk about it, all we could talk about the fact

:25:26.:25:29.

that in 12 days we have a European election and every voter across the

:25:30.:25:34.

UK can vote on it and it is really interesting. Are you happy to pick a

:25:35.:25:40.

candidate that says of immigrants, I just want to send a lot back? I have

:25:41.:25:48.

seen the tape, it is a complete misquote and she says it in the

:25:49.:25:55.

context of illegal immigrants. I have seen the full quote and in the

:25:56.:26:01.

context it is not about illegal immigrants. Let's come onto the

:26:02.:26:05.

European campaign, you have used a company that employs Eastern

:26:06.:26:10.

European is to deliver leaflets in London and the Home Counties. Have

:26:11.:26:14.

we? I'm told that in Croydon one branch might have done that. Have

:26:15.:26:20.

you found some indigenous Brits to deliver leaflets in Europe? We have

:26:21.:26:25.

thousands joining the party every month and they are not all

:26:26.:26:29.

indigenous because what is interesting is that in today's

:26:30.:26:35.

opinion polls, UKIP is above the Lib Dems and the Conservatives amongst

:26:36.:26:47.

the indigenous voting. We have not agreed a manifesto for

:26:48.:27:01.

the general election, we will do over the course of the summer. This

:27:02.:27:09.

is in your local election. We are having local elections in some part

:27:10.:27:13.

of the country but we are fighting a European election. It is impossible

:27:14.:27:16.

with the British media to have an intelligent debate on the European

:27:17.:27:23.

question. But as I say, we are also fighting the local elections too.

:27:24.:27:27.

You have promised these tax cuts, how much will they cost? I have met

:27:28.:27:33.

-- read the local election manifesto and it doesn't make those promises.

:27:34.:27:38.

We do talk about local services, we do talk about the need to keep

:27:39.:27:43.

council tax down but we don't talk about income tax. Absolutely not. In

:27:44.:27:51.

local election campaigning you say you would restore cuts to policing,

:27:52.:27:57.

double prison places, restore cuts to front line NHS, spend more on

:27:58.:28:04.

roads, how much would that cost? You are obviously reading different

:28:05.:28:09.

documents to me. We are voting for local councillors in district

:28:10.:28:12.

councils who have got little local budgets. Every party in a manifesto

:28:13.:28:20.

puts his aspirations in it. Have you read it? Of course I have, cover to

:28:21.:28:26.

cover, which is why I'm saying you are misquoting it. By the way, on

:28:27.:28:32.

the bubble bursting, you told that to Norman Smith of the BBC. 75% of

:28:33.:28:39.

British laws are now made in the European Union. Now AstraZeneca is

:28:40.:28:44.

potentially going to be taken over by Pfizer. The BBC is refusing to

:28:45.:28:50.

show the public that that decision cannot be taken here but by an

:28:51.:28:54.

elected European commissioner, and we sit and argue about what is in or

:28:55.:29:01.

not in the local election manifesto. It is my job, but let me come on to

:29:02.:29:12.

AstraZeneca. Is it your view that a British government should stop the

:29:13.:29:19.

takeover of AstraZeneca? It cannot. Can we please get this clear. I sat

:29:20.:29:28.

next to Chuka Umunna the other day at question time and he said what

:29:29.:29:33.

could and couldn't be done. He said I am being studiously neutral, and

:29:34.:29:37.

the reason is we don't have this power. That is what the European

:29:38.:29:44.

elections is about. Should France have the takeover of the food

:29:45.:29:56.

company Danan? We seem to do things to the Nth degree and nobody else

:29:57.:30:05.

does, perhaps because we have this culture and we obey it. In your

:30:06.:30:09.

view, you don't think Pfizer should be able to take over AstraZeneca?

:30:10.:30:17.

There is some good science within AstraZeneca which is in danger of

:30:18.:30:22.

being asset stripped and lost. Because it is run by a Swede and a

:30:23.:30:29.

Frenchman and most of its employees are overseas. I understand that but

:30:30.:30:34.

there are still some good science being produced here. What did you

:30:35.:30:38.

think of the Prime Minister saying he would not form a government after

:30:39.:30:43.

the election unless he was able to have a referendum in 2017? I sat

:30:44.:30:51.

here talking to you and you said to me that David Cameron had given a

:30:52.:30:56.

cast-iron guarantee that if David Cameron becomes Prime Minister he

:30:57.:30:59.

will have a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, but he didn't deliver on

:31:00.:31:05.

that. He knows that people struggle to believe the renegotiation is

:31:06.:31:09.

worth a row of beans. He is saying he will not form a government unless

:31:10.:31:13.

he can go forward with the referendum. I know he is desperately

:31:14.:31:17.

trying to pretend to be Eurosceptic whilst at the same time saying he

:31:18.:31:21.

will campaign for Britain to remain in. In a sense, that is what this

:31:22.:31:26.

election is about. We have three traditional parties, all of whom

:31:27.:31:29.

passionately believe in the continued membership of the European

:31:30.:31:34.

Union and we have UKIP saying we want trade and cooperation but there

:31:35.:31:38.

is a bigger and better world out there. You are now travelling with I

:31:39.:31:45.

think four bodyguards, has this affected you and your family life? I

:31:46.:31:53.

can't stand it. I've always wondered about the place and on my own thing.

:31:54.:31:57.

Sadly we have a couple of organisations out there headed up by

:31:58.:32:01.

senior Labour Party figures who purport to be against fascism and

:32:02.:32:05.

extremism, who received funding from the Department of communities, from

:32:06.:32:09.

the trade unions, who have acted in a violent wait more than once. You

:32:10.:32:13.

are saying the Labour Party is behind the threats? No, I said a

:32:14.:32:19.

taxpayer funded, trade union funded and headed by senior Labour Party

:32:20.:32:22.

figures, and I'm happy for them to come to my meetings and have an

:32:23.:32:26.

itinerant with me, but it's not so much fun when there are banging you

:32:27.:32:30.

over the head. I is still keen to be an MP? Yes, what UKIP will then do

:32:31.:32:36.

is target before the general election next year for the one life

:32:37.:32:41.

be easier if you just went to the Lords? That's the last thing I want

:32:42.:32:46.

to do. There's an awful lot to do. Most of all, I will not rest until

:32:47.:32:51.

we are free from political union and government from Brussels. Nigel

:32:52.:32:54.

Farage, thank you for being with us. It's just gone 11.30am. You're

:32:55.:32:55.

watching the Sunday Politics. We say Hello. On the Sunday Politics Wales:

:32:56.:33:18.

Can Plaid Cymru keep its seat in the European Parliament and how well

:33:19.:33:21.

will the UK Independence Party do in Wales? I will be speaking to the

:33:22.:33:25.

both parties lead candidates for the European elections on the 22nd of

:33:26.:33:35.

May. If you saw Conchita Wurst win

:33:36.:33:38.

Eurovision for Austria last night you may already have Euro fever. But

:33:39.:33:42.

if not, here is the lowdown on the European election, with a little

:33:43.:33:45.

help from British Eurovision winners Buck's Fizz.

:33:46.:33:52.

Between 22nd and 25th of May, voters in 28 countries across the European

:33:53.:33:55.

Union will be voting to elect 751 members of the European Parliament.

:33:56.:34:10.

Four of those will be from Wales. The parliament's official base is in

:34:11.:34:13.

the French town of Strasbourg, close to the German border, but it also

:34:14.:34:21.

meets in Brussels. Elections have been held every five years since

:34:22.:34:27.

1979. Before that members were drawn from national parliaments. Will the

:34:28.:34:32.

new men and women have more power than the old? Is an elected European

:34:33.:34:39.

Parliament a good thing anyway? The parliament is seen as the voice of

:34:40.:34:42.

the people within the EU, representing its 500 million

:34:43.:34:49.

citizens. Jill Evans has been an MEP for Plaid

:34:50.:34:53.

Cymru for fifteen years and hopes to get re-elected this month. She is

:34:54.:34:57.

the party's lead candidate and joins me now. What are your prospects of

:34:58.:35:06.

forgetting we elected? Some of the poll suggest you have a fight on

:35:07.:35:12.

your hands. We are campaigning very hard and we are getting a lot of

:35:13.:35:15.

support. Our message is that only Plaid Cymru up it wields vast. We

:35:16.:35:22.

have a record of working in the Welsh National interest. The seat

:35:23.:35:31.

that you occupy is under threat. Where has the support gone? I think

:35:32.:35:39.

we are working in a different context in this election. There is a

:35:40.:35:45.

lot of awareness about Europe and a lot of concern. People have lost

:35:46.:35:50.

faith in politics and politicians. It is important that people take an

:35:51.:35:57.

active role in the process. We want change, but positive change in the

:35:58.:36:02.

interest of Wales. The more that people know about Europe, the less

:36:03.:36:09.

they like pro-European people like you? I want to have an honest

:36:10.:36:14.

discussion about Europe. One in ten jobs in Wales depends on the EU. But

:36:15.:36:24.

what we see on the British media is that the UK pays in more money than

:36:25.:36:30.

it gets back. The situation in Wales is different. It is in our interest

:36:31.:36:35.

to work positively in the EU. There have been some strident attacks on

:36:36.:36:43.

UKIP from your party. It has even been suggested that they are not

:36:44.:36:49.

Welsh. Is that back firing a bet if people are sceptical about the

:36:50.:36:52.

European Union? The more you talk about UKIP the more damage it does

:36:53.:37:04.

you? UKIP have not explained how what they want to do will help

:37:05.:37:08.

Wales. They want to leave the EU which will damage Wales and the

:37:09.:37:12.

Welsh economy. I do not think they are offering a positive message. If

:37:13.:37:17.

we want to build the economy and create jobs and help agriculture and

:37:18.:37:25.

industry we need to be in Europe. We need to change it but we need to

:37:26.:37:29.

work as part of a positive partnership. On Friday, a member of

:37:30.:37:39.

your party was criticising the other major parties are learning UKIP to

:37:40.:37:44.

steer the agenda. Why are you not setting the agenda in Wales? Why is

:37:45.:37:52.

Plaid Cymru not steering the agenda? We are proposing a radical reform.

:37:53.:37:56.

We want Wales to be a member state in Europe in its own right. We want

:37:57.:38:01.

Welsh ministers to board on Wales's Bihar. -- Wales's the half. If you

:38:02.:38:18.

look at the benefits that Wales has -- that Wales would have as he

:38:19.:38:27.

member state in Europe... So why do the people favour the idea of an

:38:28.:38:32.

independent Wales? We need to have a proper discussion in Wales about our

:38:33.:38:40.

future in Europe. There are going to be huge changes across Europe and I

:38:41.:38:48.

want Wales's voice to be heard. We need to have a strong voice their to

:38:49.:38:54.

make sure that Wales get all the benefits of being in Europe. You

:38:55.:39:06.

talk about the benefits to Wales being in the EU. The problem is that

:39:07.:39:11.

that is not a very distinctive message. I have been to Labour's

:39:12.:39:18.

campaign events and they say the same thing. They said that many jobs

:39:19.:39:25.

in Wales depend on the EU. It means you cannot carve out a niche? If you

:39:26.:39:32.

look at the record of the other parties in the European Parliament

:39:33.:39:39.

they do not vote in Wales's in chess. I am the only one who has

:39:40.:39:47.

consistently voted for Wales. For example, voting to keep the payments

:39:48.:39:51.

to our farmers and the youth guarantee scheme. There are several

:39:52.:39:59.

issues on which Plaid Cymru's record is distinct from the other parties.

:40:00.:40:06.

Let us top about the EU budget. It is being cut and you voted against

:40:07.:40:16.

that. All over Europe, governments and businesses and people have had

:40:17.:40:21.

to cut back. Why should the European Union the different? I was against

:40:22.:40:28.

making cuts during times when people were suffering the most. I was

:40:29.:40:30.

supporting a programme of investment. The cuts, cutting

:40:31.:40:41.

pensions and so on, it has not worked. Everyone in Europe in

:40:42.:40:48.

knowledge is now that what is needed is investment and creating jobs. I

:40:49.:40:57.

want to see the EU investing. The upshot of that is that member states

:40:58.:41:01.

like the UK have already decided to cut public spending and in that time

:41:02.:41:06.

it you are saying they should still be getting a bigger share

:41:07.:41:10.

proportionally to Brussels. You can understand why people may not find

:41:11.:41:19.

that a very popular idea? If you look at Wales, it benefits

:41:20.:41:24.

tremendously from the funding... But arguably the economy has not

:41:25.:41:29.

benefited? Wobbly because we have suffered from UK policy. What we

:41:30.:41:42.

need is investment. Wales has an effective regional policy. The UK is

:41:43.:41:47.

very unequal. There is a big difference between rich and pure

:41:48.:41:52.

areas. But is it an effective regional policy? Parts of Wales are

:41:53.:42:04.

less prosperous than the UK. Have we gone backwards? We need a plan. A

:42:05.:42:11.

plan for how the economy can recover. Where the funding fits into

:42:12.:42:16.

that. It is not just about European funding. That is just a part of

:42:17.:42:24.

European funding. We need a government in Wales with ambition

:42:25.:42:31.

and courage. We do not have that. We will find out the result in a couple

:42:32.:42:40.

of weeks. But the polls are bad. What does that say about Plaid

:42:41.:42:56.

Cymru? Polls are pollsw. We are concentrating on our campaign. The

:42:57.:43:03.

campaign is being led effectively. We are in good spirits as a party.

:43:04.:43:11.

There was a good lecture given last week and people are contacting us

:43:12.:43:14.

all the time to say that they are voting for us. We will keep

:43:15.:43:20.

campaigning. Thank you for joining us.

:43:21.:43:27.

So, the countdown to the election is under way. Here are all the numbers

:43:28.:43:32.

you need to know. There are four Welsh seats up for

:43:33.:43:36.

grabs in the European Parliament. Here, and across the rest of the UK,

:43:37.:43:40.

voting will take place on the 22nd of May. That is a week next

:43:41.:43:43.

Thursday. But we will not know who has won until the Sunday evening.

:43:44.:43:47.

That is because voting has to be finished across the whole of the EU

:43:48.:43:51.

before any results can be declared. In a polling booth, there is one

:43:52.:43:55.

vote for your party of choice. The four Welsh seats will be distributed

:43:56.:43:59.

based on the number of votes cast. The parties have already decided who

:44:00.:44:03.

will be elected if they win one, two, or more seats. The MEPs will

:44:04.:44:06.

represent Wales in the parliament for the next five years and help to

:44:07.:44:10.

decide and oversee the EU's 135.5 billion Euro budget. About

:44:11.:44:12.

two-thirds of that budget goes on farming subsidies and aid for poorer

:44:13.:44:31.

regions, including Wales. Our MEPs draw up laws in areas like consumer

:44:32.:44:34.

policy, environment, culture, and public health.

:44:35.:44:41.

UKIP holds one of the four Welsh seats in the European parliament and

:44:42.:44:44.

the candidate who hopes to keep it is Nathan Gill. I cannot help but

:44:45.:45:02.

notice that on your Twitter, your name is nathangillMEP. I take it

:45:03.:45:09.

from that that you think you are home and dry. It is to stop people

:45:10.:45:14.

sending illegal tweets from my account. Why do you want to be a

:45:15.:45:22.

MEPs if you think that the parliament is such a problem. I did

:45:23.:45:28.

not think I would ever be involved in politics. It was the last thing

:45:29.:45:36.

on my mind. Being a MEPs was not on my plan of things to do. -- MEP.

:45:37.:45:45.

People need to vote on the European union. If you are against the

:45:46.:45:50.

European Union and all the money that we send their and the crazy

:45:51.:45:55.

laws and the loss of sovereignty there are only two Mac options. You

:45:56.:46:02.

can vote for UKIP or one of the other parties that are for Europe.

:46:03.:46:08.

We are the only opposition to the European project. We are the only

:46:09.:46:15.

people to find out what is happening and bring the information back. It

:46:16.:46:21.

is weird being in opposition to the institution. I cannot think of many

:46:22.:46:27.

people who want to be in Westminster and want to abolish Parliament. That

:46:28.:46:31.

is because Westminster has worked well for us. Now one was given an

:46:32.:46:37.

opportunity to vote on whether they wanted to be part of a political

:46:38.:46:44.

union with Europe. But the other parties are offering that now. Plaid

:46:45.:46:50.

Cymru said they are relaxed about as referendum. You have served your

:46:51.:46:55.

practice? No one believes David Cameron. He offered it in the past

:46:56.:47:03.

and promised that he would give this a referendum on the U. Where is it?

:47:04.:47:09.

She has been in government for years. It is not happening. Are you

:47:10.:47:16.

in this to make sure that the Conservatives are honest? No. We are

:47:17.:47:23.

a party in our own right. We want what is best for the British people.

:47:24.:47:28.

We know that taking all those laws that are made in Brussels by

:47:29.:47:32.

unelected bureaucrats and bringing those back to Britain where our MPs

:47:33.:47:50.

are accountable. MEPs in Brussels do nothing. Jill Evans has been an MEP

:47:51.:48:04.

for 15 years. What laws has she moved through the parliament? She

:48:05.:48:10.

cannot. She said that Wales has benefited from EU funding. Under

:48:11.:48:14.

UKIP we would never have had that investment. It is not rocket

:48:15.:48:19.

science. There is no such thing as EU money. It is our money that has

:48:20.:48:31.

gone to Brussels. They have taken a percentage. But the EU has decided

:48:32.:48:41.

to spend that money... But how affective has that been? But is that

:48:42.:48:50.

not a problem with the the way the money is being spent in Wales? The

:48:51.:48:59.

opinion polls show that we are likely to get people elected. You

:49:00.:49:08.

are happy to see the money that has come from the European Union to

:49:09.:49:13.

Wales. -- you would be happy to not see that money come to Wales. Why

:49:14.:49:21.

does the money have to go to Brussels before it gets to Wales? We

:49:22.:49:29.

have two match funding. Happy people really benefited from that money? If

:49:30.:49:35.

they have, why are they more against Europe? But are more Eurosceptic?

:49:36.:49:50.

Traditionally we have managed to get many conservative voters. I have

:49:51.:50:00.

been over Wales and the people who are cocking to us in the streets and

:50:01.:50:05.

shaking our hands are saying they are voting for us. Labour voters,

:50:06.:50:13.

Plaid Cymru voters, people who have never voted before. We have spoken

:50:14.:50:19.

to people who do not know how to get their name on the electoral roll. It

:50:20.:50:27.

is amazing. We are getting people from across the political spectrum.

:50:28.:50:32.

In the last election, you got 13% of the boat. That is a slight increase

:50:33.:50:40.

on the previous election. But your seat against you because there was a

:50:41.:50:45.

collapsed in the Labour vote. Are you still in a situation where your

:50:46.:50:51.

fortunes are dependent on other parties? Not Apple. I think the

:50:52.:50:58.

debate that Nigel Farage had with Nick Clegg gave us a boost. People

:50:59.:51:05.

became aware of the election. There is not much information in the

:51:06.:51:12.

public domain. Many people we have spoken to have not received anything

:51:13.:51:17.

from other political parties. We have gone into this with the purpose

:51:18.:51:20.

of winning the election here in Wales. Do you think that you can?

:51:21.:51:30.

Yes. We just need people to go and vote. They need to vote on the EU

:51:31.:51:37.

not Westminster. The need to vote on whether they want to be part of this

:51:38.:51:43.

political union. Do you want unelected bureaucrats making your

:51:44.:51:50.

laws for you? But you are a single issue party, aren't you? Yes. Is

:51:51.:52:05.

that because you do not want people to look at your other policies? No.

:52:06.:52:11.

We will have a national conference. You are welcome to come. What is the

:52:12.:52:20.

policy on the assembly? I will clear it up as I have on other shows. We

:52:21.:52:29.

believe in referendum. If the people have decided and they have said in

:52:30.:52:41.

two Mac elections, it would be hypocritical of us as a party. We

:52:42.:52:49.

support what the people want. Thank you.

:52:50.:52:57.

You can get the full list of candidates standing for election in

:52:58.:53:01.

Wales by going online - the address is on the screen now. Next week we

:53:02.:53:04.

will hear from the lead candidates from Labour and the

:53:05.:53:06.

the website now. Now it is back to you, Andrew.

:53:07.:53:18.

Welcome back, let's go straight to our panel. What did you make of Mr

:53:19.:53:27.

Alexander's defence of the Labour party election broadcast? It is

:53:28.:53:30.

difficult for them because they started by saying they were not

:53:31.:53:33.

going to do negative campaigning and they have thrown that away for an

:53:34.:53:39.

advert which is funny but crude in the class war sense. He didn't look

:53:40.:53:47.

thrilled to be defending it. There is a page in Tony Blair's memoirs

:53:48.:53:53.

talking about negative campaigning, and he says that anything too

:53:54.:53:56.

extreme turns off the average voter so his line of attack on Hague was

:53:57.:54:08.

funny jokes but... I think this failed the Blair test, it was too

:54:09.:54:13.

vicious. If your strategy is to shore up your car vote, that advert

:54:14.:54:20.

was genius. If your strategy is to reach out to a broader number of

:54:21.:54:26.

voters, Middle Britain, then that advert was a complete disaster. It

:54:27.:54:30.

looks like there is a lot of negativity and smears all round in

:54:31.:54:34.

the next year. That definitely looks the way we are going. They will be

:54:35.:54:52.

essentially trying to re-run by -- the American election. I am slightly

:54:53.:55:04.

puzzled why we cannot have our own election gurus who live here and

:55:05.:55:09.

understand the country. I should point out that the ?450 extra VAT

:55:10.:55:16.

that was claimed in that Labour poster, both Ed Balls and the Labour

:55:17.:55:22.

Treasury team have said that is ?450 per year. Nonsense the VAT rise, one

:55:23.:55:28.

year. I should also point out that Nigel Farage said to Norman Smith,

:55:29.:55:32.

the BBC is always reliable Norman Smith that if you run in Newark and

:55:33.:55:39.

lost the bubble would burst. I should also point out that although

:55:40.:55:44.

a number of the tax rises I mentioned on council tax, minimum

:55:45.:55:49.

wage tax and some other things that UKIP wants to cuts, a couple of

:55:50.:55:54.

these are in the local manifesto but several are not. They are on the

:55:55.:56:00.

UKIP website, which is still current and dated 2014. We like to make sure

:56:01.:56:07.

we are absolutely right. Let's talk about Nick Clegg and Michael Gove

:56:08.:56:12.

and the latest spat. Let me show you this headline in the Observer this

:56:13.:56:20.

morning. From both the Independent, he called him a zealot, lunatic is

:56:21.:56:32.

of -- another word. Do we take this seriously? It hinges on this

:56:33.:56:37.

question of what counts as an area of need in education. The Lib Dems

:56:38.:56:41.

say an area of need is one where there are not enough school places

:56:42.:56:46.

to meet local demand. He says it can also be a place where there are

:56:47.:56:50.

surplus places but that is for a reason. Local places don't trust

:56:51.:57:02.

those schools to do a good job for their kids. It surprises me because

:57:03.:57:08.

there isn't a yawning distance between David Laws and Michael Gove.

:57:09.:57:11.

David Laws has found himself between a rock and a hard place because I

:57:12.:57:17.

asked -- as I understand it most Lib Dems don't like the free schools but

:57:18.:57:21.

Mr laws was quite sympathetic to it and he is now having to this respect

:57:22.:57:28.

it. When they asked people who are the most hated politicians in a poll

:57:29.:57:32.

were this week, Michael Gove is off the charts, far above David Cameron

:57:33.:57:48.

or George Osborne. This is tit-for-tat war. The Liberal

:57:49.:57:51.

Democrats believe Michael Gove had a hand in leaking the document that

:57:52.:57:55.

showed Nick Clegg was opposing the tougher Chris Grayling position on

:57:56.:57:59.

knife crime. They are saying there were Cabinet ministers who never

:58:00.:58:04.

usually attend the sub Cabinet meeting, they turned up and the

:58:05.:58:09.

document is leaked so what we are getting is tit for tat on that. It

:58:10.:58:13.

is inevitable but it is not good for either side of the Coalition. Voters

:58:14.:58:18.

will look at it and say it is politics of the playground. I read

:58:19.:58:23.

in the Mail on Sunday this morning that some Tory insiders are accusing

:58:24.:58:34.

Lib Dems of spreading rumours about the camera in marriage. The

:58:35.:58:38.

rebuttals of education story is that the free school meals is sucking

:58:39.:58:52.

money away. I always thought they would work together without fuss and

:58:53.:58:58.

yet it has been more the source of disagreement then I would have

:58:59.:59:03.

expected a couple of years ago. Is it serious? It is serious obviously,

:59:04.:59:08.

using that language, but is it fatal for the Coalition? I think it is a

:59:09.:59:13.

road bump because I don't think anybody wants to dissolve the

:59:14.:59:18.

Coalition. It is a challenge for Labour because where do they stand

:59:19.:59:22.

on the free schools? They invented the Academy programme so it is

:59:23.:59:26.

difficult for them to take a hands-off approach at this stage.

:59:27.:59:29.

There was a danger for Michael Gove that he looks ideological but the

:59:30.:59:32.

danger for the Liberal Democrats is that they are breaking the rules for

:59:33.:59:36.

the Coalition they said that they wouldn't break which is that they

:59:37.:59:39.

looked like opposition in government. Is Michael Gove's

:59:40.:59:48.

position safe? Very safe. If he moves in a reshuffle that will be to

:59:49.:59:55.

a a job. That's all for today. The Daily Politics will be back on BBC

:59:56.:59:58.

Two at lunchtime from Tuesday onwards. I'll be back here on BBC

:59:59.:00:02.

One at 11am next week. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday

:00:03.:00:03.

Politics.

:00:04.:00:10.

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