05/09/2016 The Papers

to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

With me are Martin Bentham, Home Affairs Editor

of the London Evening Standard and Susie Boniface,

The Financial Times leads with upbeat economic figures,

which the government says mean Britain can negotiate Brexit

The Metro's front page is dedicated to the scandal-hit

The Daily Telegraph goes with the news that the first wave

The Guardian brings us the news that prosecutions for violence

towards women and girls has reached record high levels.

The Daily Telegraph goes with the news that the first wave

of doctors' strike has been called off.

The Daily Express leads with Brexit, and a warning from the former

UKIP leader Nigel Farage that he will hold the government

to account if it tries to row back on the commitment to leave the EU.

The Times front-page features the actress Renee Zellweger at the

premiere of the latest bridges -- Bridget Jones film.

Let us start with David Telegraph and the top line of David Davis, the

Minister for Brexit, writing off the UK 's future the single market. He

says it is very improbable that the UK will remain a member of the

single market. Susie, thoughts? It is very probable he will get a

spanking from Theresa May when she gets back because she has been very

careful not to say whether in or out of the single market. She is leading

a country into negotiations break said she doesn't want all of her

cards on the table but she has one of her ministers say to stuff the

single market and throw it out the window. It is not only helpful and I

think he would get a telling off. We have had a whole day or Brexit

broadcasting and I am sure you have been glued to the TV. Martin, we had

Theresa May earlier today saying that the points-based immigration

system may not be introduced. How does that fit with what David Davis

appears to be saying here? I think it does sit with it because she is

talking about controlling immigration in some shape or form

and what David Davis is saying is that as the European Union various

leaders have made clear, we can't have the single market and no free

movement, they are not prepared to trade on that, so David Davis is

saying that we need to have some control over immigration policy so

we are unlikely to be able to restrict free movement while

retaining access to the single market in the way we have now.

Theresa May is talking about the mechanism with which to control

immigration and she says with a points-based system you don't get

control over the numbers that you have people who qualify so you would

have something akin to what we already have, which is a Visa system

for shortage occupations unskilled labour so that is where this all

fits. I don't think you would get into too much trouble because your

spelling out the logic of the position. The government... There is

no logic to the position! The panellist has made it clear her

priority is to deliver our control over immigration said the logic of

that is that you will be unlikely to have access to parts of Europe under

trade agreements and there will be a specific and as yet undefined

steel... You are Theresa May and you are running the country, you want

people to not say anything too stupid at the moment because we're

only a couple of months in and you need to maintain some kind of

access, whatever that is, to millions of customers, 500 million

people that all of our businesses want to trade with and we want them

to trade with us so she needs things to be open as possible but Davis is

shutting something down already, so I think he will be in some serious

trouble. Martin, he is not stupid? I don't think you're stupid, I think

everything is very unclear at the moment, quite clearly! At the moment

there will be a trade-off between free movement or a restriction on

free movement and access to the single market as it exists now but

it does not mean to say we can't specify deals on financial services

and so on which allow free access potentially or some kind of deal.

There is another Brexit related story in the Financial Times, the

front page, which is also David Davis hailing the robust state of

the economy after the Brexit vote and we had a series of bits of data

in the last two months or so which have shown are going up and down,

and this month it is up. It has been contradictory, but whatever you say

about Brexit, leave or remain, whether you think we have not had

world for three so everything they have said is wrong or you think that

there wasn't a crash so everything is OK, the issue on all of it is

yet. We haven't had any of these things yet. The things we were

promised or threatened haven't happened yet, it is only been two

months you can't judge the robustness of an economy eight

weeks. You have to look back over 50 years' time and look back and see

whether we did better or worse whether we could the other way. I

agree with you on that but actually what is true is that George Osborne

was saying there had to be an emergency budget within a week of

the vote and that some people were saying that the whole thing was

going to be an absolute catastrophe from day one and you would already

see investment decline in so one and it is quite true that on the figures

since the vote, they have been relatively positive and consumer

confidence and spending has been pretty good after the initial dip,

but as you quite rightly say, it is a short-term thing we need to see

what the longer term effects are, but the worst warnings have not been

realised. Nor have the best ones, the best promises haven't manifested

yet. Well, they can't because the best ones can't. Nothing can happen

until we leave the EU. Some people were saying it was going to be a

very big short-term hit in the first place, never mind the longer term

affect so I think that aspect of it hasn't happened and that is what

this story is talking about. Clearly where the economy goes in the medium

and the longer term is a different issue and it is all to play for,

quite clearly. Theresa May herself has said in China that they could be

difficult times ahead in the economy. Some of that is nothing to

do with Brexit, some of it is factors that were existing before

this which are doubts about China and a hole in the budget from George

Osborne 's last budget, the financial hole they're needed

plugging and was unplugged, so there were certain things

that were already problematic about the economy, strong though it

appeared to be on the surface, that can still come back and hit off

anyway, never mind the impact of Brexit. Brexit makes things more

complex. There is an extra degree of complexity on top of everything and

one of the things that has happened today, which is not in the paper

today, but in David Davis 's speech, he was asked about financial

passports, the business of London financial services trading with the

EU. His answer was no detail at all. It is ridiculously complicated and

he actually said it was straightforward but very complex,

which I think tells you everything you need to know about how Brexit

and David Davis works. We will park that and return to which week upon

week upon week. We will look at the Guardian which has a headline about

violent crimes against women hitting a record high. They have an

interview with the direct republic because -- prosecutions and looking

at the role of social media. When you see that headline and the strap

underneath, that bit about social media being used to humiliate, the

immediate assumption would be this is people on Twitter complaining

about people being mean to them but when you drill down into the story

there have been, for example, nearly 13,000 cases of stalking and

harassment in 2015 and 16 and 70% of those involved cases of domestic

abuse. This is not like some of us all get on social media all the with

someone sending a tweet saying they don't like your face or you are a

silly cow. This is people who know the person in question and are

setting up fake profiles and posting revenge porn being prosecuted for it

and harassing and stalking their exes and partners and mothers of

their children and this is a new means of doing it and it is making

it worse than the figures are going up. Interestingly there are a lot of

guilty pleas because they are banks to write some when they get caught

out, if anyone at home is thinking of posting revenge porn, it is on

your phone or computable and traceable to your address, you can't

wriggle out of it, you definitely did it. On the one hand it is

terrible that there is a massive increase in these cases of violence

and harassment but on the other hand it is great that we can catch people

when they are done it. The positive news about this and we ran a front

page on our -- ran a story on our front page today about the rapes and

murders in violent crimes related to domestic abuse, but the good thing

about it is that the figures are horrendous, obviously, but more

people are coming forward, which is why to an extent there are more

cases coming to court because more people at the competence to come

forward and police and prosecutors don't get it right every single time

by any means but on the other hand they do take it a lot more seriously

and they are more effective at delivering results in these cases

than they perhaps once were and they are also responding, as you say

here, to some of the evolving techniques that people using social

media and so on to harass people. For example, when people have

historically was stalking, it would be someone following someone on the

street, their ex-boyfriend following their former girlfriend, but now you

take that straight into their own by continuing on social media and there

is no sanctuary from it. Someone can leave an abusive partner, and it can

be men as well as women, they can leave a partner and perhaps even

managed to get a bed in one of the increasingly scarce refuges that are

available to them, thank you to the coalition for getting rid of them,

and once they are there, even though they aren't in physical contact with

the person who abuse them, they still have them in the life and they

can't escape them because they set up fake profiles and send tweets on

Facebook their friends. It is a modern problem, the pervasiveness of

social media that they can reach into your private sphere. Let us

move into a story that the Guardian and the Telegraph have about the

doctor striping called off next week. A big chink appearing between

the BMA and the junior doctors themselves? I think so, and I think

it is a doubt within the medical profession, there is a split across

the medical profession, as to whether this particular first

strike, and indeed the length of strikes they are talking about,

these five-day strikes, would be counter-productive and actually harm

patients, and the fact is that if you are cancelling five days of

operations and so on by definition patients will be armed and in this

particular case, obviously the doctors, it appears that the junior

doctors themselves, some of the doctors themselves are not confident

that they can go on strike and other people will cover for them in a way

that will protect patients so the whole thing has been postponed a

lease for the first strike and then we have to seem really what happens

after that. I suspect it could be that the whole thing crumbles

because they might lose public support if they go down that road. I

don't think the issue is public support, the issue with support for

the doctors in the BMA. The problem is initially they had in the same

place and they were all against the seven-day contract which dealt me --

Jeremy Hunt wanted to bring in and then there were compromises and the

BMA said they should accept it but the doctor said it was still a

rubbish deal that would affect patient safety so they parted ways a

bit but then the BMA has changed its views now and it is trying to use a

ballot from last year about strike action to maintain five days of

strikes at a time but most doctors think strike action might be just

about acceptable but to do it five days will cause harm they can't do

that is doctors. The chairman of the BMA was agreeing that the deal which

the BMA agreed at arbitration previously was actually a good deal

and because there was a vote against it by the junior doctors, which is

fair enough if they want to vote against it, but the person who is

now leading this was saying that the deal on offer was a good one and

acceptable. The separation is between the people at the head of

the BMA and the doctors but I think most members of the public, if they

ask the medical opinion from Jeremy Hunt or Doctor would go with the

doctor. I am not so sure about that. Not on the medical opinion, but as

to whether they should have a five-day strike or not, I'm not

sure. I think that is a danger for them. Allow to get to stop. That is

it for The Papers tonight. Don't forget the front pages

are all on the BBC News website, where you can read a detailed review

of the papers. It's all there for you

at bbc.co.uk/papers. Each night's edition of The Papers

is posted there shortly Headlines coming up in a few

minutes. Good evening. There's a humid and

sticky feel to the weather outside across many parts of the country and

it will remain that way for the next couple of days. We have clear spells

in the cloud and this was the sunset earlier on in North Ayrshire, by

Weather